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#West Bengal Assembly Election 2019 Prediction
vilaspatelvlogs · 3 years
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5 राज्यों में विधानसभा चुनाव: बंगाल में आखिरी दौर की थोड़ी देर में खत्म होगी, इसके बाद चैनलों के एग्जिट पोल्स की शुरुआत
5 राज्यों में विधानसभा चुनाव: बंगाल में आखिरी दौर की थोड़ी देर में खत्म होगी, इसके बाद चैनलों के एग्जिट पोल्स की शुरुआत
Hindi News National Exit Poll 2021 Result LIVE Updates; Mamata Banerjee | West Bengal Assam Kerala Tamil Nadu Puducherry Assembly Election Exit Poll Ads से है परेशान? बिना Ads खबरों के लिए इनस्टॉल करें दैनिक भास्कर ऐप नई दिल्लीकुछ ही क्षण पहले कॉपी लिंक बंगाल में आखिरी चरण की वोटिंग साढ़े छह बजे खत्म हो जाएगी। अब बंगाल समेत पांच राज्यों के एग्जिट पोल्स का इंतजार है। सबकी नजर बंगाल पर ज्यादा…
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bbcbreakingnews · 4 years
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BJP will struggle to cross double digits in West Bengal, says Prashant Kishor; BJP hits back
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KOLKATA: A war of words erupted between poll strategist Prashant Kishor and BJP’s National General Secretary Kailash Vijayvargiya after the former predicted that the BJP will struggle to crosse “double digits” in West Bengal polls. Prashant Kishor, who was roped in by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress for the West Bengal Assembly Elections 2021, also indicated that he will quit Twitter if the BJP performs any better in the state than his prediction. “For all the hype AMPLIFIED by a section of supportive media, in reality BJP will struggle to CROSS DOUBLE DIGITS in #WestBengal. PS: Please save this tweet and if BJP does any better I must quit this space!” Kishor tweeted.
For all the hype AMPLIFIED by a section of supportive media, in reality BJP will struggle to CROSS DOUBLE DIGITS in… https://t.co/g6446uRAyb
— Prashant Kishor (@PrashantKishor) 1608526371000
Hitting back at Prashant Kishor, Kailash Vijayvargiya remarked that the country will lose a poll strategist after his part forms the government in the state after the upcoming elections in the state. “There is a tsunami of BJP in Bengal. After we form the government, the country will have to lose an election strategist,” Vijayvargiya tweeted. The development comes a day after Union Home Minister and senior BJP leader Amit Shah’s two-day visit to West Bengal. West Bengal is scheduled to go for Assembly polls in mid-2021. The dates have not been announced yet. BJP had stunned the Trinamool Congress in 2019 Lok Sabha polls as it wrested 18 parliamentary constituencies, coming up with its best-ever performance in the state. Post the historic Lok Sabha showing, the party considers winning upcoming Assembly polls as crucial and wants to send out a strong message to the opposition by winning the state.
source https://bbcbreakingnews.com/2020/12/21/bjp-will-struggle-to-cross-double-digits-in-west-bengal-says-prashant-kishor-bjp-hits-back/
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bharatiyamedia-blog · 5 years
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Every day Bulletin: JP Nadda appointed BJP working president; toll in encephalitis instances rises to 103 in Bihar; day's high tales
http://tinyurl.com/yy9un4lh JP Nadda appointed BJP’s working president, Amit Shah to stay occasion chief Former Union minister JP Nadda was appointed BJP’s working president in the course of the occasion’s parliamentary board assembly on Monday. The choice of BJP’s highest decision-making physique was introduced by former occasion president and Defence Minister Rajnath Singh after the assembly, which was attended by Prime Minister Narendra Modi and chaired by BJP chief Amit Shah.Shah will stay occasion’s nationwide president. Congratulating Nadda, Modi tweeted that he “is a diligent ‘karyakarta’ (employee) of the occasion, who has risen via the ranks because of his hardwork and organisational abilities. Humble and affable, he’s extensively revered throughout the BJP household”. Amit Shah offers a bouquet to JP Nadda on his appointment because the BJP working president. PTI Wishing him on being unanimously elected as occasion’s working president, Shah mentioned he had full religion that below Nadda’s management the BJP could be strengthened additional and “we might have the ability to unfold the occasion’s ideology in all corners of the nation.” That is for the primary time that the occasion has appointed a working president even when there’s a full-time occasion president.  Nadda mentioned he’ll work to strengthen the occasion as its employee and thanked the prime minister and Shah for reposing religion in him. Encephalitis claims greater than 100 lives in Bihar, NHRC points discover to Bihar govt Six extra kids died in Bihar’s Muzaffarpur district on Monday, taking the toll because of suspected Acute Encephalitis Syndrome (AES) to 103 and prompting the state authorities to announce a slew of measures to sort out the state of affairs. Whereas docs have maintained that the deaths occurred because of AES, state officers claimed that many of the victims, under the age of 10, have died because of hypoglycemia — a situation brought on by low degree of blood sugar, electrolyte imbalance because of excessive temperature and excessive humidity. The Nationwide Human Rights Fee (NHRC) despatched notices to the Union Well being Ministry and the Bihar authorities over the deaths. It noticed that regardless of reported measures taken by the federal government businesses, deaths of youngsters in such giant quantity indicated a potential flaw within the implementation of vaccination and consciousness programmes. Chief Secretary Deepak Kumar mentioned no clear reason for deaths may very well be ascertained thus far and indicated that one of many causes may very well be that no rainfall, even pre-monsoon rain, occurred within the district this yr. The chief secretary mentioned the federal government had additionally determined to ship a staff to every family, the place kids died because of suspected AES instances, to be able to discover out their social and financial background, The aim, he mentioned, was to seek out out whether or not the deaths had any hyperlink with the background of the deceased households. Delhi avenue brawl between cops, tempo driver spurs large protests; MHA seeks report The incident during which policemen thrashed a tempo driver after he allegedly attacked a cop with a sword snowballed into a significant political row on Monday, prompting the Union House Ministry to hunt response from the Delhi Police. Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal demanded that House Minister Amit Shah and Lieutenant Governor Anil Baijal take strict motion towards the police personnel who allegedly assaulted the driving force. His Punjab counterpart Amarinder Singh termed the incident “shameful”. The Congress and the BJP demanded a good probe into the incident and the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) sought dismissal of the officers. On Sunday night, a brawl between Sarabjeet Singh, the tempo driver, and policemen at northwest Delhi’s Mukherjee Nagar went viral on social media.  In one of many purported movies, the tempo driver was seen chasing the policemen with a sword. In one other video, they have been seen thrashing the driving force and his son with batons. The police mentioned the altercation between came about after the tempo driver’s automobile collided with a police van. Eight police personnel have been injured within the scuffle, the police mentioned. Numerous folks, notably from the Sikh group, gathered outdoors the Mukherjee Nagar police station on Monday evening, demanding sacking of all policemen who thrashed a tempo driver, police mentioned. The difficulty had taken a political flip with Manjinder Singh Sirsa, the BJP MLA from Rajouri Backyard, claiming that the policemen had insulted the person by attacking his turban. 9 injured in IED assault on military patrol occasion in Pulwama A military automobile was focused with an improvised explosive gadget on Tuesday in Jammu and Kashmir’s Pulwama, the place a convoy of the Central Reserve Police Power was attacked by a suicide bomber in February. Six troopers and two civilians have been injured within the assault. The armoured automobile of the 44 Rashtriya Rifles was attacked close to the Arihal village of Pulwama. In an announcement, the military referred to as the assault a “failed try” by terrorists. The troops are protected, barring a number of minor accidents, it mentioned, including, “The world has been cordoned and search operations are in progress”. Iran accelerates uranium enrichment as tensions mounts in West Asia Iran will surpass the uranium-stockpile restrict set by its nuclear deal within the subsequent 10 days, an official mentioned Monday, elevating stress on Europeans attempting to avoid wasting the accord a yr after the US withdrawal lit the fuse for the heightened tensions now between Tehran and Washington. The announcement by Iran’s nuclear company marked one more deadline set by Tehran. President Hassan Rouhani already has warned Europe {that a} new deal must be in place by July 7 or the Islamic Republic would enhance its enrichment of uranium. Atomic vitality spokesman Behrouz Kamalvandi advised that Iran’s enrichment may attain as much as 20 per cent, only a step away from weapons-grade ranges. It seems as if Iran has begun its personal most stress marketing campaign on the world after going through one from President Donald Trump’s administration that deeply lower into its sale of crude oil overseas and despatched its financial system into freefall. Europe has thus far been unable to supply Iran a means across the US sanctions. The event follows obvious assaults final week within the Strait of Hormuz on oil tankers, assaults that Washington has blamed on Iran. Whereas Iran has denied being concerned, it laid mines within the 1980s focusing on oil tankers across the slender mouth of the Persian Gulf via which a fifth of the world’s crude oil passes.   Bengal’s week-long well being companies logjam over as docs finish strike The week-long junior docs’ strike throughout state-run hospitals in West Bengal was withdrawn on Monday shortly after a gathering between Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and representatives of the agitating medics from numerous medical schools. Earlier within the day, a 31-member staff of junior docs from all of the state-run medical schools in West Bengal participated within the assembly with Banerjee and senior state authorities officers on the state secretariat Nabanna the place a 12-point constitution of calls for associated to docs’ safety, hospital infrastructure and patient-doctor relationship was mentioned at size. The docs demanded exemplary motion towards the attackers within the NRS incident and urged the Chief Minister to concern a “robust written or verbal message towards such offenders”. The chief minister promised to make sure on-ground implementation of the proposals mentioned in the course of the deliberations. Accepting the proposals from the medics, she introduced a devoted cell quantity and electronic mail handle for docs to lodge complaints of assault, appointment of nodal officers in medical school to observe safety and requested police to take speedy motion in instances of assault on medical practitioners. She informed the state Well being Division officers to extend the visibility of sufferers’ grievance cells in all hospitals and maintain campaigns to make the affected person events conscious of their existence.   Afghanistan hope for first World Cup 2019 win towards injury-hit England Event favourites and hosts England tackle Afghanistan in match 24 of ICC Cricket World Cup 2019 at Manchester on Tuesday. England have gained three out of their 4 matches and Afghanistan are nonetheless winless regardless of 4 matches into the event however the Asian facet shall be hoping for an upset at Outdated Trafford because the hosts are grappling with accidents. Opener Jason Roy has been dominated out of the subsequent two video games with a hamstring tear whereas skipper Eoin Morgan has again spasm points that compelled him to go away the sphere in the course of the West Indies match. James Vince is predicted to play instead of Roy towards Afghanistan. Instagram is testing less complicated, extra highly effective account restoration instruments Fb owned Instagram has introduced that it’s testing options that can make it simpler for customers to get well misplaced or hacked accounts. For a begin, customers will now have the ability to get well their account utilizing a registered electronic mail ID or cellphone quantity. This function began rolling out yesterday. Apparently, Fb may even implement safety features designed to forestall account abuse in case a hacker additionally takes over a sufferer’s electronic mail ID and cellphone quantity. Usernames may even be secured, making it tougher for hackers to steal accounts and promote or misuse usernames. Claims towards RCom swell to Rs 57,382 cr; Reliance ADAG firms amongst claimants Claims towards Reliance Communications (RCom) have risen to Rs 57,382.5 crore with new entities, together with some Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group (ADAG) firms, becoming a member of the collectors’ listing, in response to a regulatory submitting. Interim Decision Skilled (IRP) Pardeep Kumar Sethi, nonetheless, admitted dues of Rs 30 crore out of recent claims of Rs 8,189 crore, taking admitted claims thus far to Rs 49,223.88 crore, RCom mentioned within the submitting. Reliance ADA Group corporations account for Rs 7,000.63 crore of recent claims towards the group agency RCom. Physician Sleep a sequel to each novel and Kubrick’s movie: Mike Flanagan Director Mike Flanagan says Physician Sleep will function the sequel to the display adaptation of Stephen King’s e book and Stanley Kubrick’s 1980 film The Shining. Revealed in 2013, Physician Sleep is the sequel to King’s The Shining, which was tailored Kubrick for a movie starring Jack Nicholson and Shelley Duvall. The trailer of the movie, which dropped final week, confirmed the movie adaptation may even use a few of Kubrick’s most iconic photographs from The Shining. With inputs from businesses Your information to the most recent cricket World Cup tales, evaluation, stories, opinions, dwell updates and scores on https://www.firstpost.com/firstcricket/series/icc-cricket-world-cup-2019.html. Comply with us on Twitter and Instagram or like our Facebook web page for updates all through the continuing occasion in England and Wales. !function(f,b,e,v,n,t,s) {if(f.fbq)return;n=f.fbq=function() {n.callMethod? n.callMethod.apply(n,arguments):n.queue.push(arguments)} ; if(!f._fbq)f._fbq=n;n.push=n;n.loaded=!0;n.version='2.0'; n.queue=[];t=b.createElement(e);t.async=!0; t.src=v;s=b.getElementsByTagName(e)[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(t,s)}(window,document,'script', 'https://connect.facebook.net/en_US/fbevents.js'); fbq('init', '259288058299626'); fbq('track', 'PageView'); (function(d, s, id) { var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0]; if (d.getElementById(id)) return; js = d.createElement(s); js.id = id; js.src = "http://connect.facebook.net/en_GB/all.js#xfbml=1&version=v2.9&appId=1117108234997285"; fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs); }(document, 'script', 'facebook-jssdk')); window.fbAsyncInit = function () { FB.init({appId: '1117108234997285', version: 2.4, xfbml: true}); // *** here is my code *** if (typeof facebookInit == 'function') { facebookInit(); } }; (function () { var e = document.createElement('script'); e.src = document.location.protocol + '//connect.facebook.net/en_US/all.js'; e.async = true; document.getElementById('fb-root').appendChild(e); }()); function facebookInit() { console.log('Found FB: Loading comments.'); FB.XFBML.parse(); } Source link
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whittlebaggett8 · 5 years
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Narendra Modi’s greatest triumph | Kashmir Reader
BJP wins overwhelmingly bulk in Parliament, additional than 50% preferred vote
New Delhi: Key Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday wheeled Bharatiya Janata Bash to a landslide victory for a next phrase in office, as his concept of nationalism and Hindu delight was overwhelmingly embraced by folks across India.
The partial vote depend produced by the Election Commission confirmed that BJP will not only surpass its 2014 effectiveness but also cross the 300-seat mark in the 543-member Lok Sabha. These kinds of was the force of the BJP wave that even Congress president Rahul Gandhi missing in his bastion of Amethi to Smriti Irani, but in consolation received the Wayanad seat in Kerala. The euphoria of the victory was capped by a sombre speech by Modi in which he promised to commit “every moment of my everyday living and each fibre of my body” to the welfare of the country. He also vowed that he will never do everything with sick-intention, nor will he do anything to enrich himself. “Whenever you choose me, choose me on these a few parameters. If I drop small on these, curse me. But I assure my countrymen that what I have reported in community I will do my most effective to fulfil,” he reported. Putting a conciliatory political tone, he also reached out to his rivals, urging everyone to set the rancour of the bitter and frequently awful campaign guiding them. What’s earlier is previous, he said. “We have to move forward. We have to consider anyone with us, even our opponents. We have to perform for the advantage of the region,” he explained. “You have loaded this fakir’s bag with a great deal of hope. All your hopes, goals, ambitions are dependent on it,” he said. Right until 9pm, the BJP had won 115 seats and was top in 188 of the 542 Lok Sabha seats that went to polls in seven phases in April and May. This has set it on training course to possible profitable 303 seats, greater than the 282 it won in 2014. With the help of allies in the National Democratic Alliance, the coalition could have some 344 seats. The victory margin still left the merged opposition in the dust, with the Congress stuck at 27 verified victories and a lead in 24 seats. Modi very easily gained his seat in Varanasi with a margin of over 4.5 lakh votes while occasion president Amit Shah took Gandhinagar in Gujarat by over 5.5 lakh votes. Modi and Shah arrived at the occasion headquarters in New Delhi to a rapturous welcome by supporters. Modi waved victory indicators with both of those arms in the air as rose petals were being showered on the duo. He then proceeded to garland the statues of BJP idealogue Deen Dayal Upadhyaya and Shyama Prasad Mukherjee. Minutes afterwards, a gigantic garland in BJP colours of saffron and green was held all over Modi by other dignitaries. In nearly all the states wherever BJP received, its vote share was far more than 50 percent. The benefits have elevated thoughts about Rahul Gandhi’s management and his party’s foreseeable future. At a press convention, Gandhi refused to deal with that difficulty, expressing the occasion will hold a assembly on Friday to talk about the potential. “The folks of India have made the decision that Narendra Modi will be the PM yet again and I absolutely respect it,” Gandhi informed reporters. He also congratulated Modi and BJP. The benefits had been a ringing endorsement of Modi’s reputation, his government’s achievements in the past 5 a long time and his campaign, which centred close to countrywide stability following the Balakot air strikes, nationalism and Hindutva. He also relentlessly attacked the Congress for what he referred to as its dynastic legacy, and blamed it for the country’s woes, which includes endemic corruption. The opposition experienced criticised the BJP marketing campaign as divisive and polarising. However, the results show that the Modi wave and the party’s outstanding election administration swept throughout geographies, caste strains, age, gender and financial standing. In the politically significant condition of Uttar Pradesh, wherever the Samajwadi Party-Bahujan Samaj Social gathering mix experienced posed a rigid challenge, the BJP is envisioned to win 62 of the 80 seats at stake. Even though the BJP had gained 71 seats in the past elections, the general performance is significantly far better than the 30-40 seats several exit polls had forecast. The BJP point out headquarters in Lucknow was drenched in saffron hue with jubilant celebration staff carrying saffron stoles, adorning ‘genda’ bouquets around their necks and keeping lotus slice-outs. They also burst crackers and danced to drum beats as girls supporters wore saffron attire and painted their nails in the identical hue. In stark contrast, Congress, BSP and SP offices wore a forlorn look. Under the scorching solar, even store proprietors marketing campaign product outside the house the SP office environment sat in shocked silence as those people collected all-around the tea kiosks talked in hushed tones. The Modi wave not only swept through the Hindi heartland and Gujarat, as was predicted, but also bulldozed by means of West Bengal, Odisha, Maharashtra and Karnataka. Only Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh appeared untouched. Even in Telangana, exactly where it was expected to fare improperly, the BJP is expected to win 4 seats, whilst the Telangana Rashtra Samiti will get 9. However, Andhra Pradesh threw up a shock in the Assembly polls, which have been held simultaneously, voting out of electrical power the Telugu Desam Party of Chandrababu Naidu and electing Jagan Mohan Reddy’s YSR Congress. Just after Jawaharlal Nehru and Indira Gandhi, Modi is the third prime minister of the region – and the to start with non-Congress a single – who has been ready to keep electric power for a next term with full bulk in Lok Sabha. The benefits have been staggering for BJP in the Hindi-talking states, including these in which Congress had gained in the modern Assembly elections: it swept all but one particular of the 29 seats in Madhya Pradesh, 24 out of 25 in Rajasthan, and nine out of 11 in Chhattisgarh. Similar was the story in Bihar, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Maharashtra, Delhi and notably Karnataka, in which it is expected to win 25 out of 28 seats. Among the major-identify casualties were Congress leaders Mallikarjun Kharge who missing his Kalburgi seat in Karnataka and Jyotiraditya Scindia in Madhya Pradesh. The Congress received not a one seat in 13 states. The BJP also manufactured large gains in Odisha, West Bengal and Telangana In Odisha, the BJP was in advance in 8 of the 21 seats, up from a person very last time. In West Bengal, it was envisioned to get 18 seats, up from two in 2014, all at the price of the Left. In Telangana, it was set to earn four. Congress ally DMK was ahead in 20 seats in Tamil Nadu while in Kerala, the Congress-led UDF was forward in 19 out of 20 seats. The voting was staggered involving April 11 and Could 19 in which about 67 for each cent of the practically 900 million eligible folks exercised their franchise to elect 542 associates of the Lok Sabha from a full of 8,049 contestants. Out of the 543 Lok Sabha seats, elections were being held in 542 constituencies as the EC had cancelled polls to the Vellore constituency on the ground of excessive use of dollars electricity. PTI
  BJP, India politics, Kashmir difficulty, Lok Sabha elections, Modi Govt
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weederstudy06-blog · 6 years
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Exit polls give Rajasthan to Congress; photo finish in MP, Chhattisgarh
After polling ended for the Telangana and Rajasthan assemblies on Friday evening, and along with this the elections in five states, most exit polls predicted a Congress resurgence in northern India.
All exit polls said Rajasthan was unlikely to break its 25-year-old habit of throwing out the incumbent government, with the Congress slated to win the state. Several exit polls predicted the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP’s) 15-year-rule in neighbouring Madhya Pradesh could also end.
However, most exit polls indicated the Bahujan Samaj Party-Ajit Jogi alliance in Chhattisgarh might have hurt the Congress, with the BJP slated to win a fourth successive win there.
A majority of the exit polls also predicted the incumbent Telangana Rashtra Samiti (TRS) could retain the state and the electorate could boot out the 10-year-old Congress government in Mizoram.
The counting of votes to the five Assemblies that went to the polls in November and December is on Tuesday.
While election experts consider it fallacious to extrapolate the Assembly poll results to predict the outcome of the Lok Sabha elections, the results are likely to be interpreted as a barometer of the public mood for 2019.
ALSO READ: Udaipur airport to see busiest period over Ambani wedding, Rajasthan polls
In 2013, the BJP had won the three north Indian states, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh comprehensively, with its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi having campaigned widely. The margins of its Assembly wins were reflected in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls, with the BJP winning all 25 Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan, 27 of 29 in Madhya Pradesh, and 10 of 11 in Chhattisgarh.
The results could also determine the political discourse, both of the government and Opposition, for the next few months as the winter session of Parliament begins on Tuesday.
The Sangh Parivar outfits are congregating for a “dharma sansad” in New Delhi on Sunday to put pressure on the Modi government to bring in legislation to pave the way for an early construction of the Ram temple at the disputed site in Ayodhya.
Senior government strategists indicated on Friday the government would like to wait for the Supreme Court’s order on the Ayodhya dispute rather than push through an Ordinance or introduce a Bill. According to sources, BJP Rajya Sabha member Rakesh Sinha did not submit a draft of a private members’ Bill on the issue, and now the last date for submission before a session begins has expired.
However, there were signs on Friday itself that the political temperature is likely to shoot up in the weeks to come. The Enforcement Directorate (ED) carried out searches on three people linked to Robert Vadra, son-in-law of Congress leader Sonia Gandhi, in connection with its probe into alleged "commissions received by some suspects in defence deals" and “illegal assets stashed abroad”, officials said.
Congress Spokesperson Randeep Singh Surjewala said the “sure shot defeat in five states has unnerved the Modi government to again use the old tools — unleash revenge and vendetta on Vadra to divert the narrative”. At a press conference, BJP chief Amit Shah also warned the Trinamool Congress government in West Bengal that his party would carry out its yatras in the state. The BJP is looking at West Bengal, Odisha and northeastern states to compensate for its likely losses in northern India.
The results can trigger a debate whether the losses in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan are that of the BJP’s leaderships in these states, or if they reflected the growing anti-incumbency against the Modi government as well with reports that people are upset about agrarian distress and lack of jobs.
The results could determine the Modi government’s legislative agenda and spur it to take steps to alleviate the purported anger in rural areas. The loss in Chhattisgarh could also make the Congress reach out to smaller parties like the Mayawati-led BSP, while a win in these states would burnish Congress president Rahul Gandhi's credentials not just as a leader of his party but as a serious challenger to Modi in 2019.
The Congress has its government only in Punjab and the union territory of Puducherry. It runs a coalition government with the Janata Dal (Secular) in Karnataka. It is absent in the entire northern India, and hasn't formed a government in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh since 1989, and in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh since 2003.
Source: https://www.business-standard.com/article/elections/exit-polls-give-rajasthan-to-congress-photo-finish-in-mp-chhattisgarh-118120701208_1.html
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onlevelup01 · 6 years
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Any dramatic reform will only take place when we have our back to the wall as 1991 and even late 2013 showed 67833072 65920585 67844118 , Ruchir Sharma, author, Democracy On The Road, tells Supriya Shrinate of ET Now. Edited excerpts: If there was one person who could have written a political travelogue of India, it should have been you. I do not think too many people know that this journey is for elections -- whether it is state assembly or general elections -- throughout India. You want to talk a little bit about that before we move forward on why Democracy On The Road and why a 25-year journey. It is great that you are asking me because it was in February of 1998 that I put this entire concept together or at least it started to evolve then. Who knew then that we would do 27 trips after that? But to understand the context of this is very important. In 1996, Narasimha Rao was standing for re-election as the prime minister. Most foreign investors then really were rooting for Narasimha Rao to be re-elected and they almost believed that he will be re-elected. I had just started my professional career as an investor back then. I was watching this from the sidelines. Back then, I was in early 20s, watching these very senior investors going around convinced that Narasimha Rao was going to get re-elected because that is what they really wanted. And they were totally shocked when the results came after that and what followed. So when the next general election came up in February of 1998, I said if you really want to understand what is happening in India, you need to be on the road. I formed a group of five people including Swaminathan Anklesaria Aiyar, Ajay Kumar, veterans of the Times Group. These are the people that I had known because I used to write for The Economic Times those days. So, we put this very short trip together where we said okay let us go out and see what is happening on the campaign trail. I still remember the date, it was Valentine’s Day of 1998 that we landed up in Muzaffarnagar because Sonia Gandhi was making a maiden speech in Uttar Pradesh in Muzaffarnagar. That was the origin of this trip and there was so much excitement. It was a short trip. It was only a two-day affair. But in those two days we got to see so much about Indian politics because at the same rally ground in Muzaffarnagar the following day, Vajpayee came and also made a speech. And what happened in those 48 hours stayed with me for a long period of time. Look at a Sonia Gandhi rally. It was her maiden speech in UP so she came on stage. And in some sense, those were defining moments for Indian politics. But not too many people know it is a much longer trip now. There are many more people who come on board. Now predictions are made with your trips in there. But I do want to ask you the one question because you say this is democracy on the road, in some sense you have been called Limousine liberals and all of that. So, you make this fascinating trip across the heartland. You go to the south. I am told this year you are going to the south. Has voter behaviour changed, expectations changed? One of the favourite lines in my book which I sort of say in the closing chapter is that changes after changes, India remains the same in so many ways. That is what really captures it. Because what I find in most parts of India is that we still vote along caste lines, that has not changed in 20-25 years and the only way that will change is as India becomes more urbanised. That process is taking excruciatingly long to happen. But this is a reality I feel that many people in corporate board rooms or sitting in Delhi and Bombay almost want to deny or almost want to sort of have a setting look about it. But this is the reality of India. This is a caste system that goes back 3,000 years or something like that. So yes, some of the raw discriminations that we would see, has sort of ebbed but the political bloodlines are very much formed along caste lines. You started with 1998 and 1996. What really egged you on? It is a pattern that reformist prime ministers have never been re-elected -- whether it was Narasimha Rao or Mr Vajpayee. Six months back, many would have said it is Modi’s election to lose and now suddenly it seem there could be a surprise in a way we do not know yet. Is the economy a non-issue for elections? Yes and that is a great point because what I say in the book is this that development is at best, one of the six factors that may matter for a candidate. I would not say that any reformist prime minister does not get re-elected. India’s electoral history, at least since it became a multi-party democracy, is that most prime ministers do not get re-elected. So, just to say that reformist prime ministers do not get re-elected, is not right. But you need many other factors to come together. The classic case is Bihar. The one place where we have seen the most radical transformation in all the trips we have been so far, has been in Bihar. We have been to Bihar five times and look at the radical transformation that Bihar has seen over the time period and yet Nitish Kumar cannot win an election today in Bihar on his own because his caste Kurmi is accounts for only 3% to 4%. He has built a broader caste coalition which maxes out at 20%. In order to come to power, you need more than 30-40% of the vote. so he needs to be in a caste coalition. That is the reality of India. We are talking about six-seven factors which work and not just development. You cannot win an election in India based on development platform alone. You mentioned that a Karnataka politician said that six tests that you need to pass for a win are – caste, religion, welfarism, money spent, corruption and development. Let us for a moment presume and let us tweak this a bit, let us for a moment presume you tick all the six boxes. Doe that ensure victory and which of these six factors has to be the most important? As I said, caste for me is a necessary but not a sufficient condition to win. So by if you get that equation wrong… And you mean caste not just in the Hindi heartland, but everywhere… Everywhere. Apart from maybe some very cadre-based states like Tamil Nadu, Kerala, maybe West Bengal. In those states, you can argue that caste is not as important in politics as in other parts. But the caste and the caste discrimination which exists in places like Tamil Nadu and Kerala is very strong but the politics for some reason because of the cadres has sort of divorced itself from the other part. So, that for me is a very important factor. You get that wrong and it is a non-starter. But the other factors, you have to get a lot going for you. The default option in this country is anti-incumbency… And in a multi-party democracy that is…. It does not take much. In a multi-party democracy, it just takes 2 or 3 percentage vote swings to dramatically change outcomes.No you are right. In 2014, 282 was with the 31% vote share and there was a large 69% that was never really on board. But you speak about many factors. Is 2019 going to tick the biggest box on religion? At this stage, caste still dominates and there is increased polarisation in this country. When I went back to Bijnor to write the closing chapter of my book, I found that some of the raw discrimination when it came to caste had eased somewhat but when it came to religion, it was as pronounced as ever, if not more, you can argue. So yes it will play a role but within the 80% Hindu voters, trying to unite them under one umbrella is very difficult because you end up marked. One action for one constituency ends up causing a lot of heartburn in other constituencies. That is what India is really about and therefore nationalism in India has its limits. You can argue for the good or bad but nationalism in India has its limits. It is not a pan-India phenomenon… Yes because of the sub-national cultures which exists in India whether it is on caste or regional lines. So many people think of themselves first as a Gujrati, first as a Bengali, as a Marathi and then as an Indian. To try and put them all together is not possible. It is one of the things which I focus a lot in my book and something which in Delhi in particular, we tend to be very insensitive about is how much the south of India resents the Hindi imposed on them, north Indian values imposed over them and even their form of Hindutva in many ways, as I have argued in the book, is a bit of a softer sense of Hindutva than in north India. It is very different from the north… In the north, even though they are very religious, in Tamil Nadu, it is like as if you are on a temple tour all the time. But it is a very different strain of Hinduism compared to what we have in the north. We have to be very careful about that. I tell my foreign friends that only 40% of this country speaks Hindi. You have said in your interviews and I think you make a mention of this in book that India is not one country, it is almost like a continent and it is very difficult to understand India if you are only going to focus on the Hindi heartland. But there is a lot of Hindi influence on policy making right now. Do you believe that could be a factor in the south? You are hitting on a point which not many people tend to pick up is the resentment in the south against Hindi. I have this anecdote in the book where we went to Karnataka last year to watch the Karnataka election campaign and we were having dinner. It was hosted for us by Nandan Nilekani at his residence and he called a bunch of Bangalore intellectuals and other people to speak with us. I was surprised to see the amount of resentment they have for the north in general. And this was an educated sort of an evolved community. And this is Karnataka. In Tamil Nadu, it is a lot worse in terms of what is there. In Tamil Nadu also, when we went in 2016 trip, it was almost like Modi who, Rahul who? And we speak in Hindi almost as we are speaking to like a French person in English in the country side. That is very important. We went to this place called Tumkur, which is about a couple of hours north of Bangalore to see a rally of Modi. What happened was he got up on stage to speak and the first few lines he tried to speak in Kannada. He connected. You can make out the crowd was very enthusiastic. But obviously he could not take it much further. Then he moved to Hindi with a Kannada translator and the crowd enthusiasm completely collapsed compared to what it was before. He just did not have that much of an impact and you could see the difference between his impact in Uttar Pradesh and in south Indian campaign. This is one of those real mistakes we have been making by not covering the south enough in this election. Mr Modi was riding a wave of hope in 2014. He was everything that hope stood for, whether it was development, whether it was changing the face of India, whether it was the institutions and all of that. Many will say perhaps hopes were running too high and they were bound to crash. As we step into 2019, where are those things? Do you believe how many jobs have been created, what is the rural stress like these will be issues? If you objectively look at it, a lot of those hopes and expectations in 2014 have not been met and that was natural because the expectations were unreal. In 2014, when we were travelling in Uttar Pradesh such were the expectations out of Modi which we could sense that every time we hit a bump on the road, the joke in the car will be Modi will fix it because you just thought that everything Modi would fix. That was the kind of expectation. But what I find remarkable today is this is that a lot of the people are voting along caste lines and how they view Modi’s performance is completely governed by the caste that they are from. You ask an upper caste person what they think of demonetisation, most upper caste people would tell you accha kiya (he did right). You speak to the Muslim and Dalit workers and they will tell you about how much their business has been hit. The carpet weavers in Mirzapur will tell you about how much their business has been hit, etc. I find that this is very difficult to objectively analyse, but in terms of what performance has been, what is more important for me is to understand that when people ask what are the issues, I am saying that do issues really matter when peoples’ minds have been made up along caste lines? I am not even sure how much issues really matter? We want to still think almost in this western mindset that okay how is economic performance? But that is a very alien mindset to Indian politics. Like how will be the economic performance and how is the political outcome going to be is the pocket book theory of American politics. It just does not work in India. It is maybe one of the six factors that may be at play, but for us to keep having these debates about Modi’s performance in 2019, referendum, etc, when so much is happening along these caste lines makes no sense. Had there been a dramatic transformation in India, maybe it would have been different, maybe people would have suspended their caste lines and said okay because something really dramatic has happened here, let us try and focus on that. Unfortunately in India, nothing dramatic ever happens. It is all incremental in nature and the interphase with bureaucrats is difficult for the people. But the referendum can never really be on the prime minister or the people in power. How does the opposition stand vis-à-vis Mr Modi right now? Is the coming together of opposition parties really going to hold forth against the very well-oiled political machinery of Bharatiya Janata Party? The heterogeneity of India is such that it is very difficult for one party to completely dominate and therefore the narrative has changed. In 2018, the entire discourse was about how we are about to head towards BJP hegemony that 2024 may be the next chance? Till six months back… Yes exactly. But today what has really happened is that it has become a very competitive race. It is an open election. It is 50-50. I first said that it is a 50-50 election nearly a year ago, I got so much push back and blow back. Today when I say that, it appears as if I am uttering conventional wisdom. Tell us something new. Have you moved the needle on this? Now, I do not have to move the needle, but I am going to figure it out. I feel that if there is anything the Modi government could have done differently even from a political standpoint, is possibly to have taken a few more people together because even though he is still in the pole position and the strongest player, the fact that so many people have got antagonised in the opposition and therefore have made it a mission to stop him is not something which is advisable in this country, given the fact that all of these people have a pretty set vote base. So, to dismiss that and think that everyone is going to revolve around one person is very difficult. He just made the challenge much harder for him. Many will say it is not just antagonising members of the opposition but also some within his own federation and his own politics as well. In 2014, at 282, he had a magical number. This was the first full majority government in economically liberalised India and the expectations were high. Do you believe the government did justice to its political capital? When are we going to give up this notion that a strong majority government is really usher in economic reforms in this country? There is no history of that in this country. Rajiv Gandhi came in with a majority where he could have changed the constitution and yet we know what happened in the following years. The first couple of years maybe some economic reforms happened and after that it was back to populism. He went to the polls in 1989 and we had the crisis in 1990-1991. I used to be in a very naive way in my first interactions even in the late 90s and early 2000s with leaders where I would see so much hope in Chandrababu Naidu, where I would try and go meet Sonia Gandhi telling her about the benefits of free market reform. So the notion that in this country a strong stable government would be able to usher in free market reforms, does not hold. I have learnt it very early that the fundamental nature of the big politicians in India is socialist that is really in the DNA. It is statist. Do you believe that is in the DNA of the country as well? Possibly, in terms of the fact but there is no constituency in this country for the kind of free market reform or even the kind of reform that took place in China. We have this notion out here that China got these great reforms because the government was good. The main reason China did so well for 30-40 years was that government kept getting out of the way. The government’s share in the economy when China began its entire reform process in the late 1970s was more than 90%. By the time the reform momentum really came to an end by the end of last decade, that share had dropped to just about 30%. So the government kept getting out of the way in a very sensible way and kept spending more and more on infrastructure. Here we are spending more and more on welfarism. The money which is left to spend on infrastructure is obviously squeezed out from somewhere and therefore this notion that we are going to get strong government and therefore good economic reforms is something which is just a myth. But is it time that we make a peace with the fact that we will perhaps not see the free market reforms that you and I would wish for. Absolutely. I think especially at a national level. At a national level. if there is a risk of anything, it is that competitive populism is increasing. Just look at the way the narrative has shifted in the last few months. Even Mr Modi when he first came to power … He spoke about the bitter pill… Yes, in terms of the bitter pill and it is an insult to give people these dole-outs/ The Congress was so heavily criticised. I remember covering the Rajasthan campaign in late 2013 when we went there and Ashok Gehlot basically giving a handout for everybody. BJP just took him on in terms of how can you be doing this? This is an insult to the people and stuff like that. Modi’s campaign in 2014 was almost as if he was the new Ronald Reagan of India in terms of the minimum government maximum governance kind of stuff! It is just not the way, but I think, in the end, the reality is very different but the only positive news in this context here is that some of the state chief ministers, who are closer to the ground, they have become much more development focussed than what they possibly used to be. That is possibly because they are able to get more done directly on the ground. But at the national level, to expect any government to come into free market reform in this country is something which I cannot see happening and the only time it has ever happened in India like 1991 is when you are facing an economic crisis. Is it because today capitalism is stigmatised? It is a taboo to be in business and it is a taboo to be a successful businessman and a lot of our narrative is being built around that because India has a socialist mentality if not a mindset. Will we have reforms only when we have our backs against the wall? Any dramatic reform will only take place when we have our back to the wall as 1991 showed. Even in late 2013, whatever Chidambaram started to do as corrective measures came only after runaway populism was leading to a lot of fiscal excesses and other problems in this country like when the rupee went into a tailspin. But the important point I am going to make here is this that attitude in the country is one of live and let be. So, in this country it is very difficult to bring about disruptive change and as we speak about capitalism being stigmatised, one of the most fascinating observations as I tried to summarise the last chapter was the fact that we have travelled a distance now which is literally like a lap around the earth. I mean 27 trips multiplied by a 100 to 1500 kilometres per trip, that is how much you come to and what I find really remarkable is the fact that we never felt unsafe and that for me is such a telling statement about this country. In any part of India. Yes I mean there was some pockets like we went to Lalgarh which is a Naxal infested place. You feel unsafe a bit there for a while, maybe in Bettiah in the dark days of Bihar. Maybe some pockets, but generally in India, remember that some of the people travelling in our group look pretty well heeled. So, it is quite surprising that we never felt unsafe. I cannot say this about South Africa, Brazil, other developing countries I go to. In those countries, I would be very careful about stepping outside my hotel and the class warfare is such that even the rich people do not like to travel in very fancy vehicles because they fear what could happen in terms of class repercussions. In this country, it seems there is a real acceptance of this at some level that we can all travel and you still come back home safe in general. from Economic Times http://bit.ly/2I1f4ws
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malalawnews · 6 years
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Rahul And Congress Can Win It Alone
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The following is a translation of the original article written in Hindi that appeared on the front page of the Rashtradoot daily newspaper on India’s independence day:
http://epaper.rashtradoot.com/m5/1777026/RASHTRADOOT-JAIPUR/15august2018#page/1/1
Independence Day is as good a time as any to take stock of the state of the nation’s political parties and leaders.   With advance surveys predicting Congress victories in three Hindi belt States where assembly elections are due this year-end, it is safe to say that Narendra Modi’s bluff of a Congress-mukt Bharat has been well and truly exposed.
Indeed, the last nine months have a time of resurgence for the Congress party particularly since the close contest in last year’s Gujarat elections and the installation of Rahul Gandhi as the new president.  
Rahul himself has busted another myth – that he is an inarticulate political novice.   In his public speeches inside and outside Parliament he has shown he has the ability to make stinging verbal attacks when he wants to and with each passing week his oratory has only got better and better.  Another remarkable aspect of his leadership profile is his youthful energy and mobility - lately there has been virtually no newsworthy event, whether tragic or celebratory, where he has not been actively present.  
Prime Minister Modi on the other hand gives the impression of having lost some of his luster and bluster - his reply in Lok Sabha to the no-confidence motion was indisputably boring apart from being too long-winded.  Even his election rally speeches, especially during the Karnataka poll campaign, lacked the earlier ability to create a wave as was evident from the cold fact that the BJP is not in power in the State.
The weight of responsibility seems to have eroded his self-confidence at least to some extent, more so because of his government’s failure to deliver on the many rosy promises he had made four years ago.  Despite his propaganda team’s insistence that all is well and the promised achche din have arrived,  the reality on the ground is that the youth are jobless, the famers are agitated and the Dailt community is simmering with suppressed rage.
As things stand, that is the scenario on the occasion of the last Independence Day before the next general elections.  The ruling dispensation still firmly controls the levers of power with an iron hand – but the image of invincibility in a free and fair electoral contest is no longer a certainty.  
Sensing the increasing vulnerability of the BJP, the Opposition parties have begun to flex their muscles and to devise new strategies to prevent Modi getting a second term.  
However, the endeavour to forge a unified front, a maha gatbandhan, against the BJP and its NDA allies is proving more difficult in practice than in theory.  
Apart from the Congress, each of the other parties involved in the unity effort is regional or caste-based.   About the only glue that keeps them together is antipathy towards the RSS Hindutva ideology and to Modi’s authoritarian style of functioning.  
In some cases that antipathy is deep-rooted - as in the case of genuinely secular parties like Trinamool, RJD and the Left.  
In contrast, Chandrababu Naidu’s new-found aversion to Modi is barely skin-deep – till a few months ago his Telegu Desam was very much a part of the BJP-dominated NDA alliance.  
In Uttar Pradesh, both Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav are essentially leaders of caste-based political entities.   Their decision to join hands was as astonishing as it was sudden and is founded on purely arithmetical calculations and driven by the compulsions of political survival.  
There is no telling what the DMK under MK Stalin will decide in the post-Karunanidhi era.  Today, the Dravidian party is an integral part of the would-be maha gatbandhan – but that is largely because the rival Dravidian party is in Modi’s good books.  Tomorrow,  if the political climate changes,  it will surprise no one if the DMK joins the NDA just as Nitish Kumar’s JD(U) in Bihar did.  The late Kalaignar had developed a theory that it is essential for a regional party government in a State like Tamil Nadu to have a stake in the central government irrespective of whoever was in power.  The son is very likely to follow the teachings of his father,  whenever the situation arises.
The same line of thinking is behind Navin Patnaik’s equations with the Modi government.  Nine MPs of the Biju Janata Dal voted in favour of NDA nominee Harivansh Narayan Singh in the election to the post of Rajya Sabha deputy chairman.   The 18 or so BJP MPs in the Lok Sabha had earlier abstained from voting with other Opposition members in the no-confidence motion.  
That tells its own story.  The maha gatbandhan, if and when it becomes a reality, will be Minus BJD.    It will also be Minus TRS (Telangana Rashtra Samiti) whose leader and Chief Minister K.  Chandrasekhar Rao has no intention whatsoever of joining any anti-BJP formation.
When illusions are shed, therefore,  it is easy to see that, apart from the Congress, the only genuinely anti-BJP parties in the proposed maha gatbandhan are the Trinamool Congress and the CPI-CPI(M).   Given that Mamata Banerjee and the Left are at daggers drawn in West Bengal, there is virtually no unity to be expected between those two adversaries.  
Even in the case of NCP in Maharashtra, there will always be the lurking suspicion that party supremo Sharad Pawar is only waiting to see if the Shiv Sena actually breaks ranks with the BJP and the moment that happens the NCP will fill the void in the NDA.  
In other words, Independence Day is as good a time as any for the Congress party to take stock of the real motives of potential friends and allies and also potential allies who might turn adversaries overnight.
On the road to the upcoming Assembly and Parliament elections, it is also the appropriate moment for the Congress and its youthful leader Rahul Gandhi to ponder deeply about long-term goals and objectives.
To tell the truth, the Congress does not need allies like TDP and TMC or even BSP and SP.   Alliances with regional parties are always counter-productive for national parties.   It stifles growth and demoralizes the local workers and leaders.  Above all, caste-based parties like the Bahujan Samaj and the Samajwadi are propelled by doctrines that are inherently contradictory to the all-embracing national vision of a party like the Congress.
Rahul Gandhi’s rapid evolution into a formidable political leader is unstoppable.  He has already demonstrated his potential.  He heads a grand old party whose ideological world view would only be hampered by alliances with sectarian or regional parties for short-term gains.  Age is on his side.   He can afford to wait.
In any case, the Congress is poised for a dramatic revival in 2019 even if it goes it alone and fields its own candidates in all or most of the constituencies.  
Ekla chalo would be the best bet for the coming Lok Sabha elections.  That would be a far better strategy than striking deals with other parties and leaders who are looking to use the Congress to further their own interests and ambitions. 
As the poet said:  
Meri shikast ke peeche hazaar chehre hain,
Har ek shakhs mera istemaal karta hai.  
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wionews · 7 years
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BJP makes gains in Rajya Sabha elections 2018
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) became the biggest gainer from the latest round of the biennial Rajya Sabha polls on Friday and is likely to come within striking distance of being able to pass bills with the help of its allies and parties friendly to it.
BJP won 12 of the remaining 26 seats that were at stake in crucial Rajya Sabha biennial polls in seven states on Saturday amid high drama in Uttar Pradesh where it clinched an extra ninth seat overcoming the newfound bonhomie between former arch rivals SP and BSP.
BJP's winning spree in state Assembly polls has resulted in a steady rise in its numbers in the House, whose members are elected by assemblies, while the loss of power of the Congress in many states has led to a fall in its numerical strength.
In the elections held to 58 seats, the BJP won 29, the Congress nine, Trinamool four, TRS and BJD three each, JD-U, TDP and RJD two each and Samajwadi Party, Shiv Sena, NCP and YSR Congress one each.
Voting for Rajya Sabha seats took place across six states: Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, Karnataka, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Telangana. The Rajya Sabha vacancies include 17 from the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and 12 from the Congress. The BJP has filed 18 candidates for the biennial polls.The Rajya Sabha has the strength of 245 members of which 233 are representatives of the states and Union Territories of Delhi and Puducherry. The remaining 12 members are nominated by the President.
The number of vacancies in 2018 included - Uttar Pradesh: 10, Maharashtra: 6, Bihar: 6, West Bengal: 5, Madhya Pradesh: 5, Gujarat: 4, Karnataka: 4, Andhra Pradesh: 3, Telangana: 3, Rajasthan: 3, Odisha: 3, Jharkhand: 2, Chhattisgarh: 1, Haryana: 1, Himachal Pradesh: 1, Uttarakhand: 1, Kerala: 1
In the poll for 58 Rajya Sabha seats on Friday, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) gained its 9 seats but remains short of the halfway mark of 123 in the Upper House. 
In August last year, the BJP overtook the Congress to become the single-largest party in the Upper House. Currently, BJP is the largest party in RS with 58 MPs -- four more than the Congress - is expected to better its tally as it rules 11 of the 16 states. Its allies contribute 17 MPs to the BJP-led NDA. Telugu Desam Party (TDP) has six seats; Shiv Sena, Shiromani Akali Dal have three seats each; People's Democratic Party has two; Sikkim Democratic Front, Republican Party (A) and Bodoland People's Front have one MP each.
A calculation of tallies show that the BJP's strength in the 245-member House will go from the existing 58 to 69 and that of the Congress will fall from 54 to 50 when the new MPs take oath next week.  However, a majority in the Council of States will continue to elude the BJP-led NDA. It recently suffered a setback when the Telugu Desam Party, its ally of four years, decided to break ties. The TDP has six members in the House.
BJP and its allies hold an upper hand in UP state with 324 members in the legislative assembly and won 9 seats this year. However, the election this year will not benefit BJP much this year. 
UP is the main focus in the Rajya Sabha: it contributes 31 of the upper house’s 245 seats, of which ten will have elections in 2018 and another ten in 2020. With a supermajority in the UP state assembly, the BJP is likely to win seven new seats from UP in each round (it already has three Rajya Sabha MPs in UP).
The government’s minority status in the Rajya Sabha has slowed and even halted important elements of its legislative agenda. An upper house majority would greatly strengthen its ability to pass bills including Article 35A - empowers the Jammu and Kashmir state's legislature to define “permanent residents” of the state and provide special rights and privileges to those permanent residents.
The BJP has not reached the stage of having two-thirds majority in the Rajya Sabha. Even if it were to improve its numbers in the Rajya Sabha by 2020, it would still need to get requisite numbers in the next Lok Sabha elections and also convince its allies.
By 2020, the NDA would see a major improvement in the Rajya Sabha. If it continues its winning streak in the future assembly elections in Karnataka and Gujarat. If there is no change in the predictions, then the BJP by 2020 could end up with 81 seats alone. Its allies would contribute 31 seats thus taking the NDA's tally to 111. The Congress is likely to have just 28 seats in the Rajya Sabha. The UPA's tally would be at 56. The rest of the parties would have a tally of 78. 
The NDA will be waiting for its turn in 2020 when nearly 73 Elders’ term comes to an end, but a lot would also be dependent then on the 2019 General election which Modi will be eying emphatically.
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bharatiyamedia-blog · 5 years
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The Congress is Able to Successful it Alone: Sheila Dikshit - Nation Information
http://tinyurl.com/y27zuu2g In December 2013, Sheila Dikshit’s 15-year-old Congress authorities in Delhi misplaced an election, profitable a meagre eight seats within the 70-member home. Dikshit herself misplaced to AAP challenger Arvind Kejriwal. In two successive polls-to the 2014 Lok Sabha and the 2015 state assembly-the Congress drew a clean within the capital. Because the occasion seems to be for a revival within the 2019 common election, the octogenarian ex-CM has been introduced again to move the occasion in Delhi. Dikshit spoke to Kaushik Deka on the occasion’s prospects and a spread of points: Q. Will the Congress contest all seven Lok Sabha seats in Delhi? In fact, we are the Congress occasion. We did not come up two years in the past; we’ve got a protracted custom. Q. Why are you against an alliance with AAP? Congress president Rahul Gandhi has been speaking of a united opposition combating in opposition to the BJP. Each state has a unique political state of affairs. What may go for West Bengal could not work for Tamil Nadu. In Delhi, we’re assured of going it alone. Q. How will you persuade Delhi voters to vote for the Congress? We’ll remind them of the Congress’ historical past of efficiency. The Congress introduced the metro, new buses, the roads grew to become wider, flyovers had been constructed. What have AAP, which is operating the Delhi authorities, and the BJP, which controls the municipal firms, carried out? They’ve even failed to take care of what we might constructed. Q. However the AAP authorities claims it has improved authorities faculties and made healthcare accessible to poor. It is only a publicity marketing campaign. Why do not they offer out the variety of college students who enrol and graduate? They’ve in all probability carried out some white-washing of the varsity buildings. Have they constructed a brand new college or hospital? They’ve simply wasted public cash on promoting. Q. The Congress has fallen again on you although you had been voted out in an anti-incumbency wave. Does this present a management vacuum within the occasion? The anti-incumbency got here after 15 years. The individuals of Delhi have now skilled governments by each AAP and the Congress. Have the individuals acquired the free water and energy promised to them? AAP has even didn’t do fundamental work, similar to upkeep of roads. Q. You might have lower than 100 days to script a turnaround for the Congress… Once I grew to become CM for the primary time, I had lower than six months to check the politics of Delhi, however nonetheless our occasion managed to win. I am not notably frightened in regards to the time left. If I used to be frightened, I’d not have taken the job. Q. You had mentioned the SP-BSP alliance in Uttar Pradesh may result in instability. Now there’s a buzz that the Congress may be part of the alliance. I’ve nice religion within the Congress occasion. I’ve seen the time when Indira Gandhi misplaced. She made a dramatic comeback. Did she have an alliance with anyone? The Congress is able to profitable it alone. We lose generally, however more often than not, we’ve got received. Q. However the Congress and SP are inching nearer. I am unsure. Simply the opposite day, we noticed Mulayam Singh Yadav praising Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Parliament. Q. Mulayam’s son Akhilesh Yadav, who heads the SP, has hinted at an alliance with the Congress. The daddy-son duo confuses us. Who does one comply with? I can not predict what is going to occur ultimately however in the intervening time the Congress is assured of combating it alone, particularly with the presence of Priyanka Gandhi and Jyotiraditya Scindia. That mentioned, issues can change. In politics, something can occur. Q. AAP has criticised the Supreme Courtroom verdict on the division of energy between the Centre and the state authorities within the capital… If Kejriwal feels the Supreme Courtroom has carried out one thing mistaken, he ought to battle it legally. Get real-time alerts and all of the news in your telephone with the all-new India At this time app. Obtain from Source link
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