[email protected] start with understanding two variables at a time. plot your understanding of two variables in graph. In lay man's terms, higher slope equals steeper line (more closer to Y axis) and lower slope equals gentle line (more closer to X axis). remember "rise over run" from high school. Ultimately you'll juggle fewer variables and develop sharper instincts. Fed goal= full employment and price stability= when Bad economy or shock such as COVID = BIMO = Bond In Money Out; When economy becomes better, BOMI = Bond Out Money In Qn RELIABILITY of 1. surveys (sample size credibility), PMI numbers, change in definition of how calculation of inflation numbers occur (food, energy, rent, inclusion and exclusion of certain items), 2. unemployment % obtained by changing definition (change in time six months to nine months or such change in people looking for work), 3. MISSING or DUPLICATE = not counting certain people, or double, triple counting part time workers w multiple jobs and over reporting number of employed people.
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We looked inside some of the posts by economics-engineers-view and here's what we found interesting.
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The Tumblr app for Google Glass was released on May 16, 2013.
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Do you pay attention attention to human behavior and motivations? paradoxes and contradictions ? Do you connect everyday moments to bigger ideas
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A Wealth of Common Sense: Pandemic Babies & a Bull Market in Risk
don’t know the answers to these questions because it’s difficult to predict how experiences will shape the future and how the future will shape people’s behavior.
But this has been going on for long enough that it’s worth considering the idea that we could be witnessing an entire generation of people who are more willing to take risks.
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A Wealth of Common Sense: Pandemic Babies & a Bull Market in Risk
don’t know the answers to these questions because it’s difficult to predict how experiences will shape the future and how the future will shape people’s behavior.
But this has been going on for long enough that it’s worth considering the idea that we could be witnessing an entire generation of people who are more willing to take risks.
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if the yields are going up because US debt is more risky, because of fiscal concerns and policy uncertainty, at the same time the dollar can weaken”, he said, a pattern that was “more frequently seen in emerging markets”.
https://on.ft.com/4dHFRJm
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Waiting for the tariffs to land and for the Fed to respond means investor discomfort is the only sure thing.
Trump is daring heads of state to respond, Powell is waiting for Trump to make up his mind and data to change, and Wall Street is looking for the White House and the Fed to get off the fence.
If Trump's distinctive tariff policy is a time bomb, the explosion of them taking effect isn't the only dangerous part. It's the ticking, the randomness of the timer, the affliction caused by the endless anticipation. Businesses may dislike tariffs. But what they really hate is uncertainty.
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https://www.barrons.com/articles/trump-tariffs-history-great-depression-c999350e
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Who ultimately pays the tariff depends. The importer could seek a concession from its foreign partner, who might accept a smaller profit margin as the cost for remaining in the U.S. market. The importer, too, may eat part of the tax. But some of the price increase is almost always borne by the consumer.
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Smoot-Hawley was a Republican proposal, though Congress split along regional lines, with debate centering on the eternal question: Are the protections that tariffs provide to workers and industry worth the price increases that everyone else must pay?
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"As we parse the incoming information, we are focused on separating the signal from the noise as the outlook evolves," said Friday during a speech in New York.
Wall Street is assessing the crucial monthly jobs report amid market uncertainty driven by President Donald Trump's volatile trade policy.
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People entering wealth management from other fields have transferable skills and maturity. Veterans, federal workers, and teachers take note.
Why Some Wealth Management Firms Actively Seek Career Changers:
https://www.barrons.com/advisor/articles/career-changers-financial-planning-bbcb6b40
https://www.barrons.com/advisor/articles/career-changers-financial-planning-bbcb6b40
There r all kinds of hiring managers.
*I exclusively look for career changers,” he says. “They have a different perspective from someone who’s been in the financial advisory professional field as long as I have.”*
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Rich People Are Firing a Cash Cannon at the US Economy—But at What Cost?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-28/wealthy-americans-fuel-half-of-us-economy-consumer-spending
Huge proportion of nations total resources in a few number of hands.
Going upmarket to find buyers who are spending freely. You can see how this has played out in the car market: Automakers have pushed to develop more of the big, pricey SUVs that wealthier buyers prefer and devoted fewer resources to smaller, more affordable models. That’s helped push the average sale price of new cars up more than 50% since 2014
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Lesson for life: buy GLD around 200 when possible.
That’s not bad for a commodity that has little practical use and doesn’t produce earnings or pay interest to those that hold it. What’s more, the reasons offered for gold’s rally are often contradictory and don’t seem to hold up when investigated. It’s considered a defensive asset, but has been rising along with the stock market and as the economy chugs along. The precious metal, which is priced in dollars, should move in the opposite direction of the greenback _, but it has bucked that rule as well. Gold is often thought of as an inflation hedge, but its big gain has coincided with a deceleration of price increases.
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Feb 27
Any one of a number of factors could send it tumbling. First-quarter earnings reports and company outlooks could do it, though they won’t roll in for several weeks. More weakness in economic data could also spark selling. Confirmation from Trump on the extent and timing of tariffs could also hurt, especially because the Fed’s coming interest-rate announcements may indicate that rates could stay higher for longer.
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instagram
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China Learned to Embrace What the US Forgot: The Virtues of Creative Destruction
China Learned to Embrace What the US Forgot: The Virtues of Creative Destruction https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/beijing-is-warming-up-to-the-idea-of-market-competition
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/beijing-is-warming-up-to-the-idea-of-market-competition
government is allowing them to face the consequences of their excesses. The shakeout has been savage for all those involved, from bondholders to homebuyers who made down payments on apartments that will never be built. But it also means capital and labor are freed up for more productive purposes. Bloomberg Economics forecasts that by 2026, real estate will contribute less than 17% of China’s GDP, down from almost a quarter in 2017. High-tech sectors are poised to increase their share from less than 11% to more than 18% over the same period.
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China Learned to Embrace What the US Forgot: The Virtues of Creative Destruction https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/beijing-is-warming-up-to-the-idea-of-market-competition
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/beijing-is-warming-up-to-the-idea-of-market-competition
economist: Schumpeter. In Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy, his magnum opus, Schumpeter argues that the power of the capitalist system came from a “perennial gale of creative destruction” blowing through the economy. New technologies displace old technologies. New companies displace old companies. For the losers, it’s painful. But it drives progress.
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