#Tyler Durden (Pseudonym)
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xtruss · 1 year ago
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Visualizing The Explosive Growth Of AI-Powered Fraud
— By Tyler Durden | ZeroHedge | Sunday 17 March 2024
Former U.S. president Donald Trump posing with Black voters, President Joe Biden discouraging people from voting via telephone or the Pope in a puffy white jacket: Deepfakes of videos, photos and audio recordings have become widespread on various internet platforms, aided by the technological advances of large language models like Midjourney, Google's Gemini or OpenAI's ChatGPT.
As Statista's Florian Zandt details below, with the right prompt fine-tuning, everyone can create seemingly real images or make the voices of prominent political or economic figures and entertainers say anything they want. While creating a deepfake is not a criminal offense on its own, many governments are nevertheless moving towards stronger regulation when using artificial intelligence to prevent harm to the parties involved.
Apart from the main avenue of deepfakes, creating non-consensual pornographic content involving mostly female celebrities, this technology can also be used to commit identity fraud by manufacturing fake IDs or impersonating others over the phone. As Statista's chart based on the most recent annual report of identity verification provider Sumsub shows, deepfake-related identity fraud cases have skyrocketed between 2022 and 2023 in many countries around the world.
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For example, the number of fraud attempts in the Philippines rose by 4,500 percent year over year, followed by nations like Vietnam, the United States and Belgium. With the capabilities of so-called artificial intelligence potentially increasing even further, as is evidenced by products like AI video generator Sora, deepfake fraud attempts could also spill over into other areas.
"We’ve seen deepfakes become more and more convincing in recent years and this will only continue and branch out into new types of fraud, as seen with voice deepfakes", says Pavel Goldman-Kalaydin, Sumsub's Head of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, in the aforementioned report.
"Both consumers and companies need to remain hyper-vigilant to synthetic fraud and look to multi-layered anti-fraud solutions, not only deepfake detection."
These assessments are shared by many cybersecurity experts. For example, a survey among 199 cybersecurity leaders attending the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting on Cybersecurity in 2023 showed 46 percent of respondents being most concerned about the "advance of adversarial capabilities – phishing, malware development, deepfakes" in terms of the risks artificial intelligence poses for cybersecurity in the future.
— Tyler Durden (Pseudonym) is thelead writer at ZeroHedge. Tyler represents the idea that a return to truly efficient markets is a possibility and a necessity.
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levyfiles · 7 years ago
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you know that post you reblogged that was from writing prompts, a dating service where matching is based on people's search history? a serial killer meets a writer and you tagged it as shyan- whos the serial killer and whos the writer
Yesssss This magnificent post!! Good Q, nonnyhun; good Q. 
In this version, Shane is the serial killer and Ryan is the dark humoured writer (who thinks its funny that all his fans think he’s a killer) who writes all of Shane’s favourite crime thrillers but he doesn’t know because he’s under a pseudonym Ricky Goldsworth but they easily end up inspiring one another in extremely different ways. It’s the perfect premise to start off the trope where an author finds his crime stories coming true one by one and Ryan, being a big believer in the supernatural, thinks he’s making it happen. Out of complete horror and a stalwart distaste for innocents being killed, he starts to point his murder muse in the direction of wicked people all the while flirting into a romance with this guy he met through a dating service who just Loves to talk shop with him. 
Things take a scary turn when the cops start asking around for Ricky Goldsworth’s involvement in the recent gruesome mutilation of a corrupt judge especially since Shane slipped up and accidentally left something of Ryan’s at the scene that the cops haven’t noticed just yet but Ryan recognises it and is beginning to wonder if he has some sort of alter ego doing this. Is he actually pulling a Tyler Durden???  
Shane who has avoided detection for years must now teach this panicked superstitious author how to get away with a murder he didn’t commit and make the choice if being honest with his twisted little author might mean losing him. 
JKDNGJKF FUCK~ consider this a prompt!
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gendihn · 4 years ago
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Even Elon Musk can't save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
Even Elon Musk can’t save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
If one looks at Dogecoin (DOGE) charts from the point of view of a financial chartist, he/she will notice an alarming presence of a classic bearish structure. For instance, pseudonymous analyst Tyler Durden highlighted what appears to be a “Head and Shoulder” pattern. The trading structure forms when an asset forms three peaks atop the same support level. In doing so, its middle peak comes out to…
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cryptocurrencyideas · 4 years ago
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Dogecoin Headed To 5 Cents After Losing Crucial Support Level And Even Elon Musk Can't Save It, Says Bitcoin Bull - Benzinga
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kultejas · 4 years ago
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Even Elon Musk Can't Save Dogecoin From Crashing 60% More, Claims Analyst #cryptocurrency #bitcoin #crypto #blockchain
Even Elon Musk Can’t Save Dogecoin From Crashing 60% More, Claims Analyst #cryptocurrency #bitcoin #crypto #blockchain
If one looks at the Dogecoin (DOGE) chart from the point of view of a financial chartist, one will see a dangerous appearance of the classic bearish structure. For example, pseudonymous analyst Tyler Durden highlights a “head and shoulders” pattern. A trading structure is formed when an asset makes three peaks above the same support level. By doing this, its middle peak comes out higher than the…
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thecryptoguestpostclub · 4 years ago
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Even Elon Musk can't save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
Even Elon Musk can’t save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
If one looks at Dogecoin (DOGE) charts from the point of view of a financial chartist, he/she will notice an alarming presence of a classic bearish structure. For instance, pseudonymous analyst Tyler Durden highlighted what appears to be a “Head and Shoulder” pattern. The trading structure forms when an asset forms three peaks atop the same support level. In doing so, its middle peak comes out to…
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blockchaingeeks · 4 years ago
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Even Elon Musk can't save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
Even Elon Musk can’t save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
If one looks at Dogecoin (DOGE) charts from the point of view of a financial chartist, he/she will notice an alarming presence of a classic bearish structure. For instance, pseudonymous analyst Tyler Durden highlighted what appears to be a “Head and Shoulder” pattern. The trading structure forms when an asset forms three peaks atop the same support level. In doing so, its middle peak comes out to…
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crazy4tank · 4 years ago
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11 Cyurious Movie Facts Not Many People Know
New Post has been published on https://funnypics365.com/2020/12/28/11-cyurious-movie-facts-not-many-people-know/
11 Cyurious Movie Facts Not Many People Know
Boomerang cameo in Birds of Prey
We can see Harley Quinn’s colleague from Suicide Squad make a brief appearance when she’s leaving a police precinct and notices a familiar wanted poster. In Birds of Prey, she points to Captain Boomerang’s photo and says: “Hey, I know that guy!”
Christopher Plummer is older than the actress that played his mother in Knives Out.
Even though Christopher Plummer’s character didn’t stick around for too long, his mother was present throughout the entire movie. What’s curious is that actress K Callan, who played her, is actually 6 years younger than Plummer himself, who in turn was 90 years old when filming Knives Out.
Red Skull wasn’t played by Hugo Weaving in Avengers: Infinity War or Avengers: Endgame.
In Captain America: The First Avenger, Hugo Weaving portrayed the villainous Red Skull, who is teleported into unknown parts of space at the end of the movie. To many fans’ surprise, he later returns in both Infinity War and Endgame as a stonekeeper. However, the character was actually recast and portrayed by actor Ross Marquand. Could’ve fooled us!
Billy Zane wore a wig in Titanic.
We bet you could’ve never guessed that it’s not Billy Zane’s real hair we see in the legendary 1997 film. In real life, the actor is actually bald, but the director must’ve thought that Rose’s posh fiancé needed a healthy head of hair to be more convincing.
Cast Away took over a year to make to allow for Tom Hanks to look the part.
At the beginning of Cast Away, Tom Hanks’ character looks like an average man, but after spending a lot of time on the island, it’s no surprise that his body gets severely malnourished. In order to make himself look authentic, production was stopped for an entire year, so that Hanks could lose 50 pounds safely and grow out his hair.
Animal noises in Avatar are borrowed from Jurassic Park.
If you ever watched James Cameron’s Avatar and thought that the creatures sounded familiar, you’re right! It’s difficult to place them at first, but you’re actually hearing noises from T-Rex and the Raptors in Jurassic Park.
Michael Caine forgot his lines when he saw Joker for the first time in The Dark Knight.
It’s no secret that Heath Ledger took extra steps to be as convincing as possible when playing the Joker in The Dark Knight, but what’s amazing is that he managed to scare his co-stars on set. In the scene where Joker and his cronies crash Bruce Wayne’s party, Alfred, portrayed by Michael Caine, is right there to stop them at the elevator, but instead, he steps away in horror. Caine was actually supposed to deliver a few lines, but it was his first time seeing Ledger in character, which scared him so much, he couldn’t utter a single word.
A Fight Club Easter egg in The Social Network
In one scene from The Social Network, Mark Zuckerberg cheats on his exam by making people comment on various works of art on a Facebook account. In order to be incognito, Mark uses the pseudonym Tyler Durden for his profile in a blink-and-you-miss-it moment. Interestingly, Tyler Durden is the main character in Fight Club, which, just like The Social Network, was directed by David Fincher.
We were lied to about Cobb’s totem in Inception.
In Inception, a spinning top is said to be Leonardo DiCaprio’s character’s real totem, but, if you pay attention, at one point, he reveals that it actually belonged to his wife. The theory is that Cobb’s actual totem is his wedding ring, which checks out throughout the movie.
He doesn’t wear one in real life, but has a ring on in a dream, which is why he constantly encounters his wife in there. In addition, we know that no one can know about how your totem works, but Cobb doesn’t have an issue flashing his spinning top to every character in the movie, which further proves this theory. So if you’ve still been wondering whether Cobb got out or not at the end, just look at his left hand.
Buzz’s girlfriend in Home Alone isn’t actually a girl.
At one point in Home Alone, Kevin finds a photo of his older brother’s girlfriend and reacts with sincere disgust. Director Chris Columbus didn’t want to use a real actress so as not to offend anyone and decided to have a boy dressed up as a girl instead. They ended up using the film’s art director’s son as a stand-in, which slipped by countless fans of Home Alone.
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azdoine · 4 years ago
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fanfic rec time
HPMOR: Riddle is a machiavellian evil genius with a real agenda, and his role in the story is pure undiluted competence porn. the fic is overhyped tho so just drop it if you find it insufferable instead of fun and clever
There Is Nothing To Fear: Riddle is sorted into Gryffindor instead of Slytherin, runs the Death Eaters like Tyler Durden’s fight club, and successfully takes over Britain. a terrifying depiction of a revolutionary villain
The Many Deaths Of Harry Potter: Voldemort is a highly cunning pragmatist who constantly lands kill shots on Harry. it’s Edge of Tomorrow/All You Need Is Kill-style indy!Harry popcorn fic, but enjoyable for what it is
Methods of Humanity: Riddle gets the Philosopher’s Stone at the end of first year, decides he gave the “dark lord” business a good college try, and retires under a pseudonym to teach DADA at Hogwarts. found family ensues
Book Learning: the Diary Horcrux survives the Chamber of Secrets by accidentally merging with Ginny’s soul, and Ginnymort has to deal with her past as Tom Riddle whether she wants to continue on that path or not.
That Glorious Strength: a heroic Tom Riddle runs his own school for muggleborns and halfbloods, building parallel social institutions and preparing for a revolution against a corrupt and pureblood-supremacist magical britain.
The Impostor Complex: the Diary Horcrux survives the Chamber of Secrets and goes on a journey all across the world, hoping to figure out what happened to his predecessor, or if his predecessor is even worth emulating.
I really like fanfiction with a Voldemort who isn't a cackling mustache-twirling comic book villain... but it's such a pain to find because every time I go looking for it I only find extremely graphic Tom/Harry underage slash
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cynthia-alexander · 5 years ago
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CONSPIRACY-PSEUDOSCIENCE Sources in the Conspiracy-Pseudoscience category may publish unverifiable information that is not always supported by evidence. These sources may be untrustworthy for credible/verifiable information, therefore fact checking and further investigation is recommended on a per article basis when obtaining information from these sources. See all Conspiracy-Pseudoscience sources. Overall, we rate Zero Hedge an extreme right biased conspiracy website based on the promotion of false/misleading/debunked information that routinely denigrates the left. Detailed Report Factual Reporting: MIXED Country: Bulgaria World Press Freedom Rank: Bulgaria 45/180 History Launched in 2009, Zero Hedge is a finance blog founded by Colin Lokey also known with the pseudonym “Tyler Durden,” Daniel Ivandjiiski, and Tim Backshall. According to a Bloomberg Interview the Zero Hedge founders/authors were anonymous until 2016. A Professional Service Subscription is required to read the rest of the interview from Bloomberg, however a New Yorker article also covered their history. Zero Hedge wrote a rebuttal article regarding the Bloomberg interview that can be found here. A quote from the reb
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Character Names in Eleutherophobia
Since I’ve had a few people ask me about the character names in Eleutherophobia, I figured I’d run down the whole list.  These names are approximately in order of appearance in my various fics.  To be clear: this is not crossover fiction.  These are supposed to be nods to these characters, not the characters themselves.  Bearing that in mind, in approximate order of appearance:
Day the Earth Stood Still
Essa 412: a yeerkanization of “Boy 412,” the main character of the Septimus Heap series.  In my opinion, the second best treatment of the impact of war on children ever written into a modern fantasy series.
Leslie Burke: the deuteragonist of Bridge to Terabithia.  The character always reminded me of a younger Rachel, so I chose to give the name to the bearer of Rachel’s death.
Anne Shirley: the main character of Anne of Green Gables, who often goes underestimated for the extent to which she is a tough, complex, socially awkward heroine written in 1908.
George Little: the younger brother of the title character of Stuart Little.  Mostly named because I wanted to give David a last name that implied cowardice without being ridiculously obvious about it.
Lost World
[Steve] Carlsberg: the not-quite-antagonist of Welcome to Night Vale.
Akira 
Dr. Miranda Franklin: named for Miranda of Dr. Franklin’s Island.  Kind of a pun on my part: the plot of that book involves one of the main characters involuntarily turning into an anaconda. 
Jennifer Murdley: titular character of Jennifer Murdley’s Toad, one of the books in Bruce Coville’s Magic Shop series who learns the very hard way to love herself. 
Mrs. [Hannah] Gruen: Nancy Drew’s housekeeper.
THX 1138
Joey Costello: the deuteragonist of Tangerine, a story about two boys who have very different sets of troubles with their respective older brothers. 
Dr. Pendanski: one of the incompetent counselors from Holes by Louis Sachar.
Jodi O’Shea: far and away my most pointed literary allusion.  Jodi is a minor character in The Host by Stephenie Meyer, a book which I love (except for the extremely problematic ending, but I’ll get back to that). The Host is essentially a love story between a yeerk (Wanda) and a human (Ian) whose entire plot is driven by consent negotiations.  It’s about Wanda and Ian wishing they could be together but knowing they never will because they can’t be without violating the right to consent of the yeerk’s host, Melanie.  Melanie, meanwhile, is in love with a different guy... Who can’t be with her either without violating Wanda’s right to consent.
[SPOILER WARNING] Eventually Ian resolves this love quadrangle by putting Wanda inside a human (“Pet,” and don’t get me started on that name) who has been a controller for so long that she has forgotten how to exert her own conscious will.  Wanda and Ian presumably do the horizontal tango using that host instead, AND THIS IS TREATED AS A HAPPY ENDING.  Jodi O’Shea also meets the same fate as Pet: Jodi has forgotten how to feed herself or move on her own, so her own husband decides that they should just put her yeerk, Sunny, back in her head.  Sunny claims that Jodi is brain-dead... But Sunny is also strongly motivated to lie.  (There are also implications that Jodi’s husband becomes romantically involved with Sunny instead, a plot which is so horrifying it deserves its own blog post.)  Most importantly, all the main characters are really happy that these poor hosts are vegetables.  There is an entire subpopulation of humans who have become entirely dependent on their alien slave masters for survival... and this fact is treated as the solution to all the characters’ problems.  It’s celebrated.  And, yeah, both THX 1138 and Ghost in the Shell contain some pretty pointed commentary from me on why I find this ending to be so deeply unfortunate.  [END SPOILERS]
Ghost in the Shell
Mary Lennox: the main character of The Secret Garden, the first book without pictures I ever read on my own. 
Rose Rita: main character of The Letter, the Witch, and the Ring, and arguably one of the first genderqueer characters to make it into a children’s fantasy novel.
Margaret White: the antagonist of Stephen King’s novel Carrie, obsessed with preserving the innocence (and thus the dependent ignorance) of her teenage daughter.
Sophie Hatter: main character of Howl’s Moving Castle, who does in fact make her own clothes.
[Mr.] Broxholm: the titular alien from My Teacher Flunked the Planet by Bruce Coville, one of the most awesome and profound children’s sci-fi novels I have ever read.
Anita Psammead: a nod to The Five Children and It by E. Nesbitt, one of the first ever fantasy novels written for children. 
Miss Zarves: the teacher from Sideways Stories from Wayside School who doesn’t exist, because she was accidentally assigned to teach on a floor that was never built.
Nikto 770: nod to the code phrase in Day the Earth Stood Still (the original movie, not my fic).
Kit Rodriguez: the deuteragonist of the Young Wizards series, known for his passion and tendency to care deeply for others.
Aristotle “Ari” [Mendoza]: main character of Aristotle and Dante Discover the Secrets of the Universe.
Dante [Quintana]: main character of Aristotle and Dante Discover the Secrets of the Universe.
Gabriel “G.T.” Stoop: the main character’s mentor in Hope Was Here.
Elijah Springfield: a teen detective from the Veritas Project series.
Lydia [Bennett]: supporting character from Pride and Prejudice.
Nick Adams: a recurring Ernest Hemingway character.
T.J. Avery: next door neighbor to the Logan family in Roll of Thunder Hear My Cry.
Cecily Tallis: the narrator’s older sister (and unwitting victim) in Atonement by Ian McEwan. 
Maybeth Tillerman: one of the main characters in Homecoming by Cynthia Voight, a book that critics like to describe as “the anti-Boxcar Children” for its unflinchingly realistic portrayal of childhood homelessness.
June Boatwright: one of the protagonist’s mentors in The Secret Life of Bees.
Caitlin Somers: a Judy Blume character from Summer Sisters.
Alex Morales: main character of The Dead and the Gone by Susan Beth Pfeffer.
Cooper-Trebond: shortening of “Alanna Cooper of Trebond” the name of the main character of Tamora Pierce’s Song of the Lioness series.
Jesse Hauptman: the protagonist’s stepdaughter and mentee in the Mercy Thompson series.
Timmy Dugan: lesser-known real name of WWII comic book hero Dum Dum Dugan, sidekick to Nick Fury and Howling Commando as part of the Marvel universe. 
Luke Castellan and Chris Rodriguez: two of the supporting characters from Percy Jackson and the Olympians.  I wouldn’t say that Luke Castellan is the first meatsuit I ever fell in love with (despite him being basically a voluntary controller and also a human dumpster fire), but I would say that he made my tendency to care too much about meatsuits in general about 1000 times worse.
“Cornelius”: okay, this one is in fact a crossover—that’s meant to be Tyler Durden, main character of Chuck Palahnuick’s Fight Club. He’s a schizophrenic, lonely guy who goes to support groups for various traumas that he never actually survived (usually under the fake name Cornelius) because that’s the only way he knows how to connect to people. 
Odette: the protagonist of Swan Lake and several subsequent adaptations, including Mercedes Lackey’s awesome The Black Swan.
Rod Allbright: another character from My Teacher is an Alien, because I love that series. 
Officer Nice: a nod to the song of the same name by Vio-Lence, one of my few non-literary allusions.
Gerald “Jerry” Cruncher: a guy who works as a porter (and remover of bodies) in of A Tale of Two Cities. 
Paul Edgecombe: main character of The Green Mile, a deeply conflicted prison guard who gets cast as Pontius Pilate in a modern-day gospel retelling.
Kate Malone: narrator of Laurie Halse Anderson’s amazingly powerful novel Catalyst.
Mae Tuck: matriarch of the titular immortal clan from Tuck Everlasting.
Annie Hughes: one of the main characters from The Iron Giant.
Kirsten Larson: one of the first characters from the American Girl series, an immigrant from Sweden who struggles to acclimate to the United States.
Adah Price: one of the co-narrators of The Poisonwood Bible, a disabled polymath who loves palindromes and puzzles.
Iris Chase: a society lady and heiress from The Blind Assassin, which chronicles family dysfunction and its unique impact on women over several generations. 
Dawn Schafer: part of the enormous rotating cast of protagonists from The Babysitters’ Club series, and one of my favorite characters as a kid.
Henry Case: main character of the genre-creating cyberpunk novel Neuromancer.
Parvana Weera: a tough, outgoing young woman whose struggle to keep her family safe during the American invasion of her home in Afghanistan forms the main plot of The Breadwinner.
Raven Madison: main character of Vampire Kisses, who spends a little too much time in her intense fantasy worlds and not quite enough connected to reality. 
Mr. [Bob] Grey: pseudonym used by the creature also known as Pennywise the Clown and simply “It” in several of Stephen King’s novels.
Ms. [Mary] Logan: mother of the main character in Roll of Thunder Hear My Cry, because I love that book.
Karana Nicoleño: although Karana, the main character of Island of the Blue Dolphins, doesn’t technically have a last name, her tribe is historically referred to as the Nicoleño.
Total Recall 
Vicky Austin: main character of A Ring of Endless Light, a book about coming to terms with dying—and about the many complex shades of victim blaming that can occur in light of unquantifiable tragedy.
Samuel Cornick: roommate to the eponymous Mercy Thompson of the bestselling Patricia Briggs series, a werewolf-doctor who continuously struggles to find meaning in an excessively long life and one of my favorite characters of all time.
The Thing from Another World
Seth Clearwater: a minor character in Eclipse, one of the youngest werewolves of the Quileute pack.
Captain William Nasland: one of the more obscure characters to hold the title Captain America; retconned into the role following Steve Rogers’s “death” in 1945.  Acts as both a hero and a villain because he has a well-intentioned but also closed-minded idea of what Captain America should be. 
Allison Chapman: main character of Sharing Sam, K.A. Applegate’s lesser-known novel about teenage basketball geeks who back their way into understanding the life, the universe, and everything.
Simon Grace: one of the main characters of the Spiderwick Chronicles.
Giselle Villard: one of the main characters from the Mystic comic book series who is awesome, tough... and more than a little power-hungry.
As far as I can tell, that’s it for the character names in Eleutherophobia.  I mentioned here why Marco’s last name is Alvarez and Cassie’s is Day in my series.  There are a few dozen other allusions as well (Tom and Bonnie bastardizing the “tears in the rain” speech from Blade Runner, Cassie quoting the epigraph from Home of the Brave, several nods to Remnants and Everworld and The One and Only Ivan, Marco making jokes about Lost World and Alien) and obviously all my fic titles are from classic sci-fi movies while all my song nods are The Best of 1990—2000, but as far as I know that’s it for allusions. If there are any that I missed, or that you’re still wondering about, let me know and I’ll happily clarify.
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goldcoins0 · 6 years ago
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Beware the 'ZeroHedge Trap'
Source: Michael J. Ballanger for Streetwise Reports   01/14/2019
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the turnaround in the markets at the end of the year and its effect on precious metals.
"ZeroHedge" from Wikipedia: In September 2009, news reports identified Daniel Ivandjiiski, a Bulgarian-born,[d] U.S.-educated,[e] former hedge-fund trader, who was barred from the securities industry in September 2008 for earning USD 780 from an insider trade by FINRA,[14] as the founder of the site, and reported that "Tyler Durden" was a pseudonym for Ivandjiiski.[3][15][16]FINRA rulings show Ivandjiiski worked for 3 years at New York investment bank, Jefferies & Co.,[17] as well a number of hedge funds, the last of which was Wexford Capital LLC, a fund led by former Goldman Sachs traders.[18] One female site contributor, who spoke to New York magazine in an interview arranged by Ivandjiiski, said "up to 40" people could post under the "Tyler Durden" pseudonym.[3]
I first learned of ZeroHedge after reading a post about gold in mid-2009 and was immediately drawn to its uncanny ability to unmask the malodorous bile that emanates from the Wall Street Spin Machines led by the Wall Street Journal and CNBC. In the early days, ZH was a refreshing must-read every morning and every evening as they were able to scan and re-post some great breaking stories related to the markets or people within the markets with the bad actors and self-promoters such as Bill Ackman and Dennis Gartman frequently called out for either reputational gaffes or outright bad market calls.
However, over the years, as banner ads clogged the sight with alarming frequency causing great annoyance, the site has, in my mind, devolved into the "National Inquirer" of financial sites, persistently seeking out and spewing forth opinions on markets which are at once and always a) anti-Wall Street b) bearish c) pro-Gold and d) revisionist. The trouble with frequenting these kinds of sites for financial insights is that they carry a constantly tainted and totally biased viewpoint on those asset classes they choose to own and/or promote. Take the recent market meltdown this past December. In the days leading up to the Christmas Eve nadir in prices, they ran no fewer than three dozen stories from "guest contributors" that warned of an impending financial holocaust that would render all financial assets worthless and that one had better "sell everything not nailed down" to avoid one's personal financial calamity. "Load up on gold!" was the esteemed advice from every corner of the ZH blog site just as they were screaming from gilded rooftops at the precious metals top in 2011.
Now, notwithstanding that I happen to AGREE with that advice (on gold) and am a well-documented skeptic on the veracity of this credit-fueled, counterfeit-money-driven "economic boom" that is being enjoyed and celebrated by less than 2% of the global population, I have grown to beware the "ZeroHedge Trap" of making ANY investment and trading decisions after reading one of their perennial purveyors of doom-and-gloom propaganda engineered to attract site "hits," estimated to have grown from about 1.6 million per month in 2009 to 40 million per month, a record for the period ended January 1, 2019.
Financial turmoil sells doom-laden websites and as we note, those in full panic mode were turning to Tyler Durden the Panic-Pumper when indeed they should have been counting sugar plums with CNBC's permabull team lead by Cramer or Pisani or Melissa Lee. Much as I hated the obvious intervention and fraudulent criminality of the Fed/Treasury-induced stock market recovery in the post-Christmas period, I swore to ignore the celebratory grave-dancing by the ZH crowd in favor of trusting both the charts and my instincts and sent out a Boxing Day note stating that "The time to be short (stocks) has passed" and true to form and content, I have been riding out the current 245-point pop in the S&P 500 with zero shorts and significant exposure to gold and ample cash reserves to once again try to pick the top of this current dead-cat bounce with Goldman Sachs once again in my profit-driven crosshairs.
Before I open myself up to the wrath of the ZeroHedge nation, let it be known that I still take great glee in reading them ridicule one of the ego-driven, "Rockstar" money managers that just detonated his book or the billionaire Internet leviathan that just got caught tweeting pictures of his genitalia to a mistress, but what I will do after reading such dross is turn off the computer and simply laugh while refraining from joining the blood-lust and diving into a limit-position purchase of Amazon put options. Just as listening to Jim Cramer telling you back in 2008 that Bear Stearns was "fine" (it wasn't) and that Lehman Bros. could never be allowed to tank (it did) was wrong advice to follow, the same can be said for blindly believing that the world is coming to an end with the same guy screaming it in 2008 echoing his identical forecast from December 2018.
As to markets, with the first real week of trading now completed, it should be known that statistically, 2019 is shaping up to be a positive year. Advanced indicators such as the Santa Claus Rally (up 1.3%) and now the First Five Day Rule (up 2.7%) are suggesting that there is an 80% probability that the next eleven months will see positive returns. To be sure, the global economy is indeed rolling over with higher interest rates and trade wars taking their toll but the numbers going back to 1950 state that even if January rolls over and heads down for the month, there is still a 70% probability that 2019 will be up. The ZH teeth-gnashers and the Peter Schiffs of the world will cringe at such a thought but as I stated above, I changed my bearish mindset on the Sunday before Christmas when the blogosphere was ablaze with the revelation that Screamin' Stevie Mnuchin was calling a meeting of The Working Group in Capital Markets, the Ronald Reagan invention of the 1980s designed to PROTECT against and PREVENT PLUNGES in stock domestic stock markets (otherwise known as the "Plunge Protection Team" or "PPT"). I learned a great many years ago that whenever a treasury official or a Fed Chairman speaks, you listen—better still, you ACT. I did listen and I did act. Mnuchin told us that "policy" was going to rescue the damage Jay Powell had wreaked and then the following Friday, he and Grandma Yellen came out and spewed dove feathers all over the stage and poof!—plates and silverware were on the table and everything was set. Stocks have gone on a tear to the upside and life in the world of the CNBC Fast Money team has returned to rapturous relief.
"We can now invest with confidence that the new boss is, in fact, the same as the old boss. Risk is dead. BTFD." - Stephanie Pomboy
The Fed is "grovelling to whiny investors." – Danielle DiMartino
"What starts on Wall Street, rarely stays on Wall Street – Scott Anderson (in reference to $4.5 trillion in wealth destruction due to the Q4 market bloodbath)
"They know NOTHING…" – Jim Cramer in 2008 (referencing the Fed)
"I got one client left and that's me—and I'm lookin' for a new broker." – Anonymous stockbroker in December 2018.
"Plus ca change, plus c'est la meme chose. (the more things change, the more they remain the same)" – Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr
Straying back to the ZH crowd, I honestly cannot find fault with their cynical view of the likelihood of an impending recovery. After all, if I sold advertising that was absorbed through osmosis to a legion of 40 million agnostic viewers as they read post after post of terror-inspiring sensationalist gloom, I would be livid that my world, so very perfect in its creation during the tumultuous months of November and December, could go from the penthouse to the outhouse at the utterances of two overtly corrupted personas in the form of Stevie Mnuchin and Jerome Powell. Just when I was SO CERTAIN that my gloom-site was going to 100 million page-views in January, the interventionists went to work and destroyed any shred of that dream becoming a reality. According and unsurprisingly, the frequency of bearish articles has intensified in an "I'll show the bastards!" frenzy of fear-inspiring stories so blatant that the top-of-the-page guest blogs are entitled "The Black Swan So Ugly No One Will Talk About It…", "The U.S. Will Go Broke. The Case For Gold" and "Gold: Higher, Then Lower, then Skyward."
The top story running all through Friday was "Something Biblical is Approaching: Here Are the Scenarios Of The Collapse" while the charts I was reviewing say nothing of "impending doom" to me but rather suggest a "Déjà vu" of sorts, not unlike a replay of March 2009 or the days and weeks after 9/11. The "invisible hand" saving stocks and capping gold and silver is undeniably present and has been since Boxing Day, and while the gloom-and-doom purveyors want the walls to come crumbling down NOW, I suspect that the financial asset Armageddon they so desperately crave may be a tad off and beyond the immediate horizon giving way to accelerated occurrences of doom-laden ZH commentary and contradictory CNBC cheerleading.
The bottom line is that the two faces shown above are the ones that will control stock prices as we move forward and there is nothing new in the zoo that makes this post-crash period any different than recent post-crash periods in the aftermath of the creation of the PPT and policy-driven interventions sanctioned and endorsed in 1988.
Get over it.
Gold prices are actually in great shape with $1,30-1,310 resistance still dogging us and while RSI looks "OK," we have an interesting contradiction in that the moving averages (50 and 200 day) are approaching the all-omnipotent "Golden Cross" while the MACD is soon completing a negative rollover. You can see from the chart beside us that gold went through a negative "Death Cross" back in July when the 50-dma broke below the 200-dma resulting in the summer swoon from $1,300 to $1,167 but it was preceded by the MACD doing the same. Today we have the same setup for MACD but not the same for the moving averages. We could see a retracement in the MACD below the zero line with gold moving sideways and if we get a quick recovery, the moving average envelope may indeed give us what we want. It is too early to tell right now so I have taken profits on the silver call options and banked the cash but still hold the GLD April $120 calls (from $3.20 in November) with GLD at $121.80 (and the calls at $4.10).
My strategy will be to continue to use the U.S. dollar index as my chart guide because the algobots are no longer glued to the widely touted (and plagiarized) meme that the yuan-gold peg is controlling the U.S. dollar price because that "flaveur-du-jour" dissipated in December. It seems that the yen-gold correlation (as opposed to "peg") has taken the front seat but it simply seems to me that the DXI is the one driving the bus.
As a tip-off, look for the $1,280 level for gold to be your very short-term stop-loss and while I doubt that the $1,250 level is in play, those GLD April calls would check back to our cost base if the GLD has a $1.00 drop (which equates to $10 per ounce gold). I will not risk a close below $3.50 for the April $120s. (Note: While they are on the 2019 portfolio books at $4.50, most of us paid $3.00-$3.35 as per GGMA Issue November 17th when first mentioned but if the MACD rollover wins out over the Golden Cross, we jettison all leveraged positions and live to fight another day.)
The TSX Venture Exchange holds the distinction as being the worst-performing exchange in the Western world and despite all the carnage last year in 2018, the TSX Venture Exchange closed down 34.5% versus gold down a mere 1.7% and the S&P 500 down 5.2%. Many of the corporate issuers domiciled on Canada's National Financial Embarrassment were down 90–95% and while most of those were residing in the crypto space, there were enough weed and mining dogs to fill a small arena. While there are countless cases of skullduggery on the TSXV, most of the major headaches are brought about by incompetence rather than fraud the likes of which contribute to one very ugly result.
Nevertheless, the TSXV's competitor exchange, the Canadian Stock Exchange or "CSE" is just as suspect and after the Getchell Gold Corp. (GTCH:CSE) fiasco in December, there is no doubt in my mind that what is needed is for a few of the graybeards to come back from retirement and take control of these exchanges from the kids currently running them. The problem lies in this new-found and totally unwarranted sense of entitlement carried into the workplace that is an extension of the university system where everyone is entitled to a "happy and safe outcome" where graduating marks matter not while "effort" and "sincerity" replace "accountability" and "hard work."
When I was a rookie broker in the late 1970s, if you screwed up and sold 5,000 shares when you should have only sold 2,500 shares, the exchange didn't halt trading in the issue and launch an "investigation" to see how the trading error could find a "resolution"; you informed your trader that you screwed up the trade and he went out and bought it back charging your commission account with any trading losses. End of story. Furthermore, if a client brought in a certificate for 100,000 shares of Rectal Gas, you sent the certificate to head office where there was a battery of staff checking the CUSIP and ISN numbers, the signatures, and the funny little patterns on the cert to determine whether or not it was in "good form." If it was, they notified the broker and he notified the client and it was sold. If, however, the shares were sold in advance and they came back bogus (i.e., not in "good form") the trade was reversed and the broker was liable for any loss.
In today's world, the CSE actually halted trading in Getchell Gold because certain shares were sold in error after the December 3rd re-opening and rather than simply ordering the broker to cover the errors, they halted GTCH putting 87.3% of the shareholder base (the Buena Vista Gold investors from pre-merger times whose shares were ALL in "good form") in a position of huge disadvantage in order to make the offending parties "safe" from financial hardship as the exchange and the Canada Depository Services and the CSE moving to find a nice, non-offensive "solution" to the "problem."
Now, if this was all a complete out-of-thin-air surprise to all parties, one could understand the rationale behind a trading halt, but the offending parties were notified of changes in their ownership by way of a press release on November 13, 2018, AFTER a Special Meeting of Shareholders was called and AFTER it was posted on SEDAR. The offending parties all knew full well that their accounts were sitting with a magical six-times-too-many number of GTCH shares than there should have been when it re-opened for trading on December 3, but as can be seen from the Net House Summary data, 1.588 million shares were sold and while certainly not all were erroneous trades, it is my bet the vast majority were pre-merger shareholders thinking that they had just won a mini-lottery and rushed to dump the paper just as fast as they could.
You wonder, pray tell, how I know this? It is because I owned those very shares that were to be affected and through series of emails back and forth with GTCH management, the CSE, and the transfer agent, I was the only person voicing any concern over the discrepancy. However, did I go out and try to sell my shares because there were more than there should be in the account? Of course not, because I had read the proxy circular telling me that I was going to have one-sixth as many shares when the merger was completed. Since it is my responsibility to know my holdings and the broker's responsibility to check to ensure that all securities are in "good form" prior to sale, I did nothing. In fact, I BOUGHT more GTCH under $0.20 when it re-opened.
Now, just when you thought this story couldn't get any worse, I sent emails explaining to the "involved parties" how to rectify the situation and further warned that if a bulletin was issued to the brokers announcing the retroactive rollback, they would erroneously include ALL Getchell shares, including the ones that were issued in "good form." Well (you guessed it), they issued the bulletin, and EVERYTHING got cut back. Purchases made after December 3 and PAID for also got affected and as it stands here on January 12, 2019, in six days, it will be a full month since the shares were halted for the second time and many of the share positions are still completely screwed up because somebody arbitrarily determined that a "solution" to make it "go away" could be found by halting the stock. Insanity and incompetence of the highest order prevails…
What is maddening for me is that many friends and followers of my writings are participants in the Getchell/Buena Vista Gold story by way of private placements made in 2017 and 2018 and it has been a long grind for many of us awaiting the liquidity event and listing process. Furthermore, the technical team including mining engineer Bill Wagener (CEO/Chairman) and Q.P. Tim Master, who have done a superb job with the assembly of the land package, aeromagnetic, IP and gravity surveys, and subsequent RC drilling program, are now at the mercy of the Exchange and the Regulators in the funding campaign for the spring core drilling program at Hot Springs Peak. The damage to the reputational capital of this outstanding project cannot be measured in dollars but what is certain are two very important facts:
Ø The GTCH share price opened in the $0.55-0.60 range and had it not been for 23 million shares sitting in accounts that should have been only 3.6 million shares sitting in accounts, it would never have traded down to $0.145 prior to the second halt.
Ø When it re-opens, I estimate that over two-thirds of the sales were in error, leaving a short position of approximately 1 million shares. These shares will need to be bought back and with new buyers showing up smelling blood and a significant reduction in the available float, there is a good chance that we see a rapid recovery and possible squeeze in the price.
Now, with the current market cap of < $5 million, GTCH is undervalued for a couple of reasons but the main thrust is that there are six projects covering a wide expanse in the highly prospective North Central Nevada district, the upside potential is substantial. Four RC holes are pending assays and reconnaissance work from land to the south of HSP has more data to be reported and rumored to be quite positive.
If anyone at the CSE, the CDS, IIROC or all of the member brokerage firms are reading this, please put your heads together and try not to worry too much about the shareholders that had their illegal mini-lottery win taken back but rather focus your empathy on the shareholders that wrote cheques and financed the Nevada project with hard-earned, after-tax dollars and whose share positions are currently corrupted and whose much-deserved liquidity event has been taken away. In an era of entitlement and populist sympathies, it is well past the time for a re-focus on the welfare of those that took the risk in a difficult market who have been shafted beyond belief and without the benefit of lubrication let alone empathy.
What About the Juniors?
So here we are moving into the latter half of the first month of 2019 and two of the junior explorcos we have been following (and own at higher prices) are in the proverbial gutter, in need of both sponsorship and cash. Stakeholder Gold Corp. (SRC:TSX.V) and Canuc Resources Corp. (CDA:TSX.V) are both back under a dime with the original excitement "gold in the Yukon" (SRC) and "silver in Mexico" (CDA) now fragments of their distant pasts. While they both resisted the temptation to change their foci to crypto or weed or battery metals, only SRC has remained true to its mission statement (gold exploration) while Canuc has veered off in the quest for hydrocarbons in Saskatchewan. Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. (WUC:CSE; WSTRF:OTCQX) is in good shape financially but has pulled back 55% from its 2018 high achieved when all of the uranium stocks got that terrific but much-maligned jolt in the late summer-early fall last year. I remains extremely bullish on this name on the basis of valuation as its Sunday Mine Complex remains a highly accretive asset for anyone with the vision (and money) to get involved. As for Getchell Gold, despite the absurdity of the events of December/early January (mentioned earlier), the company is fully funded with approximately $700,000 in working capital and a pile of warrants in the $0.40–0.52 range that should be in play once the storm has passed and the terrific share structure and shareholder profile is allowed to help levitate the stock price. What I have to keep forcing myself to remember is that all of these junior explorcos are commodity-price-driven "story stocks" and when those gargantuan pools of investment capital finally move to the precious metals space, it won't take more than a smattering of capital spilling over into the explorcos in order to vault them to a 5–10 times premium from current price levels.
When the 2008 Great Financial Bailout ended in March 2009, we financed a little junior called Explor Resources with $0.19-unit deal and watched it scream to $1.50 within twelve months. Tinka Resources was dead in the water in late 2009 at $0.10 per share and after the markets healed and silver took out $20 per ounce, we funded it with $1.3 million and two years later it was at $0.75, ultimately peaking at $1.25 in 2013. There are dozens and dozens of stories that mirror the Explor/Tinka experiences and what is infinitely bankable is any junior with proven resources in a commodity that is "hot" will see a sharp advance in its share price (i.e., uranium/vanadium last summer) perfectly correlated to the underlying metal's price movement. I have included the juniors in the portfolio because of the incredible leverage contained in a penny stock entry level and when coupled with a new discovery in a "hot" commodity (or region), the upside is remarkable. The well-run junior explorcos with solid management/exploration teams ALWAYS come raging back to life when markets heal up and aided and abetted by a precious metals tailwind of rapidly rising prices, the companies that are well located in proven gold-bearing regions (like Nevada and the Yukon) will attract speculative capital once again. This chart of the TSX Venture shows what happens to the explorcos when commodities turn as they did in 2002.
Given that the current market environment has sentiment levels well above the "stark panic" of late December, it is astounding that the safe haven trades so popular in Q4/2018 have remained relatively buoyant but investors are still reeling over the October-December portfolio destruction that occurred and are looking to avoid further erosion in 2019. If the FANGS and the weed deals fail to perform by the end of January, I see a further decline setting in. Furthermore, it is interesting that it was the crash in cryptocurrencies in Q1/2018 that was the lead indicator for the popping of the speculative mania and just last week, the bear market rally that propelled BTC back above $4,000 ended with a thud down to $3,642. If BTC takes out $3,000 before month end, I would be willing to wager on a re-test of S&P 2,351 shortly thereafter.
Trading ideas for the week include bidding for select junior explorcos including GTCH when it re-opens; looking for an entry into the UVXY and the volatility trade; and replacing the SLV April $13 calls sold on January 4 at $1.95 that have retraced under $1.80. Goldman Sachs is in the crosshairs again, too.
Stay tuned…
Originally trained during the inflationary 1970s, Michael Ballanger is a graduate of Saint Louis University where he earned a Bachelor of Science in finance and a Bachelor of Art in marketing before completing post-graduate work at the Wharton School of Finance. With more than 30 years of experience as a junior mining and exploration specialist, as well as a solid background in corporate finance, Ballanger's adherence to the concept of "Hard Assets" allows him to focus the practice on selecting opportunities in the global resource sector with emphasis on the precious metals exploration and development sector. Ballanger takes great pleasure in visiting mineral properties around the globe in the never-ending hunt for early-stage opportunities.
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Disclosure: 1) Michael J. Ballanger: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Getchell Gold Corp., Stakeholder Gold, Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. and Canuc Resources. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies referred to in this article: Getchell Gold Corp. and Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. My firm no longer does consulting work for Stakeholder Gold. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector. Additional disclosures are below. 2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. As of the date of this article, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports has a consulting relationship with Western Uranium and Vanadium. Please click here for more information. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. 3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy. 4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports. 5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Getchell Gold Corp., Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp., Canuc Resources and Stakeholder Gold, companies mentioned in this article.
Charts courtesy of Michael Ballanger.
Michael Ballanger Disclaimer: This letter makes no guarantee or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the data provided. Nothing contained herein is intended or shall be deemed to be investment advice, implied or otherwise. This letter represents my views and replicates trades that I am making but nothing more than that. Always consult your registered advisor to assist you with your investments. I accept no liability for any loss arising from the use of the data contained on this letter. Options and junior mining stocks contain a high level of risk that may result in the loss of part or all invested capital and therefore are suitable for experienced and professional investors and traders only. One should be familiar with the risks involved in junior mining and options trading and we recommend consulting a financial adviser if you feel you do not understand the risks involved.
( Companies Mentioned: CDA:TSX.V, GTCH:CSE, SRC:TSX.V, WUC:CSE; WSTRF:OTCQX, )
from https://www.streetwisereports.com/article/2019/01/14/beware-the-zerohedge-trap.html
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gendihn · 4 years ago
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Even Elon Musk can't save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
Even Elon Musk can’t save Dogecoin from crashing another 60%, analyst asserts
If one looks at Dogecoin (DOGE) charts from the point of view of a financial chartist, he/she will notice an alarming presence of a classic bearish structure. For instance, pseudonymous analyst Tyler Durden highlighted what appears to be a “Head and Shoulder” pattern. The trading structure forms when an asset forms three peaks atop the same support level. In doing so, its middle peak comes out to…
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andreagillmer · 6 years ago
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Beware the ‘ZeroHedge Trap’
Source: Michael J. Ballanger for Streetwise Reports   01/14/2019
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the turnaround in the markets at the end of the year and its effect on precious metals.
“ZeroHedge” from Wikipedia: In September 2009, news reports identified Daniel Ivandjiiski, a Bulgarian-born,[d] U.S.-educated,[e] former hedge-fund trader, who was barred from the securities industry in September 2008 for earning USD 780 from an insider trade by FINRA,[14] as the founder of the site, and reported that “Tyler Durden” was a pseudonym for Ivandjiiski.[3][15][16]FINRA rulings show Ivandjiiski worked for 3 years at New York investment bank, Jefferies & Co.,[17] as well a number of hedge funds, the last of which was Wexford Capital LLC, a fund led by former Goldman Sachs traders.[18] One female site contributor, who spoke to New York magazine in an interview arranged by Ivandjiiski, said “up to 40” people could post under the “Tyler Durden” pseudonym.[3]
I first learned of ZeroHedge after reading a post about gold in mid-2009 and was immediately drawn to its uncanny ability to unmask the malodorous bile that emanates from the Wall Street Spin Machines led by the Wall Street Journal and CNBC. In the early days, ZH was a refreshing must-read every morning and every evening as they were able to scan and re-post some great breaking stories related to the markets or people within the markets with the bad actors and self-promoters such as Bill Ackman and Dennis Gartman frequently called out for either reputational gaffes or outright bad market calls.
However, over the years, as banner ads clogged the sight with alarming frequency causing great annoyance, the site has, in my mind, devolved into the “National Inquirer” of financial sites, persistently seeking out and spewing forth opinions on markets which are at once and always a) anti-Wall Street b) bearish c) pro-Gold and d) revisionist. The trouble with frequenting these kinds of sites for financial insights is that they carry a constantly tainted and totally biased viewpoint on those asset classes they choose to own and/or promote. Take the recent market meltdown this past December. In the days leading up to the Christmas Eve nadir in prices, they ran no fewer than three dozen stories from “guest contributors” that warned of an impending financial holocaust that would render all financial assets worthless and that one had better “sell everything not nailed down” to avoid one’s personal financial calamity. “Load up on gold!” was the esteemed advice from every corner of the ZH blog site just as they were screaming from gilded rooftops at the precious metals top in 2011.
Now, notwithstanding that I happen to AGREE with that advice (on gold) and am a well-documented skeptic on the veracity of this credit-fueled, counterfeit-money-driven “economic boom” that is being enjoyed and celebrated by less than 2% of the global population, I have grown to beware the “ZeroHedge Trap” of making ANY investment and trading decisions after reading one of their perennial purveyors of doom-and-gloom propaganda engineered to attract site “hits,” estimated to have grown from about 1.6 million per month in 2009 to 40 million per month, a record for the period ended January 1, 2019.
Financial turmoil sells doom-laden websites and as we note, those in full panic mode were turning to Tyler Durden the Panic-Pumper when indeed they should have been counting sugar plums with CNBC’s permabull team lead by Cramer or Pisani or Melissa Lee. Much as I hated the obvious intervention and fraudulent criminality of the Fed/Treasury-induced stock market recovery in the post-Christmas period, I swore to ignore the celebratory grave-dancing by the ZH crowd in favor of trusting both the charts and my instincts and sent out a Boxing Day note stating that “The time to be short (stocks) has passed” and true to form and content, I have been riding out the current 245-point pop in the S&P 500 with zero shorts and significant exposure to gold and ample cash reserves to once again try to pick the top of this current dead-cat bounce with Goldman Sachs once again in my profit-driven crosshairs.
Before I open myself up to the wrath of the ZeroHedge nation, let it be known that I still take great glee in reading them ridicule one of the ego-driven, “Rockstar” money managers that just detonated his book or the billionaire Internet leviathan that just got caught tweeting pictures of his genitalia to a mistress, but what I will do after reading such dross is turn off the computer and simply laugh while refraining from joining the blood-lust and diving into a limit-position purchase of Amazon put options. Just as listening to Jim Cramer telling you back in 2008 that Bear Stearns was “fine” (it wasn’t) and that Lehman Bros. could never be allowed to tank (it did) was wrong advice to follow, the same can be said for blindly believing that the world is coming to an end with the same guy screaming it in 2008 echoing his identical forecast from December 2018.
As to markets, with the first real week of trading now completed, it should be known that statistically, 2019 is shaping up to be a positive year. Advanced indicators such as the Santa Claus Rally (up 1.3%) and now the First Five Day Rule (up 2.7%) are suggesting that there is an 80% probability that the next eleven months will see positive returns. To be sure, the global economy is indeed rolling over with higher interest rates and trade wars taking their toll but the numbers going back to 1950 state that even if January rolls over and heads down for the month, there is still a 70% probability that 2019 will be up. The ZH teeth-gnashers and the Peter Schiffs of the world will cringe at such a thought but as I stated above, I changed my bearish mindset on the Sunday before Christmas when the blogosphere was ablaze with the revelation that Screamin’ Stevie Mnuchin was calling a meeting of The Working Group in Capital Markets, the Ronald Reagan invention of the 1980s designed to PROTECT against and PREVENT PLUNGES in stock domestic stock markets (otherwise known as the “Plunge Protection Team” or “PPT”). I learned a great many years ago that whenever a treasury official or a Fed Chairman speaks, you listen—better still, you ACT. I did listen and I did act. Mnuchin told us that “policy” was going to rescue the damage Jay Powell had wreaked and then the following Friday, he and Grandma Yellen came out and spewed dove feathers all over the stage and poof!—plates and silverware were on the table and everything was set. Stocks have gone on a tear to the upside and life in the world of the CNBC Fast Money team has returned to rapturous relief.
“We can now invest with confidence that the new boss is, in fact, the same as the old boss. Risk is dead. BTFD.” – Stephanie Pomboy
The Fed is “grovelling to whiny investors.” – Danielle DiMartino
“What starts on Wall Street, rarely stays on Wall Street – Scott Anderson (in reference to $4.5 trillion in wealth destruction due to the Q4 market bloodbath)
“They know NOTHING…” – Jim Cramer in 2008 (referencing the Fed)
“I got one client left and that’s me—and I’m lookin’ for a new broker.” – Anonymous stockbroker in December 2018.
“Plus ca change, plus c’est la meme chose. (the more things change, the more they remain the same)” – Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr
Straying back to the ZH crowd, I honestly cannot find fault with their cynical view of the likelihood of an impending recovery. After all, if I sold advertising that was absorbed through osmosis to a legion of 40 million agnostic viewers as they read post after post of terror-inspiring sensationalist gloom, I would be livid that my world, so very perfect in its creation during the tumultuous months of November and December, could go from the penthouse to the outhouse at the utterances of two overtly corrupted personas in the form of Stevie Mnuchin and Jerome Powell. Just when I was SO CERTAIN that my gloom-site was going to 100 million page-views in January, the interventionists went to work and destroyed any shred of that dream becoming a reality. According and unsurprisingly, the frequency of bearish articles has intensified in an “I’ll show the bastards!” frenzy of fear-inspiring stories so blatant that the top-of-the-page guest blogs are entitled “The Black Swan So Ugly No One Will Talk About It…”, “The U.S. Will Go Broke. The Case For Gold” and “Gold: Higher, Then Lower, then Skyward.”
The top story running all through Friday was “Something Biblical is Approaching: Here Are the Scenarios Of The Collapse” while the charts I was reviewing say nothing of “impending doom” to me but rather suggest a “Déjà vu” of sorts, not unlike a replay of March 2009 or the days and weeks after 9/11. The “invisible hand” saving stocks and capping gold and silver is undeniably present and has been since Boxing Day, and while the gloom-and-doom purveyors want the walls to come crumbling down NOW, I suspect that the financial asset Armageddon they so desperately crave may be a tad off and beyond the immediate horizon giving way to accelerated occurrences of doom-laden ZH commentary and contradictory CNBC cheerleading.
The bottom line is that the two faces shown above are the ones that will control stock prices as we move forward and there is nothing new in the zoo that makes this post-crash period any different than recent post-crash periods in the aftermath of the creation of the PPT and policy-driven interventions sanctioned and endorsed in 1988.
Get over it.
Gold prices are actually in great shape with $1,30-1,310 resistance still dogging us and while RSI looks “OK,” we have an interesting contradiction in that the moving averages (50 and 200 day) are approaching the all-omnipotent “Golden Cross” while the MACD is soon completing a negative rollover. You can see from the chart beside us that gold went through a negative “Death Cross” back in July when the 50-dma broke below the 200-dma resulting in the summer swoon from $1,300 to $1,167 but it was preceded by the MACD doing the same. Today we have the same setup for MACD but not the same for the moving averages. We could see a retracement in the MACD below the zero line with gold moving sideways and if we get a quick recovery, the moving average envelope may indeed give us what we want. It is too early to tell right now so I have taken profits on the silver call options and banked the cash but still hold the GLD April $120 calls (from $3.20 in November) with GLD at $121.80 (and the calls at $4.10).
My strategy will be to continue to use the U.S. dollar index as my chart guide because the algobots are no longer glued to the widely touted (and plagiarized) meme that the yuan-gold peg is controlling the U.S. dollar price because that “flaveur-du-jour” dissipated in December. It seems that the yen-gold correlation (as opposed to “peg”) has taken the front seat but it simply seems to me that the DXI is the one driving the bus.
As a tip-off, look for the $1,280 level for gold to be your very short-term stop-loss and while I doubt that the $1,250 level is in play, those GLD April calls would check back to our cost base if the GLD has a $1.00 drop (which equates to $10 per ounce gold). I will not risk a close below $3.50 for the April $120s. (Note: While they are on the 2019 portfolio books at $4.50, most of us paid $3.00-$3.35 as per GGMA Issue November 17th when first mentioned but if the MACD rollover wins out over the Golden Cross, we jettison all leveraged positions and live to fight another day.)
The TSX Venture Exchange holds the distinction as being the worst-performing exchange in the Western world and despite all the carnage last year in 2018, the TSX Venture Exchange closed down 34.5% versus gold down a mere 1.7% and the S&P 500 down 5.2%. Many of the corporate issuers domiciled on Canada’s National Financial Embarrassment were down 90–95% and while most of those were residing in the crypto space, there were enough weed and mining dogs to fill a small arena. While there are countless cases of skullduggery on the TSXV, most of the major headaches are brought about by incompetence rather than fraud the likes of which contribute to one very ugly result.
Nevertheless, the TSXV’s competitor exchange, the Canadian Stock Exchange or “CSE” is just as suspect and after the Getchell Gold Corp. (GTCH:CSE) fiasco in December, there is no doubt in my mind that what is needed is for a few of the graybeards to come back from retirement and take control of these exchanges from the kids currently running them. The problem lies in this new-found and totally unwarranted sense of entitlement carried into the workplace that is an extension of the university system where everyone is entitled to a “happy and safe outcome” where graduating marks matter not while “effort” and “sincerity” replace “accountability” and “hard work.”
When I was a rookie broker in the late 1970s, if you screwed up and sold 5,000 shares when you should have only sold 2,500 shares, the exchange didn’t halt trading in the issue and launch an “investigation” to see how the trading error could find a “resolution”; you informed your trader that you screwed up the trade and he went out and bought it back charging your commission account with any trading losses. End of story. Furthermore, if a client brought in a certificate for 100,000 shares of Rectal Gas, you sent the certificate to head office where there was a battery of staff checking the CUSIP and ISN numbers, the signatures, and the funny little patterns on the cert to determine whether or not it was in “good form.” If it was, they notified the broker and he notified the client and it was sold. If, however, the shares were sold in advance and they came back bogus (i.e., not in “good form”) the trade was reversed and the broker was liable for any loss.
In today’s world, the CSE actually halted trading in Getchell Gold because certain shares were sold in error after the December 3rd re-opening and rather than simply ordering the broker to cover the errors, they halted GTCH putting 87.3% of the shareholder base (the Buena Vista Gold investors from pre-merger times whose shares were ALL in “good form”) in a position of huge disadvantage in order to make the offending parties “safe” from financial hardship as the exchange and the Canada Depository Services and the CSE moving to find a nice, non-offensive “solution” to the “problem.”
Now, if this was all a complete out-of-thin-air surprise to all parties, one could understand the rationale behind a trading halt, but the offending parties were notified of changes in their ownership by way of a press release on November 13, 2018, AFTER a Special Meeting of Shareholders was called and AFTER it was posted on SEDAR. The offending parties all knew full well that their accounts were sitting with a magical six-times-too-many number of GTCH shares than there should have been when it re-opened for trading on December 3, but as can be seen from the Net House Summary data, 1.588 million shares were sold and while certainly not all were erroneous trades, it is my bet the vast majority were pre-merger shareholders thinking that they had just won a mini-lottery and rushed to dump the paper just as fast as they could.
You wonder, pray tell, how I know this? It is because I owned those very shares that were to be affected and through series of emails back and forth with GTCH management, the CSE, and the transfer agent, I was the only person voicing any concern over the discrepancy. However, did I go out and try to sell my shares because there were more than there should be in the account? Of course not, because I had read the proxy circular telling me that I was going to have one-sixth as many shares when the merger was completed. Since it is my responsibility to know my holdings and the broker’s responsibility to check to ensure that all securities are in “good form” prior to sale, I did nothing. In fact, I BOUGHT more GTCH under $0.20 when it re-opened.
Now, just when you thought this story couldn’t get any worse, I sent emails explaining to the “involved parties” how to rectify the situation and further warned that if a bulletin was issued to the brokers announcing the retroactive rollback, they would erroneously include ALL Getchell shares, including the ones that were issued in “good form.” Well (you guessed it), they issued the bulletin, and EVERYTHING got cut back. Purchases made after December 3 and PAID for also got affected and as it stands here on January 12, 2019, in six days, it will be a full month since the shares were halted for the second time and many of the share positions are still completely screwed up because somebody arbitrarily determined that a “solution” to make it “go away” could be found by halting the stock. Insanity and incompetence of the highest order prevails…
What is maddening for me is that many friends and followers of my writings are participants in the Getchell/Buena Vista Gold story by way of private placements made in 2017 and 2018 and it has been a long grind for many of us awaiting the liquidity event and listing process. Furthermore, the technical team including mining engineer Bill Wagener (CEO/Chairman) and Q.P. Tim Master, who have done a superb job with the assembly of the land package, aeromagnetic, IP and gravity surveys, and subsequent RC drilling program, are now at the mercy of the Exchange and the Regulators in the funding campaign for the spring core drilling program at Hot Springs Peak. The damage to the reputational capital of this outstanding project cannot be measured in dollars but what is certain are two very important facts:
Ø The GTCH share price opened in the $0.55-0.60 range and had it not been for 23 million shares sitting in accounts that should have been only 3.6 million shares sitting in accounts, it would never have traded down to $0.145 prior to the second halt.
Ø When it re-opens, I estimate that over two-thirds of the sales were in error, leaving a short position of approximately 1 million shares. These shares will need to be bought back and with new buyers showing up smelling blood and a significant reduction in the available float, there is a good chance that we see a rapid recovery and possible squeeze in the price.
Now, with the current market cap of < $5 million, GTCH is undervalued for a couple of reasons but the main thrust is that there are six projects covering a wide expanse in the highly prospective North Central Nevada district, the upside potential is substantial. Four RC holes are pending assays and reconnaissance work from land to the south of HSP has more data to be reported and rumored to be quite positive.
If anyone at the CSE, the CDS, IIROC or all of the member brokerage firms are reading this, please put your heads together and try not to worry too much about the shareholders that had their illegal mini-lottery win taken back but rather focus your empathy on the shareholders that wrote cheques and financed the Nevada project with hard-earned, after-tax dollars and whose share positions are currently corrupted and whose much-deserved liquidity event has been taken away. In an era of entitlement and populist sympathies, it is well past the time for a re-focus on the welfare of those that took the risk in a difficult market who have been shafted beyond belief and without the benefit of lubrication let alone empathy.
What About the Juniors?
So here we are moving into the latter half of the first month of 2019 and two of the junior explorcos we have been following (and own at higher prices) are in the proverbial gutter, in need of both sponsorship and cash. Stakeholder Gold Corp. (SRC:TSX.V) and Canuc Resources Corp. (CDA:TSX.V) are both back under a dime with the original excitement “gold in the Yukon” (SRC) and “silver in Mexico” (CDA) now fragments of their distant pasts. While they both resisted the temptation to change their foci to crypto or weed or battery metals, only SRC has remained true to its mission statement (gold exploration) while Canuc has veered off in the quest for hydrocarbons in Saskatchewan. Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. (WUC:CSE; WSTRF:OTCQX) is in good shape financially but has pulled back 55% from its 2018 high achieved when all of the uranium stocks got that terrific but much-maligned jolt in the late summer-early fall last year. I remains extremely bullish on this name on the basis of valuation as its Sunday Mine Complex remains a highly accretive asset for anyone with the vision (and money) to get involved. As for Getchell Gold, despite the absurdity of the events of December/early January (mentioned earlier), the company is fully funded with approximately $700,000 in working capital and a pile of warrants in the $0.40–0.52 range that should be in play once the storm has passed and the terrific share structure and shareholder profile is allowed to help levitate the stock price. What I have to keep forcing myself to remember is that all of these junior explorcos are commodity-price-driven “story stocks” and when those gargantuan pools of investment capital finally move to the precious metals space, it won’t take more than a smattering of capital spilling over into the explorcos in order to vault them to a 5–10 times premium from current price levels.
When the 2008 Great Financial Bailout ended in March 2009, we financed a little junior called Explor Resources with $0.19-unit deal and watched it scream to $1.50 within twelve months. Tinka Resources was dead in the water in late 2009 at $0.10 per share and after the markets healed and silver took out $20 per ounce, we funded it with $1.3 million and two years later it was at $0.75, ultimately peaking at $1.25 in 2013. There are dozens and dozens of stories that mirror the Explor/Tinka experiences and what is infinitely bankable is any junior with proven resources in a commodity that is “hot” will see a sharp advance in its share price (i.e., uranium/vanadium last summer) perfectly correlated to the underlying metal’s price movement. I have included the juniors in the portfolio because of the incredible leverage contained in a penny stock entry level and when coupled with a new discovery in a “hot” commodity (or region), the upside is remarkable. The well-run junior explorcos with solid management/exploration teams ALWAYS come raging back to life when markets heal up and aided and abetted by a precious metals tailwind of rapidly rising prices, the companies that are well located in proven gold-bearing regions (like Nevada and the Yukon) will attract speculative capital once again. This chart of the TSX Venture shows what happens to the explorcos when commodities turn as they did in 2002.
Given that the current market environment has sentiment levels well above the “stark panic” of late December, it is astounding that the safe haven trades so popular in Q4/2018 have remained relatively buoyant but investors are still reeling over the October-December portfolio destruction that occurred and are looking to avoid further erosion in 2019. If the FANGS and the weed deals fail to perform by the end of January, I see a further decline setting in. Furthermore, it is interesting that it was the crash in cryptocurrencies in Q1/2018 that was the lead indicator for the popping of the speculative mania and just last week, the bear market rally that propelled BTC back above $4,000 ended with a thud down to $3,642. If BTC takes out $3,000 before month end, I would be willing to wager on a re-test of S&P 2,351 shortly thereafter.
Trading ideas for the week include bidding for select junior explorcos including GTCH when it re-opens; looking for an entry into the UVXY and the volatility trade; and replacing the SLV April $13 calls sold on January 4 at $1.95 that have retraced under $1.80. Goldman Sachs is in the crosshairs again, too.
Stay tuned…
Originally trained during the inflationary 1970s, Michael Ballanger is a graduate of Saint Louis University where he earned a Bachelor of Science in finance and a Bachelor of Art in marketing before completing post-graduate work at the Wharton School of Finance. With more than 30 years of experience as a junior mining and exploration specialist, as well as a solid background in corporate finance, Ballanger’s adherence to the concept of “Hard Assets” allows him to focus the practice on selecting opportunities in the global resource sector with emphasis on the precious metals exploration and development sector. Ballanger takes great pleasure in visiting mineral properties around the globe in the never-ending hunt for early-stage opportunities.
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Disclosure: 1) Michael J. Ballanger: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Getchell Gold Corp., Stakeholder Gold, Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. and Canuc Resources. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies referred to in this article: Getchell Gold Corp. and Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp. My firm no longer does consulting work for Stakeholder Gold. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector. Additional disclosures are below. 2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. As of the date of this article, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports has a consulting relationship with Western Uranium and Vanadium. Please click here for more information. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. 3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy. 4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports. 5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Getchell Gold Corp., Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp., Canuc Resources and Stakeholder Gold, companies mentioned in this article.
Charts courtesy of Michael Ballanger.
Michael Ballanger Disclaimer: This letter makes no guarantee or warranty on the accuracy or completeness of the data provided. Nothing contained herein is intended or shall be deemed to be investment advice, implied or otherwise. This letter represents my views and replicates trades that I am making but nothing more than that. Always consult your registered advisor to assist you with your investments. I accept no liability for any loss arising from the use of the data contained on this letter. Options and junior mining stocks contain a high level of risk that may result in the loss of part or all invested capital and therefore are suitable for experienced and professional investors and traders only. One should be familiar with the risks involved in junior mining and options trading and we recommend consulting a financial adviser if you feel you do not understand the risks involved.
( Companies Mentioned: CDA:TSX.V, GTCH:CSE, SRC:TSX.V, WUC:CSE; WSTRF:OTCQX, )
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goldrolloverira · 7 years ago
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Gold trades higher, but warily; beware risks arising from markets themselves
LATE REPORT
Gold warily poked its head above the foxhole long enough today to register a cautious $2.75 gain. It then quickly scampered for cover in anticipation of the barrage likely to accompany the upcoming Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.    As reported this morning, gold tends to sell off ahead of Fed meetings and then start back up once the coast is clear, so for it to post a gain today, small as it was, was something of a surprise.  Gold finished at $1316.67 for the day and silver at $16.34 up 4¢ on the day.
The Zero-Hedge website posted one of the more interesting, and perhaps complicated, reports to surface in a while today.  Written by Goldman Sachs’ head of global credit strategy, Charlie Himmelberg, it suggests that the February sell-off, which was led by a meltdown in positions based on the Volatility Index, might have been a kind of a foreshock for a much larger seismic event that could roll through markets at some point down the road.
“We suspect,” says Himmelberg, “the Feb. sell-off is symptomatic of a broader risk, namely, the rising ‘financial fragility’ during the post-crisis period. By ‘fragility’ we mean price volatility that arises not from changes in the fundamental outlook for markets, but rather from markets themselves.” He goes to say that “machines have replaced humans” in the financial marketplace and that “speed has replaced capital.” To read excerpts from Himmelberg’s fascinating analysis along with pseudonymous Tyler Durden’s accompanying commentary, we invite you to visit the link above.
Quote of the Day
“About a decade ago, runs on Bear Stearns and then Lehman fomented the ’08 market crisis. I suspect the next U.S. crisis will unfold with ‘runs’ on stocks and corporate Credit. We’ve already witnessed how quickly the VIX and equities derivatives markets can dislocate. I’m curious to see how interest-rate and credit derivatives perform in a backdrop of faltering equities, illiquidity and derivatives market stress. And considering the direction of policy-making in Washington, don’t be all too surprised by an unexpected bout of market tumult in Treasuries and the dollar. Larry Kudlow’s ‘king dollar’ and ‘let it rip’ might play well domestically, surely in the oval office. But I suspect it’s not confidence inspiring to our lowly foreign creditors. We’re at the stage of the cycle that would seem to beckon for caution, contemplation and prudence. How much trouble could Team Trump and Kudlow provoke? There’s ample arrogance and ideology to risk plenty.” – Doug Noland, Credit Bubble Bulletin
Looking for a full introduction to gold investing? You will find it in our introductory information packet!
• The rationale for gold ownership • How gold performs under various breakdown scenarios • Portfolio approaches • & More
We invite you to register today for free, immediate access to the packet. A subscription to our monthly newsletter is included with the packet.
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jobsearchtips02 · 5 years ago
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Bitcoin Reclaims $9.2K as Fed’s Unexpected Stimulus Plans Ignite Demand
Bitcoin popped to fresh quarter highs Wednesday as the US Federal Reserve warned of a “medium-term” economic disaster.
The central bank decided to maintain its benchmark lending rates near zero while calling for further stimulus support from Washington.
The dovish outlook helped to send all leading assets higher, including the Wall Street index and Gold.
Bitcoin was among the biggest gainers Thursday as the Federal Reserve left benchmark lending rates near-zero and hinted at providing further stimulus if necessary.
BTCUSD Pops over $9.2K in a Surprising Pre-Halving Rally | Source: TradingView.com, Coinbase
The anti-fiat cryptocurrency popped 4.98 percent to hit its seven-week high at $9,233 and maintained those gains further into the day. Its move uphill came even as the Fed painted a gloomier “medium-term” economic outlook led by the fast-spreading Coronavirus pandemic.
More Stimulus
Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press brief Wednesday that he expects the U.S. economy to shrink further on three factors: the uncertain virus curve, loss of productive capacity caused by social distancing, and the crisis’ global dimension.
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Meanwhile, the Federal Open Market Committee added that the Fed would act “forcefully, proactively and aggressively” to safeguard the U.S. economy.
“The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the US economy in this challenging time,” it said at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
The central bank kept interest rates near March 15 levels – between 0 and 0.25 percent – and promised to maintain the range until it sees the U.S. economy achieve its “maximum employment and price stability goals.”
A Well-Timed Bitcoin Rally
The Fed’s dovish policy helped Bitcoin, U.S. equities, and even Gold logging a wild intraday rally. But for Samson Mow, the cryptocurrency had more solid reasons to grow other than artificial inflation caused by the world’s biggest central bank.
The CSO of blockchain technology firm Blockstream said Thursday that bitcoin draw higher demand from traders ahead of its mining reward halving on May 12, 2020. The event will send the cryptocurrency’s daily production down from 1,800 BTC to 900 BTC – a complete opposite of what the Fed is doing by printing more US dollar units.
Bitcoin and U.S. equities have different bullish catalysts | Source: Samson Mow
But the act of pumping bitcoin also led to theories about the market’s liquidity. ZeroHedge’s activist journalist, who works under the pseudonym of Tyler Durden, called bitcoin’s weekly rise a “hilarious cycle” – a textbook definition of an illiquid altcoin.
“My hope is that the halving will financially destroy as many Chinese miners as possible and we can actually have a legitimate bull market instead of this pump and dump movie,” Mr. Durden wrote.
Photo by Maciej Ruminkiewicz on Unsplash
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from Job Search Tips https://jobsearchtips.net/bitcoin-reclaims-9-2k-as-feds-unexpected-stimulus-plans-ignite-demand/
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