Trump has so many charges against him that he's almost certainly going to be convicted of something. Not everything, probably not even a majority, but something. He knows he won't get unanimous acquittals across the board, so his only hope will be to slip loyalists onto some of the juries to hang them. A mistrial means months or years of delays as prosecution works each case through the system all over again.
In New York, he'd be retried over and over until a unanimous verdict is reached, guilty or not guilty, however long that takes, and every state level Republican candidate from now on will campaign on promises to drop the charges or pardon him or help him in some way, shape, or form.
In Georgia (he hasn't been indicted yet, but it's coming), he's going to be pardoned almost immediately. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if he gets pardoned before it even goes to trial. Yeah, the governor refused to find 11,000 votes for him, but he's still a Republican and trump is still the leader of his party. If he didn't pardon trump, he would be crucified by his voters and shamed out of office, and his successor would pardon him instead. If he stood his ground and couldn't be bullied into resigning, then just as in New York every Republican candidate would run on the pardon promise platform. Trump will NEVER face justice in Georgia.
In the federal case in Florida, a mistrial means the judge, a trump appointee, could drop the charges and prevent the DOJ from retrying it. Best case scenario, it would get delayed into 2025 or 2026 and a different judge in the southern district of Florida will be randomly assigned to it, but that's assuming Biden wins re-election in 2024. If trump wins, he'd immediately pardon himself, or invoke the 25th to have his loyalist VP pardon him to avoid a Supreme Court decision on a self-pardon's validity. If Biden wins, the 2028 Republican candidates will all run on promises to pardon him, so he'll be out of prison the second the White House goes red. I don't trust Democrats to hold the line long enough for him to die in prison.
The federal case in Washington, DC looks open and shut, the best chance for a conviction. Trump only has four appointees in that district, so the odds of him getting off on a retrial in case of a hung jury are 4 in 13, 30.77% (4/15, 26.67% if Biden can fill the two remaining vacancies). Again, all this does is kick the can down the road until 2025 or 2026. He will walk free whenever the Republicans take back power.
The only way donald trump faces long term consequences for his crimes is if New York stays solid blue for the rest of his life, something like the next 15 or 20 years. The federal charges will disappear the second one of his allies gets elected president; I don't think the party would nominate him for a fourth time in 2028 if he loses 2024 for them, so it's looking like it's gonna be ron desantis vs Kamala Harris (God help us all). Then again, who knows? A lot can happen in the next 5 years, so maybe some nobody will be frontrunner by then and desantis will have slinked away into post-gubernatorial obscurity like Jeb and Charlie Crist. Whoever trump endorses will be the nominee, so whoever strokes his ego the hardest will have hometeam advantage. My money says it'll be some blonde woman or a lightskinned black guy for diversity points (whoever it is, they'll be even farther right than trump himself)
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Two! Two indictments! Aha-ha-ha!
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Trump indicted. Many of you are watching soccer and likely yelling GO USA. Meanwhile I’m yelling go Jack Smith and the rule of law — the REAL team USA. 🇺🇸
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Donald Trump got indicted! And now DeSantis says he isn't going to help extradite him!
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[Image Described: the "No Fear/One Fear" Teen Comix three panel comic. First panel: a person wearing large sunglasses and a shirt that says "No fear", as a second person with writing on their shirt enters the frame. Second panel: closeup on the second person's shirt, edited to say "biden pardons trump in the name of national unity". Third panel: the first person's shirt has changed to say "one fear". End I.D.]
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I have welcome news from the above world: Donald Trump has been indicted a fourth time; and it’s in the state of Georgia, for undermining the election in 2020. It’s most likely he will be put in prison for what he has done. 🔱🧜🏽♀️
@littlerani @princessariel2k23 @meiwilliamslittlelove @sweeneytodddemonbarber @iloveyoutoinfinity @joshuawilliams74 @ebbyscrooge
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Good News, Bad News 8/1/2023
Good News:
Trump got indicted again
Happy Lammas/Lughnadsgh
Good Omens 2
JJBA Musical coming February 2024
Bad News:
School is starting again soon
Sinead O'Conner is dead
Picrew is being invaded by pedos
A new bill is being debated in Congress that would endanger LGBTQ+ children.
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Oh, boy!
It's Indictment Day again!
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