#Prashant Kishor BJP seat

[atomxmedia]

Prashant Kishor and Yogendra Yadav’s Contrasting Predictions for Lok Sabha Elections 2024

Renowned political analysts Prashant Kishor and Yogendra Yadav have recently offered their predictions for the outcome of the ongoing Lok Sabha elections in 2024. While both analysts have provided their insights, their forecasts diverge on crucial points, adding intrigue to the electoral landscape. Here’s an in-depth look at their predictions and the implications for the political scenario:

1. Prashant Kishor’s Projections:

Kishor foresees a scenario where the BJP replicates its performance from the 2019 Lok Sabha elections but falls short of crossing the 370-seat mark.

He suggests that while the BJP may not exceed 400 seats, it is unlikely to drop below the 270-seat threshold necessary to form a government independently.

Kishor’s analysis underscores the significance of alliances and coalition politics in securing a majority in the Lok Sabha.

2. Yogendra Yadav’s Forecasts:

In contrast, Yadav presents a more conservative outlook for the BJP, predicting that the party will struggle to surpass the 300-seat mark.

He emphasizes the challenges faced by the BJP in achieving its ambitious ‘400 paar’ claim, suggesting that the party’s seat tally may fall short of expectations.

Yadav’s projections highlight the potential for shifts in the political landscape, particularly in key states, which could influence the final outcome of the elections.

3. Alignment with Alliance Dynamics:

Both analysts acknowledge the importance of alliances in shaping the electoral arithmetic.

Kishor’s assessment recognizes the role of NDA allies in bolstering the BJP’s prospects, albeit within a defined seat range.

Yadav’s analysis raises the possibility of the INDIA bloc, led by the opposition, emerging as a formidable challenger to the NDA, contingent on developments in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.

4. Regional Insights and Seat Projections:

Yadav provides a detailed breakdown of seat projections across various regions, offering insights into potential gains and losses for the BJP.

His projections suggest nuanced dynamics in states like Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Odisha, with implications for the BJP’s overall performance.

Additionally, Yadav anticipates significant shifts in heartland states like Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and others, which could shape the final outcome of the elections.

5. Impact of Regional Factors:

Yadav’s analysis underscores the influence of local dynamics, including state-specific issues and political narratives, on electoral outcomes.

He highlights the potential for surprises in states like Karnataka, West Bengal, Northeastern states, Punjab, Chandigarh, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir, which may defy conventional expectations.

6. Implications for the NDA and Opposition:

Kishor and Yadav’s divergent forecasts offer contrasting narratives for the BJP-led NDA and the opposition alliances.

While Kishor’s projections suggest continuity in the BJP’s dominance, albeit within defined parameters, Yadav’s analysis hints at potential vulnerabilities and opportunities for the opposition to capitalize on.

In conclusion, Prashant Kishor and Yogendra Yadav’s predictions provide valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of Indian politics, highlighting the complexities and uncertainties inherent in electoral forecasting. As the elections unfold, the accuracy of these projections will be closely scrutinized, shaping the narrative of India’s democratic journey.

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[brazilnews]

"Look At The Irony": Prashant Kishor Party's Fact-Check As BJP Rumours Swirl

Social media is abuzz with a screenshot claiming that Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has appointed poll strategist and politician Prashant Kishor as their national spokesperson. Prashant Kishor's party, Jan Suraaj, has issued a statement saying that the so-called BJP letter is fake.

Prashant Kishor's party also hit out at the Congress, accusing its leader Jairam Ramesh of sharing the fake image. On its official X handle, Jan Suraaj shared a screenshot that they claimed proved that the document was shared by the senior Congress leader on WhatsApp.

"Look at the irony! Congress, Rahul Gandhi You all talk about fake news and claim to be the victims. Now see yourself how the head of Communications of Congress Party, Jairam Ramesh, apparently a senior leader, is personally circulating a fake document," the party said in the post.

The image shows a BJP letterhead claiming that party president JP Nadda has appointed Prashant Kishor as the party's national spokesperson. It was shared by several users on X and Facebook.

The image went viral after Mr Kishor predicted a victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP in an exclusive interview with NDTV on Tuesday.

Mr Kishor, who had worked with PM Modi and the BJP during the 2014 polls, said that the BJP's tally in this election may hover around its 2019 score of 303 or better than it. He also credited the ruling party with shifting the election discourse from merely crossing the half-way mark to winning 370 seats in the Lok Sabha.

"In the last three-four months, the discussion has centred around '370' and '400 paar'. Consider it a BJP strategy or Opposition's weakness, but the BJP has entirely shifted the goalpost from 272 to 370. This has benefitted the BJP. Now, no one is saying Modi ji will lose, they are saying they may not get 370 seats," said the poll strategist.

[werindialive]

Opposition "does not have a reliable face... or a strong narrative against the BJP", Prashant Kishor

Prashant Kishor, a leading Poll strategist on Tuesday, revealed the many chances that the Congress-led INDIA bloc had missed to defeat the Modi government. Mentioning Ram Mandir, Kishor said, "The opposition virtually lay down arms (after the event). By the time they woke up again, in February, it was too late."

"By the time the INDIA bloc came into action, it was too late... the BJP had already recovered space it lost," said Kishor who has been the ley person in orchestrating the winning campaigns for three members of the opposition group - the Trinamool, the Congress, and the DMK.

He also talked about the biggest loophole of the INDIA bloc which is not announcing the common Prime Ministerial candidate. He said that the INDIA bloc "does not have a reliable face... or a strong narrative against the BJP".

Moving ahead, during the interview with a leading media house, Kishor criticized the INDIA bloc for failing miserably and not acting even after getting the due hype after its formation in June 2023.

In April also, Kishor made a warning to the opposition in which he said, “BJP will add significantly to its seats and vote share in the southern and eastern India, two regions where its hold is weak-to-non-existent, barring Karnataka. He also said the BJP and Mr Modi were not invincible, but the opposition lost three distinct and realistic chances to defeat the party.”

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"If BJP Wins, But Less Than 370, Market May…"

Poll strategist Prashant Kishor today credited the BJP for shifting the election discourse to winning 370 seats from just crossing the halfway mark in the Lok Sabha. However, a failure to achieve that mark may disappoint the share market, noted Mr Kishor in an exclusive interview with NDTV's Editor-in-Chief Sanjay Pugalia.

"When the expectation from a company is very high and they do not meet that despite performing well, the stock market punishes them. From this point of view, if the BJP scores less than 370 seats, this may become a talking point. The markets too may reflect this," said the poll strategist.

Mr Kishor, who had worked with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP during 2014 polls, has predicted a victory for the ruling party in the ongoing elections.

He also called the BJP's 370-seat target a "smart" move, which has benefitted them in changing the election discourse.

"In the last three-four months, the discussion has centred around '370' and '400 paar'. Consider it a BJP strategy or Opposition's weakness, but the BJP has entirely shifted the goalpost from 272 to 370. This has benefitted the BJP. Now, no one is saying Modi ji will lose, they are saying they may not get 370 seats," said the poll strategist.

However, Mr Kishor noted, even if the BJP gets 320 seats (or any figure lesser than the 370 mark they expect to cross), the saffron party will form the government.

In the 543-seat Lok Sabha, 272 is the halfway mark that a party or a coalition needs to cross to form government at the centre.

[everythingshouldbereality]

Who is Aijaz Hussain? Meet the young BJP leader from Kashmir who silenced Prashant Kishor

Who is Aijaz Hussain? Meet the young BJP leader from Kashmir who silenced Prashant Kishor

Image Source : BJP TWITTER Who is Aijaz Hussain? Meet the young BJP leader from Kashmir who silenced Prashant Kishor The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has secured its first victory in the District Development Council (DDC) elections in Jammu and Kashmir. Party’s young leader Aijaz Hussain has emerged victorious from the Khonmoh-II constituency in Balhama area of Srinagar.  “We fought against PAGD…

[newsaajtak2021]

PoliticsStatistical Afternotes: TMC May Have Won Bengal, but BJP Did Not Do BadlyAlthough TMC has been able to script a resounding victory in Bengal, looking at the finer statistical details shows how BJP's vote share has jumped from an indifferent 10% to 38% in the space of a single election.2 hours ago | Prashant Iyengar The West Bengal assembly election has been cynosure of all eyes with BJP raising the stakes. Illustration: The Wire/PTI.

As the din and drama of election season begin to wind down, there are a few points to ponder that statistics from the West Bengal elections bring into view. Statistics, of course, vastly deplete the sensory richness of an event like an election.

Catcalls like ‘Didi O Didi’ and bellows of ‘Jai Shri Ram’, backstabbings and paybacks, the true stuff of elections are statistically ‘mute’ phenomena. Fortunately, we have, by now, several extremely penetrating accounts that have interpreted the West Bengal electoral outcome for us in terms of its discourse and dramaturgy. To this corpus of opinion pieces, which tells us the real story, let me add a few statistically-founded afternotes.

The BJP did not do ‘badly’…

We begin with the obvious. How we assess the BJP’s performance in these elections depends, of course, largely on where we set our expectations. Compared to the men, the muscle, the money and, allegedly, even the Election Commission that the BJP poured into their Bengal campaign, and especially measured against their campaign boasts, 77 seats must seem like a poor return indeed.

Union Home Minister and BJP leader Amit Shah during an election campaign rally in support of party candidates for the West Bengal Assembly Polls at Buniadpur in South Dinajpur district, Thursday, April 22, 2021.

However, this is still a party that grew from three seats and an indifferent 10% vote share to a staggering 77 seats and 38% vote share in the space of a single election. These advances have been fairly well-reckoned with in the commentary that has followed the election.

Also read: West Bengal: Of 19 Turncoat MLAs Contesting From BJP, 13 Lost

But let me add another telling statistic to this picture – among the 291 constituencies that the BJP contested, it won 77, and came second in 200, and finished third in 14 constituencies. That is, it was never ranked lower than third in a single constituency that it contested. This ought to convey a sense, not fully captured in this round’s tally of seats, of the inflationary presence that the party has acquired across the state within a short span of time.

But it could easily have done a lot worse

Notwithstanding the party’s impressive turnout, the BJP will feel fortunate to have ended with the tally that it did. While Mamata Banerjee’s narrow loss at Nandigram has captivated media attention, there were at least 20 constituencies where the BJP won against TMC candidates with extremely slender margins between 500-5000 votes, and where a single third party like the Left Front, Congress or Independent also polled a substantial number of votes.

Illustratively in Balarampur, the incumbent TMC candidate lost to the BJP by a margin of 423 votes. The Congress candidate in this constituency polled over 8,000 votes – votes that, the TMC might legitimately feel, cost them the seat. Ironically, this means that the BJP owes 20 of its seats to the presence of its most bitter opponents, the Left and the Congress.

To be sure, the TMC also had its share of close shaves – 12 seats where their margin of victory was less than 5,000 votes, and where a third-placed party/candidate polled enough votes to play spoiler.

For instance, in Tamluk where the TMC candidate beat the BJP candidate by a margin of 793 votes, and the CPI(M) candidate polled over 14,000 votes. Could the BJP have won here, had the CPI(M) not contested?

It depends on whether you think it likely that more than half of these 14,000 CPI(M) voters might have voted BJP. This seems improbable. Speculations of this kind are only worth so much, but with the polarising campaigns that the BJP runs, votes cast for any other party in the fray are quite likely to be affirmative votes against the BJP. Consequently, in these seats that the BJP lost narrowly, one gets the impression that the absence of a third party would only have extended the magnitude of their loss.

Also read: ‘Didi, Oh Didi’: How BJP Crafted Its Own Humiliation in Bengal

Does this mean that the CPI(M) and the Congress ought to have either vacated the field or swallowed their pride and stitched together an alliance with the TMC, their most bitter rival in the state? There is a vital difference between merely mathematical possibilities, such as the kinds I have outlined above, and the intricate real world of political negotiation that must be borne in mind before making any such assessments.

For a string of state elections now, though, Congress’s electoral strategy appears to have been organised around the question of how to ally themselves so that they cause the least possible damage to regionally competitive parties. This is prudent, and answers the call of the times, but cannot but enfeeble the party in the long run and nationwide. Curiously, one senses the exasperation of their position most acutely in Prashant Kishor’s barbs directed at Rahul Gandhi.

A polity that de-fragments itself

One striking feature of this election was the consistency with which this remained a two-way fight between the BJP and the TMC despite the presence of other influential parties (Congress/Left), independents and NOTA (the most underrated political force in this country).

As is well known, an important weapon in the NDA/BJP election arsenal has been the splintering of the opposition vote. The innovations of ‘Mahagathbandhans’ in Uttar Pradesh and Bihar are attempts to counter this, although they have only succeeded to a degree.

In last year’s Bihar elections, for example, Independents, ‘Other Parties’ and NOTA absorbed a staggering 20% of all votes cast. The Mahagathbandhan there lost over 25 seats in close contests (

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[iamazadkhan]

📽PK Biography: Who is Jan Suraj's 🙏 Prashant Kishore- Early Life, 🕺 Politics, Career All Details Here

Image Source: https://starsunfolded.com/

A Little about Prashant Kishore

Knowing who is Prashant Kumar is the time demand. Let's make a knowledge on the life of this extraordinary activist in the discourse here. Political strategist and corporate tactician Prashant Kishor. Political strategist Kishor has worked for the BJP, INC, AAP, YSRCP, DMK, and TMC. In India, Prashant Kishor is a well-known election strategist. When his political effort to support then-CM of Gujarat Narendra Modi won the 2012 Assembly Elections, he rose to prominence. Kishor was trained in public health and spent eight years working for the UN before entering Indian politics. He split ways with Modi during the 2014 elections and collaborated with Nitish Kumar in 2015 to help him win a third term as chief minister of Bihar in the 2015 Assembly Elections. He was employed by the Congress party to run in the 2017 Punjab Assembly elections. Kishor was chosen to serve as a DMK strategist for the elections in Tamil Nadu and as an advisor to the All India Trinamool Congress for the 2021 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. Read: What is Agnipath Scheme 2022, Agniveer Apply Online- Eligibility, Full Details?

Contribution in Modi campaigns

The 44-year-old strategist came to the public's attention when he founded Citizens for Accountable Governance (CAG), an election campaign organisation that assisted the Bharatiya Janata Party in winning the 2014 Lok Sabha election by a landslide. For PM Modi, he created cutting-edge advertising campaigns including Chai pe Charcha, 3D rallies, Run for Unity, Manthan, and other social media initiatives. Read Also: Angel Sighting that will make you wonder about heaven- true or not?

Major activities in post 2014 Lokshava election

He changed CAG to Indian Political Action Committee after 2014 (I-PAC). Along with Bihar, Kishor and his I-PAC team collaborated with Jagan Mohan Reddy of the YSRCP in Andhra Pradesh and Captain Amarinder Singh in Punjab. His method has so far only failed once, during the 2017 election in Uttar Pradesh, when he collaborated with the Indian National Congress. He also served as the Aam Aadmi Party's strategist during the 2020 election for the Delhi Legislative Assembly, which the party was able to win with a majority of 62 seats out of 70. He is currently collaborating with Mamata Banerjee of the AITC in West Bengal and MK Stalin of the DMK in Tamil Nadu.

Party Joining Shortly

Kishor joined the Janata Dal (United) in 2018, but was kicked out in 2020 for opposing Nitish Kumar's stance in favour of the Citizenship Amendment Act. Kishor was chosen to serve as an All India Trinamool Congress advisor for the 2021 election for the West Bengal Legislative Assembly. His clever plan enabled TMC to re-establish the government. For the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election that year, the DMK leader M K Stalin hired Kishor as a party strategist. The party gained 159 seats, and Stalin was elected chief minister for the first time. Kishor was awarded the position of a Cabinet Minister in March 2021 and designated as Amarinder Singh's primary advisor for a cost of Re 1. Elections for the Punjab Assembly are scheduled.

Declaration of Prashant Kishore on political retirement

Prashant Kishor declared his resignation as an electoral strategist following the victory of the TMC and DMK in the 2021 assembly elections. Kishor stated during an interview with a few new stations that "I don't want to carry on in this manner. I've accomplished enough. It's time for me to stop and move on with my life. I want to leave this room." https://youtu.be/wbuua2MJzuQ

Points to Ponder about Prashant Kishore

Date of Birth: 1978 Birthplace: Koran village, Rohtas district, Bihar. Hometown: Buxar, Bihar. Education from: Patna Science College, Bihar Caste: Brahmin Spouse: Janhavi Das (doctor) Children: Son- Diabik Father: Shrikant Pande (Doctor) Read the full article

[doonitedin]

Prashant Kishor's warning about BJP and Rahul Gandhi's problem is correct, says ex-Congress leader

Prashant Kishor’s warning about BJP and Rahul Gandhi’s problem is correct, says ex-Congress leader

Image Source : PTI/FILE Prashant Kishore’s warning about BJP and Rahul Gandhi’s problem is correct, says ex-Congress leader Poll strategist Prashant Kishor’s remark that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is not going ‘anywhere for decades’ and that the saffron party will win the 2024 Lok Sabha elections comfortably despite it getting lesser seats than the previous general election has been backed…

[hummingzone]

BJP claims Prashant Kishor included as Bhabanipur voter, wonders if he is an outsider | India News - Times of India

BJP claims Prashant Kishor included as Bhabanipur voter, wonders if he is an outsider | India News – Times of India

KOLKATA: In a jibe at the ruling TMC, the BJP on Saturday said Prashant Kishor, who was the poll adviser of the Mamata Banerjee-led party in the recent West Bengal elections, can be called a “bohiragato” (outsider) being enrolled as a voter in the Bhabanipur constituency where by-election will be held on September 30. Banerjee is contesting the by-poll from the Bhabanipur seat to retain her chief…

[kehnure]

BJP Claims Prashant Kishor Included As Bhabanipur Voter, Wonders If He Is An Outsider

BJP Claims Prashant Kishor Included As Bhabanipur Voter, Wonders If He Is An Outsider

Kolkata, Sep 25: In a jibe on the ruling TMC, the BJP on Saturday stated Prashant Kishor, who was the ballot adviser of the Mamata Banerjee-led celebration within the latest West Bengal elections, may be referred to as a “bohiragato” being enrolled as a voter in the Bhabanipur constituency where by-election will be held on September 30. Banerjee is contesting the by-poll from the Bhabanipur seat…

[intelligentindia-blog]

Mamta on Mission Delhi

Mamta Banarjee is in Delhi and demanded vaccines and enquiry on #pegasus from PM Modi. She also met congress leader @thekamalnath and Anand sharma . Today she has a meeting with Sharad Pawar and Sonia Gandhi

There will be upcoming elections where BJP is contesting elections on 375 seats , in 200 seats BJP and Congress are against each other. Regional parties to get support by third front on remaining seats. Sharad Pawar is in the role of Bhishma Pitamah and Sonia Gandhi want to revive the glory of 10 janpad. The third front is going with an intention to stop PM Modi reaching the stature of Mahatma Gandhi. Few days back Prashant Kishore met Sonia and Rahul on these lines. The new Slogan in making is 'No Vote to BJP ' and beat BJP in 2022 elections in 7 states.

#politicsnews #politics #indianews #news #latestnews #bangalore #bengal #delhi #rahulgandhi #mamtabanerjee #modi #bjp #tmc #pegasusproject #elections #elections2022 #instanews #instagood #wednesdayvibes

[3media]

Bengal Polls 2021: Prashant Kishor Speaks About BJP's Propaganda & One Nation One Party | Exclusive

Bengal Polls 2021: Prashant Kishor Speaks About BJP’s Propaganda & One Nation One Party | Exclusive

#Bengal #Polls #Prashant #Kishor #Speaks #BJPs #Propaganda #Nation #Party #Exclusive TMC Polls strategist, Prashant Kishor in an exclusive interview with India Today’s Rajdeep Sardesai, speaks about his explosive chatroom conversation audio leaked by BJP. Prashant Kishor spoke about One Nation One Party. He said, “Whatever the seats the BJP will get in Bengal, a significant proportion of it could…

[newsmatters]

Amit Malviya Quotes Prashant Kishor from Viral Audio Clip

Amit Malviya Quotes Prashant Kishor from Viral Audio Clip

On a day when polling is underway in 44 seats in West Bengal, BJP information and technology cell head Amit Malviya tweeted four separate audio clips of a clubhouse conversation, where he claimed that Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s election strategist Prashant Kishor has “admitted” the Trinamool Congress’ defeat in the assembly elections. Besides, Kishor, in the clip, can be heard saying that…

[akeshri12]

Will BJP leaders quit if party fails to get 200 seats in WB, asks Prashant Kishor - kolkata

[kehnure]

BJP Claims Prashant Kishor Included As Bhabanipur Voter, Wonders If He Is An Outsider

BJP Claims Prashant Kishor Included As Bhabanipur Voter, Wonders If He Is An Outsider

Kolkata, Sep 25: In a jibe at the ruling TMC, the BJP on Saturday said Prashant Kishor, who was the poll adviser of the Mamata Banerjee-led party in the recent West Bengal elections, can be called a “bohiragato” being enrolled as a voter in the Bhabanipur constituency where by-election will be held on September 30. Banerjee is contesting the by-poll from the Bhabanipur seat to retain her chief…

[dailyanjal]

மேற்கு வங்கத்தில் 200 இடங்களுக்கு மேல் பாஜக வெல்லாவிட்டால் தலைவர்கள் கட்சியிலிருந்து விலகத் தயாரா?- பிரசாந்த் கிஷோரின் அடுத்த சவால் | Will BJP leaders quit if party fails to get 200 seats in Bengal, asks Prashant Kishor

மேற்கு வங்கத்தில் 200 இடங்களுக்கு மேல் பாஜக வெல்லாவிட்டால் தலைவர்கள் கட்சியிலிருந்து விலகத் தயாரா?- பிரசாந்த் கிஷோரின் அடுத்த சவால் | Will BJP leaders quit if party fails to get 200 seats in Bengal, asks Prashant Kishor

மேற்கு வங்க சட்டப்பேரவைத் தேர்தலில் பாஜக 200 இடங்களுக்கும் அதிகமாக வெல்லாவிட்டால், அந்தக் கட்சியைச் சேர்ந்த தலைவர்கள் கட்சியிலிருந்து விலகுவார்களா என்று தேர்தல் வியூக நிபுணர் பிரசாந்த் கிஷோர் 2-வது முறையாக சவால் விடுத்துள்ளார். மேற்கு வங்கத்தில் அடுத்த ஆண்டு ஏப்ரல்-மே மாதங்களில் சட்டப்பேரவைத் தேர்தல் நடைபெற உள்ளது. இந்தத் தேர்தலில் ஆளும் திரிணமூல் காங்கிரஸ், பாஜக இடையே கடும் போட்டி இப்போதிருந்தே…