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[theotherdatablog]

Not that I ever wrote about the Duggars, and I’ve been losing interest for a long time, but I think this is it for the blog. Thanks for reading, everybody.

[theotherdatablog]

A Few Comments

Duggar Data absolutely, unequivocally condemns child abuse in any form.  The charges levied against Joshua Duggar are truly, truly appalling.  If he is guilty of this, his conduct is intolerable; he must be punished, and prevented from doing this ever again.

Duggar Data stands in solidarity with victims.  Recognizing that this topic may be difficult for some, I’ll be making an effort to tag potentially triggering posts with #TW child abuse.  And, any Post discussing Josh’s current situation will also be tagged with #josh duggar arrest.

If you’re in crisis, help is available.  If you’re in the United States, the National Sexual Assault Hotline is available day or night at 1–800–656–HOPE (4673), or via online chat.  You’re not alone.

Stay strong, y’all.

[theotherdatablog]

Oh hi! I’ve mostly been taking a break from fundies, but looks like Campbell’s due date has changed. It was originally the 13th.

I missed the Instagram story for this one, but Alyssa’s probably pregnant again too. 

I believe I’ve already mentioned Adeline is having a boy in August. They’ve been calling him Glen.

any morton followers around? campbell’s due date is today if it wasn’t known before

[theotherdatablog]

STOP ASIAN HATE

Like and reblog

[theotherdatablog]

Not the same anon, but I assume they meant who would get to track the couple: you or Duggar Data. Personally, I'd be more interested in seeing what you predict versus what she predicts and who has the more powerful spreadsheet (in a friendly competition kind of way). No one should have sole tracking rights over Jana and Stephen if they get married.

I see! @duggardata can weigh in, too, but I don’t see why we couldn’t both run the numbers for them. There are two data sets to go off, anyway.

[theotherdatablog]

So who gets Jephen in the custody agreement if it’s real

I’m not really sure what that means. Do you mean who gets to claim credit for inventing the couple name? If so, I have no idea.

[theotherdatablog]

It’s locked down. That makes things somewhat more difficult data-wise from here on out.

Did The Wissmanns Just Lock Down Their Blog?!

Literally, I was just scrolling through the Wissmann Family Blog—and suddenly, it started telling me, “This blog is for invited readers only.”  Now, I can’t it at all.  None of the pages will load.  Yet, the blog is still linked on their website, which is…  Odd.   

Anyone else?  Seriously, though…  The plot thickens.  This is interesting.

[theotherdatablog]

I assume you’ve seen the speculation about Stephen Wissman and Jana Duggar...do you have any numbers to crunch about if they are courting, when to expect any announcements, etc., using Christmas as a potential starting date? Admittedly I’m not up on the Wissman family culture when it comes to courting.

Stephen and Jana: Is the Hype Real?

Clickbait title aside, I don’t know, but we’ll definitely find out soon either way.

Stephen Gerald Wissmann was born on July 15, 1993. He is 27.64 Years Old as of today, March 5, 2021.

Jana Marie Duggar was born on January 12, 1990. She is 31.14 Years Old as of today.

There is precious little data available about Wissmann courtships because they don’t announce until very close to engagement. As such, I only schedule engagements for them. I believe that if Stephen and Jana were engaged already, they would have announced.

Stephen is not yet late to enter a relationship, actually! The average Wissmann male proposes at Age 27.73. That seems pretty close to Stephen’s age...because he was actually scheduled to announce an engagement on April 5, 2021, exactly one month from today.

If Stephen and Jana really are together, they are bang-on for relationship timing, at least for the man.

Jana, though, is significantly older than the average Wissmann female to get engaged, which would have occurred at Age 26.13. She is 1.09 Standard Deviations Older than the average Wissmann female, but would not be the oldest. That would be Ruth, who said “yes” to Ryan Bourlier at Age 32.62.

[theotherdatablog]

Addie Morton is having a boy, it was on Martha’s Instagram.

Adeline Is Pregnant

I didn’t see the post from Martha, but I did see Addie’s post on her own feed. Adeline (Morton) Holloway and her husband Michael are expecting their first child, a boy due in August.

[theotherdatablog]

Felicity Beasley Is Here: Full Data

Thanks for waiting! I’ve been dealing with some personal stuff and haven’t been able to compile the data for this post until now.

On January 28, 2021, Bethany (Wissmann) Beasley and her husband Daniel Beasley welcomed their fifth child and third daughter, Felicity Anne Beasley. She joins older siblings Arianna Mae (born April 26, 2012), Caden James (born February 3, 2014), Everett William (born December 1, 2016), and Gemma Lynne (born January 28, 2018). Just like Felicity Vuolo, they have been calling her Lissy.

More data after the jump!

Gestational Age at Announcement and Birth

According to Bethany’s post from January 29, Felicity was due that day and as a result was 1 Day Early. The 29th was actually not included in the blog’s predicted range of due dates, so Bethany definitely gave an estimated, rather than exact, week update at some point. We don’t have full due date data for the Wissmanns, so this is an isolated data point.

Since we have a confirmed due date of January 29, that means that Bethany was 17 Weeks 3 Days Along at the time of her announcement and her Reveal Time to Birth was 157 Days. Her RTTB moves from 171 Days to 168 Days (3 Days Shorter). She didn’t have a sex reveal.

Spacing Between Births

Felicity came 863 Days after Gemma, which was not the couple’s longest child spacing; that goes to 1032 Days between Caden and Everett. Bethany + Dan’s new Birth Spacing becomes 800 Days, from 779 Days (21 Days Longer). The Average Wissmann Child Spacing becomes 799 Days, from 792 Days (7 Days Longer).

Estimated Number of GrandWissmanns

Bethany + Dan are still expected to have 11 Children (+0). A previous post listed them at an estimated 10 Children, but I believe that was an error. The Total Number of GrandWissmanns also hasn’t changed and sits at 108.

What’s Next?

Pregnancy Announcement: October 21, 2022

Sex Reveal: With Birth Announcement

Birth Date: April 8, 2023

Due Date: Possibly April 9, 2023

[theotherdatablog]

Breaking: Bethany (Beasley) Had The Baby

Today, January 28, 2021, Bethany (Wissmann) Beasley and her husband Dan welcomed their fifth child and third daughter, Felicity Anne Beasley. Data is forthcoming.

[theotherdatablog]

You couldn’t have said it better.

With the Bateses, Bowers, and Botrangers being at the "Trump rally" yesterday in DC, are you considering removing them from the blog?

What? No. Obviously their behavior is atrocious. I condemn it entirely. But, Duggar Data has never... Endorsed these people’s behavior. Like, the whole point of this is commenting on their cultish beliefs, and critiquing the damaging aspects thereof.

So, no. Again, I condem their conduct. But writing about them on here doesn’t and never has been an endorsement of them in any way, shape, or form.

[theotherdatablog]

Rachel Wissmann just announced that she's had a miscarriage. :(

Rachel Had A Miscarriage.

(TW: miscarriage, pregnancy loss. Also in the tags.)

On January 7, 2021, Rachel (Wissmann) Busenitz announced on her Instagram that she had miscarried. She learned at her 19-week pregnancy appointment that the miscarriage had likely occurred around 15 Weeks Along, which is considered a late miscarriage. She was due in early June of 2021 and plans to deliver tomorrow, January 8, 2021. 

Update: Rachel delivered uneventfully on January 8th. He was a boy whom they named John Matthew. I am changing all of the names in the post.

Rachel has already had one known miscarriage, of her third pregnancy around 5-6 Weeks Along, on September 1st or 2nd, 2018. This loss was followed by the birth of Justice William in July 2019.

Data is ahead.

When Was She Due?

Rachel’s data had just been updated on December 30th, when she and her sisters posted a triple pregnancy update. From all of her updates combined, it can be estimated that Rachel’s due date was between June 2-5, 2021 and my predictor was using June 3rd. 

The fact that Rachel was at her 19-week appointment means she was at least 19 Weeks Along on January 7th, placing her due date in the range of May 28-June 3, 2021. Her range is now narrowed down to June 2-3 and her final Estimated Due Date is June 2, 2021.

June 2nd was also John′s final projected Birth Date as the Wissmanns rarely share exact due dates.

At the time of John′s birth, Justice, Rachel’s youngest, would have been 690 Days Old, or just under two years old. He will be 545 Days Old when Rachel delivers.

Other Pregnancy Information

Reported in her original Pregnancy Announcement.

Effect on Data

Rachel’s Pregnancy Spacing will be reset when she delivers. This estimated spacing will be included in her Average Child Spacing, and the spacing from Loss of John-to-#4*, counted from Date of Loss, may be as well. I am doing this because I am predicting Loss of John-to-#4* to a Full Spacing, since Rachel had to give birth. I may change this if her next pregnancy comes much more quickly than expected.

Rachel’s Average Pregnancy Spacing (Non-Post-Loss, Non-Confounded) is now 655 Days, so she is next expected to give birth in October 2022.  Her Post-Early Miscarriage Spacing (from Loss #1 to Justice) is 315 Days for anyone who is curious. 

Rachel and Alan are now expected to have 8 Children (-1). The Total Expected Number of GrandWissmanns is 108.

[theotherdatablog]

[theotherdatablog]

Wissmann Triple Bumpdate

Thank you for your patience! On December 30, 2020, Rachel (Wissmann) Busenitz posted a triple pregnancy update for the three pregnant Wissmanns. At the time, Bethany was 37 Weeks Along with #5, Rachel was 18 Weeks Along with #4, and Ruth was 14 Weeks Along with #4. What updates does this give us?

Bethany was 20 Weeks Pregnant on September 14th and 27 Weeks Pregnant on November 1st, meaning she was due between January 25-31, 2021. This update places her due date between January 20-26, 2021, so her due date must be on January 25th or 26th, 2021. The blog will use January 25, 2021 for her Estimated Due Date.

Rachel was 17 Weeks Along on December 26th and 18 Weeks Along on December 30th, so that means her due date must be between June 2-5, 2021. As June 3rd remains the (approximate) median value of all of those dates, Rachel’s Estimated Due Date remains June 3rd.

Ruth only had the month of her due date to go on, so her Estimated Due Date was July 1st based on her Average Reveal Time to Birth and her July due date. Since Ruth was between 14 Weeks, 0 Days Along and 14 Weeks, 6 Days Along on December 30th, her due date actually lies between June 24-30, 2021 which contradicts her statement that she is due in July. Assuming Ruth’s due date has been recalculated by a medical professional, the blog will go with the date closest to her original due date, June 30th, 2021.

[theotherdatablog]

Update: Rachel is 17 Weeks Along

On December 26, 2020, Rachel (Wissmann) Busenitz posted an Instagram story of her “17 week bump.” She could be anywhere from 17 Weeks 0 Days to 17 Weeks 6 Days Along, which would put her due date between May 30, 2021 and June 5, 2021. Since she’s due in June, that narrows down her possible due dates to June 1-5, 2021. The blog will henceforth use June 3, 2021 as her due date. The previous projected due date was June 1st.

[theotherdatablog]

Josiah Thomas Jr. Is Here: Full Overview

Edit: Let’s get a new picture in here.

On December 11, 2020, Mariah (Campana) Thomas, sister of Alyssa Morton, and her husband Josiah Thomas welcomed their first child, a son they named Josiah Justice Thomas, Jr. Josiah Jr. weighed in at 8 pounds, 8 ounces and was 21 inches long. He is the 5th Campana Grandchild and the 13th Thomas Grandchild. 

Josiah Jr. appears to have been born at home. He had some breathing problems upon his birth, but they have been resolved and both he and Mariah are doing well.

Let’s see what the data says about him!

Gestational Age at Announcements and Birth

From my best estimate, Mariah was due on December 11, 2020 (the exact date Josiah Jr. was born). This was an average, since it was only confirmed that she was due between December 8-14, 2020.

The Pregnancy Announcement came on June 28, 2020, so there were 166 Days between the announcement and birth, and she was approximately 16 Weeks, 2 Days Along at the time of the announcement.

The Sex Reveal was on July 4, 2020, placing it 166 Days before the birth and at approximately 17 Weeks, 1 Day gestation, 6 Days after the pregnancy announcement.

Wedding-to-Child 1 Spacing

Mariah and Josiah married on February 29, 2020, so their first child arrived 286 Days after the wedding. Using Alyssa Morton’s (her only married sibling) Second Child Modifier of 1.33, her Child Spacing for subsequent children is currently set to 380 Days.

What’s Next?

Pregnancy Announcement: July 12, 2021

Sex Reveal: July 18, 2021

Birth Date: December 25, 2021 (!)

Due Date: December 25, 2021 (estimated)

Mariah is currently expected to be fertile until exactly Age 45, the age her mother Lisa was when she gave birth to her brother Frankie. She and Josiah are currently expected to have 21 Children at their current rate.