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bitcoingape · 5 years

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Bitcoin (BTC) to Soar as China Capital Flight Takes Hold

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Bitcoin (BTC) to Soar as China Capital Flight Takes Hold

The trade war is going from bad to worse and contrarian investors will have noticed that that is usually good news for bitcoin.

Currently trading at $8,793, up 2.73% in the past 24 hours according to coinmarketcap, the drop below $8,200 witnessed earlier in the week seems a distant memory.

Keeping abreast of the bitcoin market right now, means watching like a hawk the dollar-yuan exchange rate.

That’s an opinion shared by Arthur Hayes, the chief executive of BitMEX exchange – although registered in the Seychelles BitMEX’s operations are based in Hong Kong, so you could say they have their fingers on the pulse.

As the Monday Asia trading session nears, against the backdrop of a deteriorating trade situation and global equity futures flashing red at the time of writing, the price of bitcoin could soon surge above $9,000, for the second time of asking in the past week.

China’s white paper warning to US

China has just released its promised white paper on laying out its stance on the trade dispute it is embroiled in, and squarely blames the US for the breakdown in negotiations, saying the country is “untrustworthy”.

Many governments around the world will probably be in agreement somewhat in the light of the Mexico tariff surprise Trump pulled late last week, that China may have a point. Even if they don’t, the country remains the preeminent workshop of the tech world, so from Asia to Europe tech and other companies are taking a more cautious and pragmatic approach than that shown by the US.

China’s white paper declared that the trade war has not “made America great again”, as the temperature rises between the two erstwhile trading partners.

The white paper’s description of the last round of talks does nothing to engender confidence in any imminent return to the negotiating table. It charges the US with “intimidation and coercion”, of making “exorbitant demands” and making “mandatory requirements concerning China’s sovereign affairs”.

Speaking at a press conference on the white paper China’s vice commerce minister Wang Shouwen said the US was “solely to blame” for the trade talks folding.

Yesterday saw the latest round of tariffs come into force on both sides.

Late last week China said it was drawing up a list of foreign companies it considers to be “unreliable entities”.

China has also been dropping big hints that it might limit supplies of rare earth metals reaching the US. China mines and processes 80% of the world supply of the metals, which are key to making components for electronic equipment in civilian and military spheres.

FedEX and Micron in the eye of the storm

In a further sign of the widening distance between the two countries, Wang said “nothing is agreed until everything is agreed”, breaking off to speak in English as if to stress the lack of progress.

Before a deal could be struck the US would have to “work towards cancelling them [tariffs]” said Wang, and there’s no indication that’s going to happen any time soon.

A deal looks even further away now that US express delivery firm FedEx is being investigated regarding whether it “violated the legitimate rights and interests of its Chinese clients” according to the Global Times, one of the most stridently nationalist of the official media.

FedEx, according to CNBC, has admitted to rerouting mail being sent from Japan to China to the US, making the parcel delivery firm a prime candidate for early inclusion on China’s list.

It’s not the only US firm in trouble either.

US chipmaker Micron has found itself the subject of an investigation by the Chinese anti-trust regulators. That follows complaints the Texas-based company made about intellectual property theft by a Chinese competitor.

For its part, the US, via the Pentagon has just accused China of practicing “predatory economics”.

Watch Trump’s Twitter feeds and the USD/Yuan rate for next crypto market moves

In addition to Trump’s twitter feed, crypto investors need to keep a watching brief on the yuan dollar exchange rate.

They key level is 7.00. If the yuan rises above that, it will be the first time it has done so since 2008, and we all know what happened in that momentous year.

The USD/CYN rate is creeping nearer to 7.00 (chart courtesy TradingView)

The last time China let the currency depreciate (2014-2015) it triggered capital flight as yuan-denominated assets fell in value.

But the value of the currency is not even necessarily the main driver of outflows. Ultimately, asset-rich individuals in China are looking to diversify their holdings to mitigate risk while at the same time scouring the world for higher returns in a low interest-rate world. The USD/CYN rate in this view may merely be the irritant.

Nevertheless, allowing the yuan to depreciate to make exports cheaper risks opening the floodgates of capital flight as far as the government is concerned. But logic and what is rational may find themselves put to one side as the trade war heats up and the temptation to inflict damage on the trading adversary impairs more considered judgement.

The Trump administration would likely label China a currency manipulator if it was seen to be deliberately weakening its currency, further exacerbating the trade conflict by adding a currency war to the mix.

The Chinese government is convinced capital controls is the answer to capital flight, real and imagined, no matter how ineffective. In the decade to 2017 outflows of capital from China are estimated at $3.8 trillion.

Today all Chinese citizens are limited to a maximum conversion of yuan to $50,000. However, even that figure may be too high for the liking of some officials.

Just last week Yu Yongding, a one-time adviser at the People’s Bank of China, was barred from transferring $20,000 out of the country to relatives residing abroad, the South China Morning Post reported.

If a former adviser to the central bank is having trouble moving such relatively small amounts of capital that is well within current rules, then it does suggest that a tightening of foreign exchange policy and capital controls is taking place.

Bitcoin still in demand despite talk of eliminating mining

There has been scant mention of bitcoin for some time in the Chinese media most closely aligned with the ruling party, except in the coverage of clampdowns on miners and cases of crypto-related fraud.

A woman was jailed for four months, the Global Times reported on 23 May, for stealing 17,277 Kw/h of electricity to mine bitcoin.

China’s powerful economic planning ministry has designated crypto mining as an industry to be “eliminated”.

The Beijing News reported a day earlier on one hundred individuals who had been defrauded of 7,000 bitcoin in the over-the-counter market, the only type of bitcoin trading that’s still allowed in the country.

Nevertheless, Wei Xiao from the Bank of China Law Association explicitly stated that owning bitcoin is legal in China, even if exchanges and initial coin offerings are banned.

Since the 17 April the yuan has fallen against the dollar by almost 4%, a big move by the standards of the foreign exchange market major trading pairs.

The dollar has risen against the yuan by 3.93% as the Chinese currency weakens (chart courtesy TradingView)

On that date bitcoin was priced at $5,228 and has risen in value ever since.

Yuan low on 17 April coincides with take-off in BTCUSD rate (chart courtesy TradingView)

Certainly, the network fundamentals and industry developments are enough to explain the recent uptrend for the word’s best-performing asset this year, but for near-term accelerant there’s no need to look much further than China.

Haven asset? Growing numbers think bitcoin is, and that’s what matters

Also, bear in mind the other side of the equation, namely the growing unease among market participants in the US.

The US is the largest crypto market by some distance and it is where the anxiety about the impact of loose monetary policy on the fiat currency is at its highest.

Chances that China will play the US Treasuries card are low as it would be undermining the value of its $1 trillion hoard of US debt.

Bitcoin is not a haven asset on a par with US government or German debt or gold for that matter, but lots of people think it is – and for others, such as Chinese investors, it is an attractive store of value on offer, either as capital flight conduit or a hedge in itself.

The post Bitcoin (BTC) to Soar as China Capital Flight Takes Hold appeared first on Ethereum World News.

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Car/Motorcycle Insurance and address question.?

I live in PA I Just moved out 5 months ago and i never changed my drivers license to the new address. Mainly because my dad payed for my next 6 months of my car insurance and it still says i live at home. Im going to buy a motorcycle soon and i know if i get the title in my name all the info will be mailed to my parents address because thats the address on my DL. My dad doesnt care if i get one but my mom does. I dont really want it mailed there but i dont think theres nothing i can do about that, can I? Say it gets mailed there when i go get insurance on it will i have to say the bike is parked at my parents house or my new address I know in the state of PA once you move out you have 15 days to change the address on your driver license. i did not change it. by me not doing this will it affect me getting insurance on my motorcycle? and if i do change it will it affect my car insurance cause its on my parents but i dont live there""

Government car insurance?

I've heard Of Auto Insurance Sponsored Through The Government For Low Income Homes. Where Can I Find More Information About This?

When you buy a brand new car off the showroom do you still need insurance for uk?

if you buy a brand new car and if it has gaurantee do you still need insurance?

Can a 17 year old get insurance in his own name?

im 17 years old and my dad wont put me back on his insurance. can i just start my own/ If so whats a good cheap one to get liability on?

gio contents insurance quote

Would the health issues I have impact my insurability or rates for life insurance?

I'm a 51-year-old female. I've been on disability for six years for chronic fatigue syndrome, depression and panic disorder. I also have mild hypertension. I'm on meds for all these conditions. BUT I've never had, nor have any family history of cancer, heart disease, diabetes, any sort of breathing problems or major organ dysfunction. I would think it might even be a plus in terms of insurability that I rarely leave my house!""

Where can I go for the best and cheapest classic car insurance?

We have a 1965 classic mustang and want to insure it for it's restored value.

Cracked windshield - should I make an insurance claim?

My windshield needs to be replaced due to a crack about 18 long. (from a stone that got kicked up by another vehicle on the highway). It will cost about $325 - $350 for a new windshield. The windshield installing companies say they can get Geico to pay for it. Might be true. I have comprehensive, but my deductible is $500. I just need to know if they will pay for it, and if it will cause them to decide to raise my rates, as I have made a claim.""

What's the best life insurance company? why?

How much would homeowners insurance cost on a 1.2 million dollar house?

It's in southern California. I'm just asking for a rough estimate please.

Will my Speeding ticket increase State farm insurance?

I was recently caught speeding in MN, going 87 in a 60 (I know that;s bad). Is there anything I can do to reduce the cost/penalty such as Traffic school ? Or am I screwed?""

Health insurance in Colorado?

I just moved to Colorado from California and am looking for a job. My problem is I have to get my vision tested, and I'm going to an optometrist, but I'm pretty sure he'll refer me to a specialist and testing will be required. I really want to go because I've been putting it off forever and it's starting to affect me a lot. I applied for Medicaid and was denied, obviously, since you have to have children or be over a certain age. Is there an insurance plan that's comprehensive and affordable, something that's going to cover doctor visits? I'm not looking for hit-by-a-bus insurance because that won't cover doctor visits or prescriptions. Or is there another public option? Thanks for your help!""

How much would insurance cost for a mini moto?

Looking for health insurance for our kids???

We just moved to oklahoma and we make to much for medicaid but not enough to pay $500 a month in insurance plus have a $1100 deductible per person then a 80-20 split after the deductible. We can afford to pay our own Doctor bills but if we had a serious problem (tonsils, appendicitis,surgery) we wouldn't be able to afford that so does anyone know of any health insurance we could get??? How does a HSA plan work??? Can you get one without it being sponsored by your employer???""

Financing a new car and with no insurance?

could I finance a new car then have it sit in my drive way with no plates or registration to avoid paying for insurance ontill I pay the car off

How much will my insurance go up after a DUI??

I got a D.U.I. and i am going to get my license back soon and i am wondering how much my insurance will be compared to before.

Child support/car insurance?

Ok so I just got my liscense and I bought half my trck and my mom bought the other half. So is it right for my dad not to pay for my insurance? And does child support cover car insurance. . .plz just give me your opinion/facts on the whole ordeal.... Have not found job just turned 15..btw Thank you all

NY registration insurance lapse 2 years ago?

I know I sound ridiculous. Over 2 years ago I moved, and left my car at a relatives with plates etc. Never turned them in. I don't believe I cancelled insurance either . I just moved back and would like to register and insure the car again. I checked my drivers license and it is valid with no suspensions or restrictions etc.. I went online to get a quote from the same insurance company and it seems like I could have signed up right now with a very reasonable quote. lucky or can I expect something else when I go to the DMV?""

Conservatives! What do you fear will be the impact of more people having QUALITY health insurance?

under so-called Obama care?

How come car insurance vary so much between different cities for the same car and driver?

I moved house so that I could buy a car, as the last house has permit parking rule and allowed one permit per house. So, I moved and now I am doomed, because the insurance is 3100 for a ford ka valued 1400. In the last house my insurance quote was 1500 for the same car, but just change in a post-code and bam. my dreams of having a car is shattered, I feel like crying out loud from roof top :(""

What is a good insurance plan for some one 49 years?

Single, non smoker. I don't have health insurance and Im gonna need it. I don't know where to start.""

Wheres the best place to get cheaper car insurance with unspent convictions?

i kind of pissed off a local copper by patronising him infront of his fellow officers causing them to laugh at him making him to feel a considerable amount of resent towards me which then later took its toll two weeks later and he pulled me over and ticketed me for 4 bald tyres which my vehicle was booked for at my garage to have them fitted the following weekend (sods law i know lol) anyhow took it on the chin and resulted gettin a 3 month ban for TT99 (means havin too many points) :'( now i have my licence back its a nightmare tryna get f***ing insurance anywhere, anyone know of any brokers specialising in that sort of thing? anyone know from first hand expirience? (if only id had Hindsight, the day i took the mick out of that copper) :@ Regards, Rub""

Added my newborn to my insurance after 30 days?

help ! after i had my new baby things wre so hectic for me. he had jaundice and in and out of doctors.. my toddler had dental promblems . i had post partum issues myself and by the time i called to add baby to insurance it was abt 12 days after the 30 day period . my insurance is united healthcare thru my previous employer that im currently on cobra with.. they denied adding my newborn and said they wll send me a letter so i can appeal but im afraid that wont help . any advice on what i can do .. i cant imagine nt hvng insurance for my baby..especially we just got home from the hospital yestrday bcz he has broncholitus .. so i wl be billed for that . i know i called to add him late but hopeflly there gtta be something i can do. i means its for a child i live california .. any advice on how to handle this

Can a health insurance company deny emergency medical coverage based on the final diagnosis?

I went to the emergency room for symptoms suggesting a life-threatening illness. It turned out I did not have a life-threatening illness and the ER doctor diagnosed something much ...show more

Canceled Car Insurance?

So, I found out today, that State Farm canceled my car insurance. My coverage was good through Feb. 1st. My billing date is also Feb. 1st, but they usually charge me a day or two late. They charged me today for my renter's insurance, which is how I found out that I have no car insurance. State Farm never informed me that they were canceling my policy. They said I have had too many incidents. I have had 2 accidents and 1 ticket in the past 2 years. One accident was my fault and the other was not. The ticket was because of the accident. My question is: What can I do to get insurance with another company when I have not had insurance for the past 4 days (even though I didn't know it) and is it going to be a lot more expensive because I do not have a current policy?""

Is insurance needed for car rental?

i would like to know if car insurance is needed to rent a car, or is it provided for the car.""

""Got a speeding ticket, will my insurance rates go up?""

Im a 17 year old male, on my intermediate license till march, I turn 18 next month. I got my first ticket of any kind this morning for going 65 on a 55 on a highway, she said since it was 10 or under, its not a moving violation and will not interfere with getting my unrestricted license. Ticket was $114 which I can easily pay, but i want to know if my insurance will raise or not, please answer if your knowledgeable on the topic.""

What happens if my employer forgot to deduct my health insurance?

I just started a new job and my employer seemed to forget to deduct my health insurance from my paycheck. I called the benefits department and they said I was signed up for the health insurance. I called the health insurance company and they said I'm signed up. I called the accounting department and they said I'm not signed up for health insurance. What happens now? Am I going to get hit with a huge bill for that not being withheld from my paycheck?

Health Insurance?

What is the best affordable health insurance for a low income middle age woman in Southern CA?

Can I still use my mom's health insurance?

My Mom has Anthem Blue Cross SISC III. I am married but 19 years old, and under the Affordable Care Act, children 26 and under are still supposed to be covered, married or unmarried, unless the adult child has another offer of employer-based coverage . My husband is a Marine, so I have the option to use Tricare, but I do not have my OWN employer-based coverage, so can I still use my mom's insurance? Her insurance plan is a lot better than Tricare.""

gio contents insurance quote

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/american-auto-insurance-daniel-ruiz/"

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