#Defending Positions
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Law of Vibration Trading S&P Futures (ES) for SPX, XSP, SPY with vertical spreads. This video represents what is still a learning process to use the Law of Vibration fluctuations along with cyclic data and concepts from WD Gann, JM Hurst, George Bayer and RN Elliott.
#Law of Vibration#SPX#S&P 500#LOV#Cycles#Hurst#Elliott#Gann#Bayer#Trade Timing#Time Cycles#Fourier Transform#Cycle Timing#SPY#WD Gann#Elliott Wave#Square of 9#Financial News#Projections#Defending Positions#Lunar Cycles#Gann Trader#Astronomy#Astrology#Youtube
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Reasons Zoro is a cat
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That post going around is really depressing to read as someone working in childcare and education as a transfem (and I've been doing so for over a decade now). I don't doubt how scary and how much of a barrier there is for us getting into this field safely, it's fucking bad out there, but I also think that level of doom and gloom can put off a lot of trans women who dream of teaching, even if it will be hard.
Being a trans woman working in education is to hold a vital power that can and will change kids' lives. You will face stress, and fear, and even aggression, and I don't begrudge people to just say no, I can't handle that. But if it is something you care about enough, and you are in a position where you can have a measure of safety, it is so worth it, more than basically anything.
Kids will see you and ask questions. Those questions may be complicated, or uncomfortable, or uplifting, or any mix of that, but the end result is that those kids will walk away questioning what they've learned and what they've internalized at an early age when that is so much easier to turn curiosity into compassion. And that's just the probably cis kids - the kids who will see you and realize wait - this is a possibility for me, your existence resonating with theirs... There is a very real experience where you will see a kid even once or twice and your very presence and acting as a role model and being kind will permanently change the course of a kid's life for the better; it can be like giving kids the chance and knowledge so many of us wish we had growing up.
This obviously goes for any trans educator, not just trans women, and any questioning trans kid, not just trans women. The impact is immense; I've had first graders, mid elementary schoolers, even middle and high schoolers meet me and have their identities start to crystallize that week, and leave the camp on a firm path to realizing they're trans. It is incredibly fulfilling, and it's worth all the frustrating "are you a boy or a girl etc" questions.
#I am in a position where I feel absolutely confident that my coworkers would defend me if something came up#that's not common#and I am very lucky for it#education#trans education#my writing
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It's crazy what he gets away with (and who the ones letting him get away with it are)
Bruce: What Nightwing did might have been... unconventional, but it worked.
Tim: Exactly. I mean, sure, the plan might have involved hacking into Gotham’s power grid, a few strategic distractions, and, uh, some minor illegal surveillance-
Barbara: MINOR? DISTRUBANCES??
Tim: Okay, fine! The plan also had a teensy bit of hacking into the stock market, manipulating a few politicians, and borrowing a couple confidential documents, but nobody was harmed!
Bruce: ...In the strictest sense.
Tim: Yes! See, it's a win-win solution!
Barbara: *furious* You two are insane. You’re treating morally ambiguous like it’s a fun new hobby. He practically engineered an escape from a high-security prison by tricking the entire staff into thinking it was game night. In addition, he orchestrated a city-wide blackout just to steal classified documents, and you’re calling it genius?
Bruce: Very resourceful.
Tim: I mean... it’s not his fault they didn’t know how to play Dungeons & Dragons. Also, I want to see who else could pull off a high-profile heist while simultaneously launching a PR campaign for a new tech startup!
Bruce: *to Tim* Wayne Enterprise's tech gadgets cleared the shelves, we need to speed up production.
Tim: Already on it.
Barbara: You’re defending this? That’s not genius, that’s a psychotic breakdown wrapped in a cape! It's madness layered up in a three-piece suit!
Bruce and Tim: It’s Dick.
Barbara: I swear, if it was anyone else, you’d be throwing them in a cell for years.
Bruce and Tim: It’s Nightwing. He has plausible deniability.
Barbara: Plausible? I think he has a whole separate universe of deniability!
#Thinking about the time when Bruce Tim and the whole world gaslighted themselves into believing murder was okay because Dick did it#yeah that's right I'm talking about The Joker and Blockbuster#they let him get away with murder!#Bruce and Tim are Dick's biggest enablers#the nightwing fan club is a secret cult and Bruce Tim and the Titans are the fighting for leadership positions#Wayne and Drake - Dick's Grayson's unpaid lawyers#Damian is an intern at the Dick Grayson defense squad informal law firm#he's following in his father and brother's steps#Nightwing is both the problem and the solution#lmao the tags are so long but i cant stop#Barbara and jason have headaches and drinks over what Tim and Bruce let Dick get away with#bruce would defend a heist if Dick did it#waittaminute it's liek that guy from White Collar - Neal Caffrey#wait wasn't neal caffrey around 17 or 18 when he started commiting heists. aND DICK BROKE AWAY FROM BRUCE AT THAT TIME#AND NEAL CAFFREY GOT CAUGHT WHILE CHASING A RED HEAD AND DICK LOVES RED HEADS AND THEY WERE BOTH IN NEW YORK CITY#AND THE SAME AGE AND THEY HAVE BLUE EYES AND BLACK HAIR AND THEYRE CHARMING#THIS IS WHY NEAL NEVER GOT CAUGHT BC BRUCE LITERALLY TURNED A BLIND EYE BC IT WAS DICK#IVE CONNECTED THE DOTS#dick grayson#nightwing#tim drake#red robin#bruce wayne#batman#barbara gordon#oracle#batgirl#incorrect batfamily quotes#incorrect quotes
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As cameras becomes more normalized (Sarah Bernhardt encouraging it, grifters on the rise, young artists using it), I wanna express how I will never turn to it because it fundamentally bores me to my core. There is no reason for me to want to use cameras because I will never want to give up my autonomy in creating art. I never want to become reliant on an inhuman object for expression, least of all if that object is created and controlled by manufacturing companies. I paint not because I want a painting but because I love the process of painting. So even in a future where everyone’s accepted it, I’m never gonna sway on this.
if i have to explain to you that using a camera to take a picture is not the same as using generative ai to generate an image then you are a fucking moron.
#ask me#anon#no more patience for this#i've heard this for the past 2 years#“an object created and controlled by companies” anon the company cannot barge into your home and take your camera away#or randomly change how it works on a whim. you OWN the camera that's the whole POINT#the entire point of a camera is that i can control it and my body to produce art. photography is one of the most PHYSICAL forms of artmakin#you have to communicate with your space and subjects and be conscious of your position in a physical world.#that's what makes a camera a tool. generative ai (if used wholesale) is not a tool because it's not an implement that helps you#do a task. it just does the task for you. you wouldn't call a microwave a “tool”#but most importantly a camera captures a REPRESENTATION of reality. it captures a specific irreproducible moment and all its data#read Roland Barthes: Studium & Punctum#generative ai creates an algorithmic IMITATION of reality. it isn't truth. it's the average of truths.#while conceptually that's interesting (if we wanna get into media theory) but that alone should tell you why a camera and ai aren't the sam#ai is incomparable to all previous mediums of art because no medium has ever solely relied on generative automation for its creation#no medium of art has also been so thoroughly constructed to be merged into online digital surveillance capitalism#so reliant on the collection and commodification of personal information for production#if you think using a camera is “automation” you have worms in your brain and you need to see a doctor#if you continue to deny that ai is an apparatus of tech capitalism and is being weaponized against you the consumer you're delusional#the fact that SO many tumblr lefists are ready to defend ai while talking about smashing the surveillance state is baffling to me#and their defense is always “well i don't engage in systems that would make me vulnerable to ai so if you own an apple phone that's on you”#you aren't a communist you're just self-centered
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Jayce and the fallacy of the butterfly effect in Arcane's narrative
If Jayce's symbol is the butterfly, then my theory is that we're going into a full "butterfly effect" narrative in Act 2. Either we'll watch it happen, or we'll only see Jayce come out the other side of it changed by the experience, knowing - or more importantly, THINKING he knows - what to do to change the future. Literally, to "defend tomorrow."
tl;dr: Jayce will encounter the butterfly effect in season 2. Viktor and Mel both foreshadowed this in season 1. I think Jayce will fixate on Viktor and will believe that stopping or changing Viktor either in the past or the present - most likely the present - will mean he can save the future. I believe this will lead to an even worse tragedy and may have the same effect as a self-fulfilling prophecy. Ekko's approach to changing the future by sticking closer to the present - considering only tiny increments of time to alter more immediate future outcomes - will be the superior approach. I also think that Jayce attempting to change the future will create the conditions that push Viktor to become the Machine Herald.
One of the most common reactions even the casual viewer had to Arcane season 1 was this: "If [character] had just done this one small thing a little differently, [tragic event] wouldn't have happened!"
Arcane has been called a Greek tragedy for the main reason that because of how well built up the characters' personalities and reasonings are, there's no other way season 1 could have gone. There was no stopping the multiple tragedies that occurred, because with one event leading to another, the chain of seemingly inevitable events goes too far back to identify what one singular event caused everything, what one character made what one decision to put our characters on the terrible paths they walked.
Arcane is about to investigate this idea in its own narrative, and I think that Jayce will be the character to stumble into the flawed idea that you can change one event, or stop one character, and change the future for the better. This is because Jayce struggles with a few very interesting character flaws, one of them being that he believes himself to be the main character, and it is therefore his responsibility to intervene, be a hero, and fix things.
Viktor and Mel both foreshadow Jayce's future encounter with the butterfly effect.
Recall that Viktor said: "There is always a choice."
Jayce sees choices in black and white, believes that he has no other options but to go along with what he's persuaded and pushed into, and acts too boldly with too much power multiple times.
Recall that Mel said: "We can't change what fate has in store for us, but we don't have to face it alone."
Jayce tries to solve big problems on his own, and though he delegates to Enforcers and the like, Jayce relies on his reasoning and his alone to make important decisions if he doesn't simply become persuaded - usually through strong emotions like fear - by other characters. In addition, since Mel is specifically talking about Viktor's plight here, it's worth mentioning that while Jayce did say that he would help Viktor in acts 2 and 3 of season 1, Jayce does wind up leaving Viktor to face his fate alone. When Jayce tries to change that fate in s2 ep1, ep2 shows that only tragedy can come of this as well.
Viktor and Mel's statements here are not contradictory. Viktor makes the point that you can always make a choice. In context, he's literally referring to the classic "secret third option," because given a choice between aggression and passivity, war and surrender, Viktor chooses to defuse the bomb instead. Mel, interestingly, seems to believe that destiny is fixed in a broad sense, and she operates as a politician and diplomat and investor who navigates that line of destiny in the most optimal way possible. In reality, in context, she is referring to the fact that Viktor can't change the way he was born and so he has no way to change his fate and therefore must face it, which is true - she's only missing the information that Viktor actually does have the means to change his illness and his body. Her wisdom still applies however, because he'll have to accept the hand that fate deals him after he makes that choice. Will he face it alone, or not?
There is always a choice, there's even secret third options, because having a fate doesn't mean that you are doomed to make only one possible series of choices. What it does mean is that each choice comes with a hand that fate deals you. It is impossible to know what all of these branching choices and consequences are in advance, and it is just as impossible in hindsight - the branches are too complex and the end outcomes are all equally meaningful, just different. If Arcane season 2 is to be a tragedy, it may show us that each possible outcome is still tragic if you fall for the fallacy of the butterfly effect.
Jayce is counseled by some of the wisest, cleverest characters with the deepest life experiences in Arcane, but he hardly ever takes that counsel to heart. If he does, he still acts on that counsel in flawed ways that have unintended consequences. This will come to a head in season 2.
Viktor and Jayce both have a butterfly following them around in season 1. The butterfly effect refers to one small seemingly insignificant event changing the course of history, and changing that event therefore changes history. Viktor bled over the railing of a Hexgate in season 1:
And Heimerdinger sees what we can only assume is Viktor's blood contaminating (?) the Hexgate in s2 ep3:
This might be the seemingly unimportant "inciting incident" that Jayce (and Heimerdinger and Ekko) settle on as something that should be avoided or erased by changing the past (if they time-travel with Ekko, for example).
I doubt that, if this is what this crew chooses to fixate on, it will be the only event that is considered as something to change. But let's take this and run with it for the sake of discussion.
As silly as it sounds, how do you stop Viktor from allowing his blood to come into contact with the arcane? Stop Viktor's involvement with the Academy entirely? Don't invent Hextech at all? But what if someone else invents Hextech besides Jayce? What if future tragedy befalls Piltover because it didn't invent Hextech?
The possibilities and what-ifs could branch on forever. But because Jayce is who he is, and because his tragedy with Viktor is still raw and recent and frightening, I think Jayce's butterfly effect experience will have to do with Viktor.
My personal prediction is that the timeskip between s2 ep3 and ep4 will be Jayce experiencing a timeline where Viktor, taken over by the Hexcore, brings about an apocalyptic event similar to what Heimerdinger experienced in his past. Either Jayce and co. can't go into the past to change the present, or Heimerdinger and/or Ekko advise strongly against it to avoid a paradox. This will lead to them re-entering the canon Arcane timeline before this apocalypse, but still after the timeskip. Jayce, believing that destroying Viktor and his cult will save the future, and believing that resurrecting Viktor was Jayce's mistake to fix, attacks him. But the consequences don't unfold the way he hopes, because trying to change fate once the cards have already been dealt has led to tragedy before.
The butterfly is a symbol of something other than just the butterfly effect - change, evolution, and rebirth. If the butterfly symbolizes the butterfly effect for Jayce, then I think it has a different meaning for Viktor - the change and rebirth meaning.
I've always found it very interesting that we see a similar-looking butterfly on Progress Day... but made of metal.
Every time Viktor's situation changes, he adapts and evolves. If Jayce attacks him, if his cult is destroyed, if the Hexcore is causing Viktor to decay, if all of these things happen at once - he'll just evolve again, and I think the Machine Herald is the next step. And the Machine Herald will be a triumph for Viktor, but Jayce will believe that he's created something even worse. The resulting feud will be a personal nightmare for both of them.
I think this still allows Viktor to use his own agency to choose to become the Machine Herald (the MH will probably be the "secret third option" that saves Viktor, or there will be a secret third option that ends the feud) while still allowing Jayce to be offended and horrified at whatever the Machine Herald represents or is trying to do in the undercity. Introducing the element of time travel allows Arcane to explore the meta concept of tragedy and fate that season 1 was built on while showing that you can't "solve" a tragedy, because there are other terrible possibilities lurking behind alternate choices. Especially if what you're trying to change is singular people or events and not systems of power.
This is why Ekko's approach with his Z-drive will be superior to Jayce's sweeping attempt at changing the future. Ekko's goal has always been societal change. He creates his own punk society in the undercity, more progressive and successful than anything Vander or Silco ever created, and a better bastion of safety, hope, and progress than what Heimerdinger founded in Piltover. Trying to change systems by going back in time is most likely futile. But taking what Ekko has already built in the Firelights, curing his tree, and fighting for the Firelights' survival bit by bit by optimizing the present with the Z-drive shows that:
It's more worth it to focus on becoming wise (Ekko's mask is an owl) and making choices you won't regret
It's best if you don't face your fate alone (act as a collective and take care of each other)
Consider every option, not just the obvious black and white choices
Maintain and fix what you've already built instead of abandoning it once things get difficult
Adapt as needed if the choices you made lead to dark consequences, and once again, stick together and take care of each other when the bad times do come
That's my Act 2 but, ultimately, my season 2 prediction based on the butterfly symbolism we've already seen. Ekko's involvement is what will give the series the at least partial happy ending that the creators have referred to. I personally don't think that the Viktor/Jayce feud will end quite so well, but maybe, they will still survive.
#arcane#spoilers#arcane s2#arcane spoilers#jayce talis#ekko#viktor#viktor arcane#long post#meta#jayvik#arcane meta#heimerdinger#I'm positive that Mel will be deeply involved with this too considering her comments on fate#honestly the thought of her being caught in the Viktor/Jayce feud is terrible to contemplate so I'm just gonna pray for my girl#I did not like the time travel implications when i first watched act 1 but after thinking about this i feel way better about it#Another reason I think this will come down to Viktor is because Heimerdinger has distrusted Viktor since season 1 and he will focus on him#Ekko will see the faults in focusing on one person#Jayce is least likely to survive all this considering how fast the consequences of his actions are catching up with him#but there could also be a chance here of viktor choosing to spare him - if only to curse him with the Defender/Herald feud forever idk#anyway i am feral for season 2 so far can't you tell
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every time anyone that's even slightly critical of C3 calmly writes a post that's longer than 750 words in an attempt to unpack what they feel is not working in the campaign or what's happening in the fandom, there's a rash of its defenders going "why are the haters always writing these long posts all the time, we don't need anyone to be writing novels, why is the post so long. it's so ridiculous that anyone is writing essays."
personally, especially if I was trying to position myself as having intelligent and complex opinions and capable of paying attention to episodes that are five hours long on a weekly basis, I would not admit I thought 1.5k words was dissertation length.
it's especially funny because many of the same people keep stamping their feet that critics never explain their perspectives or stances, then they're mockingly dismissive when doing so doesn't fit into a tweet.
not to make it sound grave, but it's anti-intellectual, it's simplistic. above all: it's juvenile, childish, asking to be treated as a child. wah, so silly anyone could possibly have a meaningful thought that requires enough space it doesn't fit on my phone screen at once.
#For the record. This post is 200 words. 750 words is generally three pages. 1.5k words is standard feature article in journalistic writing.#No wonder the cutesy “she's so silly. she's a girlfailure. [babytalk version of every character's name]” took off in those spaces. Children#No wonder it feels like only a handful of people write meta in defense of C3 or positively about it. Many of its defenders are like this.#I very rarely agree with what people write about C3's themes or construction or arc but at least those people write.#Unlike this sort. Who have a negative reaction whenever a post can't fit into a tweet thread.#No wonder the fandom discussion is of such poor quality this campaign.#Critical Role things#CR discourse
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RHAENYS TARGARYEN: And I must stand alone.
#i had to cull examples (like pushing corlys away or standing up to daemon or her death) but yeah... me doing a random gif set about one line#and one aspect of her character that's shown multiple ways#her “being alone” is being alone in an experience or a choice or an emotion#it can be physical isolation by choice or by events or someone leaving her#but it can also be something indicative of her strength and power - as being the one person between two things: a protector or a defender#it can be her in a position of power alone or being unique in some way#the power and the tragedy of there being no one like her#the empowerment and the heartbreak of having no one and needing no one#rhaenys targaryen#house of the dragon#eve best#my gifs#hotdedit
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saying this as respectfully as possible but. Do not put fandom content creators on a pedestal. We are also just fans contributing to a community just as you are. We have boundary on our own work and that’s it. What I say is not and should not be considered sth the whole fandom should listen to. I’m just a normal ass person ranting about things on my blog. If it does not have a fandom tag for others to engage in, do not make it out to be me trying to start fights or addressing the whole community. Because it’s not.
I’ve said it before and I will say it again, my art, my lore talk, is biased. I’ve never tried to hide that I view Marika a certain way and will always develop my theory following that base assumption.
Aside from translation stuffs and pointing out in-game items, everything else I say you can look at it, agree or disagree, and move on to form your own opinions. Just because I draw stuffs doesn’t mean you get to saddle me with responsibilities about managing fandom expectations. What the hell? I’m a fan artist, I’m the last person who you should look at for “leaderism” (?) WHAT?
I can and will be a hater in my own space, like I know sometimes other artists will just post their stuffs and not engage too heavily with fandom, and for a while I did try to do that here (because I’m already a dramatic ass on twitter), that’s just not me though.
You will get art and you will get my opinions as well.

#asking ppl to [celebrate different takes] is... WHAT?#different takes as in well I think she likes apples and you think she likes grapes. yeah that’s some fun discussion to be have#but different takes as in the fundamental of a character’s drive and personality??? NO#let’s put that down very clear here#I can still read fics where Marika is cold and calculate and manipulative as long as I can see there’re layers to it and the author#set it up in a way that I can see they got her backstory and build those layers based on that#and then there are ppl who literally only portray her as omg evil girlboss 101 let’s blame everything on this cardboard character#then I click back.#and there r ppl who might not vibe with how i portray her and they can ignore me. THAT'S OK TOO. we r in our own space.#it’s as simple as that!#ever since the dlc is out i literally could see the amount of ppl blocking me go up and im just “ok” because i do go around muting ppl too.#that's normal fandom space managing experience. pls do that#lore discussion is for ppl to engage in so u say ur piece i say mine and we can continue or not depending on situation#but FANWORK? leave each other alone or be a hater in ur own space ok?#personal#also where are these ppl who have been defending Marika at... because if u exclude me#and some others i can count on one hand. where are these ppl?#ppl saying headass stuffs about the HS aren't even Marika fans or engage too much in fandom to begin with#meanwhile u can't even find one youtube lore essay that says anything good about her#ppl are even trying to give Messmer's mother position to GEQ for no goddamn reason#like where is this overwhelming support for Marika at cuz as the active Marika stan around im not seeing it
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Law of Vibration Trading S&P Futures (ES) for SPX, XSP, SPY with vertical spreads. This video represents what is still a learning process to use the Law of Vibration fluctuations along with cyclic data and concepts from WD Gann, JM Hurst, George Bayer, RN Elliott and JM Hurst.
#Law of Vibration#SPX#S&P 500#LOV#Cycles#Hurst#Elliott#Gann#Bayer#Trade Timing#Time Cycles#Fourier Transform#Cycle Timing#SPY#WD Gann#Elliott Wave#Square of 9#Financial News#Projections#Defending Positions#Lunar Cycles#Gann Trader#Astronomy#Astrology#Youtube
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#Billy Hargrove#I’m still gonna defend him forever but I may also just hit people with this meme whenever questioned about why I stan#I just think he’s neat#it’s more than that but it can also just be that#like that’s enough#I don’t need to explain myself lmao#I think he’s neat#Harringrove#because I said so#stranger things#Billy Hargrove positive#dacre montgomery#my edits
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You know how i know lando is overhated? im very much pro lando and always like stuff favoring or featuring him on Instagram, and always block stuff against him. and yet, i cannot, CANNOT catch a break from the anti lando stuff
#At most if it's not anti lando#It's pro oscar and favoring him as the better mclaren driver#Which like fine but I never interacted with that content#Meanwhile I can't recall the last time I saw smth positive or fun featuring lando#NEVER saw someone defending him for the championship#If anyone even says he's a good driver everyone will be on them like NOt aS muCh As hIS teAmMatE#It's so insane actually#Hating him seems like the latest trend and I'm so fucking over it#lando norris#f1#formula 1#ln4
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i need to sit every lesbian down and remind them that ‘high femme’ doesn’t just mean very feminine
#femmes you go through so much i love you#high femme defender for life#butch#butchfemme#lesbianism#femme positivity#femme#high femme
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ʜᴀᴘᴘʏ ᴘʀɪᴅᴇ ᴍᴏɴᴛʜ (2025) ❤️🌈
Shiro & Keith from Voltron: Legendary Defender
Voltron: Legendary Defender © Dreamworks Animation Television
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P.S. Thanks for the reference pose @albanenechi visit his site it's fantastic!
#voltron legendary defender#sheith#vld fanart#keith kogane#takashi shirogane#shiro#keith voltron#happypridemonth#happy pride 🌈#lgbtq positivity#pro lgbt#lgbt characters#otp ship#voltron#voltron fanart#vld shiro#vld keith#albanenechi#pose reference
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When Ichigo was born, multiple people lost bets about her gender— including one Hatake Haruka, who'd been positive she'd be a girl (and placed good money on it)
When Ichigo came out as trans, Haruka was among those really fucking excited about it SOLEY because this now meant people owed her hella money, and she aimed to collect
#hc that lots of shinobi clans have different outlooks on gender#and tend to he more relaxed ab it + sexuality than civillians#w exceptions for more courtly nobles#the general consensus is that sex is another tool to be used and as long as you can kill ur fine#there were exceptions tho and a lot of times that grace was only given to those strong enough to defend their positions/sex#its messy#i could get into warring states era gender politics but I wont#the hatake especially tho were among the more “who really gives a shit” clans#literally just vibing in their woods w their wolves#ur gay? trans? good for u. go feed the chickens.#the Orochi and Shiranui are also among the more flexible / open minded clans#the Orochi clan has an entire Thing(tm) ab gender and in this essay I will—#naruto oc#wolves of the woods#hatake oc#hatake ichigo#hatake haruka
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Retromax 5/? • Sept 2014 • VKV City Racing event
#interesting to read the comment section#on the article about this low speed crash#most people DEFENDING him from the ones#saying he's too young for F1#much more positive than i expected#max verstappen#retromax
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