totodiletears - Tumblr blog

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The bee guy is getting his own baseball card.

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A computer is a type of inefficient space heater that can display pictures of boobs.[1]

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Busted on Food Club yesterday by going too risky when a lot of other people won, got 48:10 today by being cautious enough to cover the Edmund/Federismo double upset when a lot of other people lost ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

To be fair I REALLY like covering pirates that open at 3:1 and move to a 4:1 payout.

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i feel like i’m cursed forever but other than that i’m doing alright

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Still really funny that Marvel named a movie “Endgame” and sold it as the final culmination of the MCU where they killed off two main characters and retired a third and then were shocked when people started losing interest in the MCU after that

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one hyperfixated tumblr mutual has the power of six hundred thousand ad campaigns

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Found my 53yo very-much-not-online father in the kitchen today meticulously arranging cutlery on the countertop and i was like 'what are you doing' and he looked up at me with the world's most shit-eating grin and said "Your mother told me this is how you rick-roll the Youth" and i looked over and it was fucking. Loss.jpg.

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If your goals basically amount to "after The Revolution everything will be great because people will all have the Good Ethics and work together in my Perfect System and the Evil People with Bad Morals and Bad Behaviour who are making this world bad will be gone (killed/imprisoned/exiled/all converted to agree with us when they see our Perfect System)" then that's just fascism. I hate to say it but you've put a gay socialist hat on fascism.

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So here's the statistically best Food Club set I have for today. Note the number at the bottom of the Expected Ratio column, the Total of every number in that column above it. This number, often called TER for short, is an indicator for how well you would perform if you could make these bets at these odds an infinite amount of times.

Which is not to say you should always aim to get TER as high as you possibly can. It's a legitimate strategy to be sure, but it's a high-risk one. The way odds shift throughout the day can make such sets unlikely to win and dependent on exceptionally good wins. Furthermore, some days it can be hard to predict what final odds will be if you can't be online right before the round ends. That said, it's still useful information even for more typical, safe betting strategies. It can tell you how profitable a given day is likely to be, and is a good tiebreaker if you're trying to decide between two sets you like.

I look at the TER of a typical, not-too-risky set as an indicator of how worthwhile it is to play Food Club at all. Seeing as you get 10 bets, a day you can't get a TER above 10 is a truly worthless day. A TER of 9 means your probable winnings are 0.9:1. A waste of time. You're losing money. A TER only slightly above 10 is "maybe if I feel like it." I'd probably ignore an 11 or 12, start thinking about it when it hits 13, and decide it's probably worth betting when we get to 14 or 15. A TER of 20 means you're statistically going to double your investment, and is a pretty good day. Not incredible, but good in a way that's going to be pretty common. As you go higher in the 20s, the better the day looks, but it gets rarer to see odds that good.

When you hit 30? I get suspicious. That's too good. I've been burned enough times on days like that. When you get a TER above 30, well, you can't skip, that would just feel bad if it turns out to be a good day after all, but it sure seems like it goes bad a lot. There's going to be some nonsense upsets, you just know it.

This? This is a TER of 40.377. Statistically this set can be expected to quadruple the money you put in. Oh, and there's a 55% chance of making any profit. For the specific "quadruple or better" wins we're looking at a 45% chance.

This is too good. Like I can't not play, it would feel so bad to miss out if it pays off, but it's too damn good. It's a goddamn TRAP, is what it is. They've set up a day of incredible odds inside a box propped open with a stick and they're gonna trap me and rob me blind.

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*narrows eyes at food club odds*

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we need more dials and knobs and levers again. this world is lacking in dials and knobs and levers. it's one of our biggest issues.

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The last time we were on a long flight, my wife and I invented a game we call "Little Guy."

You start a game of Little Guy by saying, "I'm gonna hand you a little guy." The little guy is some kind of baby animal you are imagining. "Oh," she might say in response, "Okay," and hold out her hands for it. I will then mime handing her the animal. This provides some clues as to the little guy's size, weight, and general ungainliness.

She then gets to ask questions about what kind of little guy this is, BUT NO QUESTIONS ABOUT HIS ACTUAL APPEARANCE OR SPECIES ARE ALLOWED. Qualitative questions, or questions about his behavior, are the only ones permitted. She can ask "Is he soft?" or "Does he seem nervous about being held?" or "If I put him in the bathtub, does he seem okay with that?" or "Would he like a lil grape?" or "Is he the sort of little fellow who would wear a vest in a children's book?" but not "Does he have fur," "Is he a reptile," "Is he from Asia," etc. Some questions are in a grey area so you have to follow your heart, but the point is not to identify the animal as fast as possible: the point is to guess the animal purely based on vibes + how he would act if he were in your living room right now.

And I'm not limited to yes or no answers! If she asks, "Would it feel appropriate to see this little guy in a propeller hat?" I can reply, "Oh no, he has a gravity to him. A bowler hat would be a more appropriate hat." Or if she asks, "Does this little guy have protagonist energy?" I can say something like, "he probably wouldn't be the main character in a children's cartoon. He'd probably be the main character's ditzy best friend who's always eating sandwiches, or something."

We're big Twenty Questions to kill time in a waiting room people, but Little Guy is more about the journey than the destination. It's got a different kind of sauce that's nice if "killing time" and "lowering anxiety" need to happen hand in hand.

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You, a fool, when characters state different or contradictory things about backstory events or how the world works: This is a plot hole!

Me, wise, enlightened: Not so, neophyte. Have you considered all the exhaustive possibilities in which one of these characters simply has no idea what they are talking about, or better yet, is a fucking liar?

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Remember that trend? Yeah me neither.

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oh to have a vivid imagination

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Alright Ars Technica, I’ll give you this one