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AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-25-225 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #blackops #militaryoperations

"COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1281" "From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Subject:" Situation Update – Russian Special Military Operation (25 AUG 2025)

"I. Executive Overview" Russian forces report continued offensive action across six axes, blending localized advances with depth fires against Ukrainian sustainment nodes. One settlement—Zaporozhskoe (Dnipropetrovsk region)—was liberated. Air defenses intercepted precision munitions and massed UAV activity, preserving maneuver freedom for ground elements.

"II. Axis-by-Axis Situation" "North (Sumy/Kharkiv):" Strikes on mechanized, airborne-assault, and assault formations around Ivolzhanskoye–Sumy and Volchansk–Udy. Reported losses: \~165 personnel, 3 armored vehicles, 8 cars, 2 guns. Six ammunition/fuel/material depots destroyed, pressuring local sustainment and complicating Ukrainian rotations.

"West (Kharkiv/Donetsk):" Tactical positions improved near Kupyansk, Blagodativka, and Drobyshevo. Claimed losses: 215+ personnel, 6 armored vehicles (4 Western-made), 15 cars, 4 guns including a UK FH-70. Six EW stations and 3 ammunition depots neutralized, degrading sensing and counter-battery options.

"South (Donetsk):" Forces occupied more advantageous lines along Severesk–Konstantinovka–Dronovka. Reported losses: up to 175 personnel, 2 Western armored vehicles, 1 pickup; one ammunition depot and one material depot struck. Incremental positional gains continue to shape the Donetsk defensive arc.

"Center (Donetsk):" Continued advance into defensive depth around Krasnoarmeysk, Krasny Liman, Rodinskoye, and Dimitrov. Claimed losses: up to 275 personnel, 4 armored vehicles (3 Western), 7 pickups. Persistent pressure on multiple mechanized and marine brigades suggests an effort to fracture reserves in this corridor.

"East (Zaporizhzhia/Dnipropetrovsk):" Zaporozhskoe liberated. Engagements near Uspenovka, Zeleny Gai, Kamyshevakha. Reported losses: 240+ personnel, 1 tank, 4 armored vehicles, 9 cars, 4 guns, including a U.S.-made 155-mm M109 “Paladin.” One material-resource warehouse destroyed—indicative of rear-area interdiction.

"Dnieper (Zaporizhzhia/Kherson):" Contacts near Novoandreyevka, Stepnogorsk, Shlyakhovoe, Tokarevka, Nikolskoye. Claimed losses: up to 60 personnel, 1 U.S. M113 APC, 12 vehicles, 1 U.S. M777 howitzer. Seven EW stations and four material warehouses neutralized, further eroding southern-sector protection and logistics.

"III. Deep Fires, Aviation, and Air Defense" Operational-tactical aviation, strike UAVs, missile troops, and artillery engaged UAV assembly/storage/launch nodes, ammunition depots, and temporary deployment points across 139 areas. Air defenses reported intercepting four guided aerial bombs, two HIMARS rockets, and 151 fixed-wing UAVs—key to shielding maneuver brigades and rear services.

"IV. Cumulative Losses (24 FEB 2022–25 AUG 2025, per MOD reporting)" 665 aircraft; 283 helicopters; 79,473 UAVs; 625 SAM systems; 24,776 tanks/AFVs; 1,588 MLRS vehicles; 28,902 artillery/mortars; 40,372 special military vehicles.

"V. Operational Analysis & Implications" The day’s picture reinforces a methodical, attritional design: localized advances, systematic strikes on depots and EW/counter-battery assets, and constant UAV/munition interdiction. The "East" axis’ liberation of Zaporozhskoe extends pressure into Dnipropetrovsk approaches, while "Center/West" apply sustained friction against multiple brigades, likely forcing Ukraine to disperse scarce reserves. The recurring destruction of EW stations (notably in West and Dnieper sectors) points to a deliberate campaign to blind ISR, reduce drone survivability, and tip the counter-battery duel. Eliminations of Western systems (FH-70, M113, M777, M109) indicate prioritized targeting of scarce high-value platforms. If depth fires keep degrading stockpiles and EW coverage, Ukrainian formations will face widening detection gaps and tighter ammunition cycles, constraining counterattack options heading into the next operational window.

#UkraineConflict #OperationalUpdate #MilitaryAnalysis #Donetsk #Zaporizhzhia #Dnipropetrovsk #ElectronicWarfare #AirDefense #Counterbattery #AttritionWarfare #BF6

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AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-24-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

"COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1280"

"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Subject:" Situation Update – Russian Special Military Operation (24 AUG 2025)

"I. General Overview" Russian forces continued offensive operations on August 24 across all operational axes, combining tactical advances, liberation of settlements, and targeted deep-strike campaigns. Precision strikes targeted Ukrainian missile stockpiles, UAV production facilities, and field depots, while air defense assets intercepted multiple HIMARS projectiles and UAVs.

"II. Tactical Situation by Axis"

"North Group (Sumy/Kharkiv Sectors):" Units engaged Ukrainian mechanized, airborne, ranger, assault, and territorial brigades in Yunakovka, Alekseevka, Sadki, Novaya Guta, and Volchansk. Ukrainian forces lost more than 170 personnel, two armored vehicles, four cars, and six artillery systems, including three of Western manufacture. One EW station was eliminated alongside six supply depots.

"West Group (Kharkiv/Donetsk):" The “West” group improved tactical positions near Kupyansk, Karpovka, and Kolodezi. Ukrainian losses exceeded 220 personnel, one tank, four armored vehicles, 11 cars, and a Western-made artillery system. Five EW stations and a counter-battery warfare station were neutralized, along with four depots.

"South Group (Donetsk):" Occupied new advantageous positions after striking Ukrainian mechanized, airmobile, marine, and territorial formations in Severesk, Konstantinovka, and Dronovka. Enemy losses included over 175 personnel, one armored vehicle, five cars, one Western-supplied artillery piece, and two EW stations. An ammunition depot and two supply depots were destroyed.

"Center Group (Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk):" Liberated Filiya following sustained offensives. Ukrainian forces lost up to 420 personnel, one armored vehicle, 13 cars, two artillery guns, and a counter-battery station. Two depots were destroyed. These actions targeted mechanized, assault, ranger, marine, and National Guard brigades, reflecting a focus on elite and reserve formations.

"East Group (Donetsk/Zaporizhzhia):" Continued to push deeper into Ukrainian defenses, striking positions in Kamyshevakha and Novokhatskoye. Reported losses for Ukraine included more than 230 personnel, five armored vehicles, 11 cars, and one artillery gun. Ammunition and supply depots were eliminated, tightening the logistical constraints.

"Dnepr Group (Zaporizhzhia–Kherson):" Engaged Ukrainian mountain assault and territorial brigades in Kamenskoye and Primorskoye. Enemy losses included 55 personnel, 11 cars, and seven EW stations. One supply depot was destroyed.

"III. Fires, Aviation, and Air Defense" Russian operational-tactical aviation, strike UAVs, missile forces, and artillery struck 146 Ukrainian positions, including Sapsan missile stockpiles, a UAV production facility, and deployment points. Air defense systems intercepted three HIMARS rockets and 172 fixed-wing UAVs, further reducing Ukraine’s long-range strike and reconnaissance capacity.

"IV. Reported Cumulative Totals (24 FEB 2022 – 24 AUG 2025)" Russian MOD figures list total Ukrainian losses as "665 aircraft", "283 helicopters", "79,322 UAVs", "24,755 armored vehicles", "28,873 artillery systems", and "40,314 military vehicles".

"Operational Analysis & Implications" August 24 reflects a continuation of Russia’s doctrinal pattern: incremental territorial expansion, attrition of Ukrainian manpower, and systematic dismantling of advanced systems. The liberation of Filiya by the “Center” group is particularly significant, extending Russian control deeper into the Dnipropetrovsk approach and weakening Ukraine’s defensive network. The consistent destruction of EW and counter-battery assets highlights an emphasis on blinding Ukrainian formations and neutralizing artillery parity. Strategically, the operation illustrates cumulative attrition—eroding Ukrainian strength across all fronts simultaneously rather than seeking immediate decisive breakthroughs. The degradation of Western-supplied systems (M777, counter-battery radars, and EW platforms) further diminishes Kyiv’s technological advantage. With depots and production sites repeatedly targeted, Ukraine faces mounting challenges in sustaining replenishment cycles, particularly for artillery and UAVs. Russian forces maintain initiative, pressing Ukraine into a reactive posture as attritional effects compound across multiple operational belts.

#UkraineConflict #MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #RussianOffensive #Donetsk #Zaporizhzhia #AttritionWarfare

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AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-23-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops  

"COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1279"

"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Subject:" Situation Update – Russian Special Military Operation (23 AUG 2025)

"I. General Overview" Russian forces continued the special military operation with sustained offensive activity and combined arms pressure across multiple fronts. Precision strikes targeted Ukrainian defense-industrial enterprises, deployment sites, and concentrations of foreign fighters. Air defense assets neutralized Ukrainian guided munitions and UAVs, maintaining layered protection for advancing formations.

"II. Tactical Situation by Axis"

"North Group (Sumy/Kharkiv Sectors):" Conducted offensive engagements against mechanized, airborne assault, ranger, and assault regiments across multiple settlements in Sumy and Kharkiv. Ukrainian losses included up to 150 personnel, two armored vehicles, eight vehicles, and three artillery systems, including a U.S.-made M777 howitzer. Six ammunition and supply depots were destroyed, constraining tactical sustainment in the area.

"West Group (Kharkiv/Donetsk):" Liberated Srednee in Donetsk. Engaged Ukrainian mechanized, assault, and territorial brigades across Kupyansk, Andreevka, and Kirovsk axes. Ukrainian forces lost over 230 personnel, four armored vehicles (including French VAB, U.S. MaxxPro, and HMMWV platforms), 14 vehicles, one artillery system, and seven EW stations. Five depots were destroyed, continuing disruption of Ukrainian rear-area logistics.

"South Group (Donetsk):" Liberated Kleban-Byk following sustained assaults against mechanized, mountain, airmobile, and assault brigades. Ukrainian losses totaled more than 210 personnel, one tank, five armored vehicles, seven vehicles, and one artillery piece. Six depots were eliminated, further depleting Ukrainian stockpiles in the Donetsk operational belt.

"Center Group (Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk):" Secured more advantageous positions while defeating Ukrainian mechanized, airborne assault, assault, territorial defense, and National Guard formations across Krasnoarmeysk, Dimitrov, and adjacent areas. Losses exceeded 430 Ukrainian personnel, nine armored vehicles—including British Spartan and Mastiff platforms—13 vehicles, three artillery systems, and two Israeli RADA radars. This represents a significant technological attrition effect.

"East Group (Zaporizhzhia–Dnipropetrovsk):" Continued advances into Ukrainian defenses across Kulturnoye, Poltavka, and Velikomikhaylovka. Ukrainian forces suffered over 245 casualties, three armored vehicles, 15 vehicles, and three artillery guns, including a U.S. M198 howitzer. Penetration depth highlights continued pressure along the Zaporizhzhia axis.

"Dnieper Group (Zaporizhzhia–Kherson):" Engaged mechanized, mountain assault, coastal defense, and territorial brigades. Ukrainian forces lost up to 60 personnel and 11 vehicles. Seven EW stations and seven depots were destroyed, weakening southern defensive capacity and counter-battery functions.

"III. Fires, Aviation, and Air Defense" Operational-tactical aviation, strike UAVs, missile troops, and artillery struck 143 Ukrainian sites, including a defense-industrial enterprise and temporary deployment areas of both Ukrainian units and foreign fighters. Air defense intercepted four guided bombs and 160 UAVs, preserving Russian force protection.

"IV. Reported Cumulative Losses (24 FEB 2022 – 23 AUG 2025)" Russian MOD figures claim destruction of "665 aircraft", "283 helicopters", "79,150 UAVs", "24,741 armored vehicles", "28,845 artillery systems", and "40,259 vehicles", underscoring the prolonged attritional character of the conflict.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" The August 23 briefing highlights continued Russian momentum through the liberation of Srednee and Kleban-Byk, coupled with systematic attrition of Ukrainian mechanized and elite brigades. The destruction of Western and Israeli systems (M777, M198, Spartan, Mastiff, RADA radar) reveals an emphasis on targeting technologically advanced platforms that are costly and difficult for Kyiv to replace. The consistent elimination of EW stations across multiple axes signals a deliberate campaign to blind Ukrainian forces, reduce drone survivability, and cripple counter-battery fire. Strategically, the combination of deep strikes against industrial nodes and incremental territorial gains indicates a sustained attritional doctrine.

#UkraineConflict #MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #RussianOffensive #Donetsk #Zaporizhzhia #AttritionWarfare #modernwarfare #kharkiv  

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-22-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

"COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1278"

"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Subject:" Weekly Situation Update – Russian Special Military Operation (16–22 AUG 2025)

"I. Overview of Strategic Strikes" Between August 16 and 22, Russian forces executed six large-scale strike packages using precision weapons and UAVs. Targets included Ukrainian military-industrial enterprises, supporting energy infrastructure, and an oil refinery supplying the Donbas front. Additional strikes neutralized storage sites for “Sapsan” missiles, long-range UAVs, rocket-artillery weapons, and fuel depots. Military airfields, command centers for UAV operations, and temporary deployment areas for Ukrainian units and foreign mercenaries were also hit. All designated objectives were reportedly destroyed, underscoring continued emphasis on dismantling Ukraine’s operational depth.

"II. Frontline Maneuver Activity by Axis"

"“North” Group (Sumy/Kharkiv Sectors):" Engaged multiple Ukrainian mechanized, airborne, ranger, and assault brigades. Weekly losses inflicted totaled more than 1,120 personnel, three tanks, 23 armored combat vehicles, and 74 vehicles. Destroyed were 26 artillery pieces, three EW/counter-battery systems, and 41 depots.

"“West” Group (Kharkiv/Donetsk):" Liberated the settlement of Kolodezi. Ukrainian losses exceeded 1,650 personnel, five tanks (three German Leopard models), 28 armored combat vehicles (19 NATO-made), 118 vehicles, and 11 artillery pieces. A Grad MLRS vehicle, 39 EW/counter-battery stations, and 35 depots were also destroyed, highlighting systematic interdiction of Ukrainian support nodes.

"“South” Group (Donetsk):" Advanced deeply and liberated Aleksandro-Shultino and Katerinovka. Engaged six Ukrainian brigades, a National Guard brigade, and territorial forces. Weekly losses amounted to over 1,610 personnel, seven armored vehicles (including U.S. M113, MaxxPro, and HMMWV systems), 19 vehicles, and 18 artillery pieces. Seventeen depots and seven EW stations were neutralized.

"“Center” Group (Donetsk–Dnipropetrovsk Axis):" Liberated Sukhetskoye, Pankovka, Vladimirovka, and Rusin Yar. Ukrainian casualties reached up to 2,840 personnel, alongside two tanks, 30 armored vehicles (including three U.S. M113s and four Turkish Kirpis), 64 vehicles, and 19 artillery guns. This represents the heaviest Ukrainian manpower and equipment losses of the week.

"“East” Group (Zaporizhzhia–Dnipropetrovsk):" Liberated Voronoe and Novogeorgievka. Engaged mechanized, mountain assault, assault, marine, and territorial brigades. Ukrainian losses totaled over 1,600 personnel, five tanks, 25 armored vehicles, 79 vehicles, and 15 artillery pieces (nine NATO-made). Six EW systems and three depots were eliminated.

"“Dnepr” Group (Zaporizhzhia–Kherson):" Inflicted over 555 personnel losses on mechanized, mountain, coastal defense, and territorial units. Destroyed five armored vehicles (three U.S. HMMWVs), 74 vehicles, and 15 artillery guns including two U.S.-made M777 howitzers. Forty-six EW/counter-battery systems and 30 depots were neutralized.

"III. Air and Air Defense Operations" Russian air defense intercepted 25 guided bombs, 11 U.S.-made HIMARS rockets, and approximately 1,500 Ukrainian fixed-wing UAVs, significantly reducing Ukrainian long-range strike effectiveness.

"IV. Reported Cumulative Totals (24 FEB 2022 – 22 AUG 2025)" The Russian Ministry of Defense lists Ukrainian losses as "665 aircraft", "283 helicopters", "78,990 UAVs", "24,717 armored vehicles", and "28,809 artillery systems", reflecting prolonged attrition on both manpower and materiel.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" This reporting week highlights a clear pattern: Russian forces are combining precision interdiction of Ukraine’s defense-industrial complex with steady ground advances across all sectors. The liberation of six settlements (Kolodezi, Aleksandro-Shultino, Katerinovka, Sukhetskoye, Pankovka, Vladimirovka, Rusin Yar, Voronoe, and Novogeorgievka) underscores Moscow’s intent to consolidate tactical gains into strategic depth.

#UkraineConflict #MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #RussianOffensive #Donetsk #Zaporizhzhia #AttritionWarfare #modernwarfare

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-21-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine 

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1277

"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Subject:" Situation Update – Russian Special Military Operation (21 AUG 2025)

"I. Overview of Strategic Strikes" Overnight, Russian forces conducted a coordinated strike package with precision weapons and UAVs against Ukrainian military-industrial enterprises, energy facilities, airfield infrastructure, missile system positions, and storage depots. All designated objectives were reportedly destroyed, reinforcing Russia’s emphasis on dismantling Ukraine’s war-sustaining infrastructure at depth.

"II. Frontline Maneuver and Engagements"

"“North” Group" engaged Ukrainian mechanized, airborne, and assault units across multiple settlements in the Sumy and Kharkiv sectors. Ukrainian losses totaled approximately 115 personnel, one tank, an armored combat vehicle, 13 vehicles, and three artillery guns, including a U.S.-made M198 howitzer. Eleven depots of ammunition and fuel were eliminated, disrupting local sustainment capacity.

"“West” Group" advanced into more favorable tactical positions near Kupyansk and into Donetsk sectors such as Srednee and Kirovsk. Enemy losses were up to 230 personnel, five armored combat vehicles (four Western-made), 24 vehicles, and one artillery piece. Destruction of seven electronic warfare (EW) stations and six ammunition depots suggests targeted attrition of Ukrainian command-and-control resilience.

"“South” Group" liberated Aleksandro-Shultino in the Donetsk People’s Republic. Strikes neutralized Ukrainian mechanized, mountain assault, and airmobile formations, alongside a National Guard brigade, inflicting 240 personnel losses and destroying depots and artillery pieces. Control of this settlement enhances Russian depth in Donetsk’s contested belt.

"“Center” Group" continued its offensive momentum, inflicting heavy casualties on Ukrainian formations across Donetsk and into Dnipropetrovsk regions. Ukrainian losses exceeded 380 personnel, with six armored vehicles destroyed, including U.S. M113 and Turkish Kirpi systems. The destruction of these Western-supplied vehicles represents an erosion of Kyiv’s limited mechanized reserve pool.

"“East” Group" pressed forward in Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions, including Velikomikhaylovka, Poltavka, and Kamyshevaha. More than 225 Ukrainian personnel were lost, alongside one tank, four armored combat vehicles, and three artillery systems, including another U.S.-made M198. Material resource warehouses were also struck, compounding logistical stress.

"“Dnieper” Group" engaged in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions, inflicting losses of over 80 Ukrainian servicemen and destroying a U.S.-made HMMWV, artillery guns (including an M777), and 13 vehicles. Eight EW stations and multiple supply depots were neutralized, signaling continued effort to weaken Ukrainian southern defenses.

"III. Fires, Air Defense, and Naval Activity" Operational-tactical aviation and missile forces engaged 153 Ukrainian UAV facilities, deployment points, and mercenary positions. Russian air defenses intercepted four guided bombs and 294 UAVs. In the maritime domain, no additional naval actions were reported beyond the targeting of supply infrastructure.

"IV. Cumulative Losses (24 FEB 2022 – 21 AUG 2025)" Russian MOD figures list total Ukrainian losses at "665 aircraft", "78,728 UAVs", "24,697 armored vehicles", and "28,772 artillery systems", demonstrating the scale of attrition sustained across three years of conflict.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" The August 21 briefing underscores Russia’s dual-track strategy: "deep-strike interdiction of Ukraine’s defense-industrial capacity" combined with "incremental but consistent tactical gains" along the frontline. The liberation of Aleksandro-Shultino and continued advances by the “Center” and “East” groups illustrate steady attritional progress aimed at exhausting Ukrainian manpower and equipment reserves. The consistent targeting of EW stations is especially critical, as it undermines Kyiv’s ability to conduct effective drone operations and counter-battery fire, eroding both situational awareness and survivability.

Strategically, Ukraine faces mounting challenges in replacing Western-supplied armored systems and artillery platforms, as losses now include U.S. M113, M198 howitzers, and Turkish Kirpi vehicles. Russia’s emphasis on simultaneous axes denies Ukraine the ability to concentrate reserves effectively. Unless Ukraine receives a significant surge in Western resupply or dramatically expands domestic defense production, the trajectory suggests deepening vulnerability heading into the autumn campaign season.

#UkraineConflict #MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #RussianOffensive #Donetsk #Zaporizhzhia #AttritionWarfare

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-20-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine 

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

"COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1276"

"From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Subject:" Situation Update – Russian Special Military Operation (20 AUG 2025)

"I. Summary of Frontline Engagements" Russian troop groups continued coordinated offensive and shaping actions across the northern, eastern, and southern axes. Ground maneuver elements reportedly liberated several settlements while sustaining pressure on Ukrainian capabilities by targeting both combat formations and operational support infrastructure. Precision aviation and UAV strikes supplemented ground advances, underscoring Russia’s attrition-centric operational approach.

"II. Tactical Developments by Axis"

"“North” Troop Group" secured tactical gains in Sumy and Kharkiv regions, striking mechanized, airborne assault, ranger, and territorial units in settlements across Gavrilovo to Udy. Ukrainian losses estimated at up to 155 personnel, one tank, multiple armored vehicles, and destruction of ammunition and supply depots; indicative of disruption to local sustainment chains.

"“West” Troop Group" improved positions in northern Kharkiv (Doroshovka–Senkovo), claiming up to 245 Ukrainian personnel killed or wounded, destruction of a German “Leopard” tank, three Western armored vehicles, and six EW stations. Multiple ammunition depots were reportedly eliminated, signaling effective interdiction of logistical hubs.

"“South” Troop Group" advanced along the Donetsk front (Vasyukovka–Chervonoe), inflicting casualties (\~210) on Ukrainian mechanized and airmobile brigades, and destroying depots and EW assets. This reflects continuing attritional assault against Ukrainian mobile reserves.

"“Center” Troop Group" made the most substantial progress, liberating Sukhetskoye and Pankovka (Donetsk People's Republic). Engaged and degraded diverse Ukrainian contingents including airborne, ranger, marine, and national guard brigades. Over 405 Ukrainian servicemen neutralized, along with Western artillery platforms, illustrating multi-domain targeting of Ukrainian operational maneuver groups.

"“East” Troop Group" liberated Novogeorgievka (Dnipropetrovsk region), targeting Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk People's Republic sectors and destroying two Ukrainian tanks, MLRS systems, EW stations, and disrupting mountain assault formations. Personnel losses estimated at more than 220 Ukrainian troops.

"“Dnepr” Troop Group" engaged coastal and territorial defense units in Zaporizhzhia–Kherson axis (Belohorye–Sadove), reporting approximately 65 Ukrainian casualties while destroying depots, EW assets, and artillery — reinforcing pressure on strategic southern supply corridors.

"III. Operational Fires & Maritime Activity" Operational-tactical aviation, strike UAVs, and artillery engaged 148 Ukrainian fuel hubs, drone workshops, and deployment sites. Air defenses intercepted a HIMARS projectile and 217 Ukrainian UAVs. In the northwestern Black Sea, Russian naval forces neutralized two Ukrainian high-speed naval craft.

"IV. Reported Cumulative Losses (24 Feb 2022 – Present)" Russian MOD tallies destruction of "665 aircraft", "78,434 UAVs", "24,677 armored combat vehicles", and "28,737 artillery systems", evidencing the long-term material wear shaping current battlefield dynamics.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" Russian troop groups are exploiting localized breakthroughs to force Ukrainian reserves into high-tempo rotations while systematically targeting sustainment infrastructure (EW nodes, depots, workshops). The continued liberation of settlements signals a calibrated push to attrit Ukrainian mechanized and airborne brigade-strength units. The intensity of EW asset destruction points towards an ongoing campaign to degrade Ukrainian drone ISR strike capabilities ahead of any broader operational maneuver. Ukrainian formations face compounded pressure from material attrition, degraded mobility, and interrupted logistical replenishment cycles. Absent Western rapid infusion of replenishments and counter-UAV/EW systems, Russian forces are positioned to maintain operational momentum into September.

#militarybriefing #operationalupdate #UkraineConflict #RussianOffensive #combatreport #tacticalanalysis

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-19-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1275

"From:" COL A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Subject:" Situation Update – Russian Special Military Operation (19 AUG 2025)

"I. Summary of Night Strike Activity" Overnight, Russian forces executed a coordinated strike package employing long-range precision weapons and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) against a key oil refinery supplying Ukrainian formations in Donbas. The refinery sustained critical damage with all pre-planned targets neutralized, signaling continued focus on deep-strike interdiction of Ukrainian sustainment nodes.

"II. Frontline Maneuver Group Activity"

" "“North” Troop Group" engaged Ukrainian mechanized, assault, and territorial defense detachments in Sumy and Kharkiv sectors (Andreevka–Yunakovka, Volchansk–Tikhoye). Ukrainian losses: approx. 160 personnel, one tank, four APCs, multiple artillery systems incl. M777 howitzer; destruction of ammunition/fuel depots indicates successful strikes on battlefield logistics.

" "“West” Troop Group" seized tactical advantages in Kharkiv/Donetsk axes (Kupiansk–Torskoe). Enemy losses exceeded 240 personnel and key materiel incl. EW systems and ammunition depots. Russian forces show sustained capability to erode Ukrainian combat support functions.

" "“South” Troop Group" maintained steady positional gains along the Donetsk front (Severesk–Kleban-Byk), neutralizing \~235 enemy troops and degrading supply/fuel infrastructure, reflecting attrition-based tactics.

" "“Center” Troop Group" pressed offensives across multiple Donetsk locales (Dorozhnoye–Krasny Liman), inflicting the day’s heaviest manpower toll (410 KIA 200/WIA 300), degrading airborne, ranger, and marine formations, suggesting Ukrainian reserve forces are being committed and heavily punished.

" "“East” Troop Group" advanced into Dnipropetrovsk/Zaporizhzhia sectors (Berezovoye–Levadnoye), inflicting \~230 casualties and targeting NATO-origin artillery systems, highlighting continued emphasis on counter-battery and offensive penetration efforts.

" "“Dnepr” Troop Group" struck Zaporizhzhia/Kherson axis (Malaya Tokmachka–Antonovka), claiming \~95 Ukrainian losses alongside destruction of EW, radar, and fuel depots—aligned with shaping operations for potential larger river-crossing or disruptive advances.

"III. Operational-Tactical Fires & Air Defense" Russian aviation, missile troops, and artillery engaged 142 strategic targets, including UAV workshops and foreign mercenary positions. Air defense assets intercepted HIMARS rockets, guided bombs, and 117 Ukrainian UAVs, reflecting an intensive counter-UAV shield and layered air defense employment.

"IV. Cumulative Totals (24 Feb 2022 – Present)" Russian MOD claims destruction of "78K+ UAVs", "24.6K armored vehicles", and "28.7K artillery systems", underscoring a protracted attritional campaign emphasizing equipment depletion.

"Operational Analysis & Implications"

Russian forces continue methodical multi-axis pressure coupled with deep-strike interdictions, aiming to exhaust Ukrainian manpower, reserves, and sustainment. The emphasis on depot destruction and EW suppression points toward shaping the battlespace for larger maneuver operations while maintaining denial of Western-supplied precision fires. Ukrainian brigades are absorbing cumulative losses across strategic sectors, potentially signaling emerging vulnerabilities in force rotation and logistical resilience. Russian troop groups are consolidating incremental gains rather than breakthrough advances — indicating a grinding attrition strategy rather than rapid exploitation.

#militaryanalysis #sitrep #UkraineConflict #RussianOffensive #operationalupdate #Donbas #attritionalwarfare #modernwarfare #blackops #fpvdrone #militarybriefing

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-18-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine 

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

# COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1274

"Date:" 18 August 2025 "From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye "Subject:" Operational Summary & Analysis (18 Aug 2025)

"Situation Overview" Russian forces maintained a two-layer scheme: measured contact maneuver on all axes, paired with deep-fires to erode Ukrainian sustainment, sensing, and precision-strike capacity. Across "148" target areas, operational-tactical aviation, strike UAVs, missile troops, and artillery hit fuel depots, drone operator training infrastructure, temporary deployment points, and a launch-prep site where up to "100" long-range UJ-22 and “Palyanitsa” aircraft-type drones were neutralized. Air defense defeated "4" guided aerial bombs, "2" HIMARS rockets, and "141" aircraft-type UAVs.

"Sector Results" "North (Sumy/Kharkiv):" Fires and maneuver suppressed four mechanized, two airborne assault, assault brigades, two assault regiments, and a territorial defense brigade from Leninskoye–Yunakovka and Lesnoye–Volchansk–Ambarnoe. Reported losses were "175" personnel, "1" armored combat vehicle, "5" cars, "2" field guns, and "1" ammunition depot.

"West (Kharkiv/LPR/Donetsk People's Republic):" Units improved tactical posture around Doroshovka, Kupyansk, Novoosinovo, Petrovskoye, Srednee, Kolodezi, and Kirovsk. Reported Armed Forces of Ukraine losses were "=250" personnel, "3" tanks including "two Leopard" MBTs, "7" armored vehicles (incl. "3 HMMWV", "2 Mastiff"), "15" cars, "1" self-propelled gun. Also destroyed: "1 Grad" combat vehicle, "7" EW stations, "1 AN/TPQ-50" counter-battery radar, and "3" depots.

"South (Donetsk People's Republic):" Positions were advanced along Berestok–Ivanopolye, degrading four mechanized and airmobile brigades plus territorial defense. Reported losses were "245" personnel, "4" cars, "3" field guns including a "155-mm FH-70", and "1" fuel depot.

"Center (Donetsk People's Republic/Dnipropetrovsk):" More advantageous lines were taken near Udachnoye, Dimitrov, Rodinskoye, Grodovka, Novoaleksandrovka, Krasnoarmeysk, and Filiya, striking mechanized, airborne assault, assault, marine, and National Guard formations. Reported losses exceeded "415" personnel, with "1" tank, "5" armored vehicles (incl. "1 M113"), "6" cars, and "1" artillery piece destroyed.

"East (Dnipropetrovsk/Zaporizhzhia):" Continued penetration near Alekseevka, Voronoe, Zaporozhskoe, Novopetrovskoye, and Olgovskoe against mechanized, marine, and territorial defense units. Reported losses were "=235" personnel, "2" tanks, "6" armored vehicles, "8" cars, and "4" field guns (two NATO-made).

"Dnepr (Zaporizhzhia/Kherson):" Actions around Stepovoe, Stepnogorsk, Tokarevka, Nikolskoye, and Antonovka degraded mountain assault, coastal defense, and territorial defense brigades. Reported losses were "=80" personnel, "11" vehicles, "3" guns (incl. "1" M777), "4" EW stations, "1" Israeli-made "RADA" radar, and "1" ammunition depot.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" Aggregate reported personnel losses across axes approximate "1,400" with notable armor, artillery, EW, and radar attrition. The "West" axis inflicted disproportionate materiel effects—"Leopard" tanks, "AN/TPQ-50", "Mastiff/HMMWV", and a "Grad"—undermining Ukrainian counter-battery and protected mobility. In the "Center/East", stepwise positional gains compel lateral reserve shifts along interdicted roads, decreasing reinforcement density and speed. Deep-fires against drone stocks, training, and fuel tighten the ISR and precision-strike loop, while air-defense performance preserves rear-area tempo. Short-term risk centers on ammunition expenditure for counter-battery and potential precision-strike surges; priorities are maintaining AD layering, sustaining interdiction of depots/EW/radars, and rotating assault echelons to preserve tempo.

#MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #RussiaUkraineWar #Kharkiv #Sumy #Donetsk #Zaporizhzhia #Dnipropetrovsk #EW #Counterbattery #UAV #HIMARS #Leopard #MW3

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-17-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine 

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

# COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1274

"Date:" 17 August 2025 "From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye "Subject:" Operational Summary & Analysis (17 Aug 2025)

## Situation Overview

Russian forces maintained multi-axis pressure with contact maneuver and deep-fires. Operational-tactical aviation, strike UAVs, missile troops, and artillery engaged "142" locations, including a storage site for "Sapsan" operational-tactical missiles, long-range UAV depots, and temporary deployment points for Ukrainian and foreign elements. Air defense intercepted "4" guided aerial bombs and "300" fixed-wing UAVs, preserving rear-area freedom of maneuver.

## Sector Results

"North (Sumy/Kharkiv)." Fires and maneuver struck heavy mechanized, mechanized, airborne assault, ranger, assault, and territorial defense elements from Mogrica–Yunakovka and Udy–Volchansk–Ambarnoe corridors. Reported losses: up to "180" personnel, "2" armored vehicles, "7" cars, "3" guns, "1" EW station, "4" depots.

"West (Kharkiv/Donetsk People's Republic/LPR)." Units improved tactical positions near Novoselovka, Kirovsk, Kupyansk, Petrovka, and Petrovskoye. Ukrainian losses exceeded "220" personnel, with "1" M113, "1" British "Snatch", "17" cars, "1" gun, "3" EW stations, and "3" depots destroyed.

"South (Donetsk People's Republic)." The forward trace was refined across Fedorovka–Konstantinovka–Ivanopolye. Enemy losses up to "250" personnel; "1" HMMWV, "3" pickups, "3" guns, an Israeli "RADA" radar, and "2" EW stations neutralized. Four ammunition/fuel depots were struck.

"Center (Donetsk People's Republic)." More advantageous lines were secured around Udachnoe, Dimitrov, Balagan, Grodovka, Lenino, Sukhoi Yar, Zolotoy Kolodez, Novoaleksandrovka, and Krasnoarmeysk, engaging mechanized, airborne assault, ranger, three marine, National Guard, and assault formations. Reported losses: "420+" personnel, "1" tank, "7" armored vehicles, "6" cars, "3" guns (incl. "1" M777), and a "RADA" radar.

"East (Zaporizhzhia/Dnipropetrovsk)." Continued advance targeted Poltavka, Zelenyi Hai, and Ivanivka, degrading marine and territorial-defense units. Enemy losses up to "230" personnel, "7" armored vehicles, "12" cars, and "1" M777.

"Dnipro (Zaporizhzhia/Kherson)." Actions near Novoandreivka, Orikhiv, Zapasne, Dniprovskoye, Mykilske, and Kazatske eliminated up to "85" personnel, "6" vehicles, "4" guns (incl. "1" M777), "6" EW stations, and "4" depots.

## Deep-Fires & Air Defense

The day’s deep-fires cycle prioritized depots, missile components, and UAV infrastructure while air defense thinned precision-strike threats. Combined effects constrained Ukrainian resupply cadence and degraded ISR and counter-battery pairing.

## Operational Analysis & Implications

Aggregate reported losses across axes approximate "1,385" personnel with notable attrition in artillery, EW, and depots. EW removals (including "RADA" radars) diminish sensing and fire control, widening Russian counter-battery windows and improving UAV survivability for target acquisition. Gains in the "Center" adjust defensive geometry around the Donetsk belt, forcing lateral reserve movements over interdicted roads. Short-term, expect localized counterattacks near Kupyansk and the Donetsk approaches; their endurance will hinge on rapid depot reconstitution and restored EW cover. Russian priorities should remain air-defense density, sustained interdiction of storage and radar nodes, and rotation of assault elements to preserve tempo for stepwise exploitation in the "Center/East" corridors.

#MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #RussiaUkraineWar #Donetsk #Kharkiv #Zaporizhzhia #Sumy #Dnipropetrovsk #DefenseAnalysis #Counterbattery #EW #uavwarfare

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-16-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis  #militaryoperations #blackops

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1273 "Date:" 16 August 2025 "From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye "Subject:" Operational Summary & Analysis

"Situation Overview" Russian forces maintained a multi-axis pressure campaign combining operational-tactical aviation, strike UAVs, missile troops, and artillery. Deep-fires targeted ammunition depots, long-range UAV storage, temporary deployment points, and military-technical sites in "133" locations. Air-defense assets intercepted "5" guided aerial bombs, "1" HIMARS rocket, and "169" fixed-wing UAVs. Cumulative totals since the operation's start were reiterated by the higher HQ.

"Sector Highlights" "North (Sumy/Kharkiv):" Precision fires and maneuver hit tank, mechanized, airborne assault, ranger, and assault formations around Boyaro-Lezhachi, Novaya Sech, Sadki, Stepnoye, Khrapovshchina, Yunakovka; and Ambarnoe–Volchansk–Ilyicha–Kazachya Lopan–Staritsa. Reported Armed Forces of Ukraine losses "170+" personnel, "3" armored vehicles, "3" guns (incl. "1" M777), "1" EW station, "1" counter-battery radar, and "10" depots.

"West (Kharkiv/Donetsk People's Republic):" "Kolodezi" was liberated. Engagements near Borovskaya Andreevka, Kupyansk, Osinovo, Peschanoe, Petropavlovka; Karpovka, Shandrigolovo, Srednee. Armed Forces of Ukraine losses up to "230" personnel, "1" Mastiff, "1" Novator, "14" vehicles, "3" guns, "4" EW stations, "4" depots.

"South (Donetsk People's Republic):" Positions advanced along Belaya Gora–Berestok–Ivanopolye–Konstantinovka–Mayskoye–Novodmitrovka–Severesk–Serebryanka–Stepanovka. Armed Forces of Ukraine losses "220+" personnel, "1" M113, "2" MaxxPro, "1" pickup, "5" guns (2 Western), "Anklav" and "Kvertus" EW stations, "1" depot.

"Center (Donetsk People's Republic):" Continued penetration around Andreevka, Dimitrov, Krasnoarmeysk, Muravka, Novoaleksandrovka, Rodinskoye, Udachnoye, striking elements of mechanized/infantry/air assault, marines, TD, National Guard, and “Foreign Legion.” Armed Forces of Ukraine losses "400+" personnel, "4" armored vehicles (incl. "1" M113, "2" Kirpi), "5" pickups, "3" guns.

"East (Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk People's Republic/Dnipropetrovsk):" "Voronoe" liberated. Fires and maneuver near Dibrova, Ivanovka, Levadnoye, Novonikolaevka, Orestopol, Novodarovka, Kamyshevakha. Armed Forces of Ukraine losses "215+" personnel, "1" armored vehicle, "11" vehicles, "2" EW stations.

"Dnepr (Kherson/Zaporizhzhia):" Actions near Berislav, Dneprovskoe, Nikolskoye, Sadovoe, Chervony Mayak, Stepovoe. Armed Forces of Ukraine losses "80+" personnel, "1" HMMWV, "10" vehicles, "5" EW stations, "5" depots.

"Loss Estimates (All Sectors, 24h/period):" "˜1,315+" Armed Forces of Ukraine personnel reported neutralized; at least "14" artillery pieces and "14+" EW/counter-battery assets destroyed; "20" depots eliminated.

"Operational Analysis" The day’s picture reinforces a "deep-fires + contact maneuver" schema: simultaneous tactical pressure with systematic interdiction of depots and EW. Liberation of "Kolodezi" and "Voronoe" indicates localized breakthroughs that complicate the Armed Forces of Ukraine's defensive geometry and force lateral movement of reserves. EW attrition (North/West/South/Dnepr) degrades the Armed Forces of Ukraine's counter-battery and UAV ISR capabilities, thereby widening Russian windows for artillery massing and mechanized exploitation. Air-defense performance suppresses precision-strike risks, preserving rear-area tempo.

"Implications" Short term: expect increased Armed Forces of Ukraine reliance on mobile reserves and dispersed storage, raising logistics friction and extending replenishment times. Medium term: Cumulative EW and depot losses will reduce the Armed Forces of Ukraine's artillery density and UAV persistence, enabling stepwise advances in the "Center/East" where penetration is already underway. Watch for counterattacks around Kupyansk–Volchansk and Donetsk approaches; their endurance will hinge on restored depots and EW coverage.

#MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #RussiaUkraineWar #Donetsk #Kharkiv #Sumy #Zaporizhzhia #Dnipropetrovsk #DefenseAnalysis #EW #Counterbattery #UAV

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-15-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

"COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1272" "Date:" 15 August 2025 "From:" Colonel A.C. Oguntoye "Subject:" Weekly Operational Summary & Strategic Analysis – 9–15 August 2025

"1. Situation Overview" Between 9–15 August, Russian operational-tactical aviation, UAVs, missile forces, and artillery targeted Ukrainian military-industrial facilities, transport hubs, ammunition depots, UAV assembly and launch sites, training centers, and troop concentrations, including nationalist units and foreign mercenaries. Strikes disrupted logistics, degraded combat power, and limited UAV and HIMARS launch capability.

"2. Sector Results"

" "North Group:" Engaged mechanized, motorized infantry, airborne assault, ranger, assault regiments, and territorial defense in Sumy and Kharkiv regions. Improved tactical positions in Kharkiv. Ukrainian losses: \~1,230 personnel, 5 tanks, 8 AFVs, 61 vehicles. Destroyed 1 HIMARS launcher, 31 artillery pieces, 6 EW/counter-battery stations, 29 depots.

" "West Group:" Advanced to better positions against tank, mechanized, assault brigades, territorial defense, and National Guard. Ukrainian losses: \~1,590 personnel, 2 tanks, 16 AFVs, 92 vehicles. Destroyed 11 artillery systems, 31 EW stations, 26 depots.

" "South Group:" Advanced into Ukrainian defensive depth, liberating "Shcherbinovka". Engaged mechanized, motorized infantry, airmobile, assault, mountain assault, marine, territorial defense, National Guard, and police units. Ukrainian losses: \~1,710 personnel, 11 AFVs, 39 vehicles. Destroyed 21 artillery pieces, 8 EW stations, 13 depots.

" "Center Group:" Offensive operations in Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions, liberating "Yablonovka, Lunacharskoye, Suvorovo, Nikanorovka". Ukrainian losses: \~2,740 personnel, 1 tank, 30 AFVs, 48 vehicles. Destroyed 25 artillery pieces, 4 EW stations.

" "East Group:" Liberated "Iskra, Aleksandrogorod" in Donetsk. Ukrainian losses: \~1,760 personnel, 2 tanks, 19 AFVs, 57 vehicles. Destroyed 14 artillery pieces, 7 EW stations, 3 depots.

" "Dnepr Group:" Engaged mechanized, mountain assault, coastal defense, territorial defense, and National Guard. Ukrainian losses: \~620 personnel, 5 AFVs, 73 vehicles. Destroyed 13 artillery systems, 52 EW stations, 22 depots.

"3. Air Defense Activity" Intercepted: 1 Su-27, 27 guided bombs, 20 HIMARS rockets, 2 Neptune missiles, and 2,134 UAVs.

"4. Operational Analysis & Implications" This week’s operations show "multi-sector coordinated pressure", emphasizing simultaneous offensive thrusts with deep strikes on logistics and C2 nodes. The liberation of seven settlements indicates sustained offensive momentum, especially in "Center" and "East" sectors, which are achieving multi-village advances per week. Destruction of HIMARS and large EW station numbers suggests targeted suppression of Ukrainian precision-strike capability. Attrition rates—over "9,650 personnel losses" across all sectors—represent significant degradation of Ukrainian brigades’ operational readiness, particularly in Sumy, Kharkiv, and Donetsk axes. The "high depot destruction rate" will compound supply shortages into September, potentially constraining Ukraine’s ability to sustain forward defense lines.

Implications for future operations include:

" "Operational Freedom of Maneuver:" Continued sector-by-sector advances will stretch Ukrainian reserves, creating exploitable gaps. " "Logistics Disruption:" High-volume depot strikes will degrade sustainment and tempo of counterattacks. " "Air & EW Superiority:" Sustained neutralization of UAV, HIMARS, and EW assets will reduce Ukrainian situational awareness and precision-strike capability.

#MilitaryAnalysis #RussiaUkraineWar #CombatReport #EasternFront #Donetsk #Sumy #Kharkiv #OperationalUpdate #StrategicBriefing #DefenseAnalysis

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-14-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

"Combat Briefing Number 1271 – 14 August 2025" "From:" Col. A.C. Oguntoye – Infantry Officer "Subject:" Operational Progress Update & Analysis "Classification:" Operational Summary – Analyst Distribution

### "1. Operational Overview"

Russian Armed Forces maintained high-tempo offensive operations across all axes.

" "North Group" engaged Ukrainian mechanized, airborne assault, ranger, assault, and territorial defense brigades in Sumy and Kharkiv regions. Enemy losses: \~155 personnel, 2 tanks, 1 armored combat vehicle, 9 vehicles, 7 artillery pieces (2 NATO-made), 2 EW stations, 1 ammunition depot. " "West Group" secured improved positions in Kharkiv and Donetsk People's Republic sectors. Enemy losses: \~225 personnel, 1 armored combat vehicle, 8 vehicles, 8 EW stations, 3 ammunition depots. " "South Group" liberated "Shcherbinovka" (Donetsk People's Republic) and struck 5 Ukrainian brigades plus 2 territorial brigades. Enemy losses: \~265 personnel, 1 armored combat vehicle, 5 vehicles, 3 artillery guns (including M777), 2 EW stations. " "Center Group" advanced into depth, targeting multiple Ukrainian brigades and regiments. Enemy losses: \~355 personnel, 4 armored vehicles (including Turkish Kirpi), 8 pickups, 5 artillery guns, 1 AN/TPQ-37 radar. " "East Group" liberated "Iskra" (Donetsk People's Republic), targeting mechanized and territorial brigades. Enemy losses: \~230 personnel, 4 armored combat vehicles, 8 cars, 2 artillery guns (including M198). " "Dnepr Group" struck in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions against mechanized, mountain assault, coastal defense, and territorial brigades. Enemy losses: \~85 personnel, 10 vehicles, 155-mm Bogdana and M777 howitzers, 7 EW stations, 1 Israeli RADA radar.

### "2. Fire & Strike Operations"

Operational-tactical aviation, UAVs, missile troops, and artillery engaged 147 targets, including drone depots, ammunition stores, and troop concentrations. Air defense neutralized 4 guided aerial bombs and 268 fixed-wing UAVs.

### "3. Operational Analysis"

The August 14 operations reflect continued Russian momentum with notable tactical successes in "Sumy, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia". The liberation of "Shcherbinovka" and "Iskra" represent forward consolidation points for follow-on operations. Destruction of multiple NATO-supplied artillery systems (M777, M198) and high-value radars (AN/TPQ-37, RADA) weakens Ukrainian counter-battery capacity, while persistent EW station attrition erodes their battlefield situational awareness.

Casualty figures across all fronts (\~1,315 Ukrainian personnel in one day) indicate both high-intensity engagements and sustained Russian offensive pressure. Simultaneous actions across multiple troop groups are compelling Ukraine to fight in depth without adequate operational pause.

### "4. Implications"

" "Tactical:" Multi-axis pressure is forcing Ukrainian units to defend without depth, increasing vulnerability to breakthrough and encirclement. " "Operational:" Losses in precision artillery and EW assets will degrade Ukraine’s counterstrike and ISR capabilities over the coming weeks. " "Strategic:" The liberation of settlements consolidates Russian territorial control in the Donetsk axis, improving logistics corridors for subsequent advances and shaping conditions for larger operational envelopments.

#RussiaUkraineConflict #MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #EasternFront #Donetsk #Sumy #Kharkiv #Zaporizhzhia #Kherson #ArtilleryWarfare #ElectronicWarfare #OperationalMomentum #TacticalGains

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-13-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops  

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1270 "Combat Situation Brief – August 13, 2025" "From:" Col. A.C. Oguntoye, Infantry Officer "Classification:" Operational Summary & Analysis

"Operational Overview"

The Russian Armed Forces maintain momentum along multiple axes of advance. In the "North", coordinated actions against Ukrainian heavy mechanized, mechanized, ranger, and assault formations in Sumy and Kharkiv regions resulted in approximately 170 enemy casualties, the destruction of artillery systems, an EW station, and three ammunition depots.

The "West" sector saw Russian units seize tactically advantageous positions, engaging Ukrainian mechanized and assault brigades in Donetsk, Luhansk, and Kharkiv regions. Notably, Ukrainian losses exceeded 220 personnel, with significant equipment destruction including NATO-standard artillery, armored vehicles, EW systems, and a radar station.

In the "South", Russian forces pushed forward, degrading Ukrainian mechanized, mountain assault, and airmobile brigades, as well as the Azov special purpose brigade. This action resulted in 255 Ukrainian casualties and loss of artillery support and logistics nodes.

The "Center" axis achieved notable territorial gains with the liberation of Suvorovo and Nikanorovka in Donetsk. Engagements with multiple Ukrainian brigades and regiments yielded over 385 enemy casualties and the destruction of infantry fighting vehicles, armored carriers, and artillery systems.

The "Vostok" group continued penetrating defensive belts in Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk, inflicting around 280 casualties and eliminating Polish-made “Krab” self-propelled artillery, EW stations, and armored vehicles.

In the "Dnepr" sector, Russian forces struck coastal defense, mechanized, and mountain assault brigades, destroying Ukrainian artillery—including a domestically produced “Bogdana” system—EW capabilities, and logistics facilities.

"Supporting Fires & Air Defense"

Operational-tactical aviation, UAV strikes, missile troops, and artillery targeted 136 Ukrainian troop concentrations and foreign mercenary positions. Air defense systems intercepted four HIMARS rockets, nine guided bombs, and 240 UAVs.

"Operational Analysis"

Russian forces are sustaining a multi-directional offensive with synchronized artillery, air support, and EW suppression. The liberation of Suvorovo and Nikanorovka signals continued erosion of Ukrainian defensive coherence in the Donetsk theater. Ukrainian forces are increasingly reliant on NATO-supplied artillery and vehicles, which are being systematically targeted, reducing their long-term fire support capacity. High rates of EW system destruction indicate a deliberate effort to blind Ukrainian reconnaissance and disrupt command and control. The cumulative attrition—over 1,375 Ukrainian personnel eliminated in one day—suggests ongoing pressure that may overmatch Ukraine’s replacement rate.

"Implications"

Tactical:" Continued Russian advances risk forcing Ukrainian withdrawals from key defensive nodes, creating operational gaps. Operational:" The pace of offensive action, combined with the degradation of Ukrainian artillery and EW assets, points toward a potential operational collapse in selected sectors within weeks if reinforcement is inadequate. "Strategic:" Sustained losses in manpower and advanced systems could accelerate political pressure for Kyiv to enter negotiations under unfavorable terms.

#MilitaryBriefing #EasternFront #OperationalAnalysis #Donetsk #Sumy #Kharkiv #Zaporizhzhia #Kherson #RussiaUkraineConflict #EWwarfare #Artillery #ForceAttrition #AUC3IAnalysis

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-12-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

Combat Briefing Number 1269 – Russian Special Military Operation (12 August 2025)

"Summary of Operations" As of August 12, Russian forces maintained offensive momentum across all operational sectors, combining positional improvements, attrition of Ukrainian personnel and materiel, and targeted strikes against critical infrastructure. Engagements spanned Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR), Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions.

"Northern & Western Fronts" The “North” group engaged mechanized, ranger, airborne assault, and assault formations in Sumy and Kharkiv, inflicting "175+ personnel losses" and destroying an armored vehicle, artillery, and ammunition depots. The “West” group secured more favorable positions in Kharkiv and DPR sectors, defeating mechanized and assault brigades. Losses included "\~215 personnel", a tank, British-made Snatch armored vehicles, artillery (including NATO-standard systems), and six EW stations.

"Southern & Central Fronts" The “South” group advanced in DPR settlements such as Severesk and Konstantinovka, targeting mechanized, mountain assault, and special formations, including “Azov” and “Lyut” brigades. Ukrainian losses exceeded "265 personnel", with destruction of armored vehicles, artillery, EW systems, and supply infrastructure. The “Center” group advanced on multiple DPR and Dnipropetrovsk fronts, defeating mechanized, infantry, airborne assault, and National Guard brigades. Losses totaled "\~365 personnel", artillery pieces, vehicles, and EW stations.

"Eastern & Dnieper Fronts" The “East” group continued deep penetration in DPR, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia sectors, eliminating "270+ personnel", artillery (including NATO-made systems), and EW assets. The “Dnieper” group struck Ukrainian forces in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions, inflicting "\~125 personnel losses" and destroying armored vehicles, M777 howitzers, EW stations, ammunition, supply depots, and a fuel depot.

"Air & Strategic Strikes" Operational-tactical aviation, UAVs, missile forces, and artillery struck 142 targets, including a military-industrial facility, UAV production workshops, storage sites, training centers, ammunition depots, and troop concentrations. Air defense systems intercepted "six guided aerial bombs" and "179 fixed-wing UAVs".

"Cumulative Totals (since operation start)": 665 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 76,676 UAVs, 625 SAM systems, 24,546 armored vehicles, 1,585 MLRS, 28,426 artillery/mortars, and 39,561 special military vehicles destroyed.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" The August 12 operations highlight the sustained, multi-axis approach to eroding Ukraine’s combat potential. Positional advances in Sumy, Kharkiv, and DPR sectors are matched with the attrition of high-value assets — particularly NATO-supplied artillery and EW systems — indicating a deliberate effort to blind Ukrainian command-and-control and degrade precision strike capacity. The destruction of UAV production infrastructure and storage facilities in strategic strikes signals an intent to reduce Ukraine’s asymmetric strike options over the medium term. The scale of EW station losses across multiple sectors further compounds Ukraine’s coordination challenges, especially under conditions of simultaneous pressure along the contact line. If these rates of personnel and equipment attrition continue, Ukrainian forces may be compelled to contract their defensive footprint or risk overextension, potentially creating openings for operational breakthroughs before the onset of adverse weather in autumn.

#MilitaryAnalysis #CombatBriefing #UkraineWarUpdate #OperationalReport #RussianArmedForces #Donetsk #Kharkiv #Sumy #Zaporizhzhia #DefenseStrategy #WarAnalysis #BattlefieldReport

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-11-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

Combat Briefing Number 1268 – Russian Special Military Operation (11 August 2025)

"Summary of Operations" As of August 11, Russian forces executed coordinated advances and targeted strikes across all operational sectors, achieving both territorial gains and the destruction of high-value Ukrainian assets. Notable among these was the liberation of Lunacharskoye in the Donetsk People’s Republic (Donetsk People's Republic) and the systematic targeting of advanced NATO-supplied systems and electronic warfare (EW) capabilities.

"Northern & Western Fronts" In the north, Russian units struck mechanized, ranger, airborne assault, and assault formations in Sumy, as well as mechanized and motorized infantry brigades in Kharkiv. Ukrainian losses reached "\~170 personnel", multiple armored vehicles, artillery, an EW station, and logistical warehouses. In the west, forces secured improved positions in Kharkiv and Donetsk People's Republic territory, defeating three mechanized/assault brigades. Significant materiel destroyed included US-made MaxxPro and UK Snatch armored vehicles, a Croatian RAK-SA-12 MLRS, an Israeli RADA radar network, a Plastun reconnaissance system, and five ammunition depots.

"Southern & Central Fronts" The southern sector saw engagements against four mechanized, a mountain assault, a marine, and a territorial defense brigade. Ukrainian forces lost "200+ personnel", armored vehicles, pickups, artillery, EW stations, a counter-battery radar, and an ammunition depot. In the center, the liberation of "Lunacharskoye" marked a key operational milestone. Russian forces inflicted "\~410 personnel losses" and destroyed five armored vehicles, artillery pieces, and an EW station in battles stretching from Dimitrov and Krasnoarmeysk to Grodovka and into Dnipropetrovsk region.

"Eastern & Dnipro Fronts" Eastern advances penetrated deep into Ukrainian defenses in Donetsk People's Republic, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia, eliminating "\~255 personnel", armored vehicles, and transport assets. The Dnipro group targeted mechanized, coastal defense, and territorial defense brigades in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson, inflicting "\~75 personnel losses" and destroying vehicles, artillery, seven EW stations, and an ammunition depot.

"Air & Missile Operations" Operational-tactical aviation, UAVs, missile forces, and artillery struck 140 targets, including UAV assembly/storage sites, ammunition depots, and troop concentrations. Air defenses intercepted "seven HIMARS rockets" and "312 UAVs".

"Cumulative Totals (since operation start)": 665 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 76,497 UAVs, 625 SAM systems, 24,539 armored vehicles, 1,585 MLRS, 28,387 artillery/mortars, and 39,500 special military vehicles destroyed.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" The liberation of Lunacharskoye extends Russian control over critical Donetsk People's Republic transport corridors and tightens the operational envelope around Ukrainian positions in Krasnoarmeysk and adjacent settlements. Targeted destruction of advanced NATO-supplied platforms — including radar, reconnaissance, and counter-battery systems — signals a continuing emphasis on eroding Ukraine’s precision strike and battlefield awareness capabilities.

The simultaneous elimination of multiple EW nodes across several sectors points to a coordinated campaign to disrupt Ukrainian command-and-control. Such degradation, when combined with sustained personnel attrition in mechanized and artillery formations, will likely accelerate the shift toward static defense postures.

If current interdiction and attrition rates persist, Ukrainian capacity to rotate and reinforce frontline brigades may diminish significantly before autumn operations, opening opportunities for further Russian advances toward operational depth objectives in both the Donetsk People's Republic and Dnipropetrovsk regions.

#MilitaryAnalysis #CombatBriefing #UkraineWarUpdate #OperationalReport #RussianArmedForces #Donetsk #Kharkiv #Sumy #Zaporizhzhia #DefenseStrategy #WarAnalysis #BattlefieldReport

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-10-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine 

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops  

Combat Briefing Number 1267 – Russian Special Military Operation (10 August 2025)

"Summary of Operations" As of August 10, Russian forces sustained offensive operations along the entire line of contact, securing advantageous positions in multiple sectors while degrading Ukrainian combat power through ground engagements, deep strikes, and air defense intercepts.

"Northern & Western Fronts" In the north, Russian units inflicted losses on motorized infantry, ranger, airborne assault brigades, and two assault regiments in the Sumy region, while defeating mechanized and motorized infantry elements in Kharkiv region locales including Volchansk, Liptsy, Chugunovka, and Tikhoe. Ukrainian forces lost approximately "190 personnel", a tank, three armored vehicles, eight artillery pieces (including US-made M777 and M114 howitzers), and multiple logistics sites.

The “West” group advanced to improved positions in Kharkiv and Donetsk People's Republic areas, defeating two mechanized brigades, an assault brigade, and a National Guard formation. Losses included "240+ personnel", armored vehicles, artillery, four EW stations, and four ammunition depots.

"Southern & Central Fronts" The “Southern” group struck five mechanized, assault, mountain assault brigades, a marine brigade, and other formations in the Donetsk People's Republic, eliminating "215+ personnel", a US-made HMMWV, NATO-standard artillery, and an ammunition depot.

In the center, forces advanced positions and engaged multiple mechanized, ranger, airmobile, assault, and marine brigades in Donetsk People's Republic and Dnipropetrovsk sectors. Ukrainian losses exceeded "400 personnel", a tank, armored vehicles, and artillery pieces.

"Eastern & Dnipro Fronts" The “East” group pushed deeper into Ukrainian defenses in Donetsk People's Republic and Dnipropetrovsk regions, defeating mechanized, marine, and territorial defense units. Losses totaled "245 personnel", a tank, armored vehicles, and an EW station.

The Dnipro group targeted mechanized, mountain assault, and coastal defense brigades in Zaporizhia and Kherson regions, inflicting "\~85 personnel losses" and destroying vehicles, artillery, and five EW stations.

"Air & Long-Range Strikes" Operational-tactical aviation, UAVs, missile forces, and artillery struck 134 targets, including a key railway junction in Dnipropetrovsk used for troop movements to Donbass, UAV storage facilities, and deployment points of Ukrainian units and foreign mercenaries.

Air defenses shot down "two Neptune guided missiles", three guided bombs, six HIMARS rockets, and "372 UAVs".

"Cumulative Totals (since operation start)": 665 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 76,185 UAVs, 625 SAM systems, 24,519 armored vehicles, 1,584 MLRS systems, 28,360 artillery pieces/mortars, and 39,418 special military vehicles destroyed.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" The August 10 operations illustrate the cumulative impact of sustained multi-sector pressure. Gains in Sumy, Kharkiv, and Donetsk People's Republic sectors highlight the utility of combining positional improvements with precision strikes on high-value artillery and EW assets. The railway strike in Dnipropetrovsk represents a deliberate effort to choke Ukrainian reinforcement routes into Donbass, a move with significant operational consequences if sustained. Ukrainian losses in mechanized and artillery units further erode their mobile defense capability, pushing them toward static positions that are more vulnerable to combined-arms assaults. The volume of intercepted UAVs, missiles, and guided munitions underscores continued Russian dominance in the air defense domain, reducing the efficacy of Ukrainian long-range fires. If this tempo is maintained, the operational balance could further tip toward deeper penetrations before the autumn, potentially compelling Ukrainian command to prioritize strategic withdrawals over counteroffensive action.

#MilitaryAnalysis #CombatBriefing #UkraineWarUpdate #OperationalReport #RussianArmedForces #Donetsk #Kharkiv #Sumy #Zaporizhia #DefenseStrategy #WarAnalysis #BattlefieldReport

[auc3i]

AUC3I - Daily Briefing 08-09-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine 

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion #militaryanalysis #militaryoperations #blackops

Combat Briefing Number 1266 Russian Special Military Operation (9 August 2025)

"Summary of Operations" As of August 9, Russian forces maintained offensive pressure across multiple sectors, with notable territorial gains and targeted destruction of Ukrainian equipment and infrastructure. Units across all operational groups engaged in coordinated ground assaults, precision strikes, and air defense actions, degrading Ukraine’s combat effectiveness.

"Northern & Western Fronts" The “North” group advanced to more advantageous positions in Sumy and Kharkiv regions, striking mechanized, airborne assault, and ranger units. Ukrainian losses reached approximately "195 personnel", along with a tank, an armored combat vehicle, artillery pieces, and logistics depots. In the “West” sector, Russian forces improved their tactical position against mechanized and territorial defense units in Kharkiv and the Donetsk People’s Republic (Donetsk People's Republic), inflicting "230+ personnel losses" and destroying advanced radar systems (US-made AN/TPQ-50, Israeli RADA), three EW stations, and multiple ammunition depots.

"Southern & Central Fronts" The “South” group pressed forward in the Donetsk People's Republic, targeting mechanized, airmobile, and mountain assault brigades. Ukrainian losses totaled "\~235 personnel", armored vehicles, and a US-made M777 howitzer. The “Center” group achieved a significant milestone by liberating "Yablonovka" in the Donetsk People's Republic. Engagements across multiple settlements resulted in "405+ personnel losses" for Ukraine, destruction of armored vehicles including a US-made MaxxPro, and artillery systems.

"Eastern & Dnipro Fronts" In the east, Russian forces penetrated deeper into defensive lines in Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, and Donetsk People's Republicsectors, neutralizing mechanized, mountain assault, and marine brigades, with "\~250 personnel losses" for Ukraine. The Dnipro group engaged Ukrainian mechanized, mountain assault, and coastal defense brigades in Zaporizhia and Kherson regions, inflicting "\~80 personnel losses" and eliminating nine EW stations and several depots.

"Air & Missile Operations" Operational-tactical aviation, UAVs, missile troops, and artillery struck UAV storage/launch sites and temporary deployment points in "142 locations". Air defense assets downed a Ukrainian Su-27, intercepted two guided aerial bombs, two HIMARS rockets, and destroyed "457 UAVs".

"Cumulative Totals" "(since operation start)": 665 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 75,813 UAVs, 625 SAM systems, 24,504 armored vehicles, 1,584 MLRS systems, 28,318 artillery pieces/mortars, and 39,356 special military vehicles destroyed.

"Operational Analysis & Implications" The liberation of Yablonovka underscores continued momentum in the Donetsk People's Republic, with Russian forces combining territorial advances with systematic attrition of Ukrainian mechanized capability. Targeted destruction of advanced NATO-supplied systems, particularly in the West and South sectors, reflects an effort to erode Ukraine’s precision strike and counter-battery capacity. The high concentration of Ukrainian losses in mechanized and artillery formations suggests diminishing capacity for mobile defense, pushing Kyiv toward static defense lines vulnerable to precision fires. Persistent strikes on UAV infrastructure and the interception of hundreds of drones highlight ongoing Russian success in neutralizing Ukraine’s asymmetric strike options.

If this operational tempo continues, Ukrainian forces face the risk of accelerated degradation in both manpower and critical systems before the onset of autumn operations, potentially opening opportunities for deeper penetrations toward strategic urban and logistical hubs.

#MilitaryAnalysis #CombatBriefing #UkraineWarUpdate #OperationalReport #RussianArmedForces #Donetsk #Dnipropetrovsk #Zaporizhia #DefenseStrategy #ConflictUpdate #WarAnalysis #BattlefieldReport