#(ep 2 and ep 74 for both of these respective lines)

[amelikos]

Liko talking about Lucius being her great-great-grandfather the same way she did when she mentioned being the heroine of a story.

[estimize]

These toymakers are expected to miss big this week, and 5 other earnings surprises for the first peak week of Q2 earnings season

Keeping with the trend of the early earnings season (and with historical trends), far more companies reporting this week are expected to beat on EPS expectations than miss. There are seven names in particular this first peak week of earnings that are on our radar. Four are anticipated to be beats and three are expected to be misses.

The Beats

To determine possible positive surprises we look for companies that have the following characteristics: 1. Large positive deltas vs. Wall Street 2. Significant upward revisions momentum into the report  3. Positive YoY growth expectations 4. A long history of beating 5. A long history of Estimize accuracy vs. the Street

GrubHub (GRUB)

Information Technology - Information Technology & Services | Reports July 25, before the open.

The Estimize community is looking for earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45 when GrubHub reports on Wednesday, revised upward by 14% in the last 3 months and 11% higher than Wall Street’s $0.41. Revenues are also expected to come in higher at $234.6M as compared to the sell side’s consensus of $232.6M. Year-over-year (YoY) EPS and revenue growth are expected to come in healthy at 75% and 48%, respectively. GRUB tends to move up an average of 7% in the 30-days post earnings release. This is also a name that tends to beat the Estimize consensus 67% of the time on EPS and 73% on revenues, and that Estimize is more accurate than Wall Street on 60% of the time on EPS and 73% on Revenue.

While EPS and revenues are important for GRUB, it’s Active Diners that investors will be eager to hear about. Right now the Estimize community is anticipating Active Diners to come in at 15.6M for Q2, an increase of 70% YoY. While this metric came in better than expected last quarter, food sales and daily active orders did not. Still, the company raise guidance for Q2, and hopes to benefit from a healthy US consumer as well as partnerships such as the recent one with Yum! Brands.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Information Technology - Semiconductors | Reports July 25, after the close.

The Estimize community is looking for earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14 when AMD reports on Wednesday, revised upward by 38% in the last 3 months and 12% higher than Wall Street’s $0.12. Revenues are also expected to come in higher at $1.759B as compared to the sell side’s consensus of $1.718.B, a number that has been revised upward by 14% since last quarter. Year-over-year (YoY) EPS and revenue growth are expected to come in healthy at 595% and 44%, respectively. AMD tends to move up an average of 6% in the 30-days post earnings release. This is also a name that tends to beat the Estimize EPS consensus 58% of the time, and that Estimize is more accurate than Wall Street on 58% of the time.

Competition between Advanced Micro Devices and Nvidia has started to heat up, with sales of AMD’s brand of APUs and CPUs, Ryzen, up 60% last quarter. Gross margins will also be important to watch again this quarter, with Estimize expecting them to come in at 37.16%, demonstrating a continual upward growth pattern over the last 4 quarters. The one area of concern revolves around their graphic card segment which has been hurting due to declining cryptocurrency prices.

Twitter (TWTR)

Information Technology - Internet Software & Services | Reports July 27, before the open.

The Estimize community is looking for earnings per share (EPS) of $0.19 when Twitter reports on Friday, revised upward by 35% in the last 3 months and 9% higher than Wall Street’s $0.17. Revenues are also expected to come in higher at $708M as compared to the sell side’s consensus of $700M, a number that has been revised upward by 11% since last quarter. Year-over-year (YoY) EPS and revenue growth are expected to come in healthy at 132% and 23%, respectively. Twitter tends to beat the Estimize EPS consensus 85% of the time, and Estimize is more accurate than Wall Street 95% of the time.

The big number to watch with the social media names is always monthly active users (MAUs). This quarter the Estimize community is looking for TWTR to report MAUs of 340.3M, a slight increase of only 4% YoY, keeping in line with their longtime trend. Those estimates have remained mostly steady, even after analysts and investors worried that a recent move to suspend millions of accounts in order to remove malicious actors from the social network and improve the “health of the service” according to CFO Ned Segal.

Align (ALGN)

Health Care - Health Care Equipment & Supplies | Reports July 25, after the close.

The Estimize community is looking for earnings per share (EPS) of $1.17 when Align reports on Wednesday, only revised upward by 2% in the last 3 months and 7% higher than Wall Street’s $1.09. Revenues are also expected to come in higher at $479.2M as compared to the sell side’s consensus of $469.2M, a number that has been revised upward by 5% since last quarter. Year-over-year (YoY) EPS and revenue growth are expected to come in healthy at 38% and 34%, respectively. ALGN tends to move up an average of 4% in the 30-days post earnings release. This is also a name that tends to beat the Estimize EPS consensus 74% of the time, and that Estimize is more accurate than Wall Street on 87% of the time.

Align is expected to continue to benefit from a healthy US consumer that is willing to spend discretionary income on health and wellness products. Total Invisalign shipments for Q2 are anticipated to come in atl 302,590, an increase of 11% QoQ and 29% YoY.

The Misses

To determine possible negative surprises we look for companies that have the following characteristics: 1. Large negative deltas vs. Wall Street 2. Significant downward revisions momentum into the report  3. Negative YoY growth expectations 4. A long history of missing 5. A long history of Estimize accuracy vs. the Street

The toymakers - while Hasbro and Mattel have been suffering for several quarters now, the bankruptcy of Toys R Us earlier this year has really exacerbated those losses, and both are expected to be two of the worst reporting companies this week.

Hasbro (HAS)

Consumer Discretionary - Leisure Equipment & Products | Reports July 23, before the open.

The Estimize community is looking for earnings per share (EPS) of $0.29 when Hasbro reports tomorrow morning, revised down by 49% in the last 3 months and lower than Wall Street’s $0.30. Revenues are also expected to come in lower at $837.9M as compared to the sell side’s consensus of $844.2M, a number that has been revised downward by 14% since last quarter. Year-over-year (YoY) EPS and revenue growth are expected to come in at -46% and -14%, respectively. This name tends to beat the Estimize EPS consensus 69% of the time, but only beats on revenues 42% of the time. Estimize is more accurate on EPS 69% of the time, an 58% of the time on revenues.

Mattel (MAT)

Consumer Discretionary - Leisure Equipment & Products | Reports July 25, after the close.

The Estimize community is looking for earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.35 when Mattel reports tomorrow morning, revised down by 163% in the last 3 months and lower than Wall Street’s -$0.32. Revenues are also expected to come in lower at $859.7M as compared to the sell side’s consensus of $863M. Year-over-year (YoY) EPS and revenue growth are expected to come in at -149% and -12%, respectively. This name tends to beat the Estimize EPS and revenue consensus only 42% of the time.

Spirit Airlines (SAVE)

Industrials - Airlines | Reports July 26, before the open.

The Estimize community is looking for earnings per share (EPS) of $0.99 when Spirit Airlines reports on Thursday, revised downward by 5% in the last 3 months and 9% lower than Wall Street’s $1.09. Revenues are also expected to come in lower at $845.5M as compared to the sell side’s consensus of $851.8M, a number that has been revised downward by 1% since last quarter. Year-over-year (YoY) EPS and revenue growth are expected to come in at -13% and 21%, respectively. SAVE tends to beat the Estimize EPS consensus 70% of the time but revenues only 35% of the time. Estimize is more accurate on both 60% of the time.

While most of the the major airlines beat Wall Street expectations already this quarter, Delta, United and American all mentioned the pinch of higher oil costs. While those larger carriers have options to hedge against higher oil prices such as passing those costs along to the consumer, Spirit really has no way to hedge as an ultra low cost carrier that counts fuel as it’s biggest expense.

[chocosvt]

❝ 92 statements tag ❞

i was tagged by jeonghan’s amazing gf @jeonghney for the 92 statement’s tag. thnk u my gold rose petal.

rules: answer these 92 statements and tag 10 people ! if there are questions that are too personal or you don’t want to answer, skip them or make a new one :^)

THE LAST (1-5):

drink: h2o

phone call: oh gosh, i can hardly remember. pizza pizza? who doesn’t deliver so thnks for soiling my day.

text: to a group chat.

song you listened to: exo - touch it bc i appreciate art.

time you cried: lmao like yesterday bc i was watching an emotional ep of hotel hell.

HAVE YOU (6-11):

dated someone twice: nope.

kissed someone and regretted it: i dont think so?

been cheated on: in uno yes.

lost someone special: yep.

been depressed: depression is received at many levels. extremely sad yes, but not depressed.

gotten drunk and thrown up: im the one holding ur hair back.

LIST 3 FAVORITE COLORS (12-14):

pink!!

light purple!!

silver!!

IN THE LAST YEAR HAVE YOU (15-21):

made new friends: lots irl n online!!

fallen out of love: yes.

laughed until you cried: yes everyday bc i gave myself a laugh n a half.

found out someone was talking about you: nope.

met someone who changed you: i havent met them!!

found out who your friends are: ive been with the same squad for 4 yrs n we’re just chillin.

kissed someone on your facebook list: i have never used fb a day in my life.

GENERAL (22-34):

how many of your facebook friends do you know in real life: ^

do you have any pets: im living with 2 kitties right now!! but ive owned many different animals in the past.

do you want to change your name: she can stay as she is.

what did you do for your last birthday: my friends nd i booked a hotel room!!

what time did you wake up: 11:30am lol.

what were you doing at midnight last night: eating cereal!! every time i stay up past midnight i will eat cereal 2 celebrate all the hours of sleep im wasting.

name something you can’t wait for: to hang out with my bff’s we have not seen each other all summer.

when was the last time you saw your mom: yesterday bc she broke into my room for m&m’s.

what’s one thing you wish you could change in your life: hmm, idk. i’d like 2 be taller bc i cannot reach the popcorn shelf!!! :(

what are you listening to right now: a lot of dua lipa!!

have you ever talked to a person named tom: yup.

most visited website: tumblr / instagram / youtube / twitter

LOST QUESTIONS (35-64):

moles: a few on my arms n a trail tht’s up my shoulder. tht’s abt it

marks: i have a mark on the side of my head but my hair covers it. n one on my knee from when i fuckinj fell down a bridge.

hair color: blonde.

long hair or short: medium length is more fitting.

do you have a crush on someone: i would rather crush on a thumbtack than half the b*ys in my division. there are some nice girls tho!!

what do you like about yourself: some days there are many things!! other days there’s like 2 things. so im not sure!! im just trying my best i guess!!

piercings: two lobe piercings on both ears n im set for an industrial.

blood type: i would know the scientific notation of the distance between earth and sirius b before i knew this.

nickname: i h8 when ppl make nicknames outta my real name so i dont have any.

relationship status: sasuke and i are going on a trip to berlin next fall.

zodiac: aquarius.

pronouns: she/her

favorite tv show: the office / teen wolf / house / american horror story / atlab

tattoos: nope.

right or left hand: right.

surgery: no surgeries.

hair dyed in a different color: ive been a blonde bitch my whole life.

sport: basketball / sleep.

vacation: i just got back from a vacay n it was gr8 i got 10/10 sky pics!!<3

pair of trainers: im rlly obsessed with shoes but ive been wearing the same vans for 5 yrs. (my feet never grow!!)

MORE GENERAL (57-73):

eating: i like eating watermelon, twix bars n marinated ribs!! just fuck me up.

drinking: iced tea n orange juice are my faves.

i’m about to: it’s just past lunch which means it’s time to eat breakfast.

waiting for: some mf’ motivation 2 punch me in the face so i can write some more today!!

want: i rlly want a specialized rice krispie spoon ive been trying for a year!!!! :((

get married: i just dont think ill ever like someone enough 2 wanna live in the same house as them for tht long.

career: an english or bilingual teacher. i wouldnt mind teaching chemistry either.

WHICH IS BETTER (65-73):

hugs or kisses: i rlly dislike physical contact so i would pick neither, but hugs!!

lips or eyes: eyes!!

shorter or taller: it does not matter.

older or younger: older, but i wouldnt mind if they were a few months younger.

nice arms or nice stomach: i have this weird attraction to forearms so. also next time u look at  a junhui pic look at his wrists he has such nice wrists!!! what cream is he using??!?

sensitive or loud: this is so complicated. i rlly dont like loud ppl just bc im easily overwhelmed n agitated with their… over-boisterousness?? nd i will always protec the sensitive ppl n respect their tolerance levels. we just dont mesh well bc ill always worry abt hurting their feelings. u just gotta get someone who knows ur vibe. idk what im saying. i guess loud.

hook up or relationship: relationship.

troublemaker or hesitant: troublemaker lol.

HAVE YOU EVER (74-83):

kissed a stranger: nope.

drank hard liquor: just picture tht vine of the kid goin “yo, all this vodka down the hatch” then being completely revolted. tht’s me

lost glasses/contact lenses: every day of my life.

turned someone down: yes.

sex in the first date: nope.

broken someone’s heart: yes.

had your heart broken: i rlly try not 2 wallow in those emotions n instead distract myself so not entirely.

been arrested: no but someone called the cops on me n my friend. (it was just a misunderstanding. i swear i wasnt doin a line of cocaine in an alley way or anything like tht tjgnjt4e)

fallen for a friend: yes!!

DO YOU BELIEVE IN (84-89):

yourself: *insert meme of me watching my own back*

miracles: it would be a miracle if junhui grew out his hair. but also chunks ahoy chocolate chip cookies.

love at first sight: not rlly. it’s usually falling for the idea of being with that person, instead of who they actually are as a person.

santa claus: im still waiting for my easy bake oven u jolly piece of shit.

kiss on the first date: maybe a cheek kiss? idk. a little spice is always nice.

angels: yes. who else is up there bowling?

OTHER (90-92):

favorite thing to do when you’re bored: zone off and completely disassociate.

do you wear socks to sleep: ive done it like 3 times. it’s not tht bad.

favorite movies: FLIPPED. captain phillips / my neighbour totoro / napoleon dynamite.

tagging : oh gosh idk (ofc this is optional!!) @jeonghangif / @sukaato / @meanei / @lolitasletters / @jaehyunsleatherpants / @boysbe / @seokshuas / @trbld-writer

[marketsmithindia]

Is Valiant Organics A Good Buy?

Valiant Organics stock has broken out of a 26-week, 42% deep Cup With Handle Base 2-weeks ago. However, the stock is still worth watching as the current price is only 3% away from the ideal buy price of INR 1661. The stock closed in red for the week, but on a lower volume. It was down -3.87% on a -15% lower volume than the 10-week average. You want to see a strong close on heavy volume before initiating a position. That signals institutional buying. But do not conclude anything just based on this week’s action. A prudent approach would be to watch the price volume momentum in the coming trading sessions. The key trend lines, 10 and 40-week moving averages are at a comfortable position. The current trends of both the averages are upward and the 10-week moving average is trending above the 40-week moving average. The current price of the stock is trading around 8.27% away from the 10-week moving average. In the last twelve months, Valiant Organics has rallied nearly 158.7% as compared to 59.4% for the Nifty500. It has a Relative Strength Rating of 62. We definitely would like to see improvement in the rating. At this point we are taking a step back and focusing on the RS Line. The Relative Strength Line of the stock is offering a lot of encouragement to investors. It has been making good progress in the last four weeks. The overall long term trend of the line is also trending upward. If Valiant Organics can maintain this outperformance, it could make sense as a CANSLIM trade. Valiant Organics stock has strong institutional support. The Accumulation/Distribution Rating of 'A+' represents heavy institutional buying over the past few weeks. Although the shares held by institutions dropped in the last quarter, the number of institutions holding the stock increased at the same time. This shows increasing interest among the institutions. On the earnings front, Valiant Organics has a respectable EPS Rank of 74, which is okay but needs improvement. The earnings and sales for the stock have grown by 57% and 104%, respectively over the past three years. Its 3-years earnings stability is 50, on a 0 to 99 scale (lower the better). Over the past five years, the earnings and sales for the stock have grown by 59% and 98%, respectively. The 5-years earnings stability is 47. The return on equity for the last reported year is 44%. The current price of Valiant Organics is -15% off from its 52-week high price and 161% above its 52-week low price. The stock belongs to the industry group of Chemicals-Specialty, which is exhibiting excellent strength in the current market environment. The current industry group rank is 28.

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