#politicalrisk

[usnewsper-business]

Market Rollercoaster: Asian Stocks, Oil, and Gold React to Middle East Tensions #Asianmarkets #australiandollar #buildingapprovals #globaltrade #goldprices #HangSengIndex #Kospi #MiddleEasttensions #Nikkei225 #oilprices #politicalrisks. #retailsales #ShanghaiComposite #ShenzhenComponent

[wallstreetmonocle-blog]

The biggest threat to your personal well-being and financial well-being are politicans. Its the government.

Nick Giambruno (https://youtu.be/SUNv4_Gose4)

[soyeduardohurtado]

Llegó el CLAP a México: en plena Plaza Garibaldi. #lafranquiciacubana se esta aplicando en Mexico tal cual el manual de la dictadura científica ... ¿No vale, yo no creo? El análisis de Riesgo Politico que algunos países no consideran importante. @soyeduardohurtado #politicalrisk #clap #amlo #mexico #riesgopolitico (at Mexico) https://www.instagram.com/p/B1ecjxZAMA1/?igshid=11pbgslbujbex

[vlemx]

CONDOLEEZZA RICE @condoleezzarice Former United States Secretary of State #Condi #politicalscientist #diplomat #author #professor #NewBook #PoliticalRisk #PowerfulWoman #Brilliant #Makeupbyme #makeupartist #professionalmakeup #celebritymakeupartist @beautyby_sindy_ #celebrityhairstylist #hairstyle #hair #teambeauty

[ibcgajendhar]

वित्तीय भाषा में, उच्‍च प्रतिफल अनुबंध-पत्र (हाई यील्ड बॉण्ड) को गैर-निवेश-श्रेणी अनुबंध-पत्र (नॉन-इंवेस्टमेंट ग्रेड बॉण्ड) कहा जाता है, लेकिन पूँजी बाजार में प्रचलित बोलचाल की भाषा में ‘सट्टेबाजी-श्रेणी अनुबंध-पत्र’ (स्पेकुलेटिव बॉण्ड) या ‘कबाड़ अनुबंध-पत्र’ (जंक बॉण्ड) भी कहा जाता है। सैद्धांतिक रूप से यह भी विशेष प्रकार का ऋण उपकरण (डेट इंस्ट्रूमेंट) है, जो उच्‍चतर गुणवत्तावाले अनुबंध-पत्रों की तुलना में अधिक प्रतिफल देता है, इसीलिए निवेशकों को आकर्षित भी करता है। लेकिन इस प्रकार के अनुबंध-पत्रों में ब्याज-भुगतान-चूक (इंटरेस्ट पेमेंट डिफॉल्ट) के उच्‍चतर जोखिम के साथ-साथ दिवालिएपन की स्थिति में मूलधन (प्रिंसिपल अमाउंट) के भी डूब जाने, अधोमूल्यन (अंडर वैल्यूएशन) व अन्य साख-संबंधी घटनाओं (क्रेडिट इवेंट) के जोखिम शामिल होते हैं। हालाँकि 1970 के दशक के आरंभ में अमेरिकी स्वामित्व बाजार में इस प्रकार के लगभग दर्जन भर ऋण उपकरण ही प्रस्तुत किए थे, लेकिन फिर भी दूरदर्शी बेंजामिन ग्राहम ने उनमें निवेश के विरुद्ध कड़ी चेतावनी दी थी।

वैसे याद रहे कि हर प्रकार के ऋण उपकरणों में कई प्रकार के जोखिम होते हैं, जिनमें ब्याज दर जोखिम (इंटरेस्ट रेट रिस्क), साख जोखिम (क्रेडिट रिस्क), मुद्रास्फीति जोखिम (इन्फ्लेशनरी रिस्क), मुद्रा जोखिम (करेंसी रिस्क), अवधि जोखिम (ड्‍यूरेशन रिस्क), उत्तलता जोखिम (कोन्वेक्सिटी रिस्क), मूलधन पुनर्भुगतान जोखिम (प्रिंसिपल रीपेमेंट रिस्क), बहाव-आय जोखिम (स्ट्रीमिंग इनकम रिस्क), तरलता जोखिम (लिक्विडिटी रिस्क), भुगतान-चूक जोखिम (डिफॉल्ट रिस्क), परिपक्वता जोखिम (मैच्योरिटी रिस्क), पुनर्निवेश जोखिम (री-इंवेस्टमेंट रिस्क), बाजार जोखिम (मार्किट रिस्क), राजनीतिक जोखिम (पोलिटिकल रिस्क) व कराधान समायोजन जोखिम (टैक्सेशन एडजस्टमेंट रिस्क) शामिल हो सकते हैं।

#Inflationaryrisk #CurrencyRisk #DurationRisk #ConvexityRisk #PrincipalRepaymentRisk #StreamingIncomeRisk #Liquidity Risk #DefaultRisk #MaturityRisk #Re-investmentRisk #MarketRisk #PoliticalRisk #TaxationAdjustmentRisk #bondmarket #sharemarket #stockmarket #noninvestmentgradebond #hinhyieldbond #creditrisk #creditevent #investraterisk #speculativebond #junkbond #debtinstrument #interestpaymentdefault #undervaluation #principalamount

[forexbeginnersworld]

Brent, SEK, NOK May Fall on Trade War Peril

Brent, SEK, NOK May Fall on Trade War Peril

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Swedish Krona, Norwegian Krone, Crude Oil – TALKING POINTS

Swedish Krona, petroleum-linked Norwegian Krone, crude oil may fall on trade war risks

EU-US tensions rise amid reports that Washington is still looking into levying auto tariffs

Swedish GDP and unemployment data may further cool Riksbank December rate hike bets

Learn how to use politicalrisk analysis in your trading strategy!

C…

[yervand63]

EUR/USD Outlook Ahead of ECB, Post-FOMC Analysis

EUR/USD Outlook Ahead of ECB, Post-FOMC Analysis

EUR/USD Technical Analysis, Euro, US Dollar, ECB, FOMC – TALKING POINTS

EUR/USD advanced after the FOMC outlook surprised dovish

Euro could extend gains vs US Dollar if ECB cools easing bets

What will the newly-appointed Christine Lagarde have to say?

Learn how to use politicalrisk analysis in your trading strategy!

EUR/USDmay extend some of its recent gains if the ECB rate decision and…

[publicsituation]

RT @PrincetonUPress: NEW In To Dare More Boldly, John C. Hulsman details ten lessons from history on the dos and don’ts of analyzing #politicalrisk Chapter one begins with Ancient Greece, describing the first political risk analysts. We invite you to read it online: https://t.co/DA6u1qtUwI https://t.co/ALHbGSOa3g

[nancyjnelson88]

From Trump to Brexit, politics drive firms into insurers' arms

ZURICH/LONDON (Reuters) - Rocked by a shakeup in the Western political order, companies are buying more insurance to protect themselves against the threat of rising protectionism and upheaval to their operations in emerging markets.

from Binary Trading Tips http://feeds.reuters.com/~r/reuters/businessNews/~3/xiwaos-kezg/us-insurance-politicalrisk-idUSKBN17Q1VT

[mhayes-1]

A Brexit could tilt the balance of power towards Russia

With the UK referendum to remain or leave the EU only days away, both sides are taking increasingly sharper stances on issues such as the economy and migration. One area that most voters aren’t considering but is likely to have great consequences is the effect of a Brexit on European geopolitics. Specifically, will a Brexit see a shift in a balance of power away from the West in favour of other states with a vested interest in Europe, such as Russia? Many strategists argue that it will. 

To speak of a balance of power is to invoke realist theory, first popularised by neoclassical realists such as Hans Morgenthau and E.H. Carr and by neorealists such as Kenneth Waltz. According to realists, power is a “zero-sum game”, where the reduction of power by one actor necessarily equates to an increase in power of the other actors. Power therefore is relative. To a realist, the key question is to what extent does Britain currently enhance the European Union’s power, and how would a loss damage this? 

To continue this analysis from a realist perspective, power is defined in terms of military power. Those in favour of a Brexit often argue that the UK’s security relationship with Europe won’t be affected, as NATO provides the overarching security framework for Europe. This is largely true, however the EU does act in a joint capacity to provide foreign policy. Recent examples have been the EU’s collective stance on its foreign policy towards Iran, and its joint sanctions on Russia. To date, sanctions against Russia have been relatively successful in dampening overt Russian aggression in the Ukraine and Crimea. These sanctions have been underpinned by the credible deterrence of NATO and the EU. The UK is one of only two major armed forces within the EU, aside from France. The departure and ensuing uncertainty of Britain from the EU could weaken this deterrent. 

Thus in the short and medium term, the uncertainty and distraction provided by a Brexit could be a signal for Putin, and tip the balance of power a little closer to Russia’s favour. Russia’s recent incursions into Crimea and the Ukraine have hinged on leveraging the divisions and uncertainties of the West, so that Putin can gain a foothold for his objectives. This has been followed by superficial compromises with the West as necessary. Over the longer term, the UK outside of the EU could show a greater degree of foreign policy independence and autonomy. The extent of this would depend on the formal arrangements made with the EU across the spectrum of trade, financial and security issues, as well as less formalised rules and norms. Reliance on Russian gas would also continue to be a factor in UK foreign policy decision making. 

By stepping outside the realist framework, we can acknowledge other forms of power and influence, particular the concept of soft power, popularised by Joseph Nye from the liberal school of international relations. Much is written of the EU’s soft power - its cultural attraction to outsiders for “European” values and way of life. No further proof of its attractiveness can be seen by the immigrants from across the world who chose to call the EU home. However in the context of a EU-Russian power dynamic, soft power doesn’t have much contemporary relevance. Furthermore the UK’s soft power is quite intentionally framed by the British as distinct from European soft power. A Brexit would not take much from the EU’s stock of soft power, and the soft power that it does wield has largely been ineffective to a Russian audience in recent years. During the Cold War, much was written of the soft power appeal of the West for East Germans. This had influence in the context of a broken economy and a gradual willingness to move towards Western norms over a number of years. The difference with contemporary Russia is that despite a struggling economy, Putin has managed to rally domestic support over his vision for a “strong Russia”, invoking former glories through greater ambitions on the world stage. This won’t last forever, however until Putin’s appeal wanes, the soft power of the EU and broader West won’t be of great consequence. 

Therefore, the geopolitical risks of a Brexit are present in the short and medium term through a perception of a change in the balance of power in Europe with Russia. The risk and uncertainty of negotiations between the UK and the EU could provide an opportunity for Putin to exploit. Arguably the hardest military deterrents remain with NATO and would thus be unaffected, however this state of flux opens the window for misjudgment and misperception by foreign policy decision makers within the West and Russia. This increases the chances of confrontation and escalation in a period where tensions between the West and Russia are at their lowest ebb since the Cold War. Whilst geopolitical considerations may not be at the forefront of voters’ minds on election day, the geopolitical consequences of a Brexit could be grave.

[forexbeginnersworld]

US Dollar Outlook Bullish on Jobs Data Despite Trade War Risks

US Dollar Outlook Bullish on Jobs Data Despite Trade War Risks

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US Dollar, Fed, Nonfarm Payrolls– Talking Points

US Dollar may rise if employment data cools 2020 rate cut bets

Sino-US trade war tensions could sap upside momentum in USD

What is the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy in 2020?

Learn how to use politicalrisk analysis in your trading strategy!

US Jobs Data: What to Expect

The US Dollar may gain against its major counterparts if a…

[yervand63]

British Pound May Fall on Industrial Data Ahead of UK Election

British Pound May Fall on Industrial Data Ahead of UK Election

British Pound, GBP, UK Election, UK GDP – Talking Points

British Pound may edge lower on softer GDP, industrial data

This may incite Bank of England rate cut bets, pressure GBP

Volatility could be tamed by traders waiting for UK election

Learn how to use politicalrisk analysis in your trading strategy!

Asia-Pacific Recap: Chinese CPI Boosts Australian Dollar

Early into Tuesday’s Asia Pacific…

[nancyjnelson88]

U.S. investors brace for mounting political risks as they decode Trump

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Barry James built up his $4 billion mutual fund largely by studying balance sheets, earnings and market share. In the last few weeks, however, he has realized that he must look at a new force in the market: U.S. President Donald Trump. 

from Binary Trading Tips http://feeds.reuters.com/~r/reuters/businessNews/~3/IkPNWPfTrH4/us-funds-politicalrisk-trump-idUSKBN15T2FZ

[yervand63]

US Dollar Outlook Bullish on Jobs Data Despite Trade War Risks

US Dollar Outlook Bullish on Jobs Data Despite Trade War Risks

US Dollar, Fed, Nonfarm Payrolls– Talking Points

US Dollar may rise if employment data cools 2020 rate cut bets

Sino-US trade war tensions could sap upside momentum in USD

What is the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy in 2020?

Learn how to use politicalrisk analysis in your trading strategy!

US Jobs Data: What to Expect

The US Dollar may gain against its major counterparts if a…

[forexbeginnersworld]

British Pound Outlook Bullish Ahead of BBC Debate, UK Election

British Pound Outlook Bullish Ahead of BBC Debate, UK Election

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UK Election, British Pound, GBP Forecast– TALKING POINTS

British Pound may rise on BBC debate between Boris Johnson, Jeremy Corbyn

Recent polls have put Conservatives ahead of Labour and given a boost to GBP

Markets are bracing for the UK general election as Brexit deadline approaches

Learn how to use politicalrisk analysis in your trading strategy!

The British Pound may rise following…