#world cup 2022 qualification

[steverogers-world]

Only ever you | Jude Bellingham x f1 driver! fem! reader

Summary: You and Jude have always been best friends

Warnings: none really

You and Jude had been friends since you were born, according to your mothers even before that, since you'd kick extra hard when they were in the same room.

When you were babies you'd yap to each other in baby sounds. Growing up you'd never let go of each other.

You supported each other through everything, something that was really crucial with both of you so focused on your football and racing careers, dreaming of winning world cups and world championships.

When you got your first period and Jude found out he immediately asked Denise if he could go buy all your favourite snacks and treats, which later he went over to give you and you just lied in bed eating what he a bought while you watched a movie.

It was only in high school when both of you started dating that some unwelcome feelings appeared. You'd feel this pit in your stomach when you saw Jude with the girl he was seeing, and the same happened to Jude with the boy you were dating. You got in arguments that none of you really knew how or why it had started, and your parents gave each other knowing looks.

Even though your relationship would never break, you still had your sleepovers, you still went on holiday together, Denise (or Dede, how you'd call her) was still like a mother to you, and Mark was still like a father, Jobe was still the annoying little brother. Your parents were second parents to Jude, your older siblings were also older siblings to him. You were still a big family.

Then there was you and Jude who were only ever best friends.

When Jude signed with Dortmund you followed him to Germany, you weren't at home much anyway, but you'd rather be with Jude anytime you could.

When Charles Leclerc got sick on the weekend of the 2020 Portuguese Grand Prix, you were called to replace him, having your opportunity to prove just how much you deserved to be in Formula 1. It was exactly that what you did, having placed third in the qualification and giving one hell of a show in the race. Becoming the first ever female driver to win a Formula 1 race as well as the youngest. And when you got out of the car, you ran to Jude, surprised he was even there. It was one of the best moments of your life.

When you signed with Ferrari later that year Jude was there with you. He went to as many races as he could and you went to as many of his matches as possible.

It was only in 2022 when you were having a picnic at the beach the week before the last race of the season that you finally admitted your feelings for each other. Feelings that were behind all those fights and the pits in the stomach.

You had kissed once before, but it was messy and full of uncertainty. This kiss was gentle and desperate at the same time, you had been waiting for this moment for way to long. This kiss brought a similar feeling of coming back home to Germany after being away for weeks, but it was even better.

When you broke the kiss, the first thing he said with a smirk on his lips was, "Was that anything like the ones in your books?" to which you replied "It was so much better" before kissing him again.

When you told your family, they almost threw a party and said they were starting to get sick of how oblivious you were to your own and each other feelings.

Your friends and your fan's reactions were very similar, with the only difference being that your friends actually threw a party, saying they couldn't turn down a good reason to have one.

Suddenly, coming back to Germany after a long time was even better. Each time, you were welcomed with a kiss just like the one at the beach.

[juergenklopp]

VINCENT ABOUBAKAR scores a beautiful goal during the FIFA World Cup 2022 Group G match between Cameroon and Serbia, catalyzing a comeback from 1–3 down to a 3–3 draw to keep Cameroon’s qualification hope alive | November 28, 2022

[alexbkrieger13]

Oh no NOT Peter pulling that joke 😅

https://www.aftonbladet.se/sportbladet/fotboll/a/gEXJ7B/sverige-oro-infor-em-kvalet-mot-england-vill-ha-med-sig-karta-till-wembley

"I'm just scared - I'll have to try checking a map"

LONDON. Close to 70,000 tickets have been sold for the European Championship qualifier away to England.

At Wembley, the Swedish team wants to take revenge - if they manage to find their way in the giant arena.

- There mustn't be too many catacombs so that you get lost and end up in the cleaning scrubber, jokes union captain Peter Gerhardsson.

Admittedly, there was a loss against Sweden in the World Cup bronze medal match in 2019. However, England undeniably have good memories of the European Championship semi-final two summers ago, which ended 4–0.

Right-back Lucy Bronze, one of the gold medalists from 2022, hopes they can build on the success.

- We have a nice rivalry with Sweden, says Bronze. 

- It is a good, strong team. The fact that we are playing at Wembley is very exciting. Maybe the fans will take that moment with them from the EC.

"A different confidence now"

- Incredibly inspiring. We had a talk with the team and Rasmus (Liljeblad, sports psychologist) on Tuesday. Afterwards, you could feel the adrenaline rising to one's ears. They were ready to go out and play the match then and there, says Eriksson.

Johanna Rytting Kaneryd, who has many English club teammates at Chelsea, also wants to put the miserable semi-final in Sheffield behind her.

- You feel a sick desire for revenge, says Rytting Kaneryd.

"Into the cleaning scrub..."

Union captain Peter Gerhardsson is only afraid that Wembley Stadium is TOO big a facility.

- I'm probably not that star struck with stadiums, but I like when it's full, says Gerhardsson.

- I'm just afraid... there can't be too many catacombs so that you get lost and go into the cleaning scrub. I have to try to look at a map and try to read myself in!

The fact that Sweden begins the European Championship qualifiers against England in the national arena in front of nearly 70,000 spectators stands in stark contrast to many other premieres for the women's national team over the years.

Experienced Kosovar Asllani knows that, not least.

- So much more fun. You play and live for these matches. It is a top nation you meet. These are the opponents you want, says Asllani.

- You love playing in front of large audiences. I don't like playing in front of four people, it doesn't give the same kick.

In addition to England, France and Ireland are also included in Sweden's group.FACT

This is how the EC qualification works: They go to the EC

The first and second in the groups in the A division are ready for the football European Championship in Switzerland 2025.

The last seven EC places are decided via a playoff which is played as follows.

The threes and fours from the groups in the A division are drawn against group ten and the best group twos in the C division.

The eight winners of these playoff matches, plus the top six nations from the B division, a total of 14 teams, then directly play decisive playoff matches where the seven winners go to the European Championship.

[freifraufischer]

So How To Get Your Favorite Gymnast to the Olympics... a primer

Now that we have the last of the 2023 Worlds Qualification events over it's time to go through what comes next... how do they get to the Olympics?

2022 Worlds - The top three teams from the team final earned a trip to Paris - USA, GBR, CAN.

2023 Worlds - The next 9 teams in team qualification (excluding the three from 1) go to Paris

2023 Worlds - Teams 13-15 in team qualification earn 1 non-nominative spot at Paris. That is a spot that the federation can assign however they wish and it counts against the 3 maximum that a country can send to the Olympics if they did not qualify a team.

2023 Worlds - 14 gymnasts with the top AA scores not any country that qualified a team in points 1 and 2, 1 per country get a nominative spot to the Olympics. That is it's for them by name and if they end up not going to the Olympics it goes to the next person in line their country can no reassign them. If France qualifies a team (which is likely unless the French federation manages to destroy itself between now and October) then this number goes up to 15 because they get an automatic slot as host country for 1 individual.

2023 Worlds - The highest ranked gymnast from each apparatus final that is not from a country that qualified a team in points 1 or 2, and did not qualify in the AA QF described in point 4 gets a nominative spot. If there are no gymnasts in the final that fit that criteria they go the apparatus qualification list.

2023 Pan American Games/2024 European Championships/2024 Asian Championships/2024 African Championships/2024 Oceania Championships - The top AA gymnast from qualification who is not from a team that qualified in point 1 or 2, and who did not qualify individually at Worlds.

2024 World Cups - Two gymnasts per Apparatus based on points from the 4 events in Feb-April 2024. Each apparatus is 1 per country so one country can not take both uneven bars slots but they could take 1 slot from three different apparatus.

Things to know... the order matters. If you have qualified in one of the earlier numbered steps you don't count in the later ones. So if say Kovacs Zsofia qualifies in the AA and is in the bars final at 2023 Worlds it's the AA slot that she takes not the bars one. If a country qualifies three people through 2023 Worlds then the later qualification steps wont be open to them because they've already gotten their three.

So what does that mean for your favs?

If we project the results from 2022 Worlds and use them as a guide for 2023 Worlds the teams would be USA, CHN, GBR, FRA, CAN, NED, BRA, AUS, ITA, BEL, JPN, GER. That doesn't mean these will be the qualifiers (other than the USA, GBR, and CAN who are already qualified) but they're who you expect to be likely.

The three countries that would have taken the 13-15 slots were KOR, MEX, and HUN. I think those are going to be your likely spoilers.

Now let's move to some darlings from small feds (or former Americans in new hats in some cases). Oksana Chusovitina is currently only qualified to worlds on vault and uneven bars so those are the only events she can participate on. So you say, she's got a good chance of getting the vault spot from worlds.

Well... no I don't think she's the odds on favorite. YEO Seojeong (KOR) would have taken that spot if it was awarded based on last year's worlds. Now KOR is sitting in that spoiler spot as a team so maybe they make the Olympics as a team and then she's off the table. Yeo has also done the AA in the past but she's not Korea's best AAer on paper so I would expect one of her team mates to qualify through the AA.

Chuso's best path to her 9th Olympics is likely the 2024 World Cup series but there are a number of small fed vault specialists who will be very competitive with her and I doubt we'll have any real sense what her chances are until we see who qualifies at Worlds. For instance RASMUSSEN Camille (DEN) could beat Chuso in that series but she could also qualify through the AA at Worlds and be out of that pool. And who knows if the Russians will be battling out in that World Cup pool.

Similarly I think NEMOUR Kaylia (ALG) is the most likely person to take a bars qualification out of Worlds but she also could qualify in the AA and unlike Yeo she doesn't have team mates who may qualify above her. Nemour also has a clear advantage if she's still looking to qualify at the 2024 African Championships. I think that provided she stays healthy she is a safe bet to make it to Paris.

I think floor and beam are pretty up in the air.

So now we get to the messy questions about former Americans now competing for other countries. If you map this qualification process onto 2022 worlds the AA score of the last qualifier for Paris would be 48.866. I expect that to be slightly higher at 2023 Worlds because there were a number of AAers who didn't do the AA at 2022 Worlds who will have incentives to do so here. I expect the cut off to be somewhere between 50-51.

Here are what some other names to note got at their continental championships this year in the AA.

ESCALERA Natalia (MEX) - 53.266. She will likely qualify through the AA at Worlds.

MORENO Alexa (MEX) - 51.600. Moreno has competition for the best potential AA score on the Mexican team (see Escalera) but if the fields repeated themselves at the Pan American Games she would be in the position to be the AA qualifier for the Pan American Union. If she doesn't well she goes into the thunder dome that is the 2024 Apparatus World Cup.

IRFANALUTHFI Rifda (INA) - 51.298. An AA score that I think should be in the right range to qualify, from a small fed with no competing team mates. I think if she repeats her performance from Asian champs at Worlds she has a good shot. Similarly assuming China qualifies a team and Korea qualifies 3 gymnasts through 2023 Worlds (both likely) then she's at the moment the most likely individual qualifier out of the 2024 Asian championships if she doesn't qualify at Worlds. But there is a big if. She got an 9.833 beam score at Worlds last year....

ROOSKRANTZ Caitlin (RSA) - 50.632. She came in second to Nemour at African champs, so assuming that Nemour will likely qualify in some way at Worlds then Roozkrantz has a good shot at qualifying through 2024 African champs if she doesn't do so at Worlds.

FINNEGAN Aleah (PHI) - 50.399. She should qualify at worlds, especially if she manages not to fall twice on bars like she did at Asian champs. I honestly think a lot will depend on what rotation she has to go to bars because I suspect a lot of the issues the Philippines had at Asian champs related to going to bars in the 4th rotation. If she doesn't qualify at Worlds she has a decent shot at the 2024 Asian Champs but I honestly expect her to get this done at Worlds.

BARROS Sydney (PUR) - 50.234. She also falls in the sweet spot of maybe she qualifies at Worlds maybe she just misses. She'll get a second shot at Pan Am Games a month later if she misses out.

ABDELSALAM Jana (EGY) - 49.832. She came in third at African Champs but we start getting in the iffy range for scores to qualify and there are on paper better AAers in her continental union.

DARIES Naveen (RSA) - 49.533. A repeat of what I said about Abdelsalam. She's in the cut off range but she has the disadvantage of being the likely second South African AAer so her best chance is if Nemour and Rooskrantz qualify at Worlds and then she has a good shot to fight out that 2024 African champs slot.

KVAMME Kylee Ann (PHI) - 48.765. She's not qualifying at worlds because even if she falls in the right range (and her score doesn't suggest she will) then Finnegan will 1 per country her out of the pool. She also has no chance of qualifying at 2024 Asian Champs as there are many Asian gymnasts from small feds that are better AAers. Yes she fell on bars but she just does not have the difficulty to be competitive.

BROWN Lynnzee (HAI) - 48.100. I'm going to be honest... she's going to have a tough road. She needs more difficulty to be in contention at Worlds or at the PAG. There are a number of small fed AAers in the Pan American union who scored higher than her at Pan Am Champs.

ELSADEK Sandra (EGY) - 46.699. She has no chance of qualifying for the Olympics. I hope she enjoys her Worlds experience.

MALABUYO Emma Lauren (PHI). She didn't do the AA at Asian champs so can't go to worlds but I've seen people ask about her. Her path to the Olympics is limited. She can win the AA at Asian Champs... but when was the last time she did the AA? She can also get a spot at the 2024 World Cups and I actually think she could increase the difficulty on her floor to be an outside shot there. The problem is ... will the Philippines pay to send her (and the judge) to those world cups. And will she want to miss 6 weeks of the NCAA season to do so?

If I was to take a stab in the dark I suspect that Korea, Hungary, and Mexico will all have 3 gymnasts at the Olympics and that Romania will have at least 2. But in what configurations I don't know.

[agathacrispies]

Flavia Saraiva (BRA) competes on Beam and Floor during the Women's Qualifications of the 2022 Paris World Challenge Cup at Bercy Arena on September 24th

(Source: Alamy)

[sisallacertavt]

💫🐉Looking for Students🐉💫

I am looking for people who want to be coached in yugioh or pokemon vgc on stream.

DM me if interested.

Lessons I can provide: - Replay review - Team/deckbuilding help - Live coaching

Qualifications

Yugioh: 1x National Top 8 1x National Top 16 Challenger Cup Top 16

VGC: Worlds 2022 61st Place PC4 Eu Qualifier Top 16 1x Special Event Top 32 1x Regional Top 16

[realmadridfamily]

Luka Modric celebrates with kids Ivano, Ema and Sofia after the team's qualification to the knockout stages during the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 Group F match between Croatia and Belgium at Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium on December 01, 2022 in Doha, Qatar.

[killa-trav]

Lionel Messi and Lisandro Martinez of Argentina celebrate after their sides qualification to the knockout stages during the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 Group C match between Poland and Argentina at Stadium 974- 30.11.2022

📸: MICHAEL REGAN

[bettyg196]

My thoughts on Eurovision 2023 entries

On this post (which will be updated for 37 days), I will give my ranking, my ratings and my comments on the songs of Eurovision 2023.

Ukraine: TVORCHI - Heart Of Steel

Rank: #25

Rating: 7,5 / 10

Even though I much prefer "Bonfire" (the song from Vidbir 2020), it's a good song and production. It's cool to see this kind of entries in the competition, it's very modern. Ukraine can be proud to have sent this song to Liverpool.

Albania: ALBINA & FAMILJA KELMENDI - Duje

Rank: #23

Rating: 8 / 10

I like how the song starts, it's dramatic without overdoing it, it sounds very Albanian. Too bad the revamp removed the power of the song that we found at FiK 2022. Albina and her family will have no problem qualifying for the final, the Europeans will appreciate the family show.

Belgium: GUSTAPH - Because Of You

Rank: #30

Rating: 6 / 10

Well, I admit "Because Of You" grew a little in me BUT I remain convinced that there were better choices for Belgium. It still sounds corny but it's danceable and listenable and frankly there's worse this year. Belgium's qualification for the final will depend on its running order in the 2nd semi-final.

Ireland: WILD YOUTH - We Are One

Rank: #28

Rating: 7 / 10

The song itself is fine and Wild Youth knows how to perform, however the revamp took away the soul that was in the original version. It sounds more like a World Cup song than a Eurovision song and given the band's discography, they could have done better. I hope they don't bring those masks from the official clip back to Liverpool otherwise it's guaranteed Ireland will finish dead last in its semi-final.

Slovenia: JOKER OUT - Carpe Diem

Rank: #3

Rating: 9,5 / 10

Slovenia made the right choice by selecting Joker Out internally. "Carpe Diem" is a diamond in the rough, a superb entry that reflects the group's universe well. The live performance is better than the studio version, the band members are very charismatic. Slovenia can achieve its best result in the contest with them.

Norway: ALESSANDRA - Queen Of Kings

Rank: #18

Rating: 8 / 10

What a bop ! Norway made an excellent choice by choosing "Queen of Kings". It's very catchy and impactful, I like the idea of ​​adding an Italian intro at the start of her performance and I hope it stays in the Eurovision version of the title. Norway can aim for the top 10.

Spain: BLANCA PALOMA - Eaea

Rank: #2

Rating: 10 / 10

Modern and experimental flamenco ! I love this entry ! "Eaea" is perfect to represent Spain at Eurovision. Blanca Paloma is spellbinding with this dramatic and original song. She deserves the top 5 at least.

Czechia: VESNA - My Sister's Crown

Rank: #19

Rating: 8 / 10

It's a great and well-produced song, but I still don't have any winner vibes to this day. It's sure that Czechia will be noticed this year, but be careful with the staging and the performance should not be messed up. I wish the final to Czechia but of all the favorite countries of the first semi-final, it is the one that has the best chance of not qualifying to everyone's surprise in my opinion.

Estonia: ALIKA - Bridges

Rank: #12

Rating: 9 / 10

"Bridges" is simple but very effective, creative and original as a song. The live performance adds the necessary power for this song. Alika is an excellent performer, in Liverpool she will shine with her determination. Estonia will easily be in the final, it's the best Baltic song for me.

To be continued in the next post.

[todayinfiction]

TODAY IN FICTION: Time-travelling soldiers interrupt the World Cup final in The Tomorrow War (🇺🇸2021)

18 December 2022

Spoilers for The Tomorrow War.

During the final of the football World Cup in Qatar, a portal suddenly appears on the pitch. Through it emerge dozens of soldiers from the future, tasked with bringing a message back in time. Billions of viewers watch as the soldiers inform them that humanity is soon to be almost wiped out by alien creatures known as “Whitespikes”.

A “bridge” is established between 2022 and 2051. Soldiers from the present are sent forwards through time to help the people of the future fight the Whitespikes and resist total annihilation. A global involuntary draft is set up to recruit new soldiers, as the qualifications for being sent through time are slim. A person must be due to die before their date of arrival so that they do not cause a paradox.

Soon, all the world’s resources are being diverted to fight a war that has not yet begun.

This is apparently one of the most expensive movies of all time, but I hadn’t even heard of it until learning part of it was set in 2022. It was never released in western cinemas because of the pandemic, but it’s a really bad movie so I can’t say I’m too upset. You don’t need the credits to tell you it was funded by the US military.

[percervall]

Hi! I saw you reposted the post with maps I was just wondering what had happened? Why so many didn’t want too be picked for the national team or like the World Cup?

Hey anon! I'll be quoting several articles in this response because it's too much to do of the top of my head.

In September 2022, after Spain wrapped up their World Cup qualification campaign with a perfect eight wins without conceding a goal, more than a dozen players announced they would stand down from national duties.

The players, nicknamed Las 15, made themselves unavailable for selection for games in the lead up to the 2023 tournament.

Vilda had lost the dressing room, however, his response was not to stand down, or win his players back, but to move on without them. (SBS News, Spain's Revolt Against Women's Football Coach Jorge Vilda)

A statement from the RFEF reads: “The Real Federación Espanola de Futbol communicates that, throughout today, it has received 15 emails from 15 players of the women's senior football team, coincidentally all with the same wording, in which they state that the current situation generated affects 'significantly' their 'emotional state' and their 'health' and that, 'as long as it is not reversed', they resign from the Spanish national team. (GOAL, Mutiny in Spain's women's squad as 15 players threaten to quit if coach is not sacked)

Out of the original 15, 3 players later did return to the squad after conversations with the RFEF, but the other 12 have stuck to their guns. I am also pretty sure that if they refuse the call up, they pretty much risk their national team career, but don't quote me on that. Maps is one of the 12 who did not return to the squad and I applaud her for it. This whole situation does add a sour taste to Spain's success during this tournament because it gives the RFEF even more reason to not believe the women that conditions were/are horrible.

Hope I answered your question babe!

[andiessoccerblog]

Group E Breakdown

Expected to move on: USA, Netherlands

Expected to exit in group stage: Portugal, Vietnam

United States

See this Post! https://www.tumblr.com/andiessoccerblog/721584664034361344/uswnt-roster-drop-june-30-2023?source=share

Netherlands

FIFA Ranking: 8

Reputation:

The Netherlands won the 2018 Euros and reached the final of the 2019 World Cup, but in 2022 they dropped from 4th place to 8th place in the FIFA world rankings. This is a result of a team who has a solid base, but suffers if its stars are not available. Some of their strongest players aren’t playing at their best any more, and their extremely capable goalie from 2019, Sari Van Veenendaal, has retired, leaving huge shoes to fill. Additionally, the coach that led them to the 2019 World Cup final has since taken a job at England, leaving the team in the hands of less-experienced and very recent addition, Andries Jonker. Their most important game in the group will be the repeat of the 2019 final, Netherlands v. USA, where the Dutch walked away with silver.

Player Pool:

Netherlands’ stars from the 2019 World Cup are in the team’s midfield: Lieke Martens and Danielle Van de Donk. I would normally include Vivianne Miedema, but she was ruled out of the tournament with an ACL injury. The team will need to rely on veterans Sherida Spitse (captain), Shanice van de Sanden, and Jill Roord to pull them past the group stage.

2019 WWC Performance: 

The Netherlands skyrocketed into the final this year, winning their group and finding results in every game in the elimination round, except for the USA. Their game against Sweden went to extra time, but they showed the grit and talent to make it to the final.  They had an impressive number of goalscorers, with the top being Vivianne Miedema, and the goalie Sari Van Veenendaal won the tournament’s Golden Glove award, and is my Netherlands MVP.

Portugal

FIFA Ranking: 21

Reputation: 

It will surprise most people that Portugal is also a World Cup debutante–they are the highest FIFA-ranked debutante team– their inclusion this year is due to one of the extra European confederation spots in the expanded field. Despite never having qualified, Portugal has been a staple in the women’s game for years as they host the Algarve Cup, a yearly international invitational tournament that is considered a “Mini World Cup” that has run since 1994– making it the second longest running women's soccer tournament, other than the World Cup itself. Portugal will likely beat fellow debutante Vietnam in their group, but will likely not find results in games against the USA and the Netherlands, the gold- and silver-medalists of the 2019 World Cup.

Player Pool:

Portugal has several veteran players with over 100 caps, but there isn’t a front-runner that has scored massive amounts of goals for the country. FIFA pinpoints Dolores Silva as the player to watch, a dynamic midfield veteran that scored a couple goals in their path to qualify for 2023. 

2019 WWC performance:

Did not qualify

Vietnam

FIFA Ranking: 33

Reputation: 

After narrowly missing out on both the 2015 and 2019 World Cup, Vietnam finally qualified for 2023, and followed up their qualification by winning the 2023 Southeast Asia Playoffs, in which fellow debutante the Philippines didn’t make it out of their group. To help the growth of women's soccer in their country, there is a semi-professional league  that almost all of the players are in.  An interesting twist in their qualification is that some of their games were against Asian teams that were still suffering substantial player unavailability due to covid–but Vietnam’s luck ran out when the country got placed in this group with the USA and the Netherlands. 

Player Pool:

Since almost all of the team plays domestically, there isn’t a lot known about the team. Captain Huỳnh Như and midfielder Nguyễn Thị Tuyết Dung are the leading scorers.

2019 WWC performance:

Did not qualify

[freifraufischer]

2023 Worlds (and 2024 Olympic Qualification) thoughts that are half baked and way too early...

This is not so much a hopes and dreams rumination but more alarm bells and red flags... so take it with a grain of salt.

I feel there is a strong possibility that Team China will not qualify a WAG team for Paris. This is especially true if they decide to spread their "A" team between Worlds and the Asian games as they seem intent on doing. They made the Team Final at 2022 worlds largely on the back of their bars performance and OYS's beam.

I tend to trust this reddit user who has usually had the best grasp on the prosects of the Chinese team:

Similarly I have doubts about France qualifying. I've had questions about MDJDS's injury status since 2022 Worlds and in general she hasn't looked to be in her top form in quite some time. Aline Freiss apparently has a foot injury that is limiting her to bars at an upcoming WCC and Marine Boyer was competing sick at Euros. France does not have a lot of depth and it feels like they could collapse as well.

I have concerns about Germany but I think they're much more stable and both Schaefer and Voss coming back give them more padding. I'm still nervous.

If one or two of those countries do not qualify a team for Paris the 2024 World Cup circuit becomes a blood bath especially as I strongly suspect that's where any neutral Russians that do qualify for Paris will come out of.

Recent video of Shilese Jones makes me more comfortable about her prospects--I'd gotten concerned because she missed several camps and seemed to drop off from posting training videos on social media. I think she and Jordan Chiles will likely be the the top US AAers going into worlds. I feel like Jordan will have a Cheng by Paris but I am not sure if the time frame puts it on track for 2023 Worlds.

Jade is an interesting case and I think her stock raises or falls based a lot on other people than seems to be the conventional wisdom. She's certainly a vault and floor medal threat but no longer a certainty. Jordan is outscoring on on floor and Jade is beating her on vault by virtual of difficulty that could go away based on the timing of that Cheng upgrade. Joscelyn Roberson feels like a much bigger threat to Jade's position than a lot of people have accounted for as they are very similar gymnasts outside of the fact that Roberson is unusable on uneven bars and Jade is. When I say that Jade's position may come down to other pieces what I explicitly mean is if they have 4 other pieces that mean they don't even have to consider using Jade's bars then Roberson may overtake her. How much her decision to continue in the 2024 NCAA season impacts her 2024 Olympic path I think depends a lot on what she does. If we're talking something limited like vaulting at home OSU meets that's one thing. If we're talking about a full participation in the NCAA season as she has before I think that's ... unwise.

I do not think that Suni is competing this year. She's posting clips of training videos that don't look nearly as positive to me as others seem to view them. Kidney issues do not resolve quickly and the prospect of training uneven bars while on medication that makes you nauseous just seems daunting to me. I also question if she's had the time to rebuild the stamina needed for an elite bars routine.

Leanne is hard for me to pin down. I think that deciding not to defer her 2024 NCAA season puts her at a disadvantage for Paris but I also think that from a whole person/rest of her life point of view it was likely a wise decision. She's pre-med and taking a year off in the middle of pre-med could derail her post gymnastics life quite severely and her athletic achievements wont help her much in that career to balance out the drawbacks. I worry about burn out, exhaustion, the number of hard landings involved in a long NCAA season before the Olympic trials process and just the lack of time. But I also generally am not inclined to count her out. I just think she has an uphill path.

I've decided that I'm going to try not to talk about Konnor anymore outside of competition results as I believe she likes playing with the gymternet in deeply unhealthy ways.

I do not think SImone Biles is trying for Paris. I could be wrong but that's my feeling.

I don't think Gabby Douglas should be considered in any picture unless and until she actually competes a single routine.

Oksana Chusovitina's path to Paris is going to be a nail biter. I'm not counting her out but I think people need to brace themselves.

The British seem on track at the moment but I am dubious about the "Amanar" training videos we've seen. Kinsella's was quite frankly worrying and Achampong's clip was cut in a way that I don't think you could say anything about it. They're already qualified for Paris and I think it's just a matter of keeping their core gymnasts healthy until then.

Speaking of healthy... Italy is a mess and seems determined to break everyone early in a season for no reason. At the moment I feel like they'll qualify for Paris but I see a 2022 Worlds situation repeating at 2023 Worlds.

[agathacrispies]

Rebeca Andrade (BRA) competes on Bars during the Women's Qualifications at the 2022 Paris World Challenge Cup

(Source: IMAGO)