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True Home Jobs 11/11-11/15

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NexRep

[livionespoli]

Crono-Crash & The Slingshot

Livio, I exited with the Wealth Preserver on the on March 2nd.  The last couple of bullish days brought to mind the Slingshot, are we there and have we missed the first 2 days. In your recent Celente video post you mentioned we're entering into a global depression which may be even worse than the Great Depression. Before all that happens is it possible we see DOW tumble another 5K-10K? There seems to be an incredible amount of liquidating-at-all-costs mentality at the moment. I worked on an equity desk during the 2008 crisis, and currently at a very small non-bank FX dealing desk and have never seen anything like this. Your feedback is always appreciated. Thanks, Victor"Great Question Victor. The simple answer is NO. The worst-case scenario appears to be testing the reversal technical line in the 15,000 level and do not see a drop to 5-10K. That is way too far for a slingshot.  I see the slingshot build and breakout to new highs by 2023. However, let's tale a look at history to guide us on recovery times with similar drops to our current CronoCrash.  Look at the two charts below.What you see is that it took 65 months from the 2007-2009 Crash to get back to even. The 1987 Crash appears to be a likely type of pattern from a timing perspective to our current Crono-Crash. That was a 53% decline and took 24 months to break even. The 2000 -2003 Bear Market was a 3 year 54% decline and took 81 months to break even.  If we were to fall on par with those declines, we would be looking at a drop to the mid-15000 level.Because InterAnalyst members s stepped aside (red signals)  for most of the Corona-Crash, they will miss all those months of recovery just to get back to even. More importantly, while everyone else is back to even, those who stepped aside will be 100% - 400% ahead of those buy and hold investors who did not step aside of the Corona-Crash. As for the future, when we get back in (green signal) we could reach the test of just below the 40,000 level happening in 2024. Read the full article

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3 Up Gaps That Must Fill

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Has The U.S. Economy Plunged Into A Depression?

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P/E Ratio: The Over/Under Value Market Indicator

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P/E Ratio: The Over/Under Value Market Indicator

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The P/E Ratio Is Screaming At You

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Dalio: Cash Is Trash

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[livionespoli]

Our Pending Financial Collapse & Ancient Rome

The reality is that Our Pending Financial Collapse & Ancient Rome resemble each other because all controlled declines have similarities. Question: I have been following your InterAnalyst Bull & Bear Blog all the way back to when you called the for an inflationary crash on September 10, 2007.  In fact, I remember cussing you under my breath early November 2007, LOL. Your member posts since 2016 have progressed and the last four years now have me really concerned for America and the free world. I am convinced that the slingshot you wrote of is indeed just around the corner. But is it followed by an economic collapse. It appears there is no way out of this mess for governments because there is no way they can keep all of the socialist promises they have made. I would appreciate it very much if you could give your thoughts to the number one question on my mind these days; Government debt as a Soverign Debt Crisis and Economic Collapse through default and economic collapse. As a student of history I remember learning that citizens of ancient Rome simply walked away from everything they owned due to ever-increasing taxes and harassment from the Roman army. I can see that present-day governments will undoubtedly do the same, searching for new and creative ways to create tax revenues. Read the full article

[livionespoli]

Presidential Stock Market Direction

The Presidential Stock Market Direction will be determined by who enters the White House. The "WHY  & HOW" is clear... The recent MMT implies that a Presidential Stock Market Direction win by Biden will prove to be a complete joke. This would be much WORSE than Jimmy Carter who inspired the collapse of confidence in the dollar and government leading to the 1980 gold high. Capital will flee public assets and shift into private. One the other hand, the worse of the economic crisis is external to the USA became many countries like Germany depend on selling to consumers outside their own country. The likelihood of a breakup of the EU and their idea of canceling currency and moving to perpetual bonds that would even wipe out pensions in Europe will push capital outside and into the US stock market. Keep in mind that this is a Monetary Crisis Cycle intermixed with a Sovereign Debt Crisis and this entire coronavirus nonsense has so accelerated the debt crisis that now the politicians fear what will happen if they lift the restrictions on paying rents and mortgages. The politicians around the world have responded in such an exaggerated manner to this virus that they will NEVER admit a mistake. Thus, they must oppress the people and hence we have entered into rising authoritarianism for the next decade. Although the US Market will have a Slingshot move will occur no matter the Presidential Stock Market Direction, US retirement shares market will follow Europe, so be prepared. #BearMarket #bearmarketprotection #DIA #DIATradeSignals #DowJonesMarketUpdate #DowJonesTradeSignals #DowJonesTradingSignals #DowJonesupdate #forextrading #InterAnalyst #Nasdaq #NasdaqTradingSignals #QQQ #QQQTradeSignals #QQQTradingSignals #QQQTRADINGUPDATE #Russell2000 #Russell2000MarketUpdate #Russell2000TradingSigals #RUTTradeSignals #RUTTradingSignals #RUTTRADINGSTRATEGY #RUTTRADINGUPDATE #sp500etf #s&ampp500 #S&ampP500 #S&ampP500Index #S&ampP500MarketUpdate #S&ampP500TradingSignals #SPY #SPYTradeSignals #SPYTradingSignals #STANDARD&ampPOORS500 #StockTradingSignals #Trump #WealthMaximizer #WealthMaximizerPRO #WealthMazimizer #WealthPreserver Read the full article

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InterAnalyst Members Blog

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The Dollar & Confidence Have Collapsed

#InterAnalyst #WealthMaximizer #WealthMaximizerPRO #WealthPreserver Read the full article

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The Dollar & Confidence Have Collapsed

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A Sharp Reflex Rally

While it is indeed a sharp “reflex rally,”  With follow through today, please remember this: “Bear Markets” are not resolved in a single Day, Week, or a Month. Most importantly, "bear markets” do not end with “consumer confidence” still very elevated.    Notice that during each of the previous two bear market cycles, confidence dropped by an average of 58 points. This past week, we saw early indications of the unemployment that is coming to America as jobless claims surged to 10 million, and unemployment in April will surge to 15-20%. Confidence, and ultimately consumption, Which comprises 70% of GDP, will plummet as job losses mount. It is incredibly difficult to remain optimistic when you are unemployed. No Light At The End Of The Tunnel Yet The markets have been clinging on to “hope” that as soon as the virus passes, there will be a sharp “V”-shaped recovery in the economy and markets. While we strongly believe this will not be the case, we do acknowledge there will likely be a short-term market surge as the economy does initially come back “online.”  That surge could be very strong and will once again have the media crowing the “bear market” is over. However, for now, we are not there yet. Most importantly, as shown below, the majority of businesses will run out of money long before SBA loans, or financial assistance can be provided. This will lead to higher, and a longer-duration of unemployment. What the cycle tells us is that jobless claims, unemployment, and economic growth are going to worsen materially over the next couple of quarters. The problem with the current economic backdrop, and mounting job losses, is the vast majority of American’s were woefully unprepared for any disruption to their income going into recession. Two important points: The economy will eventually recover, and life will return to normal.  The damage will take much longer to heal, and future growth will run at a lower long-term rate due to the escalation of debts and deficits.  For investors, this means a greater range of stock market volatility and near-zero rates of return over the next decade. The Bear Still Rules History tells the story covering the last 8 full fledged bear markets: The should be sold into! In other words, if you have taken the decline thus far, When you see the rally explode up, sell it and preserve as much as you can before the next dip. On Friday, our colleague, Jeffery Marcus of TP Analytics, penned the following: When the 11-year bull market trend ended, other shorter trends were also violated.  In late February, the S&P 500 fell below its 14-month uptrend line, and in early March the 13-month uptrend line was violated.  Those breaks set in place the steep declines seen in the 2nd and 3rd weeks of March. While it may seem like an epic battle is going on around S&P 500 2500, the real problem is the downtrend forming from the 2/19 high. TPA still continues to see real long term support in the 3% range between 2110 and 2180. A less likely move below that support, would leave long term support levels of the lows of 2014 and 2015. S&P 500 – Long Term

His analysis agrees with our own: “While the technical picture of the market also suggests the recent “bear market” rally will likely fade sooner than later. Such an advance will ‘lure’ investors back into the market, thinking the ‘bear market’ is over. Importantly, despite the sizable rally, participation has remained extraordinarily weak. If the market was seeing strong buying, as suggested by the media, then we should see sizable upticks in the percent measures of advancing issues, issues at new highs, and a rising number of stocks above their 200-dma.” On a daily basis, these measures all have room to improve in the short-term. However, the market has now confirmed longer-term technical signals suggesting the “bear market” has only just started. There are reasons to be optimistic about the markets in the very short-term. We will get through this crisis. People will return to work. The economy will start moving forward again. However, it won’t immediately go right back to where we were previously. We are continuing to extend the amount of time the economy will be “shut down,” which exacerbates the decline in the employment, and personal consumption data. The feedback loop from that data into corporate profits, and earnings, is going to make valuations more problematic even with low interest rates currently.  This is NOT the time to try and “speculate” on a bottom of the market. You might get lucky, but there is very high risk you could wind up losing even more capital. For long-term investors like our Wealth Preserver Members, just remain patient and let the market dictate when the bottom has been formed. As you can see in the image below, the InterAnalyst Green Buy signal will come as it has every other time. But it only signals when the market is on solid footing.  Bear markets never end with optimism, but in despair. So remain patient, it the bear will end and you will capture the slingshot move back up once the markets are on solid footing. Although we continue to author opinion and analysis, please remember that our writings do not replace the green buy and red sell signals derived from over 140 years of market analytics. Use the Wealth Maximizer Pro to help give you daily charts and signals to help with daily market direction. Apply those to the Wealth Maximizer Weekly charts and signals to give you more confidence in the direction. When the Wealth Preserver Monthly signal confirms both the Wealth Maximizer and Wealth Maximizer Pro memberships, you are prepared for the slingshot.   Members Version of A Sharp Reflex Rally Members please login to view your market signals and read the balance of this post for entry and exit points.   Read the full article

[livionespoli]

Marxism, Buffett, Dalio, Stalin & The Bottom

As always, the Democrats just can't stand the fact that Trump might take credit for helping people and have blocked and relief package. Democrats claimed in true Marxist fashion in the Senate that the GOP’s push to set aside $425 billion for loans to help select companies and industries, dubbing it a “slush fund” for the Treasury to direct as it sees fit. They said the bill is tilted toward corporations instead of working people. What they fail to even address is that those working people rely upon small businesses the Democrats hate so much which provides 70% of their employment. Small businesses have been ordered to close down. They cannot pay employees and nobody has suspended their rents. The destruction of small businesses will be devastating to the economy and this is all about playing politics. I am saddened. The closing for March, if down from last Friday may spark more serious liquidation as Hedge Funds dump everything and some may more to suspend withdrawals as is taking place in European bond funds. The Solus Alternative Asset Management LP, Hedge Fund, known for its investment in retail chain Toys “R” Us, informed its investors that it is shutting its flagship fund and will restrict redemption's as it works to sell off holdings. Even Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway may have lost more than $70 billion on its 10 biggest investments. This type of decline shows that the buy-and-hold strategy fails in a serious market correction. Ray Dalio, who will go down in history for his proclamation that "cash is trash" on January 21, 2020, has lost probably more than $4 trillion in Bridgewater. Where the 2007-2009 Crash took out Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns, this time we will see Hedge Funds go down in flames. This undermines liquidity and makes the market vulnerable because market-makers pull back just to survive.  We are headed into a Global Recession which could become even worse than the Great Depression. Here's why? This time we have politicians taking advice from the medical industry. The medical people who do not understand that you cannot shut down the economy on this grand scale because of the devastation is insurmountable to people, their jobs, and wiping out their pensions. This economic shut down on such a massive scale is far worse than if the Corona death toll was even 8%. Never before has the economy been crashing with such speed for this is orchestrated by people who only look at how diseases spread and not how the economy contracts.

Yes, it is true that if we all stayed home we can even beat the common cold. But the post-coronavirus world is going to be far more damaging to the future than any of these people understand. To have the Democrats playing politics in the middle of the is just insane. Liquidity is collapsing everywhere. Bank failures rose after the 1929 crash because liquidity failure with a declining velocity = less money with even less money moving around the economy = recession and potential depression. A monthly closing on Oil below $20.50 will warn of the economic recession ahead as people stay home and this command of quarantine and social distancing may undermine the very cooperation which is the foundation of civilization.  If people are afraid to interact and suspect everyone, that is precisely the atmosphere created by Stalin during the Communist era.  We are voluntarily limiting and quickly losing all rights including the freedom of assembly. Even Twitter has shut down those who dissent against the coronavirus and this is calling into question our freedom of speech as well. InterAnalyst will help guide everyone out of this time of insecurity and political misdirection via selfish ignorance. Look at the chart below: As the markets find the bottom, it will be laced with volatility and insecurity with the media frightening you to the point of insecurity. this is not done for YOU as an InterAnalyst member. It is done for those Buy and Holders who never exited at the top and now have been scared into submission.  However, as an InterAnalyst member,  you recognize that it likely will become the best entry point of your life! Yes, insecurity will be there but you know the stock market is going nowhere! The stock market never lies and it always returns when there is "blood in the street" and the bottom arrives. Thus, follow the guideline to a risky to safe entry back into the coming slingshot move.When the Daily chart delivers a green signal, jump for joy, then choose to enter a position or wait to see if the daily signal is holding for a few days for stability. If we are at or close to a bottom, volatility will be very high so prepare for it if you choose to trade it.When the Daily is followed by a Weekly green signal you know that the economy is attempting to settle and gain strength. You should begin to feel a bit more secure. Entering a bullish position here is a bit less risky because the weekly signal has some economic strength attached rather than pure daily volatility. You can even wait another week to see if it develops more strength.Once the Green signal has elevated from the Daily to the Weekly and the Weekly has moved into a second or third week of a bullish trend, you may select to beat the green monthly Wealth Preserver signal by entering a bullish position before month end. If you look at The Wealth Preserver chart above, ask yourself whether you remember the days or weeks Just prior to the bottom green signals in 2003 and 2008?  NOPE, right. You don't remember them, but what you would have remembered is getting in after preserving your money at the prior top, before the full devastating decline those bear markets delivered. The same is true now.  So, the bottom is going to come. You must be patient, it will arrive, it always does! Enter in when you feel most comfortable, but recognize that the Wealth Preserver has proven to be deadly accurate at economic turning points. The phrase to be true: "Better Safe, than Sorry!"  Obviously, entry at any point has its risks, but as you look closely at The Wealth Preserver chart above, making a move using the monthly charts is rarely a poor decision...ESPECIALLY OFF THE BOTTOM. This time it is coming with a slingshot. Read the full article