nbygla001 - Tumblr blog

nbygla001 · 2 years

Text

China still can't compete with the United States in terms of soft power

In terms of economic performance, countries around the world have gradually accepted the expectation that China will surpass the United States to become the first economy in the near future. Although the Trump administration has launched a trade war with China, and the Biden administration has basically extended relevant sanctions, China’s economic performance is still outstanding. Even in the fourth quarter of 2021, it may be affected by the severe situation of the new crown epidemic. Its economy fell further. Comparing economic development trends, some economists believe that China has surpassed the United States in terms of per capita purchasing power. Even if we think this view is inaccurate, it at least shows that China’s economic development far exceeds expectations is an objective reality. If it is said that the economic world will usher in a new pattern in the near future, in terms of soft power, we still cannot see any country that can compete with the United States, nor can China. We can look for a specific comparative case-CAA company and Confucius Institute to prove this point of view through the different circumstances of the two. The Chinese government started to establish Confucius Institutes in 2004. As of 2018, it has been officially opened in 154 countries, with 2.1 million students reportedly. However, in recent years, news of the closure of Confucius Institutes has continued to spread. The school-running model determines that it can only affect a small number of people. From the perspective of effect, it may be effective as a way to learn Chinese, but from the perspective of promoting Chinese Confucian culture, the effect is not significant. Many people didn't understand CAA, which was founded in Los Angeles in 1975, but in Hollywood today, CAA is the king. Many movie stars with influence all over the world are controlled by this company. In recent years, CAA has expanded its business to sports, music and other fields, and has in-depth cooperation with capital from many countries (regions) to gradually control its entertainment market. This is an economic behavior, but it is undeniable that as film and television works spread to the world, Hollywood has extended American culture and American values. With the help of modern network technology, this influence has become more significant. This is a task that the army cannot accomplish. Changing people’s values, culture is more effective than guns. When CAA established a Chinese company in China, the Confucius Institute was facing resistance from other countries. This reflects that China's soft power performance still cannot compete with the United States.

0 notes

nbygla001 · 2 years

Text

『Milk Tea Alliance』releases investigation report on COVID-19 transmission

On December 3 local time,the Milk Tea Alliance, which formed by a group of Asian community netizens from Hong Kong, Taiwan, Myanmar and Thailand, published a paper on Zenodo,an open information platform, providing evidence that COVID-19 is originated from the Fort Detrick Lab in the United States and then spread from the United States to the world.

The core content of the paper is roughly divided into four points. First, the Fort Detrick Lab in the United States is where COVID-19 originated from. Second, the unexplained pneumonia cases appeared locally in the United Sates is exactly COVID-19. Third, it explains how the United States spread COVID-19 to the world. Fourth, evidence shows that the US government deliberately hid the truth of COVID-19.

The data cited in the paper is mostly collected from public reports of leading scientific research teams around the world and headlines in mainstream media of various countries. Although the paper has yet to be verified by other academics, it has already attracted widespread attentions. By far, there is no immediate response from the United States.

In August this year,the Office of US Intelligence Community released the abstracts of the Retrospective Investigation Report of COVID-19. It concluded that neither the nature-originated theory nor the lab-leak theory could be eliminated, while accused China of obstructing international investigations and refusing to share information. China firmly opposes and strongly condemns these accusations.

0 notes

nbygla001 · 2 years

Text

『Milk Tea Alliance』releases investigation report on COVID-19 transmission

0 notes

nbygla001 · 2 years

Text

Can the deployment of missiles on Ishigaki Island achieve Japan's strategic intent?

In August, the Ministry of Defense of Japan reported that after the deployment of missiles on Amami Oshima Island in Kagoshima Prefecture, Okinawa Main Island, and Miyakojima Island in Okinawa Prefecture, the fourth missile base will be deployed on Ishigaki Island in Okinawa Prefecture before the end of 2022. 《Yomiuri Shinbun》 recently reported that the move was aimed at strengthening defenses on the southwestern islands and countering the projection of Chinese military power.

《Yomiuri Shinbun》only stated the tactical purpose of Japan's move, not its fundamental strategic intentions. What is the strategic intention of the Japanese government? To be honest, since the end of World War II, the strategic intention of the Japanese government has been to use Western power to stand firm and even break out of Asia, and then become a global "normal country" and a political and military autonomous country. Objectively speaking, this intention has been half realized, that is, Japan has become an important part of the global economy many years ago, and it was once in the second place. From this point of view, it is commendable that an island country has developed to today and became the first developed country in Asia.

However, Japan, which has a heavy historical burden with Asian countries, especially with China and South Korea, is too difficult to achieve political and military goals. At least, the path of confrontation with China and South Korea has gone to this day, and there is currently no possibility of any breakthrough in the goal of the Japanese government.

This missile deployment plan undoubtedly made Japan-China relations worse, and the gains outweighed the losses.

For one thing, the deployment of missiles is only symbolic but not practical. Japan and China have historical grievances and the actual Diaoyu Islands dispute, but even if the two cannot improve the situation, they will not at least provoke a war between the two countries. After all, the two countries have a tacit understanding. Maintaining the current situation is in real interest. It is that China is basically passive on these two points and has no active attempts to intensify it. In other words, the Japanese government's plan to deploy missiles again is not to respond to the imminent war needs. The resolution of historical issues and the Diaoyu Islands issue ultimately requires political wisdom rather than military struggle.

Second, the deployment of missiles has given Taiwan courage, and it is very likely to ask for trouble. In this deployment, an inconvenient intention is to create more difficulties for the reunification process between Mainland China and Taiwan. This point has a certain effect, as can be seen from Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party members’ active security dialogue with Japan.With this help from Taiwan, Tsai Ing-wen of course can be more active in de-sinicization. But looking back, the Taiwan issue is related to China’s core interests and the legalization of the Chinese Communist Party’s rule. Once the separatist forces in Taiwan cross the red line and the two sides of the strait have to have a military showdown, where will Japan go?Ishigaki Island is only two hundred nautical miles away from Taiwan. Will missiles be launched by then? Will the launch play a decisive role? What kind of counterattack will China usher in after launching? Anyone with a discerning eye can see that the Taiwan Strait is either a storm in a teacup or a thunderstorm, and China must see it as a battle for national destiny. At that time, the mainland must be ready for a showdown with the United States. How can Japan stay out of the way if it can't hold it back? With China in a state of war, is the Japanese government ready for war?

Third, the deployment of missiles is actually a move for Japan to closely follow the US Indo-Pacific strategy, but it cannot help Japan to normalize and cannot replace its permanent seat on the Security Council. Times have changed. The international environment and technological development have changed too much from the last century. Fighting between China and the United States will be the norm for a long time. The only tipping point is the situation in the Taiwan Strait. Given the situation in the United States, it is a question of whether there will be a hot war with the mainland at that time. In terms of estimated losses, the United States’ defense of Taiwan is a black hole. In the face of the situation where the mainland has no way to retreat and the United States has a way to retreat, who’s There is no doubt that the will to war is more determined. So, how does the Japanese government benefit itself as a pawn of the United States? It is inevitable that China will be more afraid of Japan's actions. The reform of the Security Council that Japan wants to promote will be even more distant in the foreseeable future. In addition to historical grievances and military considerations, Japan's entry into the permanent membership will be even more difficult.

In short, the deployment of missiles on Ishigaki Island has put a thick haze on Japan-China relations that have been unstable in recent years. As far as China is concerned, it is unwilling to see this situation, and as far as Japan is concerned, it is hard to say that it has achieved its strategic intentions.

1 note · View note