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#also obvious disclaimer that i am from the USA so this is about these topics as they exist in the USA
gertritude-art · 2 years
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a change in heart?  local youtuber who has never shown interest in fat people now very vocal about (the dangers of) the body positivity movement
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Vaccine associated deaths
A continuation/response to a reply to this post. @winterphile
Death is a complication of any of the adverse events (though realistically probably usually TTP) which I did discuss in the first post. You don’t just drop dead for no reason. But I can certainly go over deaths after the vaccine and talk about those numbers and how to interpret them.
I live in the USA so have mostly been looking at VAERS to track incidence of adverse events after the vaccination. This is because it is going to be among the largest sets of data we have and can give us a better snapshot of what is really being seen and reported on a large scale.
According to VAERS there have been ~7.5K reported deaths after getting a COVID-19 vaccination as of September 2021. Please note what I said, though: a death reported after getting a COVID-19 vaccine. This does not mean a death caused by a COVID vaccine. Those are two separate things. A person could get immunized, the next week develop sepsis from a diabetic wound and die, and a report could still get made to count them toward that total death number. This is because health workers are, per VAERS, encouraged to report “any adverse event that occurs after the administration of a vaccine licensed in the United States, whether it is or is not clear that a vaccine caused the adverse event.” The general population can also make reports to VAERS any time, which further muddies the picture. 
In short, I am saying that the VAERS data are simply that: reports that anyone can make. It is really useful data to have, but is ultimately unverified in its raw form. Furthermore, none of it proves causality. All the data says is that person X is now dead, and person X had received a COVID vaccine. Like I said above, the thing that killed person X may or may not have been related to the COVID vaccine. We can't know that just by looking at these numbers, because causality isn't what they are tracking. You can look at raw data and also read their disclaimer on this topic here.
The takeaway message here is that the number of deaths reported after vaccination is a bit lower, based on the data I am using, than you suggested, at about 7.5K at the most recent. But of course this is not insignificant. While some of these deaths are likely related to an adverse event related to vaccination, many of them are inevitably unrelated and would have happened regardless. So the real number of vaccine-associated deaths is going to be lower than that. However, even if I was unrealistically generous and assumed that ALL 7.5K of those people actually died from the COVID-19 vaccine (which I promise you is not the case), when you look at the total number of US vaccine doses given during the time frame that number was drawn from (~380 million vaccines) then that math works out to...~0.002% (rounding up).
That is a really, really small number, and that is probably a hugely falsely inflated number too, because it is based on the unverified raw VAERS data, not follow up with causal links established! So based on the current VAERS data, the true risk of death after COVID-19 vaccine is going to be some number significantly less than 0.002%. A lot of the surgeries we perform or other interventions, including even medications, in medicine have a much higher risk than that, but we still do them when the potential benefit outweighs that very small risk. 
The trade off for taking this very small risk is a decreased chance of catching (and thereby spreading) COVID-19 as well as (and more importantly, in my opinion) a decreased chance of getting sick enough to require hospitalization, intubation, or die due to COVID-19 as discussed more extensively in the original post. The other part of the trade off is easing the healthcare system’s burden right now which will help ALL patients, regardless of why they are sick, get the care they need when they come to the hospital. Like I said in the other post, it is a risk-benefit analysis like all things in medicine, and here the vaccine really does seem like the obvious choice. Risk of harm is very low, and risk of benefit for both the individual and the community is pretty high.
I hope that addresses what you were getting at in your question. If not let me know. I will hold off on responding to the latter part of your question until I hear from you again because I've re-read your reply a few times and I am still a little confused by the wording and what exactly you are asking.
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mjm56-a · 5 years
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RULES.   ( temporary)
TEMPORARY RULES POST UNTIL THEME IS MADE.   FEEL FREE TO LIKE THIS POST IF YOU HAVE READ MY RULES.
hello ! my name is MADS and i go by HE/HIM pronouns. this is an indie rp blog for GO//RO MA//JIMA from the Y//AKUZA series ! i’ve been writing on tumblr for... i have no idea how long, but a long time. both my muse and i are 18+ . EST timezone (michigan, USA).  i have autism and a debilitating anxiety disorder & paranoia, so i might not be the quickest person getting to this blog and replies. this blog WILL contain yak//uza spoilers.  i am NOT ASSOCIATING THIS BLOG WITH THE YA//KUZA RP COMMUNITY, simply because i haven’t finished all the games yet and don’t feel comfortable entirely emerging in yet.
A GENERAL DISCLAIMER.   given the nature of the yak//uza series, some extremely disturbing content may be described and written on this blog. i do not endorse any of the things majima may do or say, nor do i condone anything that happens in the games either by him or by other people. i will not tag EVERYTHING distressing that may happen, but i will try for the more serious topics that may come up or be written. the games are rated M for mature, and therefore, this blog is rated this way as well. despite the themes that come up on this blog, i REFUSE to write about or plots theming around ableism, LGBTphobia, incest, or pedophilia.
GENERAL TRIGGER WARNINGS FOR THIS BLOG AND BACKSTORY  :   organized crime syndicates, murder, blood, weapons, drug use, mentions of sexual activity and/or assault, torture, violence, derogatory language.
GENERAL RULES.   this blog is MUTUAL EXCLUSIVE. i have the right to not interact with those i feel uncomfortable. please only contact me for interactions if we are mutuals.        both me and my muse are 18+, so mature themes are 100% going to appear on this blog, given YA//KUZA’s themes and premise.     rp etiquette applies here: no godmodding, powerplay, metagaming, etc.         this blog is independent, literate, and EXTREMELY crossover friendly. i REALLY want to interact with muses outside of the canon.       please don’t use my blog as a rp meme source.        i know shipping isn’t a main priority, but i’m a HUGE fan of ki//ryu / maji//ma. kir//yus that want to ship, hmu. nis///hitani n ma//jima is also rlly nice tbh
THE GAMES.   i have not played ALL of the ya//kuza games. i have played 0, k1, k2 ( including the maji//ma story ) , 3, and 4. i own 6 and dead souls, but have not gotten to play them yet. i plan on getting 5 when the remaster comes out. i do not plan on playing (or watching playthroughs of) kenzan, ishin, and judgement. this blog WILL contain spoilers of 0-4 and the rest of the games as i play through them. i apologize on behalf if my interpretation of ma//jima isn’t 100% canon. i’ll improve with time and after i finish the games.
NS//FW.     both me and my muse are 18+. mature content may occur on this blog, nonetheless under a read-more if things get extremely graphic. i’m open to writing these topics on discord; just dm me for my username if you’re a mutual. all extremely mature themes will be appropriately tagged.
GRAPHICS.    all of the graphics i use are edited by me from screencaps of the y//akuza games. please do not use or repost my icons or graphics. :( also, please don’t ask me for my .PSDs. i’ll release them if i want to release them.
TIMELINE, HEADCANONS, AND INTERPRETATION.    my default verse for majima at the moment is KI//WAMI 1. i feel like this is the easiest for me to portray. however, i can write any of the other games up to 4. i’m also extremely inclined to write extensively in his y0 verse. do NOT use my icons as a reference for what verse i am writing in. i know his eyepatch changes in y3, but honest to god, majima doesn’t have a lot of cutscene content from k1-k2. please refer to the tags on the post to know what verse i’m writing in. every verse except for y0 will use the same icons, for obvious reasons and for reasons explained previously. if you want to write in a verse outside of k1, ask me! i can create a verse for you in order to have our muses interact if you need me to as well. you can view my verses HERE.
i do not know japanese. i know some hiragana, but no where near the entire language. since ya//kuza is based entirely within japan and is a japanese-spoken game series, of course i’m going to have to touch on honorifics and the language. i apologize in advance if any of my usages are incorrect. i’m trying my hardest, bro.
i also headcanon that majima is a trans man. though as much as i would like to write it on this blog, i will only write it with others privately that share the same headcanon. i’m a trans man myself and i just don’t want to risk any transphobic interactions or harassment here based on the way i headcanon him here. so, i will be portraying him as cis on this blog and trans in private with others that share the same hc, as unfortunate as that is.
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