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#Prashant Kishor lok sabha predictions
novumtimes · 4 months
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Lok Sabha Elections: What do Yogendra Yadav and Prashant Kishor predict? | Lok Sabha Elections News
Political analysts Yogendra Yadav and Prashant Kishor have provided divergent predictions for Lok Sabha Elections 2024, adding to the anticipation and intrigue surrounding the electoral outcome. Here is a closer look at who they are and what they have to say about the ongoing elections ahead of the final phase of polling. But first, here is a brief overview of the Lok Sabha Elections…
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atomxmedia · 4 months
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Prashant Kishor and Yogendra Yadav’s Contrasting Predictions for Lok Sabha Elections 2024
Renowned political analysts Prashant Kishor and Yogendra Yadav have recently offered their predictions for the outcome of the ongoing Lok Sabha elections in 2024. While both analysts have provided their insights, their forecasts diverge on crucial points, adding intrigue to the electoral landscape. Here’s an in-depth look at their predictions and the implications for the political scenario:
1. Prashant Kishor’s Projections:
Kishor foresees a scenario where the BJP replicates its performance from the 2019 Lok Sabha elections but falls short of crossing the 370-seat mark.
He suggests that while the BJP may not exceed 400 seats, it is unlikely to drop below the 270-seat threshold necessary to form a government independently.
Kishor’s analysis underscores the significance of alliances and coalition politics in securing a majority in the Lok Sabha.
2. Yogendra Yadav’s Forecasts:
In contrast, Yadav presents a more conservative outlook for the BJP, predicting that the party will struggle to surpass the 300-seat mark.
He emphasizes the challenges faced by the BJP in achieving its ambitious ‘400 paar’ claim, suggesting that the party’s seat tally may fall short of expectations.
Yadav’s projections highlight the potential for shifts in the political landscape, particularly in key states, which could influence the final outcome of the elections.
3. Alignment with Alliance Dynamics:
Both analysts acknowledge the importance of alliances in shaping the electoral arithmetic.
Kishor’s assessment recognizes the role of NDA allies in bolstering the BJP’s prospects, albeit within a defined seat range.
Yadav’s analysis raises the possibility of the INDIA bloc, led by the opposition, emerging as a formidable challenger to the NDA, contingent on developments in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.
4. Regional Insights and Seat Projections:
Yadav provides a detailed breakdown of seat projections across various regions, offering insights into potential gains and losses for the BJP.
His projections suggest nuanced dynamics in states like Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Odisha, with implications for the BJP’s overall performance.
Additionally, Yadav anticipates significant shifts in heartland states like Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and others, which could shape the final outcome of the elections.
5. Impact of Regional Factors:
Yadav’s analysis underscores the influence of local dynamics, including state-specific issues and political narratives, on electoral outcomes.
He highlights the potential for surprises in states like Karnataka, West Bengal, Northeastern states, Punjab, Chandigarh, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir, which may defy conventional expectations.
6. Implications for the NDA and Opposition:
Kishor and Yadav’s divergent forecasts offer contrasting narratives for the BJP-led NDA and the opposition alliances.
While Kishor’s projections suggest continuity in the BJP’s dominance, albeit within defined parameters, Yadav’s analysis hints at potential vulnerabilities and opportunities for the opposition to capitalize on.
In conclusion, Prashant Kishor and Yogendra Yadav’s predictions provide valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of Indian politics, highlighting the complexities and uncertainties inherent in electoral forecasting. As the elections unfold, the accuracy of these projections will be closely scrutinized, shaping the narrative of India’s democratic journey.
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brazilnews · 4 months
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"Look At The Irony": Prashant Kishor Party's Fact-Check As BJP Rumours Swirl
Social media is abuzz with a screenshot claiming that Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has appointed poll strategist and politician Prashant Kishor as their national spokesperson. Prashant Kishor's party, Jan Suraaj, has issued a statement saying that the so-called BJP letter is fake.
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Prashant Kishor's party also hit out at the Congress, accusing its leader Jairam Ramesh of sharing the fake image. On its official X handle, Jan Suraaj shared a screenshot that they claimed proved that the document was shared by the senior Congress leader on WhatsApp.
"Look at the irony! Congress, Rahul Gandhi You all talk about fake news and claim to be the victims. Now see yourself how the head of Communications of Congress Party, Jairam Ramesh, apparently a senior leader, is personally circulating a fake document," the party said in the post.
The image shows a BJP letterhead claiming that party president JP Nadda has appointed Prashant Kishor as the party's national spokesperson. It was shared by several users on X and Facebook.
The image went viral after Mr Kishor predicted a victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP in an exclusive interview with NDTV on Tuesday.
Mr Kishor, who had worked with PM Modi and the BJP during the 2014 polls, said that the BJP's tally in this election may hover around its 2019 score of 303 or better than it. He also credited the ruling party with shifting the election discourse from merely crossing the half-way mark to winning 370 seats in the Lok Sabha.
"In the last three-four months, the discussion has centred around '370' and '400 paar'. Consider it a BJP strategy or Opposition's weakness, but the BJP has entirely shifted the goalpost from 272 to 370. This has benefitted the BJP. Now, no one is saying Modi ji will lose, they are saying they may not get 370 seats," said the poll strategist.
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news-venue · 4 months
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"If BJP Wins, But Less Than 370, Market May…"
Poll strategist Prashant Kishor today credited the BJP for shifting the election discourse to winning 370 seats from just crossing the halfway mark in the Lok Sabha. However, a failure to achieve that mark may disappoint the share market, noted Mr Kishor in an exclusive interview with NDTV's Editor-in-Chief Sanjay Pugalia.
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"When the expectation from a company is very high and they do not meet that despite performing well, the stock market punishes them. From this point of view, if the BJP scores less than 370 seats, this may become a talking point. The markets too may reflect this," said the poll strategist.
Mr Kishor, who had worked with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP during 2014 polls, has predicted a victory for the ruling party in the ongoing elections.
He also called the BJP's 370-seat target a "smart" move, which has benefitted them in changing the election discourse.
"In the last three-four months, the discussion has centred around '370' and '400 paar'. Consider it a BJP strategy or Opposition's weakness, but the BJP has entirely shifted the goalpost from 272 to 370. This has benefitted the BJP. Now, no one is saying Modi ji will lose, they are saying they may not get 370 seats," said the poll strategist.
However, Mr Kishor noted, even if the BJP gets 320 seats (or any figure lesser than the 370 mark they expect to cross), the saffron party will form the government.
In the 543-seat Lok Sabha, 272 is the halfway mark that a party or a coalition needs to cross to form government at the centre.
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bbcbreakingnews · 4 years
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BJP will struggle to cross double digits in West Bengal, says Prashant Kishor; BJP hits back
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KOLKATA: A war of words erupted between poll strategist Prashant Kishor and BJP’s National General Secretary Kailash Vijayvargiya after the former predicted that the BJP will struggle to crosse “double digits” in West Bengal polls. Prashant Kishor, who was roped in by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress for the West Bengal Assembly Elections 2021, also indicated that he will quit Twitter if the BJP performs any better in the state than his prediction. “For all the hype AMPLIFIED by a section of supportive media, in reality BJP will struggle to CROSS DOUBLE DIGITS in #WestBengal. PS: Please save this tweet and if BJP does any better I must quit this space!” Kishor tweeted.
For all the hype AMPLIFIED by a section of supportive media, in reality BJP will struggle to CROSS DOUBLE DIGITS in… https://t.co/g6446uRAyb
— Prashant Kishor (@PrashantKishor) 1608526371000
Hitting back at Prashant Kishor, Kailash Vijayvargiya remarked that the country will lose a poll strategist after his part forms the government in the state after the upcoming elections in the state. “There is a tsunami of BJP in Bengal. After we form the government, the country will have to lose an election strategist,” Vijayvargiya tweeted. The development comes a day after Union Home Minister and senior BJP leader Amit Shah’s two-day visit to West Bengal. West Bengal is scheduled to go for Assembly polls in mid-2021. The dates have not been announced yet. BJP had stunned the Trinamool Congress in 2019 Lok Sabha polls as it wrested 18 parliamentary constituencies, coming up with its best-ever performance in the state. Post the historic Lok Sabha showing, the party considers winning upcoming Assembly polls as crucial and wants to send out a strong message to the opposition by winning the state.
source https://bbcbreakingnews.com/2020/12/21/bjp-will-struggle-to-cross-double-digits-in-west-bengal-says-prashant-kishor-bjp-hits-back/
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werindialive · 6 years
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The entry of Priyanka Gandhi can change the Fate of Congress, says, Janata Dal-United vice-president Prashant Kishor
On Wednesday, Janata Dal-United vice-president Prashant Kishor said that if Priyanka Gandhi Vadra would have stepped into the politics in 2017, she would have made a major difference in the Uttar Pradesh assembly polls results. 
Kishore was the poll strategist for the Congress party at that time. He had a high belief that with PRIYANKA Gandhi, the political fortune of the party could have seen greater heights. "Until June 2016, her entry into politics was very much on the cards. Going by ground reports, many of us believed that it would make a big impact in Uttar Pradesh. Even Rahul Gandhi was all for the idea, but for whatever reason, they decided against it, "Kishore said, as he was talking to a leading news channel.
The comment was made by the expert on the day, when Priyanka declared her interests in plunging into the political drill, months ahead to the Lok Sabha Elections. Priyanka Gandhi, sister of party president Rahul Gandhi, will take over the charge of party's general secretary and look after the area of eastern Uttar Pradesh, which will make her a direct contender of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath.   
Mr. Kishor further said that this has come up as a big news, and would be a morale booster for the several congress workers. However, he said that it is still a young time to comment n how it would impact the electoral results. "It's very difficult to gauge that. She has not even started right now, and to make such predictions would be farfetched," he said.
When asked about the comparison of Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi, Kishor said that comparing some with an experience of 20 years in the politics to someone who is a novice will be wrong. "But the fact is, she has joined politics and now there is no going back," Mr Kishor added.
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