#U.S.-China relations

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The U.S. is tightening visa rules for Chinese students in critical fields, raising big questions for higher education and global research. What does this mean for students, universities, and innovation? Dive into the latest developments and their far-reaching impact. #InternationalStudents #HigherEd

[theblindmachine]

Listen: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4Hc5d8b8Pkg6W1PHBdajpf # Understanding Trump’s Economic Strategy: A Journey Through Time and Trade This week on Sinica, we delve into the mind of Donald Trump and his economic policies, specifically relating to China and tariffs. Joining me is esteemed economic historian Andrew B. Liu from Villanova University, whose recent article in N+1 — titled "Back to the 80s? Trump, Xi Jinping, and Tariffs" — sheds light on how past trade dynamics shape our current geopolitical landscape. If you're interested in the historical echoes that resonate through today’s trade anxieties, this conversation is a must-listen. As we unpack our discussion, we take a closer look at how the current trade fears in the U.S. echo the anxieties of the 1980s. In stark fashion, Liu illustrates how Cold War geopolitics forged the U.S.-Japan trade relations of that era, leaving an indelible mark on today’s strategies. It’s a reminder that history often informs our present decisions, particularly when it comes to economic relations. Next, we explore critical lessons that China has drawn from Japan's experience. Understanding these lessons is crucial for deciphering China's recent economic strategies – strategic maneuvers that can't be ignored in the unfolding narrative. Liu provides a keen analysis of Xi Jinping’s vision for the Chinese economy, challenging conventional preconceptions and revealing the ideology that underpins their approach. At the heart of our conversation lies an examination of why China is leaning towards a Ford-like model of industrial structure. This shift could redefine not only China’s economic landscape but also its role in the global economy. Liu's insights help us envisage just how transformative this model could be in the current international climate. Another key component we discuss is Michael Pettis’s seminal ideas from his work, "Trade Wars Are Class Wars." Liu critiques some of Pettis's conclusions, encouraging listeners to think critically about the implications of tariffs as tools of economic warfare. The Trump administration's heavy-handed use of tariffs becomes a focal point of our conversation, revealing how these strategies are not merely economic tools but reflections of deeper political ideologies. In the spirit of paying it forward, I want to spotlight Viola Zhou’s exceptional reporting for Rest of World, particularly her piece on Foxconn's expansion into India, which deserves your attention. Also, don’t miss Dong Yige's illuminating contributions to the discourse on global economics. As for recommendations, Andrew suggests exploring Hetty Lui McKinnon’s Substack for those keen on vegan modern Cantonese recipes — a delightful culinary venture. I recommend The Carter Center’s U.S.-China Perception Monitor and an insightful essay titled “The new frontline: The US-China battle for control of global networks” available on the Transnational Institute's website. Join us for this enlightening discussion as we untangle the complex web of history, politics, and economics that continues to shape global trade today. Check out our show, and don't forget to read Liu's piece in N+1 to grasp the full context!

[latestnews-now]

China has expressed strong opposition to Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te’s planned stopovers in Hawaii and Guam during his South Pacific trip. As Beijing continues to pressure Taiwan diplomatically, the island nation pushes back with strengthened global ties. Learn why this visit is stirring tensions and how the U.S. fits into this delicate geopolitical puzzle.

[futurefatum]

🟡🧠🔨Ray Dalio Reveals the Hard Truth About America's Path Forward (Tone: 270)

Ray Dalio warns of America's shift towards industrial self-sufficiency & rising BRICS influence. Expect geopolitical & economic transformation. #Economy #Geopolitics

Posted on November 19th, 2024 by @TomBilyeu ABOUT THIS VIDEO: In this video, Ray Dalio discusses America’s economic, political, and geopolitical future. He outlines five key forces driving global changes, including debt cycles, internal political order, international relations, technological advancement, and acts of nature such as climate change. Dalio highlights a shift towards a more…

[signode-blog]

The Economic Impact of a Kamala Harris Presidency: U.S. and Global Perspectives

The prediction that Kamala Harris could win the U.S. elections has sparked discussions across various fields, including politics, economics, and international relations. While predictions, particularly those based on astrology, are not grounded in empirical evidence, it is an interesting exercise to explore the potential impacts that a Kamala Harris presidency could have on both the U.S. economy…

[creativemedianews]

China Conducts First Public Test Launch of Intercontinental Ballistic Missile

China Conducts First Public Test Launch of Intercontinental Ballistic Missile #ChinaICBMtest #Chinesemilitarydrills

[gud4knowledge]

US, Chinese Officials Cite Need for Stable Economic Relations news.gud4knowledge

U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo told her Chinese counterpart Monday during a meeting in Beijing that the Biden administration seeks healthy competition with China and that a “growing Chinese economy that plays by the rules is in both of our interests. Raimondo told Chinese Commerce Minister Wang Wentao that it is important for the United States and China to have a “stable economic…

[xtruss]

Chinese Scientists Are Leaving the United States! Here’s Why That Spells Bad News For Washington.

— By Christina Lu and Anusha Rathi | July 13, 2023 | Foreign Policy

A view of Building 10 on the campus of Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge, Massachusetts, in the United States on March 12, 2020. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

Facing an increasingly suspicious research climate, a growing number of Chinese scientists are leaving the United States for positions abroad, the latest indicator of how worsening U.S.-China relations are complicating academic collaboration and could hamstring Washington’s tech ambitions.

Chinese scientists living in the United States have for decades contributed to research efforts driving developments in advanced technology and science. But a growing number of them may now be looking elsewhere for work, as deteriorating geopolitical relations fuel extra scrutiny of Chinese researchers and Beijing ramps up efforts to recruit and retain talent. Between 2010 and 2021, the number of Chinese scientists leaving the United States has steadily increased, according to new research published last month. If the trend continues, experts warn that the brain drain could deal a major blow to U.S. research efforts in the long run.

“It’s absolutely devastating,” said David Bier, the associate director of immigration studies at the Cato Institute. “So many of the researchers that the United States depends on in [the] advanced technology field are from China, or are foreign students, and this phenomenon is certainly going to negatively impact U.S. firms and U.S. research going forward.”

From semiconductor chips to artificial intelligence, technology has been at the forefront of U.S.-China competition, with both Washington and Beijing maneuvering to strangle each other’s sectors. Cooperation, even in key sectors like combating climate change, has been rare.

From 2010 to 2021, the number of scientists of Chinese descent who left the United States for another country has surged from 900 to 2,621, with scientists leaving at an expedited rate between 2018 and 2021, according to research published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS). Nearly half of this group moved to China and Hong Kong in 2010, the study said, and a growing percentage of Chinese scientists have relocated to China over the years.

While this number represents a small fraction of the Chinese scientists in the United States, the uptick reflects researchers’ growing concerns and broader apprehension amid a tense geopolitical climate. After surveying 1,304 Chinese American researchers, the report found that 89 percent of respondents wanted to contribute to U.S. science and technology leadership. Yet 72 percent also reported feeling unsafe as researchers in the United States, while 61 percent had previously considered seeking opportunities outside of the country.

“Scientists of Chinese descent in the United States now face higher incentives to leave the United States and lower incentives to apply for federal grants,” the report said. There are “general feelings of fear and anxiety that lead them to consider leaving the United States and/or stop applying for federal grants.”

The incentives to leave are twofold. Beijing has funneled resources into research and development programs and has long attempted to recruit scientists, even its own, from around the world. For one of its initiatives, the Thousand Talents Plan, Beijing harnessed at least 600 recruitment stations worldwide to acquire new talent. “China has been really trying to lure back scientists for a long time,” said Eric Fish, the author of China’s Millennials.

But this latest outflow of Chinese scientists accelerated in 2018, the same year that then-U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled the China Initiative, a controversial program that was aimed at countering IP theft—and cast a chill over researchers of Chinese descent and collaborations with Chinese institutions. In 2020, he also issued a proclamation denying visas for graduate students and researchers affiliated with Chinese universities associated with the military.

Although the Biden administration shut down the China Initiative, experts warn that its shadow still looms over Chinese scientists. More than one-third of respondents in the PNAS survey reported feeling unwelcome in the United States, while nearly two-thirds expressed concerns about research collaboration with China.

“There is this chilling effect that we’re still witnessing now, where there is a stigma attached to collaboration with China,” said Jenny Lee, a professor at the Center for the Study of Higher Education at the University of Arizona.

The challenges are emblematic of how the breakdown in U.S.-China relations has thrown universities into a geopolitical firestorm, particularly as some states’ lawmakers pressure them to sever ties with Chinese counterparts. On the U.S. side, interest in Mandarin language studies and study abroad has plummeted over the years, largely the result of worsening ties, Beijing’s growing repression, and the coronavirus pandemic. Today, while there are roughly 300,000 Chinese students in America, only 350 Americans studied in China in the most recent academic year. If interest continues to recede, experts warn of spillover effects that could hamper Washington’s understanding of Beijing.

“We’re losing a generation of people who are knowledgeable about China,” said Daniel Murphy, the former director of the Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies at Harvard University. “I’m concerned that the United States is going about this issue in a way that excessively focuses on risks of the academic relationship, without due consideration for the benefits. And I think we see this in a whole host of arenas, and that it’s bipartisan.”

At the same time as a growing number of Chinese scientists exit the United States, new students appear to be facing higher barriers to entry as student visa denials and backlogs reach record high levels. According to a blog post by the Cato Institute, student visa denials peaked at about 35 percent in 2022—the highest rate recorded in two decades.

Student visa denial data is not available by nationality, but Bier, the Cato Institute expert who wrote the piece, said that there is a high degree of correlation between denial rates for B-visas, or tourist visas, and student visas. “Having reviewed the B-visa denials in China, it’s pretty clear that the Chinese overall visa denial rate has increased significantly over the last few years and is at a level now where it’s the highest it’s been in decades,” he said.

Just as some Chinese scientists are looking abroad, these challenges are pushing a growing number of international students to turn elsewhere for academic opportunities. Students are increasingly heading to countries like Canada, Australia, Japan, and the United Kingdom, all of which are opening their doors to high-skilled workers and researchers. To attract more talent, the United Kingdom has issued “Global Talent” and “High Potential Individual” visas, which allow scholars from top universities to work there for 2-3 years and 1-5 years, respectively.

Universities are being impacted “by geopolitical tensions, by political agendas, and so it’s certainly inhibiting U.S. Universities’ ability to attract the best and brightest,” Lee said.

— Christina Lu is a Reporter at Foreign Policy. Anusha Rathi is an Editorial Fellow at Foreign Policy.

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Yao Ming, chairman of the Chinese Basketball Association and National People's Congress deputy, meets with U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry.

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🇨🇳 Report expose China's AI-driven campaign to brainwash Taiwan, waging a digital war. 🇨🇳 Is this a wake-up call for democracies? Know here 👇

[thehustlejournal]

U.S. Consumer Confidence Surges in May Amid Renewed Trade Optimism

American consumers showed a sharp resurgence in optimism this month, buoyed by hopes of easing trade tensions between the United States and China, according to new data from The Conference Board.

The Consumer Confidence Index soared to 98.0 in May, marking a dramatic 12.3-point jump from April’s figure and easily surpassing economists’ expectations of 86.0, based on a Dow Jones consensus.

The rebound comes after months of declining sentiment and appears to be driven largely by renewed optimism around global trade. Analysts point to the U.S. administration’s decision to pause additional tariffs on Chinese imports earlier this month as a major factor fueling the improved outlook.

“The recovery in confidence had begun before the May 12 de-escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions, but that development clearly amplified the positive momentum,” said Stephanie Guichard, senior economist for global indicators at The Conference Board.

May’s surge marks a reversal after five consecutive months of declining sentiment, during which prolonged trade disputes — particularly with China — weighed heavily on consumer and investor outlooks. A temporary truce in early May between the two economic superpowers appears to have reassured many Americans about the near-term trajectory of the economy.

Other indicators in the report also reflected growing confidence:

The Present Situation Index climbed to 135.9, up 4.8 points.

The Expectations Index made an even more pronounced gain, rising to 72.8, a jump of 17.4 points.

Investor sentiment also turned more bullish, with 44% now expecting higher stock prices over the next year — up from 37.6% in April.

Improved views on the job market were another highlight. Some 19.2% of respondents now expect more job opportunities in the next six months, compared to just 13.9% last month. Meanwhile, the percentage expecting fewer jobs fell to 26.6%, down from 32.4%.

Still, current perceptions of the labor market remain mixed. While 31.8% of consumers say jobs are “plentiful,” a slight increase, those who feel jobs are “hard to get” also rose to 18.6%.

Sentiment gains were seen across demographic groups — including age, income, and political affiliation — but the most significant improvements came from Republican respondents, according to survey officials.

Analysts caution that while May’s surge is encouraging, future confidence will likely remain sensitive to developments on the trade front and other geopolitical risks. For now, however, consumers appear to be breathing a collective sigh of relief.

[theblindmachine]

Listen: https://open.spotify.com/episode/1wrzylHqqNyaWIR9btiW3P "# Unpacking the U.S.-Ukraine Mineral Security Partnership: A Conversation to Remember In a world where the geopolitical landscape is rapidly shifting, understanding the intricacies of partnerships like the U.S.-Ukraine Mineral Security Partnership is paramount. On May 22, I had the distinct honor of moderating a panel that brought together some of the sharpest minds in the field to dissect this crucial alliance, and trust me when I say, it was nothing short of enlightening. Organized by the astute Vita Golod and the UNC Center for Slavic, Eurasian, and East European Studies, this session had a singular focus: the implications of the minerals deal signed on May 1, 2025, in the context of the ongoing war in Ukraine. Panelists included Ivan Us, Chief Consultant at the Center for Foreign Policy at the National Institute for Strategic Studies; Jim Mullinax, a seasoned Senior Foreign Service Officer and former Consul General at the U.S. Consulate in Chengdu; Grzegorz Stec, Senior Analyst and Head of the Brussels Office at MERICS; and Xu Qinduo, a journalist at CGTN and Senior Fellow at the Pangoal Institution. Each brought a wealth of knowledge and unique perspectives, painting a comprehensive picture of what this partnership means. We dove deep into the historical backdrop that led to this minerals deal, highlighting its critical role amid the ongoing conflict. This partnership is not just about mineral extraction; it signifies a broader alliance that has the potential to reshape economic recovery efforts in Ukraine post-war. The implications stretch far beyond the immediate—this is about securing energy independence, fostering resilience, and creating a sustainable future for a region that's been on the front lines of conflict for far too long. As the discussions unfolded, the panelists touched on the multifaceted dimensions of the minerals deal. From geopolitical strategy to economic necessity, the dialogue reflected the urgency of understanding how such agreements influence global dynamics. The insights shared not only illuminated the pressing issues at hand but also offered hope for Ukraine's future as it navigates the aftermath of war. If you are keen on international affairs, energy security, or Ukraine’s role in the global arena, this is a conversation you won’t want to miss. The dialogue was rich, often provocative, and filled with the kind of insights that can only emerge from those who have dedicated their lives to understanding the complexities of our world. So, grab a coffee and tune in—what you’re about to hear might just reshape the way you view the U.S.-Ukraine relationship and the pivotal role minerals play in our shared future. Join me in exploring this fascinating intersection of diplomacy, security, and resilience; it’s a discussion that reverberates far beyond borders. Enjoy the illuminating conversation!"

[latestnews-now]

Explore the critical discussions between President Biden and Xi Jinping as they address North Korea's support for Russia, China’s geopolitical role, and what lies ahead for U.S.-China relations under Donald Trump. Stay tuned for detailed analysis and insights!

[futurefatum]

WARNING! ITS TIME TO MAKE BIG MOVES, IT MAY BE OUR LAST CHANCE (Tone: 175)

Global conflicts loom on the horizon. Use this calm before the storm to prepare for what's coming. #Prepping #SurvivalPlanning

Posted on November 13th, 2024 by @CanadianPrepper ABOUT THIS VIDEO: The video discusses the current state of global preparedness, emphasizing that recent geopolitical shifts have given society a limited window to prepare for long-term crises. The speaker argues that while a brief period of stability has been achieved, significant global conflicts remain on the horizon, including potential war…

[munaeem]

Why India Sees a Conspiracy in US-Backed Moves—and Why Washington Might Not Care

India is shouting into the wind. On May 9, 2025, the International Monetary Fund, with U.S. backing, approved a $1.4 billion loan to Pakistan. Five days later, a $1.3 billion loan went to Bangladesh. On May 14 and 15, the U.S. sold $225 million worth of advanced AMRAAM missiles to Turkey. To New Delhi, these moves aren’t isolated. They’re a pattern—an anti-India trifecta that emboldens its…