#iain macleod

[dadsinsuits]

Iain Macleod

[ascension-13]

'...Clara Burgio...'

Ph._____Iain Anthony Macleod

[dejahisashmom]

The Mysterious Fairy Flag of Clan MacLeod and its Legendary Protective Powers | Ancient Origins

https://www.ancient-origins.net/artifacts-other-artifacts/mysterious-fairy-flag-clan-macleod-and-its-legendary-protective-powers-020884

[earthanthem]

(via Pinterest)

Windswept Dunes at Achnahaird Beach, Coigach, Scotland by Iain Macleod

[delicatuscii-wasbella102]

Achnahaired beach, Coigach, Scotland by Iain Macleod

[thelovetheystole]

Well, what do we say to this?! Is it finally happening? Two out of three gone?

[isabellaofparma]

iain macleod if you ruin another soap experience for me i swear to god your soul will not know peace in the afterlife

[georgefairbrother]

On May 17th, 1955, during what was described as a generally lacklustre and even boring general election campaign, ‘the lull before the lull’, Prime Minister Anthony Eden did something dramatic and revolutionary…He went on the telly.

The BBC reported;

"…The Prime Minister, Sir Anthony Eden, has hosted a ground-breaking half-hour television election programme for the Conservative Party, pitting government ministers against newspaper editors in the first broadcast of its kind. Sir Anthony was flanked by four ministers; the Chancellor, Rab Butler, the Foreign Secretary, Harold Macmillan, the Health Minister, Iain Macleod, and the Minister of Labour, Sir Walter Monckton. Facing them were the editors of 10 major national newspapers, armed with questions said to reflect the concerns of the country…"

In a stark indication of how the tone of political debate has since changed, the BBC reported on a ‘challenging’ line of questioning from the editor of The Daily Mirror, Hugh Cudlipp;

"…At one point, he asked the Prime Minister to respond to what he called the common impression that Sir Anthony was ‘less well versed in home than in foreign affairs’. Sir Anthony, with a smile, admitted that it was 'a perfectly fair criticism’, but reminded Mr Cudlipp that his post as Foreign Secretary had led him to sit in Cabinet for 20 years - and the Cabinet, he said, dealt with domestic as well as foreign affairs. Indeed, he added, he had contributed 'more than somewhat’ on domestic affairs…"

Following the televised campaign in 1955, which reached one third of the population, the Conservatives increased their majority from 17 in 1951, to 60, with their manifesto slogan, 'United for Peace and Progress’.

In another indication that politics was slightly different in those days, Eden said this in the House of Commons;

"...The Rt Hon Gentleman, the Leader of the Opposition, and others have been kind in their welcome to me...I can only say to the Rt Hon Gentleman and to the Father of the House, too, that I have been deeply touched by what has been said this afternoon and that, for my part, I will do all I can to serve our country..."

But as much as television might have boosted Eden’s political fortunes in 1955, it helped to drive his demise less than two years later.

"…By the time of the Suez crisis, in 1956, a new line of confrontational questioning by television interviewers such as Robin Day meant Sir Anthony no longer had the freedom of the airwaves to say what he wished unchallenged. As the crisis turned against him, he withdrew from the cameras, appearing just twice in four months. After his resignation in 1957, he said he was convinced that television had contributed to his downfall…"

[litcityblues]

'Revelation Space' --A Review

I can't remember why I picked this one off the shelf in Foyles when we were visiting the UK back in April. I think I was looking for Iain M. Banks or possibly Ken Macleod-- trying to scratch that British SF Author itch in London seemed the appropriate thing to do at the time. Failing to find either of those authors, I went ahead and selected this one- having heard of Reynolds before, but never actually having read any of his work.

Turns out, I made a really, really good choice.

Set in the year 2551, the first half to two-thirds of the book is centered around three plot strands that gradually merge. The first centers around Dan Sylveste who is an archaeologist excavating the remains of a long-dead alien race, the Amarantin on a planet in the Delta Pavonis system that they call Resurgam. Sylveste is obsessed-- for, nearly a million years before, something destroyed the Amarantin and he has dedicated his life to finding out just what happened to them and caused their destruction Unfortunately, he doesn't much care about people getting in the way of his obsession-- there was a mutiny on the colony and some split to head back to the planet Yellowstone some decades earlier and now it appears Sylveste is on the wrong end of another mutiny and he's taken captive.

The next strand centers on the starship Nostalgia for Infinity (great name!)-- and its crew. Ilya Volyova is searching for a cure for their captain, Brannigan who has been infected with a Melding Plague that attacks human cells and machine implants and twists them into unstable combinations. Right away, you realize that this isn't the Starship Enterprise we're talking about here. The Captain is barely human anymore and has to be gradually warmed so they can communicate. The rest of the crew is in reefer/cryo sleep as they travel the distances between the stars and Volyova needs a new gunner because her current gunner Boris Nagorney has been driven insane by something-- she isn't sure she wants to know what- and she's forced to kill him. The Nostalgia for Infinity feels like a massive, deserted ship, with long, dark corridors and twists and turns and all kinds of surprises to be found-- lots of Nostromo from Alien and Event Horizon vibes with this one.

The final strand centers on the assassin Ana Khouri, who lives on the planet Yellowstone (in Epsilon Eridani) and is hired by a mysterious figure known as the Mademoiselle to assassinate Sylveste. With the assistance of the Mademoiselle, Khouri joins the crew of the Nostalgia for Infinity as the new gunner and they depart Yellowstone to head back to Resurgam to find Sylveste.

(Should be noted: I've never read Altered Carbon books, but I've seen the Netflix series and there are similar vibes here. No warp drive or fancy interstellar travel, so they deal with the effects of time dilation and years pass between point A and point B-- which again, strikes me as very real, very ground in the hardest of sci-fi interstellar travel and the effects it has on people. That aspect of this is really well done, to me.)

Once back at Resurgam, the crew's mission becomes clear. They want to find Sylveste so he can cure the Captain- and eventually, after threatening the colony below, they get him delivered to the ship. Sylveste has other ideas, however: he threatens to trigger the antimatter bombs hidden inside his artificial eyes that could destroy the ship and render him unable to aid the Captain. He wants to go to Cerberus, a nearby planet orbiting a neutron star that he believes holds the answers to the questions has sought for his whole life. Sylveste gets the answers he was seeking: Cerberus is actually a massive beacon, aimed at alerting machine sentience to the emergence of new space-faring cultures so they can be destroyed. That sentience is what destroyed the Amarantin and as the book ends, the characters all think they have done enough to avoid awakening it once more.

Overall: The hardest of science fiction, there is a lot to recommend about this book. First of all, it's incredibly well-written. The crew of the Nostalgia for Infinity isn't one you will forget anytime soon-- the ending, which goes into full-on cosmic/Dave Bowman/Star Child territory is the perfect climax to this big, meaty book. I love that this future is complicated. It's not shiny and pretty and easy-- technology comes with costs to human biology in this world. It's a struggle out there in the cold dark, but people are doing it anyway. I hate getting sucked into trilogies I wasn't planning on reading, but this one has its hooks in me well and good, so I guess it's onto the next two! My Grade: **** out of ****

[bcacstuff]

Sam's 92Y Waypoints event is now on YouTube. He mentions he was keen on the Steiner school because there were pretty girls there and also names an ex girlfriend - Elsbeth. I wonder how the gay crew will spin this one 🤔

Meh... bit cheap if you ask me to go there... but yes, at least he said girls, not persons or anything that leaves voids to fill with rumours. He also mentioned he wanted to get 'his own narrative' out there. (yes as there are so many). Anyway, I haven't seen anything in the last about 2 years that was convincing to me he's gay. But I also say, someone's sexuality is none of anyone's business unless that someone wants to make it your business. There are many colours in the rainbow, and many shades of grey. So there's that...

He did mention her and said the picture was in his book. I believe she's the actress Elspeth Brodie born in 1982 in Edinburgh, she was in the production The Pearlfisher with Sam in 2007. He talked about his experience in theater.

Here's a review of the play

[scotianostra]

Tragedy struck when the naval yacht Iolaire struck a reef on approaching Stornoway Harbour in the early hours of New Years Day 1919.

It has been described as the blackest day in the history of the Western Isles when more than 200 servicemen returning from the First World War died as their ship went down in sight of Stornoway harbour. Despite being Britain’s worst maritime disaster since the Titanic, the loss of the Iolaire remains little known beyond the isles.

The disaster occurred at 1.55am on 1st January 1919, when 205 Lewis and Harris men drowned as the HMY Iolaire sank in heavy seas. They had survived the war and were returning home for the New Year celebrations when the ship struck the rocks at Holm, 20 yards from the shore.

A report in the Stornoway Gazette recorded the impact of the tragedy:

No one now alive in Lewis can ever forget the 1st January 1919, and future generations will speak of it as the blackest day in the history of the island, for on it 200 of our bravest and best perished on the very threshold of their homes under the most tragic circumstances.  The terrible disaster at Holm on New Year’s morning has plunged every house and every heart in Lewis into grief unutterable.  Language cannot express the anguish, the desolation, the despair which this awful catastrophe has inflicted.  One thinks of the wide circle of blood relations affected by the loss of even one of the gallant lads, and imagination sees those circles multiplied by the number of the dead, overlapping and overlapping each other till the whole island – every hearth and home it is shrouded in deepest gloom.

Messages of sympathy were received from far and wide, including from the King and Queen and from Lord Leverhulme, who had purchased the island of Lewis the previous year. He also led calls for a disaster fund to be set up and fund raising events were initiated.   The Cinematograph Exhibitors’ Associations of Edinburgh and Glasgow arranged to take collections in all picture houses under their control for a week. A fundraising concert was arranged in the Usher Hall in Edinburgh on 14 February 1919, at which Scott Skinner, the acclaimed  fiddler and composer and many others performed.

A naval inquiry held at the time was not made public until 1970. It had concluded that no blame could be attributed to anybody as the ship’s log had been lost and all of the officers had perished.

The subject of my previous post, Iain Crichton Smith’s penned a poignant poem The Iolaire, about the tragedy, Peter May touched upon the tragedy in hius novel, The Chessmen, part of the Lewis Trilogy.

No other area of the country saw such a high percentage of its young, male, fight and die in the war.

Local man John Finlay Macleod’s actions were crucial in saving 40 lives. Macleod saw the crash from the shore, grabbed a rope, and jumped in the water to set up a rescue line. The other 39 survivors either swam to shore or were rescued from the wreck, meaning that the rescue line was responsible for more than half of the rescues that night.

The pics are of the memorials to this tragedy, the original obelisk dates to 1960 and is joined by a nearby cairn. For the centenary of the sinking, the Outer Hebridean arts institution An Lanntair commissioned a group of artists including Arthur Watson, Marian Levan, and Will Maclean to create an additional sculpture to be incorporated into the memorial. Recognizing John Finlay Macleod, the bronze showcases a coiled rope and was unveiled by Prince Charles in January 2019.

[blairstales]

Last Names With Fairy Lore

There are many clans and last names with fairylore, and when I come across them in my research, I try to remember to write them down. The list below are all the names that I have found so far.

Macphee, MacFee, MacFie, MacPhie

According to legend, Macphee, MacFee, MacFie, and MacPhie all came from the name Mac Dhubhshith (dubh-sith), which means “black fairy.”

“A family in North Uist is known as ‘Dubh-sith,’ Black fairy, from a tradition that the family have been familiar with the fairies in their fairy flights and secret migrations.” Carmina Gadelica, Volume 2, by Alexander Carmicheal, [1900],

Munroe’s

Vougha is another name for Kelpies, which a family of Munroe’s are said to come from.

“And it is said that a family of Munroes had, many generations ago, married with the Vougha of Beann na Caltuinn, Their descendants had manes and tails till within the last four generations.” Popular tales of the West Highlands

Pellings

“Pellings” supposedly came from the name “Penelop,” which is a fairy that that is in their bloodline.

 “There are several persons and even families who are reputed to be descended from these people …. These children [Penelope’s] and their descendants, they say, were called Pellings, a word corrupted from their mother’s name, Penelope. The late Thomas Rowlands, Esq., of Caerau, in Anglesey, the father of the late Lady Bulkeley, was a descendant of this lady, if it be true that the name Pellings came from her; and there are still living several opulent and respectable people who are known to have sprung from the Pellings. The best blood in my own veins is this fairy’s.’” Celtic Folklore: Welsh and Manx (Volume 1 of 2) by Sir John Rhys (1901)

Macpherson

The black chanter of Clan Chattan was supposedly gifted to a Macpherson by a fairy admirer. Read more about it here.

‘Feadan dubh Chlanna Chatain,’ the black chanter of the Clan Chattan, is said to have been given to a famous Macpherson piper by a fairy woman who loved him." Carmina Gadelica, Volume 2, by Alexander Carmicheal, [1900]

 Mackay

A Mackay was also given something from a fairy sweetheart; though this time it was a flag. Sadly, I can’t find any further information about this flag.

"The Mackays have a flag said to have been given to a Mackay by a fairy sweetheart." Carmina Gadelica, Volume 2, by Alexander Carmicheal, [1900],

Macleod

The Macleods claim two fairy items, the fairy flag in Dunvegan, and a chanter called “The Silver Chanter of the Fairy Woman.” There is an audio recording from 1969 that mentions the fairy flag here. This is an item you can still go see at Dunvegan Castle.

"The famous fairy flag at Dunvegan is said to have been given to a Macleod of Macleod by a fairy woman. The Mac-Crimmons of Bororaig, the famous pipers of the Macleods of Macleod, had a chanter called ‘Sionnsair airgid na mna sithe,’ the silver chanter of the fairy woman." Carmina Gadelica, Volume 2, by Alexander Carmicheal, [1900],

MacCrimmon

John MacCrimmon was given a chanter by a fairy sweetheart. There is also an audio recording about this from 1954 here, though it is not in English.

"As ‘Iain Og,’ young John MacCrimmon, was practising in ‘Slochd nam piobairean,’ hollow of the pipers, at Bororaig, the lovely fair Thy beauty and the music of thy pipe, Have brought a fairy sweetheart to thee, I hand thee now the silver chanter, That will be melodious ever under thy fingers. The story of young John and his fairy sweetheart is very fine and highly poetic." Carmina Gadelica, Volume 2, by Alexander Carmicheal, [1900],

MacNamara, O’Sullivan, O’Flaherty, MacKerra, Gossocks, McVeaghs.

O’Flaherty and O’Sullivan families of Kerry, MacNamaras of Clare are all said to be the offspring of mermaids.

"So, too, did the O’Flaherty and O’Sullivan families of Kerry and the MacNamaras of ClareStrange and Secret Peoples: Fairies and Victorian Consciousness" By Carole G. Silver  (2000)

"A MacKerra of MacGhirston, in Galloway, married a merman; another Galloway family, the Gossocks, and a family in Sutherland, the McVeaghs, are held to be the descendants of a mermaid and a fisherman" Sea enchantress; the tale of the mermaid and her kin by Benwell, Gwen (1961)

MacCodrum

The entire MacCodrum clan of the Outer Hebrides claim to be descendants of a selkie bride.

"…while the entire MacCodrum clan of the Outer Hebrides, known as “The MacCodrums of the Seals.” claimed to be the offspring of a union between a selkie and a fisherman. In this case, the sign of preternatural parentage was not delicate beauty but an hereditary horny growth between the fingers that made MacCodrum hands resemble flippers." Strange and Secret Peoples: Fairies and Victorian Consciousness By Carole G. Silver  (2000)

There is also a MacCodrum who saw a ghost (audio recording from 1966 here)

Urqhart

A family of Urqharts are also descendants of selkies.

"...the Folk-Lore Society, in 1895, studied magic lantern slides taken of Baubi Urqhart of the Shetland Islands. On the basis of family stories and a seallike appearance, Baubi claimed to be the great-great-granddaughter of a selkie captured by her ancestor." Strange and Secret Peoples: Fairies and Victorian Consciousness By Carole G. Silver  (2000)

Mor

The Mor’s can never be drown thanks to a promise made with a mermaid

"They acquired this immunity through the foresight of their father, James Mor, who in 1883 was still living to tell the tale’. He found a mermaid’s belt, and withheld it until she promised that none of his family should ever be drowned." Sea enchantress; the tale of the mermaid and her kin by Benwell, Gwen (1961)

As well as that, a Dòmhnall Mòr was constantly lifted by the fairies

“The fairy host used to lift Dòmhnall Mòr. He would have to leave the cèilidh house every night. He went to Canada, but found them waiting for him there. He never got away from them.” Audio Recording Link

MacVurichs

MacVurichs of Uist have something to do with the supernatural, but the recording is in gaelic and I can’t understand it.

 MacArthur

According to this recording from 1969 there is a certain place that no MacArthur should pass by. Why? Well, according to the story, Neil MacArthur was on his way home when he saw a woman he thought he knew. He put his arms around her, only to realize she had no nostrils (a washerwoman description). He was compelled by her magic to meet with her over six months, and would have died on his last visit, but his mother-in-law placed protective charms on him.

"The woman put a curse on Neil’s descendants. She said that evil would happen to them if they passed a certain place after sunset. The contributor says that the MacArthurs heed this warning to the present day [1969]" AN ENCOUNTER WITH A FAIRY WASHERWOMAN

Laings

The Laings are supernaturally good workers because one of their ansestors was trapped in a fairy mound. While there, she was forced to bake until a fairy helped her escape. She left with the new ability.

There is an audio recording from 1978 here.

Widwick

After helping deliver a baby she did not at the time know was a fairy, a midwife in Yell named Merran Widwick accidently got fairy oinment in her eye (giving her the ability of second sight) and was blinded in that eye. Audio recording here, and another here.

Merran Windwick, only recently deceased [in 1972], was a great midwife and healer who lived in a remote area of North Yell near high banks [cliffs]. One night she returned home late and was sitting down to her supper when there was a tap at the door. Her sickly daughter answered it to a strange man. Merran cursed the people who were annoying her so late, but the man said that he lived not far from her and persuaded her to come to help his wife, who was having a child. He took her to the clifftop and made the stone rise to reveal a staircase. She went into the fairy dwelling and delivered the child. The fairy had no money to pay her, but instead offered her long life or knowledge beyond all understanding. She chose knowledge and from then on knew everything that was to pass. Years later she went to a roup [public auction] to sell a cow and saw the stranger again. He asked her which eye she saw him with. She told him and he blew in the eye; she lost her sight in that eye. link

 Coutts

The grandfather of Maalie Coutts lived in Mid Yell found a fairy child (of a trow) and took it home, but had to release it when it threatened to blow down the house with wind.

Link to audio recording here.

Harker

Henry Harker obtained an endless fairy ointment, but the magic failed when money was charged for it.

Audio recording link here.

Sgrob

The fairy host used to lift Niall Sgrob and they once asked him to kill a girl.

They used to take Niall Sgrob from Barra with them. He would get a feeling when they were coming and he had to go with them. One night a girl was milking at a house which Niall often visited. The cow she was milking dropped dead. The next night Niall Sgrob said he had killed the cow. The fairy host had asked him to kill the girl with a fairy needle. He killed the cow instead. The host saw the blood and thought the girl was dead. He told them they should always shut the door when milking. link

Buidhe

A Buidhe went into a fairy hill, and was trapped there for seven years until another human rescued him.

"Greusaiche Buidhe went to get whisky for a wedding and went into a fairy hill. He was there for seven years, until another man rescued him. He thought he had only been there a short while." link

That’s it! Did you spy your name or clan on there? Sadly, I am part of the “has no fairylore” club haha.

Divider made by elfdior

[useless-englandfacts]

let's go lizzie let's go! away. far away. now.

well we've gotten rid of kwasi kwarteng so... she's next

funny that he's now the second shortest serving chancellor after iain macleod who only stopped being chancellor because he literally died

[celticbarb]

Book: Keeper of the Hearth

Author: Laura Strickland

Series: The Three sisters, MacBeath, Book #2

Publisher: Dragonblade

Book Length: 308 pages

Overall Rating: 5/5 Stars

Blog Rating: 5/5 Saltire Flags

Scotland, 1620

This book centers on the middle sister Rhian MacBeath who has been the keeper of her mothers hearth since her mothers death and is also the lead healer of the MacBeith clan. She is also the daughter whose father was the former beloved chieftain Iain MacBeith, who was slain by a MacLeod warrior as was her elder brother Arrran was before him. This all happened after the previous Camraith MacLeod clan chief died, but his greedy son Rory was obsessed with taking all of the MacBeith’s lands and holdings.

Rory MacLeod thought it would be an easy claim with thinking they were a weak small clan Except he was mistaken, Rory has been losing the last couple of battles with the eldest and their fey youngest sister with supernatural abilities. These women are also warriors who fight alongside all the MacBeith warriors in the battlefields. Plus the fact that the clan’s lead healer Rhian MacBeith, has saved Leith MacLeod’s life who at first thinks she is his merciful angel.

However even when Leith realizes Rhian is a very special and beautiful woman he immediately starts to fall in love with this MacBeith healer. Leith’s heart has never been in the battle. He would rather enjoy life with laughter and love than killing people for a parcel of land if he was to be honest, He is an enemy of Rhian’s clan and cousin of their chieftain Rory MacLeod. Rory already feels betrayed by his best friend Farlan who is now an outcast of the MacLeod clan. Will Rory be able to deal with another betrayal this time with one who is related to him?

Chieftain Rory MacLeod is absolutely enraged and now more determined than ever to take over all of Glen Bronach including the MacBeith lands and holdings! Furthermore it has become personal, and he is still raging over the fact that his best friend has betrayed him choosing his enemy the MacBeith woman over his loyalty to him and his clan! Now the MacBeiths have his cousin Leith MacLeod sitting in their prison.

Rory now fears he just might lose another member of his brotherhood as Leith, Farlan and Rory were like brothers and the best of friends since childhood. Rory has no idea that Rhian has been keeping his cousin alive who had saved him not realizing what clan he was from at first. Yet even when she did know she did not yell to her clan warriors to finish him off and soon romantic feelings are starting to develop between the two from enemy clans. As another enemy to lovers story continues in the second installment of The Three Sisters MacBeith series.

Laura Strickland is a writer I have been reading for many years and she never disappoints. I am always swept into her intriguing plot twists with her swoon worthy heroes and feisty heroines, that always have me gasping for air not knowing what is going to happen next. I have absolutely loved this series so very much. A series readers do not want to miss. You can read any book as a stand alone but I highly recommend the entire series.

The Three Sisters, MacBeith

Keeper of the Gate

Keeper of the Hearth

Keeper of the Light

Disclaimer: I received a complimentary copy and an advance reader copy from Dragonblade publishers. I voluntarily agreed to do a fair review and blog through netgalley. All thoughts, ideas and words are my own.

Buy Link:

https://www.amazon.com/Keeper-Hearth-Three-Sisters-MacBeith-ebook/dp/B0CP6Z6HQ9

https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/keeper-of-the-heart-laura-strickland/1144512756?ean=9781961275881

[tradermeximas]

A estagflação ocorre quando uma economia enfrenta altas taxas de desemprego, estagnação ou crescimento negativo (recessão) e aumento de preços (inflação). Existem estratégias para combater a recessão e a inflação individualmente, mas como esses são efeitos conflitantes, a combinação de ambos torna a estagflação desafiadora de controlar. O Que é Estagflação? A estagflação é um conceito macroeconômico mencionado pela primeira vez em 1965 por Iain Macleod, um político britânico e Chanceler do Tesouro. O nome é uma combinação de estagnação e inflação, descrevendo uma economia que experimenta crescimento econômico mínimo ou negativo e alto desemprego, combinado com o aumento dos preços ao consumidor (inflação). Os controles econômicos típicos usados para combater cada condição individualmente podem piorar a outra, tornando a estagflação difícil para um governo ou banco central lidar. Normalmente, altos níveis de emprego e crescimento se correlacionam positivamente com a inflação, mas não é o caso da estagflação. O crescimento econômico é frequentemente medido pelo produto interno bruto (PIB) de uma nação, que está diretamente relacionado às taxas de emprego. Quando o PIB não está se saindo bem e a inflação está aumentando, a estagflação severa pode levar a uma crise financeira mais ampla. Estagflação vs. Inflação A estagflação, como vimos, é a combinação de inflação e estagnação econômica ou crescimento negativo. Enquanto a inflação pode ser definida de diferentes maneiras, muitas vezes se refere a um aumento nos preços de bens e serviços. Também podemos descrever a inflação como uma diminuição do poder de compra de uma moeda. Por que a Estagflação Ocorre? Em resumo, a estagflação ocorre quando o poder de compra do dinheiro diminui ao mesmo tempo em que a economia desacelera e a oferta de bens e serviços diminui. As causas exatas da estagflação variam dependendo do contexto histórico e das diferentes visões econômicas. Existem várias teorias e opiniões que explicam a estagflação de maneira diferente, incluindo os modelos monetaristas, keynesianos e neoclássicos. Vamos ver alguns exemplos. Conflito entre política monetária e fiscal Bancos centrais, como o Federal Reserve dos EUA, gerenciam a oferta de dinheiro para afetar a economia. Esses controles são conhecidos como política monetária. Os governos também afetam diretamente a economia com gastos e políticas fiscais, conhecidas como política fiscal. No entanto, uma combinação conflitante de política fiscal e monetária pode levar à inflação descontrolada e ao lento crescimento econômico. Qualquer combinação de políticas que reduza os gastos do consumidor enquanto aumenta a oferta de dinheiro pode eventualmente levar à estagflação. Por exemplo, um governo pode aumentar os impostos, deixando sua população com menos renda disponível. Ao mesmo tempo, o banco central pode estar envolvido em flexibilização quantitativa ("impressão de dinheiro") ou redução das taxas de juros. A política do governo afetará negativamente o crescimento, enquanto o banco central aumenta a oferta de dinheiro, o que muitas vezes leva à inflação. Introdução da moeda fiduciária Anteriormente, a maioria das principais economias vinculava suas moedas a uma quantidade de ouro. Esse mecanismo era conhecido como o padrão-ouro, mas foi amplamente abandonado após a Segunda Guerra Mundial. A remoção do padrão-ouro e sua substituição por moeda fiduciária removeu qualquer limite para a oferta de dinheiro. Embora isso possa facilitar o trabalho dos bancos centrais no controle da economia, também aumenta o risco de inflação, causando preços mais altos. Aumento nos custos de produção Um aumento acentuado nos custos de produção de bens e serviços também pode causar estagflação. Essa relação é especialmente verdadeira para a energia e é conhecida como choque de oferta. Os consumidores também sofrem com o aumento dos preços de energia, geralmente decorrentes dos preços do petróleo. Se os bens custarem mais para serem produzidos

e os preços subirem, e os consumidores tiverem menos renda disponível devido aos custos relacionados à energia, como aquecimento, transporte e outros, a estagflação é mais provável de ocorrer. Como Combater a Estagflação? Combater a estagflação é alcançado por meio de políticas monetárias e fiscais. No entanto, as políticas exatas adotadas dependem da escola de pensamento econômico. Monetaristas Os monetaristas (economistas que acreditam que controlar a oferta de dinheiro é o fator mais importante) argumentarão que a inflação é o fator mais crucial a ser controlado. Nesse cenário, um monetarista reduziria primeiro a oferta de dinheiro, o que reduz os gastos totais. Isso leva a menos demanda e queda nos preços de bens e serviços. A desvantagem, no entanto, é que essa política não estimula o crescimento. O crescimento teria que ser abordado posteriormente por meio de uma política monetária flexível combinada com política fiscal. Economistas da oferta Outra escola de pensamento é aumentar a oferta na economia, reduzindo os custos e melhorando a eficiência. Controles de preços de energia (se possível), investimentos em eficiência e subsídios à produção ajudarão a reduzir os custos e aumentar a oferta agregada da economia. Isso diminui os preços para os consumidores, estimula a produção econômica e reduz o desemprego. Solução de mercado livre Alguns economistas acreditam que a melhor solução para a estagflação é deixá-la para o mercado livre. Oferta e demanda acabarão por resolver os preços em alta, pois os consumidores não podem se dar ao luxo de comprar bens. Isso levará a uma redução na demanda e menor inflação. O mercado livre também alocará eficientemente a mão de obra e reduzirá o desemprego. No entanto, esse plano pode levar anos ou décadas para funcionar com sucesso, deixando a população em condições de vida desfavoráveis, como Keynes disse uma vez, "no longo prazo, todos estaremos mortos". Como a Estagflação Pode Afetar o Mercado de Criptomoedas? Os efeitos exatos da estagflação nas criptomoedas são difíceis de definir completamente. No entanto, podemos fazer algumas suposições básicas se assumirmos que outras condições de mercado permanecem as mesmas. Crescimento mínimo ou negativo Uma economia que mal cresce ou encolhe leva a níveis de renda estagnados ou mesmo à redução. Nesse caso, os consumidores têm menos dinheiro para investir. Isso pode levar a uma redução na compra de criptomoedas e a um aumento nas vendas, já que os investidores de varejo precisam de acesso ao dinheiro para despesas diárias. O crescimento econômico lento ou negativo também incentiva grandes investidores a reduzir sua exposição a ativos de alto risco, incluindo ações e criptomoedas. Medidas governamentais contra a estagflação Normalmente, um governo tentará controlar a inflação primeiro e depois lidar com o problema de crescimento e desemprego. A inflação pode ser contida pela redução da oferta de dinheiro, sendo um dos métodos o aumento das taxas de juros. Isso reduz a liquidez, pois as pessoas mantêm seu dinheiro nos bancos e tomar empréstimos se torna mais caro. Com o aumento das taxas, investimentos de alto risco e alto retorno são menos atraentes. Portanto, as criptomoedas podem ver uma redução na demanda e nos preços durante os períodos de aumento das taxas de juros e menor oferta de dinheiro. Uma vez que o governo tenha a inflação sob controle, provavelmente desejará estimular o crescimento. Isso é normalmente feito por meio de flexibilização quantitativa e redução da taxa de juros. Nesse cenário, os efeitos nos mercados de criptomoedas provavelmente serão positivos devido ao aumento da oferta de dinheiro. Aumento da inflação Muitos investidores argumentam que o Bitcoin pode ser uma boa proteção contra taxas de inflação em alta. Com uma inflação mais alta e crescente, manter sua riqueza em moeda fiduciária sem ganhar juros reduz seu valor real. Para evitar isso, muitos recorrem ao Bitcoin para preservar seu poder de compra a longo prazo e até obter lucros.

Isso ocorre porque os investidores veem o BTC como uma boa reserva de valor devido à sua emissão e oferta limitadas. Historicamente, essa estratégia de proteção pode ter funcionado bem para investidores que acumularam Bitcoin e outras criptomoedas ao longo dos anos. Especialmente durante ou após períodos de inflação e crescimento econômico. No entanto, usar criptomoedas como proteção contra a inflação pode não funcionar bem em prazos mais curtos, especialmente durante períodos de estagflação. Também vale ressaltar que outros fatores estão em jogo, como a correlação crescente entre criptomoedas e mercados de ações. Estagflação na Crise do Petróleo de 1973 Em 1973, a Organização dos Países Exportadores de Petróleo (OPEP) declarou um embargo de petróleo a um grupo seleto de países. Essa decisão foi uma reação ao apoio a Israel na Guerra do Yom Kippur. Com uma queda dramática no suprimento de petróleo, os preços do petróleo subiram, levando a escassez na cadeia de suprimentos e aumento dos preços ao consumidor. Isso resultou em um aumento significativo na taxa de inflação. Em países como EUA e Reino Unido, os bancos centrais reduziram as taxas de juros para estimular o crescimento em suas economias. Taxas de juros mais baixas tornam mais barato tomar empréstimos e incentivam a despesa em vez de poupança. No entanto, o mecanismo típico para reduzir a inflação é o aumento das taxas de juros e o incentivo aos consumidores a economizar. Com os custos de energia e combustível representando uma grande parte dos gastos do consumidor e a redução das taxas de juros não estimulando o crescimento o suficiente, muitas economias ocidentais experimentaram alta inflação e uma economia estagnada. Conclusão A estagflação apresenta uma situação única para economistas e formuladores de políticas, pois a inflação e o crescimento negativo geralmente não ocorrem juntos. As ferramentas para combater a estagnação frequentemente causam inflação, enquanto estratégias para controlar a inflação podem levar a um crescimento econômico lento ou negativo. Portanto, em tempos de estagflação, vale a pena considerar o contexto macroeconômico e seus múltiplos fatores, como oferta de dinheiro, taxas de juros, oferta e demanda e taxa de emprego.

[thelovetheystole]

Put together a little recap of dates for the Emmerdale producer switch ⬇️

• August 22 2023 - It's announced that Jane Hudson will be stepping down as Executive Producer after first overseeing SSW

• November 6 2023 - The first episode to air that does not list Jane Hudson in the credits

• January 8 2024 - It's announced that Iain MacLeod will become Executive Producer of both Emmerdale and Coronation Street

• March 27 2024 - It's announced that Kate Brooks will be Corrie's new Producer, leaving Laura Shaw as the remaining Producer for Emmerdale, Brooks snd Shaw will both work under MacLeod

• Even though some say Kate Brooks actually left Emmerdale a while ago, as of the April 5 episode, both she and Laura Shaw are still listed as Producers in the credits, while Iain is still not listed

A press event soon would be great, as the 10000th episode is coming up in June (I think) and they always plan some big story for summer anyway. I'm interested to see if certain stories will be changed or dropped all together and if we will be seeing more character exits.