the-pitwall

[the-pitwall]

F1 WDC Predictions

I’ve finished all my work for today and I’ve found myself calculating some potential championship outcomes based on the races to date.

I did 3 different analyses based on the season as a whole, the most recent 9 races and the most recent 5 races.

Looking at the season as a whole this is the predicted outcome of the drivers championship

Verstappen (424 points)

Norris (352 points)

Leclerc (332 points)

Piastri (319 points)

Sainz (242 points)

Hamilton (236 points)

Russell (192 points)

Perez (171 points)

Based on the results on the last 9 races, things are a little different

Verstappen (414 points)

Norris (367 points)

Piastri (350 points)

Leclerc (330 points)

Hamilton (286 points)

Sainz (247 points)

Russell (226 points)

Perez (171 points)

Then finally the predictions based on the last 5 races

Verstappen (381 points)

Piastri (363 points)

Leclerc (335 points)

Norris (334 points)

Sainz (230 points)

Hamilton (222 points)

Russell (180 points)

Perez (173 points)

All three predict more race wins for Piastri, Norris, Leclerc and Hamilton, with 2/3 predicting a Verstappen race win within the next 7 races and 1/3 predicting a Russell race win.

[the-pitwall]

End of Season Qualifying Battles

Mercedes: 13 - 9

Hamilton/Russell

Red Bull: 18 - 4

Verstappen/Perez

Ferrari: 15 - 7

Leclerc/Sainz

McLaren: 20 - 2

Norris/Ricciardo

Alpine: 12 - 10

Alonso/Ocon

AlphaTauri: 13 - 9

Gasly/Tsunoda

Aston Martin: 13 - 7

Vettel/Stroll

Williams: 19 - 2

Albon/Latifi

Alfa Romeo: 14 - 8

Bottas/Zhou

Haas: 16 - 6

Magnussen/Schumacher

[the-pitwall]

Average Season Pit Stop Times

Post US GP

Verstappen: 3.019s

Ricciardo: 3.033s

Perez: 3.140s

Leclerc: 3.243s

Stroll: 3.463s

Alonso: 3.705s

Vettel: 3.742s

Sainz: 3.787s

Russell: 3.813s

Norris: 3.823s

Ocon: 3.901s

Hamilton: 3.921s

Albon: 3.951s

Bottas: 3.964s

Gasly: 4.372s

Latifi: 4.494s

Tsunoda: 4.739s

Schumacher: 4.901s

Zhou: 5.184s

Magnussen: 5.293s

[the-pitwall]

Paul Ricard has the second highest number of overtakes per race (since 2017) out of all of the circuits

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At the French GP, Lewis Hamilton is set to become the 6th driver to start 300 races in Formula 1.

The other 5 are; Rubens Barrichello (326), Michael Schumacher (308), Jenson Button (309), Fernando Alonso (347), and Kimi Räikkönen (353).

[the-pitwall]

Laps Completed

(Out of a total 1176)

McLaren - 1141

Aston Martin - 1128

Mercedes - 1123

Red Bull - 1089

Alpine - 1086

Williams - 1059

AlphaTauri - 1046

Haas - 961

Alfa Romeo - 958

Ferrari - 944

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Laps Completed

(Out of a total 588)

Lewis Hamilton - 587

Lance Stroll - 580

Esteban Ocon - 572

Daniel Ricciardo - 571

Lando Norris - 570

Max Verstappen - 565

Nicholas Latifi - 546

Valtteri Bottas - 541

George Russell - 536

Pierre Gasly - 535

Sergio Perez - 524

Charles Leclerc - 519

Kevin Magnussen - 519

Fernando Alonso - 514

Alex Albon - 513

Yuki Tsunoda - 511

Mick Schumacher - 442

Sebastian Vettel - 441

Carlos Sainz - 425

Zhou Guanyu - 417

[the-pitwall]

There’s a potential record break this weekend; most podiums at a circuit.

The current record is 12, and it’s shared by Schumacher (who has 12 podiums at Imola, Barcelona and Montreal) and Hamilton (who currently has 12 in Silverstone)

[the-pitwall]

Canada FP3 Ranking

Sector 1

Alpine: 26.740

Ferrari: +0.129s

Mercedes: +0.217s

McLaren: +0.245s

Aston Martin: +0.278s

AlphaTauri: +0.456s

Red Bull: +0.479s

Haas: +0.636s

Alfa Romeo: +0.661s

Williams: +0.870s

Sector 2

Aston Martin: 30.145

Alpine: +0.061s

McLaren: +0.137s

AlphaTauri: +0.151s

Red Bull: +0.315s

Ferrari: +0.337s

Alfa Romeo: +0.406s

Mercedes: +0.461s

Williams: +0.580s

Haas: +0.722s

Sector 3

Alpine: 36.191

AlphaTauri: +0.075s

Aston Martin: +0.198s

McLaren: +0.343s

Mercedes: +0.389s

Red Bull: +0.439s

Alfa Romeo: +0.509s

Williams: +0.647s

Ferrari: +0.684s

Haas: +0.729s

[the-pitwall]

Canada FP2 Ranking

Sector 1

Red Bull: 20.620

McLaren: +0.045s

Ferrari: +0.054s

Alpine: +0.116s

Aston Martin: +0.142s

Mercedes: +0.176s

Alpha Tauri: +0.205s

Haas: +0.350s

Alfa Romeo: +0.372s

Williams: +0.697s

Sector 2

Ferrari: 23.797

Red Bull: +0.014s

Aston Martin: +0.047s

McLaren: +0.148s

Alpine: +0.155s

Mercedes: +0.288s

AlphaTauri: +0.314s

Alfa Romeo: +0.461s

Haas: +0.462s

Williams: +0.714s

Sector 3

Red Bull: 29.616

Ferrari: +0.114s

Aston Martin: +0.220s

Alpine: +0.226s

AlphaTauri: +0.327s

Mercedes: +0.412s

Haas: +0.521s

McLaren: +0.559s

Williams: +0.592s

Alfa Romeo: +0.660s

[the-pitwall]

Canada FP1 Ranking

Sector 1

Ferrari: 20.780

Red Bull: +0.101s

Alpine: +0.185s

Mercedes: +0.327s

Aston Martin: +0.353s

Alfa Romeo: +0.377s

AlphaTauri: +0.440s

McLaren: +0.455s

Williams: +0.556s

Haas: +0.787s

Sector 2

Ferrari: 24.080

Aston Martin: +0.075s

Mercedes: +0.172s

Alpine: +0.173s

Red Bull: +0.221s

McLaren: +0.308s

AlphaTauri: +0.382s

Williams: +0.445s

Alfa Romeo: +0.458s

Haas: +0.608s

Sector 3

Red Bull: 29.974

Ferrari: +0.218s

Alpine: +0.221s

Aston Martin: +0.254s

Mercedes: +0.320s

AlphaTauri: +0.362s

McLaren: +0.406s

Williams: +0.468s

Alfa Romeo: +0.648s

Haas: +0.843s

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All of the Canadian Grand Prix pole positions, since 2007 have gone to either Lewis Hamilton or Sebastian Vettel, except for 2014 which was Nico Rosberg

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FP3 Rankings

Sector 1

Red Bull: 36.284

Ferrari: +0.104s

Mercedes: +0.249s

McLaren: +0.437s

AlphaTauri: +0.444s

Aston Martin: +0.532s

Alpine: +0.693s

Haas: +0.702s

Alfa Romeo: +0.775s

Williams: +0.972s

Sector 2

Ferrari: 41.663

Red Bull: +0.068s

McLaren: +0.474s

AlphaTauri: +0.575s

Mercedes: +0.689s

Aston Martin: +0.759s

Alfa Romeo: +0.885s

Haas: +0.916s

Alpine: +0.988s

Williams: +1.165s

Sector 3

Alpine: 25.017

Red Bull: +0.029s

Ferrari: +0.081s

Aston Martin: +0.127s

AlphaTauri: +0.182s

Haas: +0.271s

Alfa Romeo: +0.280s

Williams: +0.378s

McLaren: +0.503s

Mercedes: +0.560s

[the-pitwall]

FP2 Rankings

Sector 1

Ferrari: 36.138

Red Bull: +0.019s

AlphaTauri: +0.269s

McLaren: +0.434s

Mercedes: +0.454s

Alpine: +0.524s

Alfa Romeo: +0.622s

Aston Martin: +0.688s

Haas: +1.052s

Williams: +1.140s

Sector 2

Ferrari: 41.319

Red Bull: +0.294s

Mercedes: +0.538s

AlphaTauri: +0.588s

McLaren: +0.609s

Aston Martin: +0.752s

Alpine: +0.907s

Alfa Romeo: +0.959s

Haas: +1.005s

Williams: +1.493s

Sector 3

Alpine: 25.254

Ferrari: +0.163s

Red Bull: +0.290s

Aston Martin: +0.512s

Williams: +0.527s

AlphaTauri: +0.564s

Haas: +0.608s

Alfa Romeo: +0.646s

Mercedes: +0.747s

McLaren: +0.868s

[the-pitwall]

FP1 Rankings

Sector 1

Red Bull: 36.844

Ferrari: +0.374s

Mercedes: + 0.404s

Alpine: +0.468s

McLaren: +0.528s

AlphaTauri: +0.539s

Aston Martin: +0.956s

Alfa Romeo: +0.956s

Williams: +0.988s

Haas: +1.106s

Sector 2

Ferrari: 42.147

Mercedes: +0.461s

Red Bull: +0.478s

AlphaTauri: +0.808s

Alpine: +0.891s

Haas: +1.084s

Alfa Romeo: +1.139s

McLaren: +1.202s

Aston Martin: +1.516s

Williams: +1.881s

Sector 3

Alpine: 25.834

Red Bull: +0.065s

Ferrari: +0.271s

AlphaTauri: +0.457s

Aston Martin: +0.497s

Alfa Romeo: +0.667s

Haas: +0.676s

McLaren: +0.682s

Williams: +0.708s

Mercedes: +0.710s

[the-pitwall]

Points Distribution after 7 Races

Red Bull: 235 points (53.19% Verstappen, 46.81% Perez)

Ferrari: 199 points (58.28% Leclerc, 41.71% Sainz)

Mercedes: 134 points (62.68% Russell, 37.32% Hamilton)

McLaren: 59 points (81.35% Norris, 18.65% Ricciardo)

Alfa Romeo: 41 points (97.56% Bottas, 2.44% Zhou)

Alpine: 40 points (75% Ocon, 25% Alonso)

AlphaTauri: 17 points (64.71% Tsunoda, 35.29% Gasly)

Haas: 15 points (100% Magnussen, 0% Schumacher)

Aston Martin: 7 points (71.42% Vettel, 28.58% Stroll)

Williams: 3 points (100% Albon, 0% Latifi)

[the-pitwall]

Laps Completed

(Out of a potential 285)

Charles Leclerc - 285

George Russell - 285

Sergio Perez - 284

Esteban Ocon - 284

Lewis Hamilton - 284

Lance Stroll - 283

Kevin Magnussen - 283

Alex Albon - 281

Valtteri Bottas - 271

Daniel Ricciardo - 269

Lando Norris - 267

Max Verstappen - 262

Pierre Gasly - 259

Nicholas Latifi - 247

Yuki Tsunoda - 234

Mick Schumacher - 233

Zhou Guyanu - 233

Fernando Alonso - 212

Carlos Sainz - 165

Sebastian Vettel - 139

Nico Hulkenberg - 107