#estimate reference
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STEEEeEEEEVVEE
characters;
all characters are from bigtop burger by worthikids!! u should check it out itsa very a funny
allen/doctor [he/him], frances [she/her], cesare [he/him], conrad [he/him]
#these r all pronoun estimations btw#because this is just what their all referred to as in the show. so#pronoun hypothesis#the pronoun....... theory if you will#allen bigtop burger#doctor bigtop burger#allen#doctor#frances bigtop burger#frances#cesare bigtop burger#cesare#conrad bigtop burger#conrad#bigtop burger#big top burger#btb#bigtopburger#digital art#fanart#ms paint#silly#teehee
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So the phone rang and John said, “You know, I want to do a record but I don’t know if I want to do a record. I have some material, I’ve been writing for a while, writing down here in Bermuda” and of course he had a near-death experience sailing in a storm down there, which I think changed his perspective completely. Because almost all of those songs were written in Bermuda.
So it was like one creative burst. Was this 1979?
Yeah, ’79. And so I agreed that I would listen to the stuff. And he said, “Yoko has it” and she handed me an envelope that said, “For Jack’s ears only.” And I took it home and he called me at home the next day and asked, “What do you think?” And my honest opinion was that they were very primitive, a whole bunch of cassettes, there was narration in it, he talked me through it. The songs all began with an explanation, a lot of it funny, and all of them ended with, “What a piece of crap. I’m going to give it to Ringo for his solo album.”
Were these all songs that ended up being on the album?
No, there were still a few more. And there was so much on that tape that I didn’t put on the album. But the Beatles had completed "Real Love" many years later, from that cassette. They built off of that cassette. Actually, I had the original so they built that off of a copy that maybe Yoko had.
Were there any songs from that tape that immediately hit you?
Oh yes, there were so many. So many. There was so much material on that tape. Two cassettes.
Do you still have that tape?
Yes.
Did you ever digitize it?
Yes. But they’ll never be—it’s property of Yoko. Period. It’s her property. So anyway, most of it’s been released.
On the box sets [John Lennon Anthology and John Lennon Signature Box]. Yes, most of those demos have been released... Maybe not with his dialogue, which is quite funny, but he’s singing into a tape machine like a beat box, like a Panasonic from back in the day. He’s singing into it, playing guitar, and then playing that into another, just from the speakers and then singing along with it, like playing percussion or doubling his vocals. It was so primitive. Banging on pots and pans. Very primitive. And my first reaction was, “I don’t think I can beat it, to tell you the truth. It’s so good.” And he’s like, “Oh, no, no, no, that’s not—“ and I said, “John, put this out. It will be sensational. Just put this cassette out. I’m putting myself out of the greatest job I’ve ever had in my life, but I’m just telling you.”
—Jack Douglas, producer of Double Fantasy and Milk and Honey albums, on how he was first recruited by John Lennon [x]
#jack douglas#john lennon#double fantasy#i love this quote because it captures my love of johns demos#i have questions about his reference to 1979#did john go to bermuda in 79 and 80?#milk and honey#john stories#mine#1980#1979#date questions#john demos#bermuda#he does say elsewhere that he was talking with john six months out from the start of recording#so maybe lore has condensed bermuda into one 1980 trip but it was two#no seamans timeline is that the trip is june july 1980#douglas must be remembering wrong#though i dont know how to square away the rest of his time estimates now#maybe hes thinking 6 months from dec 1980?
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Please please please explain to me how you draw Jane’s hair I can never understand how it works

hopefully this is self explanatory but there's more under the cut <click to see-more>
oki so you have chosen to click!! alrighty here we go
first thing is that i derived my designs for each of the six from the og west end cast because that's when i joined the fandom. so jane's hair is based off how nmp did her hair while in six


and like. i stole the fundamental structure from the left image (fringe that is pulled back into the half-bun goes along the sides, OVER the loose hair behind into bun) and the floof from the second (not so tightly pulled back)
hope that helps!
#there is unfortunately no new art under the readmore but i hope it does help explain from the reference images#i'm not sure where the loose strands came from. but i just think they're neat :))#general rule is that when i draw the hair sweeping back at the sides i try? to aim them at where the bun would be#but as i said that's all rough estimation haha ;~;;#this ask really got me thinking about how i draw jane's hair. went into the archives and all to look at how i've changed it from the start#personally i have a weakness for floofy hair so it's been sent into the system#i just think it's pretty! that said how i draw the queens now is based off the simplified versions of the designs i came up with and#internalised like literal years ago so?? hehe#jane seymour#ask me stuff???
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I’ve been rewatching Mianite s2

“that would stick in Mianite’s craw the soldier who turned and formed the Blood Knights come to fully support me.”
Holy shit, am I reading that right? Soldier who turned? Was I fucking right about Jeriah?? Jeriah’s a god hater!



“bloke” “bollocks” “buggering”
Canon British accents :(




“Fox, that look suits you.”
“Don’t call foxy those names”
Rare Martha W, cause she’s so right, that look does suit her. Also Dianite calls Sonja “Foxy” sometimes to refer to her, i think it’s really cute.






“Old woman, tell me. are you more enraged that I now hold his blade? That sparkles, will soon receive it? or is the larger issue it was given to Helgrind, and not you. if he molds your decisions so, is that why you followed his example and left as soon as times became rough?”
“It wasn’t the city that won me. It was the bloke.”
“I would never betray my one and only”
“I think it must’ve been from Father…”
“She kept saying he was close but not her Sparklez. I don’t know what she meant.”
“then you’re a fool. Just like Spark.”
SPARK RIZZWAY MENTIONS !!!!
#I hate when Jordan edits out convos it’s really annoying not being able to read the full thing sometimes#but I am glad that the others don’t— it’s just a matter of estimating which episode is that convo in#ALSO fucking hilarious but on an episode on Jordan’s side of things I read a comment literally saying ‘gay is not okay’ in reference to#someone shipping Sparklez and Andor— like that entire thread of comments was something fucking else lmao#mianite
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I hate these fucking statues
#also. yiga clan in the depths? neat#anyway hiiiiiii its me. lost again. following those goddamn statues. so i can fight ganondorf with like 15 hearts.#honestly im so disappointed in nintendo because unless they pull something new out and quick#this is just the same old story over and over#GANONDORF is the main villain#why did you come up with demise and refer to him as the demon king if you were just going to wimp out#and still make him ganondorf?#'he killed sonia and thats why he had the secret stone' biting you biting you biting you.#what if ganondorf used to be a sage. what if the curse of demise finally caught up with him and turned him against the others.#what if he was really a puppet all along and we actually fight demise again#but nooooooooooooo my name is nintendo and if my story isnt just the same plot from the other games remixed#then ill start crying :(#listen i estimate maybe 20 minutes more of plot you need to do.#you need to stop fucking TEASING and show fi. acknowledge her at the very least.#and you need to man up and prove you arent just open world ocarina of time with aliens#totk spoilers#mb plays a game#sorry. sorry. this is the first zelda game i got to experience unspoiled and im just upset that they didnt even try that hard
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Just hit 30k on It’s In The Cards 🎉
#it’s in the cards#for reference this will be a pretty short draft#probably in the 60k range#the finished product I’m estimating will be between 68 and 72k#which is weirdly where all of my WIPs end up#anyway woo!
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i don’t want to be pedantic, but all they had to do was omit two choice words from this and i probably would have been fine with it:
#they HAD to add the 'younger even'...for what#the your age is vague enough while not technically correct that i could accept it but man this is just my bugbear#it frustrates me MORE for having been so close to perfect in my estimation if that makes sense#the thing is that if they wanted to refer also to a 'younger even' then they needed to make reference to something she endured when she WAS#younger even#she was the same age as elizabeth is here when she was separated from her mother#(but they can't really do that one bcus elizabeth was two when she lost hers; far more violently)#(like there was shame and stigma for mary tied into her repudiation and the separation from her mother but it wasn't the same)#or she could reference her time in wales bcus one interpretation is that that was 'vindictive' on henry's part to separate her from her#mother at such a tender age . or maybe the existence of henry fitzroy?#idk . but to reference younger you have to...reference younger. if that makes sense#the thing is really that nothing is going to be comparable to elizabeth being interrogated into a confession and her servants under arrest#except mary being interrogated into a confession in the same#which she DOES reference but is not at 'younger'#BE commentary
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Finished off 2-ish hours of playing stardew and I FINALLY have the silo I now need a coop some chickens a cornfield and some more lights
#I mean I could also try getting some pigs or cows#but rn I am focused on chickens#I'm gonna name one of them Jimmy#<- iykyk#looking for clay took forever btw#I'm almost at the end of summer for a point of reference#viv.txt#Yesyes I should get the greenhouse but consider I probably can't finish that bundle until maybe summer next year as a rough estimate
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[image ID: a screenshot of a discord chat with username “wenge (when-gay)’ carrying out a one-sided conversation expressing her reluctance and fears regarding driving at 1:08 a.m. the other person in the conversation’s responses are not shown]
#when your boy politely suggests you move to the next difficulty level in driving#we were both speaking but i was typing my answers because i dont have my voice right now#i think in order he said 'you need to learn to drive faster' & when i asked how fast he said first 25 (wont kill me) then 40 (will kill me)#he then said we move from 40 to 65 to which i hit him with 50 50 50 what happened to 50#the keysmash happened when he told me to drive to his house#in other words you can see the moment my brain short circuited#i normally feel bad sharing text conversations but i dont feel bad here because its only my responses#the only one being blasted is myself for being a cant drive gay#i get that there arent many 30 zones but 25 to 40 is a lot okay#i went on a 40 road exactly once and it ended quite terribly. scared the driving instructor#why do highways have to exist why do highways have to be 60+ zones why me just why#i said merging because i thought that would be the next difficult skills to tackle and he was like um no#and hit me with the 'you need to learn to make turns at more than 2mph before you worry about merging lanes neo'#25 to 40 is a lot and im not even on 25s yet i am still in 10mph zones. i have to graduate up to 25 still#we started on 25s and he was like hmmmmmmmm maybe i over estimated you lets go to the 10s#like a disappointed teacher discovering the kid who bragged about ice skating actually cant ice skate at all#i cant drive i cant dance i dont know karate.... face it... im never gonna make it#neo rants#photo post#i know i need to drive and not hide behind mcr references but i just really dont like driving#i will get there slowly but surely but that doesnt mean i cant whine and cry about it on the way there#like sailor moon intended#also i took 3d6 psychic damage because after all the fighting about the plans for the car he suggested my own original idea to me#my idea was to leave the car with my mom and now hes presenting this idea the very first idea i suggested as if he came up with it#i cant live in this society
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Got the start of scene 4 written. Hopefully gonna be getting to the rest of it later, tho I unfortunately have work now 😔 and then an assignment to do 😔😔😔
I've got 11.6k words written tho, 4.6k of them ideally going towards the chapter 42 anniversary chapter. Which would mean about 7k words done for chapter 41...
Making progress. I really do think I can get this done (hopefully...)
#speculation nation#discacc shit#with scene 3 done and 4 well underway#im probably gonna be able to finish scene 4 in the next one or two sessions of serious writing#which i will hopefully be able to achieve without too much difficulty. given how much ive thought about this scene.#scene 1 is also well underway. really only one more major point i need to hit for it. but i need some external assistance to do so#aka. reference videos lol. so im not doing that yet.#scene 2 needs to be done before scene 5. so i'll do that one after. & i have no idea how much of a word cruncher it's gonna be lmao#scene 5 shouldnt be too hard. i just need the basis for it established in scene 2.#soooo... hmmm. hard to give an estimate still but im HOPING i can finish writing for chapter 41 in like a week or so#if i do that then i'll have plenty of time to finish up the rest of chapter 42 and post it on the discacc anniversary#i just need to stop spending so much time playing persona 5 in my free time. lmfao
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NieR timeline, based on Yonah’s diary entries
3463 AD
December 6 - NieR, 15, brings a chick home for Yonah, 6. She starts coughing up black blood from the Black Scrawl
3464 AD
June 6 - Hap borth NieR, now 16
3465 AD
January 4 - Yonah goes to look for “a flower” and ends up “causing trouble.” Presumably when she goes to the Lost Shrine
April 5 - NieR writes from Sea Front
April 14 - NieR writes from a city where “people talk with special words”
June 6 - NieR turns 17, hap borth
July 20 - NieR says he is now friends with the King of Facade. Despite his visit there being in April. Maybe he didn’t consider them friends until going back for side quests
August 1 - NieR sends Yonah a letter describing the Aerie, because for some reason he never described it after visiting twice??
November 22 - NieR tells Yonah about the arguing red bag couple
3466 AD
February 14 - Yonah gets a letter from Emil talking about NieR. So this is probably one of if not the last entry before she gets taken
Things of note to me:
1. The first half of the game takes place over a year. I know the game wants to give you a sense of flow and that it was probably much longer than it seemed, but I didn’t expect ~14 months.
2. At the beginning, the only thing NieR does between the Lost Shrine and Sea Front is the first visit to the Aerie. Which means for his first three months with Weiss, they did... basically nothing. Just side quests. Great period for domestic fic. Then, over a period of nine days, he went to Sea Front for the shaman fish, went to the Junk Heap to improve his weapon, went to the Aerie and got Kainé, and then made it to Facade. (Alternatively, that April 5 date is actually for the year before during “The Red and The Black”, which does fit into the time frame he would have been going to Sea Front, but I have doubts that he was writing letters in that time. If it is the year before, then the events from Sea Front to Facade can be much more nicely spread out. I suppose it’s also possible that the April 5 date is during a side quest and Yonah just felt like writing about the ocean that time.)
3. After the first visit to Facade is another long dead period. Assuming he tells Yonah about the red bag couple right after meeting them, the only major thing that happens in the months between April and November is the trip to the Forest of Myth. I’m starting to understand why Weiss keeps griping about the lack of focus.
4. Almost three months from when he tells Yonah about the arguing couple to her entry in February, with only the trip to Emil’s mansion of note. In this time, Yonah has become pen pals with not just Sebastian, but Emil too. The Shadowlord’s rampage was not immediately after the collection of the last Sealed Verse as the game implies. a) I see even better why he lost patience if D&P had a charged up Grimoire Weiss and then just sat on it for weeks. b) I see time for slumber parties with Emil (let me dreaaam).
Obviously there’s some plotholes and things not lining up, but that’s been a known thing. In “The Red and the Black”, Yonah gets the Black Scrawl diagnosis, but in the game she has had symptoms for about a month and doesn’t get the diagnosis until after the Lost Shrine and it seems to be a surprise to NieR.
Whatever, I have an approximate timeline, I’m happy.
#nier#nier replicant#yonah had the scrawl for so friggin long#to my best estimate this also means he had about seven months training#between when he got his sword and got weiss#which makes me feel a little better about why he's so much more powerful#than literally everyone in his village#a few months isn't enough time but i'll buy it over the few weeks i thought it was#nier reference#ami speaks
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is the tonga volcano the biggest one in history?
I’m going to assume that your question is in respect to eruptions in recorded human history (the 2022 eruption of Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai is just a very small blip in the grand scale of Earth’s explosive volcanic history). But in short no, this eruption seems to be on a scale similar to the 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines. Pinatubo’s 1991 eruption is categorized as a VEI 6 and some of the early estimates for Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai are putting it at around a VEI of 5, but this is only an estimate and it’s likely we won’t know true VEI value until a thorough investigation. Though, we do know the initial ash plume rose to 20 km in height and spread up to 260 km in diameter before wind distortions. The area is currently still active, and it is not safe for scientists to be there. Early satellite images show the island (which was formally two smaller islands finally joined together in 2015 by successive eruptions) is pretty much gone.
But back to the VEI for the non-geologists real quick. The VEI is the Volcanic Explosivity Index used by the USGS and relates the volume of products erupted (ash, gasses, pyroclastics, lava), plume height, and some qualitative observations (recordings, satellite imagery, even paintings before modern technology) to assign a number from 0 to 8, whereby the values are logarithmic (like the Richter or Moment Magnitude scale for earthquakes). As a reference, a VEI 0 eruption would be Kīlauea in Hawaii, Mount Saint Helens’ 1980 lateral blast was a VEI 5, whereas a VEI of 8 is a ‘supervolcanic’ eruption like those responsible for the Toba catastrophe (74 ka) and the formation of the Yellowstone caldera (630 ka).
All this isn’t to say the January 15th eruption Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai isn’t large or severe. The explosion could be heard as far away as Alaska (10,000 km away), the pressure wave circled the Earth twice, and triggered tsunami watches and warnings around the Pacific Ocean. A tsunami caused by the pressure wave was even recorded in the Caribbean. But none of these features are unique to this particular eruption, though, and are common when volcanoes (both submarine and those on well-developed islands) erupt, especially those associated with subduction zones around the Ring of Fire. For example, the 1883 eruption of Krakatoa (VEI 6) remains the loudest sound in recorded history and caused tsunamis of up to 46 m that reached as far as South Africa and devastated many island communities.
What will be interesting, in my opinion, is to watch the longer-term climatic effects of this eruption unfold. The 1991 Pinatubo eruption released enough ash and gas to lower Northern Hemisphere temperatures by 0.5–0.6 °C. When Tambora erupted in 1815 (VEI 7) it triggered what is known as “The Year Without Summer” in 1816 (average global temperatures decreased by 0.4 to 0.7 °C). And as we can already see, a good amount of sulfur dioxide gas (the main phase responsible for temperature reductions in previous eruptions) has already been released.
It should be noted that this eruption is the largest we currently have recorded on satellite and thus far is the largest of the 21st century. One reason for the spectacular satellite imagery is Hunga Tonga and Hunga Haʻapai have been the focus of recent study as it represents one of the most complete snapshots of island-building processes (NASA has used the islands as a model for volcanic morphology on Mars too) and now it seems we watch the rebirth and joining of these islands once again over time.
While eruptions like this are always a fascinating and exciting time for geologists, it’s important to recognize the impacts these events have on people. At the time of my writing this response, communications with the people of Tonga are severely limited and may not be intact for another two weeks. We still do not know the real impact of the eruption and the resultant tsunami, but satellite images paint a bleak picture. Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai is still releasing gas and ash and will likely continue to do so for the coming weeks. The ash, which can remain suspended in the air for weeks, is still a threat; and acid rain from sulfur dioxide emissions threatens freshwater supplies and food sources. In the coming days, hopefully, we will learn more about the situation on Tonga and surrounding islands, and learn how to provide sufficient relief after such a devastating eruption.
#sierra replies#i didn't link the image but someone superimposed the eruption on a map of Europe and it is almost the size of France#which if estimates of a VEI 5 or 6 are correct#its almost impossible to really comprehend the scale of a supervolcano eruption#volcanoes#geology#volcanic eruption#Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai#Tonga#volcanology#science#the VEI is also kinda debated on if its really useful#or if it uses the right paramters#but i find its a good reference for comparing eruptions and there really isn't a better scale yet soooo
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Testing on Beta and knowing that prepatch for this expansion is less than 2 weeks away is FRIGHTENING like so much stuff is busted.I’ll randomly not be able to use abilities unless i reload the game in the middle of a boss fight. Normal raid testing finally opened and so much is bugged in it. classes are still wildly out of balance, some specs got ghosted by their dev, we’re already being told to wait until the next patch for classes to get fixed....
and to not be a full on doomer: I’ve done zero story/leveling content. I’ve not even stepped into the new zones besides a few dungeons + raid. For all I know the story and zones could be CRUSHING it the same way Shadowlands made me absolutely fall in love with it in 9.0... just so much other basic stuff feels busted and unfinished, I genuinely worry they’re not actually listening to the players and just doing the same old blizzard things
#for reference I got into shadowlands beta on probably the last possible invite#which is to say it was as close to prepatch as this beta cycle I would estimate...#the game felt like a game ready for launch
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fuck it i post random studies here now
#did NOT have enough reference images for this unfort it's so weird finding pictures of a body at this angle let along a plus size one#*alone#had to estimate some of th e shoulder#i need all my social media accounts to be as incomprehensible and unconsumable as possible#not that my tuimblr was comprehensible in the first place
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Obviously, Mercymorn is kinda rude for constantly being condescending to Harrow about her age, but in her defense:
Mercy is ten thousand years old.
When she meets Harrow, Harrow is 17.
17 is 0.17% of 10,000.
Now, let's assume that the average lifespan for a human being is eighty years old.
0.17% of 80 is 0.136.
0.136.
Not even a full year. That's about 49 days. In Mercymorn's eyes, Harrow is 49 days old.
So, yeah. I guess I get it.
#her estimates are actually remarkably kind#kinda flattering to refer to this 49 day old as 12#my math may be incorrect it's 2am#gideon the ninth#harrow the ninth#the locked tomb#harrowhark nonagesimus#tamsyn muir#harrow#harrow the ninth spoilers#gideon the ninth spoilers#locked tomb spoilers#mercymorn
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just pulled an all-nighter for fic planning… when i literally have two assignments i need to do…
#anyway once it’s socially acceptable for me to be out of bed#i’m gonna finish the plot outline#and then i’ll have an estimation on the number of chapters#spoiler alert: it’s gonna be a lot#i’m not kidding. it’s gonna take a long time to finish#but i’m very excited about it#low key wanna talk about it#but also spoilers#well if you want to ask questions about it#my ask box is always open#(it’s mostly a cornley fic#with enough mmni references to make a fair chunk of it pure mmni fic)
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