#InflationData

[cambcurrencies]

UK GDP Growth Sparks Little GBP Movement

Main Market Movers Today UK GDP Data: The UK has released its GDP figure for May, posting 0.2% growth month on month. This modest rise shows that UK economic activity is picking up but is recovering really slow. The backdrop of positive GDP data lent the British pound little support, though ongoing concerns of the broader economic outlook bridle these gains​. US CPI Data: The US will later…

[farademetre]

NRG, TROW, Inflation Data, and Bank Earnings - InvestTalk Caller Questions

In this episode of InvestTalk, Luke Guerrero offers expert insights on a range of stocks, including NRG Energy, eXp World Holdings, Lam Research, Vanguard Real Estate ETF, and T. Rowe Price Group. He also dives into the Private Credit market, evaluates companies like Palo Alto Networks and Generac Holdings, and analyzes the latest inflation data and its potential effects on upcoming bank earnings.

[gqresearch24]

April Inflation Data: Insights And Market Reactions

(Source – Mint)

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding volatile food and energy costs, saw a modest increase of 0.2% in April and a 2.8% rise from the previous year, according to data released Friday by the Commerce Department. This measure of inflation, which is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is aligned with the expectations set by Dow Jones estimates.

Core and Headline PCE Trends

The core PCE index, which strips out food and energy prices, rose 0.2% in April, consistent with forecasts. Annually, the core PCE increased by 2.8%, slightly higher than the anticipated 2.7%. When including food and energy prices, the headline PCE inflation matched predictions, showing a 0.3% monthly rise and a 2.7% annual increase.

The PCE index is preferred by Fed officials over the consumer price index (CPI) as it accounts for changes in consumer behavior, such as opting for less expensive alternatives, and provides a broader scope of data. “The core index came in at 2.8%. That’s fine, but it’s been trading in a range for five months now, and that’s pretty sticky to me,” commented Dan North, senior economist for North America at Allianz Trade. He added, “If I’m [Fed Chair Jerome] Powell, I’d like to see that start moving down, and it’s barely creeping. … I’m not reaching for the Pepto yet, but I’m not feeling great. This is not what you want to see.”

Energy prices rose by 1.2%, contributing to the headline increase, while food prices saw a slight decline of 0.2%. Prices for goods rose by 0.2%, and services increased by 0.3%, indicating a normalization trend in an economy driven largely by services and consumption.

Income, Spending, and Market Reactions on April Inflation Data

Alongside the inflation data, the report included figures on personal income and spending. Personal income rose by 0.3% in April, in line with expectations, while spending increased by 0.2%, falling short of the predicted 0.4% and down from March’s revised 0.7%. When adjusted for inflation, consumer spending actually showed a 0.1% decline, influenced by a 0.4% drop in spending on goods and a modest 0.1% rise in services expenditures.

The market response to the release was cautiously optimistic. Futures tied to major stock indices rose, while Treasury yields fell. “The PCE Price Index didn’t show much progress on inflation, but it didn’t show any backsliding, either. Based on the initial reaction in stock index futures, the market will see it mostly as a positive,” said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing for E-Trade from Morgan Stanley.

Larkin advised patience, noting that the Federal Reserve has indicated it will need more than a single month of favorable data to confirm a reliable downward trend in inflation. Therefore, expectations for a rate cut remain muted, with no significant change anticipated before September at the earliest.

Federal Reserve officials have been cautious in their approach due to persistent inflation pressures. New York Fed President John Williams recently expressed confidence that inflation will continue to decline, but he noted that prices are still too high and more progress is needed to achieve the Fed’s 2% annual target.

Market pricing as of Friday morning suggests that the first-rate cut might not occur until November, around the time of the presidential election. This cautious outlook reflects ongoing uncertainty and the need for sustained progress in reducing inflation before the Fed considers easing its monetary policy.

[trader-sg112]

Market Insights with Spectra Global: Brent and WTI Crude Rise, Mixed Performance in Asian Markets

Stay updated with the latest market movements and economic data with Spectra Global's regular updates. Here's what's happening in the markets this week:

Oil Prices: Brent oil rose 0.1% to $82.22, while WTI crude futures increased 0.2% to $77.85 a barrel.

China: The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite indexes rose about 0.1%, showing a mild recovery from last week's losses.

Hong Kong: The Hang Seng index fell 0.4% due to losses in mainland stocks.

Japan: The Nikkei 225 and broader TOPIX index both rose 0.3%. Key data on inflation, retail sales, and industrial production from Japan are expected later this week.

Australia: The ASX 200 climbed 0.7%, rebounding from last week's downturn.

India: Futures for the Nifty 50 index pointed to a mildly positive open.

U.S.: The S&P 500 is up over 11% year-to-date, with major Wall Street firms recently raising their price targets. Historical trends suggest continued growth when the S&P 500 rises more than 10% in the first 100 days of the year.

Key Economic Data to Watch This Week:

U.S. inflation data

Eurozone inflation

Japan's economic indicators

China activity reports

Oil prices

Stay tuned for more updates from Spectra Global.

[usnewsper-business]

Rising Prices and Your Money: How Inflation Affects the Economy #consumerspending #Economicpolicy #inflationdata #risingprices #Washington

[goldinvestingandretirement]

Protect your US Dollars from Inflation! 🌟🌟Get a free Gold Kit now: https://givemethegold.com/goldencrestmetals1 GoldenCrest Metals Review and Gold IRA GoldenCrest Metals has swiftly emerged as a distinguished name in the gold IRA sector, offering investors a dependable method to protect their retirement savings through precious metals. Here’s an in-depth Review of the company’s history, leadership, accolades, offerings, and how you can establish an account with them. #goldira #goldiracompanies #goldirarollover #bestgoldira #goldencrestmetals #401ktogoldirarollover #retirementstrategy #inflationdata #dollarcollapse Disclaimer/disclosure: This article is meant to be informational in nature only and is not considered to be financial advice. If you need financial advice please contact a financial advisor. Links in the article are affiliate links and purchase through the links may result in a commission being paid to the affiliate. Thanks for helping support the blog/channel! Buying Power of Gold vs US Dollar | Dollar Value Chart | US Inflation rate By Year #inflation published first on https://www.youtube.com/@goldinvestingandretirement9337/

[parkavifinance]

Weekly market update : nifty time cycle alert

Discover the Latest Indian Stock Market Updates | Parkavi Finance Stay ahead in your trading journey with Parkavi Finance! In this video, we bring you the latest updates on the Indian stock market as Nifty 50 marks its 4th consecutive week of gains amidst high volatility. We decode the impact of the RBI’s CRR cut, India’s CPI inflation data, and global cues like the US Fed’s upcoming rate decision. Plus, explore a critical December Time Cycle Event for Nifty, analyzing historical patterns of sharp corrections.

Topics Covered:

Market Overview: Weekly performance of Nifty, MidCap, and Nifty 500.

Key Drivers: Impact of RBI’s CRR cut, CPI inflation data, and global cues.

Sector Performance: Top gainers (IT) and underperformers (FMCG).

Institutional Activity: FIIs as net sellers; DIIs as net buyers.

Primary Market Trends: IPO buzz and block deal activity.

Time Cycle Event: Historical Nifty corrections in December.

Nifty Levels: Support at 24,500-24,450; resistance at 25,100-25,300.

Upcoming Events: US Fed, BoE, and BoJ decisions; US GDP data release.

Breakout Stocks analysis

Stay informed and ahead in your trading journey! Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more updates. Comment below on topics you're interested in. Thank you for watching!

Read more:

Read in Tamil https://tamilparkavifinance.blogspot.com/2024/12/tamil-fii-vs-dii-whos-dominating-indian.html

Read in English https://www.parkavifinance.com/2024/12/weekly-stock-market-insights-top.html

Watch now:

Watch in English https://youtu.be/USvXNDNVlmw?si=xa8VtGEyRn8XE6v6

Watch in Tamil https://youtu.be/5FuIT0VZwso?si=0Bs-ot3E5t8Ds2CY

Indian stock market updates, Nifty 50 performance, RBI CRR cut impact, CPI inflation data India, US Fed rate decision, December Time Cycle Event, Sector performance analysis, FII and DII activities, IPO trends India, Nifty support and resistance levels, Stock market volatility, Trading insights India

Nifty50 #StockMarketUpdate #DecemberTimeCycle #FIIDIIActivity #IndianEconomy #SectorPerformance #CRRCutImpact #InflationData #TradingTips #ParkaviFinance

Discover the Latest Indian Stock Market Updates | Parkavi Finance Stay ahead in your trading journey with Parkavi Finance! In this video, we bring you the latest updates on the Indian stock market as Nifty 50 marks its 4th consecutive week of gains amidst high volatility. We decode the impact of the RBI’s CRR cut, India’s CPI inflation data, and global cues like the US Fed’s upcoming rate decision. Plus, explore a critical December Time Cycle Event for Nifty, analyzing historical patterns of sharp corrections.

Topics Covered:

Market Overview: Weekly performance of Nifty, MidCap, and Nifty 500.

Key Drivers: Impact of RBI’s CRR cut, CPI inflation data, and global cues.

Sector Performance: Top gainers (IT) and underperformers (FMCG).

Institutional Activity: FIIs as net sellers; DIIs as net buyers.

Primary Market Trends: IPO buzz and block deal activity.

Time Cycle Event: Historical Nifty corrections in December.

Nifty Levels: Support at 24,500-24,450; resistance at 25,100-25,300.

Upcoming Events: US Fed, BoE, and BoJ decisions; US GDP data release.

Breakout Stocks analysis

Stay informed and ahead in your trading journey! Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe for more updates. Comment below on topics you're interested in. Thank you for watching!

Read more:

Read in Tamil https://tamilparkavifinance.blogspot.com/2024/12/tamil-fii-vs-dii-whos-dominating-indian.html

Read in English https://www.parkavifinance.com/2024/12/weekly-stock-market-insights-top.html

Watch now:

Watch in English https://youtu.be/USvXNDNVlmw?si=xa8VtGEyRn8XE6v6

Watch in Tamil https://youtu.be/5FuIT0VZwso?si=0Bs-ot3E5t8Ds2CY

Indian stock market updates, Nifty 50 performance, RBI CRR cut impact, CPI inflation data India, US Fed rate decision, December Time Cycle Event, Sector performance analysis, FII and DII activities, IPO trends India, Nifty support and resistance levels, Stock market volatility, Trading insights India

Nifty50 #StockMarketUpdate #DecemberTimeCycle #FIIDIIActivity #IndianEconomy #SectorPerformance #CRRCutImpact #InflationData #TradingTips #ParkaviFinance

Nifty 50 levels,Nifty time cycle December,Stock market update December 2024,Indian market news,Sector performance analysis,CRR cut by RBI impact,Inflation data update India,FII DII activity December,IPO market trends,Stock market insights,breakoutstocks,important levels of nifty and banknifty,nifty and bank nifty tomorrow predictions

[reyx-baron]

https://www.wikifx.com/en/newsdetail/202406051994846380.html?source=fre3

Philippine Inflation Rises to 3.9% in May, Highest in 5 Months 👉 Philippines' inflation hits 3.9% in May, up from 3.8% in April, due to higher costs in housing, utilities, gas, and transportation. #PhilippineInflation #RisingCosts #EconomicUpdate

In Manila, headline inflation in the Philippines increased to 3.9 percent in May 2024, up from 3.8 percent in April, the highest rate in five months. #InflationData #PhilippinesEconomy #EconomicTrends

Read the complete details here: https://www.wikifx.com/en/newsdetail/202406051994846380.html?source=fre3

Choose WikiFX for unparalleled trust and reliability in forex trading! #WikiFX #ForexTrading #FinancialNews #MarketUpdate

[cambcurrencies]

Market Overview: Key Updates on UK Inflation & Currencies - Oct 16

Market Overview: October 16, 2024 Today’s market is driven by key data releases, shifts in commodity prices, and insights from the European Central Bank. Recent UK CPI figures indicate soft inflation, which could influence the Bank of England’s approach to monetary policy. Read more for detail. Get a Free Quote Key Data to Watch GBP Data: UK Inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM & YoY…

[tradestockmrkts]

The Impact of Economic News on the Financial Market

Understanding the relationship between economic news and financial markets By Amir Shayan Economic news has a significant impact on the financial market, as it can influence the behavior of investors and affect the value of assets. Understanding how economic news affects the market can help investors make informed decisions about their investments. In this article, we will explore the impact of economic news on the financial market and discuss how investors can respond to different economic situations.

The Role of Economic News in the Financial Market

Economic news refers to reports and data that provide information about the current state of the economy, including indicators such as employment rates, inflation, and GDP. This information is crucial for investors and traders as it helps them assess the overall health of the economy and make predictions about the future. When economic news is released, it can cause significant movements in the financial markets. For example, positive economic news, such as a strong GDP growth rate, can lead to an increase in investor confidence and cause a rise in stock prices. On the other hand, negative economic news, such as a rise in inflation, can cause a decrease in investor confidence and lead to a drop in stock prices.

Impact of Employment Data on the Financial Market

One of the most significant economic indicators is employment data, as it provides information about the overall health of the labor market. When employment data is released, it can have a significant impact on the financial markets, particularly on the stock market. If the employment data is positive, indicating that the job market is growing, it can lead to an increase in investor confidence, as a strong job market usually leads to increased consumer spending and economic growth. This can cause stock prices to rise. On the other hand, if the employment data is negative, indicating that the job market is shrinking, it can lead to a decrease in investor confidence, as consumers may have less money to spend. This can cause stock prices to drop.

Impact of Inflation Data on the Financial Market

Inflation refers to the rate at which prices of goods and services are rising. Inflation is a crucial economic indicator, as it affects the purchasing power of consumers and the profitability of businesses. When inflation data is released, it can have a significant impact on the financial markets. If the inflation rate is low, it can lead to an increase in investor confidence, as consumers may have more money to spend. This can cause stock prices to rise. On the other hand, if the inflation rate is high, it can lead to a decrease in investor confidence, as consumers may have less money to spend, and businesses may struggle to maintain profitability. This can cause stock prices to drop.

Impact of GDP Data on the Financial Market

GDP, or Gross Domestic Product, is a measure of the value of all goods and services produced in a country over a specific period. GDP is a crucial economic indicator, as it provides information about the overall health of the economy. When GDP data is released, it can have a significant impact on the financial markets. If the GDP growth rate is high, it can lead to an increase in investor confidence, as a growing economy usually leads to increased profits for businesses. This can cause stock prices to rise. On the other hand, if the GDP growth rate is low, it can lead to a decrease in investor confidence, as businesses may struggle to maintain profitability in a slow economy. This can cause stock prices to drop.

Impact of Central Bank Decisions on the Financial Market

Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve in the United States, play a significant role in the financial markets. Central banks make decisions about monetary policy, such as setting interest rates and controlling the money supply. When central banks make announcements about their monetary policy decisions, it can have a significant impact on the financial markets. For example, if a central bank decides to lower interest rates, it can lead to an increase in borrowing and spending, which can stimulate economic growth. This can cause stock prices to rise. On the other hand, if a central bank decides to raise interest rates, it can lead to a decrease in borrowing and spending, which can slow down economic growth. This can cause stock prices to drop.

How Investors Can Respond to Economic News

Investors can respond to economic news in various ways, depending on their investment goals and risk tolerance. Here are some strategies that investors can use to respond to economic news: - Stay Informed: The first step for investors is to stay informed about the latest economic news and data. Investors should regularly monitor economic indicators, such as employment, inflation, and GDP, to get a sense of the overall health of the economy. - Diversify Portfolio: Investors should consider diversifying their portfolio to minimize risk. Diversification involves investing in a range of different assets, such as stocks, bonds, and commodities. This can help investors spread their risk across different asset classes and reduce the impact of any one economic event. - Take a Long-Term View: Economic news can be volatile and unpredictable in the short term. Therefore, investors should take a long-term view and focus on the fundamentals of the companies and assets they are investing in. - Use Stop Loss Orders: Stop loss orders are orders to sell an asset when it reaches a certain price. Investors can use stop-loss orders to limit their losses in case of unexpected market movements. - Seek Professional Advice: Investors who are unsure about how to respond to economic news should seek professional advice from a financial advisor. A financial advisor can help investors assess their risk tolerance and develop an investment strategy that is appropriate for their individual needs.

Conclusion

In conclusion, economic news plays a crucial role in the financial markets. Economic indicators, such as employment, inflation, and GDP, can significantly affect the behavior of investors and the value of assets. Investors should stay informed about the latest economic news and use strategies such as diversification, taking a long-term view, and seeking professional advice to respond to economic events. By understanding the impact of economic news on the financial market, investors can make informed decisions about their investments and achieve their financial goals. Read the full article

[farademetre]

Market Rotation: Small-Caps Surge, Tech Giants Fumble

A big change in the stock market is taking place, with small-cap firms surging as the "Magnificent Seven" IT behemoths suffer a substantial drop. How will the current market volatility, caused by lower inflation figures, impact your investing strategy?

[gqresearch24]

Fed’s Key Inflation Measure Surges 2.8% In March, Exceeding Expectations

(Source – FX Empire)

In March, inflation maintained its upward trajectory, with a pivotal indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve indicating persistent price pressures.

The Commerce Department’s report on Friday revealed that the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, surged by 2.8% compared to the previous year. This figure remained consistent with February’s reading, surpassing the Dow Jones consensus estimate of 2.7%.

All-Items PCE Price Gauge

When including food and energy, the all-items PCE price gauge registered a 2.7% increase, slightly higher than the estimated 2.6%.

Despite the inflationary data, market response remained subdued, with Wall Street anticipating an upward opening. Treasury yields experienced a decline, with the benchmark 10-year note standing at 4.67%, marking a decrease of approximately 0.4 percentage points during the session. Futures traders, however, exhibited a slightly more optimistic outlook, elevating the probability of two potential rate cuts this year to 44%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch gauge.

Consumer Spending and Income

Amidst elevated price levels, consumer spending demonstrated resilience, climbing by 0.8% for the month, slightly surpassing the estimated 0.7%. Personal income also witnessed a rise of 0.5%, aligning with expectations and outpacing February’s 0.3% increase.

However, the report indicated a decline in the personal saving rate to 3.2%, reflecting a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from February and a notable decline of 2 full percentage points from the previous year. This decline suggests that households tapped into their savings to sustain spending levels.

Implications for Monetary Policy

The latest inflation data, coupled with Thursday’s concerning figures, is likely to influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance. With PCE accelerating at a 3.4% annualized rate in the first quarter, well above GDP growth expectations, the Fed is expected to maintain its current interest rate trajectory at least through the summer unless there is a significant shift in economic data.

Fed’s Inflation Target

The Federal Reserve targets a 2% inflation rate, a threshold that the core PCE measure has surpassed for the past three years. The Fed closely monitors the PCE due to its adjustment for changes in consumer behavior and its emphasis on excluding volatile components such as food and energy prices.

The report highlighted a notable divergence in price trends between services and goods. Services prices increased by 0.4% on the month, while goods experienced a modest uptick of 0.1%. This shift reflects a reversal from earlier pandemic-induced trends, where goods inflation dominated. Food prices exhibited a marginal decline of 0.1%, while energy prices rose by 1.2%.

On a 12-month basis, services prices surged by 4%, contrasting with the minimal movement in goods prices, which increased by just 0.1%. Food prices recorded a 1.5% increase, while energy prices saw a gain of 2.6%.

As inflation persists, the Federal Reserve continues to navigate the complex economic landscape, closely monitoring data trends to inform its policy decisions.

Also Read: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell Cautious on Rate Cuts amid Inflation Concerns