#Estimating for Development Projects

[asestimationsconsultants]

How a Cost Estimating Service Prevents Budget Overruns in Government Projects

Government projects, from infrastructure development to public sector building projects, are often large in scale, highly complex, and come with strict budgetary constraints. In such projects, ensuring that financial resources are properly allocated and spent is critical. One of the most effective tools in preventing budget overruns in these projects is a cost estimating service.

A cost estimating service helps government agencies and contractors accurately predict the financial needs of a project, helping to prevent overspending, misallocation of resources, and financial surprises that can derail projects. In this article, we will explore how a cost estimating service plays a crucial role in preventing budget overruns in government projects.

The Importance of Accurate Cost Estimation

In government projects, budgets are often fixed, and any deviation from the allocated funds can cause significant delays, loss of public trust, or, in some cases, legal consequences. This makes accurate cost estimation a key element in project planning and execution. Poorly estimated budgets are one of the leading causes of budget overruns. A cost estimating service provides the necessary expertise to predict costs accurately and manage risks effectively throughout the project.

How Cost Estimating Services Help Prevent Budget Overruns

Accurate Initial Cost Forecasting

One of the primary roles of a cost estimating service is to create a detailed, accurate initial cost forecast. This involves gathering data from multiple sources, including historical project costs, labor rates, material prices, and other essential elements that contribute to the total project cost. The cost estimator uses this data to generate a comprehensive budget for the project that reflects both direct and indirect costs.

By developing a clear and detailed initial cost estimate, a cost estimating service helps government agencies understand the financial scope of the project and ensures that they allocate resources appropriately. Without this accurate forecasting, the project could face unexpected financial challenges down the line, leading to costly overruns.

Identifying Potential Risks Early

A key benefit of using a cost estimating service is the ability to identify potential risks and financial challenges early in the project. Estimators are trained to consider various scenarios that may lead to budget issues, such as increases in material costs, supply chain disruptions, and delays caused by weather or regulatory issues.

By identifying these risks early, cost estimators can factor them into the project budget and propose contingency plans. For example, if the cost of a key material is projected to rise, the estimator can adjust the budget to accommodate this increase. This proactive approach helps to prevent surprises that could lead to cost overruns during the project's execution.

Real-Time Budget Monitoring and Adjustments

Once the project is underway, the cost estimating service continues to play a key role in monitoring the budget in real-time. By tracking actual expenditures and comparing them to the original estimates, cost estimators can identify discrepancies and take corrective actions quickly.

If costs are higher than anticipated, the estimator can work with the project manager to adjust the budget, reallocate resources, or find cost-saving opportunities to keep the project within financial constraints. Real-time monitoring allows for adjustments to be made in a timely manner, preventing small issues from snowballing into major budget overruns.

Detailed Breakdown of Costs

A cost estimating service provides a detailed breakdown of costs, which is especially important for government projects that require transparency. Each aspect of the project—whether it’s materials, labor, equipment, or overhead—can be tracked and monitored separately.

This level of detail allows stakeholders to see exactly where money is being spent and identify areas where costs might be higher than expected. For example, if labor costs are consistently exceeding estimates, the project manager can investigate the cause and implement measures to reduce these expenses.

By breaking down costs into clear categories, a cost estimating service helps ensure that resources are used efficiently and that there are no hidden or unnecessary expenses. This transparency helps prevent budget overruns and ensures that the project remains on track financially.

Integration with Project Management Tools

Many modern cost estimating services integrate with project management software to provide seamless tracking of both costs and progress. These tools allow real-time updates and visibility across different project phases, ensuring that all stakeholders, including government officials, contractors, and project managers, have access to the latest financial information.

This integration allows the project team to monitor expenditures against the budget as the project progresses. It also facilitates communication between different teams, which helps in addressing financial issues as soon as they arise. By using integrated tools, government projects can stay on track and within budget.

Providing Accurate Change Orders

Changes in scope are common in large government projects, whether due to regulatory adjustments, design revisions, or unforeseen issues. Each change can have a significant impact on the project budget. A cost estimating service helps manage these changes by providing accurate cost estimates for change orders.

When a change is requested, the estimating service can quickly assess how it will affect the overall project budget. This allows stakeholders to make informed decisions about whether the change is feasible within the existing budget or if adjustments need to be made. By evaluating the financial impact of changes before they are implemented, the cost estimating service helps prevent the project from exceeding its budget due to uncontrolled changes.

Ensuring Compliance with Regulations and Guidelines

Government projects often have strict regulations and guidelines regarding budget management and expenditure. A cost estimating service ensures that the project remains in compliance with these rules by adhering to established budgeting standards and reporting requirements. This is crucial for preventing budget overruns that may arise from non-compliance or mismanagement of funds.

By ensuring that all estimates are accurate and that costs are tracked according to regulatory standards, the estimating service helps government projects avoid penalties or delays caused by budget mismanagement.

Creating Contingency Budgets

One of the most important tools in preventing budget overruns is the use of contingency budgets. A cost estimating service helps create a realistic contingency budget that accounts for unforeseen costs or changes that might arise during the project.

Contingency budgets act as a financial cushion, providing the project with the flexibility to handle unexpected costs without exceeding the overall budget. By allocating a percentage of the total budget for contingencies, a cost estimating service ensures that the project is prepared for any surprises that may occur during construction or development.

Conclusion

Budget overruns are a significant challenge in government projects, where financial resources are often limited and must be used efficiently. A cost estimating service helps prevent these overruns by providing accurate cost forecasts, identifying potential risks, and offering detailed breakdowns of expenses. With real-time monitoring, accurate change order assessments, and the creation of contingency budgets, a cost estimating service ensures that government projects remain financially on track from start to finish. By using a professional cost estimating service, government agencies can reduce the risk of budget overruns and ensure that taxpayer funds are used effectively to complete projects on time and within budget.

[softwaredevelopmenthub25]

How long does it take to create MVP software?

MVP development services take 3-4 months to complete. But, note that the average estimate of MVP projects can vary from case to case. Let our experienced developers study your business idea and give you their estimate.

[mangled-by-disuse]

I have such mixed feelings about the love languages thing specifically, because, like, gary chapman fucking sucks and there's no scientific validity to his work BUT

at the same time, i do think there's some value in recognising and discussing the fact that different people need different expressions of love in different amounts? Especially in relationships.

Like, I have just recently been having a discussion with my partner about how he really doesn't tend to express his affection through gifts, whereas (as someone who is mega-bad at expressing sincere feeling) I do rely heavily on giving gifts and doing things for people as a less scary way to express love. Joe doesn't like giving gifts, because he's scared he'll do it wrong, and is only so-so on receiving them. He prefers to express love through physical contact and saying nice things. I hate having nice things said to me unless I am allowed to immediately rebut them with a joke or sarcastic comment that makes them less scarily close to emotional honesty. too many words of affirmation and i will genuinely just start avoiding you because it is painfully awkward to me.

and none of that means we are fundamentally different categories of people, which is where the 5 Love Languages stuff falls into being absolute bollocks. but I have seen, and done, enough throwing the baby out with the bathwater on that to be a little defensive - I think reasonable applications of the concept are actually really quite valuable. and for me, the taxonomy Chapman suggests (words of affirmation, quality time, gifts, acts of service, physical touch) while not at all exhaustive or thorough, is a useful framework to hang those conversations on. bc, like, no, the way people communicate and receive affection is not universal, and from personal experience, assuming that it is can have really significant problems for a relationship.

...you could argue that this is parallel to BMI in terms of "tools being used in totally not the way they should be used" though, tbf.

I can't keep having the same conversations about love languages, mbti, iq, bmi, "brain fully formed at 25" and shit over and over again...

[pejasurveying1]

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[theabstruseone]

I slept in and just woke up, so here's what I've been able to figure out while sipping coffee:

Twitter has officially rebranded to X just a day or two after the move was announced.

The official branding is that a tweet is now called "an X", for which there are too many jokes to make.

The official account is still @twitter because someone else owns @X and they didn't reclaim the username first.

The logo is 𝕏 which is the Unicode character Unicode U+1D54F so the logo cannot be copyrighted and it is highly likely that it cannot be protected as a trademark.

Outside the visual logo, the trademark for the use of the name "X" in social media is held by Meta/Facebook, while the trademark for "X" in finance/commerce is owned by Microsoft.

The rebranding has been stopped in Japan as the term "X Japan" is trademarked by the band X JAPAN.

Elon had workers taking down the "Twitter" name from the side of the building. He did not have any permits to do this. The building owner called the cops who stopped the crew midway through so the sign just says "er".

He still plans to call his streaming and media hosting branch of the company as "Xvideo". Nobody tell him.

This man wants you to give him control over all of your financial information.

Edit to add further developments:

Yes, this is all real. Check the notes and people have pictures. I understand the skepticism because it feels like a joke, but to the best of my knowledge, everything in the above is accurate.

Microsoft also owns the trademark on X for chatting and gaming because, y'know, X-box.

The logo came from a random podcaster who tweeted it at Musk.

The act of sending a tweet is now known as "Xeet". They even added a guide for how to Xeet.

The branding change is inconsistent. Some icons have changed, some have not, and the words "tweet" and "Twitter" are still all over the place on the site.

TweetDeck is currently unaffected and I hope it's because they forgot that it exists again. The complete negligence toward that tool and just leaving it the hell alone is the only thing that makes the site usable (and some of us are stuck on there for work).

This is likely because Musk was forced out of PayPal due to a failed credit line project and because he wanted to rename the site to "X-Paypal" and eventually just to "X".

This became a big deal behind the scenes as Musk paid over $1 million for the domain X.com and wanted to rebrand the company that already had the brand awareness people were using it as a verb to "pay online" (as in "I'll paypal you the money")

X.com is not currently owned by Musk. It is held by a domain registrar (I believe GoDaddy but I'm not entirely sure). Meaning as long as he's hung onto this idea of making X Corp a thing, he couldn't be arsed to pay the $15/year domain renewal.

Bloomberg estimates the rebranding wiped between $4 to $20 billion from the valuation of Twitter due to the loss of brand awareness.

The company was already worth less than half of the $44 billion Musk paid for it in the first place, meaning this may end up a worse deal than when Yahoo bought Tumblr.

One estimation (though this is with a grain of salt) said that Twitter is three months from defaulting on its loans taken out to buy the site. Those loans were secured with Tesla stock. Meaning the bank will seize that stock and, since it won't be enough to pay the debt (since it's worth around 50-75% of what it was at the time of the loan), they can start seizing personal assets of Elon Musk including the Twitter company itself and his interest in SpaceX.

Sesame Street's official accounts mocked the rebranding.

[lostconsultants]

Revolutionising Estimations with AI: Smarter, Faster, and More Reliable Predictions

Revolutionising estimations with AI transforms project planning by enhancing accuracy and reducing uncertainty. Unlike traditional methods prone to bias, AI-driven estimations leverage historical data and predictive analytics for more reliable forecasts.

Revolutionising estimations with AI is transforming how teams predict timelines, allocate resources, and improve project planning. Traditional estimation methods often rely on human intuition, which can introduce biases and inconsistencies. AI offers a data-driven approach that enhances accuracy, reduces uncertainty, and allows teams to focus on delivering value. If you’re interested in…

[batboyblog]

Things Biden and the Democrats did, this week.

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau put forward a new regulation to limit bank overdraft fees. The CFPB pointed out that the average overdraft fee is $35 even though majority of overdrafts are under $26 and paid back with-in 3 days. The new regulation will push overdraft fees down to as little as $3 and not more than $14, saving the American public collectively 3.5 billion dollars a year.

The Environmental Protection Agency put forward a regulation to fine oil and gas companies for emitting methane. Methane is the second most abundant greenhouse gas, after CO2 and is responsible for 30% of the rise of global temperatures. This represents the first time the federal government has taxed a greenhouse gas. The EPA believes this rule will help reduce methane emissions by 80%

The Energy Department has awarded $104 million in grants to support clean energy projects at federal buildings, including solar panels at the Pentagon. The federal government is the biggest consumer of energy in the nation. The project is part Biden's goal of reducing the federal government's greenhouse gas emissions by 65% by 2030. The Energy Department estimates it'll save taxpayers $29 million in the first year alone and will have the same impact on emissions as taking over 23,000 gas powered cars off the road.

The Education Department has cancelled 5 billion more dollars of student loan debt. This will effect 74,000 more borrowers, this brings the total number of people who've had their student loan debt forgiven under Biden through different programs to 3.7 Million

U.S. Agency for International Development has launched a program to combat lead exposure in developing countries like South Africa and India. Lead kills 1.6 million people every year, more than malaria and AIDS put together.

Congressional Democrats have reached a deal with their Republican counter parts to revive the expanded the Child Tax Credit. The bill will benefit 16 million children in its first year and is expected to lift 400,000 children out of poverty in its first year. The proposed deal also has a housing provision that could see 200,000 new affordable rental units

[reasonsforhope]

Although dam removals have been happening since 1912, the vast majority have occurred since the mid-2010s, and they have picked up steam since the 2021 Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, which provided funding for such projects. To date, 806 Northeastern dams have come down, with hundreds more in the pipeline. Across the country, 2023 was a watershed year, with a total of 80 dam removals. Says Andrew Fisk, Northeast regional director of the nonprofit American Rivers, “The increasing intensity and frequency of storm events, and the dramatically reduced sizes of our migratory fish populations, are accelerating our efforts.”

Dam removals in the Northeast don’t generate the same media attention as massive takedowns on West Coast rivers, like the Klamath or the Elwha. That’s because most of these structures are comparatively miniscule, built in the 19th century to form ponds and to power grist, textile, paper, saw, and other types of mills as the region developed into an industrial powerhouse.

But as mills became defunct, their dams remained. They may be small to humans, but to the fish that can’t get past them “they’re just as big as a Klamath River dam,” says Maddie Feaster, habitat restoration project manager for the environmental organization Riverkeeper, based in Ossining, New York. From Maryland and Pennsylvania up to Maine, there are 31,213 inventoried dams, more than 4,000 of which sit within the 13,400-square-mile Hudson River watershed alone. For generations they’ve degraded habitat and altered downstream hydrology and sediment flows, creating warm, stagnant, low-oxygen pools that trigger algal blooms and favor invasive species. The dams inhibit fish passage, too, which is why the biologists at the mouth of the Saw Kill transported their glass eels past the first of three Saw Kill dams after counting them...

Jeremy Dietrich, an aquatic ecologist at the New York State Water Resources Institute, monitors dam sites both pre- and post-removal. Environments upstream of an intact dam, he explains, “are dominated by midges, aquatic worms, small crustaceans, organisms you typically might find in a pond.” In 2017 and 2018 assessments of recent Hudson River dam removals, some of which also included riverbank restorations to further enhance habitat for native species, he found improved water quality and more populous communities of beetles, mayflies, and caddisflies, which are “more sensitive to environmental perturbation, and thus used as bioindicators,” he says. “You have this big polarity of ecological conditions, because the barrier has severed the natural connectivity of the system. [After removal], we generally see streams recover to a point where we didn’t even know there was a dam there.”

Pictured: Quassaick Creek flows freely after the removal of the Strooks Felt Dam, Newburgh, New York.

American Rivers estimates that 85 percent of U.S. dams are unnecessary at best and pose risks to public safety at worst, should they collapse and flood downstream communities. The nonprofit has been involved with roughly 1,000 removals across the country, 38 of them since 2018. This effort was boosted by $800 million from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law. But states will likely need to contribute more of their own funding should the Trump administration claw back unspent money, and organizations involved in dam removal are now scrambling to assess the potential impact to their work.

Enthusiasm for such projects is on the upswing among some dam owners — whether states, municipalities, or private landholders. Pennsylvania alone has taken out more than 390 dams since 1912 — 107 of them between 2015 and 2023 — none higher than 16 feet high. “Individual property owners [say] I own a dam, and my insurance company is telling me I have a liability,” says Fisk. Dams in disrepair may release toxic sediments that potentially threaten both human health and wildlife, and low-head dams, over which water flows continuously, churn up recirculating currents that trap and drown 50 people a year in the U.S.

Numerous studies show that dam removals improve aquatic fish passage, water quality, watershed resilience, and habitat for organisms up the food chain, from insects to otters and eagles. But removals aren’t straightforward. Federal grants, from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration or the Fish and Wildlife Service, favor projects that benefit federally listed species and many river miles. But even the smallest, simplest projects range in cost from $100,000 to $3 million. To qualify for a grant, be it federal or state, an application “has to score well,” says Scott Cuppett, who leads the watershed team at the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation’s Hudson River Estuary Program, which collaborates with nonprofits like Riverkeeper to connect dam owners to technical assistance and money...

All this can be overwhelming for dam owners, which is why stakeholders hope additional research will help loosen up some of the requirements. In 2020, Yellen released a study in which he simulated the removal of the 1,702 dams in the lower Hudson watershed, attempting to determine how much sediment might be released if they came down. He found that “the vast majority of dams don’t really trap much sediment,” he says. That’s good news, since it means sediment released into the Hudson will neither permanently worsen water quality nor build up in places that would smother or otherwise harm underwater vegetation. And it shows that “you would not need to invest a huge amount of time or effort into a [costly] sediment management plan,” Yellen says. It’s “a day’s worth of excavator work to remove some concrete and rock, instead of months of trucking away sand and fill.” ...

On a sunny winter afternoon, Feaster, of Riverkeeper, stands in thick mud beside Quassaick Creek in Newburgh, New York. The Strooks Felt Dam, the first of seven municipally owned dams on the lower reaches of this 18-mile tributary, was demolished with state money in 2020. The second dam, called Holden, is slated to come down in late 2025. Feaster is showing a visitor the third, the Walsh Road Dam, whose removal has yet to be funded. “This was built into a floodplain,” she says, “and when it rains the dam overflows to flood a housing complex just around a bend in the creek.” ...

On the Quassaick, improvements are evident since the Strooks dam came out. American eel and juvenile blue crabs have already moved in. In fact, fish returns can sometimes be observed within minutes of opening a passageway. Says Schmidt, “We’ve had dammed rivers where you’ve been removing the project and when the last piece comes out a fish immediately storms past it.”

There is palpable impatience among environmentalists and dam owners to get even more removals going in the Northeast. To that end, collaborators are working to streamline the process. The Fish and Wildlife Service, for example, has formed an interagency fish passage task force with other federal agencies, including NOAA and FEMA, that have their own interests in dam removals. American Rivers is working with regional partners to develop priority lists of dams whose removals would provide the greatest environmental and safety benefits and open up the most river miles to the most important species. “We’re not going to remove all dams,” [Note: mostly for reasons dealing with invasive species management, etc.] says Schmidt. “But we can be really thoughtful and impactful with the ones that we do choose to remove.”

-via Yale Environment 360, February 4, 2025

[fatestayyuri]

i think it's really funny how binding of isaac is balanced like a gacha where the studio's profits will crater and the developer's heads will be on the line if people grind the currency even 5% more than projected estimates despite being a single player game that has been out for 14 years

[asestimationsconsultants]

When Should You Hire a Construction Cost Estimator Sydney for Best Results?

Hiring a construction cost estimator at the right time can make a major difference in the success of your building project. Whether you’re planning a new home, a commercial build, or a renovation in Sydney, the timing of when you engage an estimator affects cost accuracy, design flexibility, and your overall ability to stay on budget. This article explores the best stages to bring in a construction cost estimator and how early involvement can prevent costly surprises.

Pre-Design Phase: The Earliest and Most Strategic Point

The ideal time to hire a construction cost estimator is before the design process begins. At this point, the estimator can help you define a realistic budget based on your goals and site conditions. They offer guidance on whether your vision is financially feasible and may suggest adjustments to scope or materials before significant design costs are incurred.

Early engagement is especially important in Sydney, where local regulations, material prices, and labor rates can all affect project costs significantly.

During Concept Design and Feasibility Studies

As your architect begins creating concept drawings, a cost estimator can step in to provide preliminary cost feedback. These early cost estimates help shape the design and prevent it from straying beyond your intended budget. Estimators also consider local Sydney council requirements and site constraints that might influence costs.

Working with a cost estimator at this stage encourages collaboration between designers and financial planners, supporting a more efficient design-to-budget approach.

At the Design Development Stage

Once the concept design has been refined and is progressing toward technical detail, it’s another key opportunity to engage or re-engage an estimator. A detailed cost plan during this stage helps ensure that changes made for aesthetics or functionality won’t derail the project’s financial foundation.

If you’ve already involved an estimator earlier, this is when you can request a second or updated cost report to check that your evolving plans remain affordable.

Before Tendering or Contractor Selection

If your project is headed for competitive bidding, a pre-tender estimate is essential. Cost estimators help you determine whether bids are fair and in line with current market conditions in Sydney. This prevents you from selecting contractors based solely on low pricing that may not be sustainable.

This step also helps you finalize financing and determine whether any changes to scope or materials are needed before construction begins.

During Construction (For Budget Tracking)

Although estimators are most valuable before construction begins, some continue to assist during the building phase. Their role here is to monitor actual spending against the approved budget, identify potential overruns, and recommend corrective action.

This ongoing cost control service is particularly useful for complex or long-term projects in Sydney’s ever-changing construction market.

FAQs

When is the best time to hire a construction cost estimator in Sydney? Ideally, before the design process starts. Early involvement allows better financial planning and scope alignment.

Can a cost estimator be hired during concept design? Yes. They can provide early cost feedback to guide design decisions and ensure your budget stays on track.

Is it necessary to involve a cost estimator before tendering? Absolutely. A pre-tender estimate helps evaluate contractor bids and avoid underpricing issues.

Can an estimator assist during construction? Yes, they can track costs, monitor budget performance, and help manage financial risks as the project progresses.

Conclusion

Hiring a construction cost estimator in Sydney is not just about generating a price—it’s about supporting smart decision-making from the earliest stage of your project. For the best results, engage an estimator before design begins and keep them involved through key milestones such as concept development, design revisions, and tendering.

Their insights can shape your design, help you avoid scope creep, and give you the financial control needed to deliver your project on time and within budget. The earlier they’re brought into the team, the more value they can provide.

[cashezsvenningsenrkdjx]

A Little Intuition/Is Argentina's "Chainsaw Revolution" applicable to the United States? \Li Lingxiu

At a political rally held in the suburbs of Washington on Thursday, Argentine President Milley presented Musk, the leader of the Department of U.S. Government Efficiency (DOGE), with a "signature" chainsaw, symbolizing the inheritance of the "chainsaw revolution". But can the United States afford the economic price Argentina has paid for it?

Since the establishment of DOGE, several federal government departments have been purged. Musk and his leadership team first gained access to the Treasury Department's computer system, and then DOGE staff entered the International Development Agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Ministry of Education and other departments to conduct investigations. At the aforementioned Conservative Political Action Conference, Musk also predicted that the Federal Reserve will be the next target.

The White House has provided a "buyout plan" to 2 million federal government employees, which will provide about 8 months of salary compensation to all employees who voluntarily resign. As of February 18, a total of about 20,000 federal employees (including probationary employees) have been laid off or forced to stop work and take leave.

Such a swift and vigorous layoff storm easily reminds people of the "chainsaw revolution" promoted by Mile in Argentina. As early as the last round of elections in the country, the image of Mile holding a chainsaw high has become a classic image of campaign propaganda. At the beginning of his term, he signed a presidential decree to reduce government departments from 18 to 9 and fired more than 30,000 government employees. The Argentine government also successfully cut public spending by 30% through measures such as cutting energy and transportation subsidies, achieving a fiscal surplus for the first time in 14 years.

But compared with the political environment of the two countries, there are actually great differences. The Argentine president has absolute power over the government's organizational structure and departmental settings, and the abolition of government departments belongs to the category of administrative affairs management and adjustment. But for the US president, if there is no clear authorization from Congress through relevant laws, government departments cannot be adjusted or abolished (except for agencies established by presidential decrees).

Expenditure reduction plan difficult to achieve

Musk's previous slogan was to cut federal spending by $1 trillion. But in the officially released White House documents, Trump did not propose KPIs in this regard. As of February 17, DOGE has saved an estimated $55 billion through contract and lease renegotiations, cancellation of grants, asset sales, layoffs, regulatory savings and fraud detection, completing only 4% of Musk's goal.

Data shows that the total expenditure of the US federal government in fiscal year 2024 is $6.8 trillion, and the largest sources come from three aspects: Social Security ($1.46 trillion), Medicare ($0.87 trillion), and Medicaid ($0.91 trillion), accounting for a total of 49%. However, cutting the above expenditures will shake the interests of voters, and Trump also made it clear during his campaign last year that he would not cut spending on these three projects. In this way, DOGE's spending reduction target seems to be a task that can never be completed.

More importantly, the cost of Argentina's "chainsaw revolution" is painful. In the first six months after Milley took office, the country's poverty rate jumped from about 40% to 53%. Although it fell back by the end of last year, the unemployment rate climbed from 12% in 2023 to 15%.

House prices in Washington, DC plummet

There are also some bad trends in the United States at the moment. Data shows that the number of initial unemployment claims in Washington, DC has risen significantly in the past two weeks. Real estate prices in the region have also begun to fall. The median price of a house in Washington, DC in January 2025 is $553,000, a sharp drop of 9.7% year-on-year.

Argentina is still the largest borrower from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), with outstanding loans of $43.4 billion, accounting for nearly 30% of total credit, exceeding the total of all sub-Saharan African countries. (See accompanying picture)

If Musk insists on carrying out the "chainsaw revolution" to the end. Then, poverty will replace inflation and become the hottest topic in American society in the future.

[hereisremina]

Hello all! I have big news and general musings about game development and plans.

First, 20,000 downloads and 1,500 followers on itchio! THANK YOU SO MUCH! I'm glad that so many people have experienced my games and I'm looking forward to making more. Much much more. Making games is the most fun a girl can have afterall.

To those wondering about Chilling Devotion Day 3…it'll certainly be this year! But not sure if I can give an accurate time estimate yet. I'll probably still be making art of Jim to post on socials and answering asks over on tumblr in the meantime! And to answer some more commonly asked questions about CD- yes, there will be nsfw content in later days. And Jim is a switch lol. Ya'll got perv questions. And I respect that lol

For now, I'm mostly working on releasing Act 1 of a new project: Vespera Blood and Sacrilage. It'll definitely and instantly be a nsfw/murdersim game so very different than my other projects. But I think it'll be a very special and very cursed game.

And…I'm proud to announce that I've got the sickening music for it…by Saidan! A U.S. horror black metal band that I really like AND!!! Big news, I'll be touring with them on their U.S. west coast tour and helping out with merch while I work on game development. It'll be a lot of fun and, if you can, please come out and see the show! Tour start next month in St. Louis, MO!

And apparently I'm dabbling in rpg maker lol so who knows how I'll end up using that!

Saidan CHECK THEM OUT AND COME OUT TO HAVE FUN WITH US ON TOUR!

Remina All my socials for extra goodies and getting updates!

Come meet the band and the game dev this freak summer if you're in the US or Vancouver, Canada!!!! Are any of ya'll from the United States? Or Vancouver?

[mariacallous]

Mamdani has promised to create 200,000 units of new publicly subsidized, rent-stabilized housing and to fast-track projects consisting entirely of below-market-rate units. His campaign website claims that previous administrations relied “almost entirely” on the zoning code to encourage affordable housing. This is not so. For 40 years, New York has run the nation’s most ambitious and successful affordable-housing program, which rebuilt great swaths of the city using billions of dollars in municipal investment. Zoning changes to allow more housing construction are of recent vintage.

“Zohran and his advisers don’t know history and don’t have the slightest grasp of the numbers,” a former top city housing official told me. (He asked not to be identified because he still works with the city on affordable-housing projects.) Mamdani himself has proposed to triple the amount of money spent on housing in the city’s capital plan, pushing overall costs toward $100 billion over 10 years, which overshadows the estimated cost of his rivals’ plans. And he proposes to accomplish this with union labor, which the city’s Independent Budget Office found would add 23 percent to overall costs.

Meanwhile, Mamdani’s proposal to freeze rent in rent-stabilized units ignores fundamental problems: Landlords of much of the city’s rent-stabilized housing stock—including a number of respected nonprofit groups—cannot afford maintenance costs and debt service, the watchdog Citizens Budget Commission wrote recently. Because expenses are growing faster than rents in older buildings, many are “teetering on the edge of a ‘death spiral.’”

I reached out to Mamdani’s campaign for comment on these issues and have not yet heard back. His supporters seem unbothered by the obvious holes in his proposals. His tax increases sound righteous, a socialist holding the wealthy to account. But the state legislature and governor would have to sign off, and that is a very distant possibility.

I needed to pull this section out because, as many of you may know, my job involves dealing with affordable housing and development and whatnot for the city. And Michael Powell (the writer of this Atlantic piece) and the anonymous former housing official are fully correct, and Mamdani is fully wrong.

The city's zoning plan had not received any kind of comprehensive or focused update since the 1960s, and most construction and development (for housing and otherwise) goes through rezoning through either the UDAAP or ULURP process, which involves the city council specifically designating it a certain way to exempt or change the zoning requirements for the property and the project. It's not until Adams and the City of Yes this past year that we had a comprehensive update, and one with a specific detailed housing component.

In the last budget, the city allocated $2.2 billion in capital funding to the city's housing department for funding development of new and existing affordable housing, and that was a remarkably high amount. The state also allocates funding through the state-level housing and development agency (HCR). Additionally, there's a state-established public corporation (HDC) which also provides funding and support for affordable housing development through the issuance of bonds.

With affordable housing, NYC both builds new housing but also "preserves" or rehabs existing affordable housing. The amount of space available to build new housing is limited, the amount of city-owned property is even more so (which would allow for, in theory, quicker building) and there's numerous parties to the deals both internal to the city as well as external, not limited to the developer, banks, lawyers, architects, contractors etc.

Preserving existing affordable housing involves relocating tenants, identify issues ranging from cash flow, maintenance, arrears (rent and utility, both by tenants but also by the property owner) etc. These are some of the most difficult projects to manage, and often involve a lot of financing. These projects also involve more HUD-financing, and so working with HUD is a big part of the work.

All projects involve some kind of community meeting, and often require council member approval (both the council as a whole as well as the specific council members the projects are located in).

Due to climate change, there's resiliency and environmental concerns, particularly with projects that would be located in flood zones (hello to the Rockaways).

Certain projects, if they have federal funds, trigger Davis-Bacon requirements, meaning contractors and subcontractors must be paid at the "prevailing wage", which adds to the costs (and is essentially what using union labor on all projects would do).

There are multiple oversight agencies involved which scrutinize the use of city funds for these projects, from the Comptroller to the Office of Management and Budget, and they all have lengthy review periods and rather stringent oversight and firm jurisdiction, which slows projects and causes problems.

That's not getting into what other parts of the city's housing department do, from dealing with code violations to providing Section 8 vouchers and so forth.

What Mamdani is proposing doing would require not just a fuckton of money, but also a complete overhaul of city procurement and financing processes, administrative shakeups, and intense negotiations with the city council, the state legislature, and the governor. On top of dealing with other mayors and governors in surrounding states (transportation is another area similar to housing with lots of stumbles and challenges) and with the federal government being the way it is.

[omgthatdress]

I see you're talking about something you don't know anything about, soooo let me get into the story behind all that!

A while ago, I joined a cemetery preservation society lead by a person I'm going to call A. I worked as a researcher for them, and it seemed to be going GREAT. I was really good at what I was doing and A and I seemed to be perfectly aligned in our goals.

A seemed to know EVERYONE in the city and was very good at networking and planning and social stuff, which I am not very good at. It made us a really good team.

One project had me documenting burials in a local historic Black cemetery with burials going back to 1920. I was able to get records from 1920-1939 through death certificates on familysearch.com, but for burials after that, @ye-old-news suggested I look up obituaries in my local Black newspaper. Since they only had records on microfiche in a library, I spent 5 months of a summer going to the library every day, scanning obituaries for three hours a day (there was a 3 hour time limit), and then coming back and putting the named into a spreadsheet.

In the end, I was able to document 15,000 names with an estimate of 20,000 total burials, in a cemetery with only about 7,000 marked graves.

This really came in handy when the property got sold to a property flipper who wanted to "develop" the property, repeating Tampa's long history of erasing Black cemeteries. Eventually, with a constant stream of advocacy from the ogranization I was with, prominently featuring my research, the city bought the cemetery back. (google Memorial Park Cemetery in Tampa if you want proof of all of this).

Perfect! Right? So what do I do next?

Fast-forward to about a year later, I get word that the city is working with the anthropology department at USF to document burials at this cemetery. Hey, I already did that! I should totally share my work with these people, right?

I message A, and she tells me not to share it. I ask why not? She doesn't really give me a reason. I tell her that's not fair, I worked really hard on this, and if I don't share my work, they might reproduce what I did, making the months I spent working on it pointless.

A freaks the fuck OUT. She tells me I'm out of line and being selfish, trying to satisfy my own ego. She tells me I just want attention. She then claims that the research I did doesn't belong to me, it belongs to the organization, and as head of the organization, she's the one with control over it.

We NEVER discussed this beforehand. I never signed any kind of contract or ever got paid for it. I did it believing that since A was my friend, she'd trust me to be able to do with it what I thought best.

But it turns out A wasn't the person I thought she was. She was a classic communal narcissist, a person who uses charity and doing good things to get their narcissistic fulfillment, who then turn into your worst nightmare the moment you say no to them.

So I went ahead and shared my research with the city because it was what I'd meant to do with my research all along. At which point A send out an email to the people I was talking to, along with city council members, people on the city's historical preservation committee, and several other people I straight up did not know. She claimed that I did not own the research that I had done and heavily implied that I had either faked it or stolen it. I was physically ill when I read it. I have never in my life been angrier or felt more humiliated. Needless to say, I was done working with A.

So I decided I'd start my own little research organization. I needed to get a business license for it if I wanted to get grants, which is why I started asking for donations.

I heard of another, very small rural historic Black cemetery that needed preservation work & research done, so I reached out to the person doing that. Again, it all seemed to be going great. She explained to me how to get a non-profit going and said I would be great at what I'm doing.

Soon, we're going to have a re-dedication ceremony for this cemetery, and I'm really looking forward to it as an opportunity to network with other cemetery people and to get my name out there and establish myself.

But then a few days before this event happens, I get a text. I've been disinvited. An "elder" from the church has "heard about me, and heard that I'd been disrespectful."

It was A. She was out there telling people that I was a horrible person who somehow stole my own work. I knew this because I'd seen how she talks about the people she's mad at first hand. BTW, the biggest red flag that you're dealing with someone toxic is if they're CONSTANTLY talking about the people who have done them wrong and they won't shut up about it.

So yeah. I can't go to this event, I can't do my networking, and now everyone in this small community of cemetery preservation has been told that I'm untrustworthy the worst person alive. I simply cannot move and do my own work if A is in the way, she is that nasty and vindictive.

So make the very hard, heartbreaking decision to step away. That's when I offered to refund the money. Nobody asked for a refund. If you still want a refund after all this time, give me the documentation that you donated to me, and I'll give it back to you when I have the money.

I went through a really long, really dark depression after that. I felt like I'd finally found the thing I was meant to do, only to have it ruined by someone who is genuinely the worst person I've ever met. I had to start taking new anti-anxiety meds to stop obsessing over everything I want to scream at A.

But yeah, keep saying that I just didn't want to do the work. That's one of the things that A said about me.

You don't know me and what I've been through, and I've always been honest about my needs for money and how that money was being spent, unlike the bots that spam my email box.

I've had Amal telling me five times a week for over a year that her son may die at any moment. Guys, I'm kinda starting to think that her son may not die at any moment.

And just to clarify: from this point on, when I refer to gazabots, I am referring to the bots that beg for money in my inbox. Those things are absolutely not real people because they're just really obviously bots at this point. I'm not saying all Gaza fundraisers are scams, just the ones clogging my inbox. (Zionists fuck off, BTW)

One of the things I hate, hate, haaate about the Gazabots is how they make you feel special. I see so many posts of "this mother of four reached out to me! ^_^" and like... I really hate to break your heart but a mother with four starving children isn't one by one going through people on Tumblr looking for the right kindly soul to ask for help, it's a bot program that sends out thousands of the same message at once and happened to land on your page.

When you give money to a Gazabot, you aren't keeping a helpless family alive when you give money to these things, you're finding this:

Anyway, if you want to help with Gaza, and I mean like really, actually help, consider donating to one of these organizations:

Doctors Without Borders

World Central Kitchen

Palestinian Children's Relief Fund

Palestinian Red Crescent Society

[apas-95]

Really, watching The Wandering Earth makes Interstellar seem pretty ridiculous in comparison.

In no particular order:

In Interstellar, we are only ever shown the US perspective, and the only time another nation is even mentioned is when the protagonists down a long-abandoned, autonomous Indian Air Force¹ drone - even at the end, when humanity leaves Earth, the space habitats are purely USAmerican, complete with small-town baseball field. In The Wandering Earth, however, a multitude of nations are represented - China is most prominent, but Indian, Kazakh, Russian, Indonesian, Korean, etc. crews are also shown, and are instrumental to the climax of the movie, where only the cooperation of all nations pushing together solves the issue.

While both movies feature the plotpoint of a cynical backup plan to re-seed humanity from frozen embryonic cells, in Interstellar, the best-case plan is evacuating a necessarily small number of people off of Earth, abandoning the planet to its fate. Solving the problem on Earth is impossible. Here, the solution is Noah's Ark. In The Wandering Earth, the best-case plan is to save the Earth, preserving as much of humanity as possible. Most resources are spent on constructing safe cities for humanity that can weather the storm, and on the infrastructure necessary for the Moving Mountains² project. Here, the solution is Great Yu Controls the Waters.

In Interstellar, the result of the crisis in society is a massive reduction in organisation. Governments basically cease to exist, armies are dissolved, and humanity turns to rural, agricultural production. Despite this, they are able to construct and launch complex interplanetary space missions, with secrecy even. In The Wandering Earth, the result of the crisis in society is a massive increase in organisation. A world government is formed to unite as many forces as possible, and a massive project of industrialisation occurs, in order to carry out the work needed to save the Earth. The construction of the Earth Engines is shown to have taken decades, with long periods of difficult experimentation.

In Interstellar, the focus is on the immediate family, on the protagonist's children. It is a tragedy that the protagonist spends thirty years in space, but the mission to leave Earth happens quickly enough that he can still see his daughter again, on the spaceship full of cornfields and single-family houses. In The Wandering Earth, the focus is on all generations to follow. The project being undertaken will not bear fruit for centuries, and in those centuries the people working for it will face extreme difficulties and struggle. But, many, many years from now, it will provide a good life for the children of a future Earth.

¹Originally, this was to be a Russian drone, operated by the Chinese military. The movie's plot originally included a conflict against secretive Chinese space forces who attack the protagonists.

²The Foolish Old Man Moves the Mountains is a Chinese fable, about an elderly man who begins carving out a path in the mountainside - when asked why, even though he'd never quarry through the mountain in his lifetime, he answers that others will follow his work, and one day the pass will be complete. It was referenced by Mao Zedong as a metaphor for the long construction of socialism in China, estimated at the time to take a hundred years or more to achieve a developed and prosperous society.