#um...laura dern did great but i was really leaning towards florence pugh in little women as a personal choice

[oreolesbian]

my 2020 oscars predictions

*sigh* i guess i’m doing this

disclaimer: my predictions always center around what I feel like has the highest chance of winning based on the Academy’s track record as a whole and how the individual films have been doing at other award shows through the award season. my predictions do not necessarily reflect what i would like to see win, and to be fully honest, most of the nominations don’t fully represent what I would like to see win some of these categories, but that’s a whole other can of worms. :)

Best Picture - Parasite (1917 is a close second, but I want to hold out for Parasite)

Best Director - Sam Mendes, 1917 (this seems almost guaranteed, but Bong Joon Ho for Parasite could make it if we cross our fingers hard enough)

Best Actress - Renée Zellweger, Judy

Best Actor - Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

Best Supporting Actress - Laura Dern, Marriage Story

Best Supporting Actor - Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood

Best Adapted Screenplay - Jojo Rabbit (this was a close tie with Little Women for me, but I ultimately decided Jojo Rabbit could be seen as a little more fresh to the voters as opposed to Little Women, which has had multiple adaptations and can be judged in comparison to those previous works)

Best Original Screenplay - Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood (holding out for Parasite in this category, but based on anonymous voter records I’ve read, Tarantino’s seems the most likely, with Baumbach’s Marriage Story pulling in a close third)

Best Cinematography - 1917

Best Costume Design - Little Women (if Julian Day for Rocketman and Ruth E. Carter for Dolemite Is My Name were nominated here like they should’ve been then it would’ve been a difficult tie between them, but alas, that is not the case)

Best Film Editing - Ford v Ferrari (this has become a wild card category for me since Bohemian Rhapsody’s baffling win last year, but I believe Parasite or The Irishman have good chances here as well)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling - Bombshell

Best Production Design - Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood (1917 is a VERY close second here)

Best Score - Joker

Best Song - “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again,” Rocketman

Best Sound Editing - 1917

Best Sound Mixing - 1917

Best Visual Effects - Avengers: Endgame (1917 is a close second, this was hard because I know Oscar voters have an inherent bias against big blockbusters, which I don’t hate completely, but Endgame did have strong effects...I could definitely see The Irishman sneaking up on us as well)

Best Animated Feature - Toy Story 4 (I don’t find it super unlikely that Klaus can’t pull of a win...but the Oscars love Disney so who even knows lol)

Best Documentary - American Factory

Best International Film - Parasite (the easiest prediction of this whole list lmaoooo)

Best Animated Short - Hair Love

Best Documentary Short - Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re A Girl)

Best Live Action Short - Brotherhood

Total: 

1917 - 4 awards

Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood - 3 awards

Parasite - 2 awards

Joker - 2 awards

Marriage Story - 2 awards

Judy - 1 award

Jojo Rabbit - 1 award

Little Women - 1 award

Ford v Ferrari - 1 award

Bombshell - 1 award

Rocketman - 1 award

Avengers: Endgame - 1 award

Toy Story 4 - 1 award

American Factory - 1 award

Hair Love - 1 award

Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re A Girl) - 1 award

Brotherhood - 1 award