#with independent rightwingers and the capital-L Libertarians being a big part of the push

[rlyehtaxidermist]

I do think that the biggest fallacy in American politics today is the idea that “more voters are registering as independent, which means the Silent Centrist Majority are dissatisfied with Both Parties Bad”. You see this coming up a lot, usually from centrist talking heads who think Biden could be blander if he worked at it, but if you look at the actual swing of counties with large growth in independent voters - the classic example being so-called “college town counties” - they tend to lean further left than the mainline Democratic Party, with turnout going to the Democrats from voters who pick the lesser evil.