capnsoapy

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Mysterious: your roommate says "im gonna take a shower" and they enter the bathroom. The sound of running water is heard for the next hour. Then they exit the bathroom totally soaking wet.

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I am literally lightheaded and drooling incoherently over Sephie right now. Sorry. Sorry. Not really.

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relapsed again

I have grown emotionally and matured mentally to the point that when I see someone expressing an opinion on transmisogyny which hinges on the idea that the oppression of transgender women begins and ends with like, a white girl getting catcalled, I can just block them instead of being harmed Ψchically

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only joking i would NEVER feed my haters

been to the shops, cooking up some humble pie to feed my haters 😋

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Okay, so for example:

Between 1973 and 1981, ABBA released 86* songs on eight albums. In 1999, 25 of these songs were used by Catherine Johnson to create the jukebox musical Mamma Mia!.

Logically, the inverse of this process would start with Catherine Johnson writing the original musical Mamma Mia!. Then, ABBA would spend a decade releasing eight albums of music including covers of all 25 songs from the musical, alongside 61 new stylistically-consistent tracks.

It just makes sense!!

has anyone ever done a reverse jukebox musical?

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the problem with putting up a "freaks only" sign is that the most normie people in the world will read it and go "y'know, i once tried anal 😏" and then will walk in and promptly call the cops 'cause they saw a 20-something in a diaper.

[capnsoapy]

thaat's different........

has anyone ever done a reverse jukebox musical?

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me, reading animorphs now: No Tobias!!! Morph back!!!! You've been in the Hawk Tuah long!!!

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Red petals lie scattered on the ground...

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Why isn't anybody talking about this....

has anyone ever done a reverse jukebox musical?

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can I please put my bluey balls in your mouth

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I felt straight up downright left out in there <- sentence composed mostly of directions

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some people don't appreciate my goofs 😔

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!👏

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You'll see a callout post which claims to have evidence that a transgender woman is a dangerous age-regressing pædophile and then you follow the citation and it's just a photograph of her eating an oversized lollipop in a propeller beanie.

[capnsoapy]

#also people way overestimate how big a sample size has to be to be representative #iirc to get a representative sample of the us you would only need like 2500 people

So, power definitely isn't a pseudoscience, but it's for sure something of a statistical dark art, and it's very (very) hard to say exactly (or even roughly) what size a sample ""should"" be, because it varies based on so many hard-to-measure factors.

So, essentially, maybe? But it depends.

During the 1936 presidential campaign, the Literary Digest conducted the largest opinion poll of all time. After contacting ten million Americans, they confidently predicted a landslide win for Landon.

At the same time, George Gallup surveyed a randomised representitive sample of fifty thousand people (two hundred times fewer than the Literary Digest), and predicted a landslide win for Roosevelt.

Gallup was right.

The reasons for this are many and varied, but the gist is you cannot evaluate the accuracy of a study by sample size alone.