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#that's many many words i could be managing in the span of 4h
airenyah · 5 months
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me: really tired, eyes hurting, just wants to sleep bc i have violin lesson in the morning and some deadlines to keep in mind
insomnia, the moment i close my eyes:
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smartoptionsio · 5 years
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The BitMEX Casino – 5 Gamble Strategies You Should Avoid
When people enter leveraged positions on BitMEX, they take the risk of getting liquidated. With regular altcoin trading, you still have the coins/tokens after all, but with a liquidation, you stay with a big red zero. Traders with a lack of risk management and/or knowledge in technical analysis tend to apply typical gambler strategies. Learn which they are, which risks are involved and why you should avoid using them. I repeat this post is not for using these methods. It is about reflecting yourself and about self-awareness with your trading behavior. If you don’t know how to trade, these methods won’t save you. Educate yourself or go with one of the approved trusted signal providers to spoonfeed you the way to success.
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Disclaimer
This article is for educational purposes only. We are no financial advisors. Do not make investment decisions based on this informations. The information provided from Smart Options is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered legal or financial advice. You should consult with a financial advisor or other professional to find out what may be best for your individual needs and risk tolerance. Please do your own research and never let anyone trade your account for you. We do not support or advertise Fund Management in any kind of manner. We solely review signal providers, their work/analysis/provided education. Please read this disclaimer and leave the website if you disagree with it.
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#1 Martingale Double-Ups
The (Martingale) strategy had the gambler double his bet after every loss, so that the first win would recover all previous losses plus win a profit equal to the original stake. The martingale strategy has been applied to roulette as well, as the probability of hitting either red or black is close to 50%.
Source: Wikipedia
There are several kinds of ways implementing the classical Martingale technique. Let’s say a trade with a value of 0.1BTC hits stop/loss or liquidation. You would double up the next trades until they hit the target. Another way, if one really believes in his setup, is it to re-enter after stop/loss with the double amount, until the target finally hits.
The Problem: The problem is that your total equity might be too limited. All it needs is one juicy losing streak to blow your entire account. Some traders do it with a strict 2-Step Martingale rule, but one needs proper mental stealth to be able to take a loss after the second stop. Furthermore, it could be a new uptrend/downtrend that has been established and your actual target gets out of reach.
#2 Account Balance instead of Stop/Loss
It can be hard to take a loss, but it is part of your job as a trader. Still some doesn’t want to accept it and try to make use of a bigger balance to average their ass out of a red position. This means, you enter the position with a properly calculated balance, like 1-5% of your total account value for example. Means you still have 95% sitting in your BitMEX account. If the position goes against one, the gambler would feed more into it near the liquidation price to avoid thus. By doing this the average entry prices rises and the chances increase, that price will come down to breakeven, so you can leave the position without a loss.
The Problem: Especially in Crypto there is always the possibility the price goes parabolic and doesn’t come down to breakeven anymore. You are feeding a bleeding position and pull your wound apart more and more. This method becomes even more dangerous when used with a leverage of x10 and more.
#3 Candle Martingaling
If you have no clue from technical analysis you might be teased to make use of the simple odds of the candle color. There are two ways the patient gamblers play this: with the trend and countertrend. The first is to start buying or selling the newly starting color depending on the color of the last one. 4h chart, candle closes green. The gambler buys a small amount of the next starting candle and takes profit/stops out at the end of it. If in profit, he stays with the same amount, if in loss he doubles up on the next candle. Some think this works better counter trend, as you likely double up faster and therefore get faster bigger orders.
The Problem: It is never sure how price develops. Prices can go parabolic and grow without changing the color for a long time. Also, this technique needs very patient hands and a strong mind. Especially, if one reaches the 5th or 6th double up and the account balance melts away. On top of that, for all the patience needed, the rewards can be very small for a long time. Big rewards only come once the risk increases.
#4 Going Long AND Short
Many ingenious trader come to the idea to open up a second BitMEX account to take the opposite of the the actual traded direction, to over come the lack of understanding technical analysis. Indeed, there are legit methods out there to do it in a relative safe way if the price ranges tightens and a breakout is in the oven. However, it needs proper preparation, awareness and screentime, a good understanding of math and support and resistance to calculate the stops, the right charts and still tons of luck.
The Problem: There is still a good probability you get wicked out of both positions by a light saber candle. Double stop/loss. UGH. Furthermore, you really need to sit in front of the screen, best with two screens and observe price all the time. Sometimes stop/loss don’t trigger, even as market stop loss if the price goes ham.
#5 The Yolo Method: All-in – Go big or go home
Yolo! Go big or go home – you read that quite often in the BitMEX trollbox and this is the ultimately fastest method to burn your account. Very High Risk / High Reward teases still a big portion of traders. Many gamblers manage exaggerated position sizes like this if the trade goes against them. Going all in. Price pumps against them. Waiting for a calm down / retracement. Takeing 50% of the position out, accepting a 50% of the total loss. Uses the released funds for an order near liquidation price and hopes for wick action or a retracement to breakeven.
Many folks are searching for the single big shot that evens out all their loss they acquired before. However, the experience of many many many traders which have been in the same situation as you, have shown if you start this, you will see a massive series of losers. It is like magic, all-in-positions are really like having a badass magnet pulling price to stop/loss.
The Problem: Like in the other examples, you simply don’t know how the price will develop after all. It might just not retrace when you need it – blown accounts are the consequence.
How to do it right?
The most important thing is it to use proper risk management. The CryptoMedics Team has a great position size calculator, which helps you to develop a safe option. You find it their BitMEX calculator here. As mentioned in our Cryptomedics Review it has been developed by a mathematican in their team and is really a great deal in trading safety.
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