#predictaposting

[regina-bithyniae]

Please reblog for sample size due to smaller poll duration!

[regina-bithyniae]

Entertaining as it is, predicting 0.9 probability the apparent Wagner Group coup attempt fails (fails to install Prigozhin in power, ousting main players in MoD and possibly Putin himself)

[regina-bithyniae]

Predicting 0.85 probability Twitter doesn't collapse

[regina-bithyniae]

Predict 0.95 probability all five Titan submersible passengers will not survive the week.

[regina-bithyniae]

oof ouchie my brier score!

[regina-bithyniae]

I totally should've pre-registered my take that somebody misinterpreted the data on this one, I was at 95% certainty. L for my #predictaposting tag