#Culpeper Weight Loss | Explore Tumblr Posts and Blogs

stella-blogs · 2 years

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Wegovy Injections: A Revolutionary Way to Achieve Weight Loss Goals at Lifestyle Physicians Clinic

Losing weight is a journey that requires immense dedication and discipline. While there are numerous ways to shed those extra pounds, not all methods are safe and effective. Wegovy injections have been making waves in the health and wellness industry as a revolutionary way to achieve weight loss goals. In this article, we will discuss the benefits of Wegovy injections and why you should consider getting them at Lifestyle Physicians Clinic.

What are Wegovy injections?

Wegovy injections are a form of prescription medication that is used to help individuals lose weight. It works by suppressing appetite and increasing feelings of fullness, thus reducing caloric intake and promoting weight loss. Wegovy injections in Warrenton is a new, FDA-approved medication that is available at Lifestyle Physicians Clinic in Warrenton and Culpeper.

The benefits of Wegovy injections

a. Safe and effective weight loss: Wegovy injections have been clinically proven to be safe and effective for weight loss. The medication is administered by a licensed healthcare professional, ensuring that you receive a safe and proper dosage.

b. No severe side effects: Unlike some weight loss methods that come with severe side effects, Wegovy injections are well-tolerated and have minimal side effects.

c. Suitable for a variety of individuals: Wegovy injections in Culpeper can be used by individuals who are overweight or obese, making it a versatile weight loss solution.

Why choose Lifestyle Physicians Clinic for your Wegovy injections

a. Experienced healthcare professionals: The healthcare professionals at Lifestyle Physicians Clinic are highly trained and experienced in administering Wegovy injections. They will work with you to determine the best course of treatment for your individual needs.

b. Personalized weight loss plans: At Lifestyle Physicians in Warrenton, you will receive a personalized weight loss plan that takes into consideration your individual needs and goals.

c. Convenient locations in Warrenton and Culpeper: With two convenient locations in Warrenton and Culpeper, you can easily access the expertise of Lifestyle Physicians Clinic and achieve your weight loss goals.

Wegovy injections are a safe and effective way to achieve weight loss goals. When combined with a healthy lifestyle, they can help you reach your desired weight and improve your overall health and well-being. At Lifestyle Physicians Clinic, you will receive personalized care and support from experienced healthcare professionals. So if you're looking to start your weight loss journey, consider Wegovy injections at Lifestyle Physicians Clinic in Warrenton and Culpeper.

SOURCE : https://xploration19.blogspot.com/2023/02/wegovy-injections-revolutionary-way-to.html

#Wegovy injections in Warrenton #Lifestyle Physicians in Warrenton #Wegovy injections in Culpeper

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lifestylephysiciansclinic · 2 years

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Mother’s Day Lifestyle Physicians offers

https://www.lifestylephysicians.com/mothers-day-sale/

The wait is over now, lifestyle physicians has come up with the most demanding offers, If you are looking for bio peel treatment, Botox facial treatment sale in Warrenton VA, or PRP vampire facial treatment, O shot/ P shot therapy Mother’s Day offers in Culpeper, visit us today, We have exciting deals during mother's day for you to save money, visit lifestyle physicians now to know more about and get an amazing discount on various services.

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lifestylephysicians · 4 years

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NATUROPATHY: A CRITICAL APPRAISAL | Lifestyle Physicians

Naturopathic medicinal drugs are a machine that makes use of herbal redress to assist the physique heal itself. Gainesville Naturopathic Medicine embraces many therapies, such as herbs, massage, acupuncture, exercise, and dietary counseling.

Naturopathy was once delivered to the United States from Germany in the 1800s, however some of its redress are centuries old. Today, it combines standard redress with contemporary science.

How Naturopathic Care Treats the Whole Patient -

Key tenets of naturopathic care for underserved humans are listening and empathy. When an affected person has a complicated set of clinical concerns, there isn’t always a rapid repair for that, naturopathic or otherwise. Naturopathic docs take the time to listen to sufferers over a couple of visits if necessary, making an attempt to apprehend the character as a whole.

What are all the contributing elements to what is going on for them?

Is it a lack of housing? A lack of right of entry to healthful meals or a lack of unique understanding about the advantages of a healthful diet?

Are there monetary or different stressors?

How Does It Work?

The purpose of naturopathic medication is to deal with the total individual -- that capacity mind, body, and spirit. It additionally pursues to heal the root reasons of sickness -- now not simply end the symptoms.

Body weight management is plenty extra profitable if you can mix a well-balanced Gainesville Weight Loss program with ordinary exercise.

Crash diets might also have wonderful momentary results, however they have a tendency to have terrible long-term success rates.

If you manipulate to sleep between 7 and eight hours always in every 24 hour period, your physique weight will be extra successful in Weight Loss Gainesville. Sleep deprivation or lack of sleep can make you put on weight.

Eliminate trans fat from the diet, and limit the consumption of saturated fats, which has a sturdy hyperlink with the incidence of coronary coronary heart disease.

Losing weight -

Successful weight loss does no longer require human beings to observe a particular weight loss plan, Warrenton Hypertension is chiefly structured on lowering the complete consumption of calories, now not adjusting the proportions of carbohydrate, fat, and protein in the diet.

Conclusion

It is primarily based on the trust that no two ailments are manifested in the identical way and consequently no two redress will have the equal impact on the equal disease. There are a range of Gainesville Naturopathic Medicine (methods of treatment, or tools, as we often refer to them as) that a practitioner can use to carry the physique to a nation of higher health

#Naturopathic Medicine Culpeper #Best Warrenton Naturopathic Doctor #Gainesville Weight Loss #Weight Loss Gainesville

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thundercaya · 6 years

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Virginian Insight

James had met plenty of important people in his life. With the amount of money his parents had it wasn’t unusual for schmoozing to be going on in his general proximity, but it was only after he’d decided to pursue a career in politics that it ever mattered. It was certainly fortunate that such connections had been made over the years; though graduating from Princeton summa cum laude certainly made him stand out to potential employers, his timidity and fluster during interviews might have hurt his chances at internships and staffer positions without the weight held by his family name.

Of course, being a part of his particular family did have its downsides. Being the oldest of many children, James had given countless hours over the years towards the care of his younger siblings. Even now, living on his own as an adult, he was not free from family obligations. At least, he couldn’t seem to let himself be free. While his other adult siblings often found ways out of doing favors for their parents, James could not seem to say no, especially to his mother. And so it was that on a rare day when he had no obligations from the campaign he was working on, he was at his family home, watching over his youngest living siblings.

The no-longer living siblings were the reason that James’ presence was needed--it hadn’t been long since their untimely deaths and his parents were doing the sensible thing and seeing a therapist to help with the loss. Not that a therapist had ever helped him, but he hoped his parents could be happy again at some point. If not, then an afternoon spent with still-in-diapers Fanny and teenage drama-king Billy, watching terrible music videos for terrible songs on MTV, was decidedly not worth it.

“How do you sit through this?” James asked as some pop star waved through the window down at a crowd of young people in the street below the TRL studio--maybe if young adults were as excited about politics as they were about celebrities, the country wouldn’t be such a mess.

Eyes glued to the screen, Billy gave a half shrug. “Quddus is hot.”

The VJ. Well, at least a VJ was almost a journalist, which was a better occupation to admire.

James’ phone began go buzz in his pocket. He’d gotten into the habit of always keeping it on vibrate, always paranoid about a call coming in during an important meeting or a speech. He slipped his phone out, and seeing the name of the campaign manager, he flipped it open.

“Hello, Matt. Is everything all right?”

“Yes, great. Everything’s great James. I just heard that General Washington is visiting a couple injured vets at Culpeper Medical.”

“I didn’t know he was in town.”

“Yeah, it was kept pretty quiet. It’s not a publicity thing. No reporters invited or anything. Great opportunity for you to go talk to him.”

James stiffened. “What? Talk to him? To General Washington? There’s no way I can--”

“James, James, James, calm down. I’m not expecting you to get McIntyre his endorsement. God, no. You’re not ready for that, and that isn’t the place for it bsides. I just want you to have a light chat with him and make sure he leaves knowing your parents endorse McIntyre. See?”

James did see, and he didn’t even mind the use of his family connection. Matt was a genius, of the level James could only aspire to.

“Yeah. Yeah, got it. Culpeper Medical?”

“That’s right. Good luck, James. Can’t wait to hear how it went.”

After the call ended, James slipped his phone into his pocket.

“Do you have to go to work?” Billy asked, suddenly reminding James of where he was and what he was doing.

Shit. James looked from Billy to the armchair where Fanny was down for her nap. He looked back at Billy. “Do you know how to install the carseat?”

James wasn’t worried about his parents beating him home. They always took the time to eat after their sessions, and often ran errands, both to give them some time to decompress before seeing the kids again. He should have plenty of time to get to the hospital, talk to General Washington, and get the kids back home. That was, if he could figure out how the hell he was going to put himself in a position to talk to General Washington.

As soon as they walked into the hospital, Billy made a beeline for a vending machine, pulling some money out of his pocket to buy himself a snack. James carried Fanny to a set of chairs; catching Washington on his way out seemed like a better idea than trying to figure out what rooms he was visiting and trying to find reasons to be near them. Fanny was fortunately in a good mood after her nap and well entertained by her Strawberry Shortcake doll. At least, she was until Billy joined them with a Hostess cupcake.

“Gimme!” she said, reaching towards Billy.

“No,” Billy said.

“Gimme!” Fanny insisted.

“No. I paid for this myself.”

Fanny tugged on James’ shirt. “Jimmy!” she whined.

“You can’t have it,” James agreed. “You’ll get it all over yourself.”

“I want it!”

“Billy, put it away for now. You can eat it when you’re not in front of her. See, Fanny? No one’s getting a cupcake right now.”

Billy traded his snack out for his Gameboy Advance, which quickly captured Fanny’s attention as she kept asking “what’s that?” to everything on the screen. It wasn’t much longer before an elevator opened, and out walked General Washington along with a uniformed soldier. James started to stand up instinctively, but stopped himself--he couldn’t just walk up to Washington out of nowhere and start talking to him.

Washington said something to the soldier, then started to make his way down the hall. The soldier began to follow him, but Washington held out a hand and the man stopped. Washington then proceeded to enter the mens restroom.

Good, the man was cornered now. James could run into him with no problem. However, the thought of having a conversation with his dick out was nothing short of horrific, so James needed to find an excuse to enter the restroom that didn’t involve forcing himself to take a piss.

“Billy,” he said. “Give me your cupcake.”

“What? No. It’s mine.”

“I’ll buy you another one. Just give it to me.”

“Fine,” Billy huffed, handing it over. James ripped it open and passed it to Fanny. She squealed with delight and went right to work on it.

“What the heck, Jimmy?” Billy demanded.

“Relax,” James said, pulling out his wallet. He handed Billy more than enough to cover the cost of the treat, then he pushed Fanny’s hand, squishing the cupcake more firmly against her face than it already was. She continued to eat, unperturbed as several crumbs and chunks of chocolate frosting littered down onto her dress. “Can you handle waiting here by yourself for a few minutes?”

“Uh, yeah. I’m not six.”

“Don’t leave the building and if anyone tries to make you, scream for help.”

“Okay, but can I go inside the gift shop? I’m pretty much rich now.”

“Fine, fine,” James said, standing up and picking up his sister. “All right, Fanny, let’s do this.”

When James entered the restroom, General Washington was nowhere to be seen. It was just as well that he was in a stall--James might not have caught him in time if he were only peeing. He sat Fanny down on the counter, wet some paper towels, and waited. When he heard a toilet flush, he began wiping up the girl’s face and clothes. He glanced up at the mirror, and there was the general.

“General Washington,” James greeted over his shoulder. “Long time no see, sir.”

“Hm?” Washington glanced at him. “Oh, yes…. Jimmy, was it?” He reached for a handshake, seemingly instinctively, then quickly drew back, clearing his throat before turning on a faucet to wash his hands. James elected to ignore this near faux-pas.

“James now, if you don’t mind. Unless my father is around.”

“Oh, of course. You’re a grown man now.” He nodded to Fanny. “Your daughter is beautiful.”

“Oh, she’s not mine.”

Washington’s eyebrows shot up. “Really. She looks just like you.”

“She’s my sister.”

“Oh. I thought….” Washington cleared his throat. “I mean….”

“That was the four year old and the seven year old. This one, however, is perfectly healthy. Isn’t that right, Fanny?”

The girl smiled up at him.

“I see. Very sorry for your loss, of course.”

“Thank you,” James said, rather graciously. He could certainly relate to saying the wrong thing and wasn’t about to give the man a hard time about it--not while he was trying to get something out of him, anyway.

“You must be done with college by now,” Washington said, changing the subject.

“Yes,” James said. He’d been out for several years now and wondered when that would stop being the topic of choice for older adults to bring up. “Political science. I’ve had a couple staffer positions since then. Right now I’m on the McIyntre campaign.”

“Ah yes, McIntyre. Haven’t looked into him very much. Not much time for that currently, you know. Seems like and upright man, though.”

“I certainly think so, or I wouldn’t be working with him,” James said. “He was over at the family home for dinner not too long ago. My parents were very impressed with him.”

“I’ll need to meet him some time soon.”

“I’m sure he’d like that very much as well.”

Washington cleared his throat. “Well, I should be going.”

“Yes, of course,” James said. “Good to see you, sir. Hopefully there’ll be less of a gap between meetings this time.”

As Washington made his way to exit, the door swung open and there stood Billy.

“Jimmy,” he began, “the gift shop has--”

His eyes locked onto Washington and he instantly went silent.

“Excuse me, young man,” Washington said, edging past him. Billy watched him go. Once the door shut again, James let out a deep breath, body going almost limp as his calm demeanor melted away. He grabbed the counter with one hand to keep himself on his feet, while his other hand stayed on Fanny to keep her on the counter.

“Wow,” Billy said finally. “Why didn’t anyone tell me General Washington was handsome?”

James glanced at his brother, straightened himself back up, and shook himself off. “If you’d change the channel away from MTV once in a while, you might have seen him sometime.”

#hamilton #james madison #george washington #frances madison #william madison #writing #the workplace warzone #modern au #push to 2k

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theliberaltony · 7 years

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via Politics – FiveThirtyEight

The first major statewide elections since President Trump was inaugurated take place on Tuesday. The governor’s race in New Jersey looks like it will be a blowout. But Virginia’s governor’s race is more interesting: Former Republican National Committee Chairman and 2014 U.S. Senate candidate Ed Gillespie faces off against Democratic Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam. And while the race’s final result by itself isn’t likely to tell us much about the national political environment, it is likely to have a big effect on the 2018 midterms.

Polls show a fairly close race, with Northam slightly favored to win. An average of the last 10 surveys give Northam a 46 percent-to-43 percent advantage. Over the past month, there has been a tightening of the race, with Gillespie closing what had been a 6-point lead. In the individual polls, though, there is a fairly widespread.

Northam has led by as much as 17 percentage points (a Quinnipiac University survey) and has trailed by as much as 8 points (a Hampton University poll).

So what accounts for the divergent results?

As I’ve discussed previously, much of that spread can be explained by sampling error. In fact, it’s a good sign, suggesting that pollsters are working independently rather than cribbing off one another’s results. Some of the disagreement, though, may have to do with how hard pollsters are pushing undecided voters to choose between the candidates.1 Gillespie did best in the poll with the most undecided voters — that could be a sign that undecided voters will break away from him and towards Northam on Election Day.

In an off-year election, though, perhaps the biggest question is turnout. Turnout tends to be lower in non-presidential elections and figuring out who will vote becomes crucial. Pollsters who are calling people based off lists of registered voters and mostly relying on their past turnout history (instead of calling random numbers and asking if a person is registered to vote and whether they are going to vote) have tended to get a tighter range of results in Virginia. These polls mostly show a single-digit Northam advantage. The two biggest outliers (Hampton and Quinnipiac) did not use these lists. That might be why the Hampton poll showed Gillespie well ahead, with Republican respondents making up a larger share of likely voters compared to what most other pollsters found. Accordingly, a higher-than-expected Republican turnout could put Gillespie over the top.

Whatever the result ends up being, we shouldn’t read too much into what it means outside of who gets to control the Virginia governor’s mansion for the next four years.2 Since 1993, Virginia governor elections have done a bad job of predicting the following year’s U.S. House results.

Virginia’s gubernatorial races haven’t predicted midterms

CYCLE VIRGINIA GOVERNOR SWING NATIONAL HOUSE VOTE GAP 1993-1994 R+6.7 R+7.1 0.4 1997-1998 R+2.9 R+1.1 1.8 2001-2002 D+14.2 R+4.8 19.0 2005-2006 D+12.2 D+8.0 4.2 2009-2010 R+15.2 R+6.8 8.4 2013-2014 D+2.8 R+5.7 8.5 Average 7.0

The Virginia governor swing compares the state’s partisan lean in the previous two presidential elections to the governor’s election result. The partisan lean compares the state’s voting patterns to the nation’s. For each cycle, the prior presidential election is weighted 75 percent and the one before is weighted 25 percent.

Source: Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

Democrats won the Virginia governorship in both 2001 and 2013, even though their party lost seats in the following House election. The amount by which either party outperforms the partisan lean of the state3 is no better an indicator of the following midterm outcome.

Look at a bunch of gubernatorial races together and you’ll do better. (To understand the national political environment, it’s always better to look at an average of elections.) But it’s a mistake to focus too much on any one contest.

That said, being predictive isn’t the same thing as being impactful. And Virginia could certainly be the latter. Republicans seem intent on looking to Tuesday’s results for clues about how to run in 2018. Specifically, they want to see how Gillespie’s message plays. Gillespie, an establishment Republican by pretty much any reasonable standard, has tried to mix the traditional Republican message of lower taxes with the Trump message of being tough on crime and immigration. He’s combining economic conservatism with cultural conservatism. In doing so, he hopes to appeal to normally Republican voters as well as the white working-class voters who were brought into the Republican tent by Trump’s message.

If Gillespie wins, expect Republicans to copy his playbook in 2018. Gillespie pollster Gene Ulm believes Republicans will run on issues such as sanctuary cities if Gillespie wins. Even if he barely loses, Ulm still thinks Republicans will use Gillespie’s campaign as a guide. That’s because Virginia has different demographics than the rest of the country. Specifically, the state is more educated than the country as a whole. Therefore, Ulm argues that a small Gillespie loss on a cultural conservative message (that polls show may play poorly with well-educated voters) might become a win in many other states.

On the other hand, Republicans might be hesitant to embrace the more racially freighted parts of Trump’s message if Northam wins easily. They may view a large Northam victory as a sign that Trump’s triumph was a one-off or that you need him as the messenger. Either way, Republicans might connect Gillespie’s defeat with Trump’s low approval ratings and see Trump as electoral poison in 2018.

Democrats, for their own part, may look to Virginia to understand whether the party is turning out black voters. Black voter turnout declined in 2016 (much to Hillary Clinton’s detriment) and has stayed relatively low in special elections this year. If Northam loses, it may spark a conversation that the Democratic Party at large and Northam specifically did not do enough to energize black turnout.

But 2018 is still a long ways away. Let’s talk about Tuesday night. To help you follow the returns, I’ve created a scrollable table of all 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. In the table, I have Gillespie’s benchmarks for each county and independent city based off the 2013 governor results, 2014 Senate results and 2016 presidential results.4 If Gillespie is consistently beating these benchmarks, he should be on track to win. If he’s consistently underperforming these benchmarks, the race will likely go to Northam.

Where Gillespie could make up ground

The GOP vote margin for counties and independent cities in Virginia as compared to the Republican vote margin in the state as a whole

GOP VOTE MARGIN RELATIVE TO STATEWIDE PERFORMANCE LOCATION▲▼ 2016 PRESIDENT▲▼ 2014 SENATE▲▼ 2013 GOVERNOR▲▼ AVG.▲▼ Accomack County +17.0 +12.5 +14.3 +14.6 Albemarle County -19.5 -11.2 -16.4 -15.7 Alleghany County +42.2 -8.2 +11.3 +15.1 Amelia County +42.0 +30.6 +32.5 +35.1 Amherst County +35.6 +24.9 +29.9 +30.2 Appomattox County +51.5 +39.6 +46.5 +45.9 Arlington County -53.9 -42.8 -46.9 -47.9 Augusta County +54.8 +45.7 +45.2 +48.6 Bath County +47.2 +13.5 +26.8 +29.2 Bedford County +54.4 +43.0 +48.6 +48.7 Bland County +72.9 +42.2 +51.8 +55.7 Botetourt County +52.7 +35.2 +41.8 +43.3 Brunswick County -13.4 -21.5 -21.5 -18.8 Buchanan County +65.6 +22.4 +40.0 +42.7 Buckingham County +16.6 +6.6 +8.5 +10.6 Campbell County +52.1 +41.7 +49.3 +47.7 Caroline County +10.4 -4.0 -2.8 +1.2 Carroll County +64.7 +33.7 +39.1 +45.9 Charles City County -19.6 -29.8 -26.2 -25.2 Charlotte County +28.1 +17.6 +22.5 +22.8 Chesterfield County +7.5 +9.5 +10.3 +9.1 Clarke County +25.0 +19.6 +14.6 +19.8 Craig County +62.6 +28.7 +43.3 +44.9 Culpeper County +30.5 +32.3 +30.6 +31.2 Cumberland County +18.8 +8.9 +11.7 +13.2 Dickenson County +61.2 +15.1 +29.9 +35.4 Dinwiddie County +17.7 +3.9 +4.2 +8.6 Essex County +7.5 +4.9 +5.9 +6.1 Fairfax County -30.5 -16.7 -19.7 -22.3 Fauquier County +29.8 +31.0 +27.3 +29.4 Floyd County +42.5 +15.3 +27.6 +28.5 Fluvanna County +14.6 +11.8 +7.9 +11.5 Franklin County +47.2 +26.3 +34.7 +36.1 Frederick County +40.3 +37.4 +35.5 +37.8 Giles County +53.6 +23.8 +30.6 +36.0 Gloucester County +44.6 +30.5 +29.8 +35.0 Goochland County +30.2 +26.0 +25.1 +27.1 Grayson County +62.8 +28.3 +37.5 +42.9 Greene County +36.8 +31.7 +27.8 +32.1 Greensville County -13.5 -26.5 -22.3 -20.8 Halifax County +21.8 +6.7 +17.7 +15.4 Hanover County +37.6 +33.3 +34.8 +35.3 Henrico County -15.5 -12.3 -10.7 -12.8 Henry County +34.4 +14.6 +28.1 +25.7 Highland County +47.5 +27.6 +33.3 +36.2 Isle of Wight County +25.8 +15.4 +16.5 +19.3 James City County +10.4 +11.5 +11.5 +11.2 King George County +22.4 +25.7 +28.0 +25.4 King and Queen County +32.9 +3.4 +6.2 +14.2 King William County +40.4 +27.4 +27.4 +31.8 Lancaster County +15.1 +14.9 +15.3 +15.1 Lee County +68.3 +29.4 +51.0 +49.6 Loudoun County -11.6 +1.3 -1.9 -4.1 Louisa County +29.8 +19.3 +21.0 +23.4 Lunenburg County +22.8 +8.5 +11.7 +14.4 Madison County +37.0 +28.8 +23.2 +29.7 Mathews County +42.1 +28.3 +26.8 +32.4 Mecklenburg County +18.7 +15.1 +18.3 +17.4 Middlesex County +31.3 +23.8 +21.8 +25.7 Montgomery County +4.0 -5.3 +0.1 -0.4 Nelson County +10.9 -3.3 -1.4 +2.1 New Kent County +42.7 +33.8 +33.2 +36.6 Northampton County -4.0 -8.6 -9.2 -7.3 Northumberland County +24.9 +17.4 +19.0 +20.5 Nottoway County +18.4 +4.6 +6.1 +9.7 Orange County +31.7 +23.3 +21.8 +25.6 Page County +54.8 +40.3 +31.3 +42.2 Patrick County +60.3 +35.4 +45.1 +47.0 Pittsylvania County +44.4 +26.9 +36.8 +36.1 Powhatan County +51.7 +44.7 +45.9 +47.5 Prince Edward County +0.0 -6.5 -5.4 -4.0 Prince George County +22.2 +16.6 +17.9 +18.9 Prince William County -15.8 -2.1 -5.7 -7.9 Pulaski County +45.9 +18.8 +29.1 +31.3 Rappahannock County +22.9 +12.2 +9.6 +14.9 Richmond County +28.9 +17.6 +22.5 +23.0 Roanoke County +32.9 +22.2 +29.0 +28.1 Rockbridge County +34.7 +15.8 +20.5 +23.7 Rockingham County +49.6 +46.5 +44.3 +46.8 Russell County +64.0 +23.9 +35.7 +41.2 Scott County +71.3 +45.1 +56.2 +57.6 Shenandoah County +48.3 +40.5 +35.1 +41.3 Smyth County +60.2 +28.4 +36.7 +41.8 Southampton County +21.6 +5.0 +8.1 +11.6 Spotsylvania County +22.0 +22.5 +20.0 +21.5 Stafford County +14.4 +19.5 +17.0 +17.0 Surry County -5.4 -21.8 -19.8 -15.7 Sussex County -11.1 -14.9 -15.2 -13.7 Tazewell County +71.4 +46.3 +53.1 +57.0 Warren County +42.1 +32.0 +28.0 +34.1 Washington County +58.6 +36.2 +44.3 +46.4 Westmoreland County +12.5 +3.4 +2.5 +6.2 Wise County +67.2 +42.7 +46.1 +52.0 Wythe County +59.9 +31.2 +40.3 +43.8 York County +22.4 +21.0 +22.2 +21.9 Alexandria City -52.8 -41.6 -46.5 -47.0 Bristol City +48.8 +31.0 +33.3 +37.7 Buena Vista City +35.9 +18.8 +26.5 +27.1 Charlottesville City -61.2 -56.9 -57.7 -58.6 Chesapeake City +6.6 +1.3 -0.6 +2.5 Colonial Heights City +44.5 +47.0 +45.7 +45.8 Covington City +23.5 -21.8 -3.6 -0.6 Danville City -14.5 -16.1 -2.7 -11.1 Emporia City -26.1 -25.0 -22.7 -24.6 Fairfax City -25.1 -10.5 -14.3 -16.6 Falls Church City -52.6 -44.7 -45.7 -47.7 Franklin City -21.7 -22.7 -20.4 -21.6 Fredericksburg City -21.0 -19.0 -19.5 -19.8 Galax City +44.1 +14.1 +23.8 +27.4 Hampton City -32.3 -38.0 -36.0 -35.4 Harrisonburg City -16.7 -6.3 -9.3 -10.8 Hopewell City -4.0 -3.7 +1.6 -2.0 Lexington City -25.0 -30.8 -26.2 -27.3 Lynchburg City +14.2 +12.9 +16.2 +14.5 Manassas City -10.8 -0.6 +0.3 -3.7 Manassas Park City -22.8 -7.9 -9.4 -13.4 Martinsville City -18.1 -22.6 -6.7 -15.8 Newport News City -21.3 -22.1 -21.7 -21.7 Norfolk City -37.3 -39.1 -40.9 -39.1 Norton City +49.0 +22.3 +18.1 +29.8 Petersburg City -71.4 -76.1 -75.4 -74.3 Poquoson City +53.9 +48.5 +46.6 +49.7 Portsmouth City -31.0 -41.5 -39.5 -37.3 Radford City +0.6 -6.0 -1.2 -2.2 Richmond City -58.2 -54.0 -54.1 -55.4 Roanoke City -13.7 -21.3 -15.6 -16.9 Salem City +30.0 +17.7 +26.1 +24.6 Staunton City +3.5 +1.3 -0.4 +1.5 Suffolk City -6.9 -13.0 -10.8 -10.2 Virginia Beach City +8.9 +5.9 +4.5 +6.5 Waynesboro City +16.6 +15.9 +16.1 +16.2 Williamsburg City -37.8 -27.5 -29.8 -31.7 Winchester City +1.8 +5.1 +3.7 +3.6

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Source: Dave Leip’s U.S. Election Atlas

Overall, the numbers tell the story of a divided Virginia. Democrats usually do best in the very well-educated Washington suburbs, such as Arlington, and then in a line of counties and cities with large African-American communities, from Richmond to Hampton (including Newport News). Republicans do best in the lightly populated and mostly white cities and counties in the central and western parts of the state.

What will make the 2017 governor’s election difficult to call based off returns from just a few counties or independent cities is that it’s not clear what previous election provides the best baseline to understanding this one. (That’s why I’ve combined the last three in the benchmarks above.)

While some places’ partisanship has stayed relatively steady compared to the state, others have differed vastly in the past few elections. In rural Alleghany County for example, Gillespie did slightly worse in 2014 than he did statewide. In 2016, on the other hand, Trump’s margin was about 42 percentage points better in Alleghany than statewide. Heavily populated Prince William County had the opposite trend. The margin was 2 percentage points more Democratic than the state in 2014, but it was 16 points more Democratic in 2016. Those differences at least partially reflect Trump doing better in rural areas and worse in urban areas than Republicans have historically done.

One last thing to remember: The heavily Democratic Washington suburbs tend to report their results later than the rest of the state. So just because Gillespie has an early lead, it doesn’t mean he’s going to win. Trump led very late into the evening on Election Day 2016 before losing the state by 5 points.

The polls suggest a similar fate awaits Gillespie in 2017, though we won’t know until the votes are actually counted.

#IFTTT #Politics – FiveThirtyEight #politics #538 #Harry Enten

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lifestylephysiciansaestheti-blog · 6 years

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detoxnearme · 7 years

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recentupdates · 7 months

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Comprehensive Approach to Wellness With Culpeper Weight Loss Expert

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skellyjoyofficial · 1 year

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Losing weight can be a challenge, but it is important to find a weight loss clinic that can help you reach your goals in a healthy and sustainable way. If you are looking for a well-experienced and genuine weight loss clinic in Culpeper, VA, you should consider the following factors:

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