afloweroutofstone
afloweroutofstone
Love Blindly and Hate with a Focus
142K posts
Brett, 29, NC→DC, he/him. Politics, public policy, economics, international relations, philosophy, sociology, and geography. Also: bad music, (found footage) horror movies, urbex, etc.
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afloweroutofstone · 2 hours ago
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Suffocate - Knocked Loose & Poppy
Are you conscious behind the knife?
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afloweroutofstone · 2 hours ago
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PLEASE DON'T HAUNT ME - Haunted House (KAMAARA & Savage Ga$p), Witchouse 40k, TWENTYTHREE, 99ZED, Grim Salvo, & Saliva Grey
There's spirits in this house And they're ready to FUCK
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afloweroutofstone · 2 hours ago
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Why did she go so insanely hard for this song in particular
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afloweroutofstone · 3 hours ago
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THE ABYSS (Sakr Re/mi.'x) - AM Sin & Sakr
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afloweroutofstone · 10 hours ago
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Animals as Leaders - Monomyth
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afloweroutofstone · 11 hours ago
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Why do you say backing Iran into a corner militarily will worse the situation of its proxies in the ME region (particularly Syria and Lebanon), wouldnt their focus pivoting to the Israel-Iran war diminish their ability to fund and arm those proxies? Or do you mean that long term, whatever happens after this war they'll just set up new proxy networks indefinitely
Context: Iran views its network of proxy organizations as one of its greatest military assets. The reason that Israel is striking Iran right now is that this network has been weakened by several different recent events (Hezbollah took significant damage from Israel, Shiite militias in Syria got boxed out of power by the Turkish-backed HTS government, etc.; really only the Houthis are doing well right now).
In the short-term, you are right, the war with Israel will direct resources away from Iran's proxy network. But if the Iranian government concludes (correctly) that Israel took advantage of this moment of weakness to attack them, then they will likely respond by doubling down on the strategy in order to prevent that from ever happening again. The US responded to the attack on Pearl Harbor by creating more overseas Naval bases in the Pacific, not by reducing them.
The Saudi and Iranian governments have actually made some real progress in cooling things down bilaterally and setting up a diplomatic relationship in recent years, which could be the beginning of a real solution to both governments' use of destructive proxy warfare to secure regional hegemony in the Middle East. The Israeli government's violent behavior and the US government's eagerness to restart the Abraham Accords are both obstacles towards this peaceful solution.
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afloweroutofstone · 12 hours ago
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what i’ve failed to understand since i was a kid is why these ghouls want war with iran so badly. is it resources? do they have money in defense contracting? is it just that iran is too strong an opponent to us hegemony? why specifically do they want to see iran destroyed?
There is not one singular motivation behind the drive to send the US to war with Iran. There are multiple motivations which often overlap, but which are held in different orders of prioritization by different advocates of war. Most of these motivations are irrational and/or immoral, while others are legitimate complaints that could be addressed through diplomacy far more easily than they could through militarism.
Here's ten common motivations and arguments for a US war with Iran which you might encounter:
Independence from the US: The Iranian government is among the world's least-willing governments to obey US demands and subjugate themselves to the US-led order. For certain US primacists, this independence means that their very existence poses an existential threat to US dominance (similar to North Korea, Cuba, etc.) To a particular type of US militarist, it is necessary for the Iranian government to fall in order for the US to remain the unquestioned leader of the world.
Real Fear of their Nukes: There is a substantial contingent who really does believe that Iran is close to developing a nuclear weapon and that they could well use it if they were to develop it. Logically, the best way to address this concern would be through a diplomatic deal similar to the 2015 JCPOA, which Iran complied with! But the intensity of anti-Iranian sentiment among US hawks tends to convince them that direct military confrontation is somehow a better option, thus explaining why Trump decided to break this deal.
Desire for Revenge: Many older foreign policy hawks in the US have never forgiven Iran for 1) the 1979 US Embassy hostage crisis, and 2) the 1983 bombing of the US Embassy in Lebanon, which was orchestrated by a terror organization with ties to the Iranian government. In their minds, both of these incidents were embarrassments to the US' military prestige which we have never properly gotten revenge for. (These people tend to ignore the massive wrongdoings which the US has carried out against Iran during this same time period, like the US destruction of Iran Air Flight 655). There are people in and around the Pentagon who have wanted to bomb Iran over a grudge for more than 40 years now.
Iran's Regional Proxies: Over the last several decades, Iran has engaged in an aggressive campaign to expand their influence throughout the region by supporting proxy paramilitary forces in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, etc. Many of these proxies have undeniably engaged in acts of terrorism. This strategy is both opportunistic (taking advantage of the power vacuum caused by the US overthrow of Saddam Hussein) and defensive (countering the regional influence campaigns of Saudi Arabia and Turkey). This is probably the most legitimate cause of US anger towards the Iranian government, but it is a grievance which will only be worsened by backing Iran into a corner militarily.
Israel (and Saudi Arabia) Hates Them: Iran is unfriendly with two of the US' closest partners in the region: Israel and Saudi Arabia. The Israeli government, in particular, has long been laser-focused on the overthrow of the Iranian government, and they are fully committed to dragging the US into such a regime change operation. For the most fervent defenders of Israel in the US, overthrowing the Iranian government is near the top of their wishlist.
They Got Oil: Oil is a factor which is often overstated in these discussions, but it definitely is one of the factors. Iran currently produces 5% of the world's oil and has the potential to produce far more were the current sanction regime against it to be removed. They also have the ability to shut down the Straight of Hormuz, an important chokepoint through which 25% of the world's oil flows. Regime change in Iran would significantly increase the leverage that the US and its allies hold over global oil markets and further weaken the strength of OPEC.
And Other Commodities Too!: Though the separation between the US and Iranian economies hurts the US economy as a whole, there are certain sectors of US industry that benefit enormously from having Iran so heavily sanctioned. Some of the big names in the US pistachio industry have lobbied heavily to keep US-Iranian relations unfriendly, because the elimination of US sanctions on Iran would allow the massive Iranian pistachio industry to compete with the US industry. As long as these two governments hate each other, a few politically-connected US businessmen make way more money.
Diaspora Pressure Campaigns: Most Iranian-Americans hold the following two opinions at the same time: 1) they hate the current Iranian government and want to see it replaced, but 2) they strongly oppose US efforts at regime change in Iran. However, there is a vocal minority of Iranian-Americans that do support regime change efforts, and they tend to cluster into two well-organized groups that wage pressure campaigns against the Iranian government. The first are the monarchists, who want to see the son of the former US-backed Iranian dictator restored to power. The others are those who are loyal to the MEK, a cult and former terrorist organization which has been extremely effective at building relationships with US politicians. Both of these groups work full-time to push the US towards overthrowing the Iranian government so that they can step in and take over; it's fairly easy to find both of these groups in online social media threads about US-Iranian relations.
Who Cares, We Want War: As I have written about many times before, the US military-industrial complex encourages the US government to engage in militarist behavior in order to boost their profits. Iran is one of their favorite boogeymen to justify increased levels of US military spending, second only to China. These companies fund think tanks and other policy initiatives to argue that Iran is an immediate threat to us, and then they fund political candidates who want to spend more money preparing for this "threat."
They're Crazy! You Can't Trust Them!: We are led to believe that the Iranian government cannot be negotiated with because they are irrational, they're anti-Western religious zealots incapable of reasoned decision-making. This is a convenient excuse for war, but it's entirely incompatible with the restraint that the Iranian government shows in responding to Israeli attacks, their continued willingness to sit down for diplomatic talks with their aggressors, the way that they helped the US government deal with al Qaeda and the Taliban after 9/11, and a million other indications that the Iranian government is just as rational as any other government in its geopolitical decision-marking.
Add all of that together, and you get a deranged political ecosystem obsessed with inflating the scale of foreign threats, finding excuses for maintaining the trajectory of our militarist status quo, increasing regional tensions, and rejecting obvious opportunities for diplomacy and a peaceful resolution of our differences.
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afloweroutofstone · 19 hours ago
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As I understand it living in LA is one of those cosmically perfect acts where the punishemnt for the crime is the act itself
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afloweroutofstone · 1 day ago
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Watching “The Fellowship of the Ring” for the first time. Yes, really. Gandalf’s tits are smaller than I was led to believe
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afloweroutofstone · 1 day ago
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afloweroutofstone · 1 day ago
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Perhaps police departments should be mostly staffed by part-timers. This way everyone also has a different normal job and thus are part of the community. In this way, the police are less likely to develop their own unique values different from the community. And thus, the state enforcing unpopular laws becomes more difficult (moreover since everyone has a second job, they can more easily just quit if they don't like what they are ordered to do). And with all the people it is harder to develop a culture of corruption. Perhaps, it could be a two weeks out of the year thing, if that works nicer with people's schedule. We want as many people to be policemen as possible (in fact, for police jobs that don't require physical stress, we should abolish any health requirements). Maybe, police work should be part of the gig economy. We need more good paying gig economy style jobs. Imagine the delight in giving the person who arrested you a low rating on the app afterwards.
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afloweroutofstone · 1 day ago
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The Commonwealth of Massachusetts has credible evidence of the State of New York developing nuclear weapons
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afloweroutofstone · 2 days ago
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LMAOOOOO
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afloweroutofstone · 2 days ago
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afloweroutofstone · 2 days ago
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afloweroutofstone · 3 days ago
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I'm finally going through the data from my 2025 follower survey, which got 1,058 total responses. Not a bad sample size! First, here's what parliament would look like if all of my followers formed a nation
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All categories listed in the survey are treated as major parties here, while other ideological categories that were listed more than once in the optional write-in part of the question are treated as their own minor parties.
My governing coalition— the "Brett Bloc" of democratic socialists, social democrats, and left-libertarians— makes up 54% of all responses. About 36% of my politically-identified followers are well to my left, and another 10% are well to my right.
Most votes are reported here as they came in, although I resorted a few responders based on the comments they provided. "Unsure/undecided" responses were not counted unless there was something in a comment I could work with.
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afloweroutofstone · 3 days ago
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I’m not sure why Sen. John Fetterman is so viciously obsessed with backing the Israeli government, but one theory is that he considers the Israel lobby responsible for his electoral victory. If I remember correctly, there was a quiet competition between Fetterman and his opponent Connor Lamb during the 2022 Democratic congressional primary season to see who would secure the backing of the Israel lobby. Fetterman wound up winning their support, and some theorize that he considers that backing to have been decisive in his victory.
The only problem with this theory is that Fetterman beat Lamb by a huge margin, enough so that he probably didn’t even need the Israel lobby behind him. So maybe he was a super committed Zionist the whole time and chose to downplay it during his election campaign. Or, maybe he’s just crazy and loves bloodshed
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