#strongly connected components example problems

[themanilacollegian]

Everything You Required To Know Concerning Herbal Items

Natural products have gotten tremendous recognition over the last few years, with many individuals relying on natural treatments for different wellness concerns. These products, originated from vegetations and also natural herbs, supply an additional all natural strategy to wellness as well as well-being.

Everything You Need To Have To Find Out About Organic Items:

Organic Active ingredients

Natural items are actually made coming from organic elements sourced from vegetations, herbs, origins, florals, seeds, or even fruits. These ingredients are commonly minimally processed to preserve their all-natural properties as well as strength.

Standard Medicine

Herbal treatments have actually been used for centuries in typical medicine units like Ayurveda, Traditional Mandarin Medication (TCM), as well as Indigenous United States medicine. They are felt to market health and wellness and treat a variety of conditions through bring back harmony within the body system.

Large Range of Uses

Organic products are offered in numerous forms, featuring teas, casts, capsules, grains, and topical salves. They are made use of to deal with a large range of wellness problems, featuring digestive function, sleeping disorders, stress and anxiety, skin disease, and also even more.

Health Benefits

Different weeds provide different wellness advantages. For example, ginger is known for its anti-nausea as well as intestinal properties, while chamomile is treasured for its own comforting results on the nerve system. Turmeric is respected for its anti-inflammatory buildings, as well as echinacea is strongly believed to improve the immune device.

Security And Also Effectiveness

While natural herbs products are actually generally taken into consideration secure when made use of as routed, it is actually important to speak to with a health care expert prior to including all of them into your program, especially if you possess underlying wellness disorders or are taking medications. Some herbs might connect with medications or result in allergies in specific individuals.

Quality Is Important

Not all organic items are developed equal. It's crucial to opt for top notch items coming from reputable brand names or suppliers to make certain security as well as efficacy. Search for products that are actually natural, non-GMO, and also free of cost from components, fillers, and impurities.

Guideline as well as Specifications

Natural products are actually regulated in different ways in different nations. In the USA, dietary supplements, consisting of herbal products, are moderated due to the Fda (FDA). Nonetheless, requirements might be actually much less rigorous compared to pharmaceutical medicines. It's necessary to investigate the requirements in your nation and also choose products that fulfill premium standards.

Prospective Adverse Effects

While mullein leaf products are usually well-tolerated, some individuals might experience adverse effects including hypersensitive responses, digestive distress, or communications with drugs. It's important to start along with little dosages and monitor your physical body's action. Cease usage as well as speak with a medical care expert if you experience any kind of unfavorable responses.

Holistic Technique

Natural products are actually typically considered as aspect of an alternative method to health and also well-being, along with suitable nourishment, routine workout, worry management, as well as other way of life elements. They are actually certainly not planned to replace regular clinical therapies but can easily enhance them by supporting the physical body's all-natural healing devices.

Customized Method

Every person's body is actually distinct, and also what works for one individual might certainly not work for an additional. It may take some test and error to locate the appropriate combination of weeds and dosages that operate most effectively for you. Listen to your body system's signals and also change your regimen as needed.

Learning and Research study

Remain educated concerning the cannabis you are actually using as well as their possible advantages and also threats. Analysis studies and professional trials may give beneficial insights into the efficacy and protection of superfood supplements. In addition, consider consulting with a qualified herbalist or even healthcare expert for tailored advice.

Lastly, herbal items use an all-natural and also comprehensive strategy to wellness and well-being, along with a wide variety of making use of and also potential benefits. Having said that, it is actually crucial to pick premium products, know possible side impacts, and also seek advice from a medical care specialist for customized support. Along with the right understanding as well as approach, natural items can be important allies in sustaining general health.

[ajohnwood]

Gutter Cleaning : An Crucial Element of Pest Control and Infestation Elimination

As it pertains to maintaining a pest-free house, several homeowners concentrate on the most common suspects: closing breaks, reducing food resources, and applying pest control products. Nevertheless, one often overlooked facet of pest control is gutter cleaning. Surprisingly, your gutters perform a substantial role keeping in mind pests at bay and blocking infestations. 

Knowledge the Connection: Gutters and Pest Control

It might seem perplexing at first, but the partnership between gutters and pest control is strongly intertwined. Here's how it performs:

Removing Standing Water:

Gutters are designed to channel rain from your home's foundation, blocking water from pooling about your property. Standing water is just a reproduction soil for different pests, including mosquitoes. By maintaining clean, debris-free gutters , you reduce the chance of standing water and suppress insect breeding.

Eliminating Nesting Internet sites:

Over time, gutters can gather leaves, sticks, and trash, creating cosy nesting internet sites for pests such as for example birds , rodents, and insects. These pests can build nests in your blocked gutters and possibly infiltrate your home. Standard gutter cleaning eliminates these nesting options, discouraging pests from taking up residence.

Stopping Architectural Damage:

Blocked gutters may result in water overflow, causing water harm to your home's external, roof , and siding. Water-damaged timber becomes a nice-looking target for termites, carpenter bugs, and different wood-boring insects. By keepin constantly your gutters clear, you reduce the risk of architectural damage that could attract these damaging pests.

Deterring Pest Access:

Bugs and rodents are opportunistic creatures, generally looking for potential entry items into your home. Clogged gutters may flood, creating moist problems that soften the floor near your foundation. That delicate soil can make it simpler for pests to look or burrow their way into your home's structure. Effectively working gutters support keep a dry foundation, lowering the danger of pest entry.

The Position of Gutter Cleaning in Pest Control :

Now that people understand how gutters and pest control are attached, let's investigate the specific ways that typical gutter cleaning contributes to a pest-free house:

Eliminating Dirt and Nesting Components:

Gutter cleaning requires removing leaves, branches, and trash that could function as nesting resources for pests. By eliminating these nesting possibilities, you suppress pests from trying out home in your gutters and perhaps infiltrating your home.

Reducing Humidity and Position Water:

Clogged gutters may result in water overflow and develop pools of ranking water. Standard gutter cleaning prevents water from accumulating in your gutters , reducing a breeding floor for mosquitoes and other water-loving pests.

Protecting Your Home's Structure:

Clear gutters prevent water harm to your home's design, specially the timber elements. By preserving the integrity of your outdoor and roof , you reduce the risk of getting wood-boring pests like termites and carpenter ants. Gutter cleaning Geelong services may be in high need, specially throughout the fall season. To ensure regular service , schedule your appointment well in advance.

Improving Pest Elimination Efforts:

Gutter cleaning must certanly be viewed as a complementary aspect of your general pest control efforts. When along with closing entry points, removing food places, and using proper pest control products and services, gutter preservation produces a thorough pest reduction strategy.

Gutter cleaning is just a important part of pest control and infestation elimination in your home. By maintaining clean and debris-free gutters , you minimize the chance of pests finding nesting web sites, reproduction reasons, or access points into your home. Normal gutter cleaning Geelong service not just safeguards your home's structure but also contributes to a wholesome and pest-free residing environment. Whether you choose to tackle this job yourself or employ gutter cleaning Geelong professionals, the advantages of gutter preservation extend much beyond just keeping your gutters clean.

[theiteducation]

What is Connected & Strongly Connected Components in Graph

What is Connected & Strongly Connected Components in Graph

What is Connected & Strongly Connected Components in Graph. Let learn in Urdu & Hindi for the course CS502 and Cs702. A directed graph is called strongly connected if there is a path in each direction between each pair of vertices(u,v). It means if U vertex can reach to V vertex and V vertac can reach to Vertex U in the graph. That is, a path exists from the first vertex in the pair to the…

[covenlegacy]

What about a Namjoon personality reading?

Namjoon personality

Insight, calmness and understanding. It emphasizes intuitive perception and the ability to comprehend.

He likes to take time for himself and everything that surrounds us. It seems to carry an idle state, when we seem to do nothing intelligible and useful, but this free time turns out to be surprisingly important and filled. Aimed at a rich and deep spiritual experience. It can be a variety of ideas, fantasies, dreams, pictures, images, feelings, which are not so much a product of pure imagination, but of intuitive perception, catching.

Silent, restrained and secretive, because in most cases he cannot clearly articulate something, formulate it. He needs time to find words.

He is not inclined to rush into making decisions and with some energetic actions. This is a person of exceptionally fine mental organization, who prefers an intuitive approach to life.

 If we take Jung’s typology, then this is a person with a pronounced functional dominant of intuition, a living vessel of divination. He recognizes something as right only when he “feels” that it is right, trusts his inner voice that warns and guides. He knows what needs to be done and what can be forgotten. He does not show much activity, does not rush into battle, but at the same time he knows how to react sensitively to ongoing events - to take his legs off in time or vice versa, to increase momentum.

He seems to act illogically, irrationally, at times simply strange, but in the end he comes to the finish line with a very good result. It seems that it is supported by an invisible powerful hand. In general, he quite strongly influences reality, on those around him, although it is not clear due to what (in the case of the Emperor, for example, it is much clearer). This person needs free time for himself in order to hear and hear himself, and therefore cannot stand harassment and rigid systems. In this regard, you can not demand much from him. This person has very strong ties to the hidden forces behind reality. But connections with reality itself are not so reliable and can give slack. He does not cope well with everyday fuss and stress, and therefore he is distinguished by his desire for loneliness, isolation and abandonment to himself. He naturally gravitates towards a life of silence and distance. His spiritual and creative needs definitely dominate over social and everyday ones. Dreams and ancient legends are full of much more meaning and logic for him than what is reported in the daily news. He is secretive and restrained, outwardly it seems coldish and aloof. 

He likes drinking parties, hanging out with friends, carefree and easy pastime, and who is disgusted with any serious work. In fact, he is able to color life with bright colors and enjoy every hour lived.

He is handsome, he has everything in abundance, and it cannot be said that he values ​​all this very much.

They are talented and sophisticated, leading a bohemian lifestyle and prone to dizziness from success. Plus presumably problems with alcohol.

Full integration of the personality, acceptance of all its components, liberation from contradictions, achievement of the heights of self-actualization. Full understanding of one’s own inner nature and surrounding external forces. The ability to accept the world as it is and to find one’s true place in it.

This is an indicator of a person who has reached the heights of personal perfection, there is something special and incomprehensible in him, and looking at him it comes to mind that “the world rests on such people.”

He took very significant steps towards himself, towards truth and wholeness.

In inner life, this is the completion of the most important stage in the formation of personality. As Hollander writes, “There is no possibility of a crash here, because there is no more chance of making a false choice. Everything you do is right. And you are entitled to everything you have. You know who you are. You know why you exist. And all answers serve as confirmation of your destiny.

Also planetary consciousness, cosmic thinking, respect for all forms of life, mercy and striving for perfection.

Wisdom, respect and self-confidence. Don’t be afraid to be alone and go your own way. Can explain to others and be a teacher in this.

Selfishness, possessiveness and obsession. Fear for one’s place in the group. Power and inflexibility in the struggle for order, stability and structure in life. He hides the fact that he loves control.

He does not show infantilism, naivety, innocence, sincerity and innocence to the camera, a sort of inner child, devoid of doubts, duplicity and other troubles of adulthood. Hides his sentimentality. He hides his past, his self-confidence and poise from the cameras.

Not self-confident, practical, thoughtful, constantly thinking about the future.

Objective perception of reality, scientific thinking, mental flexibility. A constant student, constantly expanding his horizons. Reasonable, and likes to speculate on philosophical topics. Logical, positive, free in thoughts. Filosovsky perceives life and all its twists and turns.

He likes to step back and look at life from the outside, and then discover something new because of this. Constant development and progress, the desire to be better, faster and stronger.

Innate ability to learn and resist. Rejection of the past. Past habits, connections.

Wise and fearless, but he behaves radically.

Frank, sincere, spontaneous, very mobile and sometimes prone to escapism.

Optimism, idealism, originality, unusual perception. Open, inquisitive, and naive. Immature and infantile. Sometimes shows absurdity, chaos and lack of discipline.

Irritable, harsh, authoritarian, domineering. Brutal, uncompromising and assertive. Stubborn, wayward, omniscient. He does what he wants and how he wants.

Ironic, sarcastic, loner.

[hotpodsummer]

Welcome to the 2021 Hot Pod Summer Exchange! Hot Pod Summer is a fic exchange challenge focused on Crooked Media podcast hosts, contributors to Crooked Media podcasts, real-life partners of pod hosts, and/or Crooked Media employees.

Rules:

You can nominate anyone who is a Crooked Media podcast host, a contributor to a Crooked Media podcast, any real-life partners of pod hosts, or any Crooked Media employees.

You can request between 3 and 6 relationships, and offer between 4 and 10 relationships.

Your assignment must be a complete textual story (no WIPs, please) of at least 1,500 words.

Your work must be archive locked so only registered users can access it.

How do I get in touch with the mods for this exchange? You can email us at hotpodsummer@gmail.com. 

Schedule

Nominations: April 30th-May 6th, 2021

Sign-ups open: May 7th, 2021 

Sign-ups close: May 16th, 2021 at 11:59PM EDT (what time is that for me?) 

Assignments go out: May 17th, 2021 

Default deadline: July 11th, 2021 at 11:59PM EDT

Assignments due: July 18th, 2021 at 11:59PM EDT (what time is that for me?)

Staggered reveals: July 25th-30th, 2021

Author reveals: August 5th, 2021

FAQ

Nominations

What can I nominate?

You can nominate relationships that include anyone associated with Crooked Media as a podcast host or contributor, a real-life partner of a pod host, or a Crooked Media employee.

A relationship can include two or more people. Please note that romantic relationships are denoted by / and platonic relationships are denoted by &. Thus, if you’d like to see a romantic story between person A and person B, you’d nominate that relationship as A/B. If you wanted to receive purely platonic fic without any romantic components, you’d nominate them as A&B. You can also combine & and / and nominate, for example, A/B & C, in which case A/B would be romantic and C would be a platonic part of the ship.

How do I nominate relationships for this exchange?

Go to the tag set! You're allowed to nominate up to 5 relationships during the nomination phase.

Sign-ups

How do sign-ups work?

On the collection page, find the button that says ‘Sign up’ and follow the prompts. You can request and offer any of the previously nominated relationships (no matter if you nominated them or not). You can request between 3 and 6 relationships for which you’d like to receive fic, and can offer to write between 4 and 10 relationships.

Do I have to write a letter to my author?

No, you do not have to write a letter to your author, though you are absolutely welcome to write a letter with optional details, prompts, or whatever else strikes your fancy. Leaving your author optional details in the sign-up field is not required either, but strongly encouraged. The details are optional, but some authors find it helpful to know what kind of story you’d like to receive, which tropes or prompts you’d really like to see written, or what your Do Not Wants (DNWs) are.

How does matching work?

The Hot Pod Summer exchange matches on relationships. Your assigned recipient will have requested at least one relationship that you offered to write. If you have entered optional details or DNWs in your AO3 sign-up boxes, these may also be taken into account when matching. Once matching is done, you will receive an email with your recipient’s AO3 username and their requests.

Assignments

What are the requirements for the story I’m writing?

Your story must feature at least one of the relationships requested by your recipient. It must also be a complete story (no “I’m posting chapter 1 now and other chapters later”, please!) of at least 1,500 words.

If I offered more than one ship that my recipient requested, which one do I write? If I want to write a ship they requested that I didn’t offer, am I allowed to do that?

As long as your story features at least one of the ships they requested, you’re good. If you offered more than one of their ships, which one you end up writing is totally up to you.

Is my assignment a secret?

Your assignment is a secret until authors are revealed. Please do not discuss the story you’re writing publicly, we all want to be surprised on reveals day. :) If you need to contact your recipient because you have a question about their sign-up or for whatever other reason, please do not contact them directly, even anonymously! Instead, email us at hotpodsummer@gmail.com and we will contact your recipient to ensure anonymity is maintained.

What if I can’t complete my assignment before the deadline?

Please reach out to us. We’re here to help, but we have to know if there’s a problem. We have a default deadline set for a week before assignments are due and while we understand that last-minute things can happen, it would really help mods with planning if we got a heads-up from you a week before your assignment is due if you think you won’t be able to turn in a story -- just hit the ‘default’ button on your My Assignments page if you need to. That way, we can send your assignment to a pinch hitter and ensure your recipient doesn’t go gift-less.

Am I guaranteed to receive a gift?

If you signed up for the exchange and turned in a story, you are guaranteed to receive a gift. If you default and your author does not, you will also receive a gift. If you default and your author defaults as well, you may not receive a gift, depending on availability of pinch hitters.

Can I make a fanmix/video/draw fanart instead of writing a story?

This is a writing exchange, so for your assignment, please stick to writing a story of at least 1,500 words. You’re welcome to add art, music, etc. to the story you wrote, but this is primarily a fanfiction exchange.

Can I write more than one story for my recipient?

Oh my god, you overachiever! :) Yes, you totally can. In that case, you’d post the extra gift as a treat, but you’re of course only asked to write one story.

What is a pinch hitter and how do I become one?

A pinch hitter fills in for somebody else who can’t complete their assignment and writes a story for that person’s recipient. A pinch hitter may be somebody who’s already participating in the exchange, but if you aren’t formally participating in the exchange and would like to pinch hit instead, you’re more than welcome to. If you’d like to pinch hit, please fill out the form any time after sign-ups begin (it will be linked here and/or posted on social media) or email us at hotpodsummer@gmail.com.

Can I write treats?

YES. All requests will be made public after assignments go out and if you’re inspired by one (or more!) requests that aren’t your assignment, you’re welcome to write a little bonus story (=a treat) on top of your assignment for anybody else who signed up for the exchange. You may also write treats if you aren’t officially participating in the exchange. Treats do not have to fulfill the minimum word count and may be multimedia.

How do I find a beta reader for my story?

If you’d like another pair of eyes on your story before you publish it, you can email hotpodsummer@gmail.com. In the email, please tell us: the ship you’re writing, the word count of your story, and what kind of beta you need (for example: SPAG, structure, canon, special knowledge of [certain subject or matter], etc.) and we’ll try our best to connect you with someone to look it over for you, though we can’t guarantee it.

I would like to beta someone else’s story!

Great! Sign up using this form here and if anyone needs a beta, we may contact you with their request.

Posting

How do I post my assignment?

In the top right corner of AO3, where it says “Hi, [your username]”, select “My assignments” from the dropdown menu, find the Hot Pod Summer exchange and click “Fulfill”. You’ll be taken to a form where you can input your story, title, etc. Preview it, make sure it looks how you want it to, and click on Post. Your story will automatically post into the Hod Pod Summer collection as a gift to your recipient. It will remain unrevealed in the collection until an admin reveals it.

Can I edit my story after the deadline?

Yes, you can edit your story until it’s revealed, but please do not upload an unfinished story.

How do I post a treat?

Posting a treat works a little bit differently than posting your assignment. In order to post a treat, you have to visit the Hot Pod Summer collection page (you’re probably on it now if you’re reading this FAQ) and click “Post to collection”. This will take you to a posting form that has the collection name already filled in, so it’ll be posted in the right place. From there, fill in the AO3 name of your treat recipient manually and then input your title, story, etc., preview it to make sure it looks the way you want it to look, and then click on Post.

Story reveals

What are staggered reveals and why are you doing them?

Staggered reveals mean that we’re only publishing a small number of stories at a time every day, thus, you might get your gift on any day during the reveals period. We’re doing this so every story can get the attention it deserves and readers aren’t overwhelmed by a lot of stories dropping at the same time.

How do staggered reveals work?

We will email you the night before the story you wrote will go live (please check your email!). That way, you’ll have the chance to put that day’s date on your story and make sure it appears at the top of the collection once your story is revealed.

Do I have to comment on my gift?

Look, we can’t mandate it, but please comment on your gift. It’s the polite thing to do if somebody else took the time and effort to write a story for you. 

Any other questions?

Email us at hotpodsummer@gmail.com and one of us will get back to you.

[ayuuria]

Yashahime Translation: Animage Magazine September 2020 Issue

Please do not repost this translation without my consent! This includes screenshots of any type and amount. If you wish to share this translation, simply link to this post.

For more information regarding the use of my translations, click here.

This is an old article that was published back in August of 2020, before Yashahime began airing so please keep that in mind as you read this. I never translated this article until now so this is not a reprint or anything like that.

The Half-Demon Girls 2020 autumn SPOTLIGHT!

The feudal and modern era, the fantasy adventure that traverses the two time periods has started once again in the Reiwa period. The curtains will finally rise this fall on the feudal fairytale full of mystery and romanticism spun by three half-demon girls.

“Inuyasha” (original work by Takahashi Rumiko, published in Shōnen Sunday Comics) is an action adventure that was unfolded by a half-demon living in the feudal era named Inuyasha and a modern girl who time traveled to the feudal era named Higurashi Kagome. The anime ran from 2000 – 2004 and the depicts complex, jumbled human drama between humans and demons and the struggle for the Shikon Jewel. “Inuyasha The Final Act” was broadcasted from 2009 – 2010 which concluded the series and brought the curtains to a close.

Continuing that world and depicting a new adventure is “Hanyō no Yashahime”. Living in two different eras while still being twins are Towa and Setsuna, Sesshōmaru’s (Inuyasha’s elder brother) daughters. Then there’s Inuyasha and Kagome’s daughter, Moroha. These three girls who have both human and demon blood are the protagonists of this work. Why did these girls end up moving together? Who is Towa and Setsuna’s mother? Why are the three of them living separately from their parents?... Currently, the full story is wrapped in mystery.

This month, we went directly to Sumisawa Katsuyuki-san who was the series composition writer and script writer for “Inuyasha” and “Inuyasha The Final Act” and now for this current work as well. For the anime staff too, the feelings for the Inuyasha series seems to have strongly taken root even now.

Higurashi Towa Sesshōmaru’s daughter and Setsuna’s elder twin sister. She slipped through time when she was little and was raised as Sōta’s (Kagome’s younger brother) daughter. She tends to get into fights easily.

Setsuna Sesshōmaru’s daughter and Towa’s younger twin sister. However, she does not remember Towa whom she was separated from when they were little. She is a member of the demon slayers headed by Kohaku.

Moroha Inuyasha and Kagome’s daughter who has lived on her own since early childhood. She spends her days slaying demon bounties and takes the alias of “The monster killing Moroha”.

Sesshōmaru’s Two Daughters

Cool and beautiful, the proud and cool-headed Sesshōmaru was a prominently popular character in “Inuyasha”. His daughters, Towa and Setsuna, also have traces of him about them. “Setsuna and Towa strongly inherited Sesshōmaru’s “Yin” and “Yang” respectively. For that purpose, when thinking about their image, Rumiko-sensei also stated, “Please forget about the mother’s existence for now” (Sumisawa)

Behind the Character Creation

The character designs for Towa, Setsuna, and Moroha were done by Takahashi Rumiko-sensei. “At the beginning, Rumiko-sensei told us “I can’t draw a character if I don’t understand them”. The designs depicted here are the result of finally getting the OK after presenting many setting plans from our end.” (Sumisawa)

The Characters of “Inuyasha” Too

Sōta, who is the parent who raises Towa, is a familiar existence to “Inuyasha” fans. In addition, Kohaku, who is the head of the demon slayer group that Setsuna is a part of, is the little brother of Sango who is Inuyasha’s comrade. He was also an important character who held the key to the struggle for the Shikon Jewel. Will other characters from “Inuyasha” make an appearance besides them?

The Feudal Fairytale Going Between Two Eras Series Composition: Sumisawa Katsuyuki

— First, please tell us the details of how this work came about.

Sumisawa: Over 3 years ago, the producer for anime “Inuyasha”, Suwa Michihiko, said to me “I want you to write a continuation for “Inuyasha””. I thought “Goodness, what is this person saying” (laughs). Afterall, “Inuyasha” was concluded. Takahashi Rumiko-sensei is a perfect original creator so there wasn’t a single unanswered thing. I don’t think there are many mangas that conclude so beautifully and properly that it’s deeply moving. On top of that, I wrote the script for the anime called “Inuyasha The Final Act” and brought it to an end myself, so depicting something beyond that is impossible.

— What sort of story direction did Suwa-san come up with?

Sumisawa: When I also asked back “Inuyasha and Kagome don’t have any problems, the Bone Eater’s Well (which connects the modern and feudal era) can no longer be traversed, Naraku was defeated and the Shikon Jewel is gone. What sort of story would we make?” and he responded, “Coming up with (a story) is your job isn’t it” (laughs).

— That is a very unreasonable request (laughs).

Sumisawa: Yes. That’s why I put it on the backburner for over 2 years after that. It’s just that when I was invited to and attended an anime event in Washington D.C, there was a person there cosplaying the Great Dog Demon (Inuyasha and Sesshōmaru’s father). That person said to me “Please hurry and make a sequel to “Inuyasha”!”. It seems that even now, they felt that “Inuyasha” was still a passionate real time work. With that, what I came up with after rethinking “Maybe I can write something with this” was “the story of Sesshōmaru’s daughter”.

— Why Sesshōmaru’s child instead of Inuyasha and Kagome’s child?

Sumisawa: When the work features the child of the protagonist as the main character, the parents steal show when they make an appearance. Even Rumiko-sensei analyzed that “Even if you make it a story about Inuyasha’s son confronting some incident, you can’t surpass the method in which the problem was resolved in the work “Inuyasha”, so it’s impossible”. In that case, I suggested to Rumiko-sensei “If it’s Sesshōmaru’s daughter, it would be a different development”.

— What was Takahashi-san’s reaction when she heard that idea?

Sumisawa: At first, she was unsure like “Hmm” for a long time. It’s only natural. Among the characters that Rumiko-sensei created, Sesshōmaru was a character that she had a strong emotional attachment to. However, she told me “But if it’s Sumisawa-san, it might be doable” and I said, “Please allow me to do this!”. I was grateful that Rumiko-sensei trusted me. I strongly felt that I had to live up to that trust. Actually, I thought of an idea where the setting would be the “modern era” and Sesshōmaru’s daughters would fight demons with Sesshōmaru being mostly uninvolved. However, that didn’t work at all. Now, I’m embarrassed at myself for coming up with that plan.

— That sounds entertaining in it of itself.

Sumisawa: No. First, the atmosphere wouldn’t be serious. Also, if you don’t have the component of going between the feudal and modern eras, it wouldn’t be the “Inuyasha” world. If you only have one (era), it wouldn’t be “a feudal fairytale”.

— Then, how was the title “Hanyō no Yashahime” decided?

Sumisawa: We didn’t really struggle to come up with this title. Rumiko-sensei invented the word "half-demon” (half human and half demon), so “HANYO” is understood overseas. Thus, we purposely put this globally understood word “half-demon” into the title. “Yashahime” is used in other (works) as well, so our aim was to put something in front. The “feudal fairytale” in the logo “Is like what “mobile suit” is to “Gundam”” as Sunrise’s Ogata Naohiro-san put it.

— So it becomes a new feudal fairytale with the half-demon girls as the main characters.

Sumisawa: The thing is, I said earlier that “Inuyasha” was a manga that didn’t leave a single thing unanswered, but actually, there’s a little bit of content that wasn’t shown in the anime. For example, when Rumiko-sensei did a one-time revival of “Inuyasha” for the Great East Japan Earthquake revitalization support project, “Heroes Come Back”. This was published in volume 30 of the “Inuyasha” Wide Edition comics. That and to show “Inuyasha The Final Act” within the episode limit, we ended up not touching some of the episodes (within the manga). So I thought I had to write those in.

— Currently, the two biggest questions fans have been focused on are “Why are Inuyasha, Kagome, and Sesshōmaru not raising their children?” and “Who is Sesshōmaru’s wife?”

Sumisawa:

Yes. I can’t answer that here, but under Takahashi Rumiko-sensei’s supervision, there’s no way we would leave out those very important topics. Of course, these are properly shown in the main story so look forward to seeing it. Please be at ease.

[evidence-based-activism]

Mass Media vs Porn

So, a series of comments made me interested in the relationship between sexualized mass media and pornography. My views on porn are already well fleshed out (I’ve made and reblogged a few posts about it, and have more I haven’t posted yet), so I decided to look through the literature and try and form some kind of an opinion about mass media.

Unfortunately, but unsurprisingly, considering “media” is far more broad than “porn” the data is less clear. 

For starters, while harm is inherent to the production of the porn (I and others have made/reblogged several posts about this but you can start here and here), production of movies or television shows (even when they contain horror or action scenes) does not usually cause harm to the actors/those involved in the creation. 

(Of course, there are exceptions and accidents where actors are hurt doing stunts or because of negligence. There’s also a very significant sexual harassment and assault problem in the entertainment industry. However, these problems are not, for lack of a better term, endemic to the entertainment industry, while rape and exposure to STDs (for example) are endemic to the porn industry.)

So, that’s a main difference between the two. But what about the consumption of mass media?

That’s where things got...fuzzier. 

Looking through the research, some studies concluded that there was no evidence at that time of a relationship between violent media and violent behavior:

A meta analysis in 2009 indicated their results “do not support the conclusion that media violence leads to aggressive behavior” [1]

Another meta analysis in 2008 concludes that “he evidence is not adequate to claim that exposure to violent TV is a significant source of violence in U.S. society” [2]

A meta analysis in 2004 concludes that there is “the body of published, empirical evidence on [media violence] does not establish that viewing violent portrayals causes crime” [3]

A review from 2007 indicates that “when integrated with other long-term studies on the development of crime, it is concluded that the link between media violence and crime is weak after other environmental factors are taken into account” [4]

Another study from 1986 finds no association between rates of violent crime and prevalence of violent media in a population based study** [5] 

Another study from 2009 found “television violence exposure was not predictive of any form of youth aggression” [6]

**This result should be interpreted with caution as attempts to isolate specific causes of crime or violence on a population level are generally full of confounding factors. I included this study because it helps complete a picture, not because it definitely determines any particular relationship. 

However, these were primarily concerned with violent behavior, which doesn’t necessarily give us the full picture, for example:

The studies complied in [1] either measured violent behavior or used unreliable scales for aggression

Studies [2] [3] [4] and [5] looks specifically at criminal aggression/violent crime

Only study [6] looked past overt criminally violent behavior

Note: This is another place where mass media effects diverge from effects of porn, as there is significant evidence linking porn use to criminal behavior (start here and here).

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Other studies found some relationship between media violence and aggression:

One study found individuals with high trait aggression (a predisposition) were (1) more likely to select a violent film when given a choice, (2) reported a greater increase in anger than individuals with low trait aggression after viewing the violent film, and (3) displayed more aggressive behavior on a lab specific task [7]

Another study documents that there are short-term increases in negative emotions and subsequent behavior after viewing violent media, at least for younger children. Long term effects are harder to establish, but there does appear to be a trend that possibly emerges only in combination with other risk factors. [8]

Another study found modest affects of media violence on aggressive thoughts of behavior. This one found that only children displayed longer-term effects [9]

A study from 1986 found media violence in and of itself didn’t not predict violent behavior, but that heavy doses of violent media consumption in combination with parental violence did [10] 

A final study indicates that media violence is a risk factor for aggression, but is only one among many. This article mainly focuses on the need for a multivariate approach that considers interactions between consumption of violent media and a host of other factors [11]

Note: These results appear more similar (if more mild) to the effects of porn on violence and misogynistic beliefs. (Again see this post). They mirror how certain individuals are at a higher risk for maladaptive responses, and how the issue is multifactorial. However, they also indicate the effects are more limited (i.e. only to children) or less primary than the effects of porn.

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Another difference to porn is that the negative effects of violent media on children (the main “at risk” group) may potentially be alleviated by discussing and evaluating the media with them (i.e. helping them develop media literacy). [12]

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Despite this, I found a few compelling articles linking media violence to aggression:

One extensive meta analysis found a link between violent video game use and physical aggression. They suggest that other factors either moderate or facilitate this association. [13]

A report by the American Psychological Association confirms this effect of video games [14]

Another study found a significant connection between the exposure to violent content involving real people on the internet and seriously violent behavior. [15]

Note: I tentatively suggest that the connection between violent media and violence found in these studies may be stronger due to (1) the interactive nature of the mediums and (2) the exposure to real people. By this I mean, both video games and browsing/searching for content on the internet is more interactive than passively watching movies or television. Further, the effects found in [15] applied mainly when the observed violence was happening to real people. 

This has substantial implications for the effects of porn, as most pornography is  now sought out on the internet, closely engaged with (masturbation), and depicts real people (engaged in real violence).

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So what does this suggest?

Overall, this literature suggests to me that (1) there is a connection between violent media and aggression, (2) this connection is embedded within a framework of other risk factors, (3) certain groups are at higher risk which indicates we are right to limit children from accessing some forms of media**, (4) the negative effects of violent media may be alleviated through the development of media literacy, (5) pornography has an effect on cognitions and behaviors that violent media in general does not appear to have. 

**A report by the American Academy of Pediatrics discusses this more throughly. [16]

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What happens, however, if we introduce sexualized elements to the mix? 

One study found that sexually violent and sexually explicit mass media correlated with acceptance of domestic and sexual violence acts and myths, as well as actual perpetration and victimization. Preexisting attitudes moderate this relationship. [17]

Exposure to sexualized violence in mass media decreased sympathy to rape victims [18]

When women are shown as deserving or enjoying the sexualized violence aimed against them, men indicated more acceptance of violence against women [19]

Exposure to objectifying media later increased men’s self-reported likelihood to act as an acquaintance rapist [20]

As such, there is evidence of a correlation between exposure to media that affirms misogynistic attitudes (such as the endorsement of acquaintance rape) and belief in these attitudes. 

Therefore it is also important to note that some studies [19] [20] and [21] indicate that improving media literacy (i.e. critical examination of the media) could mitigate acceptance of rape myths and misogynistic attitudes. This potential to critically examine the material presented potentially separates sexualized violence in mass media from sexual violence in porn. 

On the other hand, other studies elaborate on the connection between objectifying media and self-objectification [22] and the damaging prevalence of sexualization of girls in various forms of media [23] and [24]*. This strongly suggests the sexualization of girls in media has far-reaching, negative, consequences. 

*there is evidence that girls exposed to sexualizing and objectifying media are more likely to experience body dissatisfaction, depression, and lower self- esteem ... [as well as affecting] girls’ sexual development. Furthermore, girls’ relationships with boys and men are affected in that exposure to sexualizing and objectifying media has been shown to relate to girls’ and boys’ views on dating, boys’ sexual harassment of girls, and attitudes toward sexual violence.

These, I think, provide compelling evidence that sexualization of women and girls in media still perpetuates sexism. In some cases, this may potentially be addressed via increasing media literacy. The prevalent sexualization of girls however, would likely require more approaches. 

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tl;dr Violence in mass media is not the same as in porn. It may still be harmful, and such effects should be addressed (potentially via media literacy). Some groups are more vulnerable to media violence, and some forms of media violence are more severe. In any case, media violence is one of many components in a complex web of factors leading to aggression, and should be addressed within said web. Sexualized violence may help perpetuate misogynistic myths in society and negatively impact women and girls. Some of these affects may be addressed though improving media literacy, others require different approaches. 

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[To deal with how tumblr handles links I’m going to reblog this post with the sources list.]

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[dreaminginthedeepsouth]

My Great Grandmother’s Siblings

*

I am rereading Carl Jung's "Memories Dreams and Reflections" which had a profound influence on me as a 20-something year old and continues to illuminate. "When I was working on the stone tablets, I became aware of the fateful links between me and my ancestors. I feel very strongly that I am under the influence of things or questions which were left incomplete and unanswered by my parents and grandparents and more distant ancestors. It often seems as if there were an impersonal karma within a family, which is passed on from parents to children. It has always seemed to me that I had to answer questions which fate had posed to my forefathers, and which had not yet been answered, or as if I had to complete, or perhaps continue, things which previous ages had left unfinished. It is difficult to determine whether these questions are more of a personal or more of a general (collective) nature. It seems to me that the latter is the case. A collective problem, if not recognized as such, always appears as a personal problem, and in individual cases may give the impression that something is out of order in the realm of the personal psyche. The personal sphere is indeed disturbed, but such disturbances need not be primary; they may well be secondary, the consequence of an insupportable change in the social atmosphere. The cause of disturbance is, therefore, not to be sought in the personal surroundings, but rather in the collective situation. Psychotherapy has hitherto taken this matter far too little into account. Our souls as well as our bodies are composed of individual elements which were all already present in the ranks of our ancestors. The “newness” in the individual psyche is an endlessly varied recombination of age-old components. Body and soul therefore have an intensely historical character and find no proper place in what is new, in things that have just come into being. That is to say, our ancestral components are only partly at home in such things. We are very far from having finished completely with the Middle Ages, classical antiquity, and primitivity, as our modern psyches pretend. Nevertheless, we have plunged down a cataract of progress which sweeps us on into the future with ever wilder violence the farther it takes us from our roots. Once the past has been breached, it is usually annihilated, and there is no stopping the forward motion. But it is precisely the loss of connection with the past, our uprootedness, which has given rise to the “discontents” of civilization and to such a flurry and haste that we live more in the future and its chimerical promises of a golden age than in the present, with which our whole evolutionary background has not yet caught up. We rush impetuously into novelty, driven by a mounting sense of insufficiency, dissatisfaction, and restlessness. We no longer live on what we have, but on promises, no longer in the light of the present day, but in the darkness of the future, which, we expect, will at last bring the proper sunrise. We refuse to recognize that everything better is purchased at the price of something worse; that, for example, the hope of greater freedom is canceled out by increased enslavement to the state, not to speak of the terrible perils to which the most brilliant discoveries of science expose us. The less we understand of what our fathers and forefathers sought, the less we understand ourselves, and thus we help with all our might to rob the individual of his roots and his guiding instincts, so that he becomes a particle in the mass, ruled only by what Nietzsche called the spirit of gravity."

[inovifertility]

Chromosomal abnormalities and genetic diseases can reduce fertility

Let's start with what we know for sure: many people are unable to conceive or carry on a pregnancy due to genetic and chromosomal abnormalities. This means that some individuals have inherited a pathology that could inhibit the cellular development of the sperm or make it almost impossible to implant the embryo and its normal growth in the uterus.

There are chromosomal deletions, in which part of a chromosome is missing, as well as mutations that involve changes in the DNA. Furthermore, translocations also occur in which portions of chromosomes attach themselves to the wrong chromosome. Inversions can occur, where the chromosome is upside down, and also a phenomenon called aneuploidy, in which the number of chromosomes is too high or too low. Genetic diseases can be passed on from a parent, and thus inherited, or develop spontaneously in the fetus - for no reason.

"Sometimes, a person may have all the genetic information - nothing is missing so there is no visible health risk - but if there is a structural mutation in those chromosomes, it can lead to a fertility problem," he explains to HuffPost. Marie Shuetzle, genetic counselor and head of the reproductive genetics team at InformedDNA.

If a person carries an abnormal chromosome, the embryo may receive missing or excess genetic information, which can lead to miscarriage and other reproductive risks. Importantly, such abnormalities can occur causally in a fetus from chromosomally normal parents, but many are also passed on from generation to generation. For example, if your mother has an abnormal X chromosome, you will have a 50% chance of inheriting that abnormality, as the National Institutes of Health states.

 "Cystic fibrosis is associated with male infertility due to an abnormal or absent vas deferens [which allows sperm to pass], which causes reduction or absence of sperm in semen," Schuetzle explains. "Cystic fibrosis has minimal impact on female fertility. However, if an affected woman is very ill and / or underweight, her ovulation may be irregular or absent."

Genetics might affect the quality and quantity of sperm, but the chances are slim.

Doctors generally cannot identify the specific cause of most abnormalities in sperm production (which, in technical jargon, is called male factor infertility).

"The family risk when faced with a mild or even moderate male factor is minimal," a reproductive endocrinologist at the Connecticut Center for Reproductive Medicine.

In men, however, there are some serious genetic abnormalities that can cause a very low sperm concentration or even a lack of sperm production. These are inheritable disorders. Often, however, these serious anomalies cause absolute infertility and, therefore, will not be transmitted to future generations only through sexual intercourse.

There is no simple answer to determining what the role of genetics is in endometriosis. Rather, it is believed to be a multifactorial pathology: that is, environmental, hereditary and acquired factors come into play.

"In the case of endometriosis, the role of genetics has only been partially understood," explains William. In general, the risk is higher if first degree relatives are affected.

For example, if your mother or sister has endometriosis, your risk is about 5-7 times higher than if you don't have a close relative with the condition. But this does not presuppose any certainty: the fact that a woman from the same family has endometriosis does not necessarily imply a familiarity with the disease.

And for women in certain populations, such as African Americans, the chances of developing uterine fibroids are increased three to four times, The age of menopause is hereditary.

The age and speed at which eggs decline have a probable genetic component. Some experts believe that when a mother has gone through menopause is one of the biggest indicators of how old her daughter will go into menopause.

"The age of menopause tends to be passed down among women of the same family,". If a woman in your family went through menopause very early, then you will be at greater risk

In some women, so-called premature ovarian failure occurs, leading to the onset of menopause before the age of forty. Research has found that in 10-15% of cases, a close relative reported the same pathology.

Polycystic ovary syndrome can cause fertility problems and is usually an inherited condition.

The syndrome polycystic ovarian syndrome , a hormonal imbalance that causes cysts, irregular cycles, is among the most common causes of infertility. Studies have shown that this syndrome is strongly influenced by genetics, although environmental factors cannot be excluded.

"There is a genetic predisposition to polycystic ovary syndrome whose rate is likely to be higher than other conditions [endometriosis or fibroids], Several studies have shown that up to 40% of sister couples have similar hormonal changes or problems compatible with the syndrome. "

But despite the higher chances of experiencing the same hormonal disorders, if a relative has polycystic ovary syndrome, it's hard to tell if a woman is doomed to infertility because of these issues. Experts have not yet found a link that connects everything - namely the genetic makeup that causes polycystic ovary syndrome which, in turn, would cause infertility.  check over here for further information.

[juniperpublishersoceanography]

Seasonal Prediction of Marine Ecosystems: How Close Are We?- Juniper Publishers

Abstract

The primary purpose of this article is to supply definitive statements regarding current skills in seasonal prediction with emphasis on marine ecosystem indicators and how forecasts could be possibly used for societal benefit. To enhance skills and setting priorities toward the further development and application of the existing dynamical models for seasonal prediction one has to recognize that this kind of process necessarily requires robust interactions amongst the biophysical science and applications communities and a delicate balance between scientific feasibility and application requirements. Also, recommendations for improving seasonal prediction skills and enhancing the use of seasonal prediction information for applications are outlined.

Introduction

A marine ecosystem is a complex nonlinear dynamical system, with significant spatial variability, strongly linked to the circulation of the atmosphere and oceans, and temporal variability ranging from hours to decades. Marine ecosystem forecasters interact with society mainly because of the latter's demands for accurate and detailed ocean environmental forecasts. The complexity concerning the oceanic ecosystem demonstrates that quantitative predictions can only be made using comprehensive numerical models, which encode the relevant laws of dynamics, thermodynamics and biochemistry for a complex dynamical system. Typically, such models include some millions of scalar equations, describing the interaction of physics and biochemistry on scales ranging from tens of kilometres to tens of hundreds of kilometres. These equations can only be solved on large computers.

Predictability � Theory and Models

The maximum predictability of a marine ecosystem is yet to be achieved in operational seasonal forecasting. This positioning is based upon the recognition that the model error continues to limit forecast quality and that the interactions among the nonlinear terms of the ecosystem set the limits of predictability. The fact that model error continues to be problematic is evident from the need for successful calibration efforts and the efficient use of empirical techniques to improve dynamical model forecasts. Essentially there is untapped predictability since that we currently may not take into consideration important interactions among the physical and biological components of the ecosystem. The maximum achievable predictability is unknown and assessing this limit requires much additional research.

Chaos theory developed in an attempt to demonstrate the limited predictability of atmospheric variations [1]. In the past, the topic of predictability has been a somewhat theoretical and idealized one and to some extent not used in the practicalities of prediction. The predictability problem could well be formulated e.g. through a Liouville equation [2]. However, in practice, estimates of predictability are created from multiple (ensemble) forecasts of comprehensive atmospheric and ocean prediction models [3-6]. The uncertainty mainly in model error and initialization is quantified by contracting ensemble members, where the individual members of the ensemble differ by small perturbations [7]. For instance, the predictability of weather is largely determined by uncertainty in a forecast's starting conditions [8,9], whilst the predictability of ecosystem variations is also influenced by uncertainty in representing computationally the equations that govern the biogeochemical model (for example, to what extent the phytoplankton species should be represented, and subsequently what will be the model error). Furthermore, chaos theory shows that these kinds of environmental forecasts have to be expressed probabilistically [7]; the laws of physics dictate that relatively long-term accurate weather and ocean forecasts cannot be expected. These probability forecasts quantify uncertainty in weather and ecosystem prediction. The forecaster has to strive to estimate reliable probabilities, not to disseminate predictions with a precision that cannot be justified scientifically. Examples have shown that, in practice, the economic value of a reliable probability forecast (produced from an ensemble prediction system) exceeds the value associated with a single deterministic forecast with uncertain accuracy [10,11].

Scientific indications suggest unequivocally that predictions should be provided only as probabilities, utilizing either ensembles with dynamical models or appropriate alternatives along with empirical models. Metrics involved with probability estimations and their interpretations, are more complex compared to the deterministic ones. The necessity of a procedure that in fact sets a framework including all aspects of seasonal ecosystem forecast is incontestable considering the steadily expanding demand and use of model estimations. The purpose of hind-casts will be the standard method for improving the sample measurements. However, hind-casts may also have many challenging concerns that should be tackled, like insufficient initialization data, non-stationary nature of observing systems and non-stationary nature of the marine ecosystem.

Producing reliable probability forecasts from ensembles of atmospheric/biophysical model integrations put enormous demands on computer resources. Computer power is essential so that one can resolve the details of such a system [12]. It has been argued that, as a result of the nonlinear nature of a given system, systematic mistreatment of small-scale phenomena may lead to the systematic mistreatment of large-scale phenomena. However, one can find reasons for studying small-scale phenomena in their right. From an ecosystem prediction perspective, it is essential to have the ability to simulate such details, if models are able to forecast significant events like spring-blooms or fish stocks. However, this poses a significant dilemma given the current computing resources. To simulate extreme events, models with considerable complexity and resolution are required. On the other hand, estimating changes reliably to the probability distributions of extreme and relatively rare occasions, a large number of ensembles have to be used. One fact is inevitable; the more the necessity to provide reliable forecasts of uncertainty in the predictions of weather and ecosystem, the more the demand for computer power exceeds availability. Indeed the call for quantitative predictions of uncertainty is typically a pertinent consideration related to the design of future generations of supercomputers; ensemble prediction generally is a perfect application for parallel computing.

Model errors, particularly in areas exhibiting strong interannual variability of the ocean circulation and vertical mixing, such as the winter-spring period, continue to hamper seasonal prediction skill. The benefit of reducing the model error has not been overstated. There is a range of strategies for improving models including better representation of the interactions among the elements of the ecosystem (tuning and customization to reduce any model bias), better description of biogeochemical cycles, and substantially increased spatial resolution. All of these strategies ought to be vigorously pursued. Except the model errors, the production of seasonal forecast quality remains hindered using a wide range of factors, including:

I. Scarcity: Unlike daily forecasts, seasonal predictions can be obtained only a few times per year, creating difficulties in accumulating the information required to provide stable estimates of great quality (together with the expense of producing the predictions when ensembles are utilized),

II. Changes in variability: Predictability of ecosystem variables varies between years, across the Mediterranean, Atlantic, Baltic and Black Sea with strong evidence that these variations are also related to atmospheric and hydrodynamic variability,

III. Seasonal quality: Most metrics of seasonal forecast quality, are mainly technically presented in a nature not easily communicated to audiences outside the seasonal forecasting community.

Several broad qualitative and quantitative outcomes have been produced from the experiments recommending that seasonal predictions are more skilful in specified regions. Furthermore, climatology, or persisting recent seasonal anomalies in many cases can provide useful information. The quality of seasonal predictions varies on an inter-annual basis, partly connected to inter-annual variability of the specific marine ecosystem dynamics; average quality also differs between particular seasons. The primary seasonal variables of great interest, predictions of specific hydrodynamic variables (temperature, salinity, etc.) usually are of better quality than biogeochemical variables, such as chlorophyll, nutrients, primary production, etc.

Uncertainty and Recommendations - Decision-Making Issues, Societal Benefits

An overall recommendation, but with exceptions, is that initial conditions provided by data assimilation and used for the initialization of seasonal forecasts, improve the model projection but information on spatial patterns is lost quite quickly. It is demonstrated that in some regions and during some seasons, seasonal predictions have quality, but their translation into useful information for end-users is far from optimal; a concerted effort is essential to engage customers and seek their quantitative definition of value, so that the forecasts will be able to be used in decision-making issues. Since the direct connection between seasonal forecast quality and value has not been established, appropriate processes need to be engaged in measuring value in specific decision making instances independently from the assessment of quality. It is worth noted that a better experience in climate variability (e.g., the chances of varied scenarios, despite forecasts) could aid applications/ planning/management. The applying of forecasts requires trust in the overall quality of the forecasts and knowledge of forecast uncertainty.

Forecast initialization is an area that requires active research. Ocean data assimilation has improved forecast quality; however, coupled data assimilation can be a field of active research that is seeking enhanced support and maybe international coordination. There is certainly significant evidence that coupled atmosphere- ocean-biochemical data assimilation should improve forecast quality. Multi-model methodologies [8,13,14] are indeed a useful and practical approach for quantifying forecast uncertainty as a consequence of the model formulation. Still, there are open questions associated with the multi-model approach. For example, the approach is ad-hoc meaning that the choice of models isn't optimized. Nor has the community converged to any best strategy for combining the models. Multi-model calibration activities tend to yield positive results, but considerable work needs to be done, and additional research is required. The multimodel approach should not be utilized to prevent the need to improve models.

Validation has to be undertaken routinely on seasonal dynamical application models. These models ought to be complex enough to capture non-linear interactions, and at the same time being sufficiently simple to avoid over-tuning through non-constrained parameters. The relationship of forecast quality, such as applications of fish models linked to meteorological, biophysical models, is often highly non-linear. Consequently, quality of the prediction of seasonal chlorophyll might not be translated into quality within the prediction of mean fish stock, for example. Such application models like fish models should have additional metrics of forecast quality. Furthermore, these metrics should be suitable for a selected user group.

A clear need to provide information at local scales (space and time) is needed by many applications. Further effort is essential to provide and increase such information, e.g., through statistical and/or dynamical downscaling. Although there are numerous examples of seasonal forecast application (e.g., atmosphere, ocean, water management), there is potential to do considerably more. More progress has to be achieved in bringing seasonal prediction providers and seasonal prediction users together. More effort is required for the development, the production and understanding of probabilistic forecasts. More understanding of what exactly is predictable and what is not. The value of predicting 'extremes' can also be incredibly important.

The societal benefit is not fully realized, partly because there haven’t been adequate interactions among physical scientists associated with seasonal prediction research and production, applications scientists, decision-makers and operational seasonal prediction providers. The issues and problems go beyond merely improving forecast quality and making forecasts readily available. The physical scientists should actively facilitate and understand users' requirements, to provide enhanced climate information, prediction products and services leading to enhanced applications. Users also have to maintain an active dialogue with the physical scientists and forecast providers so that their climate information needs are taken into account. Decision makers should take into account the seasonal forecast information, however, we ought to be aware that our products aren't the only factor they consider within the decision process. Successfully communicating uncertainty and the limitations of seasonal forecasts are essential to the process of making seasonal forecasts useful. It is challenging for several users to make explicit utilization of seasonal forecasts, most importantly when they are not following the needs of many decision makers. In several occasions, our best forecast may simply be climatology that could be useful information. Access to hind-cast data is also essential to assist users in assessing the model performance and the potential benefit from the forecasts. In these data, there is often quantitative information, which users will try to convert into terms that more closely meet their needs. Similar issues can arise regarding the spatial scale of forecast information in which the resolution of regional ecosystem models is considered too coarse for managers or decision makers. Seriously misleading situations can take place when users take information appropriate for the large scale and apply it to local scales without considering the additional uncertainty connected with such action. Application models can be used with seasonal forecasts to provide a metric that combines quality and value. For example, the quality of a seasonal forecast of fish stocks is both a proper measure of skill and a measure of potential value. Seasonal predictability research should be encouraged. Collaborations and interactions with the climate change community need to be supported and have the potential for significant benefits. Indeed, a seasonal prediction is expected to be addressed in the context of a changing climate.

For more about Juniper Publishers please click on: https://twitter.com/Juniper_publish

For more about Oceanography & Fisheries please click on: https://juniperpublishers.com/ofoaj/index.php

[continuations]

Capital is Sufficient (Part 2)

In last week’s post, I provided some data on how much physical capital has grown in the last one hundred years. When measured by certain proxies, such as the production of steel, it looks like about a 30x growth in the last 100 years and nearly 100x if you go back just two decades further to 1900. We also saw that significant growth has occurred since World War II, which as a first approximation is at least a 10x growth.

Now someone might suggest that this growth could all be due to the population explosion, but that’s not the case. Over the same timeframe the global population has grown a lot less: from 1900 to today a bit less than 5x and from the end of World War II to today only by a bit more than 3x. Put differently, the increase in physical capital has far outstripped population growth.

Now one might still question whether this capital is sufficient to meet everyone’s needs as I have asserted. I believe that the strongest evidence for my claim comes from considering what happened during World War II. Here is a chart that shows how government share of GDP in the US spiked during the war years.

Let’s dive a bit deeper and look at the manufacturing efforts. The US ramped production of tanks, airplanes, battleships and guns at an extraordinary clip in the war years. Here is a table that tabulates this for different weapons systems.

The numbers are staggering. For example, in 1943 the US built 2654 major naval vessels. That’s more than 7 every day, or roughly one every three and half hours! In 1944 the US built over 74 thousand combat aircraft, that’s about 8.5 combat aircraft *every hour*.

We are not talking about simple devices here. These are complex high-performance systems with many components (think of the aircraft engines alone!). And that’s just the US production. There were similar scale efforts in Germany, Japan, the UK, and Russia. For example, adding up all the combat aircraft production in 1944 is 185 thousand units, which is 21 aircraft every hour.

Now here in the US while all of this production was happening, people were not starving, there was enough clothing, and were doing surprisingly well overall. But as we saw in last week’s post, the production of cars dropped dramatically — so how were people’s transportation needs met during this time? Through a massive increase in public transportation. The connection was made quite explicitly with the government running ads “When you ride alone, you ride with Hitler.” This is a perfect illustration of separating a need, transportation, from its solutions, in this case individual versus shared mobility.

The continued ability to meet needs while at the same time repurposing half or more of physical capital strongly supports the claim of sufficient capital. As a first approximation much of that capital was previously used to meet wants. And it went back to meeting wants after World War II which partially explains the tremendous economic boom of the post war years.

All of this is to say that today’s economy with at least an order of magnitude more capital than during World War II can easily meet our needs. Importantly it also means that we have plenty of additional capacity that could be allocated to solving the climate crisis. For example, we could dramatically ramp the production of everything from solar panels to nuclear reactors to heat pumps.

But there is more to be gleaned from what happened during World War II production. It isn’t just that we collectively made a lot of complicated stuff rapidly. We also innovated on extremely compressed time scales. The Manhattan project is the most obvious example of that which in a span of three years developed the nuclear bomb. It is hard to exaggerate how extensive this effort was, including for example uranium mining, as well as the exploration of several different bomb designs.

Important technologies were either invented or significantly advanced during World War II. For example, at the beginning of the war, radar was a nascent technology. Towards the end of World War II through the invention of the cavity magnetron, the Allies managed to build radars small and lightweight enough to put on planes. Penicillin, which had been discovered in 1928, was not widely used until mass production was unlocked as part of a secretive World War II effort.

Production and deployment at high volume also drove important improvements. Take fighter planes as an example. Early fighters had limited range which meant that bombers had to fly into enemy territory without escorts. Their only defense against local fighters were plane mounted machine guns. It was only as the war went on that escort fighters of sufficient range were developed to accompany bombers. This was made possible by a combination of technological advances, such as more powerful engines, and the insights gained from battle.

So what are the key takeaways? First, during peacetime mode much of the capital is used to meet wants not needs (the third installment in this post will look at this with regard to all the needs identified). Second, when switched into wartime mode, much of the productive capital can be redirected quickly towards accomplishing specific goals that are different from needs. This was already true at a much lower amount of physical capital per capita than is available today. Third, innovation can in fact be accelerated dramatically by focusing resources on critical problems.

The obvious threat we are facing today that requires a massive reallocation of -- and improvement in -- capital is the climate crisis. Whether this can be accomplished is determined entirely by what we choose to pay attention to. Hence, the defining scarcity of our time is attention, not capital.

[covenlegacy]

Can you also do a Namjoon personality one please?

Insight and insight, calmness and understanding. It emphasizes intuitive perception and the ability to comprehend.

He likes to take time for himself and everything that surrounds us. It seems to carry an idle state, when we seem to do nothing intelligible and useful, but this free time turns out to be surprisingly important and filled. Aimed at a rich and deep spiritual experience. It can be a variety of ideas, fantasies, dreams, pictures, images, feelings, which are not so much a product of pure imagination, but of intuitive perception, catching.

Silent, restrained and secretive, because in most cases he cannot clearly articulate something, formulate it. He needs time to find words.

He is not inclined to rush into making decisions and with some energetic actions. This is a person of exceptionally fine mental organization, who prefers an intuitive approach to life.

If we take Jung's typology, then this is a person with a pronounced functional dominant of intuition, a living vessel of divination. He recognizes something as right only when he “feels” that it is right, trusts his inner voice that warns and guides. He knows what needs to be done and what can be forgotten. He does not show much activity, does not rush into battle, but at the same time he knows how to react sensitively to ongoing events - to take his legs off in time or vice versa, to increase momentum.

He seems to act illogically, irrationally, at times simply strange, but in the end he comes to the finish line with a very good result. It seems that it is supported by an invisible powerful hand. In general, he quite strongly influences reality, on those around him, although it is not clear due to what (in the case of the Emperor, for example, it is much clearer). This person needs free time for himself in order to hear and hear himself, and therefore cannot stand harassment and rigid systems. In this regard, you can not demand much from him. This person has very strong ties to the hidden forces behind reality. But connections with reality itself are not so reliable and can give slack. He does not cope well with everyday fuss and stress, and therefore he is distinguished by his desire for loneliness, isolation and abandonment to himself. He naturally gravitates towards a life of silence and distance. His spiritual and creative needs definitely dominate over social and everyday ones. Dreams and ancient legends are full of much more meaning and logic for him than what is reported in the daily news. He is secretive and restrained, outwardly it seems coldish and aloof.

He likes drinking parties, hanging out with friends, carefree and easy pastime, and who is disgusted with any serious work. In fact, he is able to color life with bright colors and enjoy every hour lived.

He is handsome, he has everything in abundance, and it cannot be said that he values ​​\u200b\u200bit all this very much.

They are talented and sophisticated, leading a bohemian lifestyle and prone to dizziness from success. Plus presumably problems with alcohol.

Full integration of the personality, acceptance of all its components, liberation from contradictions, achievement of the heights of self-actualization. Full understanding of one's own inner nature and surrounding external forces. The ability to accept the world as it is and to find one's true place in it.

This is an indicator of a person who has reached the heights of personal perfection, there is something special and incomprehensible in him, and looking at him it comes to mind that "the world rests on such people."

He took very significant steps towards himself, towards truth and wholeness.

In inner life, this is the completion of the most important stage in the formation of personality. As Hollander writes, “There is no possibility of a crash here, because there is no more chance of making a false choice. Everything you do is right. And you are entitled to everything you have. You know who you are. You know why you exist. And all answers serve as confirmation of your destiny.

Also planetary consciousness, cosmic thinking, respect for all forms of life, mercy and striving for perfection.

(To be honest, I didn’t know that all such cards would come out, apparently since the last time he pumped his consciousness well.)

[dtptallclock]

10 Aspects of antique grandfather clocks Treatment

Guaranteeing Always preserve ample insurance coverage on your antique grandfather clocks Photo your antique longcase clocks and also write an in-depth description of it. Maintain a duplicate of the photo, description, purchase records, as well as any kind of other significant information in a safe place in case of fire, flooding, break-in, etc. This will make it much easier to submit an insurance coverage claim. that will certainly enhance the antique grandfather clock's value. Have your antique grandfather clock appraised by several trustworthy dealers and average their values to come to a price. antique grandfather clock can be offered through antique shows, antique shops, standard and also on-line auctions, antique longcase clock conventions, enthusiast periodicals, as well as paper ads. If you aren't selling in person, make sure to provide shade images that include several angles and close-ups of special attributes. https://dutchtimepieces.com/2021/03/30/antique-clock-of-the-month-march Also give a thorough written description of the antique longcase clock's functions and imperfections. Make certain to mention what you would certainly take into consideration minor or trivial problems. Possible customers have a right to full disclosure. As a politeness (as well as an added marketing point), include repair background, if recognized, as well as guidelines for operating as well as cleansing your antique longcase clocks Cleaning up Tidy your antique grandfather clocks every 3 to five years. For ideal outcomes, have it cleaned expertly, yet if you do it yourself, initially get rid of the hands, dial, and functions. Submerse the works in naptha or kerosene for regarding half an hour, after that wipe with a soft fabric and completely dry with a hair clothes dryer. Tidy unpainted glass with glass cleaner to remove all streaks and fingerprints, and dust the instance with a soft cloth. Oil the pivots with antique longcase clock oil, which can be bought at leisure activity shops. Apply tiny drops of oil making use of the suggestion of a lengthy needle, then reconstruct the antique grandfather clock Moving Prior to moving a weight-driven or pendulum antique longcase clocks, get rid of the weight or pendulum to stop damage. Relocate a large antique grandfather clock carefully. Bring it by sustaining its weight from below. Do not raise it by the leading or by other breakable parts. Likewise, maintain the antique longcase clocks as vertical as possible, as stress, twisting, or irregular weight circulation may cause cracking or other damages. Presenting Meticulously pick your antique grandfather clock's place. Maintain it away from drafts, cellars, outside walls, and also home heating as well as aerating air ducts due to the fact that moisture and also temperature extremes can warp wood as well as affect a antique longcase clock's accuracy. Also avoid placing a antique grandfather clock in straight sunshine, which might trigger the coating to discolor or fracture. Be sure your antique longcase clock is strongly secured. If put on a antique wall antique grandfather clock, guarantee that the assistance is heavy enough and is connected to a wall surface stud or a wall surface anchor. To maintain the antique grandfather clocks as exact as feasible, make certain the antique grandfather clock is degree front to back and side to side. Preserving Leave all major antique longcase clocks repair work to a specialist, but if you choose to work with your antique grandfather clocks's motion, very first eliminate weights or pendulum, and also disengage springtimes. Running Committed antique longcase clock collection agencies usually maintain their antique grandfather clock running, if possible. The springtimes as well as various other relocating parts will not wear. If reality, maintaining the relocating parts running assists preserve them and preserves the antique grandfather clock's precision. Winding Because of a collection of safety devices called Geneva Stops, you can't overwind your antique longcase clock Develop a normal shedule to wind your antique grandfather clocks Use your normal regular as a tip. For example, you could intend to wind your antique grandfather clock at the beginning of a regular TELEVISION show. Readjusting If your antique longcase clocks runs also quick or reduce, you can adjust its timing approximately 5 minutes a week by elevating or reducing the pendulum bob or changing its weights. Weight-driven antique grandfather clock are generally a lot more exact than spring-driven designs, so they might not require as much adjustment. The phrase "Lower, slower, higher, sprier" offers a great way to remember just how to adjust a pendulum antique longcase clock Raising the bob on the pendulum pole shortens the swing so the antique longcase clock goes much faster. Decreasing the bob makes the arc much longer, which reduces the antique grandfather clock Discovering Beginning antique grandfather clocks collection agencies can join the National Organization of Watch and antique longcase clock Enthusiasts (NAWCC). Selling. Well-crafted as well as conserved antique grandfather clock are important as well as in consistent demand. If you prepare your antique longcase clocks for sale appropriately and also ask a fair rate, you must have little difficulty offering it. Antique wall antique longcase clock are both an excellent enthusiasts' product and a solid investment. Obviously, you need to recognize what you're doing if you're going to treat this product as an investment, however there are methods to end up being knowledgeable in this area if you are not already. Numerous good publications have been written and you can constantly watch Antique Roadway Program on PBS to obtain an idea for the rates of things. The terrific component is that since this is a reasonably unknown field, it is simpler to scoop up bargains at yard sales, estate sales, and also also thrift stores on occasion. But first let's speak about gathering these antiques for the pure affection of it. If you don't really like them you might never be able to push yourself via the totally financial element of it. The fact is that collecting antique wall surface antique grandfather clock is an interesting journey. The history of them is much richer than most people realize. And once there was a time when real artists invested life times producing one special piece after one more. Much of these are lost to the junkyards of old, however still lots of continue to be, spread all throughout this land. They are concealing in old individuals's attics as well as in the cellars of churches that don't even recognize what they have. They are there for the taking. While it is a little world, the collection agencies' globe can be ferocious when a great item comes available. If you are mosting likely to participate in this in a serious way you are going to need to develop into a little a shark. You do not need to scam the vendors, t it's all part of the game to try to throw your fellow antique dealers off the aroma. Bear in mind: if you do not do it to them they will certainly do it to you. Just how do you believe they ended up being effective to begin with? So the first rule is to never ever fall for any nice man tricks from your competitors. Currently onto the world of financial investment in antique wall surface antique longcase clock: as I stated, this can be really lucrative. If you want to get into this it is absolutely important that you first examine up on the background of wall antique grandfather clocks as a whole. Antique collectors have a really specialized understanding which they have actually obtained through years of self-study as well as firsthand research. There are lots of sources on the web which might be able to aid you out, too. In ending this item I would just like to say that I desire you well whatever is your aim in accumulating antique wall antique grandfather clock There is an actual lack of respect for this, the 20th century's most subtly sensational mix of art and also modern technology. I rejoice that others share my enthusiasm as well as I mean it's kind of a good thing that not all are on board. After all, how would we make our money after that? There would certainly be no actual offers to find and that is just one of one of the most enjoyable parts of the whole organization.

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What Are The Kinds Of Sarms, What Are The Advantages Of Sarms.

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Whether you're fighting with wrinkles, loss of firmness, discolouration, dehydration, monotony, and so on, there are specific peptides that can make a distinction each.

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When scientific research determined just how to do this, the opportunities as well as number of peptides offered blew up.

Peptides are a definitely fascinating team of components that recurring research has actually shown can profit numerous age associated skin problems.

If you recognize, the sarms manage act made it's means through congress beginning as early as 2018. Sarms resemble steroids in several ways, so they share a lot of the same adverse effects. Nevertheless, it's the dose of each careful androgen receptor modulator that matters most, in addition to the particular chemicals used to develop it. Sarms resemble steroids, yet they are not one and the very same.

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Several discerning androgen receptor modulators have the ability to boost adenosine monophosphate-activated protein kinase that is a mechanism connected with lipolysis and also fat oxidation. This clearly suggests that discerning androgen receptor modulators are much safer in the short-term in addition to the long term than testosterone-derived steroidal compounds. In theory, consuming more celery needs to have a favorable influence on your T-levels, but the current researches are mainly on pets and so much, undetermined.

In the past, anabolic androgenic steroids and prohormones were made use of to rule the globe of muscle building. These were simply some of the reasons that bodybuilders and powerlifters proceeded to SARMs-- the much safer options to anabolic steroids and prohormones.

Nevertheless, as there is little capacity for side effects, celery could be something worth trying out. All these stated above can be accomplished by the Ideal Lawful Steroid Alternatives, with a minimum loss, cardarine gw outcomes. You may have looked for a very long time, for an item that will make you to have lean muscular tissue mass.

The typical muscle gains for this pile are around 7 to 10 lbs over an 8-week duration. Twp 4way represents the utmost done in one sarm stack in a single product. Unlike anabolic steroids, which bind to androgen receptors in many cells throughout the body, private sarms selectively bind androgen receptors in particular tissues, but not in others. Selective androgen receptor modulators-- or sarms for brief-- are a rather new category of medications that have the capacity to offer every one of the benefits of anabolic steroids without a lot of the side effects.

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In addition to body building, the medications are likewise utilized in the therapy of various disorders. People have actually been clamoring for a magic tablet that could enhance their strength considering that time long past. These drugs are known to substantially raise muscle mass as well as improve strength. The change does not happen over night but in an issue of weeks which is still fairly remarkable. Bodybuilders are amongst the most avoid customers as these increase their physical advancement. None of these medicines, called careful androgen receptor modulators have been accepted by the FDA. SARMs are not anabolic steroids; they are a course of medications that are meant to generate the same effects as anabolic steroids.

You could have attempted various sort of supplements with little or no outcomes to reveal. Contrasting all the benefits and drawbacks of SARMs, steroids, supplements, and prohormones, it can be quickly constructed that Selective androgen receptor modulators are well-ahead as well as far better options than others. Are sarms anabolic steroids, economical cost order anabolic steroids on-line worldwide shipping. To achieve substantial gains, stack it with Anadrol, Deca Durabolin, Sustanon, and Trenbolone, are sarms anabolic steroids. The anabolic steroid Dianabol functions by boosting the muscular tissue cells. Steroid side effects medicine, steroid adverse effects voice The most effective Natural Steroids, are sarms anabolic steroids.

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In other words, both these substances bind to your androgen receptors as well as activate muscle growth. Nevertheless, while steroids can affect various other body organs as well as parts of your body as well as bring about some substantial brief and long-term effects, SARMs are able to affect your muscle mass directly and decrease the threat of side effects. They are additionally much easier to take-- all you obtain is a tablet rather than an injection. In the 1940s, testosterone's capacity to develop muscle mass was strongly researched by the USSR, East Germany, and also others in this bloc. They made use of the steroids( example Deca, read more about this steroid on this page-- get Deca Durabolin) to boost the sports performance of their professional athletes in the Olympics games. The United States reacted by establishing their own anabolic steroid that can match the outcomes of their competitors while reducing androgenic adverse effects. The result of this is methandrostenolone, even more commonly referred to as Dianabol which is still extensively used today.

pharma lab global Purchase Pt141 ='display: block;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto;' src="data:image/jpeg;base64,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" width="300px" alt="Peptides Types"/>

Sarms are similar to steroids, nevertheless, their appeal is rooted in the fact that they apparently do not create the exact same negative effects connected with steroids Now, when using steroids, are sarms anabolic steroids. The natural food supplement hgh-x2 of the well-known crazybulk business, is perhaps among the most popular hgh boosters out there. It is a lawful steroid boosting the launch of hgh in the body, focusing on faster loss of fat build-up and also more reliable muscular tissue mass restoring. A raised hgh level might sustain new muscle mass cells growth, as well as additionally boost stamina, power degrees, and connective cells. Human development hormone for weight lossgynecomastia from steroids isn't life-threatening, yet it is an awkward problem that becomes a headache to handle gradually.

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Are sarms anabolic steroids, price order steroids on-line globally shipping. A preferred name for this drug is primo, are sarms anabolic steroids. SARMs might appear similar to anabolic steroids, but they are not all the same.

Careful androgen receptor modulators are utilized by body builders and powerlifters to maximise weight loss, rise muscle mass, and also improve body stamina. They are additionally made use of to rehabilitate injuries, boost muscle and bone strength, as well as improve the feeling of wellness. Some body builders likewise make use of SARMs in between anabolic steroid cycles, prohormone cycles, and testosterone cycle for post cycle treatment or as more secure choices to these compounds.

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While all the supplements below are medically checked to be risk-free and lawful, they are comprised of various active ingredients, meaning that each supplement can have a slightly different result on everyone. Hgh-boosting foods-- there are specific foods having high levels of amino acids, such as arginine, lysine, and also ornithine that can encourage the natural production of hgh. Hgh supplements-- supplements created to offer all the benefits of having actually increased levels hgh without adverse negative effects, since hgh supplements are 100% natural. Hgh supplements are likewise referred to as human development hormonal agent supplements. They're edible products that are created to help promote the production of the stated hormonal agent. By promoting the pituitary gland, the body gets to generate a little bit much more hgh which causes different bodily functions.

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Posted: Mon, 07 Dec 2020 08:00:00 GMT [source]

Yet, they show a solid affinity for androgen receptors in bone and muscle cells just. This is not the very first time the usa has been pressed closer to outlawing sarms.

what's new in pharma lab global's Shop Melanotan 2 Online , peptides as well as pct from ausroids welcome to ausroids, your finest online resource for buying anabolic steroids, peptides, as well as post-cycle therapy supplements in australia. Sarms are careful androgen receptor modulators which is currently taken into consideration much safer and also much less toxic than anabolic steroids. Type smart, sarms come under 2 major classifications, one that is steroidal as well as the second one is non-steroidals. Steroidal sarms were discovered regarding 70 years ago without any use for human conditions other than those with alarming needs. The attraction for sarms stems from the theory that they can generate outcomes similar to anabolic steroids without the negative effects. Well, as unlikely as it appears, a minimum of, component of that is true.

Kinds of steroids that create ... tuesday, october 10, 2018 steroids and it's result. Somatropinne hgh is an all-natural hgh boosting supplement that has the capability to raise bone thickness, boost endurance, enhance power levels as well as additionally enhance muscle mass. Somatripinne hgh has effective components which are made use of in high potencies over average. We are not simply internet site developers and also owners, we describe ourselves as 'helpful guides' that will help you lead a much healthy and balanced life than ever. Com is about 'the best' supplements targeted for enhancing the important hormones of your body in the most safe way.

Both job by binding to your androgen receptors, setting off changes in your dna which boost your muscular tissues' ability to expand. While sarms do possess anabolic homes, these substances are ruled out anabolic steroids. Actually, the numerous benefits of sarms are due to that that sarms are not really anabolic steroids. To begin, careful androgen receptor modulators are a new kind of androgenic medication asserting to have more uses than your standard steroids. The concern with many individuals is that this is still new and also controlled like traditional steroids. Sarms or careful androgen receptor modulators are anabolic steroids options. Sarms are amongst the best option for those who intend to benefit from an alternative but without damaging their health and wellness.

Nonetheless, each SARM can target a different cells; some may target bones and muscles, others may target the prostate. Testolone (RAD-140), an effective Selective androgen receptor modulator, is a fantastic alternative to substitute treatment than Testosterone. By utilizing this substance, individuals can anticipate considerable improvements in the levels of muscular tissue mass, muscle size, body stamina, muscle mass healing, and also satisfying performances in the bed room.

[juicebox-baby]

Fine Line, Harry Styles

Golden

This song has such a summery feel. It’s a lovely opener, because it hits your ears like a comforting pat on the head and a ray of sun right into your soul. The backing vocals are just fun, and it is a perfect example of Harry’s weird (but amazing) habit of harmonising with himself. The song follows the idea that love makes things easier, the way it’s supposed to. Golden is one of many on this album which address Harry’s connection between his thoughts and problems, and his romantic relationships, however this is a more positive spin on the idea. He sings about the way that “love is the antidote”, when he sees himself as “hopeless, broken”.

Take me back to the light…

 Watermelon Sugar

Let’s all get whatever feelings we have about the music video (if you haven’t seen it, I strongly recommend!) with a quick AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHH. Okay, now that that’s out of the way, the review: the greatest hype song. It’s fun to dance to, it’s fun to play, it’s a beach song and a party song and a concert song and a banger. So many references to fruit. This one follows the summery theme set by Golden, along with some…. dubious comments that lead your imagination to exactly where you should always have it: Harry Styles surrounded by gorgeous girls, and some very inappropriate fruit consumption.

I don’t know if I could ever go without…

Adore You

I adore (hehe) the drums on this one. The song becomes so funky, so complex sounding, when in reality there are very few musical components. While there are, yet again, many fruit references, and an odd at best music video of Harry’s love for a fish (?), this does not subtract from another summer banger. It should be noted, when Fine Line came out, Australia was genuinely in summer, so it was right on time (though of course, I was on the other side of the world and missed the release because of it). Adore You has the vibes of a love song unlike many you hear in mainstream medias. It’s the crushing aspect of love, the ‘I would do anything for you’s, the true admiration and adoration of this incredible person, and that is something I for damn sure love hearing about.

Strawberry lipstick state of mind…

 Lights Up

I have SO MUCH to say about this song, so I’ll start with a little story. Around this time last year, younger me was eagerly trying to impress some girls in her class/sort of friendship group because she thought they were super neat, and as every good Muso knows, the best way to a person’s heart is their music. So, young me made the dangerous trek into waters she hadn’t waded in for five years; she listened to One Direction again. Instantly in my efforts to make up for lost time, I stumbled into the object of these girls’ affection, the Lights Up video. I was in awe. Not only was Harry Styles WAY more attractive than I remembered (and probably even more talented), there he was, half-naked and sweating, touched by men and women alike, crooning about a sense of loss and self-exploration, and suddenly my bisexual ass was hook, line and sinker. The lyrics themselves can be connected back to a life in the spotlight (“lights up and they know who you are, do you know who you are?”) but to be totally honest, this is the song of every teenage breakdown about who they are and who they want to be. The effects on the vocals make it sound like a dream, and it is certainly one I’m not keen to wake up from. The contrast of electric drums and almost synthesised chords, paired with the steady strumming of an acoustic guitar? Genius.

I’m not ever going back…

 Cherry

Cherry is so soft wtf. Above all else, I adore guitar riffs that actually reflect the emotions of the song, and idk what emotion it’s called but I’m feeling all of it. I do not have the kind of ex that you’re still in love with, but this song made me feel like I not only had one, but created the Austen-ian story in my mind of how I lost them and how much I missed this imaginary ex. The backing vocals create this atmosphere that, when listened to on headphones, swallows you whole and makes your soul a little lighter.

The voicemail at the end is still a pisstake though.

Does he take you walking in his parent’s gallery?

 Falling

Ah, the bedrock of many a 2am cry sessions. I truly believe there is not a single point in this album where Harry is purer than this song. Falling gives the other side of his connections between love and pain; the raw, tear-jerking truth that sometimes, there’s just nothing more to say. Paired with the incredible cinematography of what is, to date, one of my favourite music videos, he has managed to wrap up ever feeling of grief, of loss, of anxiety, of sadness, of hopeless abandon, and tie it into a beautiful piano melody. The first time I heard this song, much like many people can probably claim, I bawled like a baby. This feeling of isolation, the tragic separation of friends and lovers who never meant to separate, or the crushing knowledge that it was your fault, your words, that did this…that hits home for so many people, and it is so refreshing to see someone like Harry, someone so adored from his career with One Direction, to step into his solo light and remind people that life isn’t just a love song and that that’s okay. I don’t know about you, but I definitely needed to hear it.

What if I’m someone I don’t want around?

 To Be So Lonely

TBSL sits in parallel to the two songs previous; firstly, the exclamation of “don’t call me baby again”, after basically pleading “don’t you call him baby, don’t you call him what you used to call me”, and secondly, the clear rejection of guilt. Let’s assume that the three songs are all following the same story, the same love, and the same heartbreak. With that in mind, we can look into them for the three stages of a painful separation; jealousy, pain, and anger. Even the guitar riff, similar to Cherry in some respects, holds a fierier anger behind it. If the other two songs were how lost he felt, this is the song where he finds himself again, and with it, finds an anger he doesn’t know how to control. Perhaps he doesn’t want to believe that it is his fault, or perhaps he is just so done with playing nice and going home lonely. Either way, the crescendo of violins as they rise and fall, ebb and flow like his emotions, is a stunning display of a true grasp on the ways that music can affect and transform a listener.

I’m just an arrogant son of a bitch who can’t admit when he’s sorry…

 She

The vibe of this one seems so abstract, it’s like we’re listening underwater. All in all, the song seems unlike any other on the album, but still very much in Harry’s style? See, with this song you can see how I’m only good at writing about the Arctic Monkeys. The instrumental at the end sounds like a fever dream or a drug trip from a movie.

She sleeps in daydreams with me…

 Sunflower, Vol. 6

WHY IS IT VOLUME SIX????? THIS HAS CONFUSED ME FOR SO LONG?????? So much of this song is confusing me and I have no particular feelings about it so I’m just gonna leave it at this.

 Canyon Moon

This song makes me so inexplicably happy. It’s a roadtrip through the coast with your mates, sun beating down on your backs as someone in the back strums a classic on guitar. It’s a campfire on the beach. It’s home. I put this song on every time I get off the train to the city in the summertime, because it always makes the world seem a little brighter. This is, hands down, one of my favourites of the album, just because it never fails to cheer me up.

Staring at the ceiling, two weeks and I’ll be home

 Treat People With Kindness

God, I hate this song. The gospel-y vibe on its’ own? Cool. Harry’s part on its’ own? It’s a vibe. Together? The absolute worst listening experience of the album, perhaps Harry’s entire discography. Harry has been preaching TPWK for so long, and the final product is just…sad. The fact that this song is after Canyon Moon is a disgrace to music. The words themselves are…sub-par, maybe closer to okay, and separately a lot of the instrumental elements are quite cool, but combined, the song just screams of that person who, when you’re having an anxiety attack, just tells you to breathe and that it will get better. This song just gives me a headache.

I just keep on dancing…

 Fine Line

The pièce de résistance, the most earth-shattering, eye-watering finale. When I first started writing this (it’s taken me maybe a month to finish because I just kept forgetting about it), this was just a good song to me, but since, I had an opportunity to see it for everything it was. As I lay on the floor, stage lights glowing softly above me, holding hands with my best friends, we cried to this song. It became so much more to me than just a 6-minute love song, albeit a good one. It became about friendship. There I lay, with the same girls who had brought me to Harry, the same girls I had been trying to impress, and I realised I could find us in the lyrics. In lines like “you’ve got my devotion/but man, I can hate you sometimes”, and “I don’t want to fight you/and I don’t want to sleep in the dirt”, Harry, to me, sang about life. It’s the kind of song you listen to in the rain, or somewhere vulnerable. The song itself is vulnerable. Never would I have said before this that a horn section and orchestral cymbals are important in a ballad, but now I refuse to listen to any without them.

Test of my patience, there’s some things we’ll never know…

 Afterword: I did this review a little differently because of how special this album is to me. I hope you all enjoyed it! As always, feel free to send me your requests through asks or DMs (or just talk to me! My inbox is always open 😊)

[keysmashchronicles]

getting specific with some fic examples - part 1

The Seven Basic Plots argues that there are certain elements that occur time and again in stories because they hardwired into our way of telling them, and are crucial to creating a sense of enjoyment and satisfaction. So is this the case with phanfic? Is the reason that readers respond so strongly to their favourite fics because the authors have an innate understanding of what these essential features are and intentionally or unintentionally incorporate them into their stories?

Let’s look at a specific example: fifty kisses to Christmas by nokomisfics is a short, heartwarming friends to lovers fic centred around Phil’s attempts to help Dan manage his existential struggles by doing something that he read online should help raise his serotonin levels – kissing him.

If you haven’t read the fic, be warned there are spoilers ahead so go and do that before reading further!

How closely does this fic adhere to what Booker says makes a satisfying story, and how does this contribute to the readers’ enjoyment of it?

The first universal aspect as described in the Seven Basic Plots is that the main characters need to go through some kind of inner transformation provoked by a series of problems or difficulties that stand in the way of them achieving happiness. They evolve into more mature, complete versions of themselves as the story progresses and by the end have the necessary mental and emotional resources and strength to overcome the final challenge that stands between them and their happy ending.

In some plots the malevolent forces working against the protagonist are personified in the form of an evil villain that needs to be defeated, or perhaps a rival that needs to be beaten, but this isn’t the case with the comedy plot. Instead, these kinds of stories are more about the kind of darkness that comes from a sense of separation; separation from self, separation from others, separation from love, truth, light and all good things in life. They focus on the characters emerging from a place of confusion, misunderstanding, and secrecy towards a state of clarity, harmony and trust, and show the ways that they need to develop and mature as people in order for this to happen.

Do we see this pattern In fifty kisses to christmas? It’s pretty clear from early on in the plot that there is the potential for Dan and Phil’s relationship to be more than just friendly, and we see a progression throughout the story from a state of ignorance and denial towards a much greater honesty and acceptance.

Even at the start of the story, we can see how committed they are to each other. We’re shown just how focused Phil is on trying to help Dan feel better and how much his problems are affecting him when he’s researching online to try and find some kind of solution. He ‘reads and tries and reads and tries and none of it works. He doesn’t know how to fix his friend’, which shows the impact is has on him when Dan is in distress. And even before they share their first kiss, we see that Phil thinks of him as a ‘beautiful boy’ and ‘pokes at Dan’s cheek, because he likes how soft it always is’. As for Dan, we don’t get his POV so we can’t be sure what he’s thinking and feeling but he doesn’t seem to mind at all when his best friend suddenly decides they ought to start kissing.

Despite this, it seems that neither of them are either ready or able at this stage to admit the extent of their feelings for each other, which are obscured both from themselves and each other, although pretty clear to the reader.

As the story progresses, they increasingly come to recognise them, but are still not ready to openly acknowledge them. But by the end of the fic when the agreed fifty kisses have been exchanged which, according to their agreement means they ought to go back to a merely platonic relationship, Dan is brave enough to come out and state clearly what he wants and how he feels, so that they are able to achieve their happy ending.

So as the comedy plot requires, we see how as the fic progresses, our main characters tentatively open up and allow themselves to risk revealing their truth. They aren’t able to be truly happy without moving beyond ignorance and denial to a place of openness and trust.

Is this change in their behaviour brought about by a developing and maturing of their personalities as the universal plot suggests? We do see some ways in which they change and learn over the course of the story.

For example, early on Phil reflects on how he’d first realised a few months previously that Dan was struggling with his emotions, but he wasn’t sure quite how to address it so he just didn’t bring it up. He’d noticed that Dan had probably been crying, but ‘they hadn’t talked about it’ As time goes on, we see him becoming more comfortable with and willing to acknowledge and tackle difficult feelings and uncomfortable situations, even though it might be easier just to let things slide. For example, when they’re making toasties in the kitchen and Phil reminds Dan that they have a meeting at the BBC, even though he knows Dan’s deliberately trying to ignore it. He doesn’t avoid the subject, even though Dan’s reaction makes him feel ‘a rising dread in the pit of his stomach’.

Throughout the fic, we’re shown how Dan is reluctant to ask for Phil’s help when he’s having a hard time, tending instead to avoid him or act out in anger when he’s feeling low. We don’t really see a change in that behaviour until the end of the fic, when Phil comes down with the flu. Phil tries to tell Dan that he should go off and have a nice Christmas and not let it be ruined because of him, but Dan says that it’s the least he can do to be there for him.

He’s happy to look after Phil even if it might seem inconvenient because he cares about him and wants him to feel better, and this helps him to see that Phil feels exactly the same way about him when he’s struggling with his mental health. It’s not Dan’s fault that he has these struggles in the same way that it’s not Phll’s fault for falling physically ill, and it’s OK for each of them to ask for and offer help and support when the other needs it. So we see a letting go of his feelings of self-recrimination and moving towards a greater sense of self-acceptance.

So it seems that it’s more than just the passage of time that works to bring them together at the end of the fic, there is a sense by which their characters need to change and develop to allow that happy ending, even if it isn’t a particularly dramatic shift.  Being a 10k one shot, there isn’t scope for complex or dramatic character development, but a simpler and more gentle progression can be just as effective in adding impact.

What does this revealing of hidden truths, this sense of growth and character progression bring to the story? I agree with Booker that watching characters mature and develop, make progress on the issues that are holding them back or become willing to accept parts of themselves that they’ve previously denied really adds to my enjoyment. Seeing the characters face up to difficult emotions and really come into their own tends to be a feature of the fics that have the most emotional impact on me. Those are usually the ones that will stick in my mind, or that I’ll come back to and read over and again.

This is one of the reasons I like the friends to lovers trope so much. The slow realisation that there’s more to their relationship than they previously thought; the blocks or barriers that are in the way, the decisions that get made about what to acknowledge, and how, and when; the courage it takes to finally get honest about what’s going on; the risk that’s involved when they’re not sure how the truth might be received and then the joy of realising that they both feel the same way is something I find very satisfying when reading fic.

The second key component of the universal plot is the use of a pattern of alternating states of tension and release, darkness and light, confusion and clarity which build in intensity towards a final climax.

This alternation is the crucial thing – it’s not about tension growing steadily and continuously, but about an ebb and flow, a sort of two steps forward, one step back scenario that slowly builds as the fic goes on. If the tension just built and built and built with no relief, we’d be exhausted before we were half way through! So this process allows it to develop in a way which is much more enjoyable and engaging to the reader.

How does this fic make use of this pattern? This can be seen in how the kisses between Dan and Phil change as the story goes on. Rather than a straight forward progression, there is a sense of moving into new territory, then pulling back to safer ground for a bit before having the courage to push things forward again. So the very first kiss is a quick peck, quickly followed by something a little more meaningful, with Phil ‘slipping his fingers into Dan’s hair’, Dan relaxing into Phil leaving him ‘pliant, soft and so, so kissable’ and Phil musing on ‘if it’s supposed to feel this great to kiss your best friend’

But rather than progress things further, both Dan and Phil and we as readers are then given a release in that tension, a bit of respite to catch our breaths and reflect on what’s just happened. The next few kisses are dropped to the top of Dan’s head or his shoulder, casually affectionate rather than passionate.

This pattern continues as the fic goes on. Dan stays up all night working on a project and while encouraging him to go to bed and rest they exchange a kiss that is ‘gentle, both of them sleep-soft and warm’ and we see how it affects Dan as his eyes ‘flutter shut’ and he makes a little sound as Phil ‘claim[s] his soft lips as quietly as he can’. That connection, that intensity between them is continuing to build but again, it pulls back, followed by simple good night kisses, a peck on the lips or even on the nose when they’re putting the star on the Christmas tree (so cute!).

Then there’s the night when, after a boozy lunch with PJ, the combination of the alcohol and PJ’s assumptions about their relationship leave Dan in a bad way. Phil goes to comfort him and they end up kissing in Dan’s bed. Phil’s just pondering on how it can feel so right to be doing this with your best friend, when Dan tugs on his hair and ‘all the blood in Phil’s body rush[es] to his crotch’, definitely new territory for them, definitely beyond the realms of just helping out your friend in a totally platonic way. Phil tries to stop things, tries to pull away but rather than let him, Dan’s response is to initiate a kiss between them for the very first time, pulling Phil back down, ‘lips hot and searching’.

This clear sign that they both want more than they’ve been willing to admit could have been the climax of the plot, the physical demonstration of their affection for each other then followed by a confession of their feelings, but again, the intensity drops back. The next morning things aren’t awkward, but they skirt around the subject, discussing how they should record last night’s kisses on their kiss chart rather than talking about what they might mean. Phil can’t quite keep his hands to himself though, ‘running his fingers down [Dan’s sides to where a strip of pale skin is exposed’ so he can touch ‘the soft skin of Dan’s belly’. But then over the next few days we’re back to tamer kisses, even though Phil’s now very aware of the true extent of his feelings for Dan as what he’d really like to do is ‘push [him] into the racks of Christmas CDs…..and kiss him silly’.

Before long, there are only two kisses left. Phil decides to keep the final kisses for Christmas Day, and so it seems like we’re being set up for that to be the climax to the story with maybe some big romantic gesture and a declaration of love, but instead Christmas Day dawns with Phil in bed with the flu, and Dan getting in beside him to look after him and provide him with comfort. It might seem that this was done simply to tease out the tension of the story and make us even more eager for it’s conclusion, but as mentioned earlier my view is that this role reversal with Dan looking after Phil is needed to help him let go of insecurities about himself and be ready to finally open up about his true feelings.

Their final two kisses, shared when Phil is feeling a bit better but still kind of groggy with fever aren’t really anything special, certainly not any kind of grand gesture, but it’s what happens next that counts. The experiment is over, the allotted number of kisses have been given….but they don’t stop. They both know that there’s now no reason for them to be kissing other than the simple fact that they both want to. At first, out of habit, Phil keeps counting but then he stops counting at all, Dan kissing him wherever he can reach and then confessing into Phil’s neck ‘I don’t want to stop’ in a voice which is ‘scared, wobbly, vulnerable’.

This really is the climax of the story, the point where the final barrier between them being together is being faced. Dan has taken a risk, put himself out there and even though we’re pretty certain of what Phll’s reaction is going to be, it still creates that point of tension, of the weight of the possible consequences of making this admission.

When Phil responds that they don’t need to stop, both we and they feel the tension finally break that’s been building and receding throughout the fic. We’ve reached the point where we’re finally assured that everything is going to be OK. Our boys were kind of clueless, a bit misguided but they got there in the end and we feel a mixture of relief and celebration.

I think it’s pretty clear that this pattern of gradually increasing tension that ebbs and flows but ultimately builds towards some kind of final climax is absolutely something that makes a fic satisfying to read! Whether it’s a fluffy one shot, a mammoth slow burn that unfolds over dozens of chapters or even a pwp with a different kind of happy ending, this pattern is used and enjoyed throughout phanfic to great effect.

the seven basic plots and phanfic // fics that don’t fit the mould