#mp exit poll

[techmagone]

Narsinghpur Madhya Pradesh Assembly Election Results 2023 Live: Can BJP Score a Hat Trick of Victory in Narsinghpur? Early trends will follow soon. https://techmagone.com/narsinghgarh-madhya-pradesh-assembly-election-results-2023-live/

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[justinspoliticalcorner]

Jon Henley, Jennifer Rankin, and Lisa O'Carroll at The Guardian:

France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, has been accused of gambling with French democracy after announcing that he will dissolve parliament and call snap legislative elections in the wake of his allies’ crushing defeat to Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN) in Sunday’s European parliament elections. On a night that saw far-right parties make significant but far from conclusive gains in Europe, the RN won about 32% of French votes, more than double the 15% or so scored by Macron’s allies, according to projections, with the Socialists just behind on about 14%. The first round of elections for the national assembly will take place on 30 June and the second on 7 July, Macron announced in an address to the nation, in a huge gamble on his political future three years before the end of his second term as president. The outcome of the European parliament elections was “not a good result for parties who defend Europe”, the French president said, noting that, led by RN, far-right parties in France had taken almost 40% of the national vote.

“I cannot act as if nothing had happened,” he said. “I have decided to give you the choice ... Therefore I will dissolve the National Assembly tonight.” He said the decision was “serious and heavy”, but called it “an act of confidence”. Less than two months before the start of the 2024 Paris summer Olympic Games, Macron said he had confidence in “the capacity of the French people to make the best choice for themselves and for future generations”. He added: “This is an essential time for clarification. I have heard your message, your concerns, and I will not leave them unanswered … France needs a clear majority to act in serenity and harmony.” Others were less convinced. Raphaël Glucksmann, who headed the Socialist party’s list, said Macron had “given in” to Bardella. “This is a very dangerous game to play with democracy and the institutions. I am flabbergasted.”

Another critic, Valérie Pécresse, a senior figure in the conservative Les Républicains party, said: “Dissolving without giving anyone time to organise and without any campaign is playing Russian roulette with the country’s destiny.” “Emmanuel Macron is a poker player, we’ve seen that tonight,” said a Green party MP, Sandrine Rousseau. But Marine Le Pen, the RN figurehead who is seen as the front runner in 2027 presidential elections in which Macron cannot stand, said she welcomed the decision. “We are ready to put the country back on its feet. We are ready to defend the interests of the French people,” she said. Her party’s lead candidate for the European election, Jordan Bardella, 28, said voters had delivered a “a stinging rejection” of the president. Macron’s Renaissance party currently has 169 deputies in the national assembly, and the RN 88. If the far-right party wins an outright majority in the upcoming election, the president would effectively lose control over most French domestic policy.

[...]

Although exit polls indicated that the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) had made significant gains in Germany and was in second place on 16.5% of the vote, the opposition centre-right was on course for 29.5%. The AfD’s success came despite a slew of scandals, including its lead candidate saying that the SS, the Nazi’s main paramilitary force, were “not all criminals”. In Austria, meanwhile, the far-right Freedom party was forecast to come top, with a projected 27%, ahead of the conservative People’s party and the Social Democrats, on 23.5% and 23% respectively. In the Netherlands, Geert Wilders’ far-right party was running a close second behind a Left-Green alliance. The Freedom party looked set to win 17.7% of the vote, while the Left-Green alliance, led by the former EU Commission vice-president, Frans Timmermans, was on 21.6%.

But it was far from a clean sweep for the far right, which fell short of expectations in Belgium. And crucially, parties on the extreme right remain divided, making them less influential in Brussels. According to an initial projection from the European parliament, MEPs from the four pro-European mainstream groups were forecast to retain a majority of seats in the assembly, but a smaller one than in 2019, which will make it increasingly difficult for them to pass laws. The European People’s party, Socialists and Democrats, the centrist Renew group and the Greens were on course for 456 of the 720 seats, a 63% share, compared with their 69.2% share in the slightly smaller outgoing parliament. These groups often find themselves on opposing sides – the Greens, for example, did not support Ursula von der Leyen as European Commission president in 2019.

The 2024 EU elections were a disasterclass for non-right-wing parties, especially in France, as that’s nation’s PM Emmanuel Macron announced the dissolution of parliament and called for new elections in the wake of the far-right surge.

[mariacallous]

Sometimes the most obvious questions are the best. In the case of the Conservatives, the most obvious question is so glaring that one wonders why Tory politicians don’t ask it ten-times a day before breakfast: why don’t they move to the centre?

The opinion polls are predicting a Tory rout on the scale of 1906, 1945 or 1997.

Surely in the interests of preserving the Conservatives as a fighting force the party must compromise to limit its losses to Labour. Here are a couple of compromises that occur to me. They make perfect political sense until you realise that conservatism has been so radicalised that compromise now feels like treason.

First, health. When we remember the suffering of the early 2020s, we will remember covid, of course.

But we will also remember the millions on NHS waiting lists, the elderly left for hours until ambulances arrive, the cancelled operations, the sick who would work if they could be treated but cannot find a doctor, the explosion in mental illness, the needlessly prolonged pain, the needlessly early deaths.

The Conservatives ought to be doing everything they can to improve the health service before polling day – out of a reptile-brain survival instinct if nothing else.

They will not do it because in British conservatism’s ever-diminishing circles health is not a concern.

The dominant Conservative factions want a right-wing policy offer of tax cuts and immigration controls. Not one of the party’s leaders has discussed how the increase in life expectancy means the demands on the NHS of an ever-larger pensioner population make tax cuts unaffordable. Nor have I heard honest discussion of how the need for foreign health and care workers to fill the gaps in provision makes immigration essential.

Rather than face up to the impossibility of Thatcherite economics in the 21st century they prefer to change the conversation and look the other way.

Let me offer a second example, which I think Brits will soon be obsessing about.

After years of delays Brexit Britain is finally imposing border checks on food imports from the European Union.  Wholesalers and retailers predict that bureaucratic costs and the need for veterinary and phytosanitary checks will lead to continental producers deciding to sell their goods elsewhere. Price rises and food shortages will follow.

What kind of government in an election year, of all years, wants empty shelves?

A Conservative kind of government appears to be the answer. The sensible move would be for the Conservatives to follow Labour’s policy of striking a deal to stick to EU standards and ease bureaucracy at the border.  That would mean the UK following European food regulations, as EU ambassadors have made clear.

But compared to dear food and empty shops, who the hell cares about that?

Tories care. Brexit is their King Charles head, their reason for being, their obsession.

David Frost, who negotiated the UK’s disastrous exit agreement with the EU, wrote an unintentionally revealing paragraph last week which encapsulated the ideological capture of British Conservatism.

“The Conservative Party owns Brexit. Whether ministers like it or not, or maybe even wish it hadn’t happened, it’s the central policy of the Party and the government. They must be prepared to defend and explain it – to show why it’s so important that Britain is a proper democracy once again. For if voters come to believe Brexit is failing, then the Conservative Party will inevitably fail too.”

There you have it. Brexit is the Conservative party and vice versa.

What a distance we have come! In 2016, a mere eight years ago, the Conservative party’s leader and most of its MPs supported the UK’s membership of the European Union. Eurosceptics posed as mild-mannered people. They promised that leaving the EU would not mean leaving the single market .

But then leave won the 2016 Brexit referendum and set us off on a spiral of radicalisation, which was instantly familiar to those of us who grew up on the left. 

Here is how it worked on the left in the 20th century.  You would be in a meeting where everyone agreed to a leftist policy: say that the government should encourage banks to give micro loans to poor people to keep them out of the hands of loan sharks.

Everything seems fine until an accusatory voice accuses all present of being sellouts because they do not believe in nationalising the banks,

Or today, after the great awokening, an academic department will propose reasonable measures to check that they are not unconsciously discriminating in their application process, only to be told that, if they were truly concerned with justice, they would decolonise the curriculum and purge it of “white” concepts such as truth and objectivity.

The near identical radicalisation of the right has been more serious because the right has real power.

Here is how its spiral into Tory Jacobinism went.

After winning the Brexit referendum in 2016, retaining the UK’s membership of the single market and the customs union suddenly became wholly unacceptable. They had to go.

As the ideological temperature rose, Theresa May’s attempts at compromise became sellouts, judges became enemies of the people, and the only acceptable way to leave became Frost and Johnson’s impoverishing hard Brexit.

We now have a new Tory ideology: “Brexitism.” It is a style of swaggering bravado and a bawling loud-mouthed way of doing business that goes far beyond the UK’s relations with the EU.

The catastrophic premiership of Liz Truss was “Brexitist”. She crashed the economy because she believed she was right to ignore the warnings of the Treasury, Bank of England and Office for Budget Responsibility.

What true Brexit supporter trusts experts, after all?

Brexit showed that you did not need them.  All you needed was the will to impose a radical agenda and then the world would accommodate itself to your desires.

In retrospect, 2016 plays the same role for the radical right of 21th century Britain that 1917 played for the British radical left in the 20th. The fluke communist takeover of Russia in 1917 convinced hundreds of thousands over the decades that revolution could succeed in the UK, even though communism never stood a chance in this country.

The fluke leave win of 2016 has had an equally mystifying effect. Because radical right politics succeeded in one set of circumstances, its supporters assumed they would succeed in all circumstances.

Nowhere in right-wing discourse do you hear suggestions that the Conservative defeat might be softened if the government appealed to the majority of voters. Instead, the right says that the only way to save the right is for the right to move rightwards and become more rightly right wing.

Once again, the parallels with the communist movement to people of my age scream so loudly they are deafening.

To quote the weirdest example. A few weeks ago, an anonymous group of wealthy men calling themselves the Conservative Britain Alliance spent about £40,000 on opinion polling, and gave the results to the Daily Telegraph. They showed the Conservatives were heading for a landslide defeat, as so many polls do.

But the spin put on it by the Conservative Britain Alliance’s frontman Lord Frost (again!) was that the Tories must move to the right to attract Faragist voters, not to try to stem the growth of Labour support.  

A further release from the anonymous group of wealthy men added to the impression of a right wing living in the land of make believe.

They produced findings that showed the Conservatives could win if Sunak were replaced by a hypothetical Tory leader. This imaginary figure was a political superhero who would be strong “on crime and migration” (naturally) but also had the superpower to “cut taxes and get NHS waiting lists down” at the same time.

Lower taxes and better public services all at once in a wonderful never never land.

My guess is that it will take three maybe four election defeats to batter the delusions of 2016 out of the Conservative party.

Perhaps no number of defeats will suffice, and Brexitism will be Toryism’s final delirium.

[maaarine]

Poland election: exit polls point to Law and Justice defeat as Tusk hails ‘rebirth’ (Shaun Walker, The Guardian, Oct 16 2023)

"Poland’s ruling populists appear to be heading for electoral defeat, in what would be one of the most consequential European political turnarounds of recent years, if exit polls showing a victory for an opposition coalition led by Donald Tusk prove correct.

The exit polls suggested that the ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party received the most votes, but that Tusk’s Civic Coalition together with two other opposition parties should have a route to a parliamentary majority. (…)

The official results have been slow to come in amid a record turnout of more than 70%, the highest since the fall of communism in the country.

There were long queues at polling stations across the country and some voters in the city of Wrocław stood in line until nearly 3am waiting to vote, six hours after the official close of polls.

If the exit polls are confirmed, the result is likely to transform Poland’s domestic political scene and restart relations with Brussels, which had frayed over PiS’s attacks on the independent judiciary and other rule of law issues.

It comes after months of vicious campaigning, in which Tusk highlighted the damage done to Poland over the past eight years while PiS claimed he was a foreign stooge who would destroy the country.

PiS apparently failed to convince enough voters to support them despite control over public media and the introduction of a referendum on the same day as the election with a series of leading questions on migration and other issues, aimed at motivating its base to vote. (…)

Many progressive Poles celebrated the exit poll results late into the night on Sunday, with the probable end of PiS rule seen as positive step for the rights of women and LGBTQ+ people.

Barbara Nowacka, a Civic Coalition MP who has been fiercely critical of the PiS crackdown on abortion rights, said it was clear the opposition had won and that it was an important day for Polish women.

“Young women won’t be afraid to get pregnant, young women won’t be afraid to go to the doctor,” she said."

[head-post]

Socialists-Greens alliance wins Dutch elections to European Parliament

An alliance of the Labour Party and the Green Left (PvdA/GroenLinks) claimed victory in the European Parliament elections in the Netherlands, according to exit polls on Thursday.

An alliance between the Labour Party and the Green Left (PvdA/GroenLinks) won the European Parliament elections in the Netherlands, according to exit polls on Thursday.

A total of 497 candidates, including eight of Turkish origin, from 20 different parties competed for 31 seats in the election. Voting started at 7:30 a.m. local time and ended at 9 p.m. However, final results are scheduled to be announced on the evening of 9 June, after the conclusion of voting in all EU member states.

The official results will be announced on 19 June.

According to an exit poll conducted by public broadcaster NOS and research firm Ipsos, turnout stood at around 47 per cent of the 13 million eligible voters. This marks a notable increase from the previous European Parliament elections in 2019, when turnout was around 42 per cent.

The Labour Party and the Green Left alliance won eight seats, whereas the Freedom Party (PVV), led by Geert Wilders, seemed to fall short of expectations. The PVV, which was leading in the last general election on 22 November, slipped to second place in the European Parliament elections. Exit polls suggest that the party will send seven MPs to the European Parliament.

The elections, which began in the Netherlands on Thursday, will continue on Friday in Ireland, the Czech Republic, and Estonia.

Meanwhile, Wilders expressed a desire to form a joint European faction with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni‘s Fratelli d’Italia, leader of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR) group, and the Rassemblement National of Marine Le Pen, leader of the Identity and Democracy (ID) group, according to Euractiv.

Read more HERE

[breakingnewsandsamachar]

MP Elections 2024 Himachal Pradesh

The MP Elections 2024 in Himachal Pradesh are crucial for the state's political landscape. There are total four Lok Sabha seats in Himachal Pradesh. The election is expected to witness intense campaigning and strategic alliances. Issues such as development, governance, agriculture, and employment are likely to dominate the discourse. The outcome of these elections will not only shape the governance of Himachal Pradesh but also have implications at the national level. There are two major parties: the BJP and the Congress. The Newz Radar will cover all the news about Himachal politics during the election results. Here are some major points we will cover: • Candidate Profiles • Voter Turnout • Political Analysis • Exit poll • Parties’ election manifesto • Election Results.

[collegelives]

Day After Quitting Congress, Ashok Chavan To Join BJP Today

A day after he quit the Congress, former Maharashtra Chief Minister Ashok Chavan is set to join the BJP later today. "Today around 12-12:30, I am going to start a new journey of my political career, I am going to join BJP," Mr Chavan told news agency ANI.

He had yesterday told the media that he will take a decision on his next step in a couple of days. Deputy Chief Minister and the state's top BJP leader Devendra Fadnavis, it is learnt, will welcome Mr Chavan into the party. Mr Chavan's aide Amar Rajurkar, who resigned as MLC with him, will also join the BJP today.

Sources have said the former Chief Minister may be offered a Rajya Sabha seat. That would also explain his decision to join the BJP a day after he resigned from the Congress and the Assembly: time for filing nomination for the Rajya Sabha polls is running out.

"I have resigned from the Assembly membership as an MLA. I have given my resignation to the Speaker. I have resigned from the Congress Working Committee and the Congress primary membership. I have not decided to join any party. I will clear my stand on joining a party after two days," Mr Chavan had told reporters yesterday.

Mr Chavan's exit is yet another blow to Maharashtra Congress months ahead of state polls and the general election. Earlier, key Congress leader, Milind Deora, quit the party and joined the Eknath Shinde faction of Shiv Sena. Baba Siddique too left and moved to the Ajit Pawar-led NCP.

According to Congress sources, Mr Chavan's differences with state party chief Nana Patole played a key role in his decision. Speaking to the media yesterday, he had suggested that he was upset over the delay in finalising seat-sharing within the Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance with just months left for the polls.

Mumbai Congress leader Sanjay Nirupam said that the former Chief Minister was upset over the working style of a Congress leader in Maharashtra. He did not name any leader. "He (Chavan) had approached the top leadership. Had his complaint been taken seriously, this situation would not have happened," Mr Nirupam said.

Congress leaders have taken swipes at Mr Chavan following his decision. Senior party leader Jairam Ramesh took a "washing machine" jab -- washing machine is an oft-repeated reference the Congress uses to accuse the BJP of stalling criminal investigations against Opposition leaders who switch to their side.

"When friends and colleagues leave a political party that has given them much -- perhaps much more they deserved -- it is always a matter of anguish. But to those who are vulnerable THAT Washing Machine will always prove more attractive than ideological commitment or personal loyalties," Mr Ramesh said. "These betrayers don't realise that their exit opens up vast new opportunities to those whose growth they have always stunted," he added.

Maharashtra Congress chief Patole said it is "unfortunate that leaders who have got everything are leaving the Congress party and ideology".

The son of former Maharashtra Chief Minister Shankarrao Chavan, Ashok Chavan wields significant influence in Nanded region. His exit comes at a time when the Maha Vikas Aghadi -- comprising the Uddhav Thackeray faction of Shiv Sena, the Sharad Pawar camp of NCP and the Congress -- faces two tall poll challenges.

Ashok Chavan has had an eventful political journey so far. Starting out as a student leader during his college days, he went on to hold key posts in the Congress, including Maharashtra Congress chief and a member of the Congress Working Committee. He has served as an MP from Nanded on two occasions and been a member of both Houses of the state legislature.

After serving as state minister, he was chosen for the Chief Minister post after Vilasrao Deshmukh stepped down in the aftermath of the 2008 terror attacks in Mumbai. The Congress retained him on the top post after the 2009 state polls. The stint was, however, short as Mr Chavan was forced to step down amid corruption allegations related to the Adarsh Housing Society scam.

[currentmediasstuff]

Ashok Chavan Latest To Quit Congress After Milind Deora, Baba Siddique

In a big blow to the Congress in Maharashtra months ahead of the general election and state polls, former chief minister and former MP Ashok Chavan resigned from the party's primary membership amid reports that he was in talks with the BJP. The senior leader may get a ticket to the Rajya Sabha, according to sources.

Mr Chavan, who represents Bhokar in the Assembly, met Speaker Rahul Narvekar and handed in his resignation. If he joins the BJP, it will be the second big switchover in Maharashtra after Congress leader Milind Deora quit the party last month and joined the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena.

Earlier, BJP leader and Deputy Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis had been asked if Mr Chavan is joining the party. "I heard about Ashok Chavan from media. But only thing I can say now is that several good leaders from Congress are in touch of BJP. Those leaders who are connected with the masses are feeling suffocated in Congress. I am confident that some big faces will join Congress," he had then said.

According to Congress sources, Mr Chavan's differences with state party chief Nana Patole on selection of candidates may have played a major role in his decision to switch sides.

Son of former Maharashtra Chief Minister Shankarrao Chavan, Ashok Chavan wields significant influence in the Nanded region and this switch may hurt the Congress in the upcoming polls. This also plays out against the backdrop of the tall poll challenge facing the Maha Vikas Aghadi -- comprising the Uddhav Thackeray faction of Shiv Sena, the Sharad Pawar camp of NCP and the Congress.

Ashok Chavan has had an eventful political journey so far. Starting out as a student leader during his college days, he went on to hold key posts in the Congress, including Maharashtra Congress chief and a member of the Congress Working Committee. He has served as an MP from Nanded on two occasions and been a member of both Houses of the state legislature.

After serving as state minister, he was chosen for the Chief Minister post after Vilasrao Deshmukh stepped down in the aftermath of the 2008 terror attacks in Mumbai. The Congress retained him on the top post after the 2009 state polls. The stint was, however, short as Mr Chavan was forced to step down amid corruption allegations related to the Adarsh Housing Society scam.

Responding to Mr Chavan's decision, senior Congress leader Jairam Ramesh took a "washing machine" jab -- washing machine is an oft-repeated reference the Congress uses to accuse the BJP of stalling criminal investigations against Opposition leaders who switch to their side.

When friends and colleagues leave a political party that has given them much — perhaps much more they deserved—it is always a matter of anguish. But to those who are vulnerable THAT Washing Machine will always prove more attractive than ideological commitment or personal loyalties," Mr Ramesh said. "These betrayers don't realise that their exit opens up vast new opportunities to those whose growth they have always stunted," he added.

[rajakrsnan]

Exit Polls analysis

The just concluded State Assembly Elections to Chattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Mizoram, Rajasthan, and Telangana have thrown a confusing trend for analysts. Most of the exit pollsters are a confused lot along with most television channels. Tomorrow, 3rd December 2023 will tell how accurate these agencies & TV chanels who conducted the exit polls. About 2 to 3 months back, no one expected BJP to make any kind of come back to power in Chattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh. Rajasthan was the only state, where BJP have a definite edge because they decided not to project former CM Vasundhara Raje as the Chief Ministerial candidate because of which they lost the 2018 elections to the state assembly. On 30th November, 2023 Telangana went to polls, and which was the day when Exit poll results allowed. All the exit pollsters looked a confused lot. Their estimates clearly tell that they are not telling the truth or they are confused. Most of them put out a wide range for BJP and INC, two main contenders for power.

Chattisgarh is a closely contested election with INC having a decisive edge about a month back. As the second phase of the elections started, BJP seems to have caught up with them and now the final numbers will be so close that it is a close call for both parties. BJP will win around 39 seats (+/- 3) and INC 47 seats (+/_ 5).

In Madhya Pradesh, BJP initially was lagging behind. Once the election bugle was sounded Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan took the opposition party, INC head on and now they seem to be in the driver's seat. Here too the election is very closely contested. The final tally for BJP is around 120-126 seats and INC 97-103. The possibility of BJP ending with a higher tally is extremely high.

In Rajasthan, BJP will win 120 or more. Voters have decided to teach INC a lesson of their lifetime. INC may end up with 65-70 seats. Here BJP is getting a clear mandate.

Telangana BRS holds the key as they are in power and have a key ally in AIMIM who will not ditch them. INC has made big inroads into BRS's muslim vote bank. That is a worrying factor for AIMIM who has no influence outside Hyderabad. AIMIM will remain a 3% vote share party, not beyond it. BJP is a minor player who increased its vote share to 14% from 2018's 7%. This should worry BRS. If BRS wins 50-55 seats, then they have to reach out to BJP apart from AIMIM who is their traditional ally since the formation of Telangana state in 2013. Wondering how BJP & AIMIM will be part of the same alliance? Will AIMIM walk out of the alliance with BRS? Anything can happen.

In MP and Rajasthan, exit pollsters gave a wide range of 20-30 seats. That means either they are confused or they did not do their work diligently. In Mizoram, they have projected a 6 seats range for the local party in an assembly of 40 seats. That is ridiculous.

BJP will win Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. In Rajasthan, they will win hands down, and in Madhya Pradesh, it is a closely contested fight with BJP having a big edge now. Chattisgarh turned into a nail-biting contest; it can go either way. Telangana is also a closely contested election with BRS losing a lot but staking claim to power with the support of other two parties - AIMIM & BJP. INC gained a lot in this election, bringing them close to power in the state after 10 long years.

[shyamjai]

MP Madhya Pradesh Exit Poll Result:- BJP to Form Govt, CM Shivraj Chauhan5 राज्यों में विधानसभा चुनाव के एग्जिट पोल के नतीजे कब, कहां और कैसे देखें? 5 state ...

[aamaadmipatrika]

5 State Exit Poll Results 2023: MP-CG में कांटे की टक्कर, राजस्थान में BJP को बढ़त का अनुमान, जानें अन्य राज्यों का हाल

5 State Exit Poll Results 2023: राजस्थान, मध्य प्रदेश के एग्जिट पोल अनुमान के मुताबिक सत्ता के लिए कांटे की टक्कर होने का अनुमान है। गौरतलब है कि मिजोरम में 7 नवंबर, छत्तीसगढ़ में दो चरणों में 7 नवंबर और 17 नवंबर, मध्य प्रदेश में 17 नवंबर, राजस्थान में 25 नवंबर को मतदान कराए गए।

[irvinenewshq]

Boris Johnson says he receivedt run once more for prime minister: Would merely not be the fitting factor to do

Boris Johnson pulled out of the race to steer the UK’s ruling Conservative Get together and the nation, leaving Rishi Sunak on the point of changing into the subsequent prime minister. Johnson, who left workplace final month after a collection of scandals rocked his premiership, stated in an announcement that it “would merely not be the fitting factor to do” to mount a bid as a result of it could divide his get together. “You’ll be able to’t govern successfully until you have got a united get together in Parliament,” Johnson wrote in an announcement on Sunday. “The most effective factor I can do shouldn’t be enable my nomination to go ahead.” The pound prolonged beneficial properties after Johnson stated he wouldn’t stand, rallying 0.8% to $1.1388. The choice leaves Sunak dealing with Home of Commons Chief Penny Mordaunt within the contest, with the previous chancellor of the exchequer having the general public help of key Tory members of Parliament. Mordaunt is staying within the race, an individual aware of the matter stated after Johnson’s exit.  Whoever wins will face the duty of making an attempt to convey unity to a celebration that has been via months of upheaval and bruising public infighting. Conservative help has fallen nicely behind the Labour opposition in polls as a brutal cost-of-living squeeze and hovering inflation darkens the financial outlook.  Prime Minister Liz Truss’s choice to step down final week triggered the competition, following weeks of turmoil in markets with traders dumping the pound and UK authorities bonds. Her financial plan, together with a giant enhance in borrowing to pay for tax cuts, rattled confidence in markets and turned voter sentiment additional towards the Tories. The chance that Johnson may mount a profitable bid to return to an workplace he left lower than two months in the past is the newest twist within the upheaval of British politics that adopted the 2016 vote to go away the European Union. Johnson minimize quick a vacation final week to think about a run for his previous job, rallying the help of cupboard ministers together with Enterprise Secretary Jacob Rees-Mogg. Whereas he stays fashionable with Tory members, MPs are divided about his legacy and anxious that returning him to workplace would revive all of the scandals that purchased him down. Johnson insisted he had the help to go ahead to a poll of the members however stated that doing so may deepen splits throughout the parliamentary get together. “I led our get together into a large election victory lower than three years in the past,” Johnson stated. “There was an excellent likelihood I might achieve success within the election with Conservative Get together member. However in the midst of the final days I’ve sadly come to the conclusion that this is able to merely not be the fitting factor to do.” Join the Fortune Options electronic mail checklist so that you don’t miss our largest options, unique interviews, and investigations. Originally published at Irvine News HQ

[melbournenewsvine]

Britain left rudderless amid Conservative turmoil

It was painful to watch. As Britain’s new Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, stood in the House of Commons and scrapped tax cuts and energy bill caps from the mini-budget his predecessor set out a little less than a month ago, Prime Minister Liz Truss sat behind him. Without expression, he stared into the middle distance. She seemed overwhelmed by the moment, and for good reason. Few leaders in modern politics have destroyed their credibility so quickly and completely as Truss. According to a recent British survey, only 10 per cent of respondents supported its overall performance, while 80 per cent expressed dissatisfaction. Liz Truss fights for her political survival. attributed to him:Bloomberg What makes her fall so remarkable is that it wasn’t caused by an unexpected accident that caught her off guard, but was completely self-made. After the death of Boris Johnson, Truss came to power after the vote of Conservative Party members, not her colleagues in Parliament. She called these people – older and more conservative than the British public – a program of tax cuts, deregulation and free market economics that she said would save the country’s faltering economy. In partnership with close ally Kwasi Quarting, its first chancellor, Truss has delivered on its promise, announcing endowments at an estimated cost of £60 billion budget over six months. Well said, the markets were panicking. Stocks, bonds and the pound fell, while interest rates rose. Truss has remained in political survival mode ever since. After just 10 days of mini-budgeting, Kwarteng rescinded the tax cut for high-income earners. When this proved insufficient to stabilize the ship, he was recalled from a voyage to the United States and unceremoniously dumped by Truss. As Hunt now leads the party in a new economic direction, and with harsh austerity measures looming, Truss finds herself a leader in name only. She is protected by Conservative rules that will prevent a vote of no confidence during her first year in office and the fact that electing a new leader will be a major logistical challenge and another blow to the credibility of the Conservative Party. But the rules could be changed to make it easier, and Truss could also be persuaded to step down if MPs rallied around a different candidate, eliminating the need for members to have a say. As for the credibility of the Conservative Party, they may judge that they are better off getting rid of Truss and trying to rehabilitate themselves in the two years left until the election. Conservative MPs have been torn apart for months over the leadership of their party, and there is no easy solution. Opinion polls suggest that if an election were held today, the opposition Labor Party would easily win under Keir Starmer, but the same poll suggests that this is mostly due to widespread disdain for the Conservative Party rather than any significant respect for Starmer. What is clear is that British political leaders across the board are struggling to define a clear path forward. The Ukraine war and the continuing impact of the pandemic are placing enormous pressures on the economy, as is the case with most countries. At the same time, however, Britain must finally contend with the financial headwinds engendered by its exit from the European Union. For the sake of the British people, we can only hope that efficient governance and unity of purpose will erupt. It has done so in the past, and could do it again, but there is little evidence that the Conservative Party, exhausted by its years in office and frequent changes of leader, is up to the task. Michael Bachelard sends out an exclusive newsletter to subscribers every week. Sign up to receive his note from the editor. Source link Originally published at Melbourne News Vine

[mariacallous]

Denmark’s prime minister, Mette Frederiksen, has won a nail-biting election that gave her left-leaning bloc a one-seat majority in parliament – but her pledge to build a broad left-right coalition may mean she struggles to form a stable government.

Exit polls on Tuesday night had suggested Frederiksen’s five-party “red” bloc would lose its majority in the 179-seat parliament, but as the last votes were counted early on Wednesday it became clear that it had secured 87 seats in mainland Denmark.

Three more seats from the autonomous overseas territories of the Faroe Islands and Greenland gave it a total of 90 MPs – the slimmest possible majority – as Frederiksen’s Social Democrats turned in their strongest showing in more than 20 years, winning 27.6% of the vote and 50 MPs.

“Thanks to all Danes who have trusted us with your vote, it’s a huge vote of confidence,” the prime minister said on Wednesday. “I know some of you have had doubts along the way … We are a party for all of Denmark.”

The result, however, leaves Frederiksen with a dilemma: she campaigned for a broad coalition of mainstream parties across the traditional left-right divide, arguing that political unity was needed at a time of domestic and international uncertainty.

Her majority could now make that more difficult to achieve, since most of her leftwing allies would prefer a traditional left-leaning government alliance.

“She could opt for a straight leftwing bloc, which would mean going back on her campaign promise of political unity, or she can keep her word and risk upsetting her traditional allies,” said Sune Steffen Hansen, a public affairs consultant, pollster and former adviser to the Social Democrats.

“Whatever she does, she could disappoint a lot of people. In a parliament with 12 parties – a really fragmented political landscape – and with such big issues facing the country, holding a coalition together is not going to be easy,” he said.

Frederiksen, 44, said she intends to push ahead with her plans. “When the Social Democrats say something, we follow through,” she said, adding that she would present her current government’s resignation to Queen Margrethe on Wednesday.

“We must get through uncertain times together,” she said. “The Social Democrats went to the polls to form a broad government. If a majority of parties point to me as prime minister I will see whether it can be done. That is what is good for Denmark.”

Frederiksen could turn to her centre-right predecessor, former Liberal party leader Lars Løkke Rasmussen, whose hopes of becoming kingmaker were dashed by his rival’s majority but whose new centrist party, the Moderates, rose from nowhere to win 16 parliamentary seats - also with a call for a new left-right coalition of mainstream parties.

Løkke Rasmussen insisted on Tuesday night he still wanted to be “the bridge” across the traditional divide in Danish politics. “It’s not red or blue, it’s about common sense,” he told cheering supporters, adding that a new government was “a certainty”.

In a bad night for the right, the opposition “blue” bloc – an informal liberal and conservative alliance supported by three populist parties – won 73 seats. The opposition leader, Jakob Ellemann-Jensen, of the Liberal party acknowledged the bloc’s defeat after his party lost 19 of its 43 seats in parliament.

Frederiksen was rewarded in her hope for a vote of confidence in her handling of the Covid-19 pandemic and in her steady leadership in the face of high energy prices, rampant inflation and mounting insecurity fueled by Russia’s war on Ukraine.

“In Denmark, we have for many years been used to progress. Now we face hardship,” she said on Wednesday.

Frederiksen had won praise for navigating Denmark through the pandemic, but her popularity slipped partly over a decision to cull the country’s entire captive mink population of 15m for fear of a Covid-19 variant moving to humans.

A parliament-ordered inquiry found the government had no legal justification for the cull and had made “grossly misleading” statements when shutting the sector down, and last month one of the parties propping up Frederiksen’s minority government threatened to topple it unless she called elections.

Denmark’s stricter immigration policies slashed support for the far-right Danish People’s party, but a new party formed by the former Liberal immigration minister Inger Støjberg scored 8% of the vote.

[telnews-in]

Stung By Exits, Congress Tweaks Internal Poll Rules After 5 MPs' Letter

Stung By Exits, Congress Tweaks Internal Poll Rules After 5 MPs’ Letter

नई दिल्ली: अगले कांग्रेस अध्यक्ष के लिए महत्वपूर्ण चुनाव से पहले, पार्टी नेतृत्व वरिष्ठ नेताओं के एक वर्ग की मांगों के बाद मतदान प्रक्रिया में महत्वपूर्ण बदलाव करने पर सहमत हो गया है। जो कोई भी कांग्रेस अध्यक्ष के लिए नामांकन दाखिल करना चाहता है, वह इलेक्टोरल कॉलेज बनाने वाले सभी 9,000 प्रतिनिधियों की सूची देख सकता है। कांग्रेस नेता मधुसूदन मिस्त्री ने कहा कि सूची 20 सितंबर से पार्टी के केंद्रीय…

[head-post]

Final official Dutch election results confirmed Wilders’ victory

The final official results of the Dutch parliamentary elections have confirmed the victory of Geert Wilders, local media reported. The Dutch Electoral Council announced the results on Friday, confirming the exit polls of November 22.

Last week, more than 10.4 million voters cast their ballots to elect 150-seat MPs.

Party for Freedom (PVV) of Geert Wilders, known for his populist and anti-Islamic rhetoric, became the primary party winning 37 seats. It is followed by GroenLinks-PvdA with 25 seats, a coalition led by former European Commissioner Frans Timmermans.

Outgoing Prime Minister Mark Rutte’s People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VDD) recorded a significant loss of 24 seats. The other two parties, NSC and D66, won 20 and 9 seats respectively.

Despite his harsh rhetoric, Wilders has already begun to embrace other right-wing and centrist parties, declaring in a victory speech that any policies he pursues will be “within the law and constitution.”

Read more HERE