#Decision Optimization

[switch]

this horse can fit so much horse on it

[moonlit-tulip]

One of the more recurringly-useful pieces of advice I've read—despite the dubiousness of its source—was this:

Hard decisions are generally not worth spending too much time or effort worrying about. Because, for a decision to remain hard even after extended thought about the tradeoffs, the expected values between the two sides have to be pretty similar-looking in a way that's not prone to resolving unambiguously on examination. At that point, worrying further tends to be just tossing good brainpower after bad.

It's better, instead, to decide arbitrarily between hard-to-choose-between options after a certain amount of thought rather than blocking indefinitely, accept the risk of sometimes choosing a bit suboptimally thereby, and save the brainpower which would otherwise have gone into those hard decisions, to instead spend on not messing up easy decisions. The sort where as soon as you think about it five minutes it's clear which way to go, but where you do need to have the slack to give them those five minutes' thought. Those are where the large changes in expected value with marginal application of thought are; thus you'll get better returns per unit brainpower invested there.

[thepersonalwords]

If you compromise your core values, you go nowhere.

Roy T. Bennett

[silentgrim]

some simmers can be so insufferable can’t believe y’all made a guru deactivate their twitter over the lack of seasons in the new world 😭

[pendulouspuppyudders]

honestly getting a "etienne is the worst hero" lecture on my stream fucked me up more than it should've like... she's rly cute.. i like her book wyrm skin she's reading under the covers and has lil dragon friends... she looks rly eggy i like her a lot... why do i have to know about her viability

[thefloatingstone]

Things I learned playing as a character who is not as friendly with Emps as my drow;

1: ANGY (using Detect thoughts on him)

2: if you have Lae'Zel in the party with you for this scene, he at one point physically rolls his eyes at her which I've never seen him do in any other scene before.

Babygirl was SO ANNOYED this time around XD like the "I still have an hour before the end of my shift" level of exhausted annoyance.

[pinkhysteria]

me going to prison under the despotic rule of the No Fun Allowed bbtwitter crowd who is insisting nobody is allowed to giggle a little in good fun at the HOH who nominated my evicted fave leaving the week directly after just because she "pLayEd pOoRly!!" 😞

[murdermost-foul]

trying to make a new years resolutions list but stopping when i'm realising my life after june is a big blank

[bestwayprofit]

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[ultimateaclrecovery]

Because making decisions is hard.

So I am looking to book flights to portugal. I’ll be doing a riding trip second half of the trip and just exploring portugal beforehand. My friend is joining for the riding and exploring Lisbon, but I’m going to go earlier and do Porto by myself. She is currently looking to arrive in Lisbon on the mid morning of November 6.

I am looking to leave on Nov 3 (flights cheaper on Sunday than earlier in the weekend) but I can’t decide if I want to fly into Lisbon or Porto.

I have three main flights that I am considering all for about the same price.

Leaving at 11am on Sunday, ~4:45 layover in Toronto, arrive Lisbon 9:20am on Monday.And then take a 3.5 hour bus to Porto.

Leave at 4 (or 6)pm, 4.5 hour layover in France (or two hours but maybe seems tight), land in Porto at 3:45pm on Monday

Leave at 4:30pm, have a 45min layover in Munich (!!!! Is this even possible? A terrible idea?) and then arrive at 12:50pm on Monday.

And then a fourth bonus, on a different airline than my friend would use (so different flight back), and less used by me so not as good for points or whatever.

Leave Saturday at 6pm and land in Lisbon at 3pm on Sunday. (With a 2.5 layover in London). For about 50 more.

I’d love to just land at 1pm in Porto on Monday but not sure if the extra two hours is worth the stress of the tight layover. I think I’d get to Porto sooner than almost 4 with landing in Lisbon and taking the bus, but again it’s a fair bit of hassle. Bus rides can be nice when you can look at the window and whatnot but I’ll also have to go back the same way so seems silly if I can just go to Porto directly for the same price. I’d love go a day or two earlier but the flights are either 200+ more expensive and or involve multiple stops.

And then for all of them I must decide whether to go with basic economy or pay the 200 extra for full economy. I don’t need a checked back there (could get one on the way back for 75 if I got too many souvenirs), could pay for seat selection if I really wanted to. But I’m nervous about the limited ability to change or modify the flight. The three United flight all let you do it for a few, but the fourth flight just says no changes 😬 but also 200 bucks.

So which flight?

[sydmarch]

x

[lightblueminecraftorchid]

they call me the griever because halfway through a thing I enjoy I’m already sad that it’s closer to being over

[thepersonalwords]

If you compromise your core values, you go nowhere.

Roy T. Bennett

[rantithesis]

I wish less people would focus on talking about fat people not being inherently unhealthy (technically true, but frankly not applicable to the vast majority of cases) and instead focus on how someone’s health is a) their own fucking business b) NOT GROUNDS FOR A TOTAL LOSS OF BASIC DIGNITY

[truetechreview]

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[greatcometdeservedbetter]

Everytime I rewatch Season 1 of Black Sails, I am forced to think about how Eleanor should have been 17-19 years old… logistically, I understand why they couldn’t do that but it works so well.