#Training Data for Machine Learning

[mostlysignssomeportents]

The surprising truth about data-driven dictatorships

Here’s the “dictator’s dilemma”: they want to block their country’s frustrated elites from mobilizing against them, so they censor public communications; but they also want to know what their people truly believe, so they can head off simmering resentments before they boil over into regime-toppling revolutions.

These two strategies are in tension: the more you censor, the less you know about the true feelings of your citizens and the easier it will be to miss serious problems until they spill over into the streets (think: the fall of the Berlin Wall or Tunisia before the Arab Spring). Dictators try to square this circle with things like private opinion polling or petition systems, but these capture a small slice of the potentially destabiziling moods circulating in the body politic.

Enter AI: back in 2018, Yuval Harari proposed that AI would supercharge dictatorships by mining and summarizing the public mood — as captured on social media — allowing dictators to tack into serious discontent and diffuse it before it erupted into unequenchable wildfire:

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/10/yuval-noah-harari-technology-tyranny/568330/

Harari wrote that “the desire to concentrate all information and power in one place may become [dictators] decisive advantage in the 21st century.” But other political scientists sharply disagreed. Last year, Henry Farrell, Jeremy Wallace and Abraham Newman published a thoroughgoing rebuttal to Harari in Foreign Affairs:

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/spirals-delusion-artificial-intelligence-decision-making

They argued that — like everyone who gets excited about AI, only to have their hopes dashed — dictators seeking to use AI to understand the public mood would run into serious training data bias problems. After all, people living under dictatorships know that spouting off about their discontent and desire for change is a risky business, so they will self-censor on social media. That’s true even if a person isn’t afraid of retaliation: if you know that using certain words or phrases in a post will get it autoblocked by a censorbot, what’s the point of trying to use those words?

The phrase “Garbage In, Garbage Out” dates back to 1957. That’s how long we’ve known that a computer that operates on bad data will barf up bad conclusions. But this is a very inconvenient truth for AI weirdos: having given up on manually assembling training data based on careful human judgment with multiple review steps, the AI industry “pivoted” to mass ingestion of scraped data from the whole internet.

But adding more unreliable data to an unreliable dataset doesn’t improve its reliability. GIGO is the iron law of computing, and you can’t repeal it by shoveling more garbage into the top of the training funnel:

https://memex.craphound.com/2018/05/29/garbage-in-garbage-out-machine-learning-has-not-repealed-the-iron-law-of-computer-science/

When it comes to “AI” that’s used for decision support — that is, when an algorithm tells humans what to do and they do it — then you get something worse than Garbage In, Garbage Out — you get Garbage In, Garbage Out, Garbage Back In Again. That’s when the AI spits out something wrong, and then another AI sucks up that wrong conclusion and uses it to generate more conclusions.

To see this in action, consider the deeply flawed predictive policing systems that cities around the world rely on. These systems suck up crime data from the cops, then predict where crime is going to be, and send cops to those “hotspots” to do things like throw Black kids up against a wall and make them turn out their pockets, or pull over drivers and search their cars after pretending to have smelled cannabis.

The problem here is that “crime the police detected” isn’t the same as “crime.” You only find crime where you look for it. For example, there are far more incidents of domestic abuse reported in apartment buildings than in fully detached homes. That’s not because apartment dwellers are more likely to be wife-beaters: it’s because domestic abuse is most often reported by a neighbor who hears it through the walls.

So if your cops practice racially biased policing (I know, this is hard to imagine, but stay with me /s), then the crime they detect will already be a function of bias. If you only ever throw Black kids up against a wall and turn out their pockets, then every knife and dime-bag you find in someone’s pockets will come from some Black kid the cops decided to harass.

That’s life without AI. But now let’s throw in predictive policing: feed your “knives found in pockets” data to an algorithm and ask it to predict where there are more knives in pockets, and it will send you back to that Black neighborhood and tell you do throw even more Black kids up against a wall and search their pockets. The more you do this, the more knives you’ll find, and the more you’ll go back and do it again.

This is what Patrick Ball from the Human Rights Data Analysis Group calls “empiricism washing”: take a biased procedure and feed it to an algorithm, and then you get to go and do more biased procedures, and whenever anyone accuses you of bias, you can insist that you’re just following an empirical conclusion of a neutral algorithm, because “math can’t be racist.”

HRDAG has done excellent work on this, finding a natural experiment that makes the problem of GIGOGBI crystal clear. The National Survey On Drug Use and Health produces the gold standard snapshot of drug use in America. Kristian Lum and William Isaac took Oakland’s drug arrest data from 2010 and asked Predpol, a leading predictive policing product, to predict where Oakland’s 2011 drug use would take place.

[Image ID: (a) Number of drug arrests made by Oakland police department, 2010. (1) West Oakland, (2) International Boulevard. (b) Estimated number of drug users, based on 2011 National Survey on Drug Use and Health]

Then, they compared those predictions to the outcomes of the 2011 survey, which shows where actual drug use took place. The two maps couldn’t be more different:

https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2016.00960.x

Predpol told cops to go and look for drug use in a predominantly Black, working class neighborhood. Meanwhile the NSDUH survey showed the actual drug use took place all over Oakland, with a higher concentration in the Berkeley-neighboring student neighborhood.

What’s even more vivid is what happens when you simulate running Predpol on the new arrest data that would be generated by cops following its recommendations. If the cops went to that Black neighborhood and found more drugs there and told Predpol about it, the recommendation gets stronger and more confident.

In other words, GIGOGBI is a system for concentrating bias. Even trace amounts of bias in the original training data get refined and magnified when they are output though a decision support system that directs humans to go an act on that output. Algorithms are to bias what centrifuges are to radioactive ore: a way to turn minute amounts of bias into pluripotent, indestructible toxic waste.

There’s a great name for an AI that’s trained on an AI’s output, courtesy of Jathan Sadowski: “Habsburg AI.”

And that brings me back to the Dictator’s Dilemma. If your citizens are self-censoring in order to avoid retaliation or algorithmic shadowbanning, then the AI you train on their posts in order to find out what they’re really thinking will steer you in the opposite direction, so you make bad policies that make people angrier and destabilize things more.

Or at least, that was Farrell(et al)’s theory. And for many years, that’s where the debate over AI and dictatorship has stalled: theory vs theory. But now, there’s some empirical data on this, thanks to the “The Digital Dictator’s Dilemma,” a new paper from UCSD PhD candidate Eddie Yang:

https://www.eddieyang.net/research/DDD.pdf

Yang figured out a way to test these dueling hypotheses. He got 10 million Chinese social media posts from the start of the pandemic, before companies like Weibo were required to censor certain pandemic-related posts as politically sensitive. Yang treats these posts as a robust snapshot of public opinion: because there was no censorship of pandemic-related chatter, Chinese users were free to post anything they wanted without having to self-censor for fear of retaliation or deletion.

Next, Yang acquired the censorship model used by a real Chinese social media company to decide which posts should be blocked. Using this, he was able to determine which of the posts in the original set would be censored today in China.

That means that Yang knows that the “real” sentiment in the Chinese social media snapshot is, and what Chinese authorities would believe it to be if Chinese users were self-censoring all the posts that would be flagged by censorware today.

From here, Yang was able to play with the knobs, and determine how “preference-falsification” (when users lie about their feelings) and self-censorship would give a dictatorship a misleading view of public sentiment. What he finds is that the more repressive a regime is — the more people are incentivized to falsify or censor their views — the worse the system gets at uncovering the true public mood.

What’s more, adding additional (bad) data to the system doesn’t fix this “missing data” problem. GIGO remains an iron law of computing in this context, too.

But it gets better (or worse, I guess): Yang models a “crisis” scenario in which users stop self-censoring and start articulating their true views (because they’ve run out of fucks to give). This is the most dangerous moment for a dictator, and depending on the dictatorship handles it, they either get another decade or rule, or they wake up with guillotines on their lawns.

But “crisis” is where AI performs the worst. Trained on the “status quo” data where users are continuously self-censoring and preference-falsifying, AI has no clue how to handle the unvarnished truth. Both its recommendations about what to censor and its summaries of public sentiment are the least accurate when crisis erupts.

But here’s an interesting wrinkle: Yang scraped a bunch of Chinese users’ posts from Twitter — which the Chinese government doesn’t get to censor (yet) or spy on (yet) — and fed them to the model. He hypothesized that when Chinese users post to American social media, they don’t self-censor or preference-falsify, so this data should help the model improve its accuracy.

He was right — the model got significantly better once it ingested data from Twitter than when it was working solely from Weibo posts. And Yang notes that dictatorships all over the world are widely understood to be scraping western/northern social media.

But even though Twitter data improved the model’s accuracy, it was still wildly inaccurate, compared to the same model trained on a full set of un-self-censored, un-falsified data. GIGO is not an option, it’s the law (of computing).

Writing about the study on Crooked Timber, Farrell notes that as the world fills up with “garbage and noise” (he invokes Philip K Dick’s delighted coinage “gubbish”), “approximately correct knowledge becomes the scarce and valuable resource.”

https://crookedtimber.org/2023/07/25/51610/

This “probably approximately correct knowledge” comes from humans, not LLMs or AI, and so “the social applications of machine learning in non-authoritarian societies are just as parasitic on these forms of human knowledge production as authoritarian governments.”

The Clarion Science Fiction and Fantasy Writers’ Workshop summer fundraiser is almost over! I am an alum, instructor and volunteer board member for this nonprofit workshop whose alums include Octavia Butler, Kim Stanley Robinson, Bruce Sterling, Nalo Hopkinson, Kameron Hurley, Nnedi Okorafor, Lucius Shepard, and Ted Chiang! Your donations will help us subsidize tuition for students, making Clarion — and sf/f — more accessible for all kinds of writers.

Libro.fm is the indie-bookstore-friendly, DRM-free audiobook alternative to Audible, the Amazon-owned monopolist that locks every book you buy to Amazon forever. When you buy a book on Libro, they share some of the purchase price with a local indie bookstore of your choosing (Libro is the best partner I have in selling my own DRM-free audiobooks!). As of today, Libro is even better, because it’s available in five new territories and currencies: Canada, the UK, the EU, Australia and New Zealand!

[Image ID: An altered image of the Nuremberg rally, with ranked lines of soldiers facing a towering figure in a many-ribboned soldier's coat. He wears a high-peaked cap with a microchip in place of insignia. His head has been replaced with the menacing red eye of HAL9000 from Stanley Kubrick's '2001: A Space Odyssey.' The sky behind him is filled with a 'code waterfall' from 'The Matrix.']

Image: Cryteria (modified) https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:HAL9000.svg

CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/deed.en

 — 

Raimond Spekking (modified) https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Acer_Extensa_5220_-_Columbia_MB_06236-1N_-_Intel_Celeron_M_530_-_SLA2G_-_in_Socket_479-5029.jpg

CC BY-SA 4.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.en

 — 

Russian Airborne Troops (modified) https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vladislav_Achalov_at_the_Airborne_Troops_Day_in_Moscow_%E2%80%93_August_2,_2008.jpg

“Soldiers of Russia” Cultural Center (modified) https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Col._Leonid_Khabarov_in_an_everyday_service_uniform.JPG

CC BY-SA 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/deed.en

[aarvyedutech]

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[bananonbinary]

The problem is that due to the way AI art is created it's difficult to impossible to tell if the algorithm is making completely new stuff by cutting things up and piecing them together or if they're just a very slightly changed picture that was used to train it. The sheer volume of training data is so large that no one will ever know all of it. I have seen that this issue does occur with AI that is supposed to create faces. The faces it supposedly created were just ripped from its training data and distorted very slightly.

hmm if that is indeed happening, there's definitely a problem. my gut reaction is to say that transparency would solve this issue, so that people who understand code could see Why some bots are doing that and fix it so that they cant (or tell other people "hey this bot is crap and super illegal"). i guess part of the issue there is; can we tell if AI is *conceptually* a problem, or are there *specific bots* that are poorly made that aren't doing what they're supposed to? i would hope that this is more an issue of like, specific bots being shit, because my understanding of machine learning shouldn't allow for that at all.

[dataly-data-science]

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[nathaniacolver]

remember - it is literally impossible for the machine to be more morally correct than humans, because everything it spits out was once said by a human before. only another human can out-moral what humans have already said.

if anything, it does TOO good of a job at pointing out all our flaws, biases, stereotypes, and bigotry, because bigots yell loud and often.

if you give AI the prompt for a "normal" human, the human will be white, cis, male, and EVERYTHING ELSE that favors the privileged, because they have the largest online presence. we're allowing the machine to sit stagnant in heteronormativity, misogyny, racism, ableism, etc.

it's impossible for something trained on HUMAN data to ever outdo humans on anything; it is STAGNATING US

@hatr @fasterthanlime

[yashseo18]

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[wallabywannabe]

considering how terrible just a single Chatgpt prompt is for the environment, seeing this pop up everywhere in everything really has me extra worried for the future of the planet. Like this will cause a lot of harm in other ways too, but also it's immediately causing harm now.

got a major pest problem this year actually

[hemantrowdy]

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How RNNs Imitate Memory: A Friendly Guide to Sequence Modeling 

In today’s fast-moving world of artificial intelligence and machine learning, understanding how models process sequences of data is essential. Whether it’s predicting the next word in a sentence, transcribing speech, or forecasting stock prices, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) play a crucial role. But how exactly do these models manage to "remember" past information, and why are they so powerful when it comes to handling sequential data? Let’s break it down in simple terms. 

What Are RNNs and Why Do They Matter? 

At their core, Recurrent Neural Networks are a type of neural network designed specifically to work with sequences. This sets them apart from traditional feedforward networks, which treat each input independently. RNNs, however, take into account what has come before — almost like they have a built-in short-term memory. This allows them to understand the order of things and how past events influence the present, making them perfect for tasks where timing and sequence matter. 

How Do RNNs Mimic Memory? 

RNNs don’t literally have memory like a human brain, but they do a good job of approximating it. Here’s how: 

1. Passing Information Forward 

Imagine reading a sentence one word at a time. With each word, you remember the previous ones to make sense of the sentence. RNNs do something similar by passing information from one step to the next using what's called a hidden state. 

This hidden state is updated every time the model processes a new input. So at each time step, the network not only looks at the current input but also considers what it "remembers" from before. The formula might look technical, but in essence, it's just constantly refreshing its understanding of context. 

2. Maintaining Continuity 

Because of this hidden state, RNNs can handle data where one piece depends on what came before — like understanding a sentence, predicting the next value in a time series, or generating music. They essentially maintain a thread of continuity, similar to how our brains follow conversations or narratives. 

3. Handling Longer Sequences 

Standard RNNs can struggle with long-term memory due to issues like the vanishing gradient problem, which makes it difficult for them to retain information over long sequences. That’s where advanced models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) come in. These architectures introduce gates that help the network decide what to keep and what to forget — much like how we might focus on important details and disregard irrelevant ones. 

Where Do We See RNNs in Action? 

The practical applications of RNNs are everywhere: 

Chatbots and virtual assistants rely on RNNs to maintain context and generate coherent replies. 

Speech-to-text systems use them to process audio signals in sequence, converting speech into accurate text. 

Financial forecasting and weather prediction models use RNNs to look at historical data and predict future trends. 

Even video analysis applications use RNNs to understand sequences of frames and recognize patterns over time. 

Why Learning RNNs and Sequence Modeling Matters 

While it’s fascinating to read about RNNs, working with them in real-world projects brings a completely new level of understanding. Building models, tuning hyperparameters, and dealing with real data challenges are skills best learned through practical, hands-on training. 

If you’re eager to dive into this field and you're in India — especially around Kolkata — the Machine Learning Course in Kolkata is an excellent place to start. 

Learn from Experts at the Boston Institute of Analytics, Kolkata 

The Boston Institute of Analytics (BIA) is known globally for providing industry-relevant training in machine learning, AI, and data science. Their Machine Learning Course in Kolkata is designed to help aspiring data professionals gain practical knowledge and hands-on experience. 

Here’s what you can expect from their program: 

Hands-on projects using real-world data sets that help you move beyond theory. 

In-depth modules covering neural networks, RNNs, LSTMs, GRUs, and other advanced architectures. 

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This ensures that when you complete their program, you’re not just gaining knowledge — you're gaining the confidence to apply it in real-world scenarios. 

The Future of Sequence Modeling: Endless Possibilities 

As AI continues to grow, sequence modeling will only become more relevant. Technologies that understand time, order, and context are key to unlocking new levels of human-computer interaction. Whether it’s smarter voice assistants, real-time language translation, or predictive healthcare analytics, RNNs and their evolved forms (like LSTMs and GRUs) will continue to be at the heart of these innovations. 

Final Thoughts 

RNNs are powerful because they mimic a type of memory, enabling machines to understand sequences and patterns that unfold over time. From simple tasks like predicting the next word in a sentence to complex applications like forecasting stock prices or analyzing video footage — they’re everywhere. 

But more importantly, they’re accessible. With the right training, anyone with curiosity and commitment can learn how to use these models. If you’re looking to start your journey in AI and machine learning, enrolling in the Data Science Course could be the perfect first step. 

[lohithkumar9011]

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Synthetic Data for Respiratory Diseases: Real-World Accuracy Achieved

Ground-glass opacities and other lung lesions pose major challenges for AI diagnostic models, largely because even expert radiologists find them difficult to precisely annotate. This scarcity of data with high-quality annotations makes it tough for AI teams to train robust models on real-world data. RYVER.AI addresses this challenge by generating pre-annotated synthetic medical images on demand. Their previous studies confirmed that synthetically created images containing lung nodules meet real-world standards. Now, they’ve extended this success to respiratory infection cases. In a recent study, synthetic COVID-19 CT scans with ground-glass opacities were used to train a segmentation model, and the results were comparable to those from a model trained solely on real-world data - proving that synthetic images can replace or supplement real cases without compromising AI performance. That’s why Segmed and RYVER. AI is joining forces to develop a comprehensive foundation model for generating diverse medical images tailored to various needs. Which lesions give you the most trouble? Let us know in the comments, or reach out to discuss how synthetic data can help streamline your workflow.

[yashseo18]

Your Data Career Starts Here: DICS Institute in Laxmi Nagar

In a world driven by data, those who can interpret it hold the power. From predicting market trends to driving smarter business decisions, data analysts are shaping the future. If you’re looking to ride the data wave and build a high-demand career, your journey begins with choosing the Best Data Analytics Institute in Laxmi Nagar.

Why Data Analytics? Why Now?

Companies across the globe are investing heavily in data analytics to stay competitive. This boom has opened up exciting opportunities for data professionals with the right skills. But success in this field depends on one critical decision — where you learn. And that’s where Laxmi Nagar, Delhi’s thriving educational hub, comes into play.

Discover Excellence at the Best Data Analytics Institute in Laxmi Nagar

When it comes to learning data analytics, you need more than just lectures — you need an experience. The Best Data Analytics Institute in Laxmi Nagar offers exactly that, combining practical training with industry insights to ensure you’re not just learning, but evolving.

Here’s what makes it a top choice for aspiring analysts:

Real-World Curriculum: Learn the tools and technologies actually used in the industry — Python, SQL, Power BI, Excel, Tableau, and more — with modules designed to match current job market needs.

Project-Based Learning: The institute doesn’t just teach concepts — it puts them into practice. You’ll work on live projects, business case studies, and analytics problems that mimic real-life scenarios.

Expert Mentors: Get trained by data professionals with years of hands-on experience. Their mentorship gives you an insider’s edge and prepares you to tackle interviews and workplace challenges with confidence.

Smart Class Formats: Whether you’re a student, jobseeker, or working professional, the flexible batch options — including weekend and online classes — ensure you don’t miss a beat.

Career Support That Works: From resume crafting and portfolio building to mock interviews and job referrals, the placement team works closely with students until they land their dream role.

Enroll in the Best Data Analytics Course in Laxmi Nagar

The Best Data Analytics Course in Laxmi Nagar goes beyond the basics. It’s a complete roadmap for mastering data — right from data collection and cleaning, to analysis, visualization, and even predictive modeling.

This course is ideal for beginners, professionals looking to upskill, or anyone ready for a career switch. You’ll gain hands-on expertise, problem-solving skills, and a strong foundation that puts you ahead of the curve.

Your Data Career Starts Here

The future belongs to those who understand data. With the Best Data Analytics Institute in Laxmi Nagar and the Best Data Analytics Course in Laxmi Nagar, you’re not just preparing for a job — you’re investing in a thriving, future-proof career.

Ready to become a data expert? Enroll today and take the first step toward transforming your future — one dataset at a time.