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01/30/23 Weekly Forex Technical Analysis

What’s up what’s up traders this is your host Kenneth for ZenKen Trading’s Blog. Welcome to this week’s forex technical analysis. If you are returning then you’ll notice I haven’t posted one in a while. That is because I didn’t trade this January. Instead I cleared my mind, relaxed with family and prepared myself for February. January isn’t the best month to trade sometimes due to the new year. With that said I figured it would be best to hold posting a analysis till next month. Let’s begin 

•AUDCAD had a very bullish week with a small pullback. Momentum and RSI dropped. ADX is slightly less bullish. MACD staying about the same. RSI did leave overbought during this drop. Now the interesting thing is volume has stayed the same. This could indicate the majority is swapping sides to be more bearish. However, I feel this isn’t the case. I view this as some traders closing their positions due to making profits so we get a small pullback. I believe we should continue to be bullish most of next week. Looking to reach this week’s high or slightly higher.

•AUDCHF last week we broke the high from the week before. With attempts Friday to make a higher high. These attempts failed. The price closes Friday around the same closing price as Thursday. All indicators are pointing towards this being a very bullish week. I do believe however with the price rejection on Friday we should see a pullback this week.

•AUDJPY was bery bullish week last week. Pulling into the 92 range. Indicators are very mixed. 20 EMA looks to be wanting to cross above the 50 EMA. Momentum is in a bullish zone but pulling down. ADX looks a little stale with bullish and bearish indicators lowering. MACD climbing up to potentially cross the zero line. And finally, RSI hanging out above 50 but also pointing towards the downside. With all that covered I’m expecting sideways trading this week with moves back and forth from 92 to 93.

•AUDNZD had insane price increase Wednesday with action cooling down Thursday and Friday. Volume dropped along with momentum towards the end of the week. RSI holding the low 60 range looks bullish but feels stale to me. MACD is presenting a similar situation of sideways movement. ADX is drying up as well with the bullish indicator trending down during the end of the week. I’m expecting this to drop down to the 1.088 zone.

•AUDUSD ended the week one hundred percent bullish. Not a single red day. Absolutely insane. Even the angle at which it increased was impressive. Now not to be annoying but everything that goes up must come down. Even if just a little. I’m looking for a pullback to 1.704

•CADCHF ends the week barely bullish. More or less this thing traded sideways last week. Looks like any bullish momentum is dying out. All indicators are bearish or close to being bearish. With this said we will most likely experience sideways movements while the market decides our direction. However, I am a predicting bearish movement for this week. Down .684 and if real lucky .68 we shall see. Like always this is a prediction game mixed with a little math and science. As always nothing is for certain in trading.

•CADJPY had a very ugly week with few back-and-forth movements. All indicators sitting on the line of bullish or bearish. MACD however is climbing back toward zero. MACD could cross like last time then dip back under pulling the price down with it. So I am expecting sideways movements with an eventual drop.

•CHFJPY had a little bit of a stale week. This is good. From looking at the daily chart I am seeing a pattern emerge. If I’m correct this will drop from here throughout the week. Momentum is bearish and dragging down. RSI is bearish but close to 50 so not by much. MACD climbing back up and finally, ADX is looking pretty stagnant.

•EURAUD, The first of the EUR pairs. It had an extremely bearish week with little pullback. Not a single Green Day last week. Now we are hitting a lower price from previous months so we may find a bounce here but overall I’m expecting a bearish breakout. All indicators scream bearish. So keep an eye on this one to form a pullback if it even does and some definite strong bearish movements.

•EURCAD looking very stale. All indicators ride their respective middle zone. 20 ema flattening ours above the 50 ema. I am however looking for this to break lows and get out of these stale sideways movements and slide down lower.

•EURCHF continued its attempt to break highs but failed. Indicators are either topping out or are heading back down. I am expecting a decent-size drop. Could return to the previous low or just travel halfway while the market decides what it wants.

•EURGBP had a little bump up last week just to come back down. This looks like an attempt to break 20 ema but failed so from here I expect us to break below 50 ema. Most indicators agree on the bearish side. Let’s see though.

•EURJPY ugly as always. With opportunities to ride up and down between the range. With the price on the upper side of the range, this could be the opportunity to break out but it will take a lot of work. Momentum decreasing, MACD increasing, and RSI riding 50.

•EURNZD is another one of the sideways trading pairs. Even all the indicators I watch are moving sideways. MACD is considering diving below zero. This may indicate the end of sideways trading and a bearish move incoming. I am watching for a break to the downside but not very hopeful.

•EURUSD everyone’s favorite pair. Last week was pretty boring with a small spike then a pullback basically to the same price as Monday’s start. However this week I predict we will break out to a higher range. Most indicators still show signs of this being bullish as well. RSI returned from overbought. These are all good signs that this should pull back up. Let’s see this week.

•GBPAUD – Monday from the week before was violently red. Followed by Tuesday is just as red. Later in the week things cooled off. If you pull the daily chart back two months you’ll see we have hit a previous low. This looks like it wants to go lower. Indicators are revealing much. So we shall see what happens. Could just as easily bounce from here. But lower is my bet.

•GBPCAD ended last week slightly bearish. 20 & 50 ema are tight together. All indicators look bullish except ADX which just crossed into bearish territory. Probably just move sideways this week. Maybe little pop to highs from last week. But this one isn’t looking very interesting.

•GBPCHF looks like it is sideways trading but if you look closely at the pattern over the last month you’ll see we are very bullish. I see the price getting tight with a large potential to break out toward to upside. Momentum is a little flat but bullish. Same for RSI as well. MACD crossed above zero last week. And the ADX isn’t looking too exciting but still bullish. Overall very bullish on this one.

•GBPJPY, I’d guess stale as always. Sure enough, I’m right. Every indicator is looking pretty flat except MACD with the potential to cross above zero soon. I’m not expecting much movement from this one. Over time I could see this going back to 165 but probably not this week. Maybe next.

•GBPNZD is probably the choppiest of them all. Absolutely garbage if you trade trends. But if you like ranges or grid trading then this one is for you. It has the occasional spike usually met with an opposite direction move just as large. MACD is slowly climbing back to zero. But that may be for nothing.

•GBPUSD last week had not much movement. Looks to be topping out. If this is the case expect a significant drop coming. Other than momentum and the ema lines the indicators are decreasing or moving sideways. Looking for a little drop but the odds say this could be just as easily a breakout. And if last week was just a consolidation then this should break out. Watch this one closely.

•NZDCAD, The first for our next group. Wouldn’t be shocked if this group is all sideways trading but let’s open the chart and find out. Okay, so last week looks like a failed attempt at breaking out to higher highs. Most indicators will agree this one is coming back down after failing. Could be seeing .859 this week.

•NZDCHF had a hot week ending on a bullish note. This week I’m predicting this one to break the highs of last week. Momentum and ADX pointing at bearish but still bullish. RSI holding a bullish zone. MACD rising. And finally, the 20 ema broke above the 50 ema. I’d keep an eye on this one for some good bullish moves this week.

•NZDJPY did not have the most impressive week but it did still end bullish. This is its third attempt at breaking out above 84.7 It may be a little bold but I could see this getting to 85 this week. The indicators don’t agree with each other so not much to tell you there. They point towards it trading sideways more than anything. So just watch with caution for the big move if it comes.

•NZDUSD had a little bit of a bullish week. With attempts to break highs. All indicators are in bullish zones but some are weakening. Could reach .652 this week with enough push.

•USDCAD, The start of our last group. Ended bearish last week. With most indicators agreeing this one is moving bearish more. I could see a slight pullback happening but should be a bearish week.

•USDCHF had a very boring week last week. Traded sideways with a slightly higher close Friday than open on Monday last week. Indicators are not much help on this one. I could see this one traveling down to levels of where that large wick is from two Thursdays ago. Other than that this one is trading sideways this week.

•USDJPY ,The final pair. Very subtle hints of this moving upward. We are below 20 ema and looking to break above it. RSI ever so slowly moving up towards 50. And finally, MACD moved up sharply towards zero. This week I’m looking for this to jump up to break highs of last week.

That’s it for the weekly forex technical analysis. I posted in a format I felt would be easier to skim through for the pairs you want. But always remember this is for entertainment purposes not investment advice. Trading is risky. Do your own research first before taking any trades. If y’all enjoyed give me a follow for more weekly analysis. 

This is your host Kenneth with ZenKen Trading’s Blog. Thank y’all for reading.

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📉Top Losers This Week ☒ EURSEK -0.82% ☒ USDZAR -0.87% ☒ EURCAD -1.13%

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