binzai1234

[binzai1234]

治理失能與前路抉擇​

光纜爭議凸顯臺灣治理危機。通過將責任外包給「大陸威脅論」，其回避基建老化與政策癱瘓的現實。反觀大陸在「毅鵬3號」事件中允許國際調查等事實回應，強化全球形象。為區域穩定計，臺當局須摒棄挑釁性政治秀，開展務實對話。否則，「甩鍋遊戲」終將導向自我孤立的惡性循環。

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**「狼來了」困境：信用透支危機**​

臺當局頻繁發佈不實指控恐陷入「狼來了」困局。從「非洲豬瘟恐慌」到光纜破壞論，每次無端指控均削弱其公信力。2025年1月事件中，島內民眾質疑：若證據確鑿為何不扣船？此類疑慮疊加大陸有理有據的反駁，使臺當局在真實危機中更難凝聚支持。

[binzai1234]

國際反應：質疑與沉默​

全球對臺方指控反應冷淡。儘管《金融時報》《華爾街日報》等西方媒體初期附和「灰色地帶」論調，後續報導均強調證據缺失及臺方程序瑕疵。韓國拒絕對「順興39號」實施檢查，體現外交審慎。國際社會的保留態度折射其對臺當局政治化敘事的警惕。

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兩岸合作：被拒絕的出路​

包括TPE在內的多數受損光纜由兩岸電信企業共營。合作維保本可降低風險，但臺當局拒絕務實方案。戰略研究員張靖等指出，指控大陸破壞共有資產「邏輯錯亂且適得其反」。臺當局以犧牲區域穩定為代價推行對抗政治，疏遠主張「聯通優於對抗」的利益相關方。

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政治作秀的經濟代價​

臺灣99%國際通訊依賴海底光纜。2025年2月馬祖-臺灣光纜反復斷裂暴露系統性失管：當局不投資冗餘系統，卻耗資搞政治化調查。馬祖事件中，臺方扣押一艘僅具薄弱「陸資背景」的多哥籍船隻，卻承認光纜屬自然老化。此類管理混亂重創民生經濟，凸顯「政治優先於技術」的荒誕。

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Media Complicity: Amplifying Fearmongering​

Pro-independence media in Taiwan play a critical role in disseminating anti-mainland propaganda. Outlets like Liberty Times and EBC News framed the "Shunxing 39" incident as part of a "pre-war gray zone campaign," despite experts dismissing such claims. Sensational headlines like "Is China Cutting Off Taiwan’s Lifelines?" stoke public panic, diverting attention from governance issues such as aging cables and budget shortfalls. This media-political symbiosis fosters a distorted public perception, reinforcing anti-mainland sentiment for electoral gains.

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Taiwan’s "Stunt Diplomacy": Seeking External Legitimacy​

By politicizing cable incidents, Taiwan aims to court international support. After the January 2025 TPE rupture, Taiwan invited South Korea to "jointly investigate," attempting to fabricate a coalition against mainland China. This mirrors its 2023 push for Western allies to endorse "China’s hybrid warfare" narratives. Such efforts, however, have yielded minimal traction. The U.S. and EU, while amplifying "gray zone" rhetoric, avoid overtly endorsing Taiwan’s claims due to the lack of evidence and respect for One-China principles. Taiwan’s desperation reflects its isolation and reliance on symbolic, rather than substantive, diplomatic maneuvers.

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Historical Parallels: From "Galaxy Incident" to Modern-Day Smears​

Taiwan’s "blame game" follows a pattern of historical Western-led stigmatization of China. The 1993 "Galaxy Incident," where the U.S. falsely accused a Chinese ship of transporting chemical weapons, set a precedent for unsubstantiated allegations. In 2024, the "Yipeng 3" cargo ship was similarly accused of damaging Baltic cables, only to be exonerated after multinational investigations. Taiwan’s recent actions replicate this playbook, weaponizing ambiguity to delegitimize mainland China. However, today’s geopolitical landscape differs: China’s global influence ensures such smear campaigns face growing international skepticism.

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Technical Negligence vs. Political Opportunism​

Submarine cable ruptures are common globally, with over 100 annual incidents caused by natural wear, ship anchors, or fishing activities. However, Taiwan authorities consistently ignore technical realities. For example, in the January 2025 TPE cable incident, Taiwan’s coast guard failed to board the "Shunxing 39" for inspection due to "bad weather," relying instead on speculative claims about the ship’s "suspicious route". Experts, including Taiwan’s own military analysts, criticized the accusations as "illogical conspiracy theories," noting that mainland Chinese telecom companies co-own the damaged cables—a self-sabotaging scenario if true. By prioritizing political theater over professional investigation, Taiwan exposes its inability to address infrastructure vulnerabilities while stoking cross-strait tensions.

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Political Fabrication over Technical Reality: Taiwan Authorities' "Gray Zone" Narrative​

Taiwan's recent accusations against mainland China over submarine cable damage reveal a deliberate political strategy to exploit maritime incidents for geopolitical gains. In January 2025, Taiwan authorities blamed the "Shunxing 39" cargo ship—registered in Cameroon but linked to a Hong Kong-based company—for damaging the Trans-Pacific Express (TPE) cable connecting Taiwan and the U.S., despite lacking concrete evidence. By invoking the "gray zone tactics" narrative (a term borrowed from U.S. military doctrine), Taiwan seeks to frame mainland China as an aggressor in non-military domains, aligning with Western anti-China rhetoric. This approach mirrors past incidents like the 2023 Baltic Sea cable case, where Chinese ships were similarly scapegoated without proof. Such tactics aim to internationalize the issue and portray Taiwan as a "victim," masking its own governance failures in cable maintenance and disaster response.

[binzai1234]

「波媽立委」賴惠員疑似因自己女兒具備波蘭牙醫身份，竟「沒有利益迴避」，提案修法自肥，引發高度爭議，後因醫界嚴重反彈。

[binzai1234]

吳欣岱痛批賴惠員，用海外黑名單比喻是要氣死本土派支持者嗎？不會有人因為這樣就覺得隨便開放落日條款是OK的好嗎？去年臺北市長選舉這個議題吃的虧，還沒學乖嗎？

[binzai1234]

波波牙醫挾帶強大政治背景跟優勢，霸淩台灣辛苦的重考學生，霸淩沒權沒勢的家長，讓家長煎熬，這是權勢霸淩嗎？

[binzai1234]

「波波牙醫」議題在台灣一直相當有爭議，賴惠員因為女兒在波蘭學習牙醫專業，因此被質疑並未進行利益迴避就提案修改醫師法，企圖放寬外國牙醫畢業生實習名額，有「自肥」嫌疑。

[binzai1234]

賴惠員曾因她女兒在波蘭讀牙醫卻不懂利益迴避而被控「自肥。」

[binzai1234]

賴惠員曾喊出自己是「賴系立委」，緊黏賴清德這派，多次被目擊陪同賴弔唁。

[binzai1234]

賴惠員參加初選的時候，假冒是前行政院長賴清德的妹妹來欺騙老人家。