#mp exit poll

[oohlook-thevoid]

The way the 3 seats announced so far (last I checked) are Labour wins with Reform in second,,,,,,

[techmagone]

Narsinghpur Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election Results 2023 Live: Can BJP Score a Hat Trick of Victory in Narsinghpur? Early trends will follow soon. https://techmagone.com/narsinghgarh-madhya-pradesh-assembly-election-results-2023-live/

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[ayeforscotland]

thoughts on the exit poll? obviously it’s a projection, and the margin of error, especially in scotland, is high, but i’m curious what your take on it is rn

I've held for a good wee while that the SNP will take a hit this election. It's gonna be a tough night, lots of undeserving Labour MPs will get in.

It'll take a few months for people to realise most of them are shite.

[eaglesnick]

The Emperors New Clothes

Time and time again, as I watched the election results unfold on my TV screen last night, political commentators and Labour MP’s alike praised Sir Keir Starmer for having thrown Jeremy Corbyn out of the Party and for having purged its ranks of left-wing candidates. The massive Labour victory that the exit polls predicted and was played out over the ensuing hours was all down to Sir Keir’s eradication of left-wing policies and candidates.

In the 2019 election Corbyn’s Labour Party secured only 32.2% of the vote, the worst in Labour’s history. That year saw a turn out of 67% with Labour winning 202 seats. Yesterday saw Labour with 33.9% of the vote yet winning 410 seats, in a turnout predicted to be around 60%.

Despite being labelled a “landslide victory", which measured in MP numbers it is, Starmer has failed to significantly raise the Labour Party’s overall share of the vote from its all time low of the 2019 election. In short, the voters have deserted the Conservative Party but have not given their vote to Starmer. Rather they have voted for lesser parties such as the Liberal Democrats, the Greens and worryingly, Reform UK.

Starmer, more concerned about power than policies, has failed to ignite the support of the electorate. His 1.7% increase in the popular vote is derisible, especially given his scathing criticism of Jeremy Corbyn’s left-wing policies in the 2019 election. The sad fact is, the voters were totally unimpressed by Sir Keir Starmer’s “new" Labour Party. The 2024 election turnout is on track to being the lowest since the Second World War.

The electorate may have rejected the Conservatives, but they have not flocked to the Labour Party. Keir Starmer’s “massive victory" is hollow. Like the Emperor in the Hans  Christian Andersen fairy tale, Keir Starmer’s obsession with image has been at the expense of policies that matter to ordinary working people and it is only a matter of time before his nakedness is found out.

[valyrfia]

they do exit polls here too! but you can’t always trust them because 1.) social desirability which depends on where or who you ask and 2.) electoral collage. sad face.

founding farmers didn’t trust the uneducated to chose the president so now we have this shitty electoral college rather than pure popular vote so yeah… (anyone who doesn’t know, basically the popular vote PER STATE gets a certain about of electoral college votes to the candidate of the party with the popular vote, and the amount of votes each state gets is determined by population of that state. it gets added up at the end and whoever has 270+ wins. it’s dumb as fuck.)

see we (donning my british hat) have first past the post which works similarly to the electoral college but since we elect MPs and then the party leader with the most number of MPs becomes prime minister and while it is idiotic and i would much prefer proportional representation you at least can see....why it would end up like that. the electoral college is just bizarre, especially since your leader doesn't correlate to your actual congress........condolences my american friends

[justinspoliticalcorner]

Jon Henley, Jennifer Rankin, and Lisa O'Carroll at The Guardian:

France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, has been accused of gambling with French democracy after announcing that he will dissolve parliament and call snap legislative elections in the wake of his allies’ crushing defeat to Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) in Sunday’s European parliament elections. On a night that saw far-right parties make significant but far from conclusive gains in Europe, the RN won about 32% of French votes, more than double the 15% or so scored by Macron’s allies, according to projections, with the Socialists just behind on about 14%. The first round of elections for the national assembly will take place on 30 June and the second on 7 July, Macron announced in an address to the nation, in a huge gamble on his political future three years before the end of his second term as president. The outcome of the European parliament elections was “not a good result for parties who defend Europe”, the French president said, noting that, led by RN, far-right parties in France had taken almost 40% of the national vote.

“I cannot act as if nothing had happened,” he said. “I have decided to give you the choice ... Therefore I will dissolve the National Assembly tonight.” He said the decision was “serious and heavy”, but called it “an act of confidence”. Less than two months before the start of the 2024 Paris summer Olympic Games, Macron said he had confidence in “the capacity of the French people to make the best choice for themselves and for future generations”. He added: “This is an essential time for clarification. I have heard your message, your concerns, and I will not leave them unanswered … France needs a clear majority to act in serenity and harmony.” Others were less convinced. Raphaël Glucksmann, who headed the Socialist party’s list, said Macron had “given in” to Bardella. “This is a very dangerous game to play with democracy and the institutions. I am flabbergasted.”

Another critic, Valérie Pécresse, a senior figure in the conservative Les Républicains party, said: “Dissolving without giving anyone time to organise and without any campaign is playing Russian roulette with the country’s destiny.” “Emmanuel Macron is a poker player, we’ve seen that tonight,” said a Green party MP, Sandrine Rousseau. But Marine Le Pen, the RN figurehead who is seen as the front runner in 2027 presidential elections in which Macron cannot stand, said she welcomed the decision. “We are ready to put the country back on its feet. We are ready to defend the interests of the French people,” she said. Her party’s lead candidate for the European election, Jordan Bardella, 28, said voters had delivered a “a stinging rejection” of the president. Macron’s Renaissance party currently has 169 deputies in the national assembly, and the RN 88. If the far-right party wins an outright majority in the upcoming election, the president would effectively lose control over most French domestic policy.

[...]

Although exit polls indicated that the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) had made significant gains in Germany and was in second place on 16.5% of the vote, the opposition centre-right was on course for 29.5%. The AfD’s success came despite a slew of scandals, including its lead candidate saying that the SS, the Nazi’s main paramilitary force, were “not all criminals”. In Austria, meanwhile, the far-right Freedom party was forecast to come top, with a projected 27%, ahead of the conservative People’s party and the Social Democrats, on 23.5% and 23% respectively. In the Netherlands, Geert Wilders’ far-right party was running a close second behind a Left-Green alliance. The Freedom party looked set to win 17.7% of the vote, while the Left-Green alliance, led by the former EU Commission vice-president, Frans Timmermans, was on 21.6%.

But it was far from a clean sweep for the far right, which fell short of expectations in Belgium. And crucially, parties on the extreme right remain divided, making them less influential in Brussels. According to an initial projection from the European parliament, MEPs from the four pro-European mainstream groups were forecast to retain a majority of seats in the assembly, but a smaller one than in 2019, which will make it increasingly difficult for them to pass laws. The European People’s party, Socialists and Democrats, the centrist Renew group and the Greens were on course for 456 of the 720 seats, a 63% share, compared with their 69.2% share in the slightly smaller outgoing parliament. These groups often find themselves on opposing sides – the Greens, for example, did not support Ursula von der Leyen as European Commission president in 2019.

The 2024 EU elections were a disasterclass for non-right-wing parties, especially in France, as that’s nation’s PM Emmanuel Macron announced the dissolution of parliament and called for new elections in the wake of the far-right surge.

[gikairan]

Early morning skim of the results says:

Despite oversized coverage in the media, Reform won't get their projected 13 seats. Instead they currently have... 4. (Seriously they got way more headlines than the lib dems did.... The now 3rd biggest party)

This is the SAME number of seats as the Greens. Who doubled their exit poll projected number of seats. Despite little to no press coverage or screen time. Soo.... Same amount of screen time and press columns as Reform next GE, right? :)

Not enough top Tories appear to have lost their seats. But we HAVE lost our Victorian cosplayer and the wilted lettuce so.... It's the little things I guess??

My towns finally ditched a Tory MP! .... unfortunately he still got 10k votes and I'm hanging my head in shame u_u. Despite everything, THAT many people still voted for Tories here.

[sandymybeloved]

you can watch the count for your local area via the bbc. i don't know if i'm late to the party on that, but if you go here and find your constituency you can see live feeds of all the counting places (although not get any real information) in your region and local radio, mines for the county, and hear stuff if not about where you actually live then maybe nearby

sky news has a page where you can see predictions of the exit poll by seat to see who your mp might be, again I don't know if people are already well aware of this but hey

[merinsedai]

Interesting watching the coverage of the exit polls and the election.

Poor Steve Baker (but Clive, Laura et al seemed to be enjoying his discomfiture rather a lot >:D) and his <1% of retraining his seat. Meanwhile, Peter Mandelson having the time of his life.

Our constituency predicted (like most of the country lol) to be going red. GOOD because our current MP is shite. But Lichfield to remain blue?? WHAT HOLD DOES WIGGY HAVE OVER ITS RESIDENTS?! (I actually interviewed him once re: firefighter strikes back when I was in sixth form and he was perfectly pleasant tbf)

Well, let's see what Labour and Keir can do with the country. Better than a continuance of the Conservatives? Of course, but the bar is really fucking low...

We shall see.

[mariacallous]

Sometimes the most obvious questions are the best. In the case of the Conservatives, the most obvious question is so glaring that one wonders why Tory politicians don’t ask it ten-times a day before breakfast: why don’t they move to the centre?

The opinion polls are predicting a Tory rout on the scale of 1906, 1945 or 1997.

Surely in the interests of preserving the Conservatives as a fighting force the party must compromise to limit its losses to Labour. Here are a couple of compromises that occur to me. They make perfect political sense until you realise that conservatism has been so radicalised that compromise now feels like treason.

First, health. When we remember the suffering of the early 2020s, we will remember covid, of course.

But we will also remember the millions on NHS waiting lists, the elderly left for hours until ambulances arrive, the cancelled operations, the sick who would work if they could be treated but cannot find a doctor, the explosion in mental illness, the needlessly prolonged pain, the needlessly early deaths.

The Conservatives ought to be doing everything they can to improve the health service before polling day – out of a reptile-brain survival instinct if nothing else.

They will not do it because in British conservatism’s ever-diminishing circles health is not a concern.

The dominant Conservative factions want a right-wing policy offer of tax cuts and immigration controls. Not one of the party’s leaders has discussed how the increase in life expectancy means the demands on the NHS of an ever-larger pensioner population make tax cuts unaffordable. Nor have I heard honest discussion of how the need for foreign health and care workers to fill the gaps in provision makes immigration essential.

Rather than face up to the impossibility of Thatcherite economics in the 21st century they prefer to change the conversation and look the other way.

Let me offer a second example, which I think Brits will soon be obsessing about.

After years of delays Brexit Britain is finally imposing border checks on food imports from the European Union.  Wholesalers and retailers predict that bureaucratic costs and the need for veterinary and phytosanitary checks will lead to continental producers deciding to sell their goods elsewhere. Price rises and food shortages will follow.

What kind of government in an election year, of all years, wants empty shelves?

A Conservative kind of government appears to be the answer. The sensible move would be for the Conservatives to follow Labour’s policy of striking a deal to stick to EU standards and ease bureaucracy at the border.  That would mean the UK following European food regulations, as EU ambassadors have made clear.

But compared to dear food and empty shops, who the hell cares about that?

Tories care. Brexit is their King Charles head, their reason for being, their obsession.

David Frost, who negotiated the UK’s disastrous exit agreement with the EU, wrote an unintentionally revealing paragraph last week which encapsulated the ideological capture of British Conservatism.

“The Conservative Party owns Brexit. Whether ministers like it or not, or maybe even wish it hadn’t happened, it’s the central policy of the Party and the government. They must be prepared to defend and explain it – to show why it’s so important that Britain is a proper democracy once again. For if voters come to believe Brexit is failing, then the Conservative Party will inevitably fail too.”

There you have it. Brexit is the Conservative party and vice versa.

What a distance we have come! In 2016, a mere eight years ago, the Conservative party’s leader and most of its MPs supported the UK’s membership of the European Union. Eurosceptics posed as mild-mannered people. They promised that leaving the EU would not mean leaving the single market .

But then leave won the 2016 Brexit referendum and set us off on a spiral of radicalisation, which was instantly familiar to those of us who grew up on the left. 

Here is how it worked on the left in the 20th century.  You would be in a meeting where everyone agreed to a leftist policy: say that the government should encourage banks to give micro loans to poor people to keep them out of the hands of loan sharks.

Everything seems fine until an accusatory voice accuses all present of being sellouts because they do not believe in nationalising the banks,

Or today, after the great awokening, an academic department will propose reasonable measures to check that they are not unconsciously discriminating in their application process, only to be told that, if they were truly concerned with justice, they would decolonise the curriculum and purge it of “white” concepts such as truth and objectivity.

The near identical radicalisation of the right has been more serious because the right has real power.

Here is how its spiral into Tory Jacobinism went.

After winning the Brexit referendum in 2016, retaining the UK’s membership of the single market and the customs union suddenly became wholly unacceptable. They had to go.

As the ideological temperature rose, Theresa May’s attempts at compromise became sellouts, judges became enemies of the people, and the only acceptable way to leave became Frost and Johnson’s impoverishing hard Brexit.

We now have a new Tory ideology: “Brexitism.” It is a style of swaggering bravado and a bawling loud-mouthed way of doing business that goes far beyond the UK’s relations with the EU.

The catastrophic premiership of Liz Truss was “Brexitist”. She crashed the economy because she believed she was right to ignore the warnings of the Treasury, Bank of England and Office for Budget Responsibility.

What true Brexit supporter trusts experts, after all?

Brexit showed that you did not need them.  All you needed was the will to impose a radical agenda and then the world would accommodate itself to your desires.

In retrospect, 2016 plays the same role for the radical right of 21th century Britain that 1917 played for the British radical left in the 20th. The fluke communist takeover of Russia in 1917 convinced hundreds of thousands over the decades that revolution could succeed in the UK, even though communism never stood a chance in this country.

The fluke leave win of 2016 has had an equally mystifying effect. Because radical right politics succeeded in one set of circumstances, its supporters assumed they would succeed in all circumstances.

Nowhere in right-wing discourse do you hear suggestions that the Conservative defeat might be softened if the government appealed to the majority of voters. Instead, the right says that the only way to save the right is for the right to move rightwards and become more rightly right wing.

Once again, the parallels with the communist movement to people of my age scream so loudly they are deafening.

To quote the weirdest example. A few weeks ago, an anonymous group of wealthy men calling themselves the Conservative Britain Alliance spent about £40,000 on opinion polling, and gave the results to the Daily Telegraph. They showed the Conservatives were heading for a landslide defeat, as so many polls do.

But the spin put on it by the Conservative Britain Alliance’s frontman Lord Frost (again!) was that the Tories must move to the right to attract Faragist voters, not to try to stem the growth of Labour support.  

A further release from the anonymous group of wealthy men added to the impression of a right wing living in the land of make believe.

They produced findings that showed the Conservatives could win if Sunak were replaced by a hypothetical Tory leader. This imaginary figure was a political superhero who would be strong “on crime and migration” (naturally) but also had the superpower to “cut taxes and get NHS waiting lists down” at the same time.

Lower taxes and better public services all at once in a wonderful never never land.

My guess is that it will take three maybe four election defeats to batter the delusions of 2016 out of the Conservative party.

Perhaps no number of defeats will suffice, and Brexitism will be Toryism’s final delirium.

[maaarine]

Poland election: exit polls point to Law and Justice defeat as Tusk hails ‘rebirth’ (Shaun Walker, The Guardian, Oct 16 2023)

"Poland’s ruling populists appear to be heading for electoral defeat, in what would be one of the most consequential European political turnarounds of recent years, if exit polls showing a victory for an opposition coalition led by Donald Tusk prove correct.

The exit polls suggested that the ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party received the most votes, but that Tusk’s Civic Coalition together with two other opposition parties should have a route to a parliamentary majority. (…)

The official results have been slow to come in amid a record turnout of more than 70%, the highest since the fall of communism in the country.

There were long queues at polling stations across the country and some voters in the city of Wrocław stood in line until nearly 3am waiting to vote, six hours after the official close of polls.

If the exit polls are confirmed, the result is likely to transform Poland’s domestic political scene and restart relations with Brussels, which had frayed over PiS’s attacks on the independent judiciary and other rule of law issues.

It comes after months of vicious campaigning, in which Tusk highlighted the damage done to Poland over the past eight years while PiS claimed he was a foreign stooge who would destroy the country.

PiS apparently failed to convince enough voters to support them despite control over public media and the introduction of a referendum on the same day as the election with a series of leading questions on migration and other issues, aimed at motivating its base to vote. (…)

Many progressive Poles celebrated the exit poll results late into the night on Sunday, with the probable end of PiS rule seen as positive step for the rights of women and LGBTQ+ people.

Barbara Nowacka, a Civic Coalition MP who has been fiercely critical of the PiS crackdown on abortion rights, said it was clear the opposition had won and that it was an important day for Polish women.

“Young women won’t be afraid to get pregnant, young women won’t be afraid to go to the doctor,” she said."

[tenthgrove]

23:30 - Nothing is happening just some thoughts from me

I think the tory seat count is going to be lower than the exit poll figure of 131. Not massively lower and I think we must unfortunately put our hopes to bed of a Lib Dem opposition, but I do think we could get the number down to 110, 100 by the end of the night. My reasons for this are that:

a) the same happened in 1997 and this is a very 1997 style election b) exit polls do not sample every constituency and are hence not sensitive to local issues (e.g. having a particularly hated tory for an MP) c) Per my previous post, it looks like reform is going to do very well based on the first results, which is bad from a faith in humanity point of view but good from a pure fuck up the tories point of view.

PS: Note to self, if non-binary recognition does not become legal in the UK, settle for becoming a returning officer for elections. Look at those outfits god damn.

[bizinsights]

Kejriwal is now trailing again by a little over 400 votes in the New Delhi seat, while Atishi is also behind.

Arvind Kejriwal, former Delhi Chief Minister, is trailing again from the New Delhi Assembly seat, while Manish Sisodia is leading from Jangpura. Incumbent Chief Minister Atishi is also behind in Kalkaji.

After the ninth round of counting, Kejriwal remains behind in New Delhi by over 1,000 votes, while Atishi trails in Kalkaji by more than 3,000 votes against Ramesh Bidhuri. Meanwhile, Manish Sisodia is ahead in Jangpura by over 2,000 votes.

Most exit polls released on Wednesday and Thursday predicted a BJP victory over AAP. As of 11 AM, BJP has crossed the halfway mark.

In Vishwas Nagar, BJP candidate Om Prakash Sharma is leading with a margin of 1,741 votes. In Shahdara, BJP’s Sanjay Goyal has a narrow lead of 506 votes.

Simultaneously, vote counting for by-elections in Uttar Pradesh’s Milkipur seat and Tamil Nadu’s Erode seat is also in progress. All necessary security arrangements have been made. The election for Delhi’s 70-member assembly took place on February 5, recording a voter turnout of 60.54%.

AAP is aiming for a third consecutive term, while the BJP is striving to return to power in the National Capital after more than two decades.

Congress candidate from the New Delhi constituency, Sandeep Dikshit, stated on Saturday that he has no knowledge of any post-poll alliance between his party and AAP, as it is a decision for the high command. Speaking to ANI, he said, “I have no idea about the alliance. It is the decision of the high command. Let the vote counting happen.”

Most exit polls released on Wednesday favored BJP over AAP. However, AAP leaders dismissed these predictions, arguing that exit polls have historically underestimated their performance and expressed confidence in securing another term.

BJP’s campaign, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, targeted AAP over issues like alleged pollution in the Yamuna River and the renovation of Arvind Kejriwal’s official residence. The PM also used terms like “Aapda” and “Sheesh Mahal” to criticize Kejriwal.

Meanwhile, AAP has highlighted its work in the education sector during its eleven-year tenure, with Kejriwal claiming that BJP would “end free education” if it came to power.

Congress MP and Leader of the Opposition in the Lok Sabha, Rahul Gandhi, also campaigned against Kejriwal and senior AAP leader Manish Sisodia, accusing them of involvement in the alleged Delhi excise policy “scam” case.

Get Current Updates on India News, Entertainment News along with Latest News and Top Headlines from India and around the world.

[swldx]

BBC 0509 30 Nov 2024

9410Khz 0457 30 NOV 2024 - BBC (UNITED KINGDOM) in ENGLISH from ASCENSION ISLAND. SINPO = 45333. English, s/on @0458z with Bowbells int. fb ID, pips and Newsroom preview. @0501z World News anchored by Chris Berrow. § Rebel forces in Syria have taken control of "half" of the country's second-largest city, Aleppo, according to the UK-based monitoring group Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR). SOHR said 277 people - including more than 20 civilians - have been killed since the offensive started on Wednesday. The offensive is the largest against the Syrian government in years and the first time rebels fighting the forces of President Bashar al-Assad have reached Aleppo since being forced out by the army in 2016. Aleppo's airport and all roads leading into the city have been closed, military sources told Reuters news agency. § Thousands of protesters have returned to the streets of Tbilisi, Georgia to protest against the government's decision to suspend accession talks with the European Union. On Friday demonstrators were seen shouting "traitors" and holding photographs of journalists who they say were beaten by police in the previous night's protests. For the second night running, police deployed tear gas and made heavy use of water cannon against the demonstrators. The European Parliament also urged sanctions against Georgia's prime minister and other high-level officials including the billionaire founder of the governing "Georgian Dream" party Bidzina Ivanishvili. § President Volodymyr Zelensky has suggested that the parts of Ukraine under his control should be taken "under the Nato umbrella" to try and stop the "hot phase" of the war. Zelensky said he would accept membership, but only if Nato membership was offered to the whole of Ukraine, within its internationally recognised borders, first. Ukraine could then attempt to negotiate the return of territory currently under Russian control "in a diplomatic way", he said. But the suggestion is highly theoretical. As Zelensky pointed out, no-one has yet made such an offer. § Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is in Florida to meet Donald Trump as Canada seeks to head off the president-elect's threat to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian goods. The Florida visit is the latest move by Canada as it seeks to avoid the hefty tariffs, which could have wide-reaching economic impacts. It remains unclear whether the incoming Trump administration will actually move ahead with the threatened tariffs, as analysts note that the president-elect has been known to use such threats in the past as a negotiating tactic to achieve his goals. § An explosion on Friday evening damaged a canal in northern Kosovo supplying water to two coal-fired power plants that generate nearly all of the country's electricity, Prime Minister Albin Kurti said, blaming what he called "a terrorist act" by neighbouring Serbia. § After five hours of debate in the House of Commons on Friday, the vote concluded with 330 MPs supporting the bill and 275 opposing it. Under the proposed bill, individuals aged 18 or older in England and Wales, diagnosed with a terminal illness expected to result in death within six months, would be eligible to request assistance to end their own life. They must demonstrate the mental capacity to make an informed, voluntary decision. § An exit poll in the Republic of Ireland suggests that Sinn Féin has 21.1% of first preference votes with Fine Gael having 21%, making the result of the general election too close to call. § A coalition of Canada's biggest news outlets is suing OpenAI, the maker of artificial intelligence chatbot ChatGPT, alleging the company is illegally using news articles to train its software. @0506z “The Newsroom” begins. 100' (30m) of Kev-Flex wire feeding "Magic Wand" antenna hanging in backyard tree w/MFJ-1020C active antenna (used as a preamplifier/preselector), JRC NRD-535D, 125kW, beamAz 27°, bearing 103°. Received at Plymouth, MN, United States, 9763KM from transmitter at Ascension Island. Local time: 2257.

[news365times]

[ad_1] GG News Bureau Mumbai, 22nd Nov. As Maharashtra awaits the results of its high-stakes assembly elections on November 23, tensions over who will assume the role of Chief Minister have already escalated. Both the ruling Mahayuti alliance and the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) are making competing claims on the mandate, setting the stage for a post-poll power struggle. The first hint of discord emerged immediately after the voting concluded. Congress leader and state president Nana Patole boldly declared that the MVA would form the next government, claiming the Congress would secure the most seats. His remarks, however, quickly drew backlash from Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Sanjay Raut, who emphasized that the decision on the Chief Minister’s post would be made collectively by all the MVA constituents. The rift within the MVA was further exposed by Raut’s challenge to Congress, urging the high command to formally announce the CM face if Patole’s assertion had any merit. Meanwhile, the Mahayuti alliance, led by Chief Minister Eknath Shinde, remains equally assertive. Shinde’s supporters, including Shiv Sena spokesperson Sanjay Shirsat, argue that the voters have already expressed their preference for Shinde as the next CM. BJP leaders like Pravin Darekar have also backed Shinde and have extended their support to Deputy CM Devendra Fadnavis for the top job. As a result, the Mahayuti camp remains confident that their alliance will maintain its hold on power. While the Congress-Congress led MVA and Mahayuti factions both express optimism, the battle over the Chief Minister’s post is far from settled. The divide between the Congress and Shiv Sena (UBT) reveals the underlying tensions within the MVA, especially considering past instances of internal friction. BJP’s Pravin Darekar seized on these divisions, questioning how an alliance plagued with internal rifts could come together to decide on a CM candidate. On the Mahayuti side, the BJP continues to downplay the MVA’s chances, arguing that the electorate has delivered a clear mandate for their alliance. Darekar dismissed Patole’s aspirations as nothing more than “daydreaming,” signaling the BJP’s confidence in retaining power. While exit polls largely favor Mahayuti’s continued dominance, Darekar further critiqued the MVA for its internal strife, referencing incidents such as the Congress MP Praniti Shinde’s support for an independent candidate in Solapur, which he sees as indicative of a lack of unity within the opposition. Despite these claims, the results remain uncertain. The sharp rise in voter turnout to 66.05%, compared to 61.1% in 2019, has sparked further optimism among Mahayuti supporters. Darekar attributed the surge in voter participation to the grassroots efforts of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), which campaigned vigorously to encourage greater voter engagement. Women voters, in particular, were said to have responded positively to the Mahayuti government’s ‘Ladki Bahin Yojana,’ adding to the coalition’s hopes of securing a fresh mandate. As Maharashtra awaits its political fate, the issue of who will lead the next government has now become a battle of narratives. While both the MVA and Mahayuti have their reasons for confidence, it is clear that the state is at a crossroads, with political alliances being tested in new ways. Whether this election will mark the beginning of a new era of leadership in Maharashtra or reinforce the status quo will depend not just on the voters’ decision but also on how the alliance partners come together—or fall apart—in the post-poll negotiations. The post Post-Poll Tensions: Who Will Lead Maharashtra Next? appeared first on Global Governance News- Asia's First Bilingual News portal for Global News and Updates. [ad_2] Source link