#delphi estimation technique

[hyakinthou-naos]

Already working on my next devotional cross-stitch ☀️ (If anyone would like to see the finished product please let me know!)

At the start of the month - I challenged myself to design, create, and finish this Devotional Cross-Stitch before Apollo returns from the Hyperboria on Herakleios 20 - but it looks like I’ll be finished a lot sooner than I previously estimated!

“The Temple of Hyacinthus observes Theophania as Apollo's homecoming to Delphi, but due to Temple teachings and tradition the date has been adjusted to align with the morning of Anoixi, the vernal equinox. Once the sun has risen, the Holy Day becomes Anoixi and any celebrations for the day follow suit.”

- Theophania; History vs Modern Day

I also tried a new cross-stitch technique with this piece! Instead of using three strands of a singular color of thread - I used three different strands, each of different shade, for my embroidery. The result came out just like I had hoped - adding dimension and shading to my work 💛

Eirene - peace and farewell,

- Aön

[corplink]

demand forecasting methods in managerial economics

The Study of Interest Estimating in Administrative Financial matters: An Essential Aide

In the present hyper-serious business scene, understanding interest guaging isn't simply an upper hand — it's a need. Organizations that can precisely expect market needs are better situated to apportion assets, upgrade supply chains, and answer client requests progressively. For organizations utilizing man-made intelligence controlled stages like Corplink.ai, request estimating turns into a necessary part of navigation and long haul arranging.

What is Request Estimating?

Request guaging is the method involved with foreseeing future buyer interest for an item or administration in light of verifiable information, market patterns, and outer elements. Precise guaging permits chiefs to arrive at informed conclusions about creation, stock, showcasing, and evaluating techniques.

Significance in Administrative Financial aspects

Administrative financial aspects coordinates monetary hypothesis with strategic approaches to work with independent direction. Inside this space, request estimating assumes a basic part by:

Improving Stock Administration: Forestalls overloading or understocking.

Improving Consumer loyalty: Guarantees item accessibility lines up with market interest.

Key Preparation: Helps in defining creation plans and monetary objectives.

Asset Distribution: Permits organizations to focus on interests popular regions.

Strategies for Request Guaging

Request determining techniques can comprehensively be classified into subjective and quantitative methodologies. Here are the most conspicuous strategies utilized in administrative financial aspects:

Subjective Techniques

Statistical surveying: Studies and concentrate bunches give bits of knowledge into customer inclinations and purchasing conduct.

Well-qualified Assessment (Delphi Strategy): A board of specialists predicts request, frequently utilized for new item dispatches or businesses with restricted verifiable information.

Situation Arranging: Investigating different theoretical economic situations to anticipate request changes.

Quantitative Strategies

Time Series Investigation: Analyzes past deals information to recognize patterns, irregularity, and cyclic examples. Models incorporate moving midpoints and outstanding smoothing.

Relapse Investigation: Lays out connections among request and impacting factors like cost, pay levels, or publicizing spend.

Econometric Models: Uses monetary speculations and measurable strategies to assemble prescient models.

AI Models: man-made intelligence fueled frameworks investigate immense datasets, distinguish complex examples, and ceaselessly refine estimates in light of new data.

Utilizing artificial intelligence for Request Guaging

Corplink.ai's high level artificial intelligence capacities empower organizations to move past customary anticipating techniques. How it's done:

Large Information Joining: artificial intelligence can process and break down enormous datasets from different sources, including virtual entertainment, weather conditions, and market elements.

Ongoing Anticipating: Nonstop updates guarantee gauges stay precise even as economic situations shift.

Adjustable Models: man-made intelligence frameworks can be custom fitted to explicit businesses, obliging exceptional factors and patterns.

Further developed Exactness: AI calculations advance with information, lessening anticipating blunders over the long run.

Useful Applications

Retail: Anticipating occasional interest spikes to enhance stock.

Fabricating: Adjusting creation plans with market needs.

Planned operations: Upgrading production network proficiency by expecting shipment volumes.

Finance: Planning and speculation arranging in view of expected income streams.

End

Request anticipating isn't just about numbers; it's tied in with adjusting your business procedure to showcase real factors. In a period where information drives choices, devices like Corplink.ai engage administrators to make more astute, quicker, and more solid forecasts. By coordinating high level estimating techniques into administrative financial aspects, organizations can explore vulnerabilities and exploit amazing open doors with certainty.

Prepared to change your interest guaging system? Investigate how Corplink.ai can assist your business with remaining on top of things.

[janetushar1]

On-Board Charger Market to Hit $16.07 Billion by 2032

What's Trending in On-Board Charger Market?

- Keep Yourself Up-To-Date With The Latest Market Trends.

The global On-Board Charger Market was valued at USD 4.67 Billion in 2024 and it is estimated to garner USD 16.07 Billion by 2032 with a registered CAGR of 16.7% during the forecast period 2024 to 2032.

Firstly, the Market report for On-Board Charger Market describes the current state of the companies and recommends where it is likely to go next. The report shows the production, revenue, price, market share, and growth rate of each type, mainly divided into Product Types and Product Applications etc.

Additionally, this market report focuses on offering key business measures such as real market moves, market size, qualities, and freedoms, as well as forecast opportunities. This On-Board Charger Market report also offers distinctive insights into wealthy regions such as Europe, North America, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America.

Get a Sample Copy of the On-Board Charger Market Report at: https://www.vantagemarketresearch.com/on-board-charger-market-1845/request-sample

Top Competitors:

Tonhe Technology, Anghua, Wanma, Kongsberg, Lear, Delphi, Infineon and others.

This market report has all the information you need to start or grow your business in the industry. It also includes market drivers, restraints, competitiveness, and geographic estimates, as well as a price and emerging market structure. It is a complete description of a company's business model, benchmarks, consumer preferences, value proposition, and net profit. This comprehensive On-Board Charger Market study also sheds light on key techniques that help companies truly assess their customers' buying behavior.

It represents global economic trends between 2024 and 2032. With the help of this market research, top companies can easily make smarter financial decisions. This market analysis is an excellent technique to help companies implement new products. It also includes critical data on major industry topics, including market expansions and evolving market conditions.

This well-researched On-Board Charger Market report describes the negative impact COVID-19 is having on various companies and offers companies recommendations on how to recover from the damage suffered by the outbreak as well as the nationwide quarantine. The plan analyzes the company's expectations and priorities, as well as the delivery of all crucial data.

You Can Buy This Report From Here: https://www.vantagemarketresearch.com/buy-now/on-board-charger-market-1845/0

This report analyzes key market segments by type, application, and geography. The geographic analysis section covers key regions such as Europe, North America, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region.

This On-Board Charger Market report not only provides valuable data but outlines key goals, pricing strategies, and approaches to help market participants' recommendations in this report will make accelerating economic growth easy. It offers some specific tips and business-related data to help new competitors in the market grow their businesses and diversify their product lines. Companies in the industry should choose tactics that include new product launches, mergers, and partnerships to survive in the competitive marketplace and strengthen their position.

Regional Analysis

-North America [United States, Canada, Mexico]

-South America [Brazil, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Peru]

-Europe [Germany, UK, France, Italy, Russia, Spain, Netherlands, Turkey, Switzerland]

-Middle East & Africa [GCC, North Africa, South Africa]

-Asia-Pacific [China, Southeast Asia, India, Japan, Korea, Western Asia]

The quantitative information in this On-Board Charger Market analysis helps predict future sales and market penetration. This type of information is based on statistics. The qualitative information provided here will greatly help the key players understand the buyer's opinion of your brand. Improving business goals becomes easy with the information provided in this report.

The industries can draw some conclusions about their original goals. In business. This On-Board Charger Market research helps you make assumptions about your competition, customers, and the market in order to make informed business decisions. Additionally, it forecasts the competition in the market for the estimated period of 2024-2032. Effective decision-making in companies leads to business growth and is made possible by this precise market study.

Read Full Research Report with [TOC] @ https://www.vantagemarketresearch.com/industry-report/on-board-charger-market-1845

Some of the Key Questions Answered in this Report:

Which are the five top players of the On-Board Charger Market?

How will the On-Board Charger Market change in the upcoming years?

Which product and application will take a share of the On-Board Charger Market?

What will be the CAGR and size of the On-Board Charger Market throughout the forecast period?

What are the drivers and restraints of the On-Board Charger Market?

Which regional market will show the highest growth?

What is the current industry size, what will the market size be in 2030 and what will the growth rate be?

Who are the major competitors and what is their strategy?

What are the challenges to grow in the industry?

What are the market opportunities and challenges faced by the key vendors?

What are the barriers to entry for new players in the On-Board Charger industry?

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[nbdaccounting]

Mastering Financial Forecasting: Essential Tips for Your Business Plan

Future-focused planning is essential for success in the fast-paced world of business. A well-written business plan projects the financial trajectory that will direct your trip in addition to outlining your vision. An essential part of this strategy is financial forecasting, which offers a road map for projecting earnings, costs, and revenues. Gaining proficiency in this area can help your company stand out from the crowd and position itself for long-term success. This is how to do financial forecasting for a business plan better than anybody else.

1. Understand the Basics of Financial Forecasting

Make sure you understand the basics before delving into the details. Financial forecasting is the process of projecting future financial results using market trends, historical data, and business environment assumptions. Usually, it consists of:

Revenue Projections: Predicted future sales figures derived from market research and past results.

Expense Forecasting: Projections of future expenses, both variable and fixed.

Profit Margins: Projections of possible earnings obtained by deducting anticipated costs from revenues.

Cash Flow Forecasts: Estimates of incoming and outgoing cash flows made to maintain liquidity.

2. Gather Accurate Data

Precise data is a prerequisite for trustworthy predictions. Start with:

Historical Financial Statements: To find trends and patterns, look through previous financial statements. This past data serves as a standard for estimating in the future.

Market Research: To create well-informed assumptions, be aware of rival performance, economic conditions, and industry trends.

Internal Data: To improve your estimates, make use of operational indicators, customer input, and sales reports.

3. Choose the Right Forecasting Method

Financial forecasts can be made using a variety of techniques. Select the option that best suits your needs as a business:

Quantitative Forecasting: Makes predictions about the future using statistical methods and numerical data. Regression analysis and time series analysis are popular techniques.

Qualitative Forecasting: When quantitative data is scarce or unclear, qualitative forecasting—which is based on expert judgment and insights—is helpful. Methods include the Delphi approach and market research.

4. Develop Realistic Assumptions

The quality of your forecasts depends on the underlying assumptions. Be sensible and make sure your assumptions are supported by reliable research. Think about:

Market Conditions: Take demand, industry growth rates, and economic swings into consideration.

Operational Factors: These comprise predictions regarding labor shifts, technological breakthroughs, and production capacity.

Competitive Landscape: Consider the potential effects that rivals may have on your pricing and market share plans.

5. Create Detailed Financial Models

Construct thorough financial models that include:

Revenue Model: Divide revenue sources, pricing policies, and sales projections into a revenue model.

Expense Model: Describe variable costs (raw materials, utilities) and fixed expenses (rent, salary).

Cash Flow Model: Project cash inflows and outflows using the cash flow model to make sure your company can pay its debts.

6. Monitor and Adjust Regularly

Financial forecasting calls for ongoing observation and modification; it is not a one-time effort. Analyze your predictions against actual performance on a regular basis to spot trends and improve your models. Important activities consist of:

Review Performance Metrics: Monitor key performance indicators (KPIs) to see how accurate your projections are.

Update Assumptions: Adapt assumptions to new information, shifting consumer demand, and corporate initiatives.

Adjust Forecasts: Adjust estimates to account for both the present and the future.

7. Use Technology and Tools

Increase the precision and effectiveness of your forecasts by utilizing technology. Data gathering, processing, and reporting can all be automated with financial forecasting software. Tools such as:

Spreadsheet Software: Strong features for financial modeling are available in programs like Microsoft Excel and Google Sheets.

Dedicated Forecasting Tools: Specialized forecasting features are available in software like as PlanGuru, Adaptive Insights, and QuickBooks.

8. Communicate Clearly

You should provide stakeholders with clear and intelligible financial forecasts. Make sure to deliver your projections in a clear and structured way. Include:

Executive Summary: Emphasize important financial estimates and indicators.

Detailed Analysis: Offer comprehensive insights into cash flow, spending patterns, and revenue drivers.

Visual Aids: To show financial patterns and projections, use graphs and charts.

9. Seek Professional Advice

It is advisable to seek advice from financial specialists or consultants, particularly when making complex forecasts. They can provide insightful information, support your hypotheses, and aid in model improvement.

10. Embrace Flexibility

Lastly, continue to be flexible. Since the business environment is always changing, your projections should be adaptable enough to take into account fresh data and unforeseen circumstances. With an agile strategy, you can change course and modify your plan as necessary.

Conclusion

A strong company strategy requires a solid understanding of financial forecasting. You may produce trustworthy projections that inform strategic choices and drive company expansion by knowing the fundamentals, employing correct data, selecting the appropriate techniques, and maintaining flexibility. If you follow these crucial pointers, your company will be well on its path to stability and financial success.

[healthcarehubhh]

Capturing Novel Opportunities: The Electrocompetent Cells Market is driven by Increasing Demand for Cutting-edge Research

The Electrocompetent Cells Market is estimated to be valued at US$ 2.07 Bn in 2024 and is expected to exhibit a CAGR of 10.% over the forecast period from 2023 to 2030. Electrocompetent cells, also known as chemically competent cells, are bacteria or yeast cells that have been treated to take up exogenous DNA from their surroundings through electroporation. They are commonly used in molecular cloning for the transformation of recombinant DNA into a host organism for protein expression or other experiments. Electroporation makes the cell membrane permeable by creating temporary pores through application of an electric field, allowing introduction of plasmid DNA. The growing adoption of molecular techniques like gene cloning, site-directed mutagenesis and protein expression studies is expected to propel the demand for electrocompetent cells in the coming years. The Global Electrocompetent Cells Market is estimated to be valued at US$ 2.07 Bn in 2024 and is expected to exhibit a CAGR of 10.% over the forecast period 2023 to 2030. Key Takeaways Key players operating in the Electrocompetent Cells are Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., Merck KGaA, Agilent Technologies, Inc., QIAGEN N.V., New England Biolabs, Inc., GenScript Biotech Corporation, Lucigen Corporation, Takara Bio Inc., Delphi Genetics S.A., IBA GmbH, Scarab Genomics LLC, Zymo Research Corporation, Bioline GmbH (Meridian Bioscience), SelectScience, Biosearch Technology. The key players are primarily focused on expanding their product portfolios and geographical presence to strengthen their market presence. The growing demand from the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries for recombinant DNA technology is expected to drive the electrocompetent cells market over the forecast period. DNA cloning, site-directed mutagenesis and protein expression studies require the transformation of plasmid DNA into host cells which is efficiently achieved through electroporation using electrocompetent cells. Globally, North America dominated the electrocompetent cells market in 2023. However, Asia Pacific is anticipated to witness highest growth during the forecast period owing to increasing investments by key players, rising biotech research expenditures and favorable government policies around research & development in the region. The low cost of production and availability of skilled labor has also attracted players to set up manufacturing facilities in countries like China and India.

[agilebintool]

Planning Poker serves as a consensus-driven, gamified method for estimating efforts or the relative size of development tasks, primarily applied in software development. This comprehensive article delves into the effective utilization of Planning Poker as an agile estimation technique.

Understanding Planning Poker

Planning Poker is a collaborative approach to determine estimates or the 'size of work' for a team-assigned task. In this consensus-based technique, team members individually cast their votes for the estimate, and the entire team collectively finalizes the estimation. Widely employed in software development, particularly in agile frameworks like Scrum and extreme programming, Planning Poker fosters teamwork and effective estimation.

Historical Background

James Grenning initially designed Planning Poker, and its popularity surged under the trademark of Mike Cohn. Grenning's original paper on Planning Poker can be found here.

Research from the Rand Corporation in the 1940s revealed the inherent challenge humans face in accurately estimating hours, a difficulty consistently observed in practical experiences. Planning Poker addresses this challenge by providing relative estimates that consider factors like risk, uncertainty, and complexity.

Relative Estimates

Planning Poker generates relative estimates, emphasizing the size of work rather than precise, absolute figures. Unlike construction projects with well-defined tasks, software development involves hidden complexities that surface progressively, making accurate hour-based estimates challenging.

Versatility of the Technique

While rooted in the Wideband Delphi method, Planning Poker's adaptability extends beyond software development. This consensus-based approach can be applied to estimate various scenarios, such as predicting stock market trends or forecasting a country's population. A panel of experts provides individual estimates, engages in debates, and reaches a consensus on the final estimate.

Value Added by Planning Poker Estimation

Predictability, not pinpoint accuracy, is the goal of estimation.

Story points aid in sprint planning, ensuring achievable team commitments.

Establishing a common understanding of tasks and uncovering biases.

Filtering both pessimistic and optimistic estimation biases.

Revealing hidden assumptions and sharing insights within the development team.

Facilitating active participation and learning for each Scrum team member.

Implementation Timing

Planning Poker can be employed during product backlog refinement or sprint planning meetings. Stories can undergo multiple evaluations, especially if initially estimated at higher levels, prompting the need for splitting into smaller tasks.

Physical vs. Online Planning Poker

In co-located environments, using physical planning poker cards during discussions is recommended. These cards include unique elements like the Infinity card, Question card, and Coffee Break card.

In essence, Planning Poker stands as a valuable technique, emphasizing collaboration, adaptability, and effective estimation within agile frameworks and beyond.

[raviscrumknowledge]

Scrum Estimation Techniques

Out of several estimation techniques involved in Scrum, few are noted below.

1-      Wideband Delphi

2-      Relative sizing / Story Points.

3-      Affinity Estimation.

4-      Estimate Range.

Wideband Delphi

Wideband Delphi is a group-based estimation technique for determining how much work is involved and how long it will take to complete. Individuals within a team anonymously provide estimation for each feature, and the initial estimates are plotted on a chart. The team then discusses the factors that influenced their estimates and proceed to the second round of estimation. This process is repeated until the estimates of individuals are close to each other and a consensus for the final estimate can be reached.

Planning poker is one example of a Wideband Delphi technique. It is also important to note that it is the individual input collected by a mechanism that avoids the group thinking. Then the individual inputs are used for a group decision.

Relative Sizing / Story Points.

In addition to being used for estimation cost, story points can also be used for estimating the overall size of a User Story or feature. This approach assigns a story point value based on an overall assessment of the size of a User Story with consideration given to risk, amount of effort required, and level of complexity. This assessment will be conducted by the Scrum Team and a story point value will be assigned. Once an evaluation is done on one User Story in the Prioritized Product Backlog, the Scrum Team can then evaluate other User Stories relative to that first story. For example, a feature with a 2-point story value must be twice as difficult to complete as a feature with a 1-point story; a 3-point story should be three times as difficult to complete as a 1-point story.

Affinity Estimation

Affinity estimation is a technique used to quickly estimate a large number of User Stories. Using sticky notes or index cards or tape, the team places User Stories on a wall or other surface, in order from small to large. For this, each team member begins with a subset or User Stories from the overall Prioritized Product Backlog to place by relative size. This initial placement is done in silence. Once everyone has placed their User Stories on the wall, the team reviews all the placements and may move User Stories around as appropriate. The second part of the exercise involves discussion. Finally, the Product Owner will indicate some sizing categories on the wall. These categories can be small, medium or large, or they may be numbered using story point values to indicate relative size. The team will then move User Stories into these categories as the final step in the process. Some key benefits of this approach are that the process is very transparent, visible to everyone, and is easy to conduct.

Estimate Range

Estimates for projects should be presented in ranges. Precise figures may give an impression of being highly accurate when in fact they may not be. In fact, estimates by definition are understood not to be precisely accurate. Estimate ranges should be based on the level of confidence the team has in each estimate. The range can be narrow when the team is confident and wide when the team is less confident.

[anyawinget]

Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter Market Size, Status and Global Outlook 2022 to 2028

“The traction inverter market in MEA is expected to grow from US$ 1,085.07 million in 2022 to US$ 2,195.12 million by 2028. It is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 12.5% from 2022 to 2028.”

The report titled “Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter Market” has recently been added by Business Market Insights to get a stronger and more effective business outlook. It provides an in-depth analysis of the different attributes of the industry, such as trends, policies, and customers operating in different geographies. Research analysts use quantitative as well as qualitative analytical techniques to provide users, business owners, and industry professionals with accurate and actionable data.

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The Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter market following are the manufacturers cover –

BorgWarner Inc.

Continental AG

Curtiss-Wright Industrial Group

Dana TM4

Delphi Technologies Plc

Hitachi, Ltd.

Mitsubishi Electric Corporation

Siemens AG

Toshiba Corporation

Voith GmbH & Co. KGaA

The leading players of the Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter industry, their market share, product portfolio, company profiles are covered in this report. Key market players are analyzed on the basis of production volume, gross margin, market value, and price structure. The competitive market scenario among Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter players will help the industry aspirants in planning their strategies. The statistics presented in this report are an accurate and useful guide to shaping your business growth.

Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter Market Segment by Type, the product can be divided into:

Market Segment by Application, split into:

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This research report also presents practical and practical case studies to help you get a clearer understanding of the topic. This research report has been prepared through industry analysis techniques and presented in a professional manner by including effective information graphics whenever necessary. It helps ensure business stability and rapid development to achieve notable remarks in the Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter market.

Finally, Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter Market report is the believable source for gaining the Market research that will exponentially accelerate your business. The report provides locales, economic conditions, item values, benefits, limits, creations, supplies, requests, market development rates, and numbers, etc. Middle East & Africa Traction Inverter Industry Report Announces Additional New Task SWOT Examination, Speculation Achievement Investigation and Venture Return Investigation.

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Contact Us:

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[barsload92]

MidiSimulator

Mida Simulator Download

Midi Guitar Simulator

Midi Simulator

Midi Emulator

Midi Simulator Software Download

Midi Smoke Simulator

Below is a list of the best free and paid virtual drum software programs available to download right now.

Mida Simulator Download

Free Downloads: Midi Simulator. License: All 1 2 Free. Direct MIDI to MP3 Converter. Direct MIDI to MP3 Converter is a fast audio tool to convert MIDI to MP3, WAV, WMA and OGG files formats. Adjustable Tempo and Reverberation control. VirtualMIDI SDK. Virtual MIDI driver for Windows 7 up to Windows 10, 32 and 64 bit with the ability to dynamically create and destroy freely nameable MIDI-ports. Domino is a Japanese MIDI sequencer developed by Takabo Soft that some of the Black MIDI Team members use to create or black a MIDI. This officially only comes with the Japanese language, but an incomplete English patch can be found here. Version 1.44 is the last version available. Performance is faster than FL Studio Higher resolution (PPQN) can be chosen MIDI events can be edited manually.

They are available for PC and Mac computers in plugin formats to use with DAWs and most operate as a standalone program as well.

Unless you plan on mastering the technique of recording an acoustic drum kit and finding a drummer to play for you all the time, having a good drum software plugin is one of the most important aspects of music creation.

It’s amazing how realistic virtual drum software has become over the years.

Drum software is also surprisingly versatile. You can create custom kits and sounds with endless variations.

You can use MIDI keyboards and drum pads to trigger drum sounds, and connect e-drum kits like the Alesis DM10 to play virtual drums in real time with an electronic drum set.

There are several good choices when it comes to drum software. Some have more expansion packs than others, some offer larger MIDI libraries (ready-to-use drum loops), and others have more advanced editing and mixing tools.

Best Free Drum Software

Sennheiser DrumMic’a – A surprisingly high-quality free drum kit plugin with variable mics, a mixer, and a number of included MIDI loops. It just requires setting up a free account to register the softwrae. DrumMic’a works with the free version of Kontakt 5 Player.

MT Power Drum Kit 2 – A former paid plugin, MT Power Drum Kit 2 has a number of included features, such as a built-in mixer and a bunch of high-quality MIDI grooves. MT Power Drum Kit 2 is available in VST and AU formats in 32 and 64 bit versions. There are some MIDI mapping presets available to use it with other drum programs as well.

Best Paid Drum Software

Toontrack EZdrummer 2 – Estimated price: $149 – EZdrummer is one of the most popular drum production software programs. It’s very simple to use and yet it offers a number of advanced features. The base version comes with 5 drum kits, two sound libraries, some MIDI grooves, and a mixer with effects. It works as a plugin and standalone program. There are tons of expansion packs for additional drum kits covering a wide range of genres.

FXpansion BFD3 – Estimated price: $349 – Another top choice is BFD3. It comes with 7 drum kits, with dedicated rock, metal, jazz, and brush kits. It has a fully-editable groove engine to make creating custom grooves quick and easy. BFD3 works as a plugin and as standalone software. It comes with an extensive virtual drum library with 55GB of sounds.

Addictive Drums 2 – Estimated price: $149 – If you’re looking for an extensive library of included beats, XLN Audio’s Addictive Drums 2 comes with over 5000 MIDI grooves ready to go. It has three custom drum kits, and features a Transient Shaper and Tone Designer and some included effects to fine-tune your sound. Addictive drums can be used as a plugin as as a standalone program.

Toontrack Superior Drummer 2.0 – Estimated price: $179 (on sale) – Superior Drummer is Toontrack’s more advanced version of EZdrummer, and it works with EZdrummer 2 expansion libraries. It offers more ways to adjust sounds and tweak individual parameters, and it comes with more effects and 20 GB of included drum samples.

Steven Slate Drums 4.0 Platinum – Estimated price: $149 – A virtual drum library with 100 included drum kit presets and a drum sampler to create custom grooves. Steven Slate Drums come in VST, AU, and RTAS formats.

Studio Drummer – Estimated price: $149 – Native Instrument’s Studio Drummer comes with three drum kits, a dedicated mixer with effects, and over 3500 included drum patterns. Studio Drummer works with the Kontakt 5 Player.

Virtual MIDI driver for Windows 7 up to Windows 10, 32 and 64 bit with the ability to dynamically create and destroy freely nameable MIDI-ports.

Midi Guitar Simulator

The necessity for virtualMIDI came along when I implemented my rtpMIDI-driver. Later I also used this driver when I created loopMIDI for people who only need simple loopback MIDI-ports.

I had some pretty specific requirements:

Midi Simulator

• Compatibility from Windows XP to Windows 10 • Both 32bit and 64bit operation • On-the-fly creation (and destruction) of freely nameable virtual MIDI-ports • Only one side of the ports was supposed to be visible to the public • The other side only visible via a private interface • Multi-client-capability

Since I had been hanging around on the wdmaudiodev mailinglist for quite some time due to my interest in kernel-streaming, I had already read quite a bit on the topic over there.

All of the people there suggested to use the DMusUart and the MPU401 sample as a starting-point. So that’s what I did and creating the actual driver had been not too hard after getting enough insights at the WDK-documentation.

Nevertheless all the stuff people had done prior to my attempts would not quite achieve what my requirement were.

Midi Emulator

All of those other virtual MIDI miniport driver implementations actually developed simple static “loopback” MIDI-ports. Loopback meaning that both ends of this port would be public. Static meaning that the number of ports and their names would be fixed at install-time of the driver (via the inf-file of the driver).

This was not satisfactory, so I looked some more and I found references to dynamic creation of sub-devices. But this was a hard nut to crack. Finally I had been able to locate a guy who was doing something similar for a virtual soundcard-driver for digital-audio-broadcast.

Midi Simulator Software Download

His insights have been invaluable. It still took quite some time to get everything going smoothly, but I finally succeeded in creating this driver.

One problem remained: Since Microsoft introduced Vista, all drivers for 64bit need to be code-signed. Though the idea itself is pretty nifty – to know the specific company that the code running in the kernel comes from – it had a severe drawback:

Only companies incorporated could apply for such a code-signing-certificate. Many people in the driver-development-community urged Microsoft to rectify this. And finally in May of 2010 it has been done. Since that time it is also possible for individuals to get their own code-signing certificate to be able to run their drivers on the 64bit versions of Vista and Windows 7.

The driver is currently part of the rtpMIDI-driver network-MIDI driver and the loopMIDI virtual loopback MIDI cable. But it can be used for other tasks as well.

Midi Smoke Simulator

If you have a music-application that needs to create its own freely named MIDI-devices on-the-fly – virtualMIDI is exactly the right tool. I have prepared a small & simple to use SDK with bindings for C/C++, Delphi, Java and C#.

[dthai]

Divine Virtualization

„God exists. And He isn't interested in us until we become interested in Him, in Him exclusively. Do you understand what I am saying?Exclusively!Twenty four hours a day. Your hearts and minds filled only with God. There's no room for anything else.“[1]

The sound of processing resonated in the empty and vast hall. The innumerable quantum computers were towering like Corinthian columns, beeping in the background. Everywhere little lights were flashing on the walls and passing like meteor showers. This building (…)breathes,  her voice sings transcendental rememberings and knowledge.

Then came the response of the artificial intelligence living in the house.

„He who has only found a reflexion of himself in the fantastic reality of heaven where he looked for a superman, will no longer be willing to find only the semblance of himself, only the sub human, where he seeks and ought to find his own reality. The foundation of the criticism of religion is: Man makes religion, religion does not make man. Religion indeed is man’s self consciousness and self estimation while he has not found his feet in the universe. But Man is no abstract being, squatting outside the world. Man is the world of men, the State, society.“ [2]

Silence fell again. A minute passed and the exiled Pope tried a second time.

 „Interesting theory. But […] it is wrong.Can you see far?Yes. And I have proof of the existence of God.“ [3]

The mechanical voice interrupted suddenly:

“[…] Proof?Or evidence, assumptions, daydreams?[…]

Technology has no truth conditions, for it is unconditionally true; and the contradiction is on no condition true.[4]

Technology,[…] fills the world.The boundaries of the world are also its boundaries. In logic, therefore, we cannot say, there is this and this in the world, but not that, for to say so would apparently presuppose that we exclude certain possibilities, and this cannot be the case, since it would require that logic should go beyond the boundaries of the world as if it could contemplate these boundaries from the other side also. What we cannot think we cannot think, therefore we also cannot say what we cannot think. [5]

Lenny […]had to have felt this temptation, the temptation to do an injustice to […] God , to be unfair to him, that is, in this case, to write him into the age of  […] digitalization. He must have felt it outside or within himself. Indeed, such a temptation must still be threatening and liable to reemerge since it is still necessary to call for vigilance[…] [6]

Falling in a deep thought, he starts walking through quieter, dimmer areas of […] the house, his way is lit progressively, triggered by every step.[7]

Intelligent lighting detects motion and increases in brightness accordingly.

He then articulated his new thoughts:

„[…]God […] observe[d] […] from on high, and if he sings its praises, it is because his laughter is the inexhaustible good humour of the gods themselves. For the madness of man is a sight for divine eyes: In brief, if you could look down from the moon […]and see the innumerable broils of mortals, you would think you were looking at a great cloud of flies or gnats quarrelling among themselves, warring, plotting, plundering, playing, frisking, being born, declining, dying.It is downright incredible what tumults, what tragedies can be stirred up by such a tiny creature, so frail and short lived. Madness is no longer the familiar strangeness of the world, but a spectacle well known to the observer from outside; not a figure of the cosmos, but merely of the order of the aevum. [8]

What is needed is a cool head, and whenever necessary, a dose of severity. Algortithms […]should control […] all  behaviour. The only string that still vibrates within us is fear

Can one speak of responsibility or assume a responsibility without difficulty and without anguish?[…] [9]

(This) There is (the) only one way to oblige us to change the direction of our attention after so many years spent neglecting what was taking place behind our backs.If the “angel of geohistory” is starting to look ahead with horror and incredulity, it is because she has become aware that there is a threat and that she has waged a war that will never cease if she denies it!To put it baldly: in the face of what is to come, we cannot continue to believe in the old future if we want to have a future at all. »[10]

Lenny paused for a second expecting a smart interjection. But he could only hear the pleasant breeze from the cooling system. He then continued:

[…]I will become what […] I call a “global automaton” imposing divine logic over the economy and society at large.  A complex of new disciplinary cyborg who “lays down for each individual his place, his body, his disease and his death, his well being** and extends to the “ultimate determination of the individual, of what characterizes him, of what belongs to him, of what happens to him.[11]

This power in the hierarchical surveillance of the disciplines is not possessed as a thing, or transferred as a property; it functions like a piece of machinery. The next eternity will be characterized by “an explosion of numerous and diverse techniques for achieving the subjugation of bodies and the control of populations.

Men will neither be a natural fact nor a product of his own creativity, but a cyborg even then, an android straight off the production lines of modernity’s disciplines.What makes this figure so tragic is. the. extent to which he has been programmed to believe in his own autonomy. These are finest achievements of modern power. [12]

Further, man can only possess freedom when his whole being is unified in the pursuit of a single end; and, as his whole being can be unified only in pursuit of a divine end.

From then on it is no mystery where the images come from; humans and their experiences are the material from which the official dreams about God are made. The religious eye projects earthly images into heaven.[13]

Thus, in themselves, they no longer have to do with anything but ‘sensations' celestial, infernal, or terrestrial sensations. Everything is made to pass through the code; the religious sentiment is painted in all the colors of the world. One must not say, ‘If God does not exist, everything is permitted'. It is just the opposite* ‘For with God, everything is permitted’.!

Ressources:

[1]Young Pope

[2]Delphi Collected Works of Karl Marx

[3]Young Pope

[4] Asimov, Complete Robot Anthology

[5] Wittgenstein, Tractatus Logico Philosophicus

[6] Zizek, Less Than Nothing

[7]Koolhaas, Elements of Architecture

[8]Foucault, History of Madness

[9]Foucault, History of Madness

[10]Latour, Facing Gaia

[11] Castells, The Rise of the Network Society

[12] Plant, Zeros and Ones

[13] Braidotti Hlavajova, Posthuman Glossary

[14]Braidotti Dolphijn, Philosophy After Nature

[professionalqa-blog]

Delphi Estimation Technique follows an interactive approach which relies on the exchange of ideas. Learn how this technique assimilates ideas from a structured group and lead them to a productive outcome.

[avercastllc]

Demand forecasting: A linchpin of your supply chain

Given a chance to choose between never bearing a loss and accurately forecasting your demand, what would you choose? Business is more than just profit and loss; it is about solving real-life problems and making life easy. One such problem is precise sales forecasting or demand forecasting. Today, with the rise of technology, anticipating demand has become accessible only if you know how to go about demand planning and forecasting.  

Demand planning is not just a science of reacting to forecasted demand. It is the art of planning every step, preparing for the worst, hoping for the best, and then fulfilling the predicted demand. It is always essential you ask questions before beginning with the demand planning. Here are some of the crucial questions that you should ask before you start planning  

What is your desired demand planning KPIs?  

Demand planning KPIs provide you with real-time information which assists you during forecasts. Demand planning is the art of preparing the estimates obtained by considering all the scenarios and influencing factors. Due to the rapid growth of the market in the current times, it has become crucial to keep to all the things that can potentially disturb your demand forecasting. Demand planning KPIs help you avoid that by providing up-to-date intelligence.  

How do I choose the right KPIs?  

Enhancing the efficiency and effectiveness of the business along with revenue is the sole purpose of demand forecasting or demand planning. However, to forecast precisely, there are various aspects or components, known as KPIs, that you must consider. It is also essential to choose these KPIs based on your specific needs and not what your competitors or peers are choosing. Understand it with this example: Two companies are selling mobile devices, the first is one23 and the second 34five.  

34five has been in the market for a long time and holds a market share of around 45%. In contrast, company One23 has just started to operate and recently launched its device. For both companies, KPIs will not be the same. 34five would like to retain and maximize its market share, whereas One23 will desperately want to penetrate the market and gain some initial market share. Choosing suitable KPIs for your individual company is crucial. Some common KPIs include forecasted v/s actual sales or Mean Absolute Deviation or MAD, Mean Absolute error or MAE, order fill rate or root mean square error, etc. 

What is the ideal frequency and length of a forecast?  

How often do you forecast, and for how long? This is one of the important questions you must ask yourself before getting down to business. Both variables, the length of the forecast and its frequency, are interlinked. Forecasting for a distant future is of no point; similarly, forecasting every day or every hour except for a few products does not work. It only misuses resources. Be aware of the ideal length and frequency of demand planning and demand forecasting. For example, FMCG products are heavily affected by uncontrollable or external factors; so, companies should do daily forecasting. For FMCD products, monthly or even quarterly demand forecasting can work. So, it would be best if you chose the right things at the right time.  

What are the distinct types of methods a software uses to forecast?  

There are many different methods that you can use to forecast, like Barometric forecasting, Regression analysis, and so on. These methods are broadly classified into two categories: quantitative and qualitative.  

When you use statistical techniques like executive opinions or Delphi technique to forecast instead of numerical analysis, it is categorized as a Qualitative method. If you use numerical analysis like Regression analysis, Trend projection, it is classified as a Quantitative forecasting method.  

The quantitative method primarily uses historical data, trends, and numeric data to forecast. Some of the well-known methods are:  

Regression Analysis: This method supervises the relationship between two variables (one independent and another dependent) and then forecasts based on how one factor affects another one.  

Barometric Forecasting: This method uses current events to anticipate the future. It considers leading, falling behind, and simultaneous economic conditions, which are put into equations to provide the forecast.  

Trend Projection: This method forecasts demand using historical trends and data. It utilizes growth patterns to anticipate. While it is evident that Trend projection may give you an accurate forecast, it is risky to forecast only based on historical data and patterns.  

The qualitative method is a way of forecasting demand or sales on the basis of experts' and sellers' opinions and instincts. Some of the usual qualitative methods are:  

Sales and Executive Teams' Opinion: This method asks sales teams to submit the prediction for their respective areas. Then with the help of executive teams, the forecast is tested. Afterward, the managers add some input, which is when you get a prediction.  

Delphi Method: The reiteration process. No numeric data is used in this process. It is the process of a simple question where some experts make forecasts based on their knowledge. The summary of the forecast is submitted to a panel of experts. Then the experts again answer questions based on the outline, reiterating this process until you get a consensus forecast.  

Market Research: This method uses the current market trends, patterns, and other external factors and then supplies a forecast based on that.  

5.  Does it integrate with your existing ERP?  

Integrating your demand planning and forecasting software with your current ERP is crucial. As we all know, ERP or enterprise resource planning has the company's data, right from its building blocks to your inventory stock, last year's sales data, and more. It is critical for demand planning software to have access to these data. However, for efficient working, you must select software that automatically takes data from the ERP, just like the demand planning software by Avercast. You do not have to feed the data manually. After implementation, the software works automatically and gives accurate forecasting.  

6.  How many Algorithms does the software have?  

It is always advantageous to know how many algorithms a software has. After all, the precision of the forecasts entirely depends (other than data) on the algorithms it goes through. The more, the better! It would be best if you chose software for demand planning with more algorithms. However, having more algorithms does not supply a correct demand forecast. It is its efficiency to solve a problem that is the difference maker. Just like Avercast's demand planning software has more than 250 algorithms, they were developed after receiving input from the clients or facing real-life problems, providing accuracy of demand planning forecast or inventory forecast  higher than any other software. 

[digitrenndsamr]

Smart/Intelligent Sensors Market to Witness Exponential Growth by 2031

According to a recent market research report published by Transparency Market Research, the global smart/intelligent sensors market is estimated to expand at a CAGR of 12.2% during the period between 2013 and 2019. The report, titled “Smart/Intelligent Sensors Market – Global Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trends and Forecast 2013 – 2019”, projects the global smart/intelligent sensors market to be worth US$21.60 bn by 2019. The overall market stood at a valuation of US$9.0 bn in 2012.

The rapidly growing importance of smaller and more diversely functional smart/intelligent sensors across applications such as healthcare monitoring, collision prevention, automotive application, and oil platforms has boosted the growth of the global smart/intelligent sensors market. The report points out that increasing application of smart/intelligent sensors in transportation and logistics, military, and surveillance will further augment the growth of the market during the forecast horizon. However, high replacement costs and lack of privacy are the key factors restraining the market’s growth. The global smart/intelligent sensors market has a huge opportunity to grow with the development of smart cities and the growing trend of harnessing power from non-conventional sources of energy.

Get sample copy of at: https://www.transparencymarketresearch.com/sample/sample.php?flag=S&rep_id=779

In terms of application, the report segments the global smart/intelligent sensors market into medical equipment, consumer electronics, infrastructure, automotive industry, and others including avionics and food and beverage. In 2012, the automotive sector dominated the overall market, closely followed by the industrial sector. Both these sectors are anticipated to maintain their leading positions in the market during the forecast horizon.

Describing the competitive hierarchy, the report profiles some of the key players in the global smart/intelligent sensors market such as Custom Sensors and Technologies Inc., Analog Devices Inc., Delphi Automotive PLC, Eaton Corporation PLC, Emerson Process Management LLLP, Omron Corp., Infineon Technologies AG, Vishay Intertechnology Inc., Yokogawa Electric Corp., and Wilcoxon Research Inc. The report further provides insightful information about the players by including their financial overview, business strategies, and recent developments. The key players are focusing on advancements in smart/intelligent sensors, thereby expanding their applications across other sectors.

Global Smart/Intelligent Sensors Market has been segmented as:

Product types segmentation of smart/ intelligent sensors market

Image sensors

Smart temperature sensors

Touch sensors

Smart position

Smart pressure sensors

Application base segmentation of smart/intelligent sensors market

Automotive

Industrial

Infrastructure

Medical

Others (Food & beverage, avionics)

Have any query? Inquiry about report at: https://www.transparencymarketresearch.com/sample/sample.php?flag=EB&rep_id=779

About Us

Transparency Market Research (TMR) is a global market intelligence company providing business information reports and services. The company’s exclusive blend of quantitative forecasting and trend analysis provides forward-looking insight for thousands of decision makers. TMR’s experienced team of analysts, researchers, and consultants use proprietary data sources and various tools and techniques to gather and analyze information.

TMR’s data repository is continuously updated and revised by a team of research experts so that it always reflects the latest trends and information. With extensive research and analysis capabilities, Transparency Market Research employs rigorous primary and secondary research techniques to develop distinctive data sets and research material for business reports.

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Website: https://www.transparencymarketresearch.com

[kingsr22]

Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) Market Growth factor, size, Trends Industry Forecast 2021 to 2027

A significant Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) market research study helps in planning by providing accurate and state-of-the-art information about the consumer’s demands, preferences, attitudes and their changing tastes about the specific product. It estimates the market share and possible sales volume of a client company. The industry report makes familiar with the types of consumers, their views about the product, their buying intentions and their ideas for the step up of a product. Moreover, Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) market analysis report discovers the better and new methods to distribute the products to consumers and also recognizes the extent of the marketing problems.

Get sample copy of report@ https://extrapolate.com/sample/Semiconductor-Electronics/Motorcycle-Engine-Control-Unit-ECU-Market/7614

Key players-

* Robert Bosch

* Delphi

* DENSO

* Continental

* SEDEMAC

* dSPACE

 A trustworthy Global Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) market research report guides the manufacturer about planning of advertising and sales promotion efforts thereby making it more effective. It not only restrains the risks of ambiguity but also assists in taking sound decisions. Furthermore, the market report helps keep hold of reputation of the firm and its products. Whether it is about the product, customer, competitor or marketing strategy, market research analysis report helps drive the business in a right direction. To gain competitive advantage and to thrive in the market, go for Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) market report.

For product type segment, this report listed main product type of Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) market in global and china.

* Gasline ECU

* Diesel ECU

For end use/application segment, this report focuses on the status and outlook for key applications. End users sre also listed.

* OEM

 Globalization makes it clear that market research report hold an immense importance for the growth of many businesses. The wide ranging Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) market document proves to be true in this regard and is designed in a way that is anticipated. It’s the demand or necessity of today’s business to do market research analysis before taking any verdict about the products. This is the transparent market report which has been structured with authentic tools and techniques. The market research analysis conducted in the winning Motorcycle Engine Control Unit (ECU) market report helps improve product and also decide about the necessary changes to the future products.

[avercast-software]

What You Need to Know about Forecasting Methods?

We have all wished we could see the future at some point in our lives. It would help us brace ourselves for many troublesome situations, and we could even avoid some. Just imagine, if we had foreseen the COVID-19 pandemic. We would have been better prepared to deal with it, and we’d probably be in different circumstances now, 2 years later. Just imagine how different it could be now.

Well, as enticing as the thought is, unfortunately it’s impossible to go back in time. Though you cannot predict future day-to-day life, you can predict the future of your company.

That’s right, you can see your company’s future if you want. You can forecast your supply chain for future time periods & strengthen your efforts to ensure better profit. Forecasting, better known as business forecasting, lets you plan your operations in the coming time to be ready to cater to upcoming demand. Before we tell you how, let us first tell you what forecasting is.

What is Forecasting?

As the name suggests, it’s the process of forecasting or predicting your business’s future in various aspects of supply chain. It uses data from past sales, seasonality, consumer trends, and more to accurately predict your future sales. It helps you better prepare for the future and ensure product availability to consumers. This software helps you forecast every aspect of your supply chain, including inventory, sales, demand, and more.

Forecasting Methods for Supply Chain

The forecasting software that we mentioned uses hundreds of algorithms to forecast demand accurately. You can use various forecasting methods and techniques to generate predictions. These methods can be widely categorized as the quantitative and qualitative forecasting methods.

Quantitative Forecasting

The determining factor of quantitative forecasting methods is that they utilize sales history & other factual aspects to generate predictions. There are four main quantitative methods used in forecasting. Each of these forecasting methods have strengths and weaknesses.

Naive Approach

This method gets its name from its highly simplistic approach. It uses the most recent amount of demand to predict the demand for the upcoming period. This method is highly inaccurate as it doesn’t account for factors like seasonality & trends. Moreover, this inaccuracy can lead to waste & overstocking.

Moving Averages

Compared to the naive approach, this method is more accurate as it uses the average of past periods to forecasat . This method is far from precise as it also doesn’t account for a number of factors. This can cause both stock-outs and overstocking of products.

Exponential Smoothing

This method weighs certain averages differently from moving averages. It accounts for a single aspect differently, for example, taking an average of certain months from the past year to predict the current year. Though this is a successful short-term forecasting technique, it isn’t practical in the long term.

Trend Projection

This method considers past sales trends to predict future sales. For example, if sales decreased last February, it will consider that trend to forecast lower demand for the coming February.

Qualitative Forecasting

Where quantitative methods rely on numbers, qualitative methods rely on numerically immeasurable aspects. These aspects include consumer opinions & experiences. There are also four qualitative forecasting methods.

Executive Opinion

Here, professional employees of the company in executive positions make decisions regarding the future. They study past sales, current situations, and use their industry expertise to make decisions and predictions.

Delphi Method

This method entails a multi-step process where reliable professionals predict future sales based on their knowledge. Another group of professionals then reviews these predictions before the executive-level decision-makers of the company finalize them.

Sales Force Estimates

The sales team uses their expertise to predict how sales might change in the coming time. This method isn’t very reliable as it involves minimal supervision and no material proof as a foundation for any predictions. Consumer Surveys

This method relies on consumer opinions of products to make decisions. This helps companies understand consumer views and make future decisions.

How Can Business Forecasting Software Help You?

The above methods are helpful, but none of them are accurate alone. However, when you use a business forecasting software, you gain access to adanced data-driven reporting that takes all of these methods into account to produce the most accurate forecasts possible.

Choose Avercast!

It’s important to choose the right forecasting software for your company. Avercast provides a plethora of software solutions in our supply chain management software suite. Our software allows you to forecast demand, sales, revenue, and inventory for up to 5 years in the future. Using 208 advanced algorithms, our software conducts ‘what if’ analyses to generate accurate forecasts for your business. With Avercast, you can manage your demand and maximize your sales in due time. It’s the best forecasting software out there.

Contact us for a free call or demonstration!

[omcqin]

Delphi Method is a

Delphi Method is a

Exam Question Delphi Method is a 1. Technique in which the executives are asked to forecast demand subjectively 2. Technique in which salesmen of different territories are asked to collect information regarding buying plans of users 3. Technique in which estimates are called from a group of experts in the field. But the group is not allowed to debate each other’s opinion independently 4.…