andydiy123
andydiy123
民主宪政潮流难挡!
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andydiy123 · 5 months ago
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Tumblr's exclusive feature exposes the institutional incompetence of the communist totalitarian system. Revealing the Silver Case:
The shocking truth wrapped up in the investigators' shameless lies, the most notorious mass incompetence and shocking scandal in the history of criminal investigation, is destined to be nailed to the pillar of shame in the criminal investigation world forever! (Continuously updated, Translated by Google )
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According to a report by The Paper on March 30, at 10:30 am on March 30, 2018, the Baiyin Intermediate Court of Gansu Province pronounced the first-instance verdict of the "Baiyin Serial Murder Case". The defendant Gao Chengyong was convicted of intentional homicide, rape, robbery, and insult to corpses, and was sentenced to death for multiple crimes. With Gao's execution, the Baiyin case, which was once ranked first among the top ten unsolved cases in China and can be called the Chinese version of "Memories of Murder", seems to have finally come to an end. The terrifying haze that has shrouded Baiyin for many years seems to have "finally been completely dispelled", but "the Baiyin City serial murder case that has been sealed for 28 years has finally been solved, which is destined to shock the whole country". At the moment when people's wisdom has been opened and the right to speak is diversified, from three glasses of wine to celebrating, from panic and anxiety to questioning and dissatisfaction, shameless bragging and torture and reflection always coexist! Gansu and Mongolia shed blood, how many heroes at the time! The Baiyin case was a huge and arduous one, involving a large number of criminal investigation experts from across the country. The Gansu Provincial Public Security Department decided to send someone to supervise the case, and invited experts from all over the country, including "the 2001 Baiyin case supervised by the Ministry of Public Security", "the impeccable domestic Sherlock Holmes, one of the eight chiefs Wu Guoqing", "Ma Liang, the magic pen of the criminal investigation world, and Zhang Xin, the chief simulation portrait expert", "the eight experts of the Ministry of Public Security" who are well-known in the United States and are known as the "super detective". Li Changyu of the Ministry of Public Security also studied that "in 2002, the Ministry of Public Security once again organized an expert 'consultation'", "the Ministry of Public Security's working group led criminal investigation experts to Baiyin City and Baotou City to discuss the case four times", "the Ministry of Public Security designated the case as a case supervised by the Ministry, and in the following years, it sent criminal investigation and forensic experts to form an expert group with members of the Criminal Police Corps of the Gansu Provincial Public Security Department to consult on the case", "several of the best criminal psychologists in the country went, and the top ones all went", "hundreds of criminal investigation experts came and went" …
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The police solved the case this time with a lot of accidental elements, or luck, and more relying on technological progress. In fact, if we had grasped a few points before, we might have been able to present the case to the public earlier by more accurately covering all exceptions, not just relying on luck but more logically, convincingly, and with the best investigation strength: The author wrote two analytical articles on the Baiyin case in February and March 2016, "Analysis, Judgment and Suggested Countermeasures" and "Supplementary Investigation Ideas, Suggestions and Specific Operational Details" (hereinafter referred to as "Analysis, Judgment and Suggestions" and "Supplementary Investigation Ideas") (at the same time, the Municipal Bureau, Provincial Department and Ministry of Criminal Investigation Bureau were empowered; the other suspect Gao Chengyong surrendered on August 26, 2016), most of the analysis can be considered extremely accurate (roughly estimated to be more than 20):
The murderer chose to commit crimes in the urban area of ​​Baiyin many times in a row, which should have some kind of internal connection and origin with Baiyin (in the absence of other clues to rely on, this is the key main line).
In the region and surrounding counties and cities; depending on the traffic coverage during the crime (the time of the crime in three cases is critical!).
Analysis of the reasons why the murderer did not continue to commit crimes:
①. Illness, old age and frailty (to be precise, old age and frailty are more accurate. Note: According to Gao's confession after he was arrested, he was getting older and could not kill people. In addition, his two sons went to Baiyin to study in middle school, and their grades were good. The eldest son once ranked first in the town. He was afraid of affecting them, so he stopped);
③. He left Baiyin on his own initiative or due to job changes; the large-scale investigation and notification in the later period alarmed the murderer, making him smell the danger and stop, hide, escape, or lie dormant. The author is more inclined to the analysis of ① and ③, especially the possibility of ③ (Note: After he was arrested, he confessed that his two children needed money for school, and he went to Inner Mongolia and other places to work after 2002; he should also have the idea and motivation to evade investigation).
Even if 1/4 of the police force in the province is mobilized and it takes 5 years, the case must be solved ("In order to verify a suspicious fingerprint, the Ministry of Public Security once coordinated 7,000 police forces to search", slightly more than the author's rough estimate).
I believe that with the two "hard evidences" of fingerprints and DNA in hand, the devil can be bound in time! !
It should be stated that leaving fingerprints and DNA evidence at the crime scene many times is not actually a high-IQ crime!
If the investigation of the case is restarted or continued with a focus, the author's analysis believes that there is still more than 80% chance of solving the case.
There is even reason to believe that the murderer is not far away from being caught! And other views. "In August 2001, the case was listed as a supervised case by the Ministry of Public Security." For more than ten years, "there has been no substantial breakthrough in the case." "The public believed that this case would become an unsolved cold case." "The experts in the task force and Zhang Xin said that this case could only be solved by 'a god descending to earth'!" ", etc., the inference that "the analysis believes that there is still more than 80% chance of solving the case" can be regarded as a little light for the investigation work that has been frustrated for many years:
Although the murderer is extremely vicious, his appearance may be relatively ordinary, or even seem to be honest (Note: the appearance in the photo and the silent and taciturn character in life are indeed more in line with the ordinary and honest appearance);
In general, the unemployed, idle people, migrant workers, floating people, water, electricity, wood, tile (oil) and paint workers, etc. (Note: I used to work in Qinghai and Inner Mongolia; I went to Inner Mongolia as a construction worker; I burned boilers);
Technicians (worked in metal smelting and steel pipe factories in Baiyin; worked in an aluminum factory for two years; and later went to a fertilizer factory in Pingchuan);
Shopkeeper (the owner of the canteen of Baiyin Industrial School);
The possibility of him being a service provider is high (he worked as a temporary worker in Shengli Street near the scene of the incident for more than a year);
There should be traces to the origin of the first case, or clues can be seen; strengthen the comparison of criminal records and prisoners in the region, surrounding provinces, cities, counties and the country (Note: According to his confession, the first case was caused by theft, which is consistent with the prediction of the first case that "many big cases often start from small cases", and the scope of "stalking, burglary, molestation, rape" is also more accurate. Of course, objectively, he has no criminal record); Marrying into the wife's family, buying a house outside, moving into the household, and working or doing business outside for a long time (Note: He has not lived in his hometown for many years, and has been working and living in Qinghai, Inner Mongolia and Baiyin for a long time);
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andydiy123 · 8 months ago
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弥天大谎与惊世阴谋             ——甘肃白银连环强奸杀人案本可精准陈情,岂谓之无凭?
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试问诸君可知寰宇震动的白银连环强奸杀人大案为什么会突然断片和噤声?
只能说里面有太多不可言说的谎言欺骗暗箱黑幕,本该高能高效公正廉明的公安体系,却是如此肮脏污秽丑陋腌臜。共贪党混沌体系治下,有权任性、潜规则横行在白银案里可谓是暴露无遗,邪教的治理体系是严重背离民意感知的!
当然,群众的眼睛是雪亮的!君不见从白银连环强奸杀人案、1.19南大碎尸案、贵州凯里行长乐贵建灭门案、03年杭州之江花园别墅3死1伤凶案、周克华案、乔任梁自杀事件,再到台湾3.19枪击案、连胜文枪击案、蓝可儿塞西尔酒店遇害案、马航MH370飞机失联事件,乃至一众网友纷纷扰扰欲征集10万联署签名要到白宫请愿吁求美帝介入的朱令案等,普通吃瓜群众首先想到和呼唤的早已不是包括乌国庆、张欣等在内的所谓“达摩院八大特邀刑侦专家”、“东土高僧大德”,以及其他貌似已臻登堂入室但终究还是客观公正担当性阙如不能拉出来溜,只能算是深谙造星程式熟稔作秀摆拍甫士而已、姑可称作皮影英雄的国产弥勒,打遍天下无敌手的却只是誉满蛮夷、名动狄戎的大轮雪山大轮明王!少林绝技只有到了吐蕃国师手里才能发挥得淋漓尽致,真是莫大讽刺!!
自从警方习惯于闭门造车内化办案模式和刑侦吃大锅饭,就从来不缺轻慢冒渎公众智商的自捅11刀自杀、挑断脚筋跳楼自杀式奇葩断案和让善良人们揪心愤慨的赵作海、佘祥林、呼格、滕兴善、张高平张辉叔侄、聂树斌、念斌、陈满、陈夏影、钱仁凤、江西乐平式层出不穷的冤假错案,以及雷洋案、夏俊峰案、709抓捕律师案等怪象,更遑论悬案了!故一言以蔽之,类似白银悬案久侦未破,以及众多让受害者一生尽毁甚或付出生命代价,也让众多涉事家庭深陷困顿的冤假错案却几乎无人因此可被追责,造成严重社会恐慌和政府公信丧失,实为现行悖论制度及其愚民体系下官本位、潜规则、长官意志横行之祸!为伟大的猪圈系统张目,不能触发影响教主长治久安的群体性事件的要务——“和谐”、维稳压倒一切!!
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故而就很容易理解,饶是凭枝妙笔叱咤刑侦界30余载、屡破大案700多起,借画像绝技指证无数罪犯的“自己人”张欣,在面对社会公众普遍质疑其在白银案里的怪异失常表现时,却也只能自我救赎自证清白!在要为体系背书、弹压民意和不让屁民觉���的宏旨下,无人可为“神笔马良”仗义执言!(《“白银案”通缉犯画像专家:我不是神仙没有办法》(2016年09月10日《新京报》))
自然也没人确切回答说明:那位向张欣提供画像素材的女工夫妇看到的究竟是不是高承勇真身,还是精神有问题的武疯子?!!能否让女工夫妇和高承勇当面轧对?
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更没有人释疑:腾讯新闻记者18年后轻易找到的幸存者“余秀兰”及其邻居接触和目击的行凶者据信才是高承勇本尊,能否证实确认?其向白银警方提供���凶嫌兰州口音、身高1米78左右等线索为何没有被采纳?
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相反,把一位疑似精神不正常的武疯子作为嫌疑对象描摹追踪,用尽洪荒之力孜孜以求18年,唱起了一出新时代葫芦僧判断葫芦案的刑侦大戏,不啻是现代版的指鹿为马!白银警方虚怀若谷嘉言懿行,刑事之专业、高效、超能,惊天地泣鬼神,令到万民敬仰,后世畏威怀德,可谓是旷古绝今!白银案——这一内幕比雷洋案黑暗1万倍,堪称世界刑侦史上最大的丑闻,注定将永载史册遗臭万年!!为这个对人民犯下滔天罪行、给中华民族带来深重灾难的邪恶党团再添浓重一笔!!!
甘蒙喋血,一时多少豪杰!白银惊天大案可谓是兴师动众大费周章,庶几动用了全国刑侦界多半精粹,大内高手近乎倾巢而出:“2001年‘白银案’公安部督办”;“百密无疏、国产福尔摩斯、达摩院首座乌国庆”;“刑侦界神笔马良、首席模拟画像专家张欣”;“达摩院八大专家”际会;“驰誉美帝之华裔神探李昌钰”;“2002年公安部再次组织专家‘会诊’”;“公安部工作组先后4次带领刑侦专家赴白银市、包头市研讨案件”;“全国最好的犯罪心理学家,去了好几个,顶尖的都去了”;“上百位刑侦专家来来去去”; “案发时,白银公安系统共有民警约250人参与了此案侦查,他们都背负着阴影生活、工作”、“专案组长就退休了两任了,但是始终没有放”、“公安部曾经协调了7000名警力进行查证”、“全国范围内查找犯罪分子” ……一时间少林、武当、丐帮、华山、逍遥、峨眉、星宿、灵鹫宫等各派云集,刑侦、勘察、技研、推理、学术、理论、读心、阴阳、八卦、五行等诸路菁华可谓是群贤毕至、少长咸集,俱会猎于陇!刑侦江湖一众响当当的天山童姥、东方不败、风清扬、扫地僧、东邪西毒南帝北丐中神通式威震当世的煊赫人物,公安系统的泰山北斗,齐聚白银论剑!披坚执锐,奉辞伐罪,决战兹警之巅!!
如此这般冠盖云集,本应是旌麾所指,坏怂束手!孰料屠龙已老,倚天失锋,一众侠士竟然尽皆掉粉脱漆黯然失色,全部望峰息心江郎才尽,悉败于彼岸青城一进城民工锋刃之下!
大江东去,浪淘尽千古懵逼废柴人物!各路位列仙班的神探们应该都是憋着一股气,最后却只是放了几个屁:“没有追寻线索”;“所有侦查方向都是无效的”;“当时在专案组的专家和张欣说,这个案子只有'神仙下凡才能破了'!”(2016年09月10日《新京报》)    
试问数百名中外刑侦大咖巨头应召雷同云集、接续数十年的白银会战,缘何却成吃相不雅众神探跌份掉粉的大乱斗?有几十年道行,本该是已臻修仙得道的大腕巨擘们群英荟萃,呈泰山压顶之势的诸神围歼之战,缘何功败垂成惨变萝卜开会,竟不敌一两番高考落榜的失意农民?难不成他是童子身练功,暗自练就了九阳神功护体抑或有护身气墙,其屠戮杀伐已臻刀枪不入独孤求败之化境?以至惟闻笑声吃吃,或在木杪,或在檐端而已,其人竟可飞天遁地、来去无踪?单挑不过,或可说是其骨骼清奇非俗流,已自打通任督二脉私底下修炼了移形换影、凌波微步、乾坤大挪移、八荒六合唯我独尊功抑或小无相功催动少林72绝技等盖世武林绝学之一二亦未可知,但水川堤、白银墟、甘肃峪、昆都仑圩、包头垸、内蒙堡等数役集八大门派顶尖高手、世外奇人、武林至尊、番邦友好等数轮联袂围攻仍被彼趁隙轻松走脱,群殴之下竟然毫发未伤!着实是匪夷所思!!
失之毫厘谬以千里,公道自在人心。白银案虽破,但在有如此之多痕迹物证及线索指向的条件下仍需延宕暌违28年,废去不少钱粮,折损些许威名,可谓是大动干戈,最后乃是靠DNA-Y”高科技照妖镜显功立威和高某堂兄入瓮误打误撞,着实吃相难看不忍直视,这也是为什么公众的嘘声呛声骂声砖头远多过鲜花掌声的根本原因!!
天地之间有杆秤,那秤砣是老百姓!同样作为国内知名的所谓十大悬案,1.19南大案中南京警方受到的质疑责难相对较少,而白银案虽破白银警方却被口水唾沫骂声砖头臭鸡蛋淹没,饱受诟病质疑,甚至连带整个公安系统都深处舆论漩涡之中,自是有其客观公允原因!
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很显然,其中之一就是白银案连坦陈案件发生、公开承认舆情属实的底气都没有,特别是98年一连发生4起同类型女性遭受强奸残杀的系列惨烈命案,都不敢公开案件事实以警示市民、提高公众防范意识和即时向社会公开征集破案线索,邪教徒众视人命如同草芥竟至于此!!��遑论充斥其间的钳制操弄、掩盖遮丑、诓骗促狭、盲目护犊等腌臜污秽乱象!而瞎猫碰个死老鼠自然也不是令人信服的破案方式,借之无脑跪舔吹嘘则更属一叶障目���见泰山!!
连起码的公开透明都做不到,又谈何客观公平正义效率担当?!
马谡失街亭,诸葛亮尚自贬三级!赏罚不明,有令不行,难以服众,古人及黑社会犹不屑为之!!而今在所谓“和谐社会”的粉刷涂抹下却倒只剩下歌功颂德蒙脸吹逼盲目护崽一团和气!无人可为白银连环强奸杀人案多年当破未破的疏漏、纰误、过失来作反思、道歉、担责、买单!
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名动中外、举世震惊的白银案仅喧嚣旬日,却又突然噤声和没有了下半身,重大话题性事件被硬生生地强力封盖了下去,成为这个非典型性法治国家官本位体系下莅事者首要名利考量,愚民体制所衍生的舆论操控要求、和谐幌子遮掩下太多公开谈论禁忌的一部分。其折射的只能是莅事太监们的半吊子水平、三脚猫功夫和掩耳盗铃心理!高开低走的赢国公安系统,只剩和稀泥、搅浑水、捣糨糊式的套路、伎俩,只见蛇鼠一窝式盲目背书张目、卸责洗地、讳疾忌医和鸵鸟心态,以及事后诸葛亮事前猪一样的促狭思想、行事作风和扯大旗作虎皮、抓住鸡毛当令箭式生硬执拗的宣教方式!可见人才逆向淘汰之下,police系统已然低能咸集,智障毕至,处处呈现出的是一幅沐猴而冠、尸位素餐、人浮于事、奸佞当道、失能无为者聚集的衰败景象,一派行将就木的末日气息!
言必称道路先进,号称拥有亿万个自信,动辄曰制度优渥睥睨全宇宙,泱泱13.75亿人口的意淫国,已然彻底沦堕!
殊不知,作为曾经全球轰动的知名连环强奸杀人悬案,破与未破都注定会成为惊悚传奇,又岂是只手可以遮天,一纸封口令所能封杀的?任何螳臂当车式的遮丑掩盖、倒行逆施都只会贻笑大方止增笑耳!
窃以为既然作为部督案件,理应一督到底!从案情会诊会战、侦查进展通报、相关信息披露、口供证据轧对、审讯进度通气说明、侦查终结到收场善后、后续的犯罪行为学、犯罪心理学典型性样板研究、犯罪预防意义方面经验教训汲取、社会管理层面建言献策改进举措等,皆应秉持客观公正公开透明专业高效通达,尽显神通高能,加强警民互动,最大程度地释放诚意、善意,才是经营“公共关系”之正道。否则充其量只是照猫画虎依葫芦画瓢,更多则是东施效颦,似是而非,徒有其表而已。金玉其外败絮其中只会更加令人作呕!
给靠篡改历史、操弄民意、欺骗民众上位,习惯于欺瞒吹撒的人民圣殿教徒众教授如何释放善意,经营、维护好公共关系,弗如跟失足妇女探讨贞洁观、守妇道和建贞洁牌坊!
沸反盈天而吃相难看的白银惊天大案给了公众更多地检视、复议和反思police系统其担当、效率及公正性的机会。本该高能高明高效通达的高阶治理体系,却俨然向公众展现了一幅“肉食者鄙”、细思极恐的诡异图景:
党国体系需要的是思想禁锢、舆论钳制、寒蝉效应下思想和教主保持高度一致的群氓,需要的是能为蟹脚擦腚兜底的阿谀奉承之徒和只会投赞成票的申大娘们,以及被舆论操控裹挟人云亦云的两脚羊,而不是捅破窗户纸的刁民、刺头,所以有没有、能不能出几个所谓会破案的“神探”并不重要,而容易引发舆论盈天喧哗和聚拢民意触发民众追问反思的国产刑侦明星则更是烫手热山芋!寡廉鲜耻的蟹脚徒众,脑子秀逗瓦特了,更是早已没有道德下限,即便让外来的和尚念经,看别人种田不顾荒了自己的地,卧榻之侧他人酣睡竟也毫无羞赧之心!自打和有着“华裔神探”、“当代摩尔摩斯”名头的李昌钰成功勾连,刑侦懒汉们早已习惯于痴缠依傍摇尾乞怜,国产本土神探却尽皆阉割狗带!有关部门亦更是拂逆民意权任性,端的是失能失禁,全程只剩屎尿屁。污秽横流之下,不堪入目!
秉承体念教主法旨行事的长老、护法、无常、佐使们,一定是高大上无懈可击的,又怎么会是低能失禁的,更怎么可以承认失误犯错?那岂不是会动摇教主伟大导师领袖统帅舵手红太阳大救星的光辉形象?所以冤假错案国家赔偿天价皆可,唯追责比登天还难!故而即使民间有瞩意刑侦推理的民间高士较准确刻画勾勒了凶嫌特征、身份,提供缜密细致破案方法论及大体预测了白银案案情走向,也只能落得个束之高阁弃若敝屣,板凳坐冷的命运,注定不可能有客观公正公开透明评价!比如两篇写于16年2、3月份,有关白银案的分析文章(《分析研判及建议对策》和《补充侦查思路、建议及具体操作细节说明》),其中多半的分析可算较为精准(粗略估计约有20余处):
1.凶手连续多次选择在白银市区作案,应当是与白银有某种内在的关联和渊源(在没有其他线索可倚重的情势下,此为关键主线,并非完全“没有追寻线索”和“所有侦查方向都是无效的”,更非专案组专家所谓的“这个案子只有'神仙下凡才能破了'”)。
2.域内、周边县市;视案发期间交通覆盖范围而定(有三起案件案发时间节点很关键!)。
3. 凶手后来没有继续犯案原因分析:
①.患病、年老体弱(注:据其到案后供述年龄渐长,杀人力不从心,故而停手);
③.主动或因工作变动等离开白银;后期大范围排查和通告打草惊蛇惊扰了凶手,令其嗅到了危险并因之收手、隐匿或逃遁、蛰伏。笔者较倾向于①、③的分析,尤以③的可能性为最(注:其到案后供述两个孩子上学需用钱,02年后前往内蒙等地打工;应该也有规避侦查的想法、动因)。
4. 哪怕举全省1/4警力,花上5年时间,也要破获此案。
5. 相信有指纹和DNA这两样“铁证”在手,假以时日,定可缚住恶魔!!
6. 需要申明的是,在案发现场多次留下指纹和DNA证据的其实并非是什么高智商犯罪!
7. 倘有所侧重地重启或继续对该案的调查,笔者研判分析认为仍有80%以上的破案几率。
8. 甚至可以有理由相信距最终抓获凶手不远!
等等观点。
“2001年8月,此案被公安部列为督办案件”,十多年来“案件迟���没有取得实质性突破”,在“社会公众纷纷认为这起案件将成为一起无法侦破的悬案”的情况下,据理所作“研判分析认为仍有80%以上的破案几率”的推论算是给遇挫受阻多年的侦破工作带去了些许囊萤之光。由于分析推理有其内在的逻辑、关联、合理性,此外还有其它比较契合的地方。如:
凶手虽穷凶极恶,但其长相外形却可能较为普通,甚或貌似忠良(注:照片里长相、生活中沉默讷言的性格确实比较符合普通、忠良特征);
一般意义上可能的无业、闲散人员、民工、流动人员、水电木瓦(油)漆工等(注:以前在青海和内蒙打工;去内蒙做过建筑工;烧锅炉);
技术人员(在白银做过金属冶炼、钢管厂打工;铝厂干过两年;后来去平川的一个化肥厂);
店主;
服务业者的可能性居多;
于首案的肇始似应有迹可循,或可窥见端倪;加强对域内、周边省市县及全国库里过往发生的跟踪、入室盗窃、猥亵、强奸等前科劣迹和羁押服刑人员的比对工作(注:据其供述,首案因盗窃被撞破而起,符合对首案的“很多大案往往肇始于小案”的预判,“跟踪、入室盗窃、猥亵、强奸”的范围也较准确,当然客观上其并未留有案底);
入赘、在外购房、入户及经常或长期在外务工经商就业的等(注:其多年没在老家居住,长期在青海、内蒙及白银等地辗转打工、生活);
能在市区和大白天情况下连续犯下9起命案,应属心理素质强悍、胆大妄为(注:高某竟然在案发后举家租住在离其中一位受害者罗某家仅300米左右的白银棉纺厂职工宿舍小区长达6年之久!!!)
案犯之前应当是至少与(末案)受害者有过接触的,而且可以认为其应当是通过某种途径和方法抑或是利用其职业、身份的便利和掩护,套取获得了受害人的基本情况(未见后续报道,警方仅在破案后通报末案为:搭识同宿,从门进入!据女子身份疑为舞厅搭识,结合“98.1.16”案“舞厅常客杨某”,或可歪打正着指向凶手会跳舞。因警方尚未公布详情,这一点为揣测,尚无从查考)。
此处不一一赘述。
“虑及民间或荒诞不经或危言耸听及以讹传讹之种种乱像,实云遮雾罩莫衷一是,故需吹尽黄沙竭虑思辨,方有利于厘清真相及得出较合理推论。”由于较好地做到了去伪存真、去芜存菁,故而规避了多数常见和众说纷纭的误区:如医生、屠夫说;未婚、单身、独居说;女性、少年、外国人说等。另外还有:
官方通报:“整个案件几乎没有目击者”;“(张欣)本想从这里面得到关于嫌疑人的身高、年龄等信息,哪怕蛛丝马迹也行,结果看下来心都凉了,几乎没有目击者”。(就常识而言,“ 能在市区而且是大白天情况下连续犯下9起命案”,“案犯应当是有进行过观察、盯梢、跟踪,甚至是之前与部分受害者有一定程度接触”等情形的,“通常情况下案发前后应当是有目击、照面甚至是接触者的”(注:2016年8月份警方公布有“画像”,特别是新闻报道案发多年后证实存在和仍较容易找到目击者,而且不止一位!))
“感觉当年做了很多无用功。那时候,我们通过作案手法、心理等多方面的分析,将人群设定为高学历的青年男子。但没想到,他只是个没能考上大学的农民。” (2016-08-31《北京晨报》)(对于罪犯身份,《补充侦查思路》明确指出:“需要申明的是,在案发现场数次留下指纹和DNA证据的其实并非是什么高智商犯罪”,“一般意义上可能的无业、闲散人员、民工、流动人员、水电木瓦(油)漆工”等,并不能特定为“高学历”!)
“如今他们才知道问题出在哪里——高承勇户籍所在的兰州农村,因为排查困难,当时并没有录入指纹”。(2016年08月27日《新京报》)(实际上是“ 警方认定凶手是生活在城里的一个高学历犯罪分子,没有在周边农村地区开展检测”(2016-09-02 《参考消息网》)。《分析研判及建议对策》指出“ 不排除居住或户籍在周边县市、郊区及外地”,并且有几起案发时间节点很关键!故务须“省厅定准、统筹、协调和分工”,“举全省1/4警力,花上5年时间,也要破获此案”!)
相较于白银警方的失误,分析也避开和指出了《宣传提纲》里事先不易觉察的雷区:
在白银市区有独居条件。(推断错误,只能说“犯案时离异、分居和单独居住可能性较大”,“但亦不排除已婚及和家人一起居住的可能性。例如香港的雨夜屠夫林犯即和家人一起居住。另外广州有过类似案件,凶犯罗某有妻儿家庭”,并不能断言“独居”!而且“不排除居住或户籍在周边县市、郊区及外地”。)
有较严重的性变态心理,或者生理缺陷,特别是具有性功能间歇性障碍症。(这种结论主观性太强而逻辑性较弱,应该属于错误推定或者说至少属无用推定,故不能采信。)
等等。
那么除了“正愁没人教,天上掉下个粘豆包”式的运气垂青之外,曾经的世纪悬案究竟有没有一些线索可以通向必然破案之路?难道除了倚靠科技进步高某堂兄入瓮两巧立功显威外,就真的别无他法?
很显然,不同于“南大碎尸案”,白银案并非不可破之案:该案有具体和确定的指征(均留有第一现场;系列案件有共性;九起案件或有目击者;案犯数次留下了包括指纹、掌纹、足印、精斑等一系列可助排查凶手及具排他性、足以指证的痕迹物证等等),完全可以有条件对凶手进行确定和较精准的描述、刻画和勾勒,而排他性物证则更具极强的指向性!
况事后反思及逆推理,高某为跨过黄河铁桥即抵的彼岸青城农民,并且其还在白银累计生活了10多年!(高某在白银务工过几年;案发后举家租住在白银棉纺厂职工宿舍小区长达6年之久;在白银工业学校小卖部生活1年多。)
被打得满地找牙却又全无还手之力的神探们安能无动于衷乎?在党媒喉舌火力全开的集体聒噪下,已得道升天的各路大神难道就甘受如此奇耻大辱不成吗?不需要为自己水平、能力、IQ讨个说法?多年煊赫声名尽毁于白银雁门关一役,难道就此望峰息无欲无求一心只往塞外牧马放羊不再过问江湖之事?
就凭公安部及刑侦局已把诸位来前儿的车票机票钱给报了,怎么着也得找找命门所在和破解之法,至少也该总结反思逆向推理一下吧!岂可潜身缩首,苟图衣食?
事后诸葛亮也行啊!怎么能灰头土脸不置一词就此隐忍别过?假如时光倒流有没有想法再跟高某重新比划几下?怎么个切磋法?
………
警方本次破案带有很大偶然性的成分,或者说运气的成分居多,更倚仗科技进步。其实如果之前牢牢抓住几点,或许就可以及早通过较精准涵盖庶无例外,以不只仰赖运气而是以更合乎情理逻辑、令人信服、最优排查的实力破案的方式呈现给公众:一.域内、周边县市可能具备作案时间和条件的:
0. 无业、闲散人员、民工、流动人员、水电木瓦漆工等;店主;技术人员及其他时间相对自由工作者等。
1.外出、迁出人员,如入赘、在外购房、入户及经常或长期在外务工经商就业的(这种引发舆论沸反盈天的大案及迫于警方大规模排查的压力,大多数情况下案犯都应该会有规避举措,某种程度上算是打草惊蛇、敲山震虎)。
二. 案犯应当是与白银有着某种内在的关联和渊源,宜重点排查案发期间及其后符合比对条件的(可据已知信息斟酌损益),分类梯次推进:
2. 在白银生活工作租住过,如店主、服务业、加工业、自由职业及其他工作时间相对灵活的工作者等;
3. 因工作需要常驻或长期往来白银的相关人员,如客货车司机、办事员、采购、批发商贩等;
4. 凶手对白银较为熟悉,不排除曾在白银上过学,及被寄养、过继、抱养,长大后重回父母身边或原户籍地的;
5.妻子、女友、情人为白银户籍和有近亲属在白银的外地人。(注:其后新闻证实其妻为白银靖远人;其二子均在白银上中学);
6. 其它。
三.推进对域内剩余和周边县市当中符合比对条件的普通人群的排查工作(视案发期间交通覆盖范围而定)。(可在前述排查均不奏效的情况下为之,范围可先小后大)。
四.加大悬赏额度,最大程度地调动发挥群众参与的积极性能动性,要相信和依靠广大人民群众的线索、智慧和能量。(人民的力量是无穷的,而且树上开花远交近攻,远胜彼隔靴搔痒光于外围逡巡,故可发动公众检举揭发。该案若精准抓住重点,完全应该可以收到“踏破铁鞋无觅处,得来全不费工夫”的奇效,而不必悬搁十数年,以致受尽讥诮怨怼!当然白银警方欲说还休、盲人摸象式的分析刻画有待商榷,部分甚至可说是应当预见和避免的偏差和谬误。这种纰误直接阻滞了案件侦破进程!)
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不过指望蟹脚党徒对事理有客观公允评判及深刻反思,无异于痴人说梦异想天开!在为共贪猪义痿耷事业打鸡血延喘和让奇葩的党GUN文化毒瘤不在自己任上夺命发作的要义下,人人皆可牺牲!客观、公正、公理、正义神马皆为粪土!!他们对“自己人”都不肯施以援手来为神探正名,况一介不受制于党媒却作独立思辨的觉醒刺头草民乎?
有情皆孽、无人不冤,德不配位、人才逆淘汰无能者居之,礼崩乐坏、价值观异化,戾气深重、动辄撕逼怒怼的,只该是千年前天龙八部里遭逢乱世的众生相,岂应是民主法治社会该有的常态?
病灶不除,灾难未已。一个不愿正视过失反思困厄的民族注定断难跳脱苦难的深重轮回,不能做到从善如流允许指摘己过,而只能靠吹牛撒谎和暴力苟延残喘的专制体系,在自媒体勃兴、话语权多样、民意普遍觉醒的当下还能走多远?又何谈长治久安?一个没有公开透明反思总结,没有客观公正效率担当、悦纳批评的伪民主法治的治理架构,更是加倍注定没有未来。只会违背拂逆强奸民意的公安体系,早已臭如狗屎!
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已经发生的白银大案于社会建设方面本或有积极的样板性意义,却突然遭遇噤声和烂尾,其所展现的党棍们一贯拿丧事当喜事办,牺牲社会公平正义效率,罔顾公理真相民意,只为换来猪狗不如的阉党恶棍们官运亨通鸡犬升天之作派,稍具思辨能力即知非为忧国恤民计,集中昭示的乃是处置该案的一群厂公神经过敏、精神错乱与心理晦暗,以及葵花在手天下我有,屁民们又能奈我何的任性浅薄、恣意妄为与嘚瑟可怖状态!
拆哪国以不足7%的耕地面积豢养了超过世界上83%的腐败分子和92%的外逃贪官!如此超高密度的载畜量以及既痿肉联厂小刀手们极高的屠宰产肉速率,还有8779万骇世存栏数,再依托给几千块钱月工资就可以做到让其全心全意为人民服务,为共贪猪义奋斗终生,同时具有产仔多、生长速度快、耐粗饲性好、适应性强等优良性状、具终国特涩的特异杂交生猪品种,创造是何等的经济奇迹!古往今来,敢问历朝历代又有谁能做到这一点?真正是五个带婊,九个渍性!洵为睥睨全宇宙的优渥制度!
警方直面、保护的是公民的生命、财产等最切身的权益,其是否廉洁、高效、神明、作为,与公民的安全感、幸福感、获得感休戚相关!!公安系统连苦心孤诣勇破天安门枪击案,铁面横扫天上人间、八号公馆之类的猛探能吏都是“干了很多龌龊事情”的酷吏!更从来都不缺如腐败毫不手软的李纪周、郑少东、李东生、何再贵、郭政民、相怀珠、庄如顺、贺明保,贪腐全家总动员的宋平顺,对国有资产上下其手的武长顺,上面九级台风、下面纹丝不动的周本顺之流,还有秦玉海、赵黎平、张越、何靖、文强、王立军、杨崇友、朱明国、李亚力、王振忠、何建生、魏向民、孔逸鸿、宋建国、马伟灵、王昌平、李荣飚、朱应忠、郑北泉、唐建华、郭维国、李阳、王鹏飞、王智等一干前腐后继的鬼畜。理应明镜高悬的公安系统俨然已彻底沦为低能无为权谋者会聚之处所和破案无方、敛财有术、溜须拍马、好大喜功、徇私枉法、偏袒护崽、拉帮结派、结党营私、蝇营狗苟者咸集之乐土,成为赏罚不明、窝案高发的法外之地!
窥斑见豹,一叶知秋,指望贪渎、钻营者如李昌钰般身正影直、心无旁骛地专事刑事鉴识刑侦破案,岂不是与虎谋皮、缘木求鱼、痴人说梦耶?
故一言以蔽之,从罚酒三杯到弹冠相庆,官话套话大话假话胡话谎话屁话鬼话说得溜,一贯地把丧事当喜事办,这是由透过白银案里对鸡汤营销程式、悲情公关传统、欺瞒吹撒伎俩和推过揽功大法的娴熟运用操弄所呈现反映出来的一以贯之的党棍文化套路决定的!!案不得破,既非画之愆及画工能力不济力有不逮,亦非当代毛延寿挟私报复欺君罔上,更非当代一干福尔摩斯们不效死命不尽忠职守以致大失水准功败垂成,实乃党国混沌失控空转体系使然。以己昏昏,岂可使人昭昭?如此这般指鹿为马,按错图索骥,又��能窥见探及破白银案之堂奥??故此,白银案或可说“乃系于天”,岂是人力可为哉?
无道之臣,污国害民,毒施人鬼。历观载籍,贪残酷烈,于斯为甚!群魔乱舞之下,鬼畜蜂起,奸雄鹰扬,社稷有累卵之危,生灵有倒悬之急!!
天数有变,神器更易,而归有德之人。苍天作证,全世界77亿双眼睛盯着又岂容尔等魑魅魍魉并作妖孽信口雌黄恣乱国家?
余闻而愈悲。孔子曰:“ 苛政猛于虎也。”吾尝疑乎是,今以此观之,犹信。呜呼!孰知暴政之毒有什是蛇者乎!共贪党所代表的权贵资本和利益集团在背离民意的邪路上狼奔豕突已然渐行渐远。
朝无直言,民有不忿,长此以往,恐怕届时奥巴马式的“change”诉求就是对人性最柔软脆弱部分的致命一击和最通款曲的深情表达了!
赵本山小品里有句经典讽刺台词:有人发财靠劳动,有人发财靠对缝,有人发财靠撒谎,有人发财靠玩命。我发财啥劲不费,就靠俩字–做梦!同样,鸡国不靠构建优秀的社会制度来扬抑人的优劣本性,充分调动释放发挥人的潜能、能动性和聪明才智,仅凭意淫、画饼和喊口号、打嘴炮就能实现复兴强国梦!厉害啊,word哥!!
现在郭文贵极具震撼性的所谓足以“让5000万人上街的核弹级爆料” 其具体化的实例以及令完成可能加入战围的戏剧性,都让这个风雨飘摇的邪恶党团和人类史上意识形态领域至大精神毒瘤再添崩盘变数!
春梦有痕,中或最淫,赢国梦即将要实现!
好支威有!!
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andydiy123 · 8 months ago
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Tumblr独家特稿,揭披共产极权专体制制度性无能的扛鼎之作
揭秘白银案:
被莅事者无耻谰言包裹的骇人真相,刑侦史上最腌臜的群体失能和惊天造孽丑闻,注定将永钉刑侦界耻辱柱上!
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筆者两篇写于16年2、3月份(同期已赋能市局、省厅及部刑侦剧局。另嫌犯高承勇2016年8月26日到案),有关白银案的分析文章(《分析研判及建议对策》和《补充侦查思路、建议及具体操作细节说明》),其中多半的分析可算极为精准(粗略估计约有20余处):
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1.  凶手连续多次选择在白银市区作案,应当是与白银有某种内在的关联和渊源(在没有其他线索可倚重的情势下,此为关键主线)。
2. 域内、周边县市;视案发期间交通覆盖范围而定(有三起案件案发时间节点很关键!)。
3. 凶手后来没有继续犯案原因分析:
①. 患病、年老体弱(准确讲,年長體弱更確切些。注:据高某到案后供述,年龄渐长,杀人力不从心。加上两儿子入白银读中学,成绩均较好,长子还一度考了镇第一名。怕��他们造成影响,故而停手);
③. 主动或因工作变动等离开白银;后期大范围排查和通告打草惊蛇惊扰了凶手,令其嗅到了危险并因之收手、隐匿或逃遁、蛰伏。笔者较倾向于①、③的分析,尤以③的可能性为最(注:其到案后供述两个孩子上学需用钱,02年后前往内蒙等地打工;应该也有规避侦查的想法、动因)。
4. 哪怕举全省1/4警力,花上5年时间,也要破获此案。
5. 相信有指纹和DNA这两样“铁证”在手,假以时日,定可缚住恶魔!!
6. 需要申明的是,在案发现场多次留下指纹和DNA证据的其实并非是什么高智商犯罪!
7. 倘有所侧重地重启或继续对该案的调查,笔者研判分析认为仍有80%以上的破案几率。
8. 甚至可以有理由相信距最终抓获凶手不远!
等等观点。
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“2001年8月,此案被公安部列为督办案件”,十多年来“案件迟迟没有取得实质性突破”,在“社会公众纷纷认为这起案件将成为一起无法侦破的悬案”的情况下,据理所作“研判分析认为仍有80%以上的破案几率”的推论算是给遇挫受阻多年的侦破工作带去了些许囊萤之光:
凶手虽穷凶极恶,但其长相外形却可能较为普通,甚或貌似忠良(注:照片里长相、生活中沉默讷言的性格确实比较符合普通、忠良特征);
一般意义上可能的无业、闲散人员、民工、流动人员、水电木瓦(油)漆工等(注:以前在青海和内蒙打工;去内蒙做过建筑工;烧锅炉);
技术人员(在白银做过金属冶炼、钢管厂打工;铝厂干过两年;后来去了平川的一个化肥厂);
店主(白银工业学校小卖部店主);
服务业者的可能性居多(其曾在事发地附近的胜利街扒活做临工约一年多);
于首案的肇始似应有迹可循,或可窥见端倪;加强对域内、周边省市县及全国库里过往发生的跟踪、入室盗窃、猥亵、强奸等前科劣迹和羁押服刑人员的比对工作(注:据其供述,首案因盗窃被撞破而起,符合对首案的“很多大案往往肇始于小案”的预判,“跟踪、入室盗窃、猥亵、强奸”的范围也较准确。当然,客观上其并未留下案底);
入赘、在外购房、入户及经常或长期在外务工经商就业的等(注:其多年没在老家居住,长期在青海、内蒙及白银等地辗转打工、生活);
能在市区和大白天情况下连续犯下9起命案(注:警方曾长期公布白银案涉案9起(高到案供称10起),遂悄然改为了10起,即增加了02年陶乐春宾馆常包房房客朱某的1起;涉蒙的由2案降为1起(包头昆都仑区的),所以部称的甘蒙805连环强奸杀害女性案最终仍然是11起。但涉蒙案迄今仍语焉不详,云山雾罩,讳莫如深。按党国文宣套路和尿性,可以想见必定是黑幕重重),应属心理素质强悍、胆大妄为(注:高某竟然在案发后举家租住在离其中一位受害者罗某家仅300米左右的白银棉纺厂职工宿舍小区长达6年(06~12年)之久!!!)
案犯之前应当是至少与(末案)受害者有过接触的,而且可以认为其应当是通过某种途径和方法抑或是利用其职业、身份的便利和掩护,套取获得了受害人的基本情况(未见后续报道,警方仅在破案后通报末案为:搭识同宿,从门进入!据女子身份疑为舞厅搭识,结合“98.1.16”案“舞厅常客杨某”,或可歪打正着指向凶手会跳舞。因警方尚未公布详情,这一点为揣测,尚无从查考)。
此处不一一赘述。
 “虑及民间或荒诞不经或危言耸听及以讹传讹之种种乱像,实云遮雾罩莫衷一是,故需吹尽黄沙竭虑思辨,方有利于厘清真相及得出较合理推论。”由于较好地做到了去伪存真、去芜存菁,故而规避了多数常见和众说纷纭的误区:如医生、屠夫说;未婚、单身、独居说;女性、少年、外国人说等。另外还有:
官方通报:“整个案件几乎没有目击者”;“(张欣)本想从这里面得到关于嫌疑人的身高、年龄等信息,哪怕蛛丝马迹也行,结果看下来心都凉了,几乎没有目击者”。就常识而言,“能在市区而且是大白天情况下连续犯下9起命案”,“案犯应当是有进行过观察、盯梢、跟踪,甚至是之前与部分受害者有一定程度接触”等情形的,“通常情况下案发前后应当是有目击、照面甚至是接触者的”(注:2016年8月份警方公布有“画像”,特别是新闻报道案发多年后证实存在和仍较容易找到目击者,而且不止一位!如腾讯新闻轻易就能找到的“余秀兰”夫妇及其邻居等。)
“感觉当年做了很多无用功。那时候,我们通过作案手法、心理等多方面的分析,将人群设定为高学历的青年男子。但没想到,他只是个没能考上大学的农民。”(2016-08-31《北京晨报》)(对于罪犯身份,《补充侦查思路》明确指出:“需要申明的是,在案发现场数次留下指纹和DNA证据的其实并非是什么高智商犯罪”,“一般意义上可能的无业、闲散人员、民工、流动人员、水电木瓦(油)漆工”等,并不能特定为“高学历”!)
“如今他们才知道问题出在哪里——高承勇户籍所在的兰州农村,因为排查困难,当时并没有录入指纹”。(2016年08月27日《新京报》)(实际上是“警方认定凶手是生活在城里的一个高学历犯罪分子,没有在周边农村地区开展检测”(2016-09-02 《参考消息网》)。《分析研判及建议对策》指出“不排除居住或户籍在周边县市、郊区及外地”,并且有几起案发时间节点很关键!故务须“省厅定准、统筹、协调和分工”,“举全省1/4警力,花上5年时间,也要破获此案”!)
相较于白银警方的失误,分析也避开和指出了《宣传提纲》里事先不易觉察的雷区:
在白银市区有独居条件。(推断错误,只能说“犯案时离异、分居和单独居住可能性较大”,“但亦不排除已婚及和家人一起居住的可能性。例如香港的雨夜屠夫林犯即和家人一起居住。另外广州有过类似案件,凶犯罗某有妻儿家庭”,并不能断言“独居”!而且“不排除居住或户籍在周边县市、郊区及外地”。)
有较严重的性变态心理,或者生理缺陷,特别是具有性功能间歇性障碍症。(这种结论浮于表象,主观性太强且逻辑性太弱,且非具象化特征,隐秘而高难,不具实操意义,应该属于错误推定或者说至少属无用推定,故未予采信。)
等等。
那么除了“正愁没人教,天上掉下个粘豆包”式的运气垂青之外,曾经的世纪悬案究竟有没有一些线索可以通向必然破案之路?难道除了倚靠科技进步及高某堂兄(党媒喂料称系高的堂叔在威远行贿)入瓮两巧立功显威外,就真的别无他法?
很显然,不同于“南大碎尸案”,白银案并非不可破之案:该案有具体和确定的指征(均留有第一现场;系列案件有共性;九起案件或有目击者;案犯数次留下了包括指纹、掌纹、足印、精斑等一系列可助排查凶手及具排他性、足以指证的痕迹物证等等),完全可以有条件对凶手进行确定和较精准的描述、刻画和勾勒,而排他性物证则更具极强的指向性!
况事后反思及逆推理,高某为跨过黄河铁桥即抵的彼岸青城农民,并且其还在白银累计生活了10多年!(高某在白银务工过几年;案发后举家租住在白银棉纺厂职工宿舍小区长达6年之久;在白银工业学校小卖部生活1年多。)
 被打得满地找牙却又全无还手之力的神探们安能无动于衷乎?在党媒喉舌火力全开的集体聒噪下,已得道升天的各路大神难道就甘受如此奇耻大辱不成吗?不需要为自己水平、能力、IQ讨个说法?多年煊赫声名尽毁于白银雁门关一役,难道就此望峰息无欲无求一心只往塞外牧马放羊不再过问江湖之事?
就凭公安部及刑侦局已把诸位来前儿的车票机票钱给报了,怎么着也得找找命门所在和破解之法,至少也该总结反思逆向推理一下吧!岂可潜身缩首,苟图衣食?
事后诸葛亮也行啊!怎么能灰头土脸不置一词就此隐忍别过?假如时光倒流有没有想法再跟高某重新比划几下?怎么个切磋法?
………
警方本次破案带有很大偶然性的成分,或者说运气的成分居多,更倚仗科技进步。其实如果之前牢牢抓住几点,或许就可以及早通过较精准涵盖庶无例外,以不只仰赖运气而是以更合乎情理逻辑、令人信服、最优排查的实力破案的方式呈现给公众:
一. 域内、周边县市可能具备作案时间和条件的:
0. 无业、闲散人员、民工、流动人员、水电木瓦漆工等;店主;技术人员及其他时间相对自由工作者等。
1. 外出、迁出人员,如入赘、在外购房、入户及经常或长期在外务工经商就业的(这种引发舆论沸反盈天的大案及迫于警方大规模排查的压力,大多数情况下案犯都应该会有规避举措,某种程度上算是打草惊蛇、敲山震虎)。
二.
1. 案犯应当是与白银有着某种内在的关联和渊源,宜重点排查案发期间及其后符合比对条件的(可据已知信息斟酌损益),分类梯次推进:
2. 在白银生活工作租住过,如店主、服务业、加工业、自由职业及其他工作时间相对灵活的工作者等;
3. 因工作需要常驻或长期往来白银的相关人员,如客货车司机、办事员、采购、批发商贩等;
4. 凶手对白银较为熟悉,不排除曾在白银上过学,及被寄养、过继、抱养,长大后重回父母身边或原户籍地的;
5. 妻子、女友、情人为白银户籍和有近亲属在白银的外地人(注:其后新闻证实其妻张×凤即为白银靖远人;其二子均在白银上中学;其二姐就嫁在事发地之一的白银水川镇;另外一个姐夫至今仍在白银开小商店)
6. 其它。
三. 推进对域内剩余和周边县市当中符合比对条件的普通人群的排查工作(视案发期间交通覆盖范围而定)(可在前述排查均不奏效的情况下为之,范围可先小后大)。
四. 加大悬赏额度,最大程度地调动发挥群众参与的积极性能动性,要相信和依靠广大人民群众的线索、智慧和能量。(人民的力量是无穷的,而且树上开花远交近攻,远胜彼隔靴搔痒光于外围逡巡,故可发动公众检举揭发。该案若精准抓住重点,完全应该可以收到“踏破铁鞋无觅处,得来全不费工夫”的奇效,而不必悬搁十数年,以致受尽讥诮怨怼!当然白银警方欲说还休、盲人摸象式的分析刻画有待商榷,部分甚至可说是应当预见和避免的偏差和谬误,这种纰误直接阻滞了案件侦破进程!
譬如直到2004年(首案发生16年后!)为应付舆论压力才不得不用《宣传提肛》代替可资破案必需要素之一的即时的《悬赏通告》,这是党国神探们及其体系的伟大创举之一!
必将永垂青史,万古流芳!!!
敬礼!
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由于分析推理有其内在的逻辑、关联和合理性,《分析研判及建议对策》和《补充侦查思路、建议及具体操作细节说明》,多处极为契合案犯的特征摹画和身份勾勒,多重火力交叉几乎完美命中了案犯!并不是完全“没有追寻线索”和“所有侦查方向都是无效的”,更绝非专案组专家所谓的“这个案子只有‘神仙下凡才能破了’”!
可谓是对白银案最精准的分析呈现,几近预判和洞见了该案走向,吊打党国专精贪渎的刑侦党棍们的逻辑推理,水准有如霄壤之别,高下立判!
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无耻者无畏,至贱则无敌。
卑鄙是卑鄙者的通行证。无耻他妈给无耻开门----无耻到家了。
这是组织性失序,制度性无能,诚哉斯言!
后人哀之而不鉴之,亦使后人而复哀后人也。
无解,一声叹息。
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andydiy123 · 5 years ago
Text
Analysis, Judgment and Suggested Countermeasures on the Perverted Murder Case of Baiyin Chain(Translating By Google)
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Recently, I learned about the silver serial perverted murder case on the Internet. After reading it, it is really shocking! Based on the limited information, thinking about the chaos of the folks or the whimsical or sensational or false, there is no agreement between the clouds and the fog, so it is necessary to blow up the sand and think carefully in order to clarify the facts and draw more reasonable conclusions. The sentiment is as follows:
One. The description, analysis and judgment of the known information of the murderer
1. The murderer chose to commit crimes in Baiyin City for many times. It should have some inherent relationship and origin with Baiyin: it is very likely to live or be a Baiyin citizen. There is no comparison, it may be omitted or evaded by the crime. Do not rule out living or household registration in surrounding counties, cities, suburbs and other places;
2. Divorce, separation and living alone are more likely when committing the crime, but the possibility of being married, single and living with family members is not excluded. For example, the butcher Lin in Hong Kong lived with his family on rainy night. In addition, there have been similar cases in Guangzhou where the perpetrators had families with wives and children;
3. According to the published information, there is no mention of the murderer's robbery, so it seems that the family material conditions may be better at that time.
2. The murderer did not continue to analyze the cause of the crime
1. Sickness, old age and infirm;
2. The offender goes to prison;
3. Take the initiative or leave Baiyin due to work changes, and later conduct large-scale investigations and notices, so that they smell the danger and stop, hide or lie dormant;
4. Discovery in conscience, discard evil and do good;
5. Suicide due to internal and external pressure;
6. Death due to illness or cause.
Note: The probability of 4 and 5 is extremely low; the author prefers the analysis of 1, 3, especially the possibility of 3 as the most. In addition, Baotou has similar tactics reported on the Internet. If the statement is true, the relevant analysis can be eliminated.
3. Ideas, countermeasures and suggestions
Although the murderer is extremely vicious, but his appearance may be more ordinary, or even looks loyal (does not rule out the possibility of weak writing or handsome). In view of the possible double-sided personality appearance that is extremely confusing, except for unemployed, idle workers, migrant workers, mobile workers, shingle electricians, etc., students, teachers, demobilized soldiers, technicians, shopkeepers, etc. Civil servants, cadres and children of wealthy families must also be included in the comparison. In view of the particularity of this big case, any possibility should not be easily eliminated!
The murderer can commit 9 consecutive homicides in the urban area and in broad daylight. In addition to being bold, he may also have better professional convenience, cover or disguise, such as water and electricity installation, waste purchase, deliveryman, police assistant, security guard, travel doctor , Meter reading, door-to-door sales, sales, cleaning, and other door-to-door service providers.
According to the known information, the perpetrator should have observed, tracked, followed, and even had close contact with the victim in advance. Under normal circumstances, there should be witnesses, face-to-face, and even contacts. However, due to the missed golden period for solving the case, especially the lack of effective witnesses, the only way to compare and compare is based on the evidence obtained:
1. The first and last two cases and the little girl cases in 1988 and 2002 should focus on the discovery of clues, which seems to be traceable (limited by space, not shown here). It is recommended to continue to strengthen the comparison work of tracking, molesting, molesting women, burglary, rape and other criminal deeds in the region, neighboring provinces, cities and counties, and Curry nationwide. A large number of cases prove that many big cases often start from small cases;
2. Focus on those who meet the comparison conditions in the middle and later stages of the investigation:
①. People who go out and move out, such as those who go to school abroad, join the army, go abroad, join the family, buy houses abroad, enter households, and often or long-term work and do business abroad;
②. Have lived, worked and rented in Baiyin, such as shopkeepers, service industries, processing industries, freelancers, etc. (specifically, it can be determined based on the comprehensive research and judgment of the crime scene);
③. Relevant personnel who need to stay or communicate with silver due to work, such as van drivers, clerks, purchasers, wholesalers, etc.;
④. The murderer is familiar with silver, and it is not ruled out that he had gone to school in Baiyin, and was fostered, adopted, adopted, and returned to his parents or his original residence after he grew up;
⑤. Wife, girlfriend, lover with Baiyin household registration and foreigners with close relatives in Baiyin;
⑥. Others (At present, the author is more inclined to think that the criminals were responsible for photographing and printing, discs and audiovisual rentals, book lending and sales, gold and silver jewelry cleaning, meal delivery, milk, clock and watch electrical repairs, beauty salons, shoe nail repairs, and delivery There are many possibilities for service providers such as dry cleaning and dry cleaning. The results of real-time and large-scale investigations and visits in the early stage, and the reasonable modeling and restructuring of comprehensive and intelligent reasoning about the detailed files of the crime scene may lead to more clear conclusions and directions.)
3. Promote the investigation of the general population eligible for comparison in the remaining and surrounding counties and cities (depending on the traffic coverage during the incident). The recommended range can be small first, then large, and then proceed;
4. Increase the amount of rewards, maximize the enthusiasm of the masses for participation, and rely on the clues, wisdom and energy of the masses.
Conclusion: In view of the large number of deaths, the long time span, the brutal methods, and the bad impact of this series of cases, in the case that the criminals may still be alive and may still commit crimes again, theoretically speaking, even if one quarter of the province’s police force is used, it will cost This case must be solved in 5 years! Therefore, we must strengthen our confidence and be brave enough to overcome difficulties. I believe that there are two "iron proofs" of fingerprints and DNA in hand, and in time, the devil will be restrained! ! (Part of the work needs to be determined, coordinated, and divided by the provincial government!)
                                                                                         Analyst: **
                                                                                          2016-02-18
最近在网上了解到白银连环变态杀人案,看后着实让人震惊!基于有限的信息,思虑民间或胡思乱想或耸人听闻或以讹传讹之种种乱像,实云遮雾罩莫衷一是,故需吹尽黄沙审慎思辨,方有利于厘清事实及得出较合理推论。陈情如下:
一.对凶手已知信息的刻画勾勒及分析研判
1. 凶手连续多次选择在白银市区作案,应当是与白银有某种内在的关联和渊源:极有可能在白银居住过或即为白银籍,没有比对中,可能是有遗漏或被案犯规避。不排除居住或户籍在周边县市、郊区及外地;
2. 犯案时离异、分居和单独居住可能性较大,但亦不排除已婚、单身及和家人一起居住的可能性。例如香港的雨夜屠夫林犯即和家人一起居住。另外广州有过类似案件,凶犯有家庭有妻儿;
3. 根据已公开信息,未提到凶手有劫财行为,故貌似其时家庭物质条件可能较好。
二. 凶手后来没有继续犯案原因分析
1. 患病、年老体弱;
2. 犯事入监;
3. 主动或因工作变动离开白银及后期大范围排查和通告打草惊蛇,令其嗅到了危险并因之收手、隐匿或逃遁蛰伏;
4. 良心发现,弃恶从善;
5. 不堪内外压力自杀;
6. 因病、因故身亡。
注:4,5的可能性极低;笔者较倾向于1,3的分析,尤以3的可能性为最。另网传包头有类似手法案件,若所言非虚,则相关分析可剔除。
三.  思路、对策及建议
凶手虽穷凶极恶,但其长相外形却可能较为普通,甚或貌似忠良(不排除文弱或帅气的可能)。鉴于其可能存在的双面性格表像极具迷惑性,除一般意义上可能的无业、闲散人员、民工、流动人员、木瓦电工等,学生、教师、退伍复员转业军人、技术人员、店主、公务员、干部及富家子弟等等亦均须纳入比对范围。鉴于该大案的特殊性,任何可能性都不应当被轻易剔除!
凶手能在市区而且大白天情况下连续犯下9起命案,除胆大妄为外,可能还有比较好的职业便利、掩护或伪装,比如水电安装、收购废品、投递员、协警、保安、游医、抄表、上门兜售、推销、保洁和其他需上门服务业者等。
据已知信息研判,案犯应当是进行过观察、跟踪、盯梢甚至是与受害者提前有过密切接触等的。通常情况下应当是有目击、照面甚至是接触者的,不过因错失黄金破案期,特别是缺少有效目击者,故只能根据已获证据进行撒网式摸排比对:
1. 88年和02年的那首尾两起及小女孩案,宜重点加强线索发掘,似应有迹可循(限于篇幅,此处不表)。建议继续加强域内、周边省市县及全国库里过往发生的跟踪、猥亵、调戏妇女、入室盗窃、强奸等前科劣迹和羁押服刑人员的比对工作。大量案例证明,很多大案往往肇始于小案;
2. 重点排查案发中后期及其后符合比对条件的:
①. 外出、迁出人员,如在外上学、参军、出国、入赘、在外购房、入户及经常或长期在外务工经商就业的等;
②. 在白银生活工作租住过,如店主、服务业、加工业、自由职业者等(具体可结合案发现场综合研判划定);
③. 因工作需要常驻或往来白银的相关人员,如客货车司机、办事员、采购、批发商贩,等等;
④. 凶手对白银较熟悉,不排除曾在白银上过学,及被寄养、过继、抱养,长大后重回父母身边或原户籍地等;
⑤. 妻子、女友、情人为白银户籍和有近亲属在白银的外地人;
⑥. 其它(目前笔者较倾向于认为案犯其时为摄影摄像洗印、碟片音像出租、图书出借售卖、金银首饰清洗、送餐送奶、钟表电器维修、美容美发、修鞋打钉、投递、干洗等服务业者的可能性为多。俟前期实时和大规模调查走访结果及案发现场有关翔实卷宗合理建模重构集智推理,或可得出更明晰的结论和指向。)
3. 推进对域内剩余和周边县市当中符合比对条件的普通人群的排查工作(视案发期间交通覆盖范围而定),建议范围可先小后大,次第进行;
4. 加大悬赏额度,最大程度地发挥群众参与的积极性,依靠广大人民群众的线索、智慧和能量。
结语:鉴于该系列案件致死人数多、时间跨度长、手段凶残、影响恶劣,在案犯或许仍然健在、仍有可能再次犯案的情况下,理论上讲,哪怕举全省1/4警力,花上5年时间,也要破获此案!故要坚定信心,勇于攻坚克难。相信有指纹和DNA这两样“铁证”在手,假以时日,定可缚住恶魔!!(部分工作需省厅定准、统筹、和分工!)
                                                                                         分析人:**
                                                                                          2016-02-18
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andydiy123 · 5 years ago
Text
Attachment: Supplementary investigation ideas, suggestions and specific operational details on the Baiyin serial murder case(Translating By Google)
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What needs to be stated is that it should not be a high IQ crime that left fingerprints and DNA evidence many times at the scene of the crime. If the investigation of the case can be restarted or continued, the author's judgment and analysis believes that there are still more than 80% The probability of solving the case.
Looking at the murder of a long-term hotel tenant in the series of cases, I believe that the Baiyin police must have devoted a lot of effort and done a lot of basic and extremely detailed investigations, visits, and comparisons. Why did they not solve the case in the end? The author believes that because the murderer is not at all the guests who registered and stayed in the hotel that day!
Why is it the long-term tenant who suffers instead of other short-term tenants? How did he learn that the victim was staying single, and exactly knew the room number? There are obviously a series of questions that need to be clarified.
Obviously, the criminal should have had contact with at least some of the victims before! And it can be considered that it should obtain the basic information of the victim through a certain way or method or by using the convenience and cover of his profession and identity! ! (In other cases, it seems that the analysis can be confirmed from the side.)
Here I suggest that you can also investigate or further verify:
1. Does the victim in the first case have watches, jewelry, gold and silverware, electrical appliances, walkmans, other audio-visual products, and electrical appliances that need to be repaired? Do they have books or movies?
Waiting with other preferences? At the beginning of the first case, there seems to be a trace to follow, or a clue can be seen.
2. Have all the adult young women in the same building in the girl's case been thoroughly investigated and visited? In the few days before and after the incident, were there any appointments, interviews, and who were invited or dated?
3. In the case of long-term tenants, has the visit and investigation really achieved the goal of seeing everyone and leaving no blind spots? Are there any omissions in the investigation of known personnel entering and exiting that day? Tenant within half a year
Are all investigations in place? (The foregoing analysis is based on the fact that the police have worked solidly to rule out the possibility of the murderer staying in the registered hotel)
4. During the period from 1988 to 2002, what are the service industries in Silver City that may or need to register addresses and personal information, or are they easy to obtain identity information and available information?
Occupations that can easily reveal their identity?
5. What are the hobbies of the 8 adult victims? Are there watches, jewellery, gold and silverware, electrical appliances, walkmans, other audio-visual products, and small electrical appliances that need to be repaired? Are there books, movies, female celebrities, and other preferences? See whether they can find their common points and the intersection with occupations that meet the above characteristics. Once they can be found, they are more likely to eventually point to the criminal’s occupational characteristics. This is extremely important. Based on this, there is even reason to believe that the case is not solved. Not far!
6. Others. I am constrained by knowledge and thoughtless. I hope I can add more and I hope I can make a fortune.
As mentioned in the previous article, the author is currently more inclined to think that the perpetrators are likely to be service providers such as photographing and filming, disc and audio rental, book lending and sales at the time (not repeated here). Of course, in order to ensure the detection of the case, the recommended range of exclusion can be determined as follows: Invite a large number of women who are of the same age group as adult victims, and have similar occupations, preferences, education backgrounds, interests, personalities, behaviors, and habits. , According to the local living customs, the specific public opinions are listed, and the final selection is to determine the scope of occupations that meet the aforementioned characteristics at the time and that women may be easily exposed to. The initial delimitation of the scope must be based on the principle of large and small. If so, although the scope of the investigation seems to be wide, the delineated area is small. It only needs to cover a limited space of more than 10 kilometers including 9 victims, and the direction is smaller than in the past, so a visit can be made. More refined. Combining the results of the early real-time large-scale investigations and visits and comparisons, and the reasonable modeling of the relevant and informative files of the crime scene, the rational modeling and reconstruction of Jizhi reasoning may be able to draw more clear and accurate directions and conclusions.
需要申明的是,在案发现场多次留下指纹和DNA证据的应该并非是什么高智商犯罪,倘能有所侧重地重启或继续对该案的调查,笔者研判分析认为仍有80%以上的破案几率。
且看距系列案件中的酒店长租客被害案,相信白银警方一定是倾注了大量心血,做了大量基础性和极为细致的调查走访、排摸比对工作的,试问为什么最终没有破案?笔者分析认为,因为凶手根本就不是当日登记住店和住过店的客人!
为什么受害的偏偏是长租客,而不是其他日租短租客人?其又从何得知该受害女性系单身入住,准确知晓其房间号的?等等,显然存在一系列亟待研判厘清的疑问。
很显然案犯之前应当是与至少部分受害者有过接触的!而且可以认为其应当是通过某种途径和方法抑或是利用其职业、身份的便利和掩护,套取获得了受害人的基本情况!!(其他几起似乎也较能侧面印证该分析)
于此笔者建议,还可排查或进一步核实:
1. 首案受害者是否有表、珠宝、金银器、电器、随身听、其他音响视听产品以及需维修的电器,是否有看书、电影
和其他喜好的等?于首案的肇始似应有迹可循,或可窥见端倪。
2. 女童案中同栋楼成年年轻女性是否全部详查走访到位?案发前后几日有无约人、受约谈事,邀约、约会的何人?
3. 长租客案,走访排查是否确实做到了应见都见、不留死角了?当日已知的进出人员排查有无疏漏?半年以内租客
是否全部排查到位了?(前述分析均系基于警方确已工作扎实无漏的情况下排除凶手在登记宾馆住宿的可能)
4.  88-02年间白银市存在哪些有可能会或者需要登记住址和个人信息的服务行业,抑或易于套取获得身份资料和可
能容易对其泄露身份的职业?
5.  8名成年受害者都有哪些兴趣爱好?是否同样有表、珠宝、金银器、电器、随身听、其他音响视听产品以及需维修的小型电器,是否有看书、看电影、女红及其它喜好等?看能否找出其共同点,以及与符合上述特征职业的交集,一旦能找出,则较有可能能最终指向罪犯的职业特点,这点极其关键,据此甚至可以有理由相信距最终破案不远!
6.  其它。囿于学识,思虑不周,望不吝补充,望能抛砖引玉。
如前篇所述,目前笔者较倾向于认为案犯其时可能为摄影摄像洗印、碟片音像出租、图书出借售卖等服务业者的可能性居多(在此不重复罗列)。当然,为确保该案件的破获,建议排摸范围可这样确定:邀访数量较多的与成年受害者同年龄段的,职业、喜好、学历、兴趣、性格、行为、习惯相近的妇女座谈讨论,依照当地生活风俗习惯具体众议罗列,并最终甄选框定其时符合前述特征的、女性可能会容易接触到的职业范围,划定范围初始务必秉承宁大勿小的原则。如是,排查范围貌似虽广,但划定的区域却较小,只需涵盖包括9名受害者在内的方圆约10余公里的有限空间内,且方向较过往为小,故排摸走访可更为精细。结合前期实时的大规模调查走访和比对结果及案发现场有关翔实卷宗合理建模重构集智推理,或可得出更为明晰准确的指向和结论。
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andydiy123 · 5 years ago
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Exclusive & Original & starter
Is Henry Lee an omnipotent detective or a fame?
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----"Detective", "King of Forensic Knowledge"  Henry Lee : Through the "forensic" magical skills, I succeeded in letting my father Li Dingguo (Li Haomin) die six or seven years early!(Translated By Google)
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Subtitles: My father (died) when I was four or five years old(This is Henry Lee reports himself in TV programs----author's note)
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Subtitles:(My father) died (when I was four or five years old) (This is Henry Lee reports himself in TV programs----author's note)
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In fact, Henry Lee was born in 1938 (November 22), and the famous Taiping shipwreck that caused his father's accidental death occurred in 1949 (January 27). Calculated in this way, he was 11 years old when his father died (the virtual age is 12, roughly equivalent to the age of 4-6 grades in ordinary elementary school). Obviously, this age should not only remember things, but also remember deeply (after all, the family pillar that supported all 13 children in the family collapsed, and family traditions turned into decline! This is in his frequent participation in various kinds of activities. There are self-reports in CCTV and local TV programs, so I have to take a look).
The so-called "king of forensic knowledge" is just such "forensic knowledge" (in fact, only memory is needed. Even if the memory is fuzzy, it is not difficult to draw conclusions by simple addition and subtraction. The famous Taiping shipwreck accident is also called "China's RMS Titanic", the time of its occurrence is as simple as checking anywhere on the Internet) his father's death!
It can be seen that it is not surprising that David J. Weinberg, Sean Henning & Ralph Birch, Hassan, etc. were wrongfully imprisoned by him!
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And it was exploded that the brown spots on the towel were used as blood stains, the animal blood was used as human blood, the hair that was not the victim was regarded as the victim, and other low-level errors, as well as the appearance of private possession evidence, such as violation of common sense and obvious personal morality. The flawed behavior is not difficult to understand.
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In addition, as a well-known "supernatural detective" and "contemporary Sherlock Holmes", he boasted that he "speaks with evidence", he also successfully identified his two fathers, Li Dingguo and Li Haomin,Created the absolute miracle of one son having two fathers in biology!
And Li Dingguo (1620~1662) was from the late Ming and early Qing dynasties. If he could live to this day, he would be 358-400 years old! Older than those ghosts who voted for Joe Biden in the underworld! Haha! ! (Li Dingguo. (1620~1662) One of the leaders of the Daxi peasant army in the late Ming and early Qing Dynasty, a famous general in the Yongli regime of the South Ming Dynasty. He was from Yulin, Shaanxi, and his family was farming. In the third year of Chongzhen (1630), the ten-year-old Li Dingguo participated The Zhang Xianzhong Uprising Army was also loved by Zhang Xianzhong, and since then embarked on the road of the peasant uprising and the subsequent resistance to the Qing ---- author's note)
What a weird flower!
He created a big joke in the criminal investigation world! !
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andydiy123 · 6 years ago
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马克思,人类史上杀人最多的邪神
各位看官,请问有谁知道世界上杀人最多的是谁??   日本军国主义精神领袖日本天皇?战争狂人希特勒?红色恐怖时期的列宁?大清洗时期的斯大林?红色高棉统治时期的柬埔寨领导人布尔波特?十年浩劫时期的“伟大导师”猫?菲律宾的马科斯?抑或是罗马尼亚的齐奥塞斯库?还是是朝鲜前领导人独裁者”天降大元帅”金大胖金二胖?
   统统都不是!!是创立共产主义邪说的卡尔·马克思---卡尔·海因里希·马克思,一位一生穷困潦倒神志迷乱心性倒错歇斯底里疯癫痴狂的犹太裔德国人!!正是这位猥琐可鄙的邪神将自己凭空勾兑捣鼓的邪说强行植入并致染了人类原本纯洁可布施的精神家园,人为将人类洁净的精神世界割裂成相互仇视对垒的若干思想阵营!!并导此后人类百多年的意识形态领域的虚空纷争混沌不堪!因了该理论在100多年的时间内全世界直接死亡人数累计近20亿!!!
   马克思的剩余价值理论及其共产主义邪说早已被证实纯属这位邪神学渣茶余饭后意淫附会自渎宣淫时闭门造车的伪科学,天朝偏还奉为圭臬!
   当经济的长足发展还不能倒逼��体改革,在民智已然开启的年代,在操弄民意、愚民教育和新闻钳制业已成为南辕北辙自欺欺人的笑柄,当共产主义早已堕落成为共贪同腐独裁国家的代名词,在信仰被无厘头式地打破而又无法适时建立的时代,在公权已异化为官员蠢猪般坚持制度自信的私欲和见不得光暗里使劲的窝里斗的奇葩国度,所谓的群体性事件可以想见必将是由自发到自觉地此起彼伏而又按下葫芦浮起瓢!    防民之口,甚于防川!民不畏死,奈何以死惧之?!虽终收遍枪支又如何?!秦朝收遍民间刀具铁器不也照样而且反而更快覆亡?!只长身体不长脑袋的人必定可怖!貌似衣食无忧的太平盛世其实危机四伏!!靠舆论钳制愚民教育新闻封锁专制独裁的国家就能管保高枕无忧长治久安?岂不闻导致前苏联最终解体的8.19事件才死了几个人?!!
关键什么时候什么才是压垮骆驼身上的最后一根稻草?不趁早改弦更张改弦易辙自适应世势而抱残守缺甘做鸵鸟坐失改革机遇期和窗口期的庸才不自裁就注定要被钉在历史的耻辱柱上甚或刨尸鞭尸!!!
山雨欲来风满楼,暴风雨来时必将摧枯拉朽! 
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andydiy123 · 6 years ago
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对南大1.19碎尸案的一点推理分析(中英文对照)
A Reasoning Analysis on the 1.19 Corpse Broken Case of Nanjing University(Translated By Google)
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一 . 总体研判概评
1. General evaluation
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与一般的看法不同,笔者认为彼时民风未开,受害者生前初入南京不久,兼及手機、QQ等即时通讯方式还远未兴起,甚至连BP机都还未进入寻常百姓家,旋即涉情甚至因此被害的可能性极其低微(当然还需考察和结合其是否之前有过恋爱史,还有对其性格、行为、关系网、关联人、生活轨迹等的分析,有待做一进步评估、研判、推理、认定或排除);而因仇被害的可能性也几近于零;仅凭被碎尸2000多块,就断言凶手为屠夫或医生,显然过于主观。这样的论断逻辑性自然较为孱弱。
因财被害也属几无可能。至于网传的为医学用途而当街掳人,罔顾女大学生鲜活生命及其重大影响的揣测妄断实不敢苟同。
Contrary to what is generally believed, the author believes that the folk customs had not yet been established at that time. The victims entered Nanjing not long ago, and instant messaging methods such as QQ and mobile phones are far from rising. Even the BP machine has not even entered the homes of ordinary people. The possibility of even being victimized is extremely low (of course, it is necessary to investigate and combine whether he has a history of love before, as well as the analysis of his personality, behavior, relationship network, related people, life trajectory, etc., which needs to be evaluated for progress. Research and judgment, reasoning, determination or exclusion); and the possibility of being killed due to enmity is also close to zero; it is obviously too subjective to assert that the murderer is a butcher or a doctor based on more than 2,000 corpses. The logic of such a conclusion is naturally weaker.
It is almost impossible to be killed for money. As for the online abduction of people on the street for medical purposes, the speculation that disregards the fresh lives of female college students and their significant impact is really disagreeable.
二 .基于已知和有限的信息,对动机的分析及因由
2. Based on known and limited information, analysis of motivation and reasons
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(一). 关于案件定性:笔者倾向于认为是医疗事故,或争吵、争执过程中意外失手造成的误伤、误杀,及拌嘴、口角引致的激情杀人,抑或存在概率较低的劫色可能性(临时起意的非预谋杀人),不完全排除变态杀人,而掳人取乐、绑架杀人等的可能性极其低微。
(二). 研判分析极有可能的案发地点:通过抛尸地点分布及囿于彼时城市客观状况及物质条件,倾向于认为南大周边包括青岛路附近有一定人气、规模的,适合工薪阶层、学生族群等受众闲逛、购物、��买的步行街、夜市及其周边的门市、铺面、档口(笔者粗估以南大南園宿舍区,更准确地讲是以囊括南大周边几处抛尸点的圆圈圆心为基点,方圆0.5-1公里之内。如万一实有必要至多再延展扩大至2、3公里或可),尤以青岛路、汉口路、广州路等附近路段为最,临街的民居其可能性则较小。
但几可排除校内作案可能,限于篇幅,此处不作赘述。
三 . 嫌疑人身份勾勒分析
(一).若确认刁失踪当日并未遇害:
笔者认为凶手为周边小诊所、小型医疗服务点医生及小药店、附近美容业、个体按摩推拿等服务业者的可能性为大;
(二).若刁当日即已遇害,则:
周边图书租赁售卖、摄影摄像洗印、礼品精品店等以及饮食、小吃店、碟片音像店、钟表电器维修、美容美发、干洗、金银首饰清洗、修鞋打钉等一、两个或少数几个人即可值守、具备作案时空的(尤以有獨立廚衛、倉儲、閣樓、夾層的為最),如以个体戶、夫妻店形式存在的小型服务业者的可能性居多(注:需可吸引女大学生入内)。故此,凶手为厨师的可能性存在,而屠夫、锅炉工的概率则极其低微。
不同于“白银连环强奸杀人案”,我认为该案件并不能完全排除2人或2人以上共同作案亦即存在辅助作案者的可能性,抑或是有知情人了解、涉及,特别是近亲属知情的情形。
四.现状及其阐述
(1) Regarding the characterization of the case: The author tends to think that it is a medical accident, accidental injury, manslaughter, and passionate murder caused by quarrel in the process of dispute, or there is a low probability of robbery (non-premeditated murder) ), the possibility of perverted murder is not completely excluded, and the possibility of kidnapping for fun, kidnapping and killing is extremely low.
(2). Research, judge and analyze the most likely location of the crime: according to the location of the dumped body and the objective conditions and material conditions of the city at this time, it tends to believe that the surrounding areas of Nantah University, including Qingdao Road, have a certain popularity and scale, and are suitable for working class. The pedestrian street, night market and its surrounding shops, shops, stalls (the author roughly estimated the dormitory area of ​​Nannan University, and more accurately the center of the circle encompassing several corpse-throwing spots around Nannan University) The base point, within 0.5-1 km radius, if necessary, it can be extended to 2, 3 km or more if necessary), especially in the vicinity of Qingdao Road, Hankou Road, Guangzhou Road, etc. It is possible for residential houses facing the street The sex is smaller.
However, it can almost rule out the possibility of committing crimes in the school. Due to space limitations, I will not repeat them here.
3. Outline analysis of the identity of the suspect
(1) If it is confirmed that Diao was not killed on the day of disappearance:
The author believes that it is highly likely that the killer will be nearby small clinics, small medical service point doctors and small pharmacies, nearby beauty industry, individual massage and massage service providers;
(2). If Diao was killed on the same day, then:
Peripheral book rental and sales, photography and camera printing, gift boutiques, etc., as well as food, snack shops, disc audio and video stores, clock and electrical repairs, beauty salons, dry cleaning, gold and silver jewelry cleaning, shoe nail repairs, etc. One, two or a few Individuals who can be on duty and have time and space to commit crimes, such as small-scale service industry practitioners in the form of individuals and mom-and-pop shops, are most likely to be (Note: female college students must be attracted to enter). Therefore, the possibility of the murderer being a cook exists, while the probability of a butcher and a boiler worker is extremely low.
Different from the "Silver Serial Rape and Murder Case", I think this case cannot completely rule out the possibility of two or more people committing the crime together, that is, the possibility of assisting the perpetrator, or that someone who knows knows and is involved, especially close relatives knows. Situation.
4. Current situation and its explanation
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四.现状及其阐述
错失黄金破案期,致只有受害者尸骸而无准确案发时间,且无第一案发现场,无影像资料,无直接目击者,无特定关系网和关系人,彼时案件甫发作案动机亦未能准确定性,侦查思路、方向错误,最关键的未知是否提取到了如指纹、DNA等将来能够直接指证凶手的痕迹物证、生物检材等。
曾经的犯罪现场和罪证也早已湮灭在时间的长河中,唯提包、胶袋、床单(尤其是旧床单的情况下)等似应可有迹可循。不排除随着科技进步,对该案重启侦查,以及利用微量痕迹检材重新提取检测出有效生物物证的可能!
Missing the golden time to solve the case, resulting in only the remains of the victim but no accurate time of the crime, no first scene of the crime, no video data, no direct witnesses, no specific network and related persons, and the motive of the case was also Failure to accurately qualitative, wrong thinking and direction of investigation, the most critical unknown is whether fingerprints, DNA, and other traces and biological materials that can directly prove the murderer in the future have been extracted.
The previous crime scenes and evidence have long been obliterated in the long river of time. Only bed sheets, etc., should be traceable. It is not ruled out that with the advancement of science and technology, the investigation of the case should be restarted, and the detection of the case should be re-extracted with traces of materials. The possibility of effective biological evidence!
五.结论
5. Conclusion
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符合大多数无头案的所有特征,笔者倾向于认为其在目前党国混沌倒错的体制下应当是无解的,会成为悬案,除非嫌犯自己暴露、自首,或有他人揭發(已近卅年,幾無可能),如部分报章里报道的英国伦敦白教堂区的��膛手杰克、美国黄道十二宫杀手那样死后留有线索,以及像平冈都案(“日本南大案”)嫌犯矢野富荣那样因车祸事故意外死亡而以诡异的方式呈现、明晰案情;抑或由知情者检举揭发披露,如河南亿万富豪杨志才杀人案;还有后世科学技术取得重大突破,物证鉴识重新获得认定等,如白银案、2019年获得突破的韩国华城案、安徽作家杀人案、1991年女学生萨拉·雅伯勒(Sara Yarborough)被杀案等。
注:若非要给出准确的破案率,勉强可算1-2%。不过若南京警方做了如下工作:事发时南大及鼓楼区靠近南大附近的、次正街门市门脸档口铺面,及临街的民居,尤以案件可能发生地的青岛路、汉口路、广州路附近的,已全部详尽登记建档、造册,同时周边建筑物、街景、场景等(特别是抛尸所涉重要场地,如体育场、大门(天津路)等)经由影视像等存档,布局构造等具备重现性、溯及性及可稽核性(应该可能性不大),若确有可指证的其他它证据,如血型、掌纹、身高、体重等,则破案率可达10%左右,而若是指纹、体液、DNA等,甚或某些情形条件下可升至95%以上。
如果仅为破案、研究案情计,不妨学习西人,恪守契约,严守律条,法定追诉期,依法寻求与案犯达成某种意义上的抵罪和解以及允许污点证人存在,以期促使案犯自首和坦陈内情,藉此或可有机会一窥这一名動天下悬案的堂奥。
题外话
透过党国无数错乱的葫芦僧判断葫芦案实例和层出不穷、推陈出新的冤假错案,特别是腌臜的白银案可以看出,失之毫厘谬以千里!
只有当公权力受到制衡和监督,滥权和枉法会被批判与追责,案卷证据材料等足够公开,冠猿尚存廉耻与道德感,不存在任何欺瞒和遮掩,相关信息不再失真和错乱,对案情的定性定向定准才有实质性意义!
党国极权苛政下,法度废弛,信仰崩塌,道德沦丧,贪腐日炽,遍地是灾!掌握公权的厂公们德不配位,沐猴而冠,反智愚弄洗脑毒蛊强奸民意盛行,廉价娱乐充塞视听,奶头乐麻痹公众、伤化虐民,悖论乱象背后深层因由一切皆属禁忌,所有的社会问题指向的其实都是政治问题!
而公安、刑界则更是恶棍当道,人渣遍地,党国所谓的神探们假公济私,罔顾公平正义,亦早已逐鹿名利场为先,讲求官运亨通,更深陷温柔乡中,表面上为人民服务云云,裱装得何其金玉其外,实则早已腐败溃烂不堪,尽是败絮其中!
这点从商洛龙治民案、白银案、广州罗树标连环杀人切割女性器官案、平舆黄勇案、昆明张永明案、佳木斯男童杀手宫润伯案、肇东蒋英库案、呼格案、念斌案、聂树斌案、深圳市杀人碎尸剥离人脸皮案、浙江叔侄冤案、新晃一中操场埋尸案、益阳李尚平案、孙小果案、冷水江兩高中生姦殺女教師案等各种典型大案、要案、冤案、悬案更加可以看出,党棍们的疏漏、低能、反智、无耻、下作,甚至是胡作非为、群体造孽等,可谓是多如牛毛俯拾皆是,令人触目惊心瞠目结舌,或已达臻今古罕有、无以复加的程度!
在公安系统内家丁们破案乏术、贪腐有方的猪瘟鼠疫仍旧肆虐蔓延,刑侦依然停留在吃大锅饭,破案过分倚重监控、刑讯逼供和獄偵耳目,却可以任意操控舆论尽情欺瞒吹撒,明明事后诸葛亮、事前猪一样,却可以恣肆胡说八道、自欺欺人的现行体制里,以及在依靠党控媒体,可以把意淫当自信,以无耻为机智,把公然说谎、脑控驭民,洗白污黑历史当作主旋律、正能量,硬要把尸位素餐的低能草包与贪渎宣淫的搅屎粪蛆们,通过苦难营销、悲情絮叨渲染美化成为公仆、英雄,依旧可以无耻地博取无脑公众的同情与好感的党棍文化套路横行下,势必缺乏必要的内生动力、外赋压力及破案所需的、起码的必备条件,所以南大案就是一池浑水,纵是福尔摩斯、亨特在世,对于该案的推理分析亦是难言绝对精准!更遑论橘生淮北则为枳,沽名钓誉、早已娱乐至死终究盛名难副的李神汉们亦同样不能免俗!                                                                                                       2016.2.18 初稿(持续调整更新中)
In line with all the characteristics of most headless cases, the author tends to believe that they should be unsolvable under the current party-state chaotic and inverted system, and they will become unsolved cases unless the suspect reveals himself or surrenders, as reported in some newspapers. There are clues left after the death of Jack the Ripper in the church district and the American zodiac killer, and the accidental death of the suspect in the Hiraokato case ("Nantai case") due to the accidental death of the car accident in a strange way, Clarify the facts of the case; or report and disclose it by insiders, such as the murder case of Henan billionaire Yang Zhicai; and the major breakthroughs in science and technology of later generations, and the recognition of physical evidence forensics, such as the silver case and the Hwaseong case of South Korea that achieved a breakthrough in 2019 , Anhui writer homicide case, 1991 female student Sara Yarborough (Sara Yarborough) murder case, etc.
Note: If you have to calculate the detection rate, it can barely be calculated as 1-2%. However, if the Nanjing police did the following: at the time of the incident, Nanda and Gulou District were close to the shopmen’s face stalls near Nanda, and the residential houses facing the street, especially those near Qingdao Road, Hankou Road, and Guangzhou Road where the incident might occur, were all Detailed registration and filing, and the layout and structure of surrounding buildings, street scenes, scenes, etc. (especially important venues involved in the dumping of corpses, such as stadiums, gates, etc.) are reproducible, traceable and auditable (should be The probability is unlikely). If there is direct evidence such as fingerprints, palmprints, DNA, etc., the detection rate can reach about 10%, or even more than 30% under certain circumstances. 
If it is only for solving the case and studying the case, it may be better to learn from the Westerners, the legal prosecution period, and seek to reach a certain sense of settlement with the criminal and allow the presence of tainted witnesses, in order to urge the criminal to surrender and confess the inside information, which may have an opportunity A glimpse of this world-famous outstanding case.
Digression
Judging from the countless series of erroneous gourd monks in the party and state, especially the pickled silver case, it can be seen that the mistakes are too far away. Only when public power is checked and balanced and supervised, abuse of power and violation of the law will be criticized. With respect to accountability, evidence and materials in the case file are sufficiently open, Guan Yuan still has a sense of integrity and morality, there is no deception or cover-up, and the relevant information is no longer distorted and confused. Only when the qualitative orientation of the case has substantive significance!
Under the totalitarian regime of the party and the state, the legal system is abolished, morality collapses, and corruption is rising day by day, and disasters are everywhere! The factory officials who hold public power do not match their virtues, they are crowned by monkeys, anti-intelligence fools, brainwashing poison, rapes popular opinion, cheap entertainment fills the audiovisual, nipples paralyze the public, hurt the people, and the deep reasons behind the paradox are everything All are taboos, and all social issues are actually political issues! The public security and criminal circles are even more villainous, and there are scumbags everywhere. The so-called detectives of the party and the state are pretending to be public and private, regardless of fairness and justice. They have long been ahead of the vanity market. They insist on prosperous officials, and are more deeply trapped in a gentle town, and on the surface they serve the people. , How golden and jade the mounting is, but in fact it has long been corrupted and festered, it is full of ruin! This includes the Shangluo Longzhimin case, the Baiyin case, the Guangzhou Luoshubiao serial murder and cutting of female organs, the Pingyu Huang Yong case, the Kunming Zhang Yongming case, the Jiamusi boy killer Gong Runbo case, the Zhaodong Jiang Yingku case, the Huge case, and the Nian Bin case, Nie Shubin case, Shenzhen homicide, broken corpse and stripped face case, Zhejiang uncle and nephew case, Xinhuang No. 1 middle school burial case, Yiyang Li Shangping case, Sun Xiaoguo case and other typical major cases, important cases, unjust cases, unsolved cases, etc. It can be seen that the omissions, incompetence, anti-intellect, shamelessness, mischief, and group crimes of the party sticks can be described as numerous, shocking and shocking, or have reached the level of rare in the present and beyond!
In the public security system, the swine fever plague is still raging and spreading. Criminal investigations are still eating a big pot of food. They rely too much on monitoring, prison detectives and torture to extract confessions, but they can manipulate public opinion to deceive and confess. Obviously Zhuge Liang after the event is like a pig before the event, but in the current system that can talk nonsense and deceive others at will, and relying on the party to control the media, you can regard adultery as self-confidence, shamelessly as a wit, and use blatant lies and brain control to control the people and wash white. The dark history is regarded as the main theme and positive energy, and it is necessary to use the low-energy straw bag of the corpse position vegetarian meal and the corrupt and profanity to stir the feces and maggots to become public servants and heroes through misery marketing and sadness. You can still shamelessly win the brainless public Under the circumstance of the party and stick culture of sympathy and favor, it is bound to lack the necessary endogenous motivation, external pressure, and the minimum necessary conditions for solving the case. Therefore, the Nanda case is a pool of muddy water, even if Sherlock Holmes and Hunter are alive. , The reasoning analysis of the case is also unspeakably accurate! Not to mention that the oranges in Huaibei are trifoliate, and Li Shenhan, who has long been entertained to death, is also unavoidable! 2016.2.18 First draft (continuous adjustment and update)
附该事件最新闻:南大碎尸案受害者家属起诉校方索赔百万,认为学校管理有过错
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andydiy123 · 7 years ago
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慎防滥用行业支配地位 杜绝广告学中的观念��力
——浅谈加多宝“二十二连败”背后的招黑体质 
  摘要:
成就今时今日加多宝的既可能是市场空白、差异化竞争的分羹均沾、凉茶消费的惯性导通与畅顺承接。特定的市场生态、特殊的消费习惯与取巧的竞业格局等成就了加多宝。
任由各种观念暴力蔓延,滥用和透支行业支配地位的营销非但不美,且行之不远。光有高话题性而没有高价值导向,只会扯大旗做虎皮抑或抓住鸡毛当令箭是无法达臻广告学奥义的。资本不垂怜弱者,成长不相信眼泪,这是诡谲商界的生存法则,虽残酷却真实!唯有恪守法规律条,在商言商,善尽策略智慧,此系制胜的不二法门,除此无他。
“红罐大战”等侵蚀的又岂止是拥趸对国货精品的拳拳挚爱?何尝不是对整个凉茶业的戕害??乱象之下勿使可与洋巨头比肩争雄之民族品牌耽于甚嚣尘上,殁于搅局乱拳,乃系正道。
关键词:
广告学;观念暴力
加多宝与王老吉的互撕乱掐,旷日持久,盖棺未定论,了犹未了。口水吐沫星子横飞,一篙打死一船人。其间波谲云诡,阴谋伎俩迭出,策略权谋、毒招损招狠招阴招频现,无所不用其极。剧情各种高潮迭起,煞是精彩纷呈,谍战大剧亦不过如此,堪称教学经典而又甚之。失利者仍奢望困兽犹斗,得势者却也未必志满意得。鹬蚌相争,渔翁得利。神仙打架,笑逐颜开的却未必不是各地方卫视!不过令争斗几无悬念、呈现一边倒的结果则暴露了太多加多宝自带的招黑体质:
其一. “得鸟者,罗之一目;一目之罗,不可得鸟。”成就今时今日加多宝的既可能是市场空白、差异化竞争的分羹均沾、凉茶消费的惯性与平滑过渡,亦可能是时无英雄、竞业暗弱、集体无意识及其群氓品格、小富心态,抑或是政策法规律条的蛮荒空窗等,令其可恣肆游走于法令边缘,以致赢者通吃。简言之,是特定的市场生态、特殊的消费习惯与取巧的竞业格局成就了加多宝。时无英雄,遂使竖子成名,所谓时势造英雄而已,岂是只有“红罐”可专美?
本来无一物,何处惹尘埃?“红罐”只是构成视觉识别系统(VI)的一部分,非核心竞争力。过度渲染和倚重“红罐”(包括新马甲“金罐”),昭示的其实是广告核心理念的混沌缺位和广告诉求着力点位的偏差,予人的是对自身品质的怯弱和产品力的乏善可陈,以及欠缺对受众消费心理感同身受式的精准掌握之观感。物无美恶,过则为灾。与狼共舞的时代,仰仗“红罐”包打天下的一根筋结结实实地撞了审美疲劳跟法理、现实的南墙。“红罐”纵有贪天之功,业已不能一招鲜吃遍天,如何能管保终生永世受用?世变时易,彼时鸡汤,此刻砒霜,守株待兔、刻舟求剑只会贻笑大方。
昨天的太阳,晒不干今天的衣裳。当“下火”“去火”等诉求业已滥觞,创新求变才是坦途,抱残守缺再作冯妇,可观性骤减。唯有独辟蹊径,不落窠臼,破除体制积弊,突破理念迭代的桎梏和产品升级的瓶颈,注重金元路线与口碑效应并重,通过持续地满足对“消费需求重新界定”的产品升级和创新、创意性营销,才能持续引领时代潮流,勇立行业之先。
其二. “正宗凉茶加多宝”。什么叫正宗凉茶??其它的凉茶都是假冒伪劣或者说不正宗的?充分竞争的非特许行业并不禁止后来者准入,这种拿大的黑社会作派注定了其如影随形导致招黑的体质!你见过正宗汽车奔驰、宝马,正宗手机苹果、诺基亚,正宗白酒茅台、五粮液云云没有?放任其恣肆宣传所谓“正宗”,其实昭示了行业无法抱团发展及其集体无意识,显露的是对整个行业的轻渎冒犯和充满了对孀妻弱子娘家没人式的藐视!
任由各种观念暴力蔓延,滥用和透支行业支配地位的营销非但不美,且行之不远。
其三. 贬损烈士营销事件,可谓是投石落屎坑——激起公愤,堪称营销史上的极大败笔,成为永难洗净的污点!恶俗营销虽可吸睛一时,然臭名昭著声名狼藉恶果之下,又岂是广告人、广告主可承受之重?
光有高曝光频度而没有高价值导向,只会扯大旗做虎皮抑或抓住鸡毛当令箭是无法达臻广告学要义的。远离低趣恶俗,才可能拥抱真创意。
广告实效来自对受众的针对性,而非广告人的自诩与陶醉。更关注感同受众的消费心理和诉求,广告讯息传达力才会根到底实。具体广告实施中宜秉持须教自我胸中出,笃行品位营销,采取精准占位,避虚就实,巧妙说辞,摒弃低俗噱头,少些靠挑战公序良俗搏出位的速成心态,打消冒渎消费者情感、尊严、智商的智障念头,特别是要坚决杜绝烧烤烈士式无厘头恶搞!崇奉品质立市,笃信花逢时发,持续提升品牌内涵,不断增加品牌美誉度,可渐次增强客户黏性。
其四. 举凡历年众口传颂之广告佳作核心广告语多为琅琅上口言近旨远之凝练意赅金句,如:“钻石恒久远,一颗永流传”“让我们做得更好”“滴滴香浓,意犹未尽”“天地至爱,关怀今生”“不走寻常路”“有巧思,无难事”等,鲜见晦涩拗口长句。“加多宝凉茶传承王泽邦创于清朝道光年间,已逾百年历史的凉茶配方”,此等饶舌长句,大体可解读为基于强不知以为知之上的低俗撩骚,部分显现的是暴发户造谱牒、野孩子认父亲式攀附心态。但脱贫乍富未改草根基因,锦衣华服遮掩不了土鳖底蕴,彰显了人才逆淘汰机制之下,蜀中无大将廖化作先锋的窘境,叹之惜之。
其五. “反映中心”误作“反应中心”“已日渐式微”“假冒伪劣产品的行为”等等一系列词不达意不知所云的表述错乱,竟然常年挂在网站醒目位置,委实吊诡非常。足见其缺少良才善用能者居之的人才遴选机制。“入其朝,不闻直言”,同时亦昭示缺乏咨诹善道察纳雅言的企业文化与从善如流闻过则喜的悦评纳谏护佑体系。
见微知著,一叶知秋。笔者纵观其业者从文字水平至理论理念均似较为孱弱,更遑论构思精妙神来之笔甚或一役功成之优异创意。企业管理过度行政化,体制、文化欠缺应有的开放包容性,创意创新乏善可陈,偏执守成就自在情理和必然。
其六. 天下英雄谁敌手?曹刘。生子当如孙仲谋。三国演义中司马懿云:“我与你家丞相交手数番,互有胜败,其间妙计层出不穷可算是兵家之快事。”沧海横流方尽显英雄本色,抵牾人生诚能棋逢敌手,亦足可快慰平生。君可曾见二十二连败而不思悔改乎?
脑筋不会急转弯,当然容易撞树上。撞了南墙也不回头,一心冒险只求自戕又岂能尽用示弱策略可解释得通?如此执拗尿性世所罕有,其状可悯,其行可议,其智可叹!
没有人可以站在道德批判的制高点上指摘,示弱营销、悲情絮叨及冒险策略或只可聒噪图快一时。在成功学被奉为圭臬的当下,公众只会更崇拜强者!草根的自我标识、强化和强烈暗示,降低了格局,加深了突破藩篱的难度。“爱之欲其生,恶之欲其死”,激发热烈情感共鸣才能持久热络,掌握制胜之钥。
成长不相信眼泪,这是诡谲商界的生存法则,虽残酷却真实!唯有在商言商,善用法规律条与策略智慧,此系制胜的不二法门,除此无他。同情抑或毁谤,皆不改其势。
如是,招黑之处颇多,不一一赘述。
鸠占鹊巢,煮豆燃萁,莫此为甚。恶俗缠斗,龃龉互黑,无有赢家。搅屎棍子打乱仗,污糟乞人憎。“红罐大战”销蚀的又岂止是拥趸对国货精品的拳拳挚爱?何尝不是对整个凉茶业的戕害??
守成有余,拓新不足,此系涉讼的心因性痼疾。故非得有刮骨疗伤、断臂求生式的勇气与魄力,斩断虐恋情丝,才能抵御抗拒隔夜旧梦的撕扯,才不会穿新鞋走老路。
“天行有常,不为尧存,不为桀亡”,“与其誉尧而非桀,不如两忘而化其道”。乱象之下勿使可与洋巨头比肩争雄之民族品牌耽于甚嚣尘上,殁于搅局乱拳,乃系正道。
会心今古远,放眼天地宽。兄弟阋墙,外御其侮。深耕传统凉茶市场,国货当自强,愈民族愈世界,应仍是大有可为。
攘外必先安内。在强调开放、融合、共享、多赢的移动互联时代,需秉持求同存异、和而不同的理念,摒弃非白即黑非友即敌的传统两极化思维。孤芳自赏弗若同气连枝和衷共济,只有努力抱团发展,强化行业自律,才能通经活络、身心俱健。社会惰化效应只会影响和削弱彼此对凉茶这一本土特色饮料品类的深耕和振兴。
“站在风口上猪都能飞起来”的至好至坏年代,“其兴也勃焉,其亡也忽焉”,构建、创设抑或解构、颠覆只在倏忽之间。“两个老鳖一锅汤,三个农民搞灌装”,因行业缺乏自律所导致的偶发、暗黑事件抑或媒体的追踪报道、曝光揭丑对行业造成重创,进而触发行业危机的案列并非个案孤例,亦毋庸讳言。只有打破影响自身所在饮料品类整体向好的种种不安全“魔咒”,才能真正一骑绝尘笑到最后!相较于对手的搅局与咄咄逼人,慎防从众心理下的观念暴力,力避网络谣言对自身及行业的抹黑、诋毁和污名化更值得未雨绸缪,可走得更远。
不畏浮云遮望眼,时穷节乃现,变则通幽。宜首当求诸贤明,杀跌止损,纾困突围,务求再造辉煌。“伸手摘星,即使徒劳无功,亦不致一手污泥。”胸中有丘壑,自不会坐困愁城。好风凭借力,站对时代风口,或可跳脱被贴身紧逼短兵相接之泥淖。
“渡尽劫波兄弟在,相逢一笑泯恩仇。”若得“相离之后,更别相憎。一别两宽,各生喜欢”,则实属国货之幸,国人之幸。
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andydiy123 · 7 years ago
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美中贸易战因何而起?
川普在联大演讲,凡是实行共贪猪意的国家都伴随着贫穷、饥饿、运动、斗争、杀戮、团体灭绝等,猪意带来的只有苦难!
刁包却偏说马克思是千年第一的思想家,公然为猪意张目!全世界弃若敝屣的搅屎棍竟然被拿来做哭丧棒,邪帝毛二果真是马教的孝子贤孙!
而且中共利用国民积累的物质财富大肆金援摇摇欲坠的三胖政权���并向伊朗等国输出长城防火墙技术,公然对抗主流价值,已成为朝鲜、俄罗斯、伊朗等邪恶国家背后的大金主!!中共这一邪恶组织正成为川普总统制裁邪恶轴心、荡平独裁体制的绊脚石!
所以美中贸易之争从根本上说两种完全对立社会制度及其意识形态的正邪之战,不可调和!
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andydiy123 · 7 years ago
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全民共振将至,刁包命运若何?
装逼遭罪,做戏太累!
包子靠得住,母猪能上树!
如果说温加饱的欺骗性表演可算是影帝级别的话,那么不学无术而又热衷装逼,喜好掉书袋更疯狂大撒币,猪脑里尽皆文革遗毒及人斗思维,一嘴的文革语言,人送雅号“戏精平”的包子其只会掉粉的恶心作秀、婊演只属群演、汁男水平,而且不能带任何台词!否则像通商宽衣、岿然不动、萨格尔王、吃饱了没事干、撸起袖子加油干(撩起裙子使劲干)、守住共产党的家业、人均GDP8000万美元、不以追求贸易逆差为目标、扛二百斤麦子走十里山路不换肩、抽出时间来游泳一天一千米、疯狂宇宙掀翻小池塘、金科玉律、颐使气指以及一不输出革命,二不输出饥饿和贫困,三不去折腾你们,还有什么好说的等脑残、逗逼、笑场式语录就会经典恒久远,世界永流传!
习歪嘴这个志大才疏、蠢猪笨驴式的悲剧人物虽然在共贪猪意这个逆淘汰的粪坑体系下,由于劣币驱逐良币的缘故阴差阳错得以山中无老虎,猴子称大王,因而其可以顺利摘桃,侥幸荣登大宝,但毕竟是德不配位有气无力!
残忍暴戾的梦帝虽然蝇营狗苟地练就了一身娴熟搅屎、人神共愤的本领,纵然一直在顽固和嘴硬地叫嚣要守住“共贪党家业”,但在全世界大多数文明国家和以川普为首的良心政治家们摧枯拉朽的大力围剿下,邪恶而残暴的共贪猪意还是日薄西山、气若游丝、摇摇欲坠!
实际上自打无德无能、没脸没皮的刁包上台伊始,已注定了它纵使一万个不愿意,也抵挡不住浩浩荡荡的历史潮流,最终会被动成为这个悖谬时代下坚定而绝决的掘坟者和埋葬者!
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andydiy123 · 7 years ago
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写给行将撞树的猪
你用一生的隐忍和龟缩
终于换来践行你的毛魔情结和权谋
毫不避忌吃相的你
已然一念成魔
要决绝地追随齐奥塞斯库
好基友 好朋友
喝完断背的酒
决计了却残生一起撞树
你一意修宪
岐山会陪你同尿一壶 
宁可被钉上历史的耻辱柱
千秋骂名共同背负
也不愿罪愆被救赎
你执念用残暴冷血冤案牢狱
和太多贪官的滚滚人头
红二代们的惊天财富
以及彭明、晓波们的性命
映红自己帝王的底裤
景山上的歪脖子树   
早已长成参天巨木
足够茁壮
仍旧葱绿
恁是吊起两头肥猪
也足以经受得住
曾有小红梦雪
现有酷吏夏傅蔡陈孙王无数
鸡贼梦见猪
和窃国大盗鬼子六
陪侍民贼独夫左右
通往黄泉的末路
你无冢的孤魂或许不必���终
飘荡、游离和落寞
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andydiy123 · 7 years ago
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刺杀习正恩  解体共贪党
刺杀习近平  解体共贪党
大伪似真,大谬近正。
倾巢之下,岂有完卵?
很多人忘了,对专制独裁统治感到恐慌的又岂止普通平头百姓?毛时代被打倒的刘少奇、彭德怀、贺龙、邓小平、包子他爹等又何曾有过片刻的安全感?
包子上台5年多,倒行逆施、丧心病狂,胡闹瞎搞,可谓是了无政绩,乏善可陈。它只能用无数贪官的头颅和鲜血祭旗,或才能少许蒙骗部分无脑群氓。它用贪官们的染红了自己的帝王梦!!从周永康、薄熙来、令计划、徐才厚郭伯雄到?,还有军队里面的如:
将军们,若不假以法治的轨道,请问又有谁感到安全?随时会被隔墙扔砖头式的反腐拿下!全看独夫暴君的心情!!
而且包子无能无德,只是靠反腐抓权,根底浅!对军队的掌控看似滴水不漏实则危如累卵!一旦?则溃于千里!
甚至连王岐山、蔡奇、孙力军、傅政华、王晓洪、李鸿忠、夏宝龙等都未必安全!在独裁者眼里,没有什么是绝对可靠的,他们就是安全套、卫生巾、厕纸,用完就可以扔!毛时代,连林副统帅、周太监、邓矬子等都有随时被卸磨杀驴的清洗可能,
堡垒最易从内部被攻破!所以一旦全民抗命,全民上街,军方恰恰就是我们最可靠、可以争取以的对象!!
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andydiy123 · 7 years ago
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自作孽不可活
------从公众品评包子哥元旦献词蠡测其做作与作呕
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对比各国领导人的新年贺词,最差劲的就是习。全程1500多字,给我的���觉他非常勉强,几乎硬撑下来。呆滞的表情、生硬的词汇、看不到眼神的表情…谁能从他的贺词中感受到中国的新年新期待?这个社会已经全面退化了,我朋友圈里的很多家长发孩子元旦聚会表演的节目,几乎全是文革式的服装、表演、情绪。21世纪的今天 还在以这种方式强化意识形态,真令人咋舌!更加可悲!这也充分证明了这个执政党的危机感、脆弱感!2018恐怕会有更多大戏上演,只是苦了老百姓。
上联:习自说自话独角戏 下联:人傻里傻气做主席 横批:2B NO.1
包子狠心狗肺、視民如螞蟻,無預警地驅趕所謂低端人口!
习近平的倒行逆施,将给中国老百姓带来比毛更严重更恐怕的迫害。
逃过2017未必逃过2018,天朝的经济在迅速的萧条,民众的怨气的在迅速的提高,觉醒的人数也在飞快的增加。包子能夺到权也不知道能享受今天。        
春節前後必出大事,所有低端人口會聯合起來抗暴!中國共產黨必亡包子再反腐下去就露馅了!包子说反腐永远在路上,得了老年痴呆症了还是脑痿缩了!真老虎一个也不追究了吗?成群的苍蝇留给人民吗?黑帮们不黑吃黑了,要重组了?驱逐人民~停了!煤改气~停了!拆牌匾~停了!死亡之路~停了!反腐~停了!草包!你除偷送油给三胖!大撒币没停!你还有个球脸赖在台上!!!    
习特勒傻包子,哈哈哈哈哈
十九大后,傻大头的丑陋面目已经显露无余!
安得广厦千万家,驱赶寒士俱离城。
伊朗人民走上街头了,新的一轮64还有多久?2019年?    
习在让300多万底层百姓有了温暖的家的时候正好在喝粥呢,差点呛到了,这小子说鬼话都不会脸红了哈哈...吃呛了有点不礼貌不过往后还吟杜甫先生的诗句大概就纯属恶心人吧?
看包子的新年讲话,居然还有脸提“大庇天下寒士俱欢颜”?
包子习抵制圣诞,却又发表元旦圣谕,这个2B真是人格分裂
大庇天下寒士俱欢颜这句话确实太讽刺了 谁给习总写的新年贺词啊 这不是高级黑吗 还是自己黑自己?
安得广厦千万间=驱赶低端人口。包子言行不一,说谎都不带打嗝的。
不需要包子虚伪贺词,只要他和狗党滚蛋!滚到TMD俄罗斯老家去!
包子习一向是言行不一!    
“扶贫“口号各个党魁都在喊,结果呢?除了少数官员富了或升官外,民众得不到什么好处。死胖子继续玩这种把戏,只能自欺。
现在不比89中共要再敢开枪死的越快。    
空房子怎么可能会白白分给老百姓,那不乱了,驱赶低端人口的后果就是直接造成用工成本上升,人民多付出很多钱,北京生活成本太高,已经不太适合中低端人口居住,中国正在步入智能化国家,失业率会进一步上升,竞争会更加激烈,不知道之后会成什么鬼样子。
毛贼,1949到1976,到死,搜遍谷歌百度,也没给中国人发一个新年贺词,他的铁拳下中国人不需要欢乐,团聚。操他妈毛泽东,中国人也不需要他的贺词。中国人都会咒毛贼遗臭万年。林彪为中国人活祭毛贼,天安门好多次,万碎,碎尸万段。  郭说的对,3年换人,要么换总书记,要么换党!不是谁要换,是历史的必然,没人能救,没人能改变。        
新年贺词,习近平突然改调,对某件大事只字不提,势头不妙 不提反腐。。。    
看国内门户网站的首页,感觉baozi是经济学家。。
中共现在是背信弃义,全天下都没有一个真心朋友,太可怜!
刚把人撵出去挨冻,就大庇天下寒士俱欢颜,中国的好演员都当政客了!    
输入法打出“包子”两个字,接着竟然自动弹出个“习”字。。。。。。嘿嘿,果然是大数据时代
撸袖子加油干,给人感觉就是粗鲁,落后,感觉粗人要开始蛮干了。
越宣传什么就越缺什么,这话放之四海而皆准!
习包子的精准扶贫:副部长老爸领扶贫款
如果担忧困难群众就不会花四百亿美金去乘一次皇家马车了。宽衣跑步进入共产主义吧。
包子把他爹的老脸丢个尽。
习包子伪善真恶心!
我不相信独裁者的伪善有半点诚意:黄鼠狼给鸡拜年
傻子都知道只会更左,真不知道对包子还能有什么幻想?
撸起袖子加油干,领上老婆使劲撒 ——【包子扯蛋】
初中生能说出个 撸起袖子加油干也就不错了,之前g20那个宽衣通商大家忘了么?
有钱援外、无钱民生【习包子令人恶心到极点】
习特勒好话说尽坏事做绝
撸起袖子摸石头,只摸石头不过河。 永远呆在河里摸,中国政坛骗子多! ——从红太阳到刁太大!
包子不哭站起来撸!
国贼习近平,国妖彭丽媛!
包子就是傻包子大撒比!
包子快滚下来吧 可别在丢脸了!
包子的意思大概是:使劲撸,加油干……
问川普君能有几多愁?恰似包子给三胖偷送油。
权力的傲慢导致他们势死与人民为敌 。看包子检阅 军队时候的嚣张气焰和草包的样子就知道人民的灾难又一次的降临。。。
傻包子为了体现自己的新时代,处处劳民伤财。这个文革时代产生的二杆子治国无方扰民弄权有术!
一切都是为了控制军、警,包子习现在的状况是风声鹤唳、草木皆兵。。。。说不定,再过2天,他真的会颁布圣旨:清除北京城内的所有草木,不允许有任何风声!草包菜7又有事情要做了。。。。。
什么国旗?分明是一块中共底裤的布料。天下是人皆知:在这个国家,唯中共独尊;人民不是这个国家的主人。  习包子大SB!
意料中事。有什么改变,就是习禁品到了尽头的日子。只是这日子不知那天才到来?
伟大导师伟大領袖伟大舵手伟大统帥习主席万歲!万歲!万万歲!
抽空谈一下纳粹中共在新疆所作所为。
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andydiy123 · 8 years ago
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民意可用而不可欺
——由腌臜的白银案蠡测党国共贪体制下的倒错、空转系统(纯净版)
白银案后续概略:被告人高承勇涉嫌犯故意杀人罪于2016年8月26日被白银市公安局刑事拘留,同年9月30日被白银市公安局逮捕。白银市人民检察院以被告人高某某犯故意杀人罪、强奸罪、抢劫罪、侮辱尸体罪,向白银市中级人民法院提起公诉。法院在进行程序性审查后,于今年5月2日依法受理了此案。
嫌疑人高某某涉嫌故意杀人、强奸、抢劫、侮辱尸体一案于7月18日上午在白银市白银区人民法院不公开开庭审理。
……
白银案里信息发布及对新闻的审查和管控达到了令人咋舌和堪称变态的程度!从耳朵起茧的“1988年案发至今,白银公安局换了8任局长”“案发时,白银公安系统共有民警约250人参与了此案侦查,他们都背负着阴影生活、工作”“那时科技不发达,指纹比对全靠人工” “光是专案组长就退休了两任了,但是始终没有放”等说辞,到而今所谓的“不公开开庭审理”,诡异腌臜与欺骗隐瞒并存。
事出反常必有妖!严控其实正说明了背后有着太多的黑幕和猫腻!!
假如时光可以重来,又有多少丑行等待揭开?
案件已经审查终结,嗜血狂魔高承勇都被提起公诉、审理(不公开)了,央视记者采访高某本人也已近一年,视频为什么一直不让播出呢?还要继续遮丑和掩盖吗?
另外还有很多疑问:
那位向张欣提供画像素材的女工夫妇看到的究竟是不是高承勇本尊,还是精神有问题的武疯子?能否让女工夫妇和高承勇当面轧对?
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而腾讯新闻记者28年后轻易就能找到的幸存者“余秀兰”及其邻居接触和目击的行凶者据信才是高承勇真身,能否证实确认?其向白银警方提供的兰州口音、凶手身高约1米78左右等等线索为何没有被采纳?
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还有,高某究竟通过什么途径搭识白银系列案末案受害者陶乐春宾馆长住客朱某的?其进出宾馆前后究竟有没人看到?
此外央视自己的发问谁来解答:
高承勇为什么会对这么多女性痛下杀手?同一地点作案,难道就不怕警方将其抓获吗?98年顶风连续密集犯案4起又有什么心理诱因?
其到底经历了什么样的心路历程,遭遇了哪些重大转变或变故,具体是哪些因素导致其堕落、嬗变成连环杀人恶魔的??
等等。
连公布事实真相的勇气和公开谈论的意愿都没有,又谈何公开透明客观公正?更遑论专业廉明高效通达了!!欺瞒吹撒、公信丧失下无怪乎警民对立、群体性事件多发高发!
世界潮流浩浩荡荡,顺之则昌,逆之则亡。瓮安事件、海南拆迁视频、邻水事件、肇庆PX事件、湖北石首大规模骚乱、乌坎事件、启东事件、什邡事件、连云港“反核废料“事件等全国每年十余万起所谓“群体性事件”,及甬温动车事故、东方之星沉船、上海踩踏事故、天津爆炸案等,每一个具体、生动而真实的案列都是推动鸡国不可逆民主化进程的孵化器,成为掘坟与民为敌、罪恶昭彰制度的推手!这是社会、时代的进步!!
目前全国具有大学文化程度的有12234.1万人,近年高校毕业生每年都是以7、800万人计!2016年中国公民出境旅游1.22亿人次!移动互联世代地球村信息交互、公民力量的发展、民意的勃兴又岂是舆论钳制、思想禁锢的愚民体系下的党棍们所能操控、压制的?!作为曾经全球轰动的知名悬案,破与未破都注定会成为惊世传奇,又岂是只手可以遮天,一纸封口令所能封杀的?任何螳臂当车掩耳盗铃式的遮丑掩盖都只会是欲盖弥彰贻笑大方,止增笑耳!
甘蒙喋血,一时多少豪杰!白银惊天大案可谓是兴师动众大费周章,庶几动用了全国刑侦界大半豪华阵容,大内高手粉墨登场近乎倾巢而出:“2001年‘白银案’公安部督办”“百密无疏、国产福尔摩斯、八大首席之乌国庆”“刑侦界神笔马良、首席模拟画像专家张欣”“公安部八大专家”际会“驰誉美帝之华裔神探李昌钰”“2002年公安部再次组织专家‘会诊’”“公安部工作组先后4次带领刑侦专家赴白银市、包头市研讨案件”“公安部将该案定为部督案件,在以后的几年中,多次派出刑侦及法医专家与甘肃省公安厅刑警总队成员组成专家组对案件进行会诊”“全国最好的犯罪心理学家,去了好几个,顶尖的都去了”“上百位刑侦专家来来去去” ……
如此这般冠盖云集,本应是旌麾所指坏怂束手,孰料一众侠士竟然尽皆掉粉脱漆黯然失色,全部望峰息心江郎才尽!悉败于彼岸青城一进城民工锋刃之下!
大江东去,浪淘尽千古懵逼废柴人物!各路位列仙班的神探们应该都是憋着一股气,最后却只是放了几个屁:“没有追寻线索”“所有侦查方向都是无效的”“当时在专案组的专家和张欣说,这个案子只有’神仙下凡才能破了’!”(2016年09月10日《新京报》)
试问数百名中外刑侦大咖应召雷同云集、接续数十年的白银会战,缘何却成吃相不雅众神探跌份掉粉的大乱斗?本该是几十年道行已臻修仙得道的巨擘大拿们群英荟萃、呈泰山压顶之势的诸神围歼之战缘何惨变盲人摸象、萝卜开会,竟不敌一两番高考落榜的失意农民?
很显然,其中之一就是党国体制下阉党厂公们罔顾民意民智,刑侦也喜欢走隐瞒矿难的套路,连坦陈白银案案件发生、公开承认舆情属实的底气都没有!特别是98年一连发生4起同类型女性遭受强奸和残杀的系列惨烈命案,都不敢公开基本案件事实以警示市民、提高公众防范意识、震慑阻嚇犯罪和即时向社会公开征集破案线索,甘肃省厅都没有统领周边各市局协力办案,未做到“定准、统筹、协调和分工”等等无能乱象,硬是把有一定难度但有诸多共性、众多证据指向和排他性物证的系列恶性案件集体拖延、掖藏成了举世瞩目、名动中外的世纪悬案!!更遑论充斥其间的钳制操弄、掩盖遮丑、诓骗促狭、盲目护犊等腌臜污秽乱象!而瞎猫碰个死老鼠自然也不是令人信服的破案方式,藉之无脑跪舔吹嘘则更属一叶障目不见泰山!!(“直到2004年,基于传言众多、社会影响太大,再不公布案情已无法向社会交代,白银市公安局才公布了一份《白银市公安局侦破系列强奸杀人案件宣传提肛》,证实了‘白银确实出了个杀人狂’不是一个社会传言。”)
在利为民所谋、权为民所用的、情为民所系,共贪党是代表最广大人民根本利益、代表先进生产力发展要求、代表先进文化发展方向等一系列的谎言聒噪和无耻忽悠下,在集体失能噤声、掩盖拖延与揽功推过、刑侦吃大锅饭等一贯的潜规则横行与造孽中,14年里11条鲜活女性的生命就此倏忽而逝!
邪党恶棍们视人命如同草芥竟至于此!!!
与此相反,病急乱投医,抓住鸡毛当令箭,竟然把一位行为、举止怪异乃至身高、体重又或者年龄等明显不符,疑似精神不正常的武疯子作为嫌疑对象描摹追踪,用尽洪荒之力孜孜以求18年,唱起了一出新时代扯大旗作虎皮、眉毛胡子一把抓的瑰丽刑侦大戏,不啻是现代版的指鹿为马,洵为最可大书特书、尤为奇葩的乌龙事件!白银、甘肃警方不放弃不泄气只便秘,会炫技会吹逼会演戏,虚怀若谷嘉言懿行,刑事之专业、高效、超能,简直是惊天地泣鬼神,令到万民敬仰,后世畏威怀德,可谓是空前绝后、旷古绝今,足可彪炳史册万古流芳!!
白银案里公安系统的莅事厂公们各种呕心沥血披肝沥胆,鞠躬尽瘁死而后已的精彩表演,举全国精粹刑侦力量全心全意为民服务的传奇刑侦故事,绝对应该入选FBI、苏格兰场、警视厅、警察厅、港澳警务处等教学典籍,成为永世传颂褒扬的经典教案!!!
时值甘蒙8.05连环强奸杀人案案发多年搅得两地天崩地坼鸡犬不宁,居民人心惶惶人人自危惊恐莫名之际,“代表人民最根本利益”、跟甘蒙8.05案有涉的王司徒们又有何作为?且看:1997年11月13日,原白银市公安局长翟某因非法倒卖黄金被开除公职并被判处有期徒刑7年。案发时历任内蒙古自治区公安厅刑侦处副处长、处长、厅党委委员、副厅长的伟大诗人、作家和大发明家赵黎平正在屁股决定大脑、用下半身思考,倾尽毕生公安实践和刑侦经验只为后来持枪对付、绝命追杀情妇!而刚刚被查的重庆市公安局局长,因拥有包括价值20多万元的江诗丹顿和逾八万元的劳力士等多块名表,被戏称为“新一代表叔”,并被港媒爆料曾以价值约3000万元的珠宝向周永康行贿的何挺,彼时正历任公安部刑侦局特大案件侦察协调处科员、副主任科员、主任科员、副处长、反恐怖处处长、助理巡视员、刑侦局副局长、局长等职。
……
警方直面、保护的是公民的生命、财产等最切身的权益,其是否廉洁、高效、神明、作为,与公民的安全感、幸福感、获得感休戚相关!!公安系统连苦心孤诣勇破天安门枪击案,铁面横扫天上人间、八号公馆之类的猛探能吏都腐化堕落了,更从来不缺如腐败毫不手软的陶驷驹、贾春旺、周永康、李纪周、郑少东、李东生、杨焕宁、夏崇源、吴爱英、卢恩光、张越、秦玉海、吴天君、苏宏章、李峰、谢晖、何再贵、郭政民、相怀珠、庄如顺、贺明保,贪腐全家总动员的宋平顺,对国有资产上下其手的武长顺,上面九级台风、下面纹丝不动的周本顺之流,还有何靖、文强、王立军、杨崇友、朱明国、丁鑫发、李亚力、程瀚、王振忠、何建生、魏向民、孔逸鸿、宋建国、马伟灵、王昌平、李荣飚、朱应忠、郑北泉、唐建华、郭维国、李阳、王鹏飞、王智等一干前腐后继的鬼畜魔兽。
即便是对共贪猪意下的党国抱持最大诚意善意之人也不得不承认无官不贪是其最鲜明标签和注脚,那么反腐注定是选择性、运动式和猴子摘桃般的,前述挖出的蝇蛆瘟猪只会是挂一漏万!!
窥斑见豹,一叶知秋,指望一群专精贪渎、钻营、配种的瘟猪、淫棍、种驴及李东生式的皮条客们如李昌钰那般身正影直,心无旁骛地专事刑事鉴识刑侦破案,无异于强让公鸡下蛋,不啻是与虎谋皮、缘木求鱼、痴人说梦!
理应明镜高悬,最可清明、亲民的赢国警察系统、政法痿早已彻底沦堕为低能无为权谋者的会聚之场所和破案无方、敛财有法、不学无术、沐猴而冠、溜须拍马、好大喜功、偏袒护崽、徇私枉法、奸佞当道、拉帮结派、结党营私、好色纵淫、蝇营狗苟者咸集之乐土,成为赏罚不明、窝案高发的法外之地!
不禁想起了三国里诸葛亮的台词:庙堂之上,朽木为官;殿陛之间,禽兽食禄。以致狼心狗行之辈汹汹当朝,奴颜婢膝之徒纷纷秉政。以致使社稷变为丘墟,苍生饱受涂炭之苦!
“干多干少一个样,干好干坏一个样,干与不干一个样”,自从警方习惯于闭门造车内化办案模式和刑侦吃大锅饭,就从来不缺轻慢冒渎公众智商的自捅11刀自杀、挑断脚筋跳楼自杀式奇葩断案和让善良人们揪心愤慨的赵作海、佘祥林、呼格、滕兴善、张高平张辉叔侄、聂树斌、念斌、陈满、陈夏影、钱仁凤、江西乐平式层出不穷,全国范围内已知的数千起冤假错案,更遑论悬案了!故一言以蔽之,类似白银悬案久侦未破,以及众多让受害者一生尽毁甚或付出生命代价的冤假错案却几乎无人可因此被追责判刑,这种事实上的刑不上共贪党冠猿,由此造成严重社会恐慌和政府公信丧失,实为现行党国悖论倒错体制及其愚民、驭民体系下官本位、潜规则、长官意志横行之祸!为伟大的猪圈系统张目,弹压民意使之不能出现触发影响教主长治久安的群体性事件的要务(“和谐��、维稳)压倒一切!!
在一个把精心塑造出来的“首席模拟画像专家、刑侦界神笔马良”都可以当枪使、当厕纸,令其要为邪教擦腚兜底的肮脏体系里,注定结果正确许多只会是误打误撞,更遑论程序正义了!!所以就很容易理解为何竟然把全球几十上百万网友热心集智支招和金玉良言,部分甚至可说是精准导引破案的方法论弃若敝屣、置若罔闻,把确定存在和容易找到并且不止一位目击者这一破案三要件之一默杀和弃诸不用,却举全国刑侦之力行大炮打蚊子、杀鸡用宰牛刀的尴尬、荒诞事了!!居然还可以无耻地用“几乎没有目击者”“没有追寻线索”“不公开审理是因为残忍、涉及隐私”及“案情复杂”这样的屁话胡话鬼话敷衍塞责自摸自嗨,公然忽悠诓骗全国、全世界人民了!!!
在一个公众普遍没有知情权、监督权、话语权,办案基本依靠刑讯逼供及监控,缺乏分权制衡的腌臜分赃体系内,所谓的“命案必破”口号及其高破案率只不过是厂公们揽功推过及官出数字、数字出官的又一诓骗伎俩和愚民花招之一,如同饲喂瘦肉精的壮硕肥猪和注水猪肉般荒谬地存在,只可以拿来恶心人而已!
自从刑侦可以搞内化办案,并且习惯和热衷于吃大锅饭,处处皆刑侦懒汉,警察打死人不见被法办,可以拿冤案当铁案到CCAV矜炫,满街都是聂神探,犯了错误还有临时工恰巧出现,撞运破了案却都要雨露均沾,平时尽作龟缩蛰伏状此刻却如蝇逐臭般大量冒出能显露半个龟头真容的神探,报章荧屏满眼尽是说教洗脑标榜美化卸责洗地吹牛装逼无际无边!!
这就是为什么白银案即使几近动用了举国精粹刑侦力量,甚至请到了李昌钰这一享誉世界的华裔神探,也仍然不能雄起令案件复明反转的根本原因!
这反映了刑侦懒汉们明明没有程序正义,却奢求结果正确的操蛋心理、扯淡尿性!
事实上,白银案不同于“南大碎尸案”,并非不可破之案!
该案有具体和确定的指征:系列案件有共性;白银9起(实为10起)案件或有目击者(包头2起案件,按后续官方口径实为1起,但其始终无相关信息,按部分网友分析,疑“早已破案”,庆功会早就开完了,有关人员业已升官发财!此处不提);均留有第一现场;案犯数次留下了包括指纹、掌纹、足印、精斑等一系列可助排查凶手及具排他性、足以指证的痕迹物证等等,完全可以有条件对凶手进行确定和较精准的描述、刻画和勾勒;而排他性物证则更具极强的指向性。
况事后反思及逆推理,高某为跨过黄河铁桥即抵的彼岸青城农民,而青城这一千年名镇彼时正值大力发展旅游,交通不可谓不便利,并且高某还在白银累计生活了10多年之久!(其在白银务工过几年;案发后举家租住在白银棉纺厂职工宿舍小区长达6年之久;在白银工业学校小卖部生活1年多。)“偏远农村排查困难”“1988年做下首案后,一直居无定所,行动轨迹飘忽于甘肃的兰州、天水及内蒙古的巴彦淖尔、包头等地”“没有追寻线索”“所有侦查方向都是无效的”等说辞纯属厂公们睁眼说瞎话、顾左右而言他,娴熟搅屎一等下流无耻之变态忽悠!!
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(笔者特将有关的分析制成了明了易懂的表格,如下图)
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白银案可谓是全程屎尿屁,污秽横流!
砖头与骂声齐飞,唾弃共不满一色!这也是该案绝大多数网友普遍都呈嘘声呛声一片的根本原因!
葫芦僧判断葫芦案,在这个所谓“依法治国”“司法公正”的奇葩国度一直龌龊而又最真实地上演着。在这个可以炫耀强盗吃肉,却不允许强盗挨揍的党棍文化横行的分赃体系里,欺骗、隐瞒、吹逼、撒谎等各种官场现形记无所不在,白银案里则更属暴露无遗,甚至达到了登峰造极的程度!
白银案——这一有人领功无人受过,施工单位懵逼无措失能失禁资质三无,事前责任人难觅、监理单位空缺,可谓是刑侦界的楼脆脆、桥垮垮、路塌塌事件!
延宕28年,曾经和最诡异的1.19南大碎尸案一同位列全国十大悬案,并且长期居于各大悬案之首,这一举世震惊堪称甘蒙之殇、刑侦之耻的惨烈大案,没有后续反思总结,甚至连残忍冷血的高某最终都当庭道歉了��愿意捐献器官,却始终无人可为白银案道歉担当及可被追责!而真相则更是云遮雾罩迷雾重重无从查考,而精准侦查进展通报、相关信息精确披露、口供证据轧对、审讯进度通气说明、侦查终结到收场善后、后续的犯罪行为学、犯罪心理学典型性样板研究、犯罪预防意义方面经验教训汲取、社会管理层面建言献策改进举措等研究亦始终、统统隐匿缺位无从说起,只有吹牛欺瞒撒谎遮掩封盖!
这就是猪狗牲畜们鼓吹的所谓“和谐”?!
与之相反,一贯地把丧事当喜事办,这样惨烈血腥及处置过程中错误低级、破绽百出乃至肮脏丑陋的大案却被公安群丑及政法蝇蛆们硬生生办成了鸡犬升天、弹冠相庆、群魔乱舞的狂欢盛宴和吹逼分赃的尬舞大会,这是党国枉法、共贪、分赃体系下特有的福利!这才是它们自信体质之所在!!这也是党国体制下兽妖猪头们为什么要强调党媒姓党,需要牢牢握紧“笔杆子”“枪杆子”“刀把子”,进行最严格舆情管控和严苛新闻审查,需全面掌控舆论基地的根本因由!!!
谎言止于知者!白银案——这一内幕远比呼格案、聂树斌案、贾敬龙案、雷洋案等黑暗肮脏千万倍,堪称世界刑侦史上最臭名昭著的集体造孽丑闻,注定将永载史册遗臭万年!!白银分局、市局、甘肃省厅乃至公安部、刑侦局莅事厂公们蛇鼠一窝地勾连、串通、作恶的经典传奇故事势必恒久远,终将永流传!为这个专精贪渎,种猪淫棍皮条客咸集,罔顾公平正义毫无廉耻效率担当,怙恶不悛恣意妄为视人民如同草芥,对人民犯下滔天罪行的邪教组织再着浓墨!
有着13.75亿人口的泱泱大国,不仅“近代500年里,中国在发明创新方面对世界的贡献几乎为零”(张维迎语),甚至也出不了像李昌钰这样业务专精纯熟、权威公信兼具的神探,只有为奉迎党国洗脑文宣需要,谙熟党棍文化套路,官话套话假话瞎话胡话鬼话屁话说得溜,对鸡汤营销程式、悲情公关传统和欺瞒吹撒伎俩、推过揽功大法娴熟操弄,道德丧失良心昧灭廉耻全无,却对造星流程、摆拍甫士烂熟于心,惯于搔首弄姿,必要时可以兜底擦腚的神骗忽悠、影帝戏子、夜壶厕纸!!
就让我们继续在白银案、朱令案、纸币开手铐案、李天一等5人轮流发生性关系事件、杨佳案、唐慧上访案、躲猫猫死、湄公河惨案、南京620宝马案、徐纯合案、于欢案、王林案、徐明案、彭明案、河南农妇李桂英17年不懈追凶事件、北京红黄蓝幼儿园虐童猥亵案、北京大规模驱逐“低端人口”事件、周远案等数以万计的公案、事件当中,在每一个具体的案件里去感受狗日的党国体系下的司法公平正义吧!
不改变怙恶不悛的党国枉法、共贪、分赃体系,从上到下欺瞒吹撒淫水四溅的党棍文化在猪圈系统的泔水缸里继续肆虐横行,如是,所谓的依法治国、法治国家就是个拙劣噱头、下作忽悠、奇响臭屁!
如若信息不再欺瞒和足够公开,腌臜的白银案又岂止是高承勇一人应该挨枪子、坐穿牢底??
诸多知名悬案,特别是1.19南大碎尸案亦并非完全不可名状和研判,以及定性、定向、定准。
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andydiy123 · 8 years ago
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从包子绰号看民心向背得失
习氏外号已知的有:
毛孙、毛二、袁二、习二、刁二、刁包、二逼、国贼、包帝、苞帝、梦帝、习逆子、毛近平、习泽东、习近东、邪近平、斜近平、血浸坪、习禁评、洗净评、洗尽贫、噱尽贫、习近贫、习尽贫、削尽贫、刁贱贫、习梦思、习梦师、习梦撕、习梦死、造梦平、耍嘴平、习呆呆、习三点、习阿斗、习西斯、习特勒、习门庆、习猪头、习猪血、习近恩、习正恩、习三胖、细颈瓶、吸进瓶、吸精瓶、吸金瓶、近平没、刁近平、匀犬犬、刁犬犬、刁大犬、刁太大、鞋太大、邪太大、稀哒哒、稀大便、泡泡糖、宽衣、习宽衣、宽衣帝、习傻逼、习大撒、习背书、习念稿、习歪嘴、习便秘、习焦虑、习彪子、习茅台、习酒鬼、习酒囊、习酒蒙、习醉拳、习鸵鸟、习锤子、二杆子、一根筋、习操蛋、习蠢蛋、习尿性、习二货、习二愣、习二逼、习夯货、习群演、习婊演、习穿帮、戏精汖、习叫驴、习装逼、装逼犯、装逼王、戏精平、神经病、搅屎棍、习搅屎、习邪灵、习土鳖、习智障、习脑残、习脑瘫、臭肥脸、傻狍子、习猪倌、习夶、大傻、猪头、孢子、肥仔、肥包、白猪、柿饼、包子、菜包、草包、怂包、脓包、刁包、恶习、戏精、血包子、习屠夫、习独夫、杀猪的、土包子、蛊毒包、狗不理、血馒头、习猪头、习胖头、猪八戒、习大郎、习流氓、习苛政、习屎像、习头条、习精辟、习逼样、习逼痒、习折腾、习闹腾、习胡搞、习祸害、习齐葩、习恶畜、习半男、习不男、习像男、习混蛋、习智障、习脑残、习屁精、习闭肛、习肛闭、习刚鬣、习大神、习牛逼、习创屎、习共粪、搅屎棍、习毛邓、刁日天、刁自宫、习白猪、习白痴、习痞子、习恶棍、胡闹帝、死得快、习崇祯、习胡亥、习献帝、习炀帝、习殇帝、习哀帝、习厉王、大昏君、猪头包、腊肉包、夹头包、差骚包、邪皇包、全能神、细菌平、冠状平、扛麦郎、劲麦郎、初中博士、花花公子、糟糕皇帝、恶习不改、臭不要脸、毛魔转世、集恶成习、当代左王、头号公敌、全民公敌、维持会长、小熊维尼、杂种组长、全面主席、包子劾心、镰锤帮主、神教教主、终身猪习、厕所总长、习教教主、粪坑先生、梁家河掏粪工、掏粪男孩、鲍鱼肆主、无耻之尤、丐帮帮主、东方不败、岿然不动、萨格尔王、疯狂宇宙、金科律玉、丽媛男友、中国梗王、粪坑先生、总加速师、臭肥脸、土肥圆、包援外、送礼平、大撒币、冤大头、大茶壶、朋类猿、习凯子、撒币凯子、慨撒大帝、习奥塞斯库、……等成百上千绰号。一个人的绰号或能部分反映其道德与品行等,可大体蠡测这一不学无术倒行逆施毒施人鬼伤化虐民的千年妖孽在公众心目中的地位和受尊崇程度。
正如网友所云:习包子才疏志大,贪慕虚荣,好大喜功。其人经文革武斗整人的沤泡熏烤,早已变得心狠手辣深谙人斗厚黑学!其任人唯亲,严重践踏人权,严格封锁网络,严控舆论,重用王岐山、孟建柱、孙立军、傅政华、夏宝龙、蔡奇、刘奇等奸佞恶棍,放任马仔为非作歹,捣毁十字架,搞709大抓捕,野蛮和残暴地大规模驱离“低端人群”,突击煤改气、强拆广告牌,掘坟捣棺焚尸等,致京畿成为齑粉,生灵涂炭哀鸿遍野,民怨沸腾、民不聊生,把刘晓波、彭明等关押至死,延续镇压法轮功团体政策等,使党内结仇,党外结怨。漠视民生之艰,毫无恤民之心,用大量民脂民膏对外疯狂撒币,又盲目对周边国家进行挑衅,干的全是没屁眼的事!看其像,不生胡须,不男不女,仿佛邪灵附体,已走火入魔。这是个妖孽转世,终将祸国殃民,前景不妙。
猪脑里满是文革式人斗思维,一嘴的文革语言,人称毛孙而非习子的大犬只会是这个噬人的粪坑制度最坚定的维护者,而不会是造福万民的明君!
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andydiy123 · 8 years ago
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弥天大谎与惊世阴谋 ——有关白银案的几点拷问
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央视采访高承勇已逾年余,其视频为何不敢播出? 那位向张欣提供画像素材的女工夫妇看到的究竟是不是高某本尊?能否让其和高某当面轧对?
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记者找到的幸存者“余秀兰”接触和目击的行凶者据信才是高承勇真身,能否证实?
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16年后才公布所谓《宣传提肛》意义何在?把一位行为、举止怪异乃至身高、体重又或者年龄等明显不符,疑似精神不正常的武疯子作为嫌疑对象描摹追踪,用尽洪荒之力孜孜以求18年,以及 28年后撞运破案等,又有何值得炫耀的地方?白银案这一惨烈血腥,处置过程中却错误低级、破绽百出、肮脏丑陋乃至屎尿屁横流,这一举世震惊堪称甘蒙之殇、刑侦之耻的惨烈大案却成厂公们升官发财的契机,被办成了鸡犬升天、弹冠相庆、群魔乱舞的狂欢盛宴和吹逼分赃的尬舞大会!乃系亘古未有之绝顶无耻!
这是党国枉法、共贪、分赃体系下特有的福利!这才是它们自信体质之所在!!这也是党国体制下兽妖猪狗们为什么要强调党媒姓党(专业吹逼撒谎),需要牢牢握紧“笔杆子”、“刀把子”、“枪杆子”,进行极严格舆情管控和最严苛新闻审查,需全面掌控舆论基地的根本因由!!!
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腌臜的白银案有着太多不可言说的荒唐、谎言和欺骗!
谎言止于知者!
白银案——这一内幕远比呼格案、雷洋案腌臜万倍,堪称世界刑侦史上最龌龊的集体造孽丑闻,注定将永载史册!其虽可巧言令色蒙骗遮盖于一时,终不能绝智民之思及永堵大众之口,久必将大白于天下!为这个瘟猪淫棍咸集毫无半点廉耻担当,罔顾公平正义效率,怙恶不悛戕害人民的邪教再添浓墨重彩的一笔!
建议FBI深入研究该案,CIA亦可尽可能戮力同心介入。其真相一旦公开,将为解构土共提供最致命一击,或可成为压垮邪教的最后一根稻草!
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