#chris looked sf good during this era

[idasessions]

Chris Hillman and Fuzzy Samuels performing with Manassas at the BBC TV Theatre in London, 1972. Photo by Michael Putland.

[robertbryantblog]

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[awaygamespodcast]

2018 Season Predictions

By podcast co-host, Kevin McCaffrey

This’ll be a long one, so BUCKLE IN!

NL EAST Washington Nationals NY Mets Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves Florida Marlins

The only “interesting” thing here is that I could see 2-4 in any order. I think the Phillies are almost overhyped as a possible breakout team, but they have a weak division to beat up on...just like everyone else. I think the Mets land a couple of games above .500 and are in the wild card mix late.

NL CENTRAL Chicago Cubs St. Louis Cardinals* Milwaukee Brewers Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds

I think the Cubs are, uh, the best team in the NL on paper? And with extreme bias, I probably put them #2 behind the Astros overall, right in the mix with Nats/Yankees/Indians. The tough part is that I do believe the Cardinals are going to Cardinals it up this season and be 5 wins better than they have any reason to be (Jose Martinez, with good playing time, I really believe in as a kind of Bautista-lite late-ish career breakout). The Brewers I think *should* be a touch better than the Cardinals, but I don’t think they *will* be. They really needed one more starter this offseason, and I’m not sure they have the farm system to deal for one mid-season stud...though their GM David Stearns I think is really good, and as a Cubs fan, bothers me.

NL WEST LA Dodgers Arizona Diamondbacks* Colorado Rockies SF Giants SD Padres

(Dumb guy voice that is identical to my actual voice) “The Dodgers don’t scare me!” Except, they kind of don’t. With Turner hurt, that lineup gets un-scary very quickly. He’ll be back, sure, but hand and wrist injuries can be long lingering poison to hitters (as I get deeply sad, thinking about Derrek Lee post-’05). The Diamondbacks are my reluctant pick for the 2nd wild card, as I feel like I could flip a coin between them and the Brewers. The Rockies I believe so little in, with a weak lineup and decent young, but hard-to-count-on pitching, that I had them 4th behind the Giants before everyone on that team died.

AL East NY Yankees Boston Red Sox* Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays

I’ve heard a lot of analysts say the Rays still shouldn’t be that bad, and that they aren’t “tanking” (Olney & ESPN types, mainly), and I know there are projections that always love the Rays no matter what. But they have a 4-man pitching staff, and they have 3 pitchers. So, last. The Orioles are weird but always better than they should be, I think the Blue Jays have a pretty solid year in what could be the end of the Donaldson era. Of the teams everyone thinks are playoff locks (Nats/Cubs/Dodgers/Yanks/Red Sox/Indians/Astros), I think the Red Sox are the most likely to just whiff it. It feels like they’re one key injury away from being kind of middling. Take out any one of Betts, Martinez, Sale, even Bogaerts, and they look good, but, eh. The Yankees are, annoyingly, going to be awesome for at least 8 years now.

AL CENTRAL Cleveland Indians Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Kansas City Royals Detroit Tigers

Woof, the bottom of this division. The Indians thank you for your fast-pass to the offseason. Because of that weak-ass schedule, my head tells me the Twins are the other wild card, but my heart tells me it’s a team from the city that invented the “fast pass” for their theme park. I love the Twins bargain shopping, going against the grain in an offseason when that meant just paying a little bit good players (Morrison, Lynn). If Cleveland can keep their pitchers healthy at the end of the year -- and the weak schedule could let them pull a 2017 Dodgers and fake DL guys mid-season for rest -- they could really go on a run...kind of like they did during the regular season, last year.

AL WEST Houston Astros Anaheim Angels* Texas Rangers Oakland A’s Seattle Mariners

Well, the Astros are the best, and they got better. I made money betting on them at the beginning of the playoffs last year, when it seemed everyone was on the Dodgers or the Indians, but I literally put my money on a historically good offense. I like those. They made a great trade that I wish the Cubs made for Verlander, added Cole, and all I can say is thank God they had moments of pure idiocy a few years ago when they waived pre-breakout JD Martinez and passed on Kris Bryant, because if they didn’t do those things, we’d just have to hit fast-forward until they stopped winning titles, and I’m not ready for 2022 yet. The Angels, man, c’mon. They’re maybe my #1 team to tune into when the Cubs aren’t on via MLB.TV (which somehow gets worse every year, from a technical standpoint -- my next story: “The At Bat App Is Tanking”), and thank God they finally went all-in to get decent older dudes to surround Trout with in Cozart and Kinsler, and re-signing Upton. Billy Eppler is really smart, and good, and even though getting Shohei Ohtani is largely through luck of location and the inequality of rules between the two leagues, they still got him, and that’s fun. So, what the hell, Angels for the 2nd wild card because them in the playoffs would be friggin’ cool. And the Mariners rebuild, once they start it, should have them really good by about 2025, when Felix is throwing one of his last opening day starts.

PLAYOFFS

Wild Card Cardinals over Diamondbacks Angels over Red Sox

Division Series Nationals over Dodgers Cubs over Cardinals Astros over Angels Indians over Yankees

League Championship Series Cubs over Nationals Indians over Astros

World Series Cubs over Indians in 7

Jeez, there are a lot of teams tanking, but this October is going to be a gauntlet of incredible teams. Every year is a year when “any team could win” in the playoffs, because that’s how the future works, but this year is one where it’s possible that almost any team *should* win.

I think the Cubs and Nationals will battle it out for a very important #1 spot in the NL, which could be rough for the Cubs looking at the Nationals division. Loser plays a rough series against the Dodgers, and goes into the next series with a disadvantage, as the Cubs did last year, heading to LA completely depleted. Fingers crossed the Cubs dispatch with the Cardinals in a very stressful NLDS, and the Cubs once again knock out the Nats, with a great 4-man rotation and Chatwood turning into a high-leverage bullpen weapon, plus whatever reliever Theo gets at the deadline (my prediction is Zach Britton).

In the AL, there’s part of me that just wants to say Mike Trout wins all the games by himself. But if that doesn’t happen, the Astros are the best team, the Yankees could score 8-10 runs just about every game...and yet, I’m saying this sneaky, historically good rotation in Cleveland puts a run together, choking the life out of every offense on their way to the World Series.

In storytelling, you’d have Cleveland take down the Cubs in a 2016 rematch, now with their rotation more than just Kluber and spare parts. But I think the Cubs rotation is just about the only one with the depth to matchup with Cleveland, and the Cubs might have more of an AL offense than the Indians. The pitching plays to about a draw, and the Cubs bats give them the title in 7...at Wrigley. Cleveland gets the consolation prize of getting to continue the claim of being the longest suffering franchise, which they’ve held for a full two years now.

The Cubs find themselves one title short of being able to claim a semi-official “dynasty,” with three more seasons left in the current window.

Or at least, that’s what I think will happen.

AWARDS

MVP

NL: 1. Bryce Harper 2. Kris Bryant 3. Anthony Rizzo

I honestly think this could/should be Bryant, and my heart wants Rizzo to get one of these for his future HOF case, but Harper in a walk year, but more importantly in a year he knows might be his last with a great Nats core, has him go on a high-profile tear.

AL: 1. Carlos Correa 2. Mike Trout 3. Giancarlo Stanton

It’s probably Trout, but let’s get slightly weird. Correa finished in the top 10 in MVP voting last year in less than 110 games, he’s on the best team, and the team played waaaaay better with him active last year. He’ll still likely be the 2nd best player on his team but voters won’t go Altuve again. Stanton hits bombs, you probably heard.

CY YOUNG

NL: 1. Stephen Strasbourg 2. Kyle Hendricks 3. Max Scherzer

Stras’s performance in game 4 of the NLDS was a real turning point in an already great career. With all the weirdness leading up to his maybe not pitching, if he bombed, that narrative would have stuck forever (like Kershaw/playoffs, as stupid as it is). But he dominated a great Cubs lineup, he has three plus-plus-plus pitches, his changeup is actual wizardry that should be outlawed, and he and Bryce go nuts in this last year of the Washington window. Hendricks rules, and people will never realize how much until maybe his 200th win. Scherzer’s maybe my favorite non-Cubs pitcher, and I’ve got him in the top 3 over Kershaw just because of Clayton’s back.

AL: 1. Carlos Carrasco 2. Corey Kluber 3. Chris Sale

ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

NL: 1. Scott Kingery 2. Ronald Acuna 3. Nick Senzel

Acuna seems like he’s gonna be a star of stars, but this could be a year where Kingery simply gets more counting stats, as he’s not having his service time manipulated (well, with the contract he signed, you could argue he still *is* being manipulated, but whatever). Acuna might be the best rookie since Bryant. Senzel’s a reach, just anticipating an injury and him coming up, playing out of position at SS, and hitting a bunch of homers in that mini-park.

AL: 1. Shohei Ohtani 2. Michael Kopech 3. Willie Calhoun

I believe in Ohtani! I think he’ll hit 12-15 homers, and be a solid #3 starter this year. Kopech could be Verlander. Calhoun is a position-less fire hydrant who might hit 25 homers in part of a year.

[junker-town]

9 questions heading into the NBA Finals, answered by those who know the teams best

Writers from our Lakers and Heat communities talk about what it’s like to be in the NBA Finals.

It’s basically October and the NBA Finals are ... here? It’s been an odd few months but we’ve nearly made it through the entire postseason in the NBA bubble and it’s finally time to crown a winner. We sat down with Sabreena Merchant, writer for our Lakers blog, Silver Screen & Roll and Surya Fernandez, Editor-in-chief of our Heat blog, Hot Hot Hoops to get us prepared for the matchup.

Nobody knows these teams better than these two, so let’s get to the important stuff.

So, how does it feel to be back in the NBA Finals?

Sabreena Merchant, Silver Screen & Roll: It feels great. Really, really great. I thought the last seven years had desensitized my Lakers fandom, that I had developed a healthier way of appreciating the team having gone through some low points. Not even close. I have lost my mind during this Lakers playoff run. It is so thoroughly enjoyable to watch this team win, especially as a group that defies modern trends and resembles some of the Lakers teams I grew up with in terms of their sheer physical dominance. It is incredibly satisfying to see the Lakers back on this stage, where they belong.

Surya Fernandez, Hot Hot Hoops: I’m not even sure I’ve fully processed what this one feels like yet. It definitely feels more like the first time in 2006, where players blossomed and grew under pressure, compared to the Big 3 era, when they were expected to be perennial title contenders.

What was the world like the last time your team was in the Finals?

SM: People thought LeBron James couldn’t win when it mattered. Idiots.

SF: This team has had a lot of ups and downs since the last time in 2014: Chris Bosh’s health issues, Dwyane Wade’s departure and triumphant return, 11-30, 30-11, and missing out on the playoffs late in the season three times — including last season. Back then, we were all thinking Miami had a dynasty in the making and that this would be an annual event after four straight trips. Little did we know how hard it would be to climb back to the Finals.

Should we consider the winner the legitimate NBA champion for the 2019-20 season?

SF: Yes of course. The playoffs have been very memorable, not just for the outside circumstances for this to happen but for the actual game. None of that has been compromised either leading up to the Finals, whether it was major injuries or large-scale quarantines of teams or players that would have affected the outcome. I was a little skeptical at first but I was hooked right in immediately — and those were just warmup games.

SM: There is going to be an asterisk on this title. There has to be, considering the entire format of the season was upended midway through the year. But there were asterisks on the 1999 and 2012 seasons because of the NBA lockouts, and I don’t think the Spurs or the Heat feel any worse about those titles. If anything, the success those teams achieved in subsequent years showed that those runs weren’t fluky at all. The Lakers or the Heat will have deserved this championship, and it’ll count the same as any other one.

Will the lack of a homecourt advantage matter to your team?

SF: The lack of homecourt advantage is a big missing factor, both positively and negatively, but all things are truly equal so all the teams are playing on an even field in the bubble. Miami has been the lower seed every round so they’ve taken advantage of the situation. They were clearly at their best at home in the regular season though, but this is a team that happened to be custom-built to thrive in the bubble.

SM: After so long in the bubble, I don’t think homecourt even enters the calculus of either team, except for Anthony Davis, who repeatedly talks about protect homecourt as the higher seed. The Lakers seemed to miss playing in fans at the beginning of the restart, but they’ve adapted. They haven’t any made any big comebacks that you’d associate with the rush of the home crowd, but they also haven’t been down that much.

The lack of homecourt is going to matter when the trophy is presented. That moment demands an audience, and it’ll be weird not to have one.

Who is the most important X-factor on your team?

SM: Frank Vogel. Erik Spoelstra has seemingly surpassed Nick Nurse on the list of everyone’s favorite NBA coach this offseason, and the general consensus is that while the Lakers have the talent advantage on the court, the Heat have it on the bench. But Vogel has been quietly excellent throughout the postseason, mixing and matching rotations while still keeping the Lakers’ big, physical identity intact. He’ll have to push the right buttons once again versus a Miami team that is more versatile and adaptable than any opponent the Lakers have faced thus far.

SF: I don’t have a clear answer for that, which is probably why they’re in the Finals to begin with. Butler, Adebayo, Herro, Dragic or even Robinson could all be good candidates.

Which player on the other side are you most concerned about?

SM: Bam Adebayo. No team to this point has had anyone with a prayer of guarding Anthony Davis, though Paul Millsap did a much better job than was expected. Adebayo, though, is a defensive menace with the size and speed to keep up with AD.

SF: LeBron clearly has the motivation for several reasons. He will look to be aggressive at all times.

What has to happen for your team to win the Finals?

SF: A complete team effort, like it’s been since the beginning of the season (a year ago), with at least two players stepping up big in crunch time on both ends. No silly fouls either because the refs will call them, let’s say, “tightly” on the Heat if we’re going by the last two rounds. They won’t be able to stop LeBron or AD, but how much they can limit them and how will they defend the rest of the Lakers? If Erik Spoelstra and the coaching staff can solve that, and they’ve been at the top of their game in these playoffs, then the Heat have a real chance of outlasting the Lakers.

SM: LeBron James and Anthony Davis have to be the two best players on the court every night. They are the two best players in this series, but they have to make that felt on both ends of the floor. They’re going to need to combine for 58 points and 20 rebounds per game to make this happen.

Alright, who will be Finals MVP?

SM: Anthony Davis

SF: Jimmy Butler, it would just be too perfect of a way to end this crazy season.

And your finals prediction?

SM: Lakers in 6

SF: Heat swept the Pacers in the first round, dispatched the Bucks in 5, and handled the Celtics in 6 so I’m going with Heat in 7.

[junker-town]

10 winners and losers from the Kawhi Leonard trade

Leonard doesn’t actually want to play for the Raptors, but if they win with him, then what?

After what felt like an entire year of growing distance and unease between one of the league’s most decorated franchises and its biggest star, the San Antonio Spurs finally pulled the trigger on a trade that sends Kawhi Leonard (and Danny Green) to Toronto. In exchange, the Spurs receive All-Star guard DeMar DeRozan, young big man Jakob Poeltl, and a 2019 first-round pick protected from Nos. 1-20. The pick becomes two future second-round picks if it does not convey next summer.

Leonard has the option to become a free agent next summer, and he’s voiced his desire to return home to Los Angeles and play for the Lakers. But similar players have echoed similar sentiments before turning around and signing a max contract elsewhere.

Regardless of Leonard’s future plans, this was a blockbuster trade and a could be a huge get for the Raptors. But not every team is a winner in this trade. Neither is every player.

Winner: The Eastern Conference

“The West has all the talent.” “No top-5 players are in the Eastern Conference.” “The East is trash.” Well, now the East has one of the top five players in the NBA. That’s the come up of the year right there.

Loser: Boston, Philly, Milwaukee, Washington

Now the East actually has to deal with Leonard in the playoffs. Condolences to all the teams hopeful of making it to the Eastern Conference Finals, or further. Good luck playing against playoff Kawhi.

Loser: San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs had few good offers on the table for one year of Leonard’s services. According to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski, the packages they were extended from Portland, Boston and Philly didn’t include any top-tier players.

Woj says teams aren’t giving much up in Kawhi Leonard trade talks: Trail Blazers: No Dame or C.J. Celtics: No Tatum, Brown, Hayward, Irving or Horford (yikes) Sixers: No Simmons, Embiid or Fultz pic.twitter.com/kK7W3bLkCW

— Kristian Winfield (@Krisplashed) July 17, 2018

The Spurs get a star-level guard with three years and $83 million left on his deal. DeRozan is good, but Leonard is one of the best players in the world when healthy. Under normal circumstances, San Antonio would have gotten a return laden with draft picks and young players. But under these circumstances — circumstances in which Leonard can leave Toronto, or any other team, and become a free agent next summer — no team was willing to give up valuable assets.

Depending on where you stand on DeRozan, the Spurs got between 20 and 40 cents on the dollar in this deal. That has to be tough.

Potential loser: Toronto Raptors

The Raptors just traded for a player who, according to ESPN’s Chris Haynes, has no desire to play for them.

Kawhi Leonard has no desire to play in Toronto, league source tells ESPN.

— Chris Haynes (@ChrisBHaynes) July 18, 2018

Potential winner: Toronto Raptors

Raptors GM Masai Ujiri pulled the trigger on the trade because he believes he can sell Leonard on re-signing with the Raptors next summer, according to Wojnarowski. Enough success this season could help Ujiri’s case.

The Raptors needed to shake things up, and while swapping Dwane Casey for Nick Nurse as head coach was a start, something else had to happen. Toronto could have just run it back with the same team and prayed for a different result. Instead, they blew out one of the pillars of the franchise and swapped it for the pillar of another.

The Raptors are now ridiculously deep. Here’s a look at their depth chart:

PG: Kyle Lowry/Fred VanVleet/Lorenzo Brown

SG: Danny Green/Delon Wright/Norman Powell

SF: Kawhi Leonard/C.J. Miles/Malachi Richardson

PF: Serge Ibaka/OG Anunoby

C: Jonas Valanciunas/Pascal Siakam

And if they make a deep enough playoff run, Leonard might be motivated to stay somewhere he can win. If Leonard walks, Toronto freed itself of the rest of DeRozan’s contract and can usher in an era of developing and building around the young players in their second unit. And because the 2019 first-round pick is top-20 protected, even if this project crumbles to dust, they still retain their own pick.

Winner: Kawhi Leonard

Leonard may not want to play for the Raptors long-term, but Toronto isn’t the worst layover he could have had. The Spurs could have sent Leonard to the Suns, Magic or any number of teams festering at the bottom of the standings. But they didn’t. They sent him to a perennial East playoff contender, instead.

Leonard can, and likely will, still opt-out of his contract next summer to become a free agent. That’s the type of freedom players fight for during collective bargaining agreement negotiations. But he can also compete for something meaningful this season.

He can play on a loaded Raptors team for a chance at a championship in one of the better NBA cities there are. He can show he doesn’t need Gregg Popovich to be an All-Star wing. He can show he’s still the player that had the Warriors on their heels in the 2017 Western Conference Finals.

It wouldn’t make much sense for Leonard to sit out this season, anyway. He only played in nine games last year. Sitting out would create rust beyond belief.

Loser: DeMar DeRozan

DeRozan was not happy with being traded to San Antonio. It appears Raptors brass told him one thing, then did another by trading him for Leonard.

Checking in with DeMar DeRozan’s Instagram story. Doesn’t seem DeRozan was aware of the trade going down. pic.twitter.com/h20PzA1is9

— Kristian Winfield (@Krisplashed) July 18, 2018

Meanwhile, @DeMar_DeRozan not backing off of claim he was lied to by Toronto regarding a potential trade, per source. Extremely upset.

— David Aldridge (@daldridgetnt) July 18, 2018

But...

Winner: DeMar DeRozan

The basketball world saw a new man when DeRozan improved his playmaking and three-point shooting in Toronto last season. Now he’s going to have a chance to play for the most decorated active coach in the NBA. What will Pop turn DDR into?

Winner: Drake

A new All-Star out North gives one of the rap game’s chief lyricist a new player to talk about. Unless he’s not writing his own rhymes, that is.

Loser: Kyle Lowry

His best friend is gone!

Loser: Los Angeles Lakers

Paul George was 100 percent going to play for the Lakers before his career was over. Every rumor, every news report said George wanted to play for his childhood idol, Magic Johnson, on the Staples Center hardwood floors he adored growing up.

But the Lakers never traded for him directly. Instead they bet on themselves and let the Pacers trade George to OKC. George re-signed with the Thunder for four years this summer. He will not be a Laker. There’s a chance, now, that neither will Leonard.

Suppose Leonard is 100 percent healthy and a force on both ends of the floor. And suppose Leonard’s Raptors dance with the Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals. And suppose Leonard starts liking the attention he gets in Toronto and feels they can beat the Celtics and make it to the NBA Finals?

The Lakers’ recruitment of Leonard just got a little more difficult, but they could also be the biggest winners of the Kawhi Leonard trade

Because if he doesn’t like Toronto after a year there, Leonard is out the door. And if he walks out that door, there’s only one place he’s going.