#exit timing
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unitedstatesrei · 2 months ago
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Trump Tariff Truce Tremor! U.S.–China Deal Sends Shockwaves and Speculation Through American Real Estate
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Key Takeaways Builders and developers get a short-lived break on steel, drywall, and fixtures, but pricing still swings wildly with each tariff headline. Port-adjacent industrial spaces are leasing fast as importers race to front-load inventory before the 90-day window shuts. Investors must hedge exit plans: falling material costs and tighter credit spreads look tempting now, yet a snapback in mid-August could erase the gains overnight. United States Real Estate Investor The 90-day U.S.–China tariff truce slices material costs, sparks a port-side warehouse land-grab, and boosts market liquidity—yet every advantage evaporates if the levies snap back in August. United States Real Estate Investor Trade truce or ticking time-bomb? The sudden 90-day rollback of sky-high U.S.–China tariffs could reroute billions in construction costs, industrial demand, and global capital overnight. Will cheaper drywall and a roaring S&P 500 fatten your cash-on-cash returns, or will the respite vanish before you can refinance? Watch these five pressure points: Material costs for new construction Port-centric warehouse absorption Interest-rate expectations and REIT valuations Chinese cross-border capital flows Exit timing before the 90-day cliff Buckle up—here’s how the truce ricochets through U.S. property markets. The Deal at a Glance: 145% Falls to 30%, But Only for 90 Days Geneva, Switzerland — Washington and Beijing agreed to slash their reciprocal tariffs from punitive triple-digits to 30% on Chinese goods and 10% on U.S. exports, while a separate 20% fentanyl-related levy on select Chinese items stays in place. Both sides pledged deeper talks but retained the right to snap tariffs back—or raise them “substantially higher,” as President Trump warned—if no agreement materialises by mid-August. Construction Costs: Builder Breathing Room or Mirage? Single-family & multifamily: NAHB survey data show earlier tariff rounds had already added about $9,200 to the price of a median new home. Dropping rates to 30% trims the most extreme spikes in appliances, HVAC units, and finish hardware, yet material quotes remain 15–25% above 2022 levels. Commercial pipelines: CBRE modelling suggests April’s tariffs threatened a 5% jump in CRE construction outlays; today’s rollback could pare that increase to roughly 2%, but developers are still stress-testing pro formas for volatility. Investor angle: Expect a 60-day scramble as developers accelerate steel, glass, and FF&E orders while tariffs sit lower. Land deals tied to shovel-ready projects may command premiums; deals dependent on Q3 groundbreakings remain discounted. Capital Markets & Rates: Rally, Relief, But For How Long? Equities roared, Treasury yields drifted higher, and risk-spreads on CMBS tightened within hours of the Geneva announcement. CBRE’s house view now pegs 2025 U.S. GDP growth at 1.3% with mid-3% inflation—better than recession territory but hardly boomtime. Debt implications: REIT share prices rebounded, reopening secondary equity raises. Bridge-loan pricing narrowed 30–40 bps on day one, yet credit committees insist on tariff-sensitivity analyses for any deal maturing after September. Logistics & Industrial: The Port-Rush Play Freight analysts call the 90-day window a “ship-it-now” opportunity. Importers are booking vessel space at premium rates to beat any tariff snapback. Result: Short-term demand spike for 3PL-run warehouses within 25 miles of LA/Long Beach, Savannah, Newark, and Seattle. Spot rents for 50- to 100-k sf cross-dock space have jumped 8–12% week-over-week, anecdotal broker data show. Investors holding vacant Class B sheds near major ports could score quick turn leasing; ground-up industrial starts still face elevated steel prices and municipal delays. Chinese Capital: A Cautious Re-Entry Baseline 10% tariffs on U.S. goods—and the optics of warmer diplomacy—may nudge Mainland conglomerates back toward trophy U.S. CRE. Expect: Early interest in stabilized Sun Belt multifamily (hedge against yuan depreciation).
Renewed inquiries for West Coast life-science campuses leveraging existing tech partnerships. Yet capital-controls in Beijing and CFIUS scrutiny in Washington remain formidable gating items; don’t bank on a 2015-style buying spree. Risk Dashboard: The 90-Day Cliff Risk Factor Likely Trajectory Investor Response Tariffs snap back to ≄54% Moderate—political pressure mounts as election rhetoric heats Hedge material costs; lock in supplier contracts Fed rate path On hold through summer, cuts possible Q3 if growth falters Re-price refinance assumptions; watch SOFR floors Supply-chain congestion High during June–July port rush Favor infill warehouses over greenfield United States Real Estate Investor United States Real Estate Investor Assessment The tariff truce hands U.S. real estate investors a rare, if fragile, gift: 90 days of price discovery. Material costs soften, stock markets cheer, and cross-border money edges back to the table—yet every benefit sits on a countdown clock. Smart operators will use the window to lock pricing, accelerate closings, or refinance while sentiment is buoyant. Speculators who assume a permanent dĂ©tente risk whiplash if talks stall. Structure deals so today’s optimism is upside, not a dependency, and keep one eye on August—the next tariff headline could rewrite your underwriting overnight.
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atalana · 1 year ago
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the curse of adhd:
i will remember with absolute clarity, when the thought strikes me that i have a text to send someone, that this is the fourth time in three days i've attempted to send this specific text
i will forget, in the time it takes me to pick up my phone, that i picked it up intending to send a text
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shanklin · 5 months ago
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Sentient Mystery Shack, who is really biased towards Stan, so when Ford tells Stan he has to give it back after the summer it’s on sight.
Ford keeps tripping over nothing, nothing is where it's supposed to be and somehow he keeps running into closets when he tries to go outside.
But the worst part, the WORST part is that Ford's lightbulb just won't. Work. No matter what he does it keeps flickering and exploding.
Ford is spiraling. 
There is no reason why it shoudln’t work. All his trial runs work perfectly. He’s already checked the Shacks wiring three times and relearned this dimensions science from the ground up. 
Nothing works.
The Rift? Bill? The impending apocalypse? Eating? Sleep? Who cares about that. 
WHY. WONT. THE. LIGHTBULB. WORK???
It doesn’t help that Stan keeps laughing at him.
“Then you do it!” Ford eventually snaps at Stan.
Stan shrugs and with a little song under his breath screws his own lightbulb in. It works perfectly.
Stanford screams.
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jakeperalta · 8 months ago
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the thing is I already know that men and society at large hate women. I know that young men in particular increasingly skew right and towards misogyny (I've read the articles, although all I really need to do is spend any time on any part of the internet to see the evidence). but then every so often something like this happens where it still somehow surprises me. like my god.. they really hate us this much.
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spoinky39s · 6 months ago
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one madoka before i actually watch the show and bear witness to the horrors
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bet-on-me-13 · 3 months ago
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Danny is the Tibetan Monk
So! When Bruce was travelling the world, finding masters to teach him how to fight and investigate, he came across a strange building in Tibet.
He had followed rumors of an ancient Monk who lived atop a mountain just on the edge of a Village, who had learned how to conquer Death itself, and stole its secrets for himself. Hoping to find a new Teacher, Bruce climbed the mountain and found the home of that Monk.
What he found was strange though...
The building seemed much more modern than he had been expecting, built with metal and drywall rather than ancient bricks or stones as he had assumed. There was also a strange machine on the top of the building, and if he didn't know any better he would have said it almost looked like a spaceship.
Hesitantly, he knocked on the wooden door and waited.
The man who answered looked nothing like he had expected, but so far nothing had met his expectations so he wasn't really surprised at that point. He looked relatively young, in his late 20's or early 30's, and was wearing a simple T-shirt and jeans. He had short black hair, blue eyes, and pale skin that didn't exactly match the tone of the other people living in the area. In fact he looked as if he could have been an American, rather than Tibetan.
Bruce introduced himself, explained why he was there, and managed to convince the Monk that he deserved his training.
It was unorthodox, certainly very different from the training he had recieved in the League of Assasins, but the Monk said that he was well suited for this style of training.
Under the monk he learned a variety of techniques. The ability to shield his mind from Telepaths, how to Astral Project, how to completely hide his presence from others, even from those with enhanced senses, and so much more.
By the time he was finished training with the Monk, he was confident that he could finally achieve his goal of saving Gotham from itself. He bid the monk farewell, and returned to his home ready to begin the legend of the Batman.
Meanwhile Danny had just sent his most recent student off after a few months of training.
He had to do this every once in a while. There were hundreds of Liminal and Ecto-Contaminated people out there in the world who didn't know how to manage their abilities. They didn't know how to innately seperate from their physical bodies so they could more easily feed on natural Ectoplasm, or how to shield their minds from the volatile stray emotions of the people around them thay may influence their thoughts.
It was dangerous for people with that level of Ecto-Contamination to live without knowing how to keep themselves healthy. So every once in a while, Danny would find a way to contact them and to teach them all they needed to know to stay healthy.
The "Centuries Old Monk" routine was an old favorite of his for this purpose. He would intentionally spread rumors where he knew they would hear, add in some incentive like "conquering death" to make sure they would follow those rumors, and than meet them and take them under his wing.
A few of his other favorite routines were the "Circus Act who knows more than he should", "Mechanic with great advice", and sometimes even just "Life Coach" for the more conventional cases.
And if he heard Bruce's story and decided to teach him how to use a few extra useful Ghostly Abilities, like hiding your presence or merging with Shadows, then who could really judge him? The kid had taken up a huge burden, he needed all the help he could get.
Besides, its not the first time he's ever done that.
...
Years later, Bruce met Dick and found out that he also knows how to Astral Project and Guard his Mind. He couldn't merge with the shadows or hide his presence nearly as well, but he could apparently slow how fast he fell and bend in ways even bruce couldn't.
Apparently he was taught how to do so from an old member of Haley's circus, who told him that they were meditation techniques to get "in the zone" for his trapeze acts.
Then he met Jason, who could also Astral Project and Guard his mind, and he could also heal faster than normal people and read other people's emotions. He learned from a Mechanic who used to live on his street, who told him it was just some street skills that would let him avoid the people who would hurt him or give him trouble.
Then Tim came in, also with Astral Projection and a Telepath-Proof mind, and he could apparently last for weeks on end with no food or even water, and could hide his presence from even Batman. He was taught by a butler his parents had briefly hired while away from home, though Tim's parents didn't know what he was talking about when he brought it up to them later. He was told it was just a way of "keeping his spirits up" when he was alone.
Stephanie had also been taught by an old Mechanic on her street. Same as all the other she could leave her body behind and guard her mind, but she could also read emotions and convince people to do what she said. The mechanic never gave a reason for why he was teaching her, but did say that it would help her gauge the people in her life easier. He left barely a week before Steph realized her dad was the Cluemaster.
Damien was, suprisingly, trained by the same Master that Bruce had been taught by. Talia had sent him up the mounting saying that his Father had learned from the man on the mountain, and he would as well. He was taught the same as all the others, though instead of merging with Shadows like his Father he was taught how to converse with Animals.
Cass had been taught by a man while she was running from her Father. He never said why, only that it would help her live a better life. She had the "normal" abilities of Astral Projection and Guarding her Mind, but she could also Merge with Shadows and Perfectly Read other people's emotions beyond their body language.
Duke was taught by a man who had also taught other members of "We Are Robin" during the cataclysm. He said it would help them survive their attempts at heroism, though he gave Duke extra training for some reason. He had taught Duke even more than he had taught the other Bats, alongside the now typical Astral Projection and Guarding his Mind, Duke could also talk to the Dead, See into the Past, and even Phase through Walls. With enough effort he could even Fly.
A few of his abilities were attributed to his Metahuman Powers, but he claimed that they were never that powerful before that man came along.
He also said that the man "Glowed" in a strange way. He was the only one who could see it among the members of We Are Robin, even the others he had taught.
Bruce had long since decided he needed to pay his old Master a visit.
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pnfc · 4 months ago
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their category defying rship wtih perry
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forgettable-au · 10 months ago
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FORGETTABLE-AU (Page 44-47)
*...
[BEGINNING] [PREVIOUS] [CONTINUE]
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randomgarbagecan · 1 year ago
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[Constellation “Demon King of Salvation” is looking at you.]
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bepomepo33 · 5 months ago
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LOOK AT THEM GO!
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squirrelfromspace · 5 months ago
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Love that whenever Maddie and Simon are talking in season one there is at least one shot to show how Simon looks like he is talking to air, just to remind the audience how ridiculous he looks to others
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sabellart · 1 month ago
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i’m finally opening commissions!!
ko-fi
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canon-gabriel-quotes · 10 months ago
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Transcript:
Gabriel : Please, council. I know I failed you, but surely there's another way besides turning me into a marketable plushie?
No!
AAAAAHHHHH-*Squeak*
This is my lowest point, but I know it can't get worse from here.
Who's that? Someone approaches! Perhaps they could help me?
You! Listen, I need you to get me out of here.
What is that claw descending upon me?
No!
EGH-*Squeak* It squeezes me pretty tight!
Agh, oh it's carrying me to the exit. Thank heaven!
It's about to- *Squeak* AGH! Oh!
You had missed, fuck!
Try- try it again.
Come on I know you have another quarter, yes?
Yes, try it again, yes.
Okay, this time I'm out.
I'm out! I'm- *Squeak* AGHHH!
AW YOU FUCK.
V1 : YAYYY.
Gabriel : SUCH A- JUST BREAK THE GLASS.
FUCKIN' IDIOT.
Audio source
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livelaughgem · 3 months ago
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This is killing me oh my god.
Lawrence says such a smart retort and leaves proudly but is forced to immediately walk back past the same person he just insulted because he forgot his damn key.
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0gata · 6 months ago
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AU where Greed leaves the homunculi before meeting Bido because Envy wouldn't shut up
In a way, Envy does the opposite of trauma dumping. They just keep sharing the trauma they've caused
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hyunpic · 2 months ago
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đŸ€
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