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megacircuit9universe · 6 years ago

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Self Driving Economy?

This entry is gonna sound a bit out of place, but with the subject of AI having just been touched on at the same time that the economy, and specifically, fears of a coming recession have been in the news... well, I have a theory that maybe is worth exploring, even if it turns out to be wrong.

I’m old enough to have experienced several recessions in America, but by far the two worst... and the two which most affected the course of my life, were the Dot.Com Bust in 2001, and then the Housing Bust which hit full force in 2008.

Before the former, during the Dot.Com Boom, all well respected economic authorities were honestly out there saying there was no reason the economy couldn’t keep growing forever. And when that bubble burst (in early 2001, months before 9/11) it really took everybody by surprise.

In retrospect, everybody saw that all the booming internet start up companies everybody was scrambling to invest in, lacked any plan for turning an actual profit. The internet was still too much of a wild west, and... like the actual wild west... sparked a kind of gold rush that for many, did not pan out.

But, that was okay because there was still one reliable thing that everybody could invest in, whether the economy was booming or busting... good old real estate! Home equity! Always keeps growing over time... like a law of physics.

And while the broken Internet economy slowly nursed itself back to health for five years after 2001... everybody got really hyper about houses. New ones were being built. Old ones were being flipped. And mortgage loans became easier and easier to get for more and more people... and home values began to dramatically inflate.

That modest old bungalow on the East side, which had taken many decades to get to where it was worth a modest 60K, overnight went up to 90K, then 120K.... just sitting there... without being renovated in any way.

It got to the point where any shoebox sitting on any plot of dirt was worth 100K automatically, and everything else was correspondingly overvalued across the spectrum, and across the country.

Once again, economists weren’t too worried. Maybe they seemed a bit less ecstatic than during the Dot.Com Bubble, but they weren’t super worried.

Until, BLAM! Housing prices suddenly began to slide for the first time in seventy years... which began happening in late 2006... leading to the big bank collapse two years later in the Fall of 2008.

So, I’m gonna stop here and make the analogy of the economy being like a car.

Like a car, it’s a complex machine with a lot of moving parts that performs best when it gets regular maintenance... is well oiled... and has plenty of fuel.

But also like a car... if it’s being driven by a drunk... or a maniac... then the rest doesn’t matter, because it’s going to crash.

So in 2001, the car crashed... and it was a pretty bad accident. And in 2008, it crashed even worse... actually bursting into flames and requiring all kinds of first responders to put out the fire, and do a ton of damage control.

But since 2008, something’s been different... since 2008, the car has driven longer and faster than in it’s whole history, without a crash, or even a minor fender bender.

and weirder still... over the past two years, with history’s worst President at the wheel... the drunkest of drunk drivers... the stock market has been plunging and peaking, plunging and peaking.... like a crazy roller coaster ride... and yet... it never crashes.

Most recently we just had what they call an “inverted yield curve” which... in this analogy, is basically a loop the loop... but we did not fly off the rails.

And, knowing as I do, how fragile the economy used to be... not just in the early 2000s, but all through the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s... this weirdly unshakable stability is not just new... it's beyond belief, and should not be possible!

Unless... this is an upgraded car, that now has more safety and self-driving features than ever imagined before.

Hmmmm...

Now, clearly if such self-driving features exist, they were not put there by legislation... I mean... they did try to pass some legislation in the Obama years to keep a crash like 2008 from happening again, but most of that got watered down or actively repealed in years quickly to follow.

Rich people hate regulation, and are famous for never learning their lessons, after all.

But legislation is not the only form of regulation... there is also just... administrative policy... namely, in Obama’s case, policies that once again favored science and technology... as well as global economic integration.

Clinton era policy, in the late 1990s, gave us the World Wide Web to begin with, but it was early on Obama’s watch that we saw the advent of the smart phone, which, transformed the internet all over again, as well as technology in general... and both on a global scale.

This, in turn, not only globalized the economy like never before, but created whole new avenues for it to explore.

In the early 1990s, you were paid with a paper paycheck that you deposited at the physical bank and then... you kept track of your bank balance in your checkbook or in your head.

If you wanted to buy something you got in your car and spent the day shopping the different stores to see what they had and who had the best deal.

The biggest convenience you had back then was your ATM card, with which you could get cash to pay for your thing at the cash register, before lugging it home in your vehicle.

By the early 2000s, you probably had direct deposit, and could do your banking in real time on the desktop PC at home. You could pre-shop the stores by going to their websites, before getting in the car, and you also had a debit card that functioned anywhere the same as cash.

But that was nothing compared to what was possible in the twenty-teens.

Now, thanks to a hand held device 1000 times more powerful than my 2001 desktop PC, that I carry on my person wherever I go... and thanks to an economic infrastructure which has entirely grown around that device... I can bank wherever I am... I can shop, and purchase nearly anything wherever I am standing, and have it delivered to my doorstep... and I can also give my money to any person, or cause I feel like, instantly, in whatever increments I wish, large or small.

Also, I can be part of, say... a fandom... and just by being a fan of some franchise, like Iron Man, can enable Marvel to spend ten years on a cinematic universe that employs hundreds of thousands of people to make movies that bring in billions of dollars, and also support a secondary economy of comic book movie reviewers online, etc.

Money moves more freely in the twenty teens than ever before... on the dollars and cents level. If my nephew, 2000 miles away, needs twenty bucks, I can give it to him immediately, in bed, in my underwear.

If my favorite YouTube channel needs twenty bucks, I can give it to them. If Amazon allows me to buy some new socks with one click... or Pokemon Go wants to sell me a few extra pokeballs with another click... you can bet I’m clicking to buy that stuff right now!

But it’s not just pocket devices and people making impulse buys.

If that’s all it was, it would still be a much larger buffer against recession than we had in the days of old, when money didn’t move around so freely, so quickly.

No, there are also the algorithms.

Two of the most famous algorithms, the Google search algorithm, and the YouTube algorithm (YouTube is owned by Google) predate the era of the smart phone, but definitely have come into their own post smart phone.

And now we live in a world where every single app worth it’s salt has an algorithm designed to learn your preferences, help you discover more preferences you weren’t aware of before... and ultimately help you either make some kind of purchase, or at least bring your eyeballs to something that will profit from your having viewed and liked it.

And all the modern algorithms arise from theories of computer learning. They learn how better to serve both you, and their corporate masters. And this is done kind of inside a black box, where random tweaks are made to each new generation of algorithms... without knowing what the effect of that tweak might be, and then, the tweaked algorithms are field tested, with only the top performing ones left to survive and be tweaked again.

It’s a process very similar to the breeding of animals and plants that humans did throughout the history of civilization... starting with some basic forms... getting them to fuck... keeping the good ones we like, and letting the failures die out... without any need to understand the molecular details involved on the level of the DNA.

Who knows how exactly they bred the husky? Doesn’t matter. They pull sleds and love snow so... they can stay! Same with corn... how did we mutate grass into doing that? Not sure... but we worked it for a long time, and we got there.

So, by the time Donald Trump took office in 2017, we had a fully developed smart phone economy (no coincidence he’s the first president to be a problem on Twitter) and a next gen internet teeming with AI in the form of learning algorithms... growing more effective every day... at the one job they were all conceived to do...

...keep the money flowing.

This is all to say nothing of the algorithms that must be out there for stock traders online, by the way.

While retailers and app developers have been busy making it as easy as possible for everybody on Earth with an income and a bank account to move the tiniest amounts of money anywhere instantly... all of the investors out there, playing with the big money, have also come to rely more on their AI algorithms, than their own gut instincts.

Now... I’m not saying all of this makes the economy crash proof...

But all taken together, it makes the global economy a hell of a lot more crash resistant than it ever was before.

It’s a different kind of car now... such that if you have a crazy drunk driver like Donald Trump at the wheel... well... those pedals and that wheel are no longer direct input devices.

He can be as violent as he wants with them, but the computer... in this case, the sum total of all economic algorithms out there, now controlling the real levers of commerce automatically... all working toward the common goal of maintaining the status quo no matter what... just ignores violent inputs that fall outside a given range.

This results in a stock market that peaks one day, and plummets the next... with the overall effect being that the spikes and dips cancel out over the week, and even the loop-the-loops, like that inverted yield curve... are just momentary thrills that amount to nothing over the week or month.

Now, if I’m wrong about this... then I’m not totally wrong. I’m still right that more globalism and better technology has given us a more stable economy for longer than ever before.

So even if there is a crash... I’d say tech and globalism are still the way forward... maybe with some actual government regulation... depending on what exactly caused the crash?

Whatever the case... AI is the future and... within the next ten years, everybody’s gonna have a Jarvis who handles their affairs in ways that make today’s Alexa, Siri, etc... look like silly pull string talking dolls... and make us wonder how we ever survived without them.

READ: even acts as your primary council in a court of law... level of effective cyber assistant.

That is my crazy take on things tonight.

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michaelina520imvu-blog · 6 years ago

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savetopnow · 7 years ago

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2018-03-12 06 APPLE now

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scottmapess · 5 years ago

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WOOOW!! BITCOIN HALVING BULL RUN IMMINENT ACCORDING TO THIS CHART!!!

VIDEO TRANSCRIPT

In this video, the Bitcoin having has now officially taken place. What does this mean for the bid comprise, which is currency trapped in this triangle? Will Bitcoin eventually break out? I want to show you this chart that clearly is showing us that after these have things, we see huge bull runs. And why would this time be any different? Just look at this chart and it’s obvious that from this having most likely Bitcoin is going to go on a huge bull run. And if you think that that sounds interesting, that I think that it should diffuse. Guys welcome to the moon. My name is Carl, and I’m hearing you this crazy video. And while, guys, the day is finally here, the having has taken place. So happy having a day to everyone out there. This is a historic moment in time because this is the first having that is taking place during a financial crisis when we’re seeing trillions and trillions of dollars being printed in a historic amount. And this is very, very bullish for Bitcoin. Of course, every new dollar printed is another reason to buy Bitcoin. And we are seeing unlimited quantitative easing, unlimited money printing. And Bitcoin is doing the exact opposite. Right. So we see a quantitative easing from the Fed and on other central banks and Bitcoin is doing quantitative hardening. So it’s like a big divergence between Bitcoin and the rest of the financial markets. This is a historic day. And this begs the question, where are we four years from now? And the next Bitcoin having, which is coming up in 2024 and more specifically, in one thousand four hundred and fifty-seven days, we will see the next Bitcoin having or in two hundred and nine thousand blocks of approximately what will the price of Bitcoin be and how much currency will global central banks have printed and will be in the process of printing? Please share your price prediction for four years from now. Downbelow right now. And just like I said on Twitter here, the Bitcoin had just occurred and nothing spectacular happened. That’s the point. This is by design. The having is not supposed to be felt by the market immediately. However, fundamentally, of course, this is a major change for the supply of Bitcoin because the newly created supply or the inflation gets cut in half. So this reduces the selling pressure from miners, of course. And it also basically makes Bitcoin more scares every four years. You could say and right now it is actually official, the bitcoin inflation is now low, were then gold. And if Bitcoin is going to go and take over the same market cap as gold, then Bitcoin has to go up to five hundred thousand dollars per coin to match that market cap. This is something that I think is very possible in the next four years. So, guys, we are going to see very interesting times ahead. But let’s first take a quick look at the Bitcoin price action before I talk more about the Bitcoin having, first of all, we are still trapped in this big triangle. And interestingly, we can see how Bitcoin is currently getting supported by this 20-week moving average. And for everyone who watched Total Vaisse Livestream yesterday, I was in a Livestream with Tony Veis, Mike Novogratz, the Winklevoss twins, and many other interesting people. And in this Livestream, I shared my thoughts about the 20-week moving average because I really believe that this is the most important moving average in Bitcoin history. And you can see here how Bitcoin is currently above it. And we actually came down and almost tested it here. And what I’m seeing now is that we have this major, major resistance coming down above us. And we have this important point to support in the form of the 20. Eventually, there will be a tightening ratio would be going to have to choose either to break through the resistance here or break through the support. And if we do break the 20 weekly, then I think that would probably go down to five foot two key to test the support here again before breaking out like this. So this is the bullish and bearish scenario. Of course, if we could break through this level here, then in my opinion, I think that we are most likely going to go to twenty thousand dollars much sooner than people have expected so far. And remember, guys, look at this. Bitcoin still has this big see me futures gap all the way up at approximately ten thousand dollars. This is the biggest see me futures gap in Bitcoin history. And as you may know, these gaps, they tend to fill sooner rather than later. But let’s get back to the having here. We can see the blocks leading into the having. And this was the last block with twelve point five Bitcoin in that reward. And this was the first Bitcoin block with the half of the block reward. So six points. Twenty-five. And this is what’s called the having because the blocked award was cut in half. Until it gets halved again in twenty twenty-four. This block was mined by and pool. And interestingly, look at this. This is funny. The last block before having was mined by F to pool. And look at this. They embedded this message New York Times 9th of April 2020 with two point three trillion injections. Feds plan far exceeds 2008 rescue. And most of you already know exactly what this is a play on. It’s a reference to the. The very, very famous article, chancellor on brink of a second bailout for banks. So that was a very nice little historic moment, I think. And this goes to show that nothing has really changed since back when Bitcoin was created. Federal Reserve and other global central banks are still printing trillions of dollars. The only difference is that they are printing much, much, much more today than they did back then. And I think this trend is going to continue. And speaking of the having ledger, they just created a new promo here with 50 percent off your ledger Nano. S. This is having a promotion. So if you go down into the pind comment and click the link and also use this promo code, we are the bull run. You will get 50 percent off in honour of the Bitcoin having. So you’re getting half the price. A disclaimer is that this is an affiliate link down below. So I make a commission. You don’t have to use my link, but if you do, you are supporting the channel. And also, if you don’t have a ledger yet, then I’m not sure what you’re doing. You need to protect your crypto. And if you do wants to protect your crypto, the ledger is by far the most legit and the most secure product on the markets. And we are familiar with the stock. Original model. Now having has already taken place. So now it’s going to be interesting to see will Bitcoin go to one hundred thousand dollars in 2021 based on this stock? It will raise your model. And remember, the next having four years from now, Bitcoin will, according to this model, get pushed up to one million dollars approximately. And here I think we can see a very, very obvious pattern where after the having here, Bitcoin goes into a huge bull market. And there was a bear market accumulation and then a small expansion, re accumulation. And then after this having, we saw yet another big bull market and then we saw the bear market accumulation, a big first expansion and then a very accumulation. And right now, as the having just taken place, I mixed it, expecting another huge bull market where Bitcoin is going up to hundreds of thousands of dollars. Like I’ve said before, I think Bitcoin is going to somewhere between two and a thousand to five hundred thousand, approximately something like that. Of course, it’s impossible to predict the future but just look at the trend. Look at the previous patterns. And if we were to expect this pattern to continue, then we should expect hundreds of thousands of dollars in the next couple of years. And here we have a very interesting image where someone put the Bitcoin inflation above the U.S. dollar, inflation or the Federal Reserve. And you can see how the Bitcoin inflation is, of course, going down every four years while the Federal Reserve is printing more and more and is currently going completely parabolic. And this is what I’m talking about. This a divergence. They are basically doing the exact opposite. And eventually, when the confidence in the U.S. dollar is lost, then all of this value will eventually just flow into Bitcoin. That’s what I think. And in other news, YouTube actually cancelled coaling telegraphs. Bitcoin having Lifestream for being cool. Harmful content. So yesterday we saw many live streams. I was on told Vaisse Lifestream, which was by far the most successful one. I think we had fourteen or fifteen thousand live viewers. But Coach Telegraaf, they also had a live stream, but eventually, it actually was pulled down. They had Tim Draper, Roger very and et cetera. And I think by now it’s kind of obvious that this is probably because of this scam give away lives, truths, and YouTube does not seem to be able to differentiate between a legit Livestream and a scam Livestream. Very sad. I’m very sorry for telling you that this happened to them. And this is something that is affecting all of us. YouTube is on YouTube and even everyone in crypto actually, like we just talked about, Google also changed its algorithm alongside YouTube. Of course, Google owns YouTube and many crypto websites have been affected negatively by the new algorithm update. So everyone in Bitcoin crypto is affected by this. And this was the latest update about the YouTube Bitcoin censorship. And guys, if you enjoy this video, please leave a thumbs up. Make sure to go and buy a legend nonetheless. And if you haven’t seen my review and unboxing of the legend of S, you can click right there right now and I’ll see you get to mine.

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jeffrmayhugh · 5 years ago

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cryptosharks1 · 5 years ago

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Top 10 Worst Business Blunders | Bad Business Decisions Of All Time has been published on Find and Select Business Reviews

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Top 10 Worst Business Blunders | Bad Business Decisions Of All Time

It's a fact of life that people make mistakes.

Even me, and I'm awesome.

However, whenever we're facing a big screwup or dealing withthe repercussions of another's error, it's easy to forget that mistakes are a part oflife.

Fortunately, for most people, our greatest mistakes on the job are minuscule comparedto some of the biggest blunders in business history.

SO HERE ARE 10 OF THE WORST BUSINESSBLUNDERS of all time.

So without furthur let's begin.

10.

The AOL-Time Warner Merger It's hard to imagine now, but AOL was oncethe biggest name on the Internet, the Google of its day.

In the age of dial-up Internetconnections ,AOL was the portal through which most Americans went online, with as many as35 million subscribers at its peak in 2002.

AOL was a Wall Street darling, flush withinvestor cash and looking for a prestige purchase.

AOL Inc.

CEO Steve Case met Time Warner CEOGerald Levin in 1999 and the two men immediately began daydreaming about a merger between thebiggest names in old and new media.

After months of private talks, the corporate marriagewas announced on Jan.

10, 2000, to the ecstatic media coverage.

At $350 billion, it was thelargest merger in the history of the business world.

But even after gaining Federal Trade Commissionapproval, the deal had its skeptics.

AOL was the majority shareholder, and for the financialsto add up, AOL would have to continue making bundles of money in advertising revenue.

Beforethe ink was even dry on the deal, the dot-com bubble had burst, Internet stocks plummeted,and the bottom fell out of the online advertising market.

Their leadership fought with one another.

Within two years, $99 billion dollars had been lost.

To make matters worse, increasedavailability of high-speed Internet access cut deeply into AOL's dial-up revenue.

Unfortunately, by the time the companies divorced 9 years later, their collective value hadshrunk from $300 billion to $40 billion.

The merger proved poisonous for both companiesand downright deadly for investors.

In 2009, Time Warner spun AOL off as its own company.

Today, the AOL-Time Warner marriage is the standard business school case study for theworst merger ever.

Kodak Sits on DigitalFor over 100 years, Kodak was synonymous with photographs.

Founded in 1880, the New York-basedcompany commanded 90 percent of the film market , 85 percent of the camera market, and itemployed over 60,000 people by the late 1970s.

In 1974, during Kodak's corporate dominance,one of its engineers, Steve Sasson, started fiddling with a gadget called a charge-coupleddevice, or CCD.

In time, he figured out how to use the CCD to translate light into thedigital language of 1s and 0s.

A year later, he successfully built the world's first digitalcamera, a clunky box that could produce a 100,000-pixel image, the equivalent of 0.

01megapixels.

Kodak instantly recognized the potential ofthe device to revolutionize photography and invested billions in its development and fileda patent for the digital camera in 1977.

However, Kodak made so much money on film, it didn'tintroduce the technology at the time to the public.

Kodak continued its focus on traditionalfilm cameras even when it was clear the market was moving to digital.

Kodak's executives didnot foresee the eventual decline of film.

Only when film's popularity began to wanein the mid-1990s in favor of digital photography did the company push into the digital market.

But competitors such as Fuji and Sony entered the market faster and Kodak was never ableto fully capitalize on the product it actually invented.

By 2001, the company was in second-placeto Sony in the digital camera market, but it lost $60 on every camera sold.

By 2010,it ranked sixth in the digital camera space, which itself began to dwindle with the adventof smartphones and tablets.

By 2011, the stock had dropped to 65 cents per share, and thecompany filed for bankruptcy in December of that year.

kodak now concentrates mostly onprinter cartridges and film for motion pictures.

Blockbuster Rejects Netflix for $50 MillionIf you came of age in the 1980s, you spent way too many Friday nights at your local Blockbusterbrowsing the "new release" shelves or raiding the return bin for the hottest titles.

Atthe top of its game, Blockbuster ran 9,904 stores worldwide with revenue topping $5.

9billion a year.

The secret to Blockbuster's early successwas using computers to make sure that every store was stocked with the most popular movies.

But once Blockbuster nailed its winning formula ,it failed to adapt to the changing tastesof American consumers.

In the late 1990s, an Internet upstart namedNetflix began offering a DVD-by-mail service.

The subscription service exploded in popularity,and Netflix executives flew down to Texas in 2000 to make an offer to Blockbuster CEOJohn Antioco.

For $50 million, Netflix would join forces with Blockbuster and help it launchits own online and DVD-by-mail service.

Antioco laughed Netflix out of the office, seeingit as a niche player.

As of May 2017, Netflix is valued at morethan $30 billion and Blockbuster ,which filed for bankruptcy in 2010 , closed its last retailstores and canceled its copycat DVD-by-mail service in 2013.

Western Union Hangs Up on the Telephone Today we know Western Union as a fast wayto send money around the world, but the company first gained its fortunes in the 19th centurywith its telegram service.

Before telephones, a Western Union telegram, transmitted by telegraphsusing Morse code, was the fastest way to send a message across cities, states and even countries.

When Alexander Graham Bell patented the firsttelephone in 1876, he wanted to cash in on his revolutionary invention by selling itto communications king Western Union.

Bell asked for $100,000, a fortune at the time,and the company didn't bite.

Western Union execs couldn't envision a world in which peoplewould ditch the handy telegram for expensive, grainy sounding telephones that didn't workover long distances.

When Bell's telephone caught fire with thepublic, Western Union hired rival inventors, including Thomas Edison, to design a betterversion.

Bell sued Western Union for patent infringement and won, forcing the telegramgiant to ditch its designs on the telephone.

Bell Telephone went on to rule American telecommunicationsfor a century.

Excite Passes on Google for $750,000Physicists argue that time travel is impossible, but if you want to be transported instantlyback to 1999, simply visit excite.

Com.

This is what the Internet used to look like.

Withoutan accurate search engine like Google, Web portals like AOL and Excite categorized theearly Internet by subject and posted the day's news and weather.

Incredibly, this is exactlywhat Excite is still doing.

Imagine, then, how different life would befor Excite , and for all of us, if Excite had bought Google back in 1999 for the priceof $750,000.

Google co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin first offered to sell theirsearch technology to Excite for $1 million, but dropped the price further when Exciteshowed no interest.

To Excite's credit, Google was just an unprovenbundle of algorithms back in 1999, not the world-dominating technology goliath it istoday.

Excite was eventually bought by Ask.

Com, which has a less than 2 percent share of thesearch market.

Google has more than 60 percent of the U.

search market share and much largershare worldwide.

Rupert Murdoch Buys and Nearly Kills MySpaceBefore Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn and even YouTube, there was MySpace.

MySpace was thefirst social network to go mainstream back in 2004, signing up 1 million users just onemonth after its launch.

Everybody from rock stars to bored teenagers created MySpace profilepages and started "friending" each other like crazy.

By 2005, MySpace was the fifth most-viewedInternet domain in America.

And then Rupert Murdoch came along.

The NewsCorp billionaire bought MySpace's parent company in 2005 for $580 million.

According to MySpaceco-founder and former CEO Chris DeWolfe, Murdoch squandered the social network's incrediblepopularity by trying to make MySpace profitable too quickly.

Murdoch promised huge revenuesto Wall Street and crowded the site with ads that eventually alienated users, who flockedto ad-free Facebook.

MySpace traffic peaked in 2008 with 75.

9 millionunique visitors, but the site couldn't fight the onslaught of Facebook.

Murdoch sold MySpacein 2011 for a piddling $35 million, and admitted via Twitter that "we screwed up in every waypossible, learned lots of valuable expensive lessons"4.

Edwin Drake fails to patent his oil drill Extracting large quantities of oil from reserveswas a seemingly impossible task in 1858, but Drake wasn't afraid to work to make it a happen.

Stationed in Titusville, Pennsylvania, he spent a year looking for a solution withoutresults.

After employing a local blacksmith, he built a derrick of pine wood, surroundedthe drill with a pipe to keep water out, and drilled for weeks until he finally procuredthe black gold.

Unfortunately, Drake was later fired by his company and he lost all of hismoney on Wall Street.

Almost immediately, other entrepreneurs began using his methodto extract oil in the surrounding areas of Titusville.

His failure to patent his inventionresulted in the loss of millions, though the state of Pennsylvania and oil barons eventuallypaid him to express their gratitude.

To thank him for his efforts, the state granted hima stipend of $1,500 , which was paid annually until his death in 1880.

Nokia refusing to use Android Nokia was a pioneer in the smartphone market,literally introducing consumers to the smartphone with its initial Symbian Series in 2002.

Forthe next five years, Symbian phones had little trouble maintaining a leadership positionin the smartphone pack.

‪ But in 2007, Apple introduced its iPhone.

With its full touchscreenand app-based operating system, the iPhone changed the very definition of what a smartphoneshould be.

The software development team at nokia realizedthat there was a threat so they split into two teams.

one team tried to revamp symbianand the other team created an entirely new operating system named meego.

The problem wasthat the two teams were battling for resources from Nokia, as a result there was an internalstruggle within the company.

it was so bad that whenever nokia was dealing with outsidestakeholders it took almost a year to come to a decision.

As the years passed, the Symbianplatform aged, and that age really showed when compared to iOS.

During this time thesearch engine giant Google came up with its new OS for mobile phones named Android andthis proved to be the last nail in the coffin.

Android revolutionized the mobile phone marketand Google in association with many mobile phone manufacturers came up with low budgetsmart phones and nokia wasn’t prepared to counteract this.

Nokia CEO at the time decidedto skip on Android calling it a short-term solution saying that it is like"pissing inyour pants in the winter to keep warm".

Nokia kept on working on their own softwarethrowing five billion dollars a year of RND but of no use.

As time went on, the iphoneand android handset dominated the market.

After several delays, Nokia opted for the Windowsmobile OS, subsequently making it their primary platform.

Nokia released several Lumia smartphones,until it was acquired by Microsoft and from there on, it went downhill for nokia.

However,there is a twist,nokia is going to be returning in 2017 with an android os after signing anagreement with hmd global.

Yahoo's failure to forsee the futureIn 2000 ,Yahoo’s market capitalization reached $125 billion.

But Over the next 16 years, itsteadily tumbled, mostly due to inaction, missed opportunities and bad decisions.

Thecompany was so, so, so close to basically owning our entire online life.

In some bizarrouniverse, Yahoo is the search engine, photo storage, and social network you use everyday.

But in this very real world, it isn’t much of anything.

Back in 1998, two individuals, Larry Page and Sergei Brin, who were unknown to the technologycompany offered to sell their little startup to yahoo for $1 million so they can resumetheir studies at Stanford.

Yahoo rejected them because they wanted theirusers to spend more time on Yahoo directories, where they would be exposed to banner ads.

Better search , like the kind Google was offering , would quickly route users awayfrom Yahoo.

In the early 2000's google steadily grew.

Realising it's mistake, In 2002, Yahoo's CEO at the time, Terry Semel, engaged in negotiationsto acquire Google, which lasted several months.

The outcome of the negotiation was Semel balkingat Google's price tag of $5 billion.

And the problems don’t stop there.

The signswere all there in 2006 – Facebook was going to be around for a while, and keep evolving.

FB had survived, despite turning down bids from the likes of Google and Viacom.

WhenFacebook investors showed up to sell the company, Yahoo depreciated the valuation they offered- founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg expected a billion dollars, but Yahoo reduced it to$875 million resulting in mark walking out.

not long after this in 2008, Microsoft CEOSteve Ballmer tried hard to buy Yahoo, which was now in a solid second place in the searchengine race.

In February of that year, Yahoo’s board decided that Microsoft’s $44 billionoffer was “too low" and as we all know how it turns out for yahoo in the coming years.

Yahoo couldn't keep up with the competitions and ended up selling its core assets to Verizonfor a mere $4.

8 billion in 2016, 10 times less than what they could have gotten frommicrosoft.

10.

Jobs Strikes A Deal With XeroxXerox founded its Palo Alto Research Center (PARC) in 1970, which brought together someof the world's best computer engineers and programmers.

In the 1970s, PARC was the meccafor innovation in computing.

In 1979, Steve Jobs asked Xerox to let him tour PARC, andin return he would allow Xerox to buy a hundred thousand shares of Apple for a million dollars.

After much discussion, Xerox agreed.

Among other notable achievements, the PARCteam had developed a prototype of their experimental Alto workstation.

The Alto embodied a numberof the most advanced ideas in computing, including graphical user interfaces, the mouse, bitmapdisplays, windows, icons, and local area networks.

Legend has it that when Jobs was shown theworking Alto prototype with all its innovative capabilities, “he was very excited.

andstarted jumping around the room, shouting, ‘Why aren’t you doing anything with this?This is the greatest thing.

This is revolutionary!’ ”Jobs raced back to Apple and told his engineers to change the course of the personal computersand copy the Alto’s advanced capabilities he had just been shown at PARC.

He wantedmenus, he wanted windows, he wanted a mouse! The result was the Lisa introduced by Applein 1980.

in 1981,Xerox announced the Star workstation,the successor to the Alto called the Xerox 8010 Star.

It was expensive, slow and underpowered.

It was the first commercial system to incorporate technologies that have subsequently becomecommonplace in personal computers, such as a bitmapped display, window-based GUI, mouse,Ethernet networking, file servers, print servers and e-mail.

The Xerox 8010 Star, despite itstechnological breakthroughs, did not sell well due to its high price, costing $16,000per unit.

A typical Xerox Star-based office, complete with network and printers, wouldhave cost $100,000.

It was not a commercial success, and eventually Xerox withdrew altogetherfrom the workstation market.

Meanwhile, Apple followed the Lisa with theMacintosh in 1984.

The Mac became one of the most successful and influential products inthe history of IT.

Apple beat Xerox in the marketplace because while it took Steve Jobsonly a minute to see the huge potential of the Alto capabilities to revolutionize personalcomputing, the Xerox team did not appreciate the enormous value of what they had created.

Jobsin later years said"If Xerox had known what it had and had taken advantage of its realopportunities,it could have been as big as I.

plus Microsoft plus Xerox combined.

"Xerox sued Apple in the late 1980s for using their GUI technology, but the case was dismissed.

On the plus side, their Apple stock came to be worth billions of dollars, so atleast Xeroxgot the happy ending that eluded many other business fumblers throughout history.

Source: Youtube

#(10 #All #Bad #Blunders #Business #Decisions #of #Time #top #WORST #|#Top 10

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