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A man of truth is seen as dangerous in a world built on lies.

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Should my life come to its conclusion, it would cease amidst profound contemplation of Christ, my son, my wife, and the intriguing paradox wherein statistical certainties often give rise to paradoxically unverified realities within life's occurrences...

I'm writing to you (Mr. tumblr) as recent personal events have provoked some deep thoughts in me concerning the application and interpretation of statistical concepts in different fields, particularly in medicine and criminal justice.

Recently, my newborn son had a chaotic health incident in the hospital, and as a result, I've found myself involved in a complex hospital fiasco. Throughout this process, I've observed how statistical concepts, especially correlation and causation, have been handled in the medical field.

What struck me was the apparent dismissal of correlation as an invalid concept in the medical field, as per the hospital's investigation. This got me thinking about how these concepts are applied in different domains. In criminal justice, for instance, the correlation between two variables does not imply causation, a principle that is fundamental in avoiding misguided interventions.

Contrarily, in medicine, the stakes are too high to rely solely on correlation; causation needs to be established. Thus, a correlation may be disregarded if causation cannot be proved. It has made me consider how the nuances in each field's approach to these concepts can lead to differing interpretations and outcomes.

In criminal justice, proving causation often serves as the backbone of establishing a defendant's guilt. In cases of medical malpractice or negligence, establishing a causal link between the medical professional's action (or inaction) and the harm or damage that occurred to a patient is necessary to secure a conviction. The "correlation not causation" principle can play a vital role in these cases because there can be multiple factors at play that could contribute to a patient's harm. Let's delve into this scenario: We observed a correlation between a diagnosis of meningitis in a baby and a subsequent cessation of breathing. However, this correlation doesn't unequivocally indicate that the meningitis infection directly led to the baby stopping to breathe. There could be various other variables at play such as the baby's overall health status, their age, any pre-existing conditions, or potentially other factors.

One such additional factor could be the intervention that took place during the breastfeeding counselling. During this session, there was an attempt to position the baby's head on the mother's breast, an act which I (we) believe could have unintentionally led to suffocation. Moreover, the first confirmed and observed seizure didn't occur until after this incident, while the baby was in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU). This fact further complicates the matter and suggests that the chain of events may not be as straightforward as initially perceived.

Both of these factors - the seizure possibly caused by the meningitis and the accidental suffocation during breastfeeding - could independently, or in combination, lead to conditions like HIE (Hypoxic Ischemic Encephalopathy). Hypoxia or HIE could indeed result from either of these factors alone or from their combined effects. However, a meticulous and comprehensive investigation is required to determine the precise cause and contribution of each factor.

The intricacies of these interactions highlight the importance of not prematurely and hastily attributing causality based on a single observed correlation. This situation reinforces the crucial principle that correlation does not automatically signify causation.

However, I believe that statistical learning, whether applied to medicine or criminal justice, remains scientific and doesn't contradict. Instead, it encourages us to think critically about data and conclusions drawn from it.

The hospital investigation has, in many ways, stirred up a great deal of critical thinking for me. While the incident itself was unfortunate, it has certainly opened up new avenues of thought and understanding in the realm of statistical analysis and its different applications. 

In a courtroom of facts, as a statistician, I always embark on a quest for truth. Like lawyers, we examine factors contributing to a conclusion based on employing statistical and scientific evidences and reasonings to prove claims with the least error, ensuring the truth shines through the complexities of information.

UV Statistician / Data Scientist

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Know God

Know peace

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Milky Way (by Willa Wei) New Mexico, Joshua Tree, Death Valley, Kenya, Bristlecone Forest & Yosemite

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Caturday night

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What were you all doing in the wardrobe?

The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe, directed by Andrew Adamson (2005)

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For all have been lost... Christ is always searching for brokenness. 

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Kita na mga Kristyano suko sa illegal na binuhatan. Pero usahay kita pa ang mosakay ani na mga butang.

You really cannot serve both God and money. 

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I have few regrets, but I sometimes feel a sadness when I think how you and I were never able to connect or understand one-another. Perhaps Sigmund Freud was right, that we become who we are at a very early age and we find ourselves locked into a fixed script. And sometimes this makes it difficult to express the things that go unsaid. So, I want to say this, having you as my truest friend and girlfriend has been and always will be the rarest gift from Above. It’s funny, how it’s all the small things that comprise a full life. I try my best to remember this in each draining moment. I see pieces of me in you and I wonder if you see parts of you in me. When I turn down all the outside noise, I find myself asking, where has all the time gone?

I should have been braver and held her hand. I should have told her how much I loved her and that she was the best thing I could ever of had. I should have told her that if she needed to go, I understood and that she would always be missed. I should have told her not to worry about me and that I would be fine. But I hid behind my fear, believing she must already know these things, pretending I’d still have time to say the things that needed to be said—how fucking stupid was that.

“All go to one place: all are from the dust, and all return to dust.” Ecclesiastes 3:20  

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Would you my constant through it all?

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God did not call me for success but for FAITHFULNESS

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Live a new life in honor to Christ Jesus

Ptr. Nick Rey

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I'd like to say that mercy and God's sovereignty are the two pillars of my life. They're the hope for my future, the energy of my service, the center of my knowledge, the best medicine in all of my sickness, the remedy of all my discouragements...and when I come to die (whether sooner or later), these two truths will stand by my bed with extremely strong and infinitely tender hands lift me up to God. #isaiah4610

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God wants us to live in freedom so that we can positively impact the lives of others for Him. Make yourself as effective in that role as you can be, by freeing your life from people that would hold you back from doing so.

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You never know the faith-value you may add to a difficult person’s life, and should consider whether or not God has placed you in their lives for a reason, or them in yours.

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Always at your disposal.

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Always been one step behind...