jack-o-daniels

[jack-o-daniels]

[jack-o-daniels]

what's sad is that Trump winning does not immediately mean he won the majority. Electrical College did that for him last election.

Trump seems like clear evidence candidates matter. He's the only thing going for the Republicans, he's taken the whole party down the road to fascism on the strength of his narcissism, he has an honest-to-god personality cult! And he's going to win the election because he seems "strong," and that's all American voters care about.

he mattered more in 2016, when that shift was primarily happening--but the tea party prefigured him, and iirc he wasn't even a candidate yet when the Onion ran that story about how the next Republican nominee was going to be just a white-hot sphere of rage. which is just to say that trump might have championed that shift, but he didn't cause it.

but, to be clear, this is just a hypothesis i think is worth batting about. i do think candidates matter, though sometimes it's hard to make direct data-driven apples-to-apples comparisons. like, for all the talk of harris's advantages over biden (and i think she definitely has real advantages!) she still just polls about within the MoE ahead of him.

but you're operating under some larger assumptions here that i think are worth rebutting for the sake of clarity of thought. for one, "american voters" do not prefer trump. they have in fact preferred Not Trump by distinct majorities in the last two elections! clearly lots of voters do *not* respond to his alleged "strength." two, according to the polls--and every other available line of evidence--this election will be very close. the idea that a trump win is a certainty at this point is simply absurd.

(and if trump does win, that will not make people expressing absolute certainty now that he would win correct. if i say "the next flip of this coin is absolutely 100% guaranteed to be heads," and it does turn up heads, i was still wrong about the probability, even if i was by chance correct about the outcome.)

[jack-o-daniels]

『・・・あつい』 by グムラット /Goomrrat [Twitter/X] ※Illustration shared with permission from the artist. If you like this artwork please support the artist by visiting the source.

[jack-o-daniels]

ellen joe by miiza

[jack-o-daniels]

[jack-o-daniels]

Ningen by William 巴特尔 Bao

Early accounts sourced from a Japanese internet forum circa 2007- The Ningen. A gigantic man shaped whale like creature that stalks the frigid waters of the South Pole. First to be sighted in the early 2000s by Japanese whaling ships illegally hunting in the Antarctic water. For a creature so large it seems to be extremely skilled at evading human eyes. Some blurry evidence from underwater cameras hinted at its existence from time to time but researchers still lack any concrete evidence. The creature’s white beluga like skin tone suggests it evades detection by camouflaging with giant underwater icebergs, perhaps even pretends to be chunks of floating icebergs, making the search for the Ningen’s illusive figure even more difficult in an already harsh environment.

[jack-o-daniels]

牧茶さんはTwitterを使っています:

[jack-o-daniels]

[jack-o-daniels]

[jack-o-daniels]

helen “trans people are perpetuating gender steriotypes” joyce is now upset that the scientific american is writing about how women were hunters too back in the day, not just mothers and caretakers. feminist win!

[jack-o-daniels]

[jack-o-daniels]

Link ~~~

[jack-o-daniels]

(XユーザーのCloBAさん: 「モモイ❤️ https://t.co/k0MxfgLOOq」 / Xから)

[jack-o-daniels]

[jack-o-daniels]

I think I am only happy in my dreams.

Or at least, I do not feel dread within them, even in my nightmares.

Life is not hard. It is not an impossible mountain to climb.

That just makes it worst. I feel it slipping through my fingers, one day at a time.

I feel so alone, so done, so frustrated, so... desperate.

I want to die. I wish I could let myself die. I won't die. I can't die. I just can't....

[jack-o-daniels]

Link ~~~

[jack-o-daniels]

Link ~~~