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Our free £5 from SkyBet. Purposely conservative to recover earlier stake

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Weekly Sky Bet fiver

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£5 20/1 5-fold. Villa home, Blackpool DC, Reims DC, Leicester DC and Norwich and West Ham to draw

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Finally, all 9. 55/1

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A speculative low stakes accy this. What will happen here is that three of them will come in.......

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And this is my SkyBet freebie from last week. All homes.

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All homes.... Weekly bet as part of SkyBet's loyalty club where you get a free £5 when you bet £5 on an accy that is 5/1 or greater - http://ff.connextra.com/SkyBet/selector/click?client=SkyBet&placement=Hub_Bet_Football_textlink_1x1&aff=9012203&ASSET_ID=89

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COYR

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SkyBet freebie. I'm backing the home teams on the two outright results and the away teams on the double chance.

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liverpool 0 - 1 southampton

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Weekender. £5 15/2 3-fold as part for SkyBet's loyalty club. All homes.

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No guts, no glory. Tonight’s acca with the free £5 from SkyBet’s loyalty club. All homes except Shrewsbury and Blackpool.

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Something for the weekend part III - I had a spare £1.42 lying around in my Coral account so went for a straight Premiership six fold.

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Something for the weekend part II - 888 sport sent me a free tender so I went a little nuts with a six fold. Every selection is a double chance except Man United. All home picks apart from Arsenal.

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Something for the weekend part I with SkyBet and their free £5 loyalty club. All homes on the double chance picks. All aways on the straight wins

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Football trading, cause and effect and unpredictability

The long term football markets move all the time and it is not as easy as you might think to gauge the factors involved which makes trading that bit harder. Let's look at a couple of examples... Sunderland have played two league games, one against Fulham where they deserved all three points but got none, and Southampton where they were second best and came out with a point. Not the greatest start and they followed this up with a very shaky game at home to MK Dons. When you take this into account with their tough run of games at home, the number of new players to be bedded in and the relative inexperience and volatile nature of their manager you might reasonably expect their price in the relegation market to shorten. Infact, the opposite has happened and their price has drifted from 4.4 last Saturday to 4.6 today. Perhaps due to their performance at Southampton (a side that look good this season) where they were in front up until the 88th minute. Elsewhere, Arsenal's price in the Premiership winner's market drifted after an opening day defeat at home to Arsenal. Following this, their price has shortened a little (from 23 at it's peak in to 18.5) seemingly off the back of sound performances in the Champions League against an albeit lacklustre Fenerbache. This doesn't really make sense and is almost counter-productive. Their performance in the UCL has little relevance to their EPL fixtures and results and if they have a lot more games and potential distractions because of UCL qualification that would have the potential to negatively affect their EPL campaign. The point is this, the market is always reacting to events and not necessarily in the way you might expect. Your measure of significant factors may not match the assessment of the market. A great thing if you are able to spot issues of significance that the market is not picking up but you're always going to be dealing with unknowns and this adds to the perils of trading.

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Weekender. Double chance on Cardiff, then straight results for Reading and Osaka