Tournament to find the ranking of least to most beloved AEW wrestler
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THE QUEEN HAS SPOKEN
Two time @mostbelovedaewwrestlertournament winner Willow Nightingale has a message for the people of Tumblr
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Analysing a Giant Round-Robin Tournament
So the @mostbelovedaewwrestlertournament: Round-Robin Edition recently finished a giant cycle of all 156 wrestlers facing each of the other 155. I'm a bit of a nerd for this sort of thing, and it's one of the largest datasets of its kind I'm ever likely to have access to, so (and at the encouragement of @livelaughlariat) I thought I'd have a bash at some data analysis.
Unfortunately this isn't going to look so nice, because tumblr can't handle LaTeX, or even like, HTML subscripts. If you don't want to see nasty maths in plain text, or just want to skip to fun graphs, keep scrolling.
The approach I'm going to take is as follows:
Assume any given competitor can be described by a single "quality" (or maybe "belovedness') value q_j (read as "the quality of the jth competitor" - I'll label some general unspecified person with i, j or k throughout this)
In a poll between competitor j and competitor k, seen by N potential voters, the number of votes each competitor receives (N_j) is a function of their quality q_j, their opponent's, q_k, and (obviously) N. I can express this as
defining the function v(q_j, q_k) as "the fraction of voters who vote for a competitor of quality q_j when placed against a competitor of quality q_k".
I then try and find a set of quality factors {q_i} which make the predicted results of every poll in the tournament as close as possible to the actual results.
Because I don't know what N is for any given poll (it's possible someone saw a poll but decided not to vote), I'll use as my measure the percentage margin between the two competitors, i.e. the difference between their number of votes divided by the total number of votes cast. This ensures the number N cancels out:
A simple candidate for the "vote function" is
which leads to
A disadvantage of this vote function is that it's scale-independent: doubling the quality values of everyone in the tournament would leave the result unchanged. It also doesn't allow for the possibility of someone deciding not to vote:
Because I know some people chose not to vote in polls between two people they didn't like, it would be nice if the model could account for this somehow.
To that end, I use this more complex model: of the N voters who see��a given poll, only a fraction of people equal to q_j (i.e. q_j × N voters) would consider voting for candidate j. Similarly a fraction q_k would consider voting for candidate k. I'll say these fractions are independent of each other, so that (1-q_j)×(1-q_k)×N voters choose not to vote at all. Then, there are q_j (1 - q_k) N voters who would consider voting for j but not k, so they all vote for j. Similarly, q_k (1 - q_j) N voters wouldn't vote for j but are happy to vote for k, so they do. Of the remaining q_j q_k N voters who are considering voting for both candidates, the simpler model presented above applies, so an additional q_j q_k × q_j / (q_j + q_k) votes go to j and q_j q_k × q_k / (q_j + q_k) to k.
This results in a vote function
and an objective function
The fraction of potential voters who actually cast votes is
Now, I can compute the value of
for all pairs in the tournament (taking care to ignore j = k) and compare it to the prediction f(q_j, q_k) for some guess at the set of qualities {q_i}.
I use Newton's method to try and find an optimal solution - in the least-squares sense, minimising
A basic Newton solver is a bit unstable for this problem (I think because the dependence of f(q_j, q_k) on overall scaling of the qualities is still quite weak, which would be worse with the simpler model), so I remove the smallest singular values when computing the pseudo-inverse of the Jacobian matrix. It's not fast - it's a big matrix inversion per iteration! - but with that done it works quite nicely. The solution reaches an overall shape in just a few iterations, then very slowly reduces the overall magnitude of the qualities, seemingly forever. The correction term does shrink over iterations though, so I think it's converging towards something. I give it 10,000 iterations and then cut it off.
Results: Rankings
The most obvious output from this process is the { q_i } themselves. After 10k iterations of Newton's method, we have a winner. It's Willow. This shouldn't be surprising. Her overall belovedness percentage clocks in at 69% (nice)
Full rankings here:
69.23%: Willow Nightingale 61.28%: Swerve Strickland 60.81%: Toni Storm 60.14%: Adam Page 59.21%: Orange Cassidy 58.06%: Kenny Omega 52.75%: Eddie Kingston 51.36%: Kris Statlander 43.93%: Konosuke Takeshita 42.92%: Will Ospreay 42.71%: Samoa Joe 42.06%: Julia Hart 40.00%: Chuck Taylor 39.89%: Harley Cameron 38.85%: Nyla Rose 38.55%: Athena 36.08%: Wheeler Yuta 35.64%: Jon Moxley 33.72%: Jay White 33.51%: Brody King 32.04%: MJF 31.46%: Jamie Hayter 31.29%: Queen Aminata 30.08%: Mariah May 29.89%: Kyle Fletcher 29.45%: Katsuyori Shibata 28.62%: Christian Cage 28.47%: Claudio Castagnoli 27.97%: Kyle O'Reilly 27.26%: Daniel Garcia 27.10%: Kazuchika Okada 26.69%: Matthew Jackson 26.55%: Hikaru Shida 26.28%: Bryan Danielson 25.62%: Anthony Bowens 25.46%: Mark Briscoe 24.06%: Evil Uno 23.99%: PAC 23.89%: Hook 22.61%: Abadon 22.48%: Nicholas Jackson 22.16%: Powerhouse Hobbs 21.10%: Buddy Matthews 21.04%: Jack Perry 20.87%: Kota Ibushi 20.65%: Anna Jay 20.41%: Mercedes Mone 20.35%: Skye Blue 20.23%: The Beast Mortos 20.04%: Kip Sabian 19.78%: Emi Sakura 19.74%: Thunder Rosa 19.54%: Danhausen 19.21%: Bandido 18.86%: Adam Cole 18.38%: Darby Allin 17.38%: Mark Davis 17.00%: Penelope Ford 16.76%: Trent Beretta 15.96%: Marina Shafir 15.95%: Komander 15.88%: Juice Robinson 15.85%: Riho 15.78%: Yuka Sakazaki 15.41%: Killswitch 15.10%: Matt Menard 14.71%: Ruby Soho 14.67%: Hologram 14.61%: Isiah Kassidy 14.33%: Austin Gunn 14.25%: Sting 13.60%: Roderick Strong 13.05%: Bryan Keith 12.99%: Colten Gunn 12.61%: Lee Moriarty 12.55%: Nick Wayne 12.46%: John Silver 12.46%: Mr Brodie Lee 12.30%: Ricochet 12.25%: Dustin Rhodes 11.78%: Malakai Black 11.62%: Deonna Purrazzo 11.57%: Dante Martin 11.48%: Big Bill 11.42%: Red Velvet 11.20%: Taya Valkyrie 11.13%: Angelo Parker 11.09%: Shelton Benjamin 11.03%: Cope 10.96%: Keith Lee 10.72%: AR Fox 10.35%: Serpentico 10.12%: Billy Gunn 9.97%: Lance Archer 9.58%: Max Caster 9.10%: Marq Quen 8.99%: Alex Reynolds 8.85%: Angelico 8.59%: Cash Wheeler 8.57%: Bobby Lashley 8.40%: Darius Martin 8.32%: Leila Grey 7.65%: Matt Taven 7.61%: The Butcher 7.60%: Kiera Hogan 7.50%: Diamante 7.32%: Leyla Hirsch 7.03%: Brandon Cutler 7.01%: Lio Rush 6.85%: Johnny TV 6.78%: Rey Fenix 6.62%: Brian Cage 6.47%: Wardlow 6.46%: Mercedes Martinez 6.17%: Luther 6.05%: Ricky Starks 6.04%: Matt Sydal 5.89%: Dax Harwood 5.55%: Lee Johnson 5.46%: Tay Melo 5.19%: Action Andretti 5.16%: Bishop Kaun 4.48%: Scorpio Sky 4.40%: The Blade 4.22%: Mike Bennett 4.15%: Colt Cabana 4.12%: Ortiz 4.05%: Toa Liona 3.98%: Griff Garrison 3.98%: Preston Vance 3.75%: Dr Britt Baker DMD 3.71%: Michael Nakazawa 3.68%: Jay Lethal 3.63%: Peter Avalon 3.49%: Shawn Dean 3.28%: Jeff Jarrett 3.25%: Rush 3.02%: Dutch 2.96%: Josh Woods 2.92%: Dralistico 2.85%: Vincent 2.68%: Madison Rayne 2.65%: Satnam Singh 2.45%: Ariya Daivari 2.38%: Tony Nese 2.20%: Anthony Ogogo 2.14%: Aaron Solo 2.08%: Sammy Guevara 2.03%: Paul Wight 1.79%: Nick Comoroto 1.77%: Rebel 1.76%: Serena Deeb 1.73%: Miro 1.62%: Chris Jericho 1.24%: Saraya 1.09%: Kamille
Analysis: Match-by-Match Performance
Now, we don't just have a set of quality factors for all of our competitors! That optimisation I did above? It's not perfect. For every given j, k pairing, I've tried to get f_jk - f(q_j,q_k) (these are called residuals) as close to zero as possible, but they can't all be zero at the same time because there are many fewer variables to tweak (the 156 { q_i }) than residuals to minimise (of which there are over 12,000).
What this means however is that we can look at each match's residual as a measure of how surprising the result was, and in which direction. If f_{jk} - f(q_j,q_k) is positive, it means that the vote share achieved by j was higher than would be expected by just comparing their overall score and that of their opponent. By plotting these residuals per-competitor rearranged into time order, I can get an idea of whether anyone's popularity was changing over time. This is a similar analysis to what @livelaughlariat was doing previously, so I'll look at some of the same people that she did.
I've not included linear fits/correlation coefficients here like she did, for a few reasons:
I think any trends or features that show up are convincing enough on their own just from looking at the smoothed trend line, you don't need Karl Pearson to tell you what your eyes see.
Several of the features I'll try to argue are present are more localised than a global linear fit would get you.
I am a computational physicist, not a real scientist. Statistical rigour is for cowards
Max Caster shows a very pronounced growth over the course of the tournament: He starts out underperforming his expected vote shares by 0.4 (i.e. 40 percentage points!) and ends up overperforming by 20 points!
Mariah starts off vaguely growing in popularity, then starts to slide as the rumours of her leaving AEW start to gain momentum
Not much of interest for Comoroto and Deeb
Kenny pretty consistent as well
Ospreay and Toni don't move much, but Ricochet's popularity does seem to be improving a bit over the course!
Pretty big bump for Mark Davis when he briefly started appearing more, though that eventually died down when people stopped seeing him again
And a big boost for Ibushi when he finally appeared again!
Which was also replicated for Tay!
A cute one to finish - maybe somewhat tenuous? - I think that bump for Yuka Sakazaki around day 110 corresponds pretty closely with her and Takeshita announcing their marriage
Also, as I keep referring back to the simpler "everyone votes" model I mentioned above: The graphs that method's residuals produced look exactly the same as these ones. I literally couldn't see a difference. Surprising, but it's nice that the results are robust to differences in the model like that!
Stay tuned for some Social Choice Theory in the next edition!
#do you even know the JOY i am filled with rn?#this is precisely the graph i wanted to make and couldn't riddle out how#most beloved aew wrestler tournament#aew
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Analysing a Giant Round-Robin Tournament
So the @mostbelovedaewwrestlertournament: Round-Robin Edition recently finished a giant cycle of all 156 wrestlers facing each of the other 155. I'm a bit of a nerd for this sort of thing, and it's one of the largest datasets of its kind I'm ever likely to have access to, so (and at the encouragement of @livelaughlariat) I thought I'd have a bash at some data analysis.
Unfortunately this isn't going to look so nice, because tumblr can't handle LaTeX, or even like, HTML subscripts. If you don't want to see nasty maths in plain text, or just want to skip to fun graphs, keep scrolling.
The approach I'm going to take is as follows:
Assume any given competitor can be described by a single "quality" (or maybe "belovedness') value q_j (read as "the quality of the jth competitor" - I'll label some general unspecified person with i, j or k throughout this)
In a poll between competitor j and competitor k, seen by N potential voters, the number of votes each competitor receives (N_j) is a function of their quality q_j, their opponent's, q_k, and (obviously) N. I can express this as
defining the function v(q_j, q_k) as "the fraction of voters who vote for a competitor of quality q_j when placed against a competitor of quality q_k".
I then try and find a set of quality factors {q_i} which make the predicted results of every poll in the tournament as close as possible to the actual results.
Because I don't know what N is for any given poll (it's possible someone saw a poll but decided not to vote), I'll use as my measure the percentage margin between the two competitors, i.e. the difference between their number of votes divided by the total number of votes cast. This ensures the number N cancels out:
A simple candidate for the "vote function" is
which leads to
A disadvantage of this vote function is that it's scale-independent: doubling the quality values of everyone in the tournament would leave the result unchanged. It also doesn't allow for the possibility of someone deciding not to vote:
Because I know some people chose not to vote in polls between two people they didn't like, it would be nice if the model could account for this somehow.
To that end, I use this more complex model: of the N voters who see a given poll, only a fraction of people equal to q_j (i.e. q_j × N voters) would consider voting for candidate j. Similarly a fraction q_k would consider voting for candidate k. I'll say these fractions are independent of each other, so that (1-q_j)×(1-q_k)×N voters choose not to vote at all. Then, there are q_j (1 - q_k) N voters who would consider voting for j but not k, so they all vote for j. Similarly, q_k (1 - q_j) N voters wouldn't vote for j but are happy to vote for k, so they do. Of the remaining q_j q_k N voters who are considering voting for both candidates, the simpler model presented above applies, so an additional q_j q_k × q_j / (q_j + q_k) votes go to j and q_j q_k × q_k / (q_j + q_k) to k.
This results in a vote function
and an objective function
The fraction of potential voters who actually cast votes is
Now, I can compute the value of
for all pairs in the tournament (taking care to ignore j = k) and compare it to the prediction f(q_j, q_k) for some guess at the set of qualities {q_i}.
I use Newton's method to try and find an optimal solution - in the least-squares sense, minimising
A basic Newton solver is a bit unstable for this problem (I think because the dependence of f(q_j, q_k) on overall scaling of the qualities is still quite weak, which would be worse with the simpler model), so I remove the smallest singular values when computing the pseudo-inverse of the Jacobian matrix. It's not fast - it's a big matrix inversion per iteration! - but with that done it works quite nicely. The solution reaches an overall shape in just a few iterations, then very slowly reduces the overall magnitude of the qualities, seemingly forever. The correction term does shrink over iterations though, so I think it's converging towards something. I give it 10,000 iterations and then cut it off.
Results: Rankings
The most obvious output from this process is the { q_i } themselves. After 10k iterations of Newton's method, we have a winner. It's Willow. This shouldn't be surprising. Her overall belovedness percentage clocks in at 69% (nice)
Full rankings here:
69.23%: Willow Nightingale 61.28%: Swerve Strickland 60.81%: Toni Storm 60.14%: Adam Page 59.21%: Orange Cassidy 58.06%: Kenny Omega 52.75%: Eddie Kingston 51.36%: Kris Statlander 43.93%: Konosuke Takeshita 42.92%: Will Ospreay 42.71%: Samoa Joe 42.06%: Julia Hart 40.00%: Chuck Taylor 39.89%: Harley Cameron 38.85%: Nyla Rose 38.55%: Athena 36.08%: Wheeler Yuta 35.64%: Jon Moxley 33.72%: Jay White 33.51%: Brody King 32.04%: MJF 31.46%: Jamie Hayter 31.29%: Queen Aminata 30.08%: Mariah May 29.89%: Kyle Fletcher 29.45%: Katsuyori Shibata 28.62%: Christian Cage 28.47%: Claudio Castagnoli 27.97%: Kyle O'Reilly 27.26%: Daniel Garcia 27.10%: Kazuchika Okada 26.69%: Matthew Jackson 26.55%: Hikaru Shida 26.28%: Bryan Danielson 25.62%: Anthony Bowens 25.46%: Mark Briscoe 24.06%: Evil Uno 23.99%: PAC 23.89%: Hook 22.61%: Abadon 22.48%: Nicholas Jackson 22.16%: Powerhouse Hobbs 21.10%: Buddy Matthews 21.04%: Jack Perry 20.87%: Kota Ibushi 20.65%: Anna Jay 20.41%: Mercedes Mone 20.35%: Skye Blue 20.23%: The Beast Mortos 20.04%: Kip Sabian 19.78%: Emi Sakura 19.74%: Thunder Rosa 19.54%: Danhausen 19.21%: Bandido 18.86%: Adam Cole 18.38%: Darby Allin 17.38%: Mark Davis 17.00%: Penelope Ford 16.76%: Trent Beretta 15.96%: Marina Shafir 15.95%: Komander 15.88%: Juice Robinson 15.85%: Riho 15.78%: Yuka Sakazaki 15.41%: Killswitch 15.10%: Matt Menard 14.71%: Ruby Soho 14.67%: Hologram 14.61%: Isiah Kassidy 14.33%: Austin Gunn 14.25%: Sting 13.60%: Roderick Strong 13.05%: Bryan Keith 12.99%: Colten Gunn 12.61%: Lee Moriarty 12.55%: Nick Wayne 12.46%: John Silver 12.46%: Mr Brodie Lee 12.30%: Ricochet 12.25%: Dustin Rhodes 11.78%: Malakai Black 11.62%: Deonna Purrazzo 11.57%: Dante Martin 11.48%: Big Bill 11.42%: Red Velvet 11.20%: Taya Valkyrie 11.13%: Angelo Parker 11.09%: Shelton Benjamin 11.03%: Cope 10.96%: Keith Lee 10.72%: AR Fox 10.35%: Serpentico 10.12%: Billy Gunn 9.97%: Lance Archer 9.58%: Max Caster 9.10%: Marq Quen 8.99%: Alex Reynolds 8.85%: Angelico 8.59%: Cash Wheeler 8.57%: Bobby Lashley 8.40%: Darius Martin 8.32%: Leila Grey 7.65%: Matt Taven 7.61%: The Butcher 7.60%: Kiera Hogan 7.50%: Diamante 7.32%: Leyla Hirsch 7.03%: Brandon Cutler 7.01%: Lio Rush 6.85%: Johnny TV 6.78%: Rey Fenix 6.62%: Brian Cage 6.47%: Wardlow 6.46%: Mercedes Martinez 6.17%: Luther 6.05%: Ricky Starks 6.04%: Matt Sydal 5.89%: Dax Harwood 5.55%: Lee Johnson 5.46%: Tay Melo 5.19%: Action Andretti 5.16%: Bishop Kaun 4.48%: Scorpio Sky 4.40%: The Blade 4.22%: Mike Bennett 4.15%: Colt Cabana 4.12%: Ortiz 4.05%: Toa Liona 3.98%: Griff Garrison 3.98%: Preston Vance 3.75%: Dr Britt Baker DMD 3.71%: Michael Nakazawa 3.68%: Jay Lethal 3.63%: Peter Avalon 3.49%: Shawn Dean 3.28%: Jeff Jarrett 3.25%: Rush 3.02%: Dutch 2.96%: Josh Woods 2.92%: Dralistico 2.85%: Vincent 2.68%: Madison Rayne 2.65%: Satnam Singh 2.45%: Ariya Daivari 2.38%: Tony Nese 2.20%: Anthony Ogogo 2.14%: Aaron Solo 2.08%: Sammy Guevara 2.03%: Paul Wight 1.79%: Nick Comoroto 1.77%: Rebel 1.76%: Serena Deeb 1.73%: Miro 1.62%: Chris Jericho 1.24%: Saraya 1.09%: Kamille
Analysis: Match-by-Match Performance
Now, we don't just have a set of quality factors for all of our competitors! That optimisation I did above? It's not perfect. For every given j, k pairing, I've tried to get f_jk - f(q_j,q_k) (these are called residuals) as close to zero as possible, but they can't all be zero at the same time because there are many fewer variables to tweak (the 156 { q_i }) than residuals to minimise (of which there are over 12,000).
What this means however is that we can look at each match's residual as a measure of how surprising the result was, and in which direction. If f_{jk} - f(q_j,q_k) is positive, it means that the vote share achieved by j was higher than would be expected by just comparing their overall score and that of their opponent. By plotting these residuals per-competitor rearranged into time order, I can get an idea of whether anyone's popularity was changing over time. This is a similar analysis to what @livelaughlariat was doing previously, so I'll look at some of the same people that she did.
I've not included linear fits/correlation coefficients here like she did, for a few reasons:
I think any trends or features that show up are convincing enough on their own just from looking at the smoothed trend line, you don't need Karl Pearson to tell you what your eyes see.
Several of the features I'll try to argue are present are more localised than a global linear fit would get you.
I am a computational physicist, not a real scientist. Statistical rigour is for cowards
Max Caster shows a very pronounced growth over the course of the tournament: He starts out underperforming his expected vote shares by 0.4 (i.e. 40 percentage points!) and ends up overperforming by 20 points!
Mariah starts off vaguely growing in popularity, then starts to slide as the rumours of her leaving AEW start to gain momentum
Not much of interest for Comoroto and Deeb
Kenny pretty consistent as well
Ospreay and Toni don't move much, but Ricochet's popularity does seem to be improving a bit over the course!
Pretty big bump for Mark Davis when he briefly started appearing more, though that eventually died down when people stopped seeing him again
And a big boost for Ibushi when he finally appeared again!
Which was also replicated for Tay!
A cute one to finish - maybe somewhat tenuous? - I think that bump for Yuka Sakazaki around day 110 corresponds pretty closely with her and Takeshita announcing their marriage
Also, as I keep referring back to the simpler "everyone votes" model I mentioned above: The graphs that method's residuals produced look exactly the same as these ones. I literally couldn't see a difference. Surprising, but it's nice that the results are robust to differences in the model like that!
Stay tuned for some Social Choice Theory in the next edition!
#you guys are gonna make me lose my cheese this is the coolest shit of all time#most beloved aew wrestler tournament
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Some Very Beloved Plots
I've been thoroughly enjoying following and participating in the @mostbelovedaewwrestlertournament over the last 5 months!
As I've been voting, I've been wondering whether any events (Mark Davis returning from a long absence, FTR turning heel, etc.) would result in any interesting jumps or steps in anyone's proportional votes over time. Sadly (for me), the answer to that question appears to be Not Really - but there were several people with definite (though weak) overall upward or downward trends in their proportional votes.
Some caveats: The data is noisy, since by far the biggest variable affecting someone's daily vote proportion is who their opponent was that day, so the r values are all pretty low. Also, there are 156 wrestlers in the tournament, so chances are some of them would end up with plots with some trend showing up even if the data were completely random. That said, I think a lot of the apparent trends here do make sense.
First up: Let's! Go! Max! [etc.]
It's a fun gimmick that he's been doing since late last year, the crowds have actually been mastering the chant despite the odds, and the squash matches are entertaining. Upwards trend makes sense!
(Also you see what I mean about the correlation being weak...)
Next up:
These two both make sense as well, I think. They're obviously both consistently strong wrestlers, whose characters have been developing throughout the duration of the tournament.
And Toni has been consistently very popular, but still maybe managed an increase in popularity:
And now some surprising ones:
Sympathy votes for Nick Comoroto...?
And now for a couple of downwards trends:
This one definitely makes sense; she had a fantastic conclusion to her feud with Toni early on in the tournament, but then wasn't on AEW TV after that, and people's affections seem to have a short half-life in this tournament. (e.g. Bryan Danielson did well, but not as well as I expected, and Rey Fenix did very badly for how good he is / how beloved I perceive him to be.)
And one that I don't have a good explanation for:
My best guess is that he was doing so well from the beginning that people started deciding that he didn't need the help. (But I have no evidence to support this hypothesis!)
And finally, because the r values of those are all... pretty small, here are some very level plots for comparison, to show that the correlations could be weaker 😝
And that concludes my somewhat unconvincing conclusions!
Thank you again for running the tournament, @mostbelovedaewwrestlertournament !
#NEW PLOTS NEW PLOTS NEW PLOTS#i am being treated in every sense of the word#most beloved aew wrestler tournament
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Some Very Beloved Plots
I've been thoroughly enjoying following and participating in the @mostbelovedaewwrestlertournament over the last 5 months!
As I've been voting, I've been wondering whether any events (Mark Davis returning from a long absence, FTR turning heel, etc.) would result in any interesting jumps or steps in anyone's proportional votes over time. Sadly (for me), the answer to that question appears to be Not Really - but there were several people with definite (though weak) overall upward or downward trends in their proportional votes.
Some caveats: The data is noisy, since by far the biggest variable affecting someone's daily vote proportion is who their opponent was that day, so the r values are all pretty low. Also, there are 156 wrestlers in the tournament, so chances are some of them would end up with plots with some trend showing up even if the data were completely random. That said, I think a lot of the apparent trends here do make sense.
First up: Let's! Go! Max! [etc.]
It's a fun gimmick that he's been doing since late last year, the crowds have actually been mastering the chant despite the odds, and the squash matches are entertaining. Upwards trend makes sense!
(Also you see what I mean about the correlation being weak...)
Next up:
These two both make sense as well, I think. They're obviously both consistently strong wrestlers, whose characters have been developing throughout the duration of the tournament.
And Toni has been consistently very popular, but still maybe managed an increase in popularity:
And now some surprising ones:
Sympathy votes for Nick Comoroto...?
And now for a couple of downwards trends:
This one definitely makes sense; she had a fantastic conclusion to her feud with Toni early on in the tournament, but then wasn't on AEW TV after that, and people's affections seem to have a short half-life in this tournament. (e.g. Bryan Danielson did well, but not as well as I expected, and Rey Fenix did very badly for how good he is / how beloved I perceive him to be.)
And one that I don't have a good explanation for:
My best guess is that he was doing so well from the beginning that people started deciding that he didn't need the help. (But I have no evidence to support this hypothesis!)
And finally, because the r values of those are all... pretty small, here are some very level plots for comparison, to show that the correlations could be weaker 😝
And that concludes my somewhat unconvincing conclusions!
Thank you again for running the tournament, @mostbelovedaewwrestlertournament !
#pardon me whilst i chew and enjoy and savor#you 743202 fools gave me and my cohorts so much data to play with!#also lemme know if you guys wanna see the raw data so you can play with it too#most beloved aew wrestler tournament
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Is Uno officially the most beloved Dark Order, at least on here? What's the order of past and present members ranked by belovedness? If you have that, don't worry if you don't 😊
While I don't have the official stats for Alan Angels and Stu Grayson cause they'd left AEW before the tournament started, I do have everyone else
As a result, I can confirm that Evil Uno is the most beloved member of Dark Order
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Most Beloved AEW Wrestler Tournament:
THE TRUE MOST BELOVED
Our grand winner, the true most beloved, with 620 points over 4 categories:
WILLOW NIGHTINGALE
Full point counts below
Willow Nightingale - 620
Toni Storm - 615
Swerve Strickland - 614
Kenny Omega - 611
Orange Cassidy - 605
Adam Page - 605
Kris Statlander - 600
Eddie Kingston - 598
Konosuke Takeshita - 586
Will Ospreay - 579
Julia Hart - 578
Samoa Joe - 577
Harley Cameron - 567
Chuck Taylor - 565
Nyla Rose - 564
Jon Moxley - 559
Athena - 556
Jay White - 552
Wheeler Yuta - 548
Jamie Hayter - 539
Queen Aminata - 537
Brody King - 536
Mariah May - 530
Katsuyori Shibata - 526
Kyle Fletcher - 516
Kazuchika Okada - 515
Christian Cage - 515
MJF - 514
Claudio Castagnoli - 511
Kyle O'Reilly - 509
Hikaru Shida - 504
Daniel Garcia - 503
Bryan Danielson - 497
Anthony Bowens - 491
PAC - 483
Evil Uno - 478
Mark Briscoe - 477
Hook - 476
Matthew Jackson - 469
Kota Ibushi - 460
Powerhouse Hobbs - 457
Abadon - 456
Buddy Matthews - 449
Jack Perry - 446
The Beast Mortos - 444
Nicholas Jackson - 441
Skye Blue - 437
Emi Sakura - 436
Thunder Rosa - 435
Kip Sabian - 430
Mercedes Mone - 429
Anna Jay - 427
Danhausen - 414
Bandido - 406
Komander - 401
Riho - 397
Killswitch - 395
Penelope Ford - 395
Trent Beretta - 394
Juice Robinson - 391
Adam Cole - 389
Darby Allin - 388
Mark Davis - 385
Yuka Sakazaki - 382
Isiah Kassidy - 373
Ruby Soho - 369
Hologram - 367
Marina Shafir - 363
Sting - 362
Matt Menard - 360
Austin Gunn - 349
John Silver - 340
Colten Gunn - 329
Bryan Keith - 329
Dustin Rhodes - 328
Roderick Strong - 324
Lee Moriarty - 319
Deonna Purrazzo - 305
Nick Wayne - 304
Keith Lee - 301
Mr Brodie Lee - 301
Shelton Benjamin - 294
Ricochet - 294
Dante Martin - 292
Malakai Black - 292
Big Bill - 292
Red Velvet - 289
Taya Valkyrie - 288
Angelo Parker - 283
Cope - 276
Serpentico - 274
AR Fox - 266
Billy Gunn - 254
Lance Archer - 247
Marq Quen - 239
Alex Reynolds - 235
Angelico - 234
Darius Martin - 230
Bobby Lashley - 229
The Butcher - 227
Max Caster - 226
Cash Wheeler - 225
Kiera Hogan - 222
Leila Grey - 221
Leyla Hirsch - 208
Matt Taven - 207
Diamante - 207
Johnny TV - 197
Brandon Cutler - 193
Lio Rush - 187
Ricky Starks - 181
Brian Cage - 180
Rey Fenix - 175
Wardlow - 175
Luther - 172
Tay Melo - 166
Dax Harwood - 158
Mercedes Martinez - 156
Matt Sydal - 155
Action Andretti - 149
Lee Johnson - 147
Bishop Kaun - 145
Scorpio Sky - 143
Toa Liona - 134
The Blade - 132
Colt Cabana - 125
Mike Bennett - 116
Griff Garrison - 107
Dr Britt Baker DMD - 100
Jay Lethal - 99
Ortiz - 99
Preston Vance - 92
Peter Avalon - 91
Michael Nakazawa - 87
Jeff Jarrett - 86
Shawn Dean - 84
Dutch - 81
Vincent - 80
Josh Woods - 77
Rush - 73
Dralistico - 73
Tony Nese - 61
Madison Rayne - 60
Satnam Singh - 57
Ariya Daivari - 56
Anthony Ogogo - 45
Aaron Solo - 41
Sammy Guevara - 39
Paul Wight - 35
Chris Jericho - 23
Serena Deeb - 22
Rebel - 22
Nick Comoroto - 19
Miro - 15
Kamille - 12
Saraya - 10
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Why are you stopping? Thank you for everything
I only ever intended for the tournament to be this long cause of how many brackets were necessary for everyone to face off against everyone else
Of course it's now also been close to 6 months since I finalized the lineup and there's been a lot of roster changes in that time oh fuck while typing this out I just realized I forgot to include Speedball's data in the grand overall fuck heck shit damn
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Most Beloved AEW Wrestler Tournament:
THE TRUE MOST BELOVED - CATEGORY 4: MOST WINS
In order to make this as fair as possible, there will be 4 categories that the most beloved is ranked on: highest votes for, lowest votes against, highest percentage of votes for and highest number of bracket wins. Wrestlers are ranked from 1-156 (156 being best) and gaining the number of points they're ranked. At the end of 4 categories, the one with the most points wins.
This one is just if they won or lost the bracket. If they win, it counts as a win.
Kamille - 0 wins - 1 point
Chris Jericho - 1 wins - 2 points
Saraya - 2 wins - 3 points
Serena Deeb - 4 wins - 4 points
Sammy Guevara - 4 wins - 4 points
Miro - 5 wins - 6 points
Rebel - 6 wins - 7 points
Nick Comoroto - 7 wins - 8 points
Paul Wight - 9 wins - 9 points
Anthony Ogogo - 11 wins - 10 points
Ariya Daivari - 11 wins - 10 points
Aaron Solo - 12 wins - 12 points
Rush - 12 wins - 12 points
Dr Britt Baker DMD - 12 wins - 12 points
Dralistico - 14 wins - 15 points
Tony Nese - 15 wins - 16 points
Jeff Jarrett - 16 wins - 17 points
Satnam Singh - 17 wins - 18 points
Vincent - 17 wins - 18 points
Josh Woods - 19 wins - 20 points
Dutch - 19 wins - 20 points
Jay Lethal - 19 wins - 20 points
Madison Rayne - 20 wins - 23 points
Shawn Dean - 21 wins - 24 points
Peter Avalon - 22 wins - 25 points
Colt Cabana - 22 wins - 25 points
Preston Vance - 28 wins - 27 points
Ortiz - 28 wins - 27 points
Michael Nakazawa - 29 wins - 29 points
Griff Garrison - 29 wins - 29 points
Mike Bennett - 30 wins - 31 points
Toa Liona - 31 wins - 32 points
The Blade - 31 wins - 32 points
Scorpio Sky - 34 wins - 34 points
Bishop Kaun - 34 wins - 34 points
Action Andretti - 38 wins - 36 points
Mercedes Martinez - 39 wins - 37 points
Lee Johnson - 40 wins - 38 points
Dax Harwood - 40 wins - 38 points
Rey Fenix - 40 wins - 38 points
Tay Melo - 41 wins - 41 points
Matt Sydal - 41 wins - 41 points
Wardlow - 42 wins - 43 points
Luther - 43 wins - 44 points
Ricky Starks - 44 wins - 45 points
Johnny TV - 44 wins - 45 points
Brian Cage - 46 wins - 47 points
Kiera Hogan - 46 wins - 47 points
Matt Taven - 46 wins - 47 points
Brandon Cutler - 49 wins - 50 points
Lio Rush - 49 wins - 50 points
The Butcher - 51 wins - 52 points
Leyla Hirsch - 52 wins - 53 points
Diamante - 52 wins - 53 points
Cash Wheeler - 54 wins - 55 points
Darius Martin - 56 wins - 56 points
Leila Grey - 56 wins - 57 points
Angelico - 58 wins - 58 points
Billy Gunn - 58 wins - 58 points
Alex Reynolds - 60 wins - 60 points
Bobby Lashley - 61 wins - 61 points
Lance Archer - 61 wins - 61 points
Marq Quen - 63 wins - 63 points
Red Velvet - 63 wins - 63 points
Max Caster - 65 wins - 65 points
Serpentico - 65 wins - 65 points
AR Fox - 67 wins - 67 points
Cope - 67 wins - 67 points
Angelo Parker - 68 wins - 69 points
Keith Lee - 70 wins - 70 points
Taya Valkyrie - 70 wins - 70 points
Dante Martin - 70 wins - 70 points
Deonna Purrazzo - 72 wins - 73 points
Malakai Black - 73 wins - 74 points
Mr Brodie Lee - 73 wins - 74 points
Shelton Benjamin - 74 wins - 76 points
Big Bill - 74 wins - 76 points
Ricochet - 74 wins - 76 points
John Silver - 76 wins - 79 points
Lee Moriarty - 77 wins - 80 points
Colten Gunn - 78 wins - 81 points
Bryan Keith - 79 wins - 82 points
Dustin Rhodes - 80 wins - 83 points
Nick Wayne - 82 wins - 84 points
Sting - 82 wins - 84 points
Ruby Soho - 82 wins - 84 points
Austin Gunn - 84 wins - 87 points
Roderick Strong - 85 wins - 88 points
Isiah Kassidy - 85 wins - 88 points
Hologram - 86 wins - 90 points
Matt Menard - 86 wins - 90 points
Killswitch - 89 wins - 92 points
Yuka Sakazaki - 90 wins - 93 points
Juice Robinson - 90 wins - 93 points
Riho - 92 wins - 95 points
Komander - 94 wins - 96 points
Marina Shafir - 97 wins - 97 points
Trent Beretta - 97 wins - 97 points
Penelope Ford - 97 wins - 97 points
Adam Cole - 99 wins - 100 points
Mark Davis - 100 wins - 101 points
Bandido - 102 wins - 102 points
Kip Sabian - 102 wins - 103 points
Darby Allin - 103 wins - 104 points
Emi Sakura - 105 wins - 105 points
Anna Jay - 105 wins - 105 points
Thunder Rosa - 106 wins - 107 points
Danhausen - 107 wins - 108 points
The Beast Mortos - 107 wins - 108 points
Skye Blue - 108 wins - 110 points
Kota Ibushi - 108 wins - 110 points
Buddy Matthews - 108 wins - 110 points
Powerhouse Hobbs - 108 wins - 110 points
Jack Perry - 110 wins - 114 points
Evil Uno - 111 wins - 115 points
Nicholas Jackson - 113 wins - 116 points
Abadon - 113 wins - 116 points
Hook - 114 wins - 118 points
PAC - 114 wins - 118 points
Mercedes Mone - 117 wins - 120 points
Mark Briscoe - 117 wins - 120 points
Anthony Bowens - 118 wins - 122 points
Katsuyori Shibata - 122 wins - 123 points
Hikaru Shida - 123 wins - 124 points
Kazuchika Okada - 123 wins - 124 points
Daniel Garcia - 123 wins - 124 points
Kyle O'Reilly - 124 wins - 127 points
Bryan Danielson - 126 wins - 128 points
Matthew Jackson - 127 wins - 129 points
Claudio Castagnoli - 127 wins - 129 points
Christian Cage - 128 wins - 131 points
Mariah May - 128 wins - 131 points
Queen Aminata - 128 wins - 131 points
Kyle Fletcher - 129 wins - 134 points
Jamie Hayter - 132 wins - 135 points
Jay White - 132 wins - 136 points
MJF - 134 wins - 137 points
Brody King - 137 wins - 138 points
Harley Cameron - 137 wins - 138 points
Jon Moxley - 138 wins - 140 points
Nyla Rose - 138 wins - 140 points
Wheeler Yuta - 139 wins - 142 points
Athena - 140 wins - 143 points
Julia Hart - 141 wins - 144 points
Samoa Joe - 143 wins - 145 points
Will Ospreay - 144 wins - 146 points
Konosuke Takeshita - 144 wins - 146 points
Kris Statlander - 145 wins - 148 points
Chuck Taylor - 146 wins - 149 points
Eddie Kingston - 151 wins - 150 points
Orange Cassidy - 151 wins - 150 points
Adam Page - 151 wins - 150 points
Swerve Strickland - 151 wins - 150 points
Toni Storm - 152 wins - 154 points
Kenny Omega - 153 wins - 155 points
And our winner of Category 4, with a perfect score of 155 wins and 156 points:
Willow Nightingale!
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Most Beloved AEW Wrestler Tournament:
THE TRUE MOST BELOVED - CATEGORY 3: PERCENTAGE FOR
In order to make this as fair as possible, there will be 4 categories that the most beloved is ranked on: highest votes for, lowest votes against, highest percentage of votes for and highest number of bracket wins. Wrestlers are ranked from 1-156 (156 being best) and gaining the number of points they're ranked. At the end of 4 categories, the one with the most points wins.
Every time a bracket concluded, both wrestlers are given a score between 0 (unanimous loss) and 1 (unanimous win). A perfect score would be 155. Added all together, we get the Percentage For rank. Below is a list of everyone's percentage for rank, presented in percentage format.
Kamille - 12.04% of total possible votes - 1 point
Saraya - 13.56% of total possible votes - 2 points
Miro - 15.86% of total possible votes - 3 points
Nick Comoroto - 15.88% of total possible votes - 4 points
Rebel - 16.17% of total possible votes - 5 points
Serena Deeb - 16.88% of total possible votes - 6 points
Chris Jericho - 17.21% of total possible votes - 7 points
Paul Wight - 17.86% of total possible votes - 8 points
Aaron Solo - 18.04% of total possible votes - 9 points
Anthony Ogogo - 19.08% of total possible votes - 10 points
Sammy Guevara - 19.37% of total possible votes - 11 points
Tony Nese - 19.42% of total possible votes - 12 points
Ariya Daivari - 20.23% of total possible votes - 13 points
Satnam Singh - 21.02% of total possible votes - 14 points
Madison Rayne - 21.04% of total possible votes - 15 points
Vincent - 22.13% of total possible votes - 16 points
Josh Woods - 22.71% of total possible votes - 17 points
Dralistico - 22.86% of total possible votes - 18 points
Dutch - 23.08% of total possible votes - 19 points
Jeff Jarrett - 25.28% of total possible votes - 20 points
Rush - 25.54% of total possible votes - 21 points
Shawn Dean - 25.71% of total possible votes - 22 points
Michael Nakazawa - 26.54% of total possible votes - 23 points
Peter Avalon - 26.70% of total possible votes - 24 points
Jay Lethal - 26.75% of total possible votes - 25 points
Preston Vance - 27.68% of total possible votes - 26 points
Griff Garrison - 27.79% of total possible votes - 27 points
Dr Britt Baker DMD - 27.87% of total possible votes - 28 points
Toa Liona - 27.96% of total possible votes - 29 points
Ortiz - 28.33% of total possible votes - 30 points
Mike Bennett - 28.62% of total possible votes - 31 points
Colt Cabana - 29.29% of total possible votes - 32 points
The Blade - 29.41% of total possible votes - 33 points
Scorpio Sky - 29.62% of total possible votes - 34 points
Action Andretti - 32.29% of total possible votes - 35 points
Bishop Kaun - 32.60% of total possible votes - 36 points
Tay Melo - 33.34% of total possible votes - 37 points
Lee Johnson - 33.79% of total possible votes - 38 points
Dax Harwood - 35.42% of total possible votes - 39 points
Matt Sydal - 35.58% of total possible votes - 40 points
Luther - 36.00% of total possible votes - 41 points
Ricky Starks - 36.01% of total possible votes - 42 points
Wardlow - 37.06% of total possible votes - 43 points
Mercedes Martinez - 37.12% of total possible votes - 44 points
Brian Cage - 37.12% of total possible votes - 45 points
Rey Fenix - 38.03% of total possible votes - 46 points
Johnny TV - 38.17% of total possible votes - 47 points
Brandon Cutler - 38.47% of total possible votes - 48 points
Lio Rush - 38.62% of total possible votes - 49 points
Leyla Hirsch - 39.30% of total possible votes - 50 points
Diamante - 39.88% of total possible votes - 51 points
The Butcher - 40.03% of total possible votes - 52 points
Kiera Hogan - 40.13% of total possible votes - 53 points
Matt Taven - 40.54% of total possible votes - 54 points
Darius Martin - 41.96% of total possible votes - 55 points
Leila Grey - 42.01% of total possible votes - 56 points
Bobby Lashley - 42.36% of total possible votes - 57 points
Cash Wheeler - 43.11% of total possible votes - 58 points
Angelico - 43.33% of total possible votes - 59 points
Alex Reynolds - 43.54% of total possible votes - 60 points
Marq Quen - 43.69% of total possible votes - 61 points
Max Caster - 44.70% of total possible votes - 62 points
Lance Archer - 45.72% of total possible votes - 63 points
Billy Gunn - 46.35% of total possible votes - 64 points
Serpentico - 46.73% of total possible votes - 65 points
AR Fox - 47.55% of total possible votes - 66 points
Shelton Benjamin - 47.87% of total possible votes - 67 points
Keith Lee - 47.99% of total possible votes - 68 points
Cope - 48.14% of total possible votes - 69 points
Angelo Parker - 48.42% of total possible votes - 70 points
Taya Valkyrie - 48.67% of total possible votes - 71 points
Big Bill - 48.82% of total possible votes - 72 points
Dante Martin - 48.99% of total possible votes - 73 points
Red Velvet - 49.00% of total possible votes - 74 points
Deonna Purrazzo - 49.31% of total possible votes - 75 points
Malakai Black - 49.33% of total possible votes - 76 points
Dustin Rhodes - 50.27% of total possible votes - 77 points
Ricochet - 50.48% of total possible votes - 78 points
John Silver - 50.75% of total possible votes - 79 points
Mr Brodie Lee - 50.85% of total possible votes - 80 points
Nick Wayne - 50.97% of total possible votes - 81 points
Lee Moriarty - 51.10% of total possible votes - 82 points
Bryan Keith - 51.77% of total possible votes - 83 points
Colten Gunn - 51.93% of total possible votes - 84 points
Roderick Strong - 52.49% of total possible votes - 85 points
Sting - 53.96% of total possible votes - 86 points
Austin Gunn - 54.22% of total possible votes - 87 points
Hologram - 54.47% of total possible votes - 88 points
Isiah Kassidy - 54.52% of total possible votes - 89 points
Ruby Soho - 54.71% of total possible votes - 90 points
Matt Menard - 55.19% of total possible votes - 91 points
Killswitch - 55.80% of total possible votes - 92 points
Marina Shafir - 56.14% of total possible votes - 93 points
Yuka Sakazaki - 56.20% of total possible votes - 94 points
Juice Robinson - 56.30% of total possible votes - 95 points
Komander - 56.42% of total possible votes - 96 points
Riho - 56.49% of total possible votes - 97 points
Trent Beretta - 57.65% of total possible votes - 98 points
Penelope Ford - 58.14% of total possible votes - 99 points
Mark Davis - 58.21% of total possible votes - 100 points
Darby Allin - 58.78% of total possible votes - 101 points
Adam Cole - 60.01% of total possible votes - 102 points
Danhausen - 60.30% of total possible votes - 103 points
Bandido - 60.90% of total possible votes - 104 points
Mercedes Mone - 61.24% of total possible votes - 105 points
Thunder Rosa - 61.25% of total possible votes - 106 points
Emi Sakura - 61.57% of total possible votes - 107 points
Kip Sabian - 61.93% of total possible votes - 108 points
The Beast Mortos - 61.97% of total possible votes - 109 points
Skye Blue - 62.26% of total possible votes - 110 points
Jack Perry - 62.54% of total possible votes - 111 points
Kota Ibushi - 62.57% of total possible votes - 112 points
Anna Jay - 62.64% of total possible votes - 113 points
Buddy Matthews - 62.95% of total possible votes - 114 points
Nicholas Jackson - 63.89% of total possible votes - 115 points
Powerhouse Hobbs - 64.41% of total possible votes - 116 points
Abadon - 64.42% of total possible votes - 117 points
Hook - 65.93% of total possible votes - 118 points
Evil Uno - 65.94% of total possible votes - 119 points
PAC - 66.13% of total possible votes - 120 points
Mark Briscoe - 67.31% of total possible votes - 121 points
Matthew Jackson - 67.64% of total possible votes - 122 points
Anthony Bowens - 67.72% of total possible votes - 123 points
Bryan Danielson - 67.99% of total possible votes - 124 points
Hikaru Shida - 68.35% of total possible votes - 125 points
Kazuchika Okada - 68.80% of total possible votes - 126 points
Daniel Garcia - 69.10% of total possible votes - 127 points
Kyle O'Reilly - 69.43% of total possible votes - 128 points
Christian Cage - 69.77% of total possible votes - 129 points
Claudio Castagnoli - 69.90% of total possible votes - 130 points
Mariah May - 70.63% of total possible votes - 131 points
Kyle Fletcher - 70.97% of total possible votes - 132 points
Katsuyori Shibata - 71.23% of total possible votes - 133 points
MJF - 71.71% of total possible votes - 134 points
Jamie Hayter - 72.35% of total possible votes - 135 points
Queen Aminata - 72.45% of total possible votes - 136 points
Brody King - 73.63% of total possible votes - 137 points
Jay White - 73.77% of total possible votes - 138 points
Jon Moxley - 74.33% of total possible votes - 139 points
Wheeler Yuta - 75.17% of total possible votes - 140 points
Athena - 76.90% of total possible votes - 141 points
Chuck Taylor - 76.90% of total possible votes - 142 points
Nyla Rose - 77.24% of total possible votes - 143 points
Harley Cameron - 77.86% of total possible votes - 144 points
Will Ospreay - 78.88% of total possible votes - 145 points
Samoa Joe - 79.20% of total possible votes - 146 points
Julia Hart - 79.32% of total possible votes - 147 points
Konosuke Takeshita - 80.01% of total possible votes - 148 points
Eddie Kingston - 83.00% of total possible votes - 149 points
Kris Statlander - 83.50% of total possible votes - 150 points
Kenny Omega - 84.76% of total possible votes - 151 points
Orange Cassidy - 85.93% of total possible votes - 152 points
Adam Page - 86.00% of total possible votes - 153 points
Toni Storm - 86.67% of total possible votes - 154 points
Swerve Strickland - 87.21% of total possible votes - 155 points
And our winner of Category 3, with 89.34% of her total possible votes, garnering 156 points:
Willow Nightingale!
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Most Beloved AEW Wrestler Tournament:
THE TRUE MOST BELOVED - CATEGORY 2: VOTES AGAINST
In order to make this as fair as possible, there will be 4 categories that the most beloved is ranked on: highest votes for, lowest votes against, highest percentage of votes for and highest number of bracket wins. Wrestlers are ranked from 1-156 (156 being best) and gaining the number of points they're ranked. At the end of 4 categories, the one with the most points wins.
With every bracket, someone must be voted for and someone voted against. Below is a list of the number of votes placed against everyone:
Miro - 8011 votes - 1 point
Saraya - 7957 votes - 2 points
Chris Jericho - 7916 votes - 3 points
Serena Deeb - 7781 votes - 4 points
Nick Comoroto - 7703 votes - 5 points
Rebel - 7608 votes - 6 points
Sammy Guevara - 7389 votes - 7 points
Paul Wight - 7371 votes - 8 points
Kamille - 7358 votes - 9 points
Madison Rayne - 7097 votes - 10 points
Satnam Singh - 7071 votes - 11 points
Rush - 6990 votes - 12 points
Aaron Solo - 6906 votes - 13 points
Michael Nakazawa - 6880 votes - 14 points
Peter Avalon - 6853 votes - 15 points
Preston Vance - 6812 votes - 16 points
Ortiz - 6784 votes - 17 points
Shawn Dean - 6710 votes - 18 points
Anthony Ogogo - 6635 votes - 19 points
Tony Nese - 6513 votes - 20 points
Mike Bennett - 6485 votes - 21 points
Dralistico - 6458 votes - 22 points
Jeff Jarrett - 6437 votes - 23 points
Ariya Daivari - 6428 votes - 24 points
Josh Woods - 6425 votes - 25 points
Dutch - 6424 votes - 26 points
Vincent - 6283 votes - 27 points
Dr Britt Baker DMD - 6260 votes - 28 points
Griff Garrison - 6238 votes - 29 points
Jay Lethal - 6189 votes - 30 points
Mercedes Martinez - 6151 votes - 31 points
Max Caster - 6148 votes - 32 points
The Blade - 6142 votes - 33 points
Ricky Starks - 6113 votes - 34 points
Lee Johnson - 6098 votes - 35 points
Matt Sydal - 6093 votes - 36 points
Colt Cabana - 6075 votes - 37 points
Scorpio Sky - 6046 votes - 38 points
Dax Harwood - 6016 votes - 39 points
Rey Fenix - 6015 votes - 40 points
Wardlow - 6001 votes - 41 points
Lio Rush - 5986 votes - 42 points
Action Andretti - 5967 votes - 43 points
Toa Liona - 5896 votes - 44 points
Bishop Kaun - 5884 votes - 45 points
Luther - 5842 votes - 46 points
Brian Cage - 5691 votes - 48 points
Matt Taven - 5691 votes - 48 points
Tay Melo - 5674 votes - 49 points
Cash Wheeler - 5649 votes - 50 points
Nick Wayne - 5634 votes - 51 points
Brandon Cutler - 5480 votes - 52 points
Leila Grey - 5474 votes - 53 points
Marq Quen - 5450 votes - 54 points
Johnny TV - 5410 votes - 55 points
Leyla Hirsch - 5387 votes - 56 points
Ricochet - 5303 votes - 57 points
Diamante - 5218 votes - 58 points
Bobby Lashley - 5214 votes - 59 points
Lance Archer - 5192 votes - 60 points
Roderick Strong - 5164 votes - 61 points
Malakai Black - 5154 votes - 62 points
Angelico - 5117 votes - 63 points
Billy Gunn - 5080 votes - 64 points
Kiera Hogan - 5065 votes - 65 points
Darius Martin - 5023 votes - 66 points
The Butcher - 5020 votes - 67 points
Alex Reynolds - 5008 votes - 68 points
Cope - 4883 votes - 69 points
Serpentico - 4881 votes - 71 points
Taya Valkyrie - 4881 votes - 71 points
Shelton Benjamin - 4861 votes - 72 points
Mr Brodie Lee - 4848 votes - 73 points
AR Fox - 4805 votes - 74 points
Red Velvet - 4736 votes - 75 points
Lee Moriarty - 4711 votes - 76 points
Darby Allin - 4710 votes - 77 points
Big Bill - 4680 votes - 78 points
Angelo Parker - 4669 votes - 79 points
Adam Cole - 4620 votes - 80 points
Marina Shafir - 4592 votes - 81 points
Mark Davis - 4539 votes - 82 points
Kip Sabian - 4532 votes - 83 points
Matthew Jackson - 4503 votes - 84 points
Dante Martin - 4485 votes - 85 points
Colten Gunn - 4445 votes - 86 points
Deonna Purrazzo - 4415 votes - 87 points
Keith Lee - 4409 votes - 88 points
Nicholas Jackson - 4409 votes - 89 points
Austin Gunn - 4406 votes - 90 points
Mercedes Mone - 4389 votes - 91 points
Matt Menard - 4331 votes - 92 points
Danhausen - 4321 votes - 93 points
Trent Beretta - 4319 votes - 94 points
Bryan Keith - 4313 votes - 95 points
Dustin Rhodes - 4287 votes - 96 points
Sting - 4268 votes - 97 points
MJF - 4226 votes - 98 points
Ruby Soho - 4205 votes - 99 points
John Silver - 4143 votes - 100 points
Riho - 4064 votes - 101 points
Penelope Ford - 4050 votes - 102 points
Hologram - 4037 votes - 103 points
Yuka Sakazaki - 3998 votes - 104 points
Hook - 3939 votes - 105 points
Skye Blue - 3933 votes - 106 points
Jack Perry - 3916 votes - 107 points
Kota Ibushi - 3866 votes - 108 points
Komander - 3854 votes - 109 points
Juice Robinson - 3851 votes - 110 points
Bandido - 3848 votes - 111 points
Isiah Kassidy - 3822 votes - 112 points
Killswitch - 3819 votes - 113 points
Thunder Rosa - 3750 votes - 114 points
Anna Jay - 3703 votes - 115 points
Wheeler Yuta - 3637 votes - 116 points
Kyle Fletcher - 3627 votes - 117 points
The Beast Mortos - 3618 votes - 118 points
Powerhouse Hobbs - 3601 votes - 119 points
Abadon - 3538 votes - 120 points
Mark Briscoe - 3531 votes - 121 points
Evil Uno - 3524 votes - 122 points
Christian Cage - 3518 votes - 123 points
Buddy Matthews - 3483 votes - 124 points
Emi Sakura - 3473 votes - 125 points
Bryan Danielson - 3426 votes - 126 points
PAC - 3422 votes - 127 points
Kyle O'Reilly - 3358 votes - 128 points
Claudio Castagnoli - 3355 votes - 129 points
Anthony Bowens - 3315 votes - 130 points
Mariah May - 3233 votes - 131 points
Daniel Garcia - 3180 votes - 132 points
Chuck Taylor - 3173 votes - 133 points
Jon Moxley - 3139 votes - 134 points
Jay White - 3058 votes - 135 points
Kazuchika Okada - 3048 votes - 136 points
Brody King - 2951 votes - 137 points
Hikaru Shida - 2908 votes - 138 points
Queen Aminata - 2848 votes - 139 points
Will Ospreay - 2810 votes - 140 points
Katsuyori Shibata - 2769 votes - 141 points
Samoa Joe - 2682 votes - 142 points
Nyla Rose - 2616 votes - 143 points
Jamie Hayter - 2586 votes - 144 points
Athena - 2417 votes - 145 points
Harley Cameron - 2357 votes - 146 points
Julia Hart - 2243 votes - 147 points
Orange Cassidy - 2240 votes - 148 points
Kenny Omega - 2195 votes - 149 points
Konosuke Takeshita - 2191 votes - 150 points
Adam Page - 2183 votes - 151 points
Eddie Kingston - 2142 votes - 152 points
Kris Statlander - 1938 votes - 153 points
Toni Storm - 1912 votes - 154 points
Swerve Strickland - 1804 votes - 155 points
And our winner of Category 2, with only 1,338 votes against her, gaining 156 points:
Willow Nightingale!
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Most Beloved AEW Wrestler Tournament:
THE TRUE MOST BELOVED - CATEGORY 1: VOTES FOR
In order to make this as fair as possible, there will be 4 categories that the most beloved is ranked on: highest votes for, lowest votes against, highest percentage of votes for and highest number of bracket wins. Wrestlers are ranked from 1-156 (156 being best) and gaining the number of points they're ranked. At the end of 4 categories, the one with the most points wins.
Below is everyone's total vote count, marked by how many votes were cast by y'all in their favour
Kamille - 1018 votes - 1 point
Nick Comoroto - 1102 votes - 2 points
Saraya - 1234 votes - 3 points
Rebel - 1261 votes - 4 points
Miro - 1272 votes - 5 points
Anthony Ogogo - 1274 votes - 6 points
Aaron Solo - 1298 votes - 7 points
Serena Deeb - 1323 votes - 8 points
Ariya Daivari - 1411 votes - 9 points
Paul Wight - 1413 votes - 10 points
Chris Jericho - 1461 votes - 11 points
Madison Rayne - 1500 votes - 12 points
Tony Nese - 1580 votes - 13 points
Satnam Singh - 1636 votes - 14 points
Josh Woods - 1664 votes - 15 points
Dutch - 1695 votes - 16 points
Sammy Guevara - 1705 votes - 17 points
Dralistico - 1713 votes - 18 points
Vincent - 1771 votes - 19 points
Shawn Dean - 1995 votes - 20 points
Michael Nakazawa - 2013 votes - 21 points
Griff Garrison - 2045 votes - 22 points
Preston Vance - 2098 votes - 23 points
Jay Lethal - 2105 votes - 24 points
Ortiz - 2121 votes - 25 points
Jeff Jarrett - 2128 votes - 26 points
Peter Avalon - 2133 votes - 27 points
Rush - 2154 votes - 28 points
Toa Liona - 2199 votes - 29 points
Bishop Kaun - 2265 votes - 30 points
Colt Cabana - 2305 votes - 31 points
Dr Britt Baker DMD - 2381 votes - 32 points
Mike Bennett - 2429 votes - 33 points
The Blade - 2430 votes - 34 points
Action Andretti - 2455 votes - 35 points
Lee Johnson - 2496 votes - 36 points
Scorpio Sky - 2535 votes - 37 points
Matt Sydal - 2840 votes - 38 points
Tay Melo - 2864 votes - 39 points
Brian Cage - 2886 votes - 40 points
Luther - 2941 votes - 41 points
Dax Harwood - 2957 votes - 42 points
Brandon Cutler - 3001 votes - 43 points
Mercedes Martinez - 3017 votes - 44 points
Diamante - 3138 votes - 45 points
Lio Rush - 3173 votes - 46 points
Alex Reynolds - 3212 votes - 47 points
Wardlow - 3282 votes - 48 points
Leyla Hirsch - 3289 votes - 49 points
Johnny TV - 3291 votes - 50 points
Rey Fenix - 3299 votes - 51 points
Bobby Lashley - 3315 votes - 52 points
Darius Martin - 3359 votes - 53 points
Angelico - 3368 votes - 54 points
Leila Grey - 3387 votes - 55 points
The Butcher - 3409 votes - 56 points
Kiera Hogan - 3410 votes - 57 points
Matt Taven - 3511 votes - 58 points
AR Fox - 3514 votes - 59 points
Ricky Starks - 3553 votes - 60 points
Marq Quen - 3657 votes - 61 points
Cash Wheeler - 3754 votes - 62 points
Lance Archer - 3781 votes - 63 points
Dante Martin - 3835 votes - 64 points
Angelo Parker - 3853 votes - 65 points
Big Bill - 3883 votes - 66 points
Max Caster - 3952 votes - 67 points
Billy Gunn - 3983 votes - 68 points
Bryan Keith - 4074 votes - 69 points
Deonna Purrazzo - 4154 votes - 70 points
Cope - 4203 votes - 71 points
Dustin Rhodes - 4238 votes - 72 points
Serpentico - 4286 votes - 73 points
Mr Brodie Lee - 4289 votes - 74 points
Keith Lee - 4299 votes - 75 points
Taya Valkyrie - 4354 votes - 76 points
Red Velvet - 4397 votes - 77 points
Colten Gunn - 4404 votes - 78 points
Shelton Benjamin - 4433 votes - 79 points
Malakai Black - 4458 votes - 80 points
Lee Moriarty - 4474 votes - 81 points
John Silver - 4551 votes - 82 points
Ricochet - 4554 votes - 83 points
Isiah Kassidy - 4711 votes - 84 points
Austin Gunn - 4726 votes - 85 points
Hologram - 4869 votes - 86 points
Matt Menard - 4915 votes - 87 points
Nick Wayne - 4919 votes - 88 points
Bandido - 4959 votes - 89 points
Roderick Strong - 4972 votes - 90 points
Yuka Sakazaki - 5117 votes - 91 points
Marina Shafir - 5164 votes - 92 points
Juice Robinson - 5216 votes - 93 points
Anna Jay - 5232 votes - 94 points
Sting - 5244 votes - 95 points
Ruby Soho - 5250 votes - 96 points
Penelope Ford - 5280 votes - 97 points
Killswitch - 5297 votes - 98 points
Emi Sakura - 5378 votes - 99 points
Komander - 5390 votes - 100 points
Buddy Matthews - 5391 votes - 101 points
Mark Davis - 5433 votes - 102 points
Abadon - 5439 votes - 103 points
Riho - 5500 votes - 104 points
Trent Beretta - 5514 votes - 105 points
Darby Allin - 5709 votes - 106 points
Adam Cole - 5788 votes - 107 points
Thunder Rosa - 5789 votes - 108 points
The Beast Mortos - 5838 votes - 109 points
Danhausen - 5882 votes - 110 points
Skye Blue - 5888 votes - 111 points
Powerhouse Hobbs - 5954 votes - 112 points
Mercedes Mone - 6006 votes - 113 points
Jack Perry - 6010 votes - 114 points
Mark Briscoe - 6021 votes - 115 points
Anthony Bowens - 6053 votes - 116 points
Hikaru Shida - 6152 votes - 117 points
PAC - 6225 votes - 118 points
Bryan Danielson - 6245 votes - 119 points
Daniel Garcia - 6466 votes - 120 points
Nicholas Jackson - 6525 votes - 121 points
Evil Uno - 6590 votes - 122 points
Claudio Castagnoli - 6686 votes - 123 points
Brody King - 6730 votes - 124 points
Jamie Hayter - 6797 votes - 125 points
Kyle O'Reilly - 6798 votes - 126 points
Athena - 6816 votes - 127 points
Katsuyori Shibata - 6851 votes - 129 points
Kazuchika Okada - 6851 votes - 129 points
Kota Ibushi - 6936 votes - 130 points
Queen Aminata - 6993 votes - 131 points
Christian Cage - 7206 votes - 132 points
Kyle Fletcher - 7224 votes - 133 points
Matthew Jackson - 7273 votes - 134 points
Hook - 7275 votes - 135 points
Kip Sabian - 7364 votes - 136 points
Mariah May - 7375 votes - 137 points
Nyla Rose - 7467 votes - 138 points
Harley Cameron - 7494 votes - 139 points
Julia Hart - 8512 votes - 140 points
Chuck Taylor - 8790 votes - 141 points
Konosuke Takeshita - 8871 votes - 142 points
Jay White - 8874 votes - 143 points
Samoa Joe - 8917 votes - 144 points
MJF - 9102 votes - 145 points
Jon Moxley - 9251 votes - 146 points
Eddie Kingston - 9302 votes - 147 points
Will Ospreay - 9559 votes - 148 points
Kris Statlander - 9882 votes - 149 points
Wheeler Yuta - 10322 votes - 150 points
Adam Page - 10495 votes - 151 points
Willow Nightingale - 10575 votes - 152 points
Toni Storm - 10831 votes - 153 points
Swerve Strickland - 10882 votes - 154 points
Orange Cassidy - 11525 votes - 155 points
And our winner of Category 1, with 12,819 votes, giving him 156 points:
Kenny Omega!
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Most Beloved AEW Wrestler Tournament: The Unanimous Wins
Out of 12,090 brackets, 105 of them have been unanimous. Here's the list of all of them, in order of how crushing they were
Julia Hart beat Vincent with 111 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Griff Garrison with 109 votes
Orange Cassidy beat Nick Comoroto with 108 votes
Kazuchika Okada beat Miro with 104 votes
Orange Cassidy beat Serena Deeb with 104 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Josh Woods with 99 votes
Julia Hart beat Aaron Solo with 88 votes
Toni Storm beat Kamille with 88 votes
Kris Statlander beat Action Andretti with 85 votes
Toni Storm beat Tony Nese with 84 votes
Kris Statlander beat Serena Deeb with 83 votes
Orange Cassidy beat Kamille with 82 votes
Will Ospreay beat Kamille with 80 votes
Samoa Joe beat Toa Liona with 77 votes
Mariah May beat Vincent with 75 votes
Konosuke Takeshita beat Anthony Ogogo with 74 votes
Konosuke Takeshita beat Saraya with 72 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Peter Avalon with 71 votes
Adam Page beat Kamille with 70 votes
Toni Storm beat Scorpio Sky with 70 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Nick Comoroto with 70 votes
Katsuyori Shibata beat Shawn Dean with 69 votes
Konosuke Takeshita beat Kamille with 69 votes
Kris Statlander beat Kamille with 69 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Tony Nese with 68 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Serena Deeb with 68 votes
Athena beat Ariya Daivari with 66 votes
The Beast Mortos beat Nick Comoroto with 66 votes
Julia Hart beat Anthony Ogogo with 65 votes
Riho beat Nick Comoroto with 65 votes
Claudio Castagnoli beat Saraya with 64 votes
Will Ospreay beat Madison Rayne with 64 votes
Julia Hart beat Madison Rayne with 63 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Aaron Solo with 63 votes
Red Velvet beat Rebel with 62 votes
Toni Storm beat Marq Quen with 62 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Kamille with 62 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Jeff Jarrett with 60 votes
Konosuke Takeshita beat Shawn Dean with 59 votes
Toni Storm beat Dutch with 59 votes
Will Ospreay beat Dralistico with 58 votes
Kris Statlander beat Preston Vance with 57 votes
Nyla Rose beat Peter Avalon with 57 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Dralistico with 57 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Shawn Dean with 57 votes
Kris Statlander beat Paul Wight with 56 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Miro with 56 votes
Brody King beat Kamille with 55 votes
Samoa Joe beat Miro with 55 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Vincent with 54 votes
Eddie Kingston beat Michael Nakazawa with 53 votes
Toni Storm beat Rebel with 53 votes
Konosuke Takeshita beat Paul Wight with 52 votes
Toni Storm beat Miro with 51 votes
Brody King beat Satnam Singh with 50 votes
Kyle Fletcher beat Aaron Solo with 50 votes
Samoa Joe beat Nick Comoroto with 50 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Jay Lethal with 50 votes
Swerve Strickland beat Chris Jericho with 50 votes
Hikaru Shida beat Michael Nakazawa with 49 votes
Nyla Rose beat Nick Comoroto with 49 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Ariya Daivari with 49 votes
Harley Cameron beat Madison Rayne with 48 votes
Hikaru Shida beat Miro with 48 votes
Nyla Rose beat Paul Wight with 48 votes
Daniel Garcia beat Nick Comoroto with 47 votes
Julia Hart beat Paul Wight with 47 votes
Samoa Joe beat Aaron Solo with 46 votes
Willow Nightingale beat Sammy Guevara with 46 votes
Claudio Castagnoli beat Vincent with 45 votes
Harley Cameron beat Saraya with 45 votes
Samoa Joe beat Madison Rayne with 45 votes
Athena beat Preston Vance with 43 votes
Thunder Rosa beat Nick Comoroto with 43 votes
Brody King beat Brandon Cutler with 42 votes
Evil Uno beat Aaron Solo with 42 votes
Harley Cameron beat Scorpio Sky with 42 votes
Konosuke Takeshita beat Dralistico with 42 votes
Queen Aminata beat Kamille with 42 votes
Katsuyori Shibata beat Preston Vance with 41 votes
Kris Statlander beat Griff Garrison with 41 votes
The Beast Mortos beat Ariya Daivari with 41 votes
Harley Cameron beat Toa Liona with 40 votes
Harley Cameron beat Ariya Daivari with 40 votes
Katsuyori Shibata beat Paul Wight with 40 votes
Konosuke Takeshita beat Josh Woods with 40 votes
Kyle Fletcher beat Saraya with 40 votes
Queen Aminata beat Ariya Daivari with 40 votes
Nyla Rose beat Preston Vance with 39 votes
Daniel Garcia beat Josh Woods with 38 votes
Harley Cameron beat Aaron Solo with 38 votes
Julia Hart beat Dralistico with 38 votes
Nyla Rose beat Rebel with 38 votes
Powerhouse Hobbs beat Anthony Ogogo with 38 votes
Anna Jay beat Aaron Solo with 37 votes
Brody King beat Vincent with 37 votes
Eddie Kingston beat Scorpio Sky with 37 votes
Athena beat Jay Lethal with 36 votes
Samoa Joe beat Michael Nakazawa with 36 votes
Abadon beat Miro with 35 votes
Athena beat Miro with 34 votes
Eddie Kingston beat Aaron Solo with 33 votes
Samoa Joe beat Dutch with 32 votes
Killswitch beat Aaron Solo with 29 votes
Powerhouse Hobbs beat Aaron Solo with 29 votes
Or, totaled up:
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Most Beloved AEW Wrestler Tournament: Average Votes Per Wrestler Birth Location
Starting out, I learned how to make a geographical chart, so here is the average vote count overall per country of origin
And, because, I will admit, most AEW wrestlers are from the US, here's the states
Where, you may ask, is the average 10,495?
Why, it's right there in DC, entirely due to Nyla Rose
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You dudes are gonna love this
These results are gonna take a hot minute. Not cause they'll be time-consuming, but because I found a formula that allows me to get it done so fast, I keep giggling uncontrollably
To pass the time, please enjoy these AEW retrospective videos I made on my main wrestling blog: AEW 2019-2022, AEW 2022-2023
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These results are gonna take a hot minute. Not cause they'll be time-consuming, but because I found a formula that allows me to get it done so fast, I keep giggling uncontrollably
To pass the time, please enjoy these AEW retrospective videos I made on my main wrestling blog: AEW 2019-2022, AEW 2022-2023
#yeah it's a shameless plug but everyone wanted me to make the sequel and then it got like 20 notes#most beloved aew wrestler tournament#RESULTS DAY
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Your ask box being complaints 💀 I would never!
This isn’t a stat, but I would love to know your favorite tag for each wrestler (or for the top 25 wrestlers or something)
Also, tag academy awards (most unhinged, horniest, funniest, most accurate, whatever categories you want 😊)
And thank you again for doing this ❤️
Okay I spent 7 hours compiling this list and then 2 hours more to try and format it in answer format
I was unsuccessful because the list is too long
So here it is in Google Doc format instead
And a special place of honor for what I have decided is my favourite tag because it means the most to me:
#aew#most beloved aew wrestler tournament#tourney stats#my roommate is going to get very pissed at me soon because I've been keeping her up with my typing and clicking#but it's also only 8pm Ashley so like chill
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