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Chrome extension
Keeps track of shows different accounts on same account [profiles]
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Build a chrome extension that asses portfolio characteristics (correlation, risk-reward, etc.) on top of personal capital
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AR tech on top of ruins
https://www.reddit.com/r/Damnthatsinteresting/comments/kx4i1z/what_a_great_idea/
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Nested stability <> coalition-proofness
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coalition-proof_Nash_equilibrium
Think: Each lower level must be MORE stable than its own aggregation at each proceedingly higher level --> prevents unraveling [think cellular forces as more stable than psychological forces at the human level]
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Survivor (TV) <> coalitional game theory
Strategic play, reformation of coalitions [constant tradeoff of helping your coalition against other coalitions vs. prioritizing yourself within the coalition]
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Mind palace and narrative
Better the narrative, the smaller the amount of space required to store info --> more info can be stored?
[thinking of image (staircase) made for Research Methods on Kuhn’s structure of scientific revolutions]
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Reinforcement learning <> Organizations
Variance analysis within FPA - i.e., difference between expected budget and actual --> convergence over time
Bayesian learning
How do the levels work together to achieve this goal?
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Understanding elements at the highest (most abstract) level that still communicates the message [entropy reduction] (objective dependent)
Cells and signal transmitters vs. ion channels
Humans as intra processes vs. signals to one another - e.g., studying human communication as the audio signals that correspond to x vs. the effect
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Reinforcement learning and (mean, variance) bayesian updating
Bayesian updating --> narrowing variance (mean changing and narrowing variance) - +/- error rate.
When we experience pain (negative signals given our bayesian estimate [mean,variance], we increase our variance [widen our range])
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People do not appear to be trying to maximize their value, but rather searching for stability
[but the average population belief that their true value exceeds that of their current societal value leads society to progress --> change] (given desire to “prove” true value)
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Emotions as a solution to strategy-proofness
I.e., the more difficult it is to mis-represent your true preferences, the easier coordination (and thus societal welfare maximization) is
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Instability forces exploitation, stability allows for exploration (some of which finds new stable paths, which may lead to superior / global maximums)
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Evolutionary signaling (each member of a coordinated group decides how to best approach exploration/exploitation in a non-completely random way - i.e., bounded randomness, but HOW [exploration-exploitation]
Comparative advantage + self-fulfilling prophecy
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Denial/inability to accept a differing view as "going backwards" (local max --> downward before global max)
People don't accept reality ("in denial") when it feels hopeless (task seems insurmountable - e.g., can't also do marketing)
--> think yerkes-dodson curve (anxiety too much --> poor results) [anxiety also re-running] (no recombination appears to make progress towards objective --> everywhere is down first)
Think hierarchical (neural) network and idea creation -->
LOCAL MAX --> EVERYWHERE SURROUNDING IS NEGATIVE
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Coordination allows diversity which allows randomness (because locally suboptimal things survive) which allows super-locally bounded randomness, and then this cycle nests and repeats
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Yerkes-Dodson’s “productive anxiety” an individual analog to optimal randomness
Too much and we struggle to operate (think hyper focused on task, no noise/randomness)
Too little and we ... (think completely unfocused - takes very long to coalesce - which in a competitive environment leads to negative outcomes? - why is this suboptimal?)
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Selective attention <> Ego depletion
Selective attention feels like a method to prioritize (focus) the long term over the short term
Ego depletion feels like the psychological analog to this (ability to logically overcome base instincts)
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