#ipcc

[queercodedangel]

"The essence of capitalism is to turn nature into commodities and commodities into capital. The live green earth is transformed into dead gold bricks, with luxury items for the few and toxic slag heaps for the many. The glittering mansion overlooks a vast sprawl of shanty towns, wherein a desperate, demoralized humanity is kept in line with drugs, television, and armed force."

- Michael Parenti, Against Empire

[klimavaltozas]

De ha a klímaszkepticizmus marginális jelenség, miért jelent veszélyt?

Már a legújabb IPCC-jelentés is úgy kezdi, hogy sem a globális felmelegedés tényével, sem pedig annak antropogén eredetével kapcsolatban nincs kétség. Erről már nem is nagyon beszélünk, a 98 százalékos egyetértés a tudományban teljes konszenzust jelent. Nemrég voltam Amerikában egy tudományos konferencián, ahol természetesen ennek megfelelően meg sem jelent a klímaszkeptikus álláspont. No, de megyek a szálláshelyre az aznapi ülésről este, kinyitom a televíziót, direkt megnézem a Fox-5 Newst, ami egy republikánus Trump-adó, és bejelentik, hogy nincs klímaváltozás, ez csak tévhit, amit valami lobbi terjeszt. Mármost ezt a csatornát több tízmillió ember nézi, s ők nem forgatják az IPCC többezer oldalas jelentéseit. Szóval a tudományon belül ez marginális álláspont, viszont a társadalmon belül egyáltalán nem.

Ez viszont azt is jelenti, hogy a tudomány és a társadalom között távolság van. Ami nem jó, hiszen amit a tudományos közösség megállapított, az valahogy mégsem megy át a köztudatba.

Pedig higgye el, nagyon érthetően és világosan próbáljuk elmagyarázni, de kevés embert érünk el. Hiába tartok sok helyen – egyetemeken, ipari egyesületek ülésein, tudományos konferenciákon, középiskolákban, egyházi közösségekben – előadást, az nem fog eljutni a széles tömegekhez. Pedig erre lenne szükség, ha a párizsi megállapodás betartásában bizakodunk.

[undergroundusa]

Segment 1: A House Of Climate Cards Built On A Foundation Of Lies Segment 2: America's Third Watch Segment 3: Why Do Federal Judges Champion Violent Gang Members Over US Citizens?

READ & LISTEN NOW: https://youtu.be/0pDPTtrjakM

[ap0the0sis]

climate change blackpill megapost

there are several climate tipping points identified in the united nations intergovernmental panel on climate change sixth assessment report (chapter 3, specifically). tipping points refer to critical thresholds in a system that, when exceeded, can lead to a significant change in the state of the system, often with an understanding that the change is irreversible. they are:

the greenland ice sheet

the west antarctic ice sheet

the atlantic meridional overturning current

monsoon systems

el niño-southern oscillation

tropical rainforests

northern boreal forests

thawing permafrost

extreme heat

current (2022) global warming of ~1.1°C above preindustrial temperatures already lies within the lower end of some tipping point uncertainty ranges. several tipping points may be triggered in the paris agreement range of 1.5 to <2°C global warming, with many more likely at the 2 to 3°C of warming expected on current policy trajectories.

greenland's ice sheet is in disequilibrium and we are committed to 2-3 meters of sea level rise from its melt alone in the next 200 years.

greenland's ice sheets have been melting twice as fast in the last twenty years as they were during the previous century.

rapid increase in the rate of melting of the west antarctic ice sheet is unavoidable.

the west antarctic ice sheet is retreating twice as fast as previously predicted

because of widespread seawater intrusion beneath the grounded ice of the thwaites glacier.

the west antarctic ice sheet will raise sea levels by four meters when it melts.

this is causing the atlantic meridional overturning current to collapse.

the gulf stream (aka amoc) is weakening. 99% confidence. measured volume through the florida straits has declined by 4% in the past 40 years

the gulf stream will collapse between 2025 and 2095. 95% confidence.

the north atlantic is four standard deviations above its historic temperatures.

when the amoc collapses, the arctic sea-ice pack will extend down to 50°n. the vast expansion of the northern hemispheric sea-ice pack amplifies further northern hemispheric cooling via the ice-albedo feedback.

a collapse of the atlantic meridional overturning circulation would have substantial impacts on global precipitation patterns, especially in the vulnerable tropical monsoon regions in west africa, east asia, and india where they will experience shorter wet seasons and longer dry seasons with an overall decrease in precipitation

although recent studies indicate that the amazon will experience net benefit from the collapse of the amoc with cooler temperatures and increased rainfall

increased el niño intensity will increase the frequency and severity of droughts in the amazon rainforest.

even if we were able to stabilize global mean temperature at 1.5º C, el niño intensity will continue to increase for a century

and the amazon rainforest is currently in the worst drought on record, which may indicate it has passed its threshold to maintain its own wet climate.

while widespread and persistent warming of permafrost has been observed in polar regions and at high elevations since about 1980, the highest permafrost temperatures in the instrumental record were recorded in 2018–2019 (data from 2019-2020)

as of 2019 the southern extent of permafrost had receded northwards by 30 to 80km

soil fires in the canadian arctic are burning the peat underground and melting the permafrost. stat from the study 70% of recorded area of arctic peat affected by burning over the past forty years has occurred in the last eight and 30% of it was in 2020 alone.

nasa finds that tundra releases plumes of methane in the wake of wildfires.

in 2023 eight times more land burned in canada than average.

russian siberia experienced a similarly massive fire season in 2021.

a methane source we weren’t expecting was warmer, wetter conditions to increase organic decomposition in tropical wetlands which is releasing ever increasing amounts of methane.

we have been experiencing exponential rise in atmospheric methane since 2006. historical data indicates that we may have entered into an ice age termination event fueled by these methane releases.

we have been over 1.5º C above pre-industrial temperatures since the beginning of 2023.

this may be because of the extreme el niño conditions of the 2023-24 cycle, but breaches of 1.5°C for a month or a year are early signs of getting perilously close to exceeding the long-term limit

and the world meteorological organization expects us to permanently break 1.5º C of warming from pre-industrial levels within the next five years.

the united nations environmental programme (unep) emissions gap report found that current fossil fuel extraction commitments leave no credible path to keeping warming below 1.5º C. based on current policies we will experience 2.8ºC of warming by 2100. even if all current pledges were implemented and followed through with (which they never have been), we will only be able to limit that to 2.4-2.6ºC of warming.

[indizombie]

A new study has found that mountains across the globe, including the Himalayas, are now seeing more rainfall at elevations where it has mostly snowed in the past. The change has made the mountains more dangerous, scientists say, as increased temperatures not only bring rain but also accelerate melting of snow and ice. The rainwater also loosens the soil resulting in landslides, rockfalls, floods and debris-flows. "Our findings provide several lines of evidence demonstrating a warming-induced amplification of rainfall extremes at high altitudes, specifically in snow-dominated regions of the Northern Hemisphere," says the study, published in June in the Nature journal. The finding is consistent with a special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2019 which said that snowfall had decreased, at least in part because of higher temperatures, especially at lower elevations of mountain regions.

Navin Singh Khadka, ‘Himachal Pradesh floods: More rain, less snow are turning Himalayas dangerous’, BBC

[climatechange24x]

#climate24 #climatechange #globalwarming #climatecrisis

[aperint]

Reprobados en cambio climático

Reprobados en cambio climático #aperturaintelectual #vmrfaintelectual @victormanrf @Victor M. Reyes Ferriz @vicmanrf @victormrferriz Víctor Manuel Reyes Ferriz

12 DE DICIEMBRE DE 2023 Esto es para ti papi POR: VÍCTOR MANUEL REYES FERRIZ El día de hoy culmina la cumbre del clima “Conferencia de Partes” (COP) en su edición número 28 que comenzó el pasado 30 de noviembre en el “Expo City” de Dubái y ésta reúne a los delegados de 197 países, organizaciones no gubernamentales, empresas, científicos, representantes de la industria, activistas y por supuesto…

[brunelsblog]

Knew this year was set to be record heat yet again but 18°C Feburary Indiana. People have no idea how much worse this year can and is going to get.

[geohoneylovers]

Taking Action for a Sustainable Future: A Global Stocktake "Must Be the Tipping Point" to Limit Global Warming" TO learn more: https://blog.geohoney.com/tipping-point-towards-limiting-global-warming

[inspirednews]

Protestos por justiça energética destacam impactos em comunidades

Em fevereiro deste ano, um grupo de agricultores da comunidade de Sobradinho, junto com representantes do povo indígena kapinawá, realizou uma ocupação na sede da Agência de Desenvolvimento Econômico de Pernambuco, localizada no Recife. O ato foi uma forma de protesto contra a operação de um parque eólico na cidade de Caetés, no agreste pernambucano. De acordo com os manifestantes, desde a implementação do empreendimento, há dez anos, eles têm enfrentado contratos abusivos, além de danos ao meio ambiente e à saúde das comunidades locais.(...)

Leia a noticia completa no link abaixo:

https://www.inspirednews.com.br/protestos-por-justica-energetica-destacam-impactos-em-comunidades

[elambmex]

Ciudadanía mexicana impulsa acciones climáticas ante la crisis ambiental

Según datos citados en una reciente campaña impulsada por GoFundMe, el 92% de los mexicanos reconoce el cambio climático como resultado de la actividad humana y el 88% considera que debe ser una prioridad nacional. En el contexto del Día de la Tierra, celebrada el 22 de abril de cada año, la plataforma GoFundMe lanzó una página especial que reúne iniciativas ambientales impulsadas por ciudadanos…

[ebordewich]

Trump trekker USAs klimaforskere ut av IPCC

Trump-administrasjonen har stoppet deltakelsen fra amerikanske forskere i den neste IPCC-rapporten. Stopp ordren påvirker ansatte i US Global Change Research Program og NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). Neste trinn bør være en UNDERSØKELSE av den forsettlige promoteringen av uredelig JUNK-vitenskap av høyt betalte forskere som Gavin Schmidt ved NASA GISS, M. Mann ved Pen…

[linemetal]

Do not let Scalar 3 come close to you.

IPCC

ICC

WEF

UNSC

[ani-talwar]

Upcoming Environment News:

24-28 February 2025

IPCC

From February 24-28th 2025, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will be meeting in China to agree on three key contributions for the Seventh Assessment Report (known as AR7)

According to the provisional agenda, amongst discussion of the budget, also included in the discussions is a Scoping for the next IPCC AR7 report- considering the three working groups.

Also included in the agenda is the discussion of proposed expert meetings and workshops for the next cycle of IPCC assessments. Some of these are already submitted online and include

A workshop on High Impact Events and Earth System Tipping Points,

Methods, metrics & Indicators for assessing Climate Change Impacts & Adaptation.

Also in the provisional agenda is the scoping of a method report for carbon dioxide removal, capture, use, and storage.

All links used are presented underneath for any further reading. And note this is a provisional agenda, and my understanding of events so far, so we shall see if/how any changes occur as the meeting occurs.

[the-hopeful-realist]

Are We All Here? “Balance” and Meaning in Seeking a Livable Future

 Photo by Clay Banks on Unsplash There is an old statistical principle having to do with probability and risk in trying to estimate future conditions and how to prepare for or take action to mitigate them to try to alter the outcome of our past and present bad behavior. In assessing the two potential errors in judging the outcomes of opposing statistical probabilities, one error is trivial, the…

[greenfue]

مؤتمر cop 29 .. العالم أمام اختبار جديد.. وضع قواعد توفير تريليونات الدولارات اللازمة لمواجهة أثار المناخ

تأسس مؤتمر الأطراف التابع للأمم المتحدة، المعروف باسم COP، بموجب اتفاقية الأمم المتحدة الإطارية بشأن تغير المناخK وهو بمثابة منصة محورية للمفاوضات المناخية الدولية، حيث يجمع الدول معًا لمعالجة التحديات الملحة التي يفرضها تغير المناخ. وتعمل اجتماعات مؤتمر الأطراف، التي تعقد سنويًا، كمكان مهم للدول للتعاون في وضع الاستراتيجيات والاتفاقيات الرامية إلى التخفيف من حدة الانحباس الحراري العالمي وتعزيز…