#ConsumerSentiment

[farademetre]

Stock Market Daily Update - March 25, 2025 - InvestTalk Market Wrap

In today’s InvestTalk market wrap, the overall market closed in positive territory, despite some areas of weakness—most notably in consumer sentiment, which came in below expectations. Consumer confidence has now dropped to a 12-year low, signaling increasing worries about tariffs and inflation that could dampen consumer spending and hinder economic growth. Nevertheless, the broader market showed resilience, with several sectors posting gains. Investors remain wary, closely monitoring indicators of economic stability amid continued tariff-related uncertainty.

[thehustlejournal]

10-Year Treasury Yield Dips Amid Rising Consumer Inflation Fears

The 10-year Treasury yield edged slightly lower on Friday as investor concerns about rising consumer inflation weighed on the bond market.

The benchmark 10-year yield dropped 1.2 basis points to 4.445%, while the 2-year yield increased by 2.6 basis points to 3.999%. The decline followed a discouraging consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan, which showed a drop to 50.8 in May, the second-lowest reading on record.

The survey revealed heightened inflation expectations, with consumers predicting a 7.3% price increase over the next year, up from 6.5% in April. Longer-term inflation expectations also rose slightly to 4.6% from 4.4%.

Despite a temporary 90-day pause on U.S.-China tariffs announced earlier this week, ongoing concerns about rising costs continue to weigh on businesses and consumers.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cautioned on Thursday that long-term interest rates could remain elevated due to frequent economic policy shifts and persistent supply chain shocks. “We may be entering a period of more frequent and potentially more persistent supply shocks,” Powell said during remarks at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference in Washington, D.C.

[vibewire]

Consumer attitudes sour amid Trump’s tariff escalation: Survey

Consumer attitudes worsened in April as President Donald Trump’s new tariffs triggered market upheaval and warnings of a possible recession, University of Michigan survey data on Friday showed. Sentiment soured more than economists expected. The survey marked the fourth consecutive month of dampening consumer attitudes, data showed. Consumers expect inflation to worsen, the survey said. learn more

[enterprisewired]

Economic Outlook: Inflation Expectations Hold Steady Amid Rising Financial Concerns

https://enterprisewired.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/EW-Economic-Outlook_-Inflation-Expectations-Hold-Steady-Amid-Rising-Financial-Concerns-Source-indexbox.io_.jpg

Source: indexbox.io

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Inflation Trends Remain Stable with Rising Cost Expectations

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data released its February 2025 Survey of Consumer Expectations, revealing that inflation expectations have remained relatively stable in the medium and long term. While the one-year inflation forecast saw a slight rise of 0.1 percentage point to 3.1%, expectations for three-year and five-year inflation rates held steady at 3.0%. However, uncertainty about future inflation increased across all time horizons.

Consumer expectations regarding home prices remained within a narrow range, with median home price growth expectations rising to 3.3%. Commodity price expectations, however, saw significant increases, particularly for essentials such as gas, food, medical care, and rent. Gas price expectations climbed to their highest level since mid-2024, rising by 1.1 percentage points to 3.7%, while food price expectations increased by 0.5 percentage points to 5.1%. Similarly, the anticipated costs for medical care, college tuition, and rent saw notable jumps, reflecting growing concerns over affordability.

Labor Market Uncertainty and Wage Expectations 

The NY Fed survey of consumer expectations highlighted shifting expectations within the labor market. While median earnings growth projections remained stable at 3.0%, concerns about rising unemployment grew significantly. The mean probability of an increased unemployment rate within the next year surged by 5.4 percentage points to 39.4%, the highest reading since late 2023. This sentiment was widespread across different demographics, including age, education, and income groups.

Meanwhile, the probability of voluntarily leaving a job within the next 12 months dropped by 2.3 percentage points to 17.6%, the lowest level since mid-2023. The likelihood of finding a new job after losing one’s current position also declined slightly, settling at 51.2%. These indicators suggest growing uncertainty in the labor market, with workers expressing increased caution about job mobility and economic stability.

Household Financial Concerns and Credit Constraints 

The NY Fed survey of consumer expectations revealed that consumers’ outlook on their finances grew more pessimistic in February. The median expected household income growth edged up to 3.1%, continuing a trend of modest fluctuations. However, household spending expectations saw a more pronounced rise, climbing 0.6 percentage points to 5.0%. This increase was particularly noticeable among lower-income households and those with a high school education or less, suggesting that financial pressures are mounting for vulnerable groups.

Credit access emerged as a growing concern, with a larger share of households reporting greater difficulty in obtaining credit compared to a year ago. Expectations for future credit availability also deteriorated sharply, as the proportion of respondents anticipating tougher access to credit rose to 46.7% %—the highest level since mid-2024. Additionally, the probability of missing a minimum debt payment within the next three months increased to 14.6%, the highest since April 2020.

Consumers’ perceptions of their current financial situations remained largely unchanged, but their expectations for the future worsened notably. The share of households expecting their financial situation to decline in the next year rose to 27.4%, reaching its highest level since late 2023. Meanwhile, confidence in stock market performance weakened, with the perceived probability of higher stock prices in the next 12 months dropping to 37.0%.

The NY Fed survey of consumer expectations provides a snapshot of shifting consumer sentiments, highlighting a mix of stable inflation expectations, growing labor market uncertainty, and increased financial distress. As economic conditions evolve, these trends will be crucial in shaping both policy decisions and consumer behavior in the months ahead.

[rethinking-the-dollar]

Americans Brace for Inflation Nightmare ㅤ Inflation expectations have surged to 7.1%, the highest in over 40 years, as consumers brace for a prolonged economic crisis driven by soaring prices and persistent core CPI inflation. ㅤ Follow RTD to stay in the loop on the latest events happening around the world and more. ㅤ Share so others can watch, listen & learn. 👊🏾 ㅤ ㅤ

[lwcmanagment]

📉 Finanzielle Lage der US-Eltern auf Rekordtief (2023) 📉

Nur 64% der US-Eltern gaben an, dass sie finanziell zumindest in Ordnung seien – der niedrigste Wert seit Beginn der Aufzeichnungen. 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦

Dies ist ein Rückgang von 69% im Jahr 2022 und 75% im Jahr 2021, so eine am Dienstag veröffentlichte Fed-Umfrage. 📊

Unter ihnen könnten nur 56% eine Notfallausgabe von $400 mit Bargeld, Ersparnissen oder einer Kreditkarte, die beim nächsten Auszug bezahlt wird, decken – ein Rückgang von 64% im Jahr 2021. 💵

Insgesamt gaben 72% aller befragten Erwachsenen an, dass es ihnen 2023 finanziell gut geht, der niedrigste Anteil seit 2016 und ein Rückgang von 78% im Jahr 2021. 📉

Ein weiteres großes Missverhältnis zwischen Verbraucherstimmung und Wirtschaftsdaten. 🤔

Parallel dazu ist die Lage in Deutschland noch eingetrübter: Viele deutsche Haushalte kämpfen zunehmend mit den gestiegenen Lebenshaltungskosten und finanziellen Unsicherheiten. 🇩🇪

[usnewsper-politics]

Prices Drop: Relief for Shoppers as Gas and Grocery Costs Decrease #consumersentiment #decreasinggasolineprices #grocerystoreprices #inflationrelief #interestratehikes

[usnewsper-business]

Market Watch: Inflation, Retail Sales, and Consumer Sentiment Impact Financial Markets #ConsumerPriceIndex #consumersentiment #FederalReserveofficials #inflationdata #retailsales

[quickscraper23]

Data Symphony: Crafting Success with Web Scraping in Jobs, Real Estate, Marketing, and SEO

In the harmonious world of the digital era, web scraping emerges as a conductor orchestrating success across domains. This article embarks on a melodious journey through Jobs, Real Estate, Marketing, and SEO, revealing how web scraping's harmonizing techniques transform raw data into strategic compositions that resonate with professionals seeking excellence.

Composing Career Crescendos

Web scraping is the composer's pen that writes the symphony of career trajectories. By extracting data from job boards and corporate websites, professionals compose a melody of job trends. This musical approach empowers individuals to fine-tune their skills, synchronizing them with the dynamic rhythm of the job market for harmonious career growth.

Unearthing Investment Harmonies

For real estate aficionados, web scraping is the tuning fork that resonates with investment harmonies such as Real Estate. By extracting property listings, historical pricing, and neighborhood cadences, investors create a harmonious blend of data-driven insights. This symphony guides them to investments that strike a harmonious chord of success.

Crafting Engagement Sonatas

Web scraping becomes the virtuoso's instrument for marketers, composing campaigns that resonate with audiences. By gathering consumer sentiments, competitor strategies, and trending themes, marketers compose campaigns that play like sonatas on a personal level. This musical approach transforms data into an enchanting harmony of engagement.

Navigating the SEO Sonata

In the realm of Search Engine Optimization, web scraping is the maestro that conducts the SEO sonata. Advanced techniques extract the notes of SERPs, the rhythm of backlinks, and the key of keyword rankings. This symphonic knowledge allows SEO experts to compose strategies that crescendo into higher visibility.

This article has unraveled the symphonic potential of web scraping as a transformative force in Jobs, Real Estate, Marketing, and SEO. Just as conductors lead orchestras, professionals lead their domains by leveraging web scraping to compose strategies.

[vishmah]

Growing share of Americans favor more nuclear...

Many advocates say that nuclear power is key to reducing emissions from electricity generation, and Pew's recent survey finds that Americans are mostly in favor of nuclear development. #energy #nuclearpower #consumersentiment

Growing share of Americans favor more nuclear...

Americans remain more likely to favor expanding solar power (78%) and wind power (72%) than nuclear power (56%).

Korn Ferry Connect

[mmatkf]

Growing share of Americans favor more nuclear...

Many advocates say that nuclear power is key to reducing emissions from electricity generation, and Pew's recent survey finds that Americans are mostly in favor of nuclear development. #energy #nuclearpower #consumersentiment

Growing share of Americans favor more nuclear...

Americans remain more likely to favor expanding solar power (78%) and wind power (72%) than nuclear power (56%).

Korn Ferry Connect

[investorslogbook]

US stock exchanges operate without common direction on Friday, with investors monitoring the season of corporate balance sheets for the second quarter, which bring mixed news, but also react to the vertiginous advance of the coronavirus in the United States and the escalation of US-CHINA tensions. The economic indicators released this morning are also evaluated by the agents. The United States consumer sentiment index, compiled by the University of Michigan, fell from 78.1 in June to 73.2 in the July preliminary. A drop of 77.8 was expected. Performance of the main indexes: 🇺🇸 Dow Jones -0.17% 🇺🇸 S & P500 + 0.09% 🇺🇸 Nasdaq + 0.11% 🎁 Claim your FREE share 🎁 https://linktr.ee/investorslogbook #tradewars #usandchina #consumersentiment #consumerindex #stockmarket #stockmarketnews #stockmarketinvesting #stockmarketeducation #invest #investing #investmentstrategies #investmenttips #investment #investmentopportunities #investmentopportunity #investmentportfolio #investmentmanagement #investmentbanking #investmentbanker #investmentplan #investmentideas #investmentplanning #longterminvesting #longtermgoals #longterminvestment (at Bank, London) https://www.instagram.com/p/CCwJW6XAzBx/?igshid=qrm6auglr7jf

[cambcurrencies]

Trump Survives Shooting: China's Trade Surplus, Mixed US Data

Main Market Movers Recap Last week’s market movements were quite eventful, with key data releases and political developments influencing the FX market. China: It was reported that the Chinese Balance of Trade came in stronger than expected for June at $99.05 billion, above the forecast of $85 billion level. However, the GDP Growth Rate YoY suggests Q2 reading at 4.7%, lower than the previous…

[presssorg]

Retail sales likely bounced back on expected higher spending on gasoline, cars

Retail sales likely bounced back on expected higher spending on gasoline, cars Consumers are expected to have spent more on gasoline and cars in March, likely pushing monthly retail sales higher after February's surprise decline. Economists expect retail sales rose by 0.9% for the month, but 0.7% when autos are not included, according to Refinitiv data. The monthly sales number is being watched closely to see whether consumer spending is recovering after a string of uneven reports, including December's sharp decline and February's surprise drop of 0.2%. January's sales gained 0.7%. March retail sales are scheduled to be released Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. The sales report includes a key component used by economists to calculate GDP growth, scheduled to be reported next Friday for the first quarter. The retail sales report is one of the last pieces of data. First-quarter GDP looked to be barely growing early on in the period, but has gone from sub-1% to just over 2% in a few weeks. Scott Anderson, chief economist at Bank of the West, said he expects to see a bounceback in March sales in part because because February sales were so weak. "We think the consumer is going to slow the pace of their spending this year," he said. "Wage gains picked up a little bit year over year, but it's lackluster compared to the spending growth ... hourly earnings growth is lagging consumer spending growth. That dynamic hasn't changed. Consumers were really confident, spending a lot last year. They're probably going to have to tighten their belts." Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, expects retail sales to be up at least 1%. "Part of that is vehicle sales. Weather is favorable so building materials supplies stores should be solid. I think it could be up at least a point, but it could be higher than that," he said.

Fred’s agreed to sell patient prescription files and related inventory in the 185 stores to Walgreen Boots Alliance Inc. for $165 million. Michael Schwab/USA TODAY NEWTWORK - TENNESSEE "Core sales are probably up 0.3%. I think the data coming out of payment processors continued to be soft in March," he said. "Consumers are really turning cautious since the end of the year." Anderson said he expects GDP growth of about 2.2% for the first quarter but that number has been inflated by inventories so there could be some pay back in the second quarter. Economists surveyed by CNBC/Moody's Analytics rapid update had a consensus median tracking estimate of 2.1% for first-quarter growth. Published at Wed, 17 Apr 2019 21:24:00 +0000   Read the full article

[usnewsper-politics]

Prices Drop: Relief for Shoppers as Gas and Grocery Costs Decrease #consumersentiment #decreasinggasolineprices #grocerystoreprices #inflationrelief #interestratehikes

[estimize]

Why people are talking about consumer sentiment this month

UMICH CONSUMER SENTIMENT

Economic Indicators - Consumer

The UMich Consumer Sentiment monthly report will be released tomorrow, June 29th. This month, Estimize projects consumer sentiment to come in at 99.2, which is high relative to readings over the last year. Consumer Sentiment has risen more than predicted because people are currently feeling more positive about their financial situations. The increased Consumer Sentiment reading reflects  the large amounts of discretionary spending and a high number of durable goods (large ticket items) being purchased in the economy.

People are always interested in consumer spending updates because it accounts for about 70% of GDP. Currently, consumer sentiment is very strong due to a robust economic climate and low unemployment rate. As consumers have more money in their pockets, they will spend more, and contribute to economic growth. Consumer sentiment is an extremely telling indicator of how GDP is performing, and the direction of the economy.

What do you think the consumer sentiment will be? Place your estimate here!

Photo Credit: 401(K) 2012