#Probability Calculator

[marciaillust]

your design of me

[a-tools]

Probability Calculator can find two events' probability and the normal distribution probability.

[aerialworms-art]

Lifespans.

(ID under cut)

[Image ID: A three-way venn diagram floating against a starfield. The circles are coloured; one yellow, one light blue, one a darker shade of blue. The yellow is the smallest, the two blue ones over double its size, with the darker blue the biggest. The yellow is half covered by the two blue circles, while it takes up a small amount of the two blues. The centre overlap between all three is labelled "the precious few years we three were together".

There is very little overlap between the yellow and the darker blue without the lighter blue.

The work is signed 'aerialworms'./End ID]

[egophiliac]

bring your son to work day

[reasonsforhope]

100% have been perusing your climate change masterpost, and understand you're probably swamped so feel free to delete of course. But if you can find the time, is there any kind of hope to give in fighting climate change now? Can we save ourselves against the oncoming steamroll?

You hang in there too. Thanks for finding the hope among everything else. It feels so bad rn but I have to believe it can change. I hope it can.

Yeah actually I do think there is hope.

Things are going to get rough. Things are going to get worse before they get better, both for the climate and for people living in the US (and for people living in lots and lots of other countries that will be affected by the US election results/the ways the climate will worsen as aa result).

I haven't posted about this yet because I didn't want it to come to this, but now that it has, here's something that people have been quietly saying/research has been showing for months:

-via Reuters, November 6, 2024

Renewables, especially solar, are just too powerful to be stopped. They just too much cheaper and too much better, and that's only going to become more true, not less.

Also, I think (and hope) it's actually inevitable that at some point, we'll get to net negative carbon emissions. I think it's like solar: the technology, cost, and planet all make it feel like an inevitable technological trajectory, the same way solar tech is on an exponential trajectory. (IF WE WORK FOR IT, OBVIOUSLY, but also so, so many people ARE working for it, have dedicated their lives to working for it)

I sure fucking hope that's the case, anyway.

(You can find my masterpost on going net negative on what that actually means here)

It is gonna happen more slowly and shittily than I hoped, but I do think it's going to happen.

And if we can get to net negative emissions in time to save ourselves (which I think we will, the rates of advancement in many of these areas are very impressive), then we'll be able to slowly start to undo and heal lot of the damage.

[poet-guy]

Writing johnlock fanfic on my calculator, now I just have to see how to access ao3 from it

[alex-num-17566]

Every time I hear about Tim's missing spleen and all the complications that arise from it, I just...seriously? Why does he just walk around without it?

I mean, this is the same guy who tried to clone Kon 99 times. I'm sure he has at least some idea how to grow a spleen.

Please, someone, anyone, acknowledge Tim "I tried to master human-alien DNA manipulation as a highschool dropout" Drake would absolutely perform open chest surgery on himself to keep the embarrassment of losing an organ from the rest of the Bats.

[crispy-art-on-fire]

https://www.tumblr.com/crispy-art-on-fire/781066400406061056/the-recent-art-you-did-makes-me-think-of-poor-bee

On the comments of this post,you said that Bumblebee was an autobot with some Decepticon traits. Besides the fangs,what other ‘traits’ does Bumblebee have?

Well the only other physical trait he gained from Shockwave is being able to slit his pupils but mentally there is definite influence that separates Calculated Love Bumblebee from canon. Mostly from the headcanon that sparklings pick up their caretaker's coding.

He's quicker to anger and has less qualms about manipulating or hurting people. He's also picked up Shockwave's eye for weaknesses though he doesn't consciously realize it.

[readerattheend]

Han Yoojin is "normal."

Everyone sees him as "normal."

The story makes sure we know he's "normal."

And we get to see that being so undeniably human is miraculous when you're surrounded by these people who don't show their human mundanity.

This is a guy who takes spam calls for fun, and the god-like Sung Hyunjae makes him breakfast and knits for him.

This is a guy who is excited to meet a celebrity and the best water-based Hunter in the world goes to school because he tells her to.

This is a guy whose ability is just to love and be loved, and he is so, so loved by a being who is more monster and more fire than human.

He doesn't just bring out existing humanity. He sparks humanity.

[fireflyflarenight]

Remember those jokes about Second hallucinating AVmath?

[asgardian--angels]

mage viktor discourse again on twitter and all i can say in my little corner over here once again is, I don't know why the entire fandom takes it as canon that mage Viktor failed to save every world he manipulated.

Canon does not provide evidence of this. This is fanon speculation. It's a fine headcanon to have, but everyone talks about it like it's canon when it isn't. Canon is ambiguous about the outcome of the timelines mage Viktor altered. The little nods we are given point, in my opinion, towards the opposite conclusion, that he successfully averted destruction.

I've written meta on this before but in summary:

1) 'In all timelines, in all possibilities' is worded precisely, it's not 'out of all timelines'; the implication is that every time, Jayce brings Viktor back from the brink, not just in our timeline. 'Only you' doesn't refer to our timeline's Jayce, it refers to all Jayces. Jayce always brings him home. If Viktor continuously put the fate of each timeline in Jayce's hands and Jayce failed over and over, I don't think he'd say those words. And the way he says them matters. His words are tinged with wonder, not sorrow. As if over and over again, he is shown that Jayce saves him, and it continues to amaze him. He doesn't sound defeated, like this is the next in a long line of Jayces he's sending off to die. The feeling is that Viktor's faith in Jayce has not been misplaced.

2) If mage Viktor doomed every timeline, there would be hundreds (or more) mage Viktors. All running around manipulating timelines. I highly doubt the writers wanted to get into that kind of sticky situation. The tragedy of mage Viktor is that he is singular. Alone. Burdened with the responsibility of the multiverse. The emotional gut punch of his fate is ruined if other timelines led to the same outcome, and from a practical standpoint, having multiple reality-bending omniscient mages would rip apart the fabric of the arcane.

There are other points, such as there being only one corrupted Mercury Hammer and our Jayce is the only one to receive it, and the fact that if mage Viktor is as omniscient as he is implied to be, he could easily step back into other timelines and correct course, because it's highly unlikely he could sit still and watch things go down in flames. But these things can be argued elsewhere.

While I love conversations about mage Viktor's motives and selfishness vs altruism, the writers & artbook have expressed that Jayce and Viktor care greatly about Runeterra and want to fix their mistakes to save it, and that their reconciliation is symbolic of Piltover and Zaun coming together as well. Yes, they make disastrous decisions towards each other, making choices for the other or without the other, which has negative consequences for their relationship and for Runeterra - but I think fandom pushes their selfishness even past what's canon sometimes, as if their entire goal hadn't always been to selflessly help the world around them. Their final reconciliation is about bridging the gap that grew between them - the pain and grief and secrets, betraying themselves and each other - to mutually choose each other openly and honestly. Part of the beauty of their story, as expressed by the creators, is that in their final moments, they chose each other and took responsibility for their actions by sacrificing themselves to end what they started, together - and that choosing each other saved the world. TPTB have stated this - that Jayce and Viktor are the glue holding civilization together, and when they come back to each other, they can restore balance. It's when they're apart, when they hurt each other and miscommunicate, when they abandon their commitment to each other and their dream, that the greater world suffers. Their strife is mirrored in the story-world at large.

Mage Viktor is framed as a solitary penitent figure, damned to an eternity of atoning for his mistakes. He paid the ultimate price and now is forced to live his personal nightmare of exactly what he was trying to avoid for himself with the glorious evolution. The narrative clues we're given point more in the direction that he saves timelines rather than dooms them. If Viktor's actions kept killing Jayce, the very boy he couldn't bear to not save each time, it would undermine these narrative choices. Yes, Viktor couldn't stand to live in a world where he never meets Jayce, so he ensures it keeps happening. But in that same breath, he couldn't bear to see a world where his actions continue to destroy Jayce and destroy Runeterra. His entire arc in s2 is born of his selfless desire to help humanity, help individual people. He would not lightly destroy entire worlds. That's his original grief multiplied a thousandfold, and narratively it would lessen the impact of the one, true loss he did suffer, his own Jayce. It wouldn't make sense for him to be alright with damning other timelines to suffer the same catastrophic tragedy that created him. I mean, maybe I'm delusional here, but is that not the entire point? Because that's what I took away when I watched the show.

As I said, I love discussions about mage Viktor, as there's a lot to play with. All I wish is that the fandom at large would not just assume or accept the Mage Viktor Dooms Every Timeline idea as canon, when there is nothing in the actual canon that confirms this. Maybe people need to just, go back and rewatch the actual episode, to recall how mage Viktor is presented to us, and what it's implied we're supposed to take away from his scenes, and separate that from the layers of headcanon the fandom has constructed.

[hotchtits]

they're so real bc if i had daddy issues and my handsome older boss walked around looking like THAT, i'd be staring too

[afloweroutofstone]

Wait so what would you do if you were one of the contestants?

It still makes sense to drop out of the Beast Games in round one. A $5 million main prize with 1,000 players is $5,000 expected earnings. The first round has a $1 million side pot split amongst everyone who chooses to drop out of the games. So long as less than 200 people choose to drop out, you'll make more than your initial expected earnings

[snowcoming]

since i vent a lot here about wrong opinions about dick grayson, i need to mention that i saw someone say that in a fight in the batfam dick would be knocked out first which is wild-

how does that even work?

[pratchettquotes]

"The problem with Mister Nutt is that people want to kill him."

"What people?"

Ridcully stared into Ponder's eyes. His lips moved. He squinted up and down like a man engaged in complex calculation. He shrugged.

"Probably everybody," he said.

Terry Pratchett, Unseen Academicals